USD/CNH
Long

USDCNH: Consolidation Could Be Over, Target 8.195

16
Current strength of Chinese yuan vs US dollar could soon lose momentum
USDCNH shows a classic two-leg move with a large consolidation in between.

The first leg unfolded rapidly in 2022, with the pair rocketing more than 1 yuan — from 6.30 to 7.37 — marking a huge depreciation.
That move was followed by a large, three-year consolidation, which now looks close to completing.
If leg two mirrors the distance of leg one, USDCNH could shoot past 8.00 and potentially reach 8.195.
The confirmation trigger is set at 7.224 — the peak of the most recent minor consolidation.

What could trigger such a massive yuan drop?
  • -New tariffs
  • -A major clash with the US
  • -A sharp economic downturn


What’s your take? Drop it in the comments below.

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