Spotify Technology S.A.
Short

SPOT - A Ticking Time Bomb!

57
SPOT Earnings Yield of 1.3% according to current data — meaning you’re getting about 1.3 cents of profit per dollar invested. LOL!

Better you give me your hard-earned money and I'll give you 2% instead of 1.3%. I like to splurge! :)

The Structural Constraint

Spotify cannot scale margins the way Netflix did because:

They don’t own the content
They don’t control input costs
They have to pay out ~70% of every dollar to rights holders
Their pricing power is weak and regulated by deals with labels
The labels decide what happens to Spotify’s margins, not Spotify

This is the definition of a business with a hard economic ceiling.

No amount of subscribers fixes the cost structure.

Spotify’s long-run net margin:

1–2% (When they “beat,” the gains evaporate the next quarter.) If Spotify hit 5% margins — a level they’ve never sustained.

And on a positive note —
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