After the fake out, the scenario suddenly looks the same as in February and March. Small support lines do not seem to have a grip. And the price is totally separate from the 200, 50, 20, 10 MA. The death cross seems like a matter of time. The question is at what pace will this happen. And when can the price find support to drop even further. (Or am I pessimistic ..?)
It seems that the price is backtesting the Pennant. Because the sentiment is not in the advantage of the bulls i expect that the price will return into the Pennant. In this case we have a couple resistance levels before the 525.
Very decent pattern showing up. Almost clearing the 5 wave sequence of bigger cycle 1. Next is a three wave correction up to around 542ish before we have our money wave down which offers a great opportunity for early retirement.
Disclosure: I am short on AEX with put options.
Let's look at the Dutch AEX index. The prices seem to not have recovered as much as the american stock markets, giving us more opportunity to trade with higher percentage gains. However, I am starting this one with my analysis on an upcoming short trade.
I'm not a huge fan of this inverted fibonacci retracement, but saw it getting very popular on charts recently...
AEX broke the 4 year positive trendline and from that moment dropped 57% in the following 105 weeks.
After breaking that trendline the price recovered until slightly above the initial break point. From there the real downward rally continued. In hindsight this point of recovery would have been an excellent short opportunity.
AEX broke the 5 year...
UPDATE: #AEX - "Financial recession is a fact! Depression is coming!"
UPDATE: #AEX - "Financial markets will goes into years of recession!"
Financial market is going to prepare itself for a long-term downward movement.
Some financial experts will call this an economic depression the coming period!
Trade active: #IEX #AEX #coronavirus is being...
Today I want to warn you that the AEX-index shows double top formation.
At first, AEX looked quite strong: breaking out of the rising wedge, but now it broke back into the wedge and formed a bearish formation.
Trade safe and take some profits I would say.
RSI and MACD are both overbought for AEX.
There is not any room left for further gains this year. Short untill may 2020.
AEX is going to retest previous lows. The fall will begin in one these days / weeks.
AEX SHORT Based on Major Resistance. Last time it broke the Major Resistance (RED) was back in `07. Since then it dropped and had a slow but steady climb back up. If the Major Resistance (RED) gets broken in the next week, expect false breakout and short ones under 576.65 again. Aim for the 1st Target (ORANGE), Support Level at 565.18. Hereafter, continuing down...
Adyen lost a huge customer, Uber. Uber will handle payments itself and has received a license from De Nederlandsche Bank (DNB) for handling all electronic payments.
I think Adyen has gone too far and is ready for a huge correction.
First price target: € 550
Second price target: € 400 - € 470