AUDNZD: Bearish Drop to 1.1710?FX:AUDNZD is eyeing a bearish continuation on the 4-hour chart , with price testing a clear resistance zone near the downward trendline after forming lower highs, converging with a potential entry area that could trigger further downside momentum if sellers defend amid volatility. This setup suggests a solid pullback opportunity toward the lower support zones with more than 1:4 risk-reward overall .🔥
Entry between 1.2046–1.2088 (entry from current price with proper risk management is recommended). Targets at 1.1813 (first), 1.1710 (second). Set a stop loss at a daily close above 1.2130 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:4 overall . Monitor for confirmation via a bearish candle close below entry with rising volume, leveraging the pair’s weakness near resistance.🌟
Fundamentally , AUDNZD is trading around 1.193 in early August 2026.
For the Australian Dollar, one of the most important releases this week (3–9 August) is the Australia Trade Balance , which will provide insight into export strength and overall trade performance.
For the New Zealand Dollar, the key event is the New Zealand Labour Market data (Unemployment Rate and Employment Change for Q2), where weaker results could weigh on NZD and influence the pair’s direction. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Short):
1.2046 – 1.2088
(Entry from current price is acceptable with proper position sizing and disciplined risk management.)
🎯 Targets:
• 1.1813 (First Target)
• 1.1710 (Final Target)
❌ Stop Loss:
• Daily candle close above 1.2130
📈 Risk-to-Reward:
More than 1:4 overall
💡 Will sellers defend the 1.2046–1.2088 resistance zone and drive AUDNZD toward 1.1813 and 1.1710, or will buyers reclaim 1.2130 and invalidate the bearish setup? 👇
Audnzdshort
AUDNZD - 6 point top with heavy resistanceAUDNZD - 6 point top with heavy resistance
Seeing a 6 point top with heavy resistance, and I think it will pull back to 1.20 or lower. The US Dollar has been very strong. Aussie has been extremely strong due to a rate hike speculation. However some questions if it will happen due to oil and mortgage prices.
TVC:DXY
OANDA:AUDNZD
TVC:ZXY
TVC:USOIL
#AUDNZD: One Of The Biggest Swing Sell Incoming! Comment ViewsAUDNZD has been on a strong bullish rally but we could see a sharp price drop in the coming weeks or even days. The AUD is likely to suffer the most as the gold price falls while the NZD is a good time to reverse and start the bullish cycle again. There’s only one selling entry point and a stop-loss for take profits with three targets. You can choose any of the take-profit levels or set your own based on your trade plan. Good luck and trade safely!
Team SetupsFX_
AUDNZD: Up to 800+ Pips Selling Zone, One Not To MissDear fellow traders,
The AUDNZD has been in a strong bullish impulse pattern on the daily timeframe demonstrating bulls’ dominance in this rally. However, over the last week or so, we’ve seen an exhaustion point on the chart. Price has failed to show strong bullish behaviour compared to its previous performance. This suggests bears might take control and ultimately drive the price to our take profit levels. Consider entering at the given selling zone with strict risk management and set your target according to your own risk management strategy.
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The Setupsfx_ Team
AUD/JPY Analysis📊 AUD/JPY Analysis: Bearish Breakdown Loading? 🐻⚠️
The chart shows AUD/JPY (1H) trading inside a well-defined range after a strong bullish trend. Price has repeatedly failed to break above the 112.80 resistance, indicating that buyers are losing momentum.
🔍 Key Technical Outlook
🟨 Range-bound market below major resistance (112.80).
🚫 Multiple rejections from resistance suggest seller dominance.
📦 Price is hovering above the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Order Block, which act as key support.
🔄 A minor bullish pullback is possible before the next impulsive move.
📉 A confirmed break below the FVG (≈112.20) would likely trigger a move into the Order Block (≈112.00).
🎯 Trading Bias
🐻 Bias: Bearish
✅ Sell Zone: Near 112.45–112.55 if rejection appears.
🎯 Target 1: 112.20 (FVG)
🎯 Target 2: 112.00 (Order Block)
🛑 Invalidation: A strong breakout and close above 112.80 would invalidate the bearish scenario and favor further upside.
💡 Conclusion: AUD/JPY is showing signs of distribution beneath a strong resistance level. Unless buyers reclaim 112.80, the probability favors a bearish continuation toward the FVG and Order Block support zones. 📉
AUDNZD H1 | Bearish Reaction Off Pullback ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud.
Sell entry: 1.21876
- Pullback resistance
- 71% Fib retracement
- Fair value gap
Stop Loss: 1.22110
- Swing high resistance
Take Profit: 1.21351
- Swing low support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk), Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
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AUDNZD H1 | Bearish Reaction Off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud.
Sell entry: 1.21885
- Overlap resistance
- 50% Fib retracement
- 61.8% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 1.22055
- Swing high resistance
Take Profit: 1.21639
- Swing low support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk), Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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AUDNZD at PRZ and Yearly Resistance — Watch This CloselyAUDNZD ( FX:AUDNZD ) is currently moving within a heavy resistance zone(1.2524 NZD-1.2120 NZD), near the resistance lines, and the yearly resistance(2), while also being inside the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) .
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears AUDNZD has completed its main wave 5 by the ending diagonal and is now forming a Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5).
I expect AUDNZD, after breaking the support lines, to decline at least toward 1.216 NZD.
First Target: 1.2160 NZD
Second Target: 1.2130 NZD
Stop Loss(SL): 1.2287 NZD
Points may shift as the market evolves
Note: Tomorrow, the key CPIs(AUD) and indices will be released, and upon their publication, we may see heightened volatility in the AUDNZD pair.
What’s your view on AUDNZD?
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Australian Dollar/New Zealand Dollar Analysis (AUDNZD), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
AUDNZD Bearish ContinuationAUDNZD is showing weakness on the 1-hour chart after failing to hold the recent recovery area near 1.2160–1.2170. Price has now moved back below the 0.382 Fibonacci level, which suggests that sellers may continue to control the short-term direction.
My next downside area to watch is around 1.2054. If the bearish momentum continues and this level breaks clearly, I expect price to move towards the 1.2020 zone.
AUD/CAD 4H Market Structure Analysis📊 AUD/CAD 4H Market Structure Analysis
🟢 Bullish Trend Still Intact
The market remains inside a well-respected ascending channel, showing a clear series of higher highs and higher lows (HH-HL). Overall structure favors buyers as long as price stays above the marked support zone.
🔍 Key Observations
✅ Strong bullish market structure after breaking previous resistance (BOS).
✅ Price is currently pulling back into a confluence area:
Channel support 📈
Horizontal support zone 🛡️
Previous demand area 💰
✅ Equal Lows (EQL) remain below current price and could act as liquidity if support fails.
🎯 Trading Outlook
🟢 Bullish Scenario
Hold above support around 0.9880–0.9890
Buyers step in and defend the channel
Price targets the upper channel resistance
🎯 TP1: 0.9980 – 1.0000
🔴 Bearish Scenario
Clean break below support and channel structure
Possible liquidity sweep toward the EQL zone
Deeper retracement before continuation
💡 Professional Conclusion
📌 Bias: Bullish
The current pullback appears corrective rather than bearish. The support confluence inside the ascending channel provides a favorable area for buyers. A strong bullish reaction from this zone could drive AUD/CAD toward the next resistance near 1.0000.
🚀 Market Sentiment: Moderately Bullish
🛡️ Invalidation: Sustained close below support & channel base
🎯 Primary Target: 0.9980 – 1.0000
AUD/NZD Bearish BreakdownBased on the chart shown (AUD/NZD Daily with Ichimoku Cloud), here's a technical breakdown.
Market Structure
The broader trend is still bullish because price has been making higher highs and higher lows for several months.
However, the recent consolidation near 1.2200–1.2250 looks like a distribution/range after a strong rally.
Price has broken below the ascending trendline you drew and is testing the top of the Ichimoku cloud.
Ichimoku Analysis
Bearish signs
Price is entering the cloud after trading above it.
The trendline support has been violated.
Recent candles show strong rejection from the highs around 1.2250–1.2280.
Bullish signs
Price is still near the upper portion of the cloud.
The cloud ahead appears relatively thick, which may provide support.
The long-term structure remains bullish until the cloud is decisively broken.
Key Levels
Resistance
1.2200–1.2230
1.2260–1.2280 (range high)
Support
1.2050–1.2100 (cloud support area)
1.1950–1.2000 (major swing support)
1.1800–1.1850 (larger measured-move target)
Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability from Current Setup)
If price retests the broken trendline and fails:
First target: 1.2050
Second target: 1.1950
Extended target: 1.1800–1.1850
This aligns closely with the "Final target" area you marked on the chart.
AUD/NZD looks VERY interesting here This pair has been respecting the same rising channel for weeks now, and once again price is testing the upper resistance zone while RSI is entering overbought territory 📈
Every previous touch of this area led to a strong rejection — and if history repeats itself again, we could be looking at a very clean downside move.
The risk-to-reward potential on this setup is honestly beautiful.
📉 Possible downside targets:
1.22390
1.22154
1.21975
1.21773
The market has already made a massive push upward without much pullback, which increases the chance of profit-taking and short-term reversal.
AUDNZD Sell Trading Opportunity SpottedH1 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Expecting pullback and bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
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AUDNZD SELL SIGNALThis signal is based solely on bearish divergence as the RSI is signaling a divergence while market price is weakening at the resistance. we see price currently trading below the 24 EMA and the a bearish engulfing candle is seen at the break of the trendline or channel support which signals that sellers are ready to see
AUDNZD M30 | Bearish Reaction Off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud.
Sell entry: 1.21916
- Pullback resistance
- 50% Fib retracement
- 100% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 1.22083
- Swing high resistance
Take Profit: 1.21714
- Swing low support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk), Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
AUDNZD H1 | Bearish Reaction Off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud.
Sell entry: 1.21591
- Overlap resistance
- 78.6% Fib retracement
- 100% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 1.21805
- Pullback resistance
Take Profit: 1.21298
- Swing low support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk), Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
AUDNZD H1 | Bearish Reaction Off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud.
Sell entry: 1.21804
- Pullback resistance
- 61.8% Fib retracement
- 78.6% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 1.22108
- Swing high resistance
Take Profit: 1.21410
- Swing low support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk), Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
AUDNZD H1 | Bearish Reaction Off Pullback ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud.
Sell entry: 1.21956
- Pullback resistance
- 61.8% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 1.22209
- Swing high resistance
Take Profit: 1.21602
- Swing low support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk), Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
AUD/USD 4H 📊 AUD/USD 4H Technical Outlook — Bullish Structure with Pullback Opportunity
The chart of AUD/USD on the 4-hour timeframe shows a constructive bullish market structure, currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel.
🧭 Market Structure Breakdown
🔄 Change of Character (ChoCH): Price previously flipped bullish after breaking above prior resistance, signaling a shift in momentum.
📈 Break of Structure (BoS): Higher highs and higher lows confirm continuation of the uptrend.
📉 Previous Downtrend Base: The strong low formation created a solid demand foundation before the rally.
📐 Channel Dynamics
🔵 Bullish Channel: Price is respecting both ascending support and resistance trendlines.
📍 Current Position: Price is sitting near channel support, aligning with a demand zone (highlighted area).
This zone acts as a potential accumulation area for buyers.
🎯 Trade Idea & Scenario
🟢 Bullish Bias: As long as price holds above the support zone and channel base:
Expect a bounce toward channel resistance
Potential continuation toward the 0.7300–0.7350 region
📌 Entry Zone: Around the highlighted demand area (~0.7130–0.7150)
🚀 Target (TP): Near upper channel boundary
⛔ Invalidation: A clean break below the support zone could weaken the bullish structure
⚠️ Risk Factors
False Breakouts: Watch for liquidity sweeps below support before continuation
Macro Drivers: USD strength (e.g., rate expectations) could pressure the pair
Momentum Slowdown: Consolidation near resistance may delay breakout
🧠 Pro Insight
This setup reflects a classic trend continuation model:
Pullback → Support Reaction → Trend Resumption
Patience is key — confirmation (bullish candle structure, rejection wicks) at support will improve trade quality.






















