AAVE local whats next? Total alt-coin leverage wipeout!What a mess Friday turned out to be with a recording breaking liquidation event with the numbers still growing - bigger than FTX!
SUNK COST FALLACY: THE DAMAGE IS DONE, DO NOT PANIC IN AND OUT OF POSITIONS.
So many alt-coins proved there is nothing but thin air holding them up - no real demand whatsoever! I'll take a look at some charts today. Now these wicks can be classed as 'anomalies' in technical analysis but in this case i think we've revealed some of the strong tokens now with real backing.
It is expected that with such large wicks we at least test the centre of the wick on one more terrifying shake-out that isnt actually as bad as the one we just has but feels it because traders and investors are been kicked while their down in a state of panic.
-------------
Price printed a topping wedge, broke down, tested as resistance and dropped. The drop was likely anyway but the extent of systematic failure made it worse.
Aave did not penetrate the lows of the larger range and found support in the High Volume Node all the way back to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and is now back testing the daily 200EMA as resistance.
Wave 2 is likely complete. We probably visit the wick on a scary candle to $209 High Volume Node before finding a bottom for a huge wave 3 of 3 move up to new highs! A likely scenario now that we have shaken out all the weak hands.
These events often mark the bottom. Daily divergence is not oversold or has bullish divergence yet. The macro structure is still in tact!
Safe trading
ALTS
Total2 \ Altcoins The Big picture hasn't spoken yet.
Short term fear and noise cannot overshadow the upward trend in the long term.
The 1M chart still shows a bullish trend.
The 2021 ATH resistance and major supply zone were tested in November 2024 but rejected. Following this rejection, the market entered a broad correction phase.
The subsequent recovery saw the price retest the 2021 ATH level but was rejected once again.
Nevertheless, the retest of the demand zone formed after November 2024 and the EMA20 region indicates that the structure remains strong.
$PEPE: MAJOR HEAD and SHOULDERS BREAKDOWN WARNING.🐸🐸🐸
⚠️⚠️⚠️
Pattern formed, Big Move Ahead?
The weekly chart of #Pepe has confirmed a classic head and shoudlers pattern - a powerful bearish setup.
After over 1.5 years of building this structure, price decisively pierced the neckline with a sharp drop.
Suggesting that a weekly close below the neckline could trigger an accelerative towards the pattern target.
Key Levels
Neckline: $0.0000058599
Target: $0.0000012091
Why does it matter?
Head and shoulders are the most trusted reversal technical patterns. Coupled with declining and weakening sentiment. This pattern warns of more downside--- unless buyers can mount a quick rescue.
What's your strategy?
Are you shorting the breakdown, waiting for the target, or looking for a fake-out reversal?
Drop your thoughts/Analysis or questions in the comments!
SUI Still holding up strong!Price has still not reached the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and appears to have been front run. Wave (4) is intact but no higher high since then is a cause for short-term concern. A triangle could be forming, or an expanded flat correction! Time will tell…
Price is below the weekly pivot, RSI is negative with room to fall and no bullish divergence forming. Further downside brings up the S1 weekly and major High Volume Node support at $1.4-1.6 range.
Wave (5) has a minimum target of the R4 weekly pivot at $13.1.
Safe trading
HBAR Reversal time?My long-term golden pocket target has finally been reached leaving a long lower wick behind as demand soaked up the drop. Price is likely to retrace into the middle of the wick and find its final support if the move was truly the wave 2 bottom!
If we go lower the ‘alt-coin golden pocket’, 0.786, sits at the major High Volume Node support and would be a great buy as well as a good spot to look out for longs.
Weekly RSI has room to fall but bullish divergence is forming!
Wave 3 has a minimum expected target of $0.65 aligning with targets from the standard deviation bands above. Wave 5 has a minimum target of $0.75
Safe trading
FET extreme opportunity zone!NYSE:FET wave IV megaphone pattern is still in play despite the lower low and is invalidated only if we get blow wave II at $0.1685. This is a complex Elliot wave structure where investors and traders get trapped easily!
Weekly RSI now has bullish divergence forming but is not yet confirmed. Price found support at the major High Volume Node and Fibonacci Golden Pocket, a high probability reversal area!
Wave V has an expected target of the R2 weekly pivot at $4.73 but can over-extend in an exuberant market conditions.
Fetch had one of the largest runs last year offering a 56x from a swing below the SD-3 green opportunity band zone. When an asset moves with such momentum to the SD+3 threshold (where it is expected to spend <1% of the time) momentum is found in the opposite direction and gives way to extreme undervaluation! This is were we strike!
Price has now reached the opportunity green band zone once more quickly catching a bid of 20% as of writing. Price is expected to spend <5% of the time in this zone offering investors a short window of opportunity. It can go lower of course but there is a good chance a bottom is formed in this area! I intend to buy here and I am looking out for longs which give me larger position size than buy and hold due to the nature of the risk management.
Price targets for fair value, where we expect price to return to at least, is currently at $0.60. Another irrational alt-season with backed momentum could see a new all time high towards the $5 range and I will take profits at each band threshold along the way!
#OTHERS.D ~ Do you believe in Castles in the SKY?I believe that the Others dominance metric divided by an ounce of real money #Gold gives us a valuable insight into the fabled altseasons.
Because as this chart shows theres only been 4 in actuality
and you normal get a double bubble in a cycle.
So I believe we are at the cusp of turning things around as most people have given up on the concept of altcoins ever pumping again.
But it was just the business cycle #PMI that has depressed prices for the past few years.
ASTER - UPDATE: #aster- update:
Main trend = bearish at the moment 📉
Double bottom possible on the 1.520 - 1.500$ support.
Bull div RSI also spotted.
Short term:
I expect to see spùe bullish reaction here, toward 1.750 - 1.80 or even 1.850$ resistance.
If bears break under 1.50$, that would be pretty bad and further dump toward 1.30$ support could be see. ⚠️
Keep an eye on the upper downtrend H4.
Just before the Altseason.The big picture is becoming clearer in the TOTAL2 and TOTAL3 charts.
The upward trend that began from the 2022 lows has finally reached the critical resistance/supply zone and is gathering strength in this area.
A breakout from this zone and sustained movement above it will trigger a parabolic expansion wave for altcoins.
Trias Token (New, after rebranding) Secondary trend. 10 2025Logarithm. 1-week time frame for trend visibility. Relevant for those trading on DEX exchanges, particularly Uniswap or PancakeSwap. A fractal structure is evident when compared to the entire chart history for this project, before and after the swap (find it yourself and compare).
For the new coin after the swap (the chart I provided here), a descending wedge is forming in the secondary trend (the entire history after the coin swap), and a sideways price movement with reduced volatility has begun. In other words, this is a hypothetical accumulation zone. For money management and risk control, I also showed where the price could theoretically fall (optional). Percentages are provided for clarity, from key support and resistance zones to the main areas of previous consolidation.
A breakout of the wedge (its resistance) — the potential for a sideways move with a wider range, or a transition to the participation phase, where all of the percentages shown (up to 7.32, no higher, and above that, you shouldn't care) are highly likely to be reached (the general market hype and the altseason, which no one believes in anymore, but it's inevitable).
The basis for trading such low-liquidity assets is risk control and diversification of similar assets.
1️⃣ For example, from your total deposit, you allocate 5-10% of your funds to trading such high-risk (low liquidity and lack of top centralized exchanges), but potentially highly volatile, due to low capitalization and liquidity, assets.
2️⃣ Select similar assets for trading - observe 20-50. Observe and study what seems most interesting and promising to you.
The most important things to observe are:
➖ This is the potential future traffic of "dumb money." How much new users are pumping Twitter, Telegram, and other social networks. The size of the crypto community. This is essentially the most important thing. How will these people be steered toward buying low-liquidity cryptocurrency during the alt season, which means a large pump.
➖ Buying volume from time to time during consolidations in the lower price zones.
➖ Declines from the high and the market phase and the corresponding phase of the cycle the coin is in. There are high zones and low zones. You should only be interested in the low zones. Anything that has been pumped up should not interest you.
➖ The project's legend , its imitation, and its support in the community. The project creators' activity.
➖ Chart logic and the overall market phase directly influence the altcoin's price. This is key, but people often forget it. A patient and consistent person will be rewarded; a restless person will not.
3️⃣ Of these coins to watch, you select 10-20 to trade and work with them, distributing your funds among key zones. Don't buy with all your allocated funds, but distribute them among key zones and trading situations (breakouts, declines). This is the key difference between a trader and a mere hamster.
Control your risks and stick to your trading plan. Don't get caught up in market and news noise, which shapes opinions and the illogical actions of the majority, which are doomed to lose in the future.
TOTAL2 - Break Out of Curved Channel Price has been moving up along this channel for awhile now and it is now time to break out of it.
This is the 4Hr chart for the altcoin market. A similar pattern occurred on same chart months ago and the bars pattern (in green) is the result of the curved channel breakout.
Lets see what happens.
Altcoins are heading toward a parabolic phase.Same setup, same chart, different story, different market
Silver laid the foundation for a parabolic run after breaking through a 3.8-year major resistance level.
The altcoin market cap TOTAL3 similarly broke through a 3.8-year major resistance level.
NASDAQ:ALTS \ TVC:SILVER
Altseason 🔃💹
ETC Main Trend. Ascending Channel (all time) 10 2025Time frame: 1 week. Logarithm.
🔵Main trend: ascending, rising channel, since the inception of cryptocurrency.
🟡Secondary trend: descending, transitioning to a sideways trend (#accumulation), and forming a 4.9-year symmetrical triangle.
🟣Local trend: descending, trapped in the corner of a large triangle and “tension” consolidation before exiting.
Manage your risks and stick to your trading plan, don't get caught up in market and news noise, which creates dominant opinions and illogical actions by the majority, who are doomed to lose in the future.
Everything will be as it usually is with assets (stocks, less so cryptocurrencies. These are just a few examples of how these aren't real assets, but imitations of usefulness, i.e., a complete scam market). These assets have maintained an upward primary trend for a long time (from the very beginning), and huge, multi-year patterns form near dynamic support. That is, an upward breakout may initially throw passengers under the market , or some fictitious cryptocurrency events before a price rise (on a large time frame) don't be alarmed; ignore them, or use this opportunity to reduce the average price of the overall position. Or rather, before a dominant trend change, the "point of no return."
A striking example of this is XRP with its huge triangle and its exit (the first wave +600%, which is a capitulation on profits, or, in slang, a "hamster pump"). Then there will be 2-3 waves of price growth pumps, with each consolidation in the trend being "buried" and the cry "all is lost." In the final wave, possibly with spikes as before, a full-fledged #distribution zone will form.
XRP/USD Main Trend 07 2022
The market is simple at its core, but complex due to the interactions between people and their capital. The combination of simplicity and complexity creates many variations that you can exploit to profit from it. Your success and understanding of this determines your profit or loss in speculative markets.
You can complicate things without understanding their simplicity, which looks ridiculous from the outside. Playing smart. Or, conversely, simplifying complex, often false, concepts so that everything becomes clear and understandable. Simplicity is the essence of complexity.
In any activity, you should not pursue complexity to achieve the desired result, but rather simplification and optimization, so that you can achieve the same or better results with less effort and risk.
The entire secondary trend and this triangle with a local denouement zone in it.
Your trading plan and risk management eliminate all worries, indecision, emotional outbursts, predictions, and other people's right and wrong opinions.






















