The Future of Global Trading1. Historical Context and Present Landscape
Before looking into the future, it is important to understand the present state of global trading.
Globalization: Over the past three decades, globalization has integrated economies, allowing companies to source materials from one country, manufacture in
Related bonds
Yields are sniffing out the recession that is already in motionEveryone keeps talking about how rates cuts are going to push long term yields higher because that is what happened last September, etc, etc.
IMO the bond market is realizing that the US Economy is already in a very weak state and it will adjust accordingly.
It's highly doubtful that rates will
US 10Y TREASURY: testing 4.2%The US10Y Treasury yields continued to slide during the previous week, testing the level of 4,2%. Posted PCE figures for July of 0,2% and core PCE of 0,3% for the month, heated market expectation that the next feds rate cut will be in September. Still, some news headlines related to the dispute betw
US10Y - Labor Day August AnalysisHappy Labor Day US!
With price trading inside April 1st 25, spinning top upper wick encroachment and rates predicted to fall in September, sub 4.00% seems reasonable.
Due to high resistance, aiming for low hanging fruits on lower timeframes is the best approach.
4.187% Sellside Draw
4.124% Weekly
US10YThe latest US JOLTS Job Openings report released at 3:00 pm shows current job openings at 7.18 million, which is lower than both the forecast (7.38 million) and previous reading (7.36 million).
Interpretation
This decline suggests some cooling in the US labor market, with fewer available positions c
US10Y Mortgage Rates Heading DownI'm calling for a massive crash in mortgage rates very soon. Notice in December of 2024 Fed announced rate cut and we shot up, same for April of 2025 - i don't think it matters what he says this month, the chart is pointing heavily down.
I've been posting this stuff casually for a few months its
$USM2 at ATH. $US10Y rangebound. $UNRATE increasing. What's nextToday we dive deeper into the macroeconomic indicators. People who follow my space know my bias toward TVC:US10Y for market signals. Since months we are following the TVC:US10Y within this downward slopping parallel regression channel. On May 2 we predicted that we might see 3.5% by Dec 2025.
US10YUS 10-Year Treasury Yield
The yield on the US 10-Year Treasury is about 4.22% to 4.24%.
It has slightly decreased by approximately 0.02 percentage points from the previous session.
The yield remains elevated compared to last year (3.83%) but is below the long-term average of 4.25%.
This yield serves
UST 10Y Technical Outlook for the week Aug 25-29 (updated dailyUST 10Y Technical Outlook for the week Aug 25-29 (updated daily)
Overnight
Overnight, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury note dropped to 4.28%, a decline of nearly 10 basis points from its session highs, following Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s keynote speech. Powell indicated that the b
US 10Y TREASURY: the Jackson Hole effectDuring the week markets were moving in a mixed mode, however, Friday brought the change, after the Fed Chair Powell's speech at Jackson Hole Symposium. The significant market reaction occurred when Chair Powell noted the possibility of further monetary policy easing in the coming period, implying a
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A graphical representation of the interest rates on debt for a range of maturities.
Frequently Asked Questions
The current yield rate is 4.072% — it's decreased by −1.28% over the past week.
The current yield of United States 10 Year Government Bonds is 4.072%, whereas at the moment of issuance it was 3.520%, which means 15.68% change. Over the week the yield has decrased by −1.28%, the month performance has showed a −1.45% decrease, and it has risen by 8.33% over the year.
Maturity date is when a debt comes due and all principal and/or interest must be repaid to creditors. For example, the United States 10 Year Government Bonds maturity date is Aug 15, 2035.
You can buy United States 10 Year Government Bonds through brokers — choose the one that suits your needs and go ahead. You can also purchase bonds directly from the issuing organization. Closely track the price dynamics and market news before making any decision.
A bond is a debt security issued by a corporation or a government. By buying bonds, investors loan the issuer money in return for an interest rate. By issuing bonds, the state receives funds that can then be injected into the economy, and corporations raise funds for new research or other operational activities. The alphanumeric code of government bonds represents the abbreviated name of the issuing state, as well as its time to maturity. For example, United States 10 Year Government Bonds is the US government bonds with the maturity of 10 years.
Bonds can be of various maturities, e.g. short-term (less than three years), medium-term (four to 10 years), or long-term ones (more than 10 years). So United States 10 Year Government Bonds are medium-term bonds — they have the maturity of 10 years.