FuelCell Energy: A Strategy for Bullish Momentum

Updated
Hello, traders and investors. Before I dive into the analysis, please note that I am not a financial advisor, and this is not financial advice.

FuelCell Energy is showing several bullish indicators across different time frames, suggesting a potential for a significant upward move. Here's a refined analysis:

On the 4-hour (4H) chart, there's a noticeable shift in momentum to the upside, indicating a change of character. After a decline to a key support level (referred to as "order block"), the price action formed a double bottom pattern, suggesting a reversal. Additionally, a Bat pattern is emerging, with the ABCD structure signaling potential profit-taking levels at $2.16 (Fibonacci 1.272 extension) and $2.45 (Fibonacci 1.618 extension). The MACD indicator shows a bullish crossover and divergence, complemented by a double bottom in price and a higher low in the RSI, reinforcing the bullish outlook.

On the daily (1D) chart, two significant patterns are observed: a descending triangle and a symmetrical triangle. A decisive break and close above the $1.5 resistance level would confirm a breakout from these patterns, along with a downtrend parallel channel, signaling a strong move to the upside.

I initiated a long position at $1.10, setting a stop loss at $1.05 to mitigate risks from a potential bearish breakout from the descending triangle. My strategy includes taking 50% profits at $1.7, anticipating a possible retest of the breakout level ("crime of the scene") before aiming for a second profit target at $2.4 (Fibonacci 1.618 extension). It's crucial to be cautious around the $2.5-$2.7 levels, as the price may face rejection, underscoring the importance of not being overly greedy in profit-taking strategies.

This analysis is based on current chart patterns and indicators, which suggest a bullish run for FuelCell Energy. However, keep in mind that trading involves risks, and it's important to conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance when entering positions.
Comment
We have bottomed
The earnings and revenue for Fuel Cell Energy were not as bad as I had expected. Consequently, I don't think we will drop lower than the previous low of $0.9813. Yesterday, Plug Power and GM won federal funds in a $750 million initiative aimed at accelerating clean hydrogen, providing a lot of funding for 52 projects across 24 states to dramatically reduce the cost of clean hydrogen. Therefore, I guess we have reached the bottom. I went long with an entry at $1.05 stop loss $0.98, expecting a profit, as I mentioned before.
Trade closed: stop reached
Stop loss was triggered at $0.98 the market is still bearish
Trade active
Today, I bought in with 5k because we've reached the Golden Pocket, where smart money is accumulating heavily between the 0.24 and 0.67 levels. This is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. Avoid leveraging your position—just buy and hold. A short squeeze could potentially send the price up to $1.85.
Chart PatternsHarmonic PatternsTechnical Indicators

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