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AMD started the A.I. Bubble's final Bear Cycle.2.5 months ago (October 27, see chart below), we gave a bold sell signal on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), which at the time was against the prevailing bullish market sentiment but started to pay off immediately as the market topped and got rejected: We still view that Top as the Higher High of its 6-year Channel Up, hence expecting the rejection to evolve into a technical Bearish Leg (Bear Cycle), targeting $110.00. On today's analysis, we take the long-term horizon a step further as we go back to 1984 and the start of AMD's multi-decade Higher Highs trend-line, a Resistance level that has historically pushed the stock to its key market Tops. On this 1M time-frame, we have pointed out the Dotcom (Internet) Bubble comparing it with the current A.I. Bubble. As you can see there are strong similarities between the two eras and more specifically the symmetry among their Bullish and Bearish Legs. As mentioned on the previous analysis, the current fractal has technically topped, and is now starting the new Bearish Leg towards $110 and the 1M MA100 (green trend-line). During the Dotcom Bubble when that corresponding final Bearish Leg was completed, the market started is final parabolic rally that peaked marginally above the 1.618 Fibonacci extension and the Bubble burst. For investors that have a long-term multi-year horizon, that translates for the A.I. Bubble into a $435 Target by 2030. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by TradingShot
TESLA Is December seasonality about to hit it hard?Tesla (TSLA) has been trading within a 3-year Channel Up and has been on a Bullish Leg since the April 07 market low. Not everything on its long-term outlook is positive though as December in the past 5 years, holds a bearish seasonality for the stock as it has aggressively declined. A 1W MACD Bearish Cross was always present during these times and so is today. With the price trading under a familiar Lower Highs trend-line as in 2023, we see strong probabilities that Tesla starts a new long-term correction. The minimum drop on these corrections has been -50% so a repeat of that would put the price exactly at the bottom of the Channel Up at $236, with only the 1M MA100 (red trend-line) in support. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by TradingShot
10
AMAZON 's new Bear Cycle targets $125. And it can make you rich.Amazon Inc. (AMZN) has been trading within a massive 24-year Channel Up ever since its October 2001 bottom of the Dotcom crash. This pattern, as you can see, has been following a very distinct structure with its 1M MA100 (green trend-line) being the major Support level (and providing the most efficient buy opportunities) since November 2006. What stands out here is the period from late 2020 until today and how it resembles the one from late 2003 to late 2007. Both traded under multi-year Higher Highs trend-lines and in October 2007 that formed a Top, causing a 2nd correction within that time-frame that bottomed once it hit the 1M MA100 within the Support Zone of the previous consolidation phase. Today's fractal has already made the 1st correction in 2022, which not surprisingly also bottomed on the 1M MA100 and kick-started the rally towards the Higher Highs trend-line again. We are now at the point where there are high probabilities that the 2nd correction will take place. If the market continues to follow the past pattern, we expect Amazon to bottom below the 1M MA100 this time and at the bottom of the Support Zone within the $130.00 - $125.00 range. This will make an ideal Higher Low right at the bottom of the 24-year Channel Up. So what can make you rich on this? Making a long-term buy of course and keeping it until 2030 - 2032 as the new Bullish Leg that will start, will effectively be the new Bull Cycle. And as this chart shows, these Cycles have had similar rises, with the 'weakest' one being +1037%. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by TradingShot
1
NVIDIA This is how it can reach $100 and the Supports involved.NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) had a strong red 1M candle last month, the first one after a rally of 7 straight green months. This is not the first time we present you this 12-year Channel Up, in fact we used this in late October to give a sell signal. The reason is that Nvidia almost reached the top of that pattern, a technical Higher High, successive if you count the late 2024 one. Such Double Tops have been previously consistent with the start of strong corrections (Bearish Legs) which in both cases (2018 and 2022) bottomed on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). The key element that we added on the chart this time is the (green) Support Zone, which stemmed every time from the last consolidation (blue circle) before the Top. It is no surprise that this time it also falls on the 1W MA200 and a potential contact with the price towards Q3 2026 and beyond. Even then, it will still be above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level as in December 2018 and quite close to the bottom of the Channel Up for the first time since October 2022. Our long-term Target and thus next long-term Buy Signal, remains $100. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TradingShot
APPLE Just formed its Cycle Top. Best sell opportunity is here.Almost 3 months ago (September 19, see chart below), we gave a buy signal on Apple Inc. (AAPL), which recently hit our final $290 Target: This week we go back to the long-term 1W time-frame as the Bullish Leg (green) since the April 07 bottom just hit the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of its 4-year Channel Up. The 2023 Bullish Leg also peaked on its 1.236 Fibonacci extension and eventually corrected back to its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), hitting its 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at the same time. The 2022 and early 2025 Bearish Legs even broke below the 1W MA50 and bottomed after a minimum -32.05% decline. The April 2025 bottom even hit the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). All of those Channel Up (Cycle) Tops have taken place while the 1W RSI broke above the overbought level (70.00). This has already taken place since last week and we also se the 1W MACD to start reversing, which is something that has also happened every time after a Top. Based on all the above evidence (1.236 Fib hit, Channel Up top hit, 1W RSI overbought, 1W MACD reversing), we expect Apple to start a long-term correction (Bear Cycle), technically the new Bearish Leg of the 4-year Channel Up and initially make contact with the 1W MA50 and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at $236.00. If the price closes a 1W candle below the 1W MA50, then we expect a second Target to be fulfilled at the bottom of the Channel Up at $200, below the 1W MA200 but still almost -32.00% from the top. The most efficient long-term buy signal is perhaps given by the 1W RSI again, when it hits the 33.20 Support. Use that to time your buy entry accordingly. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by TradingShot
6
AI Stocks Started Sneezing… and Indices May Have Caught a Chill?The NASDAQ (a.k.a. the AI theme park) just printed a much lower monthly low. ES? It dipped… but only politely. That mismatch matters. When tech acts tired, the broader market usually needs caffeine — or a correction. The Indicators Are Whispering… and They Don’t Sound Bullish The CCI is saying “lower highs,” while price is saying “higher highs.” Classic divergence. The MACD histogram is fading like holiday lights at 4 a.m. Momentum? Not dead — just yawning. Three Levels That Could Decide Whether Santa Shows Up Think of December like a video game boss fight with three phases: 6,525.00 → First alarm bell. Break it and the mood changes. 6,239.50 → “Bear trap danger zone.” Plenty could happen here. 4,430.50 → The deep level nobody wants to talk about, but everyone should mark. If ES finds its footing near 6,239.50, Santa still has a shot. If not… well… Grinch season might come early. ES & MES Contract Specs + Margins E-mini S&P 500 Futures (ES) Tick size: 0.25 index points = $12.50 Approx. margin (as of now): ~$22,400 per contract Micro E-mini S&P 500 Futures (MES) Tick size: 0.25 index points = $1.25 Approx. margin (as of now): ~$2,240 per contract Margins vary by broker and can change with volatility, but these figures reflect current exchange-level requirements. Risk Management: The Only Real Holiday Magic ES and MES give traders the same view of the market but with different intensity levels. December is emotional, fast, and occasionally rude — so size positions like someone who wants to enjoy the holidays, not stress through them. Pick a zone → define the invalidation level → cap your dollar risk → choose ES or MES accordingly. Simple. Calm. Holiday-friendly. Final Thought Santa hasn’t canceled the rally yet. But AI stocks aren’t exactly singing Christmas carols either. If the tech giants recover, December could still sparkle. If they don’t… the sleigh might need a repair shop. Either way: chart levels > seasonal hope. Trade safe — and maybe hide a cookie for the market, just in case. Want More Depth? If you’d like to go deeper into the building blocks of trading, check out our From Mystery to Mastery trilogy, three cornerstone articles that complement this one: 🔗 From Mystery to Mastery: Trading Essentials 🔗 From Mystery to Mastery: Futures Explained 🔗 From Mystery to Mastery: Options Explained When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by traddictiv
AI Stocks Weakness Could Spoil this Year’s Santa RallyAs December begins, traders worldwide are dusting off the same old question: Will we get a Santa Claus rally this year? But 2025’s setup looks a little different. The market’s cheer seems to depend heavily on whether AI-related stocks can keep delivering miracles—and lately, the charts are suggesting they may be running out of steam. When Tech Sneezes, the Market Catches a Cold A quick look across U.S. equity futures shows a revealing pattern. The E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures (NQ), home to most AI and semiconductor giants, has posted a significantly lower monthly low compared to the prior month. Meanwhile, the E-mini S&P 500 Futures (ES) declined much less, hinting at relative resilience, but also possible lagging weakness. This divergence—NQ leading down while ES holds up—is a subtle warning. When the market’s growth engine (tech) loses traction, broader indices often follow with a delay. That’s the tension December traders are staring at: are we seeing the early signs of exhaustion before the holidays, or just a healthy pause? Bearish Divergences Whisper “Caution” The technicals are backing that cautious tone. On the ES chart, the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) has been carving lower highs even as prices printed higher highs. This is a textbook bearish divergence, often an early sign that bullish momentum is fading. The MACD histogram echoes the same message: momentum has been contracting through November despite new price highs, suggesting that underlying strength is eroding. Such divergences don’t predict direction on their own, but they do raise the probability of a short-term correction—or at least a choppy path into year-end. The Price Map: Three Levels that Could Define December Let’s outline the key technical zones traders are watching: 6,525.00: the prior monthly low—this is the first line of defense for the Santa Rally narrative. A break below this level would likely shift sentiment fast, especially if NQ continues under pressure. 6,239.50: the floor of a relevant UFO (UnFilled Orders) support zone. If ES dips below the prior low, this zone may become a “bear trap.” Many traders might short aggressively once 6,525.00 gives way, but those unfilled buy orders could absorb supply and trigger a sharp bounce. If the rally emerges from here, Santa might still make his visit. 4,430.50: a deeper UFO support cluster roughly 35% below current prices. If price were to cut through 6,239.50 and stay below it, the market would be entering a different regime altogether—likely accompanied by broken trendlines, volatility spikes, and a more defensive tone. Reading Between the Lines: What the Divergence Means Historically, the Santa Rally is powered by optimism, lighter volumes, and portfolio rebalancing. But this time, AI and semiconductor names—the champions of the current bull leg—are leading weakness. That doesn’t mean doom; it means fragility. The ES market may still rebound, but it’s doing so under reduced participation from the very sectors that drove prior gains. Sizing the Trade Without Crossing the Line For traders eyeing this setup through ES (E-mini S&P 500 futures) or MES (Micro E-mini S&P 500) futures, here’s a compliant, educational way to think about risk and position sizing: Identify the Setup Zone: e.g., around 6,525.00 as potential demand, or below 6,239.50 as short-term breakdown. Define Your Stop: the level where the technical picture is invalidated. Set a Dollar Risk Limit: for instance, risking 1% of total account equity. Derive Position Size: Divide your dollar risk by the price distance between entry and stop (converted into points). Then choose between the standard E-mini (ES) or Micro E-mini (MES) to match your risk tolerance and account size. This framework lets traders adapt leverage responsibly—without needing the specific contract specs or margin figures, which vary by broker and time. Risk Management: December Can Be a Trap December is famous for emotional trading. The combination of holiday expectations, thinner liquidity, and year-end positioning can turn routine pullbacks into exaggerated moves. That’s why focusing on risk before reward is critical. The UFO support levels serve as reference zones where institutional activity might reappear, but they’re not guarantees. Managing stops, scaling out partial profits, and staying flexible matters more than trying to guess the market’s next headline. ES and MES: Same Story, Different Scale The Micro E-mini (MES) contract is a smaller version of the E-mini (ES), designed for traders who want the same price exposure but with lower notional size. Both track the same index, tick for tick. For traders exploring this December setup, the MES allows participation while controlling exposure more granularly—especially useful if volatility picks up and margin requirements shift. Key Contracts Specs and Margins: E-mini S&P 500 Futures (ES) with a point value = $50 per point. Micro E-mini S&P 500 Futures (MES) with a point value = $5 per point. As of the current date, the margin requirements for E-mini S&P 500 Futures and for the Micro E-mini S&P 500 Futures are approximately $22,400 and $2,240 per contract respectively. Always verify the latest margin schedules and specifications directly with your broker or the exchange before entering trades, as those details update regularly and depend on market conditions. Santa’s Setup: Scenarios to Watch Scenario A — Santa Delivers: Price tests or slightly breaks the 6,525.00 low, finds support near 6,239.5, and rebounds into late December. Bearish divergences resolve sideways, and risk assets stabilize. Scenario B — The Grinch Arrives: The 6,239.50 zone fails to hold, breaking trendline supports. The market slides toward 4,430.50, shaking off complacent longs and erasing part of the 2024-5 rally. Both paths are technically valid. The difference will come from whether AI-heavy sectors regain strength—or confirm that this bull leg has indeed lost its engine. Educational Takeaway Divergences (CCI and MACD) highlight when momentum and price disagree—a sign of fatigue. Intermarket analysis (ES vs. NQ) reveals where weakness may originate. UFO levels identify potential institutional footprints—where traps or reversals often occur. Discipline and risk control matter more than predicting whether Santa shows up. Final Thought Whether December brings gifts or grief may depend less on seasonal hope and more on how traders interpret these divergences. If AI stocks can find footing again, the rally could revive. But if they keep sliding, this might be the year Santa takes a break. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by traddictiv
NVIDIA Trading plan from $100 to $1000. Is it plausible?Exactly a month ago, we called the end of the rally on NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), essentially the end of its multi-year Bull Cycle and the beginning of an aggressive Bear Cycle correction. ** The 10 year Channel Up ** So far this is paying dividends as the stock just completed a 4-week red streak. The essence of NVIDIA's trend has been a decade long Channel Up, as you can see on this chart and that's the basis of all the buy entries and sell exits we've made over the years. ** Bull and Bear Cycles ** Since early 2025, the stock started that Channel Up, whose first Bull Cycle (as well as the next ones with the exception of one breaking) was supported by the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). Once that Bear Cycle (in the form of the Channel's Bullish Leg) ended, the subsequent Bear Cycle (Bearish Leg) broke below both the 1W MA50 and 1W MA100 (green trend-line) and bottomed exactly on its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), marginally above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. The following Bull Cycle as well as the Bear Cycle followed the same structure only, the bottom was this time marginally below the 0.382 Fib. Then the Bull Cycle that just ended started, with only basic difference that its early 2025 correction broke below the 1W MA50 but found Support on the 1W MA100. Every Bull Cycle had such pre-Top correction (blue ellipse). Note also that this last Bull Cycle as been the strongest Leg on +1881% rise and the one before it, the 'weakest' at +1004%. ** The RSI ** Notice also that the 1W RSI has made the same Double Top rejection pattern on the Lower Highs Zone that both previous Bull Cycle Tops did. Strong confirmation therefore of the emerging Bear Cycle. ** The next bottom ** Technically, we expect the market to bottom yet again on the 1W MA200, which by a fair projection of its current trajectory, we expect that to be around $100. That would still be considerably above the 0.382 Fib, which can only get hit if the Bear Cycle falls very aggressively. Note here that historically within this Channel Up, the most optimal buy signal was given when the 1W RSI hit 42.00. Use that in combination with the 1W MA200. ** Future Targets ** So after the Bear Cycle bottoms, what Target can we pursue? Well the 'minimum' projection based on the 2.618 Fibonacci extension of the Bull Cycle that just ended is $700. At the same time, if it rises by again the 'minimum' % of the weakest +1004% Bullish Leg of the Channel, we are looking potentially at a 4-year Target of $1100. It is also worth noting the valuable use of the Sine Waves that have so far accurately grasped the peak formations of the Bull Cycles. We can use this to time our market exits in 2029. Realistic or not subjectively, the $100 to $1000 path is what the pure technicals and historical data support and clearly show is a very likely probability for a long-term investment. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TradingShot
1
PALANTIR Is there time to reach $250 before Bear Cycle begins?Palantir (PLTR) has been trading within a multi-year Channel Up throughout this Bull Cycle, which despite the recent correction just above the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), it still stands. The last time in fact that we had a similar 1W MA200 approach on such a 1D RSI pattern (RSI reaching 34.00) was on January 05 2024. What followed was a 1-month rally to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. As a result, if the market delivers a strong 'Santa Rally', we may see Palantir peak at $250.00 before a Bear Cycle begins. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:PLTRLong
by TradingShot
Nvidia loses steam despite exceptional 3Q performance Nvidia (NVDA) posted a record-breaking 3Q performance, with revenue surging 62% YoY to 57 bln USD. Its 4Q guidance points to another 65% increase, reinforcing optimism that growth momentum will continue to accelerate. CFO Kress noted that the guidance does not include any contribution from China sales, while CEO Huang pushed back against recent AI-bubble concerns raised by Michael Burry. Nevertheless, AI valuation risks remain elevated. Beyond strong earnings, the scale of AI infrastructure spending and the surge in bond issuance required to fund it continue to dampen investor sentiment. Goldman Sachs (GS) has warned about the fragility in the private credit market. The firm highlighted that Blue Owl Capital, with more than 295 bln USD in AUM, over half of which is credit-exposed, has seen its share price fall nearly 30% since Sep. Major credit-heavy players such as KKR and Blackstone are also showing signs of pressure, underscoring how AI-driven anxiety is spilling into private credit. NVDA briefly breached above the psychological level at 195.00 but surrendered all gains, falling back below 182.00. The price remains under the death-crossed EMAs, indicating a potential expansion of the bearish bias. If NVDA breaks below the support at 173.00, the price could decline further toward the following support at 164.50. Conversely, if NVDA breaches above the resistance at 182.50 and the ascending trendline, the price may advance toward the subsequent resistance at 190.00.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by inkicho_exness
AI Valuation TechnicallyThese are the three largest market-cap listed companies on the Nasdaq. If we are concerned about an AI bubble, I’m going to show you how I perform a quick glance at some top companies and their index to determine the likelihood of an upcoming short-, mid-, or long-term correction. In 2017, Microsoft’s P/E reached its highest at 45 — and it continued to rise after that. In 2023, Nvidia’s P/E reached its highest at 147 — and it continued to rise after that. In 2024, Apple’s P/E reached its highest at 40 — and it continued to rise after that. Video version: Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index Ticker: MNQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by konhow
ORACLE The collapse won't stop here.Oracle (ORCL) has been correcting violently ever since its early September news-related pump that made new All Time Highs (ATH). The correction has already almost reached the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), resembling the technical pull-back of both December 2024 - April 2025 and the 2022 Inflation Crisis. Based on the 1W RSI, we expect Oracle to follow that Bear Cycle and seek its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for Support, which has been he most optimal long-term buy entry of the past 5 years. If this Channel Up holds, this time the bottom should be above the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. Our Target is $170. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:ORCLShort
by TradingShot
2
Is This the Last Dip Before CoreWeave’s Next Leg Up? Fundamental View: CoreWeave (NASDAQ: CRWV) remains one of the most watched AI-infrastructure plays, powering GPU cloud services used by NVIDIA, OpenAI, and multiple large-scale AI firms. Recent billion-dollar expansions with both partners have reinforced its role as a backbone for AI compute, but after a parabolic rally, valuations look stretched — making any retracement zone highly valuable for accumulation. Technical View: Price clearly respected the short-term FVG and swept buyside liquidity at $149.50, closing the weekly candle below it — a classic sign of a liquidity sweep and potential correction. The drop toward $84.55 tagged the sell-side liquidity and entered a major FVG + OTE golden zone (range $93–$65). This aligns with the Fibonacci discount area from the previous impulse move, creating a high-probability reaction zone if bullish confirmation appears in the coming weeks. Outlook: If we see a strong bullish weekly candle from this level, it could signal the last discounted price range before CoreWeave re-enters its expansion phase. However, failure to hold above this golden zone could invite deeper retracement. Patience and confirmation are key before scaling in — this may genuinely be the “last chance to get CoreWeave”, but as always, DYOR and manage risk. ⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational and entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
NASDAQ:CRWVLong
by INSIDER_INTEL
1
BROADCOM 6-year Channel Up in need of a correction.Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) has been trading within a 6-year Channel Up since the start of the COVID crash with the price is currently on its top (Higher Highs trend-line). Our point of interest currently is the 1W RSI Bearish Divergence, being on Lower Highs since September against the price's Higher Highs. This kind of Bearish Divergence that high inside such a long-term pattern is an indication of a potential trend reversal. The last correction (January - March 2025) pulled back all the way to the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) and the one before (January - October 2022) to the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). The former was more aggressive (-44.72% against -38.65%) and faster. Both reached the bottom of the Channel Up. As a result, even a -38.65% correction from the current levels would come very close to the bottom of the pattern by Q3 2026, approaching also the 1W MA200, which fulfils most prior pull-back conditions of the Channel Up. Given this data, our long-term Target on Broadcom from now on is $240. The most optimal buy signal for our next long-term buy will be when the 1W RSI hits its 6-year Support Zone, which happened both on the March 2025 and October 2022 bottoms. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:AVGOShort
by TradingShot
DUOLINGO AI MAXThe recent sentiment for Duolingo has been shaky. Leveraging AI to maximize content output has not exactly translated well for Duolingo. AI content is controversial, and tests lost some accuracy. They also wish extend their reach by offering different subjects now that they believe the content is ready to produce. Is it really necessary or could this be similar to what Meta tried to do when they pushed their Metaverse ambitions? Will mistakes need to be made first before finding something that makes sense? Despite the controversy and upset loyal users, growth companies will behave like visionaries until they are slapped back into reality. According to documents from 2023 to 2025, Duolingo financials show consistent high growth numbers, stable but slightly compressing margins, and rapidly improving profitability. On revenues, the company reports remarkable momentum driven primarily by subscription growth. ~+40% YoY, $754.7 this year so far. User Metrics: MAU = 135.3M, +20% YoY DAU = 50.5M, +36% YoY Paid Users = 11.5M, +34% YoY Margins remain exceptionally high for a software subscription business, showing strong operating leverage, with mild compression due to AI-Driven product investment. Gross Margins: 2025 YTD: 72% 2024: 73% 2023: 73% Duolingo has entered a highly profitable scaling phase. The business is transitioning from growth-mode to cash-generative compounding mode. R&D and G&A is growing slower than revenue. Given rising net income and expanding equity base, ROE is improving materially as operating leverage continues. ROC is surging upwards as the company shifts from R&D heavy to monetization heavy. In other words, low capital requirements and rapidly expanding operating income. An intrinsic value of $260 - $345 aligns with its hard to replicate network effect, high FCF conversion, and growing margins.
NASDAQ:DUOLLong
by SRNceo
1
Weekly QQQ (US100) Outlook - Prediction (09 NOV)Weekly QQQ Outlook - Prediction (09 NOV) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment remains slightly bearish as expectations for a December rate cut may be postponed into 2026. We have seen some sell-offs, likely due to hedging or profit-taking activity. However, the market experienced a healthy bounce last Friday, as anticipated in my previous Daily SPY Outlook on November 7. Today, Trump announced that American citizens, excluding high-income individuals, will receive a $2,000 payment. This news could inject additional liquidity into risk assets, similar to what occurred during his first term. In my opinion, this development may create a short-term bullish narrative for the markets. 📈 Technical Analysis Price retraced throughout the week and reached the 600 level. The 601 zone represents the most discounted range (based on my quarterly range theory, 0.75 fib level), which I consider an optimal buy area. This level also aligns with daily swing liquidity, and the recent reaction suggests a potential move toward new all-time highs. 📌 Game Plan I’m considering two possible scenarios for this week: Scenario 1 (Black Line): In my opinion, the price now has enough momentum to extend higher and create new all-time highs. Therefore, I’ll be watching for a daily close above the 613 level. If confirmed, I plan to buy QQQ calls targeting new highs. Scenario 2 (Red Line): If the price fails to close above 613, it may indicate that more accumulation is needed before another upward move. In that case, I’ll look to short (buy puts) toward the 596 level and observe whether we can bounce from there. Should that happen, I’ll then switch to calls and target higher prices. 💬For detailed insights and broader market context, please check my Substack link in profile. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by UA_CAPITAL
META entering Bear Cycle territory.Meta Platforms (META) has been on a steady decline since its August All Time High (ATH) that is lately accelerating. The reason the breaking below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) last week for the first time since April 2025. That was the time that the market formed the bottom of the Tariff War Crisis. The key characteristic here (and most worrisome) is the Huge Bearish Divergence of the 1W RSI (Lower Highs) against the price's Higher Highs since February 2024. This indicates a loss of strength for the bullish trend and potential reversal. The same kind of RSI Bearish Divergence was seen in 2017 - 2018, leading to the eventual July 2018 market Top and strong multi-month correction to the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level that found Support exactly on the 1W MA250 (red trend-line). Just like then, the stock price has reached now the top of its historic Channel Up, the pattern that has been trading within since its IPO and only broke once marginally at the bottom of the 2022 Inflation Crisis. As a result, given the strong similarities between the two fractals, META may be entering a Bear Cycle (since the 1W MA50 break) that could last for about a year. Our 0.236 Fibonacci Target is $480. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:METAShort
by TradingShot
4
CRWV: price at local support zonePrice has reached a local support area where a potential higher low might start forming. I don’t yet have clarity on the larger-degree structure, but the market’s reaction to earnings on Monday should provide more evidence to work with. Ideally, I’d like to see a move up toward the 145–157 zone, followed by a higher low to establish a new base. Alternatively, if price fails to hold above the 115–130 resistance area, we might be setting up for a move to re-test the September lows. In any case, I’m expecting at least a short-term bounce. Chart:
NASDAQ:CRWV
by artemfedorov
Tech Rally Sputters Ahead of Nvidia Earnings. What to KnowIs the powerful AI sector finally out of breath? With valuations that stretched, some investors fear if we all took it too far. After months of seemingly unstoppable gains, the tech trade is finally showing signs of fatigue. Stocks are back in the red this week, with technology — the sector that’s carried the entire market on its silicon shoulders — leading the declines. The S&P 500 SP:SPX , up more than 35% since its April lows and boasting 36 record closes this year, has been powered almost entirely by a handful of tech heavyweights. The Magnificent Seven now make up nearly 40% of the index’s market value and roughly a third of its earnings. But now, investors are wondering if the rally’s run too far, too fast. The question echoing across trading desks: Is AI finally out of breath? 💸 The Price of Perfection It’s not that tech earnings have been bad — in fact, they’ve been stellar. Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN , Meta NASDAQ:META , and Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOGL all beat expectations last week and promised even more AI spending next year. Translation: more orders for Nvidia’s chips, more data centers, more server farms, more everything. But good news isn’t moving the needle right now. When valuations stretch this far, even “great” can start to look “meh.” Investors are realizing that the higher you climb, the thinner the air gets. The entire AI complex — from semiconductors to cloud computing — now trades at multiples that assume not just perfection, but sustained, exponential perfection. And that’s a tough sell when rates are still relatively high, inflation is sticky, and the Fed remains data-deprived thanks to a looming government shutdown (now the longest in history). 🧠 Nvidia: The Market’s Favorite Crystal Ball Which brings us to Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA — the stock that can save the day. The chipmaker reports fiscal third-quarter earnings on November 19, and it’s shaping up to be a defining moment for the entire market. Expectations are sky-high: analysts see earnings per share of $1.25, up from $0.81 a year ago , and revenue of $54.6 billion, a jaw-dropping 56% increase from last year’s $35 billion. If Nvidia delivers (again), it could reignite the rally and remind investors why they fell in love with AI in the first place. But if there’s even a hint of deceleration — a cautious forecast, a whisper of supply constraints — the selloff could accelerate. Simply put: as goes Nvidia, so goes the market. Fast fact: Nvidia washed out more than $450 billion from its valuation in just the last three days . 🔌 The Waiting Game With two long weeks until Nvidia’s report, traders are stuck in a sort of limbo. Without a fresh catalyst, the market could decide to churn sideways — or drift lower — as profit-takers cash in on their massive gains. The uncertainty isn’t helping either. A government shutdown delays key economic data, leaving the Fed flying in the dark just as investors are trying to gauge when rate cuts might actually arrive. That means more guesswork, less conviction, and a good chance of exaggerated market swings. So don’t be surprised if volatility ticks higher before Nvidia’s big reveal — the gem of the earnings calendar . Off to you : How do you see the next two weeks unfolding? And, more importantly, are you bullish or bearish on Nvidia’s earnings report?
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradingView
18
MICROSOFT may fall to $450 if this Support breaks.Microsoft (MSFT) has been trading within a 4-year Channel Up since the November 22 2021 High. Last week it got rejected exactly on its July 28 2025 Resistance (which was a Higher High for the Channel Up) and formed a Double Top, which continues to decline this week as well. With its 1W RSI also displaying a Bearish Divergence (since the July High) similar to past sell alerts within this Channel Up, it is possible for the stock to correct to at least $450, which represents the 0.5 Fibonacci level where the previous July 2024 - March 2025 correction found Support. That was just above the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which also priced the bottom of the October 31 2022 Low but that correction was -38.69%, considerably stronger that -26.54%, which is also plausible if 2026 is a Bear Cycle. The level that has confirmed those two correction Sell Signals within this Channel Up has been the 1D MA150 (red trend-line). On both occasions, Microsoft closed a 1W candle below the 1D MA150 and confirmed the correction, something that hasn't happened at any other time during these 4 years. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by TradingShot
AMD Trade Setup | AI Leadership + Strong Earnings MomentumAdvanced Micro Devices NASDAQ:AMD remains a key name in the ongoing AI and semiconductor rally. Just ahead of earnings, AMD announced a $1B partnership with the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) (Oct. 27), a major validation of its role in high-performance computing. This bullish development set the stage for strong momentum into the earnings release. 🚀 Earnings Recap: AMD delivered a solid Q3 report with 36% YoY revenue growth, margin expansion, and upbeat guidance. The Client and Data Center segments led the charge, while Embedded was softer. With macro support for semiconductors and increasing AI investment, market sentiment remains bullish. 🔧 Trade Plan: Entry: $224 Take Profit 1: $248 Take Profit 2: $267 Stop Loss: $211
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by Richtv_official
IOT: substantial bullish macro potentialMacro structure shows substantial bullish potential. Price has successfully retested the 2021 ATH area, reacted with a constructive-looking recovery, and is potentially forming a higher low on the weekly timeframe. A successful breakout and follow-through above the May ’24 highs would increase the probability of a new mid- to long-term uptrend developing, with the next key resistance levels at 70 and 100. Failure to confirm a breakout above 42—or alternatively, a breakdown below the 50-day MA—would shift the odds toward a deeper correction into the 30-25 macro support zone. Chart (Daily): Chart (Weekly):
NYSE:IOTLong
by artemfedorov
NVIDIA hit $5 Trillion but the end of the rally may be near.NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) broke this week the $5 Trillion market cap barrier, becoming the first company to do so. In the meantime, it is extending the rally that started on the April 07 Low on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), following the end of the Tariff War. This rally has been nothing more than a part of the larger technical Bullish Leg inside the 10-year Channel Up that NVIDIA has been trading in. Within this pattern, the price has had rather asymmetric Bullish Legs in terms of rise % but has always been rejected at the top of the Channel Up and corrected back to the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Following the mid-Bullish Leg corrections to the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), the final rallies of the Bullish Legs before their Tops have been around +200%. Then their corrections/ Bearish Legs have always hit the 1W MA200 (as mentioned), with one time bottoming just above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level and the other below it (0.5 Fib). We previously had NVIDIA's top at around $240, which is slightly below this expected +200% rise from the 1W MA100 bottom. As a result, we project that a potential contact with the 1W MA200 for the 2026 Bearish Leg can be achieved around $100, which is above the 0.382 Fib, similar to 2018. Note that a very reliable Top indicator has also been the 1M RSI and its 9-year Lower Highs Zone. Every time the RSI entered the Zone and then broke below its MA (yellow trend-line) and rebounded, the next hit was the Bullish Leg's Top. Right now the 1M RSI is about to enter this Zone for the second time, indicating that we may be approaching the end of this long-term rally. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradingShot
6