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ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. 1692.43 BPC 6.6© Bolzen | The Architect | BPC Framework Bolzen Market Institute 🏷 ETH — Price Slice. Capital Sector. Publication date on TradingView: 12.02.2026 🏷 1692.43 — at the time of publication, the price had not been reached. 🏷 BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant — Strength Index: 6.6 The energy block reflects the intentions of capital. The direction of capital flow is determined dynamically. The key mechanism of liquidations lies in the tendency of price to gravitate toward areas where real participants of the system are concentrated — regardless of whether they are in longs or shorts. Such zones represent areas of asymmetric advantage: when the price approaches them, some participants are forced to close positions at a loss, others lock in profits, and a third group (institutional players) uses this flow to enter in the direction of the next concentration zone. Institutional players generate energy blocks through miners. Subsequently, these energy blocks form the range of capital movement across various timeframes for exchange speculators. However, the ultimate goal in ensuring liquidity is to reach the energy block mark. The results are presented in the dashboard for the international arena. It is necessary to manually determine, without third-party software, the direction of the impact node and the concentration of real system participants. This is achieved through high cognitive and intellectual effort — without templates and solely through pure chart analysis. Three-dimensional analytics is intellectual property. The methodology is closed and does not require evaluation from the standpoint of the old world. We offer the ability to think but do not provide trading recommendations and are not educators. We thank you and regard TradingView as an impartial platform for demonstrating the transition into a new analytical reality. Quantum structure of obligations and capital movement in price formation within energy blocks. 🏷 Vertical chart — Energy Grid Dashboard. 🏷 Static tape No. 1: The price is published according to the production order of the energy block. 🏷 The energy block price is already ordered — not by time but by the priority of block execution. It is important not to confuse: block priorities dynamically reorganize in response to hidden energetic impulses, while the execution order of prices fixes their manifestation in the market. Each price in the dynamic tape is linked to energy production measurement indicators, unavailable to the general public. Those who see the structure before its manifestation do not follow the price — they anticipate it. EΞ2Φ8Ψ45Θ·ζ⁻¹·106Λ732·Ω² 📎 Screenshot: 🏷 When trading from levels, use liquidation zones from BPC 10 and higher. 🏷 Bolzen Liquidity Map — ETH (numerical equivalent of the map): Updated versions of the Bolzen Liquidity Map — ETH are in restricted access. The permanent Energy Grid Dashboard for ETH and BTC is publicly available and intended for international institutional review. Dear international community, I thank the TradingView moderation for their neutrality and support of analytical work on a global scale, as well as everyone who follows my research. This platform serves as a space to demonstrate the contribution to analytical development. Attention and time are your key resources. ATH — is emotion; timeframes — are your best allies. Thank you. — The Architect BPC — The Bolzen Price Covenant
Short
by Bolzen_Market_Institute
1
Bitcoin Bear Flag Breakdown in Play - Target $74k - $75kAnd this chart of Bitcoin we see the Bear Flag pattern playing out as forecast by the Red zigzag line a few weeks ago. Price pushed up directly into the Red Cell Zone which are just visualizations of limit sell orders on the order books. Similarly, there are strong limit buy orders in the buy support green zone below around 84 to 85k. But based on my prior study of the macro Head and Shoulders that likely will play out, even if we get it bounce here I do believe we will roll over and take out the buy support Zone below us and complete the Bear Flag measured move target down to 74k to 75k. This will likely be the bottom, as Bitcoin is never gone below the price it was when a new incoming president won an election. 74k was a prior resistance level flipped as support and I expected to hold. If it doesn't, then likely Bitcoin can head to 62k which would be the measured move on the macro Head and Shoulders in the prior study here. In the meantime, lots of uncertainty in the markets, that could drive prices either way in the short term. Today we have FOMC and although there is a 97% chance they do not cut rates, Powell's comments will be important and may move the markets depending on how hawkish or doveish he sounds. With war tensions in the Middle East and Iran's escalatory language, Market participants are staying out as they don't like uncertainty. On the other hand, hearing rumors that the US is buying Japanese yen to help prop up their currency and potentially start the money printer which would be bullish. The DXY is also heading down, and if it breaks the 95 level then typically we enter another bullish phase as we saw in 2021. Let me know your thoughts!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by BrettFogle
7
GOLD Price Update – Clean & Clear ExplanationGold reflects a period of tight consolidation following a prior directional move. Price action is compressed within a narrow range, suggesting temporary balance between buyers and sellers. Candles show relatively small bodies with limited follow-through, indicating reduced momentum and hesitation in the market. Despite the lack of strong directional conviction, volatility remains present, as seen in intermittent wicks that test both the upper and lower boundaries of the range. This behavior points to active participation around key intraday levels, where liquidity is being absorbed rather than aggressively pushed. Overall, the chart structure suggests a pause or accumulation phase, often preceding a potential breakout or breakdown. Traders would likely be watching for a decisive close outside the current range, accompanied by increased volume, to confirm the next directional move. “If you come across this post, please like, comment, and share. Thanks!”
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Pintu_sahu01
14
TMF is what kicks in when stagflation become maket panicsToday in a non correlation test on February 12th 2026 TREASURIES officially resumed the uptrend in a cyclical down channel, expect a few weeks of turnaround and repricing for this, as the general inflation effect is still in the background but not taking hold during a drawdown. To the great relief of the economy, people still flee to USD. You can benefit from this volatility with a 3x leveraged bull treasuries ETF, the compounding losses effect is minimized compared to TQQQ because of the general bull trend, but after many months of correlation with equities and getting hammered along with them on down days, today stood out as a test of the mighty dollar in a panic (TMF surging). People don't know where else to flee to, now that gld/slv materials are a 'risk on' asset! not financial advice just engineering speculation
AMEX:TMFLong
by MikaelZg
EURUSD Price Update – Clean & Clear ExplanationEUR/USD is trading within a short-term bullish structure on the 30-minute timeframe, supported by a well-respected ascending trendline that has guided price higher over the past sessions. After a strong impulsive rally, the pair entered a consolidation phase, forming higher lows while gradually pushing toward the 1.1920 resistance area. Price is currently hovering just below a key supply zone near 1.1935–1.1940, where previous selling pressure emerged. A clean breakout and sustained move above this region could open the door for further upside continuation, extending the bullish momentum. However, if the pair fails to break higher, a corrective pullback remains likely. Initial support is seen around 1.1890–1.1900, aligning with the rising trendline. A deeper retracement could target the 1.1860 level, with stronger support resting near 1.1820. Overall, the bias remains cautiously bullish while price holds above the ascending trendline, but rejection from resistance could trigger a short-term correction before the next directional move. “If you come across this post, please like, comment, and share. Thanks!”
Short
by Pintu_sahu01
28
Russia Returns to the U.S. Dollar - Gold PlungesRussia is moving back toward the U.S. dollar in a development that has shaken global markets within minutes of the announcement. According to an internal document, the Kremlin is prepared to re-engage broadly with the dollar in international transactions. The document indicates that Russia is seeking renewed cooperation with the United States across several sectors, particularly in fossil fuels. This shift comes amid intensified pressure from President Trump on countries purchasing Russian oil, significantly increasing the geopolitical and economic stakes. The market reaction was immediate and severe. Gold prices collapsed by more than $150 in less than ten minutes following the news. Oil prices also declined sharply, falling nearly $2 on the day. Prior to the announcement, gold had been trading in a consolidation range around $5,070. As of February 12 at 11:30 AM EST, gold was trading near $4,940 and continued sliding sharply, briefly reaching $4,878 in the aftermath of the news. The abrupt move highlights the sensitivity of precious metals to geopolitical realignments and currency shifts, particularly when involving major global powers such as Russia and the United States.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by World-Signals
(AAV)Fast Bounce Setup | Price:$ 11.11→ Target:$11.66(+ 5 %)⚡📊 AAV – Pullback at Trendline with Strong Fundamentals 📊⚡ AAV continues to look interesting both fundamentally and technically 👀📈. 📰💰 Fundamental Outlook Revenue forecasts remain very positive for the coming years 🚀, and the company maintains solid fundamentals, providing a strong long-term backdrop 🧱✅. 📉📊 Momentum Check (RSI) On the daily timeframe, RSI recently pulled back from the oversold area, moving from around 34 to 39 over the past week 🔄📈. This signals improving momentum after a cooldown phase. 📐📍 Price Action Perspective From a price action angle, the $11 zone is acting as a key pullback area 🧲. Price has once again touched the ascending trendline, showing respect for structure 📈✍️. ✅📉 Technical Confirmation This pullback is supported by RSI confirmation on the daily chart, increasing the probability of a potential bounce from this zone ⚡🎯. ⚠️📌 Note This looks like a technical pullback within structure, not a breakdown.
TSX:AAVLong
by ali-lavin
1
The value of the Option Open Interest Heatmap in futures tradingThe Option Open Interest Heatmap provided by CME is a free tool often underestimated by traders. Yet it offers a clear reading of the structural forces that influence the behaviour of the underlying, whether in FX, indices, commodities, or rates. Unlike a traditional view focused on price action and volume, the options heatmap immediately shows where open positions are concentrated at each strike and each expiry. It gives shape and depth to the influence of options on the dynamics of the underlying contract. For a trader who deals exclusively in the underlying but wants to understand what truly drives accelerations, slowdowns, or reversals, this tool is an important source of information. Option Open Interest: a risk map rather than a directional signal Option open interest measures the total number of outstanding contracts, broken down by strike and maturity. It is not a directional indicator in the usual sense but a map of risk, hedging activity, and speculative bets that institutional players are taking at various price levels. A simple list of numbers would not capture these interactions. The heatmap, however, provides an immediate view of position density. The most heavily loaded areas stand out and reveal where market forces are concentrated. For a trader, this representation acts as an atlas of zones likely to influence the path of the underlying, often more deeply and mechanically than simple technical support and resistance. Why options OI directly shapes the behaviour of the underlying The value for a futures trader does not stem from any intention to trade options, but from the need to understand the behaviours induced by these positions. When a strike accumulates a large volume of puts or calls, it often becomes a natural magnet for the underlying. As expiry approaches, the hedging adjustments that dealers must carry out push prices toward that zone: this is the pinning phenomenon. Conversely, if price breaks through a particularly dense cluster, the reaction can be much more explosive. Moving past a strike loaded with options abruptly changes dealers’ risk structure, triggering mechanical buying or selling flows on the underlying contract. The trader who does not follow the heatmap can be unsettled by these sharp moves. The one who does immediately understands that these moves are structural adjustments often invisible on a simple price chart. Since many market movements originate from these clusters, the heatmap also makes it possible to compare risk distribution across expiries, revealing areas of immediate tension in near-term maturities or more strategic stakes in longer maturities. A practical tool for futures traders: working zones, scenarios, and gamma structure For a futures trader, the heatmap leads to concrete decisions. It helps identify zones where institutions have strong incentives, and therefore the levels where the market tends to stall, or on the contrary, zones where it is likely to accelerate. It improves scenario evaluation: gradual stabilisation around a heavily loaded strike, a targeted test of a cluster-defined level, or tensions arising in an area where near-spot options generate negative gamma. Gamma influence is central here. When near-spot options contain a large share of open interest, dealer positioning partly shapes the market environment. A dealer who is long gamma (buyer of options) tends to stabilise prices and reduce volatility. A dealer who is short gamma, by contrast, amplifies moves in both directions to meet hedging needs. The heatmap therefore becomes indispensable for identifying zones where these constraints may alter the dynamics of the underlying, and for distinguishing purely technical moves from structural ones. Final Thoughts: an essential and complementary structural dimension The Option Open Interest Heatmap is not meant to replace a trader’s classic analytical tools, but it enriches analysis by highlighting forces that are invisible on a simple price chart. It helps anticipate slowdown zones, inflection points, pinning risks, or accelerations triggered by the unwinding of an options cluster. Altogether, these elements allow the trader to approach the market with a more complete understanding of the forces at play. By integrating this map of options positioning into the analytical process, the trader gains a much clearer view of probable scenarios and significantly strengthens decision-making. Understanding the influence of options on the underlying is not marginal: it is often a decisive factor in reading the market correctly and improving trading quality. --- When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: tradingview.com/cme/ . This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME:6EH2026Education
by satelysfx
Major Market Crash Warning! Not if, It's when?⚠️ High Probability of a Major Market Crash in 2026 — It’s Not “If”, It’s “When” Global markets are currently priced for a soft landing that history rarely delivers. Beneath the surface, multiple structural risks are converging — risks that have historically preceded major market drawdowns, recessions, and volatility expansions. This isn’t greed or fear — it’s risk math and leverage dynamics. 📉 Where Markets Sit Right Now S&P 500 (SPX500): ~ 6,950 (still extended above long-term value) Nasdaq 100 (NDX): ~ 25,000 (strong tech bias, highly leveraged) Bitcoin (BTC): Weak structure after failed rallies These levels are high compared to historic norms, and technical support zones have already been breached in many risk assets. 📊 Projected Drawdown Scenarios (Macro + Technical Alignment) Based on leverage unwind risk and prior market breakdowns: S&P 500 (SPX500): ⬇️ 30–60% drawdown Targets: 4,300 → 3,800 → 3,200–2,800 Nasdaq 100 (NDX): ⬇️ 40–60% drawdown Targets: 15,300 → 13,000 → 11,000–10,500 Bitcoin (BTC): ⬇️ $40,000–$50,000 Major liquidity zones expected near $50k and below These are not random — they align with known value nodes, historical liquidity zones, and deleverage pressure points. 📌 Key Technical Levels to Watch 🔴 S&P 500 (SPX500) Resistance: 7,400–7,500 Breaking down: below 6,500 Acceleration: below 6,200 Crash magnets: 4,300 3,800 ~2,800 Breakdown below 6,500 would trigger major systematic selling. 🔴 Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Resistance: 26,800–27,200 Breakdown: below 24,500 Acceleration: below 22,000 Crash magnets: 15,300 13,000 11,000–10,500 Tech leads both up and down — leverage risk is highest here. 🔴 Bitcoin (BTC) Resistance: 70k–73k Breakdown: below 60k Acceleration: below 55k Crash magnets: $50k $45k $40k BTC remains risk-on, not safe haven, especially during systemic risk. 💣 The Real Risk — Carry Trades & Leverage Unwind Over the past decade, markets have been supported by: Cheap funding Carry trades (FX-based, rates-based) Derivatives leverage Systematic strategies like CTAs and risk parity These only work if: Volatility stays suppressed Liquidity remains abundant Once one of those breaks — which it has — the unwind becomes mechanical, not discretionary. 🧠 The Fed Is Trapped — Every Path Hurts Markets 🔻 If the Fed cuts rates: Signals economic stress Undermines bond confidence Can worsen currency volatility Raises real inflation risk 🔺 If rates stay high: Debt servicing costs soar Credit conditions tighten Defaults increase Equity valuations compress Either outcome increases risk assets’ downside. 💳 Debt at Record Levels = Fragile Structure Governments, corporations, and consumers are highly leveraged. High debt + high rates = fragility, not resurgence. That’s why risk assets get hit on the way down, not the way up. ⏳ Why De-Risking Before April Matters April tends to coincide with: Liquidity regime shifts Earnings reality replacing optimism Volatility normalization Macro data catching up with price Once a drawdown starts, prices rarely stop cleanly — they overshoot liquidity clusters before forming a base. 🛡️ Capital Preservation Strategy This is not about perfect timing — it’s about protecting capital. Consider: Reducing leverage Raising cash Hedging key exposures Shorting rallies inside a downtrend Avoiding emotional “hope trades” You can always re-enter once direction becomes clearer. 🧭 Final Takeaway CAPE extremes currently sitting at 40.8 second highest in the last 150 years! High leverage, tight liquidity, and structural macro risks are not bullish. This setup mirrors prior pre-crash environments — 1929, 2000, 2008 — not coincidences, but patterns. 📌 This is not a matter of if, but when. 📌 This is not a prediction — it’s a risk framework. Protect capital first. Opportunity comes after the unwind.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by dginvestorscircle
FVRR - Is this the Ultimate Bottom?This is my favorite setup - an undervalued name that has been getting flushed for the past 2+ years and is trending lower in a HTF strong selling algorithm. However, the key for this setup is the teal (blue) taper that we see being activated: First on the sell-side with the teal taper hold in April 2024. Second with the fake break of red in June 2025 where we again confirmed teal is trying to take control. Now , as of yesterday, we have tapped and held the bottom of teal, which, if proven against red, will allow for a true breakout out of red selling and therefore confirm the start of a reversal attempt. To be clear, buying here at the bottom of teal is a risky play. Yes, it can be the bottom - but we have not yet disproven red and can therefore still reject and continue lower. However, I do believe we see a bounce here toward red in the $19-$20 area, after which we can get a much clearer picture and more confirmation for a true HTF turnaround. Happy Trading :)
NYSE:FVRRLong
by ReigningTrades
The 3 Biggest Mistakes New Crypto Traders Make & How AI FixesThe 90% Rule There is a brutal statistic in crypto: 90% of traders lose 90% of their money in the first 90 days. Why? Is the market rigged? Are they stupid? No. They simply fall into the same three psychological traps that have destroyed portfolios for decades. I used to be one of them. I blew my first two accounts making these exact mistakes. But recently, I started using Fortune AI signals to "check" my decisions, and the difference has been night and day. Here are the 3 mistakes killing your gains—and how AI solves them. Mistake #1: Revenge Trading (The "Get It Back" Trap) The Scenario: You take a loss. Maybe you lost $50. You feel angry. You think, "I need to make that $50 back NOW." So you immediately enter a new trade with bigger leverage and zero setup. The Result: You lose $200. How AI Fixes It: An AI bot doesn't have an ego. It doesn't care if it lost the last trade. It doesn't feel "angry." If the market conditions aren't perfect, Fortune AI stays silent. It forces you to wait for a high-probability setup, preventing you from spiraling into a loss streak. Rule: AI waits for math, not revenge. Mistake #2: The "Hopium" Hold (Refusing to Cut Losses) The Scenario: You buy a coin at $1.00. It drops to $0.90. You say, "It'll come back." It drops to $0.80. You say, "I'm a long-term investor now." It drops to $0.50. You are liquidated. The Result: A small, manageable loss becomes a portfolio-ending disaster. How AI Fixes It: Fortune AI signals always come with a predefined Stop Loss (SL) level. The Signal: BUY at $1.00. SL at $0.95. The Execution: If the price hits $0.95, the signal says EXIT. No questions asked. By strictly following the AI's risk parameters, you take small "paper cuts" instead of fatal wounds. Mistake #3: Over-Trading (The Boredom Killer) The Scenario: The market is boring. Bitcoin hasn't moved in 4 hours. You want "action," so you start scalping 1-minute candles on a random altcoin just to feel something. The Result: You get chopped up by fees and volatility. How AI Fixes It: Humans get bored; algorithms don't. Fortune AI can scan 50+ charts simultaneously, 24/7, without getting tired or bored. It filters out the "noise" and only alerts you when a genuine opportunity appears. If there is no trade, there is no signal. It saves you from yourself. The Solution: Outsource Your Discipline You don't need to be a robot to trade successfully—you just need to listen to one. By using an AI signal tool like Fortune AI, you essentially hire a professional risk manager to watch over your shoulder. You still press the buttons, but you stop making the emotional errors that wreck 90% of traders. Stop trading with your heart. Start trading with data.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by FortuneAI
Throw out (almost) everything you know about how I trade.Chances are, virtually the only people who will see this idea are followers of mine. And that is just fine with me. You deserve this more than anyone else. But I have to warn those of you who have been following me for a long time - this is NOT my normal trading style. So make sure you are sitting down for this one. I won't bore you with the details, but I had a little epiphany late last week by accident. I decided to look at a common situation I trade from a different perspective. And when I did, this popped out. It violates a lot of the "rules" I have been using for almost my entire trading career, spanning longer than some of you reading this have probably been alive. To that end, this tiger does not change his stripes unless he has a very, VERY good reason to. And I do. Today I will be proposing a trade with several features previously unknown in my 170+ ideas I've posted here. I will not be "buying the dip" - CNTX is in a very strong uptrend right now. I WILL be using a profit target. I will not be avoiding lesser known stocks in a sector I heretofore almost never traded (pre-revenue pharma). I will, however, still not use a safety net (no stop loss) and until the day I die, I will take my money and run. The easiest money you will ever make in the market is the money you don't lose and have to make back. Never forget that. So here are the details of the trade. First, do not think this is some crazy shotgun idea. I have backtested this over 2000 trades in various stocks in various sectors over the weekend. While you were watching the Super Bowl, I was half watching and half backtesting. The results have been nothing short of stellar. The win rate on these trades is over 98%. 2/3 of the trades have closed on the same day and 75% within the first 2 trading days. About 88% of them close profitably within a week. In total, the trades averaged about .25% per lot per day held, which works out to an average annualized return for these trades of +65%. But that's not the best part. When I backtest a new strategy, the FIRST place I go is to downtrends and bad stocks. And when I say bad, I mean BAD. The results mentioned above were on stocks where the median return during the backtest period was -84%. That's right. A win rate of 98% and an average daily return of about 6x the long term average daily return of the S&P 500 on stocks that were by and large down and down HARD. I do this because my prime directive in trading is to not lose money. That's more important than how much I make. I am very conservative in that regard. I want what I do to hold up no matter how bad things get, so I backtest those scenarios first. That, in fact, is what attracted me most to this strategy. The ability to win while the stock is losing. It kept me from piling on lots while the stock was falling, while taking high percentage shots when the opportunity presented itself. The max number of lots I accumulated on ANY of the stocks over a 2 year backtest span (during which 5 of the stocks fell OVER 99%) was 5. the average was 3. Most of the time, only 1 or 2 lots were open. That is a HUGE deal. It reduces portfolio drawdown in bad times and frees up more cash that can be used on other stocks to diversify holdings. I won't repeat the stats for CNTX in particular, since they are in the text box on the chart, but I will say that these CNTX results are well above average compared to the results mentioned earlier. They were not even part of the backtest results mentioned earlier because they don't cover the same time frame. I did that because CNTX actually had a run of +130% or so going into this chart view shown here that would have inflated my results and I didn't want that. I wanted results that show what this does in tough times. If this good trend continues, then the trade will just pay faster. Now here is the last twist compared to my usual trading method. Ordinarily, I enter the trade at the close of the signal day. With this, I enter at the open of the following trading session. I would NOT enter early. Often in situations like this, there will be a gap down overnight and that will make it MUCH harder to hit the profit target. If it opens lower, that does not usually matter in terms of reaching the TP target if entering at the open. If it gaps higher overnight, that doesn't stop me either. The key is to get a sell order in quickly after entry. This morning, I literally had one of these trades blow through my profit target faster than I could get my sell limit order done. I ended up just using a market order and getting more than I was looking for anyway. That round trip took, and I am not exaggerating a bit here, 39 seconds. If I could have typed faster and gotten the order in sooner, it would have taken even less time. I don't think that's typical, but I had 2 of them in and out in under 90 seconds today for gains of 4 and 6 percent. There is a "dark" side here too, and I would be remiss not to share that as well. These trades are in stocks that are volatile. That is 100% by design. My goal is to take advantage of the upside volatility they provide in a particular setup. Two days ago, I traded SMX. That stock was down 20% within minutes of my entry. It bottomed at -24% on the VERY FIRST DAY I had it, though it recovered quite a bit by the close. The next day, I was out with my money. It ran up over 30% from the open the next day and completed a trough to peak move of almost 60% in less than a full trading day's worth of time. This is not for the faint of heart. Also, this system is prone to some WICKED drawdowns on individual lots. While the win rate is north of 98%, EVERY stock I backtested would have had at least one of my lots hit a bottom of at LEAST -46% and some were upwards of -90%. I am (sort of) fine with that, because a) I'm not carrying a huge position since I'm maxing out at only a few lots and b) the vast majority of those trades eventually turned around and became profitable. Knowing that is part of the deal (something I am already very familiar with) makes that easier to handle, though it's never enjoyable. So if you do follow me on this trade, beware. This isn't a free money glitch. There is always risk, but in my opinion the rewards are VASTLY greater or I wouldn't be pulling the trigger. I have also tried to stack the deck a little here by choosing a stock that is above its 20, 50 and 200 day MAs. Those tend to carry MUCH less risk and pay faster and better than the ones my backtests were based on - unless you catch a top. That is always a risk. Finally, while it may seem like options would be a great way to trade a system where 80+% of trades close in a week or less, you can always run into a situation where you catch a top. It happens here frequently enough that I'll stick to the stock for these kind of trades, thank you. Also, putting ones chips "all in" on what seems like a sure thing always seems like a good idea until that "sure thing" turns out not to be. Restraint keeps you in the game for the long haul. Trying to get rich quick puts you in a position to get poor quick. I don't have any interest in that. Nobody should. Making lost money back is WAY harder than not losing it to begin with. So the trade is this: LONG CNTX at the open (I'll update what that entry price is after the open). My TP goal on this one is +5% so as soon as it opens, I will calculate what 5% above that price is and place my sell limit order. Unless, of course, it runs away to the upside on me again and I just hit the market sell order and get more than the 5% I'm looking for. That is stressful, but obviously welcomed. The option to enter a OTO order would be nice, but I don't have that luxury. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. Do your own research and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
NASDAQ:CNTXLong
by redwingcoach
7
The Right Bitcoin ChannelHello TV Community, I am back with this and more insightful charts coming soon. This chart was first published back in 2020 (linked below) and this is an update to BTC's trajectory over the past few years. This chart demonstrates that BTC's price action has been steadily following the mid 50% of my "right" channel (see idea linked below to understand what I mean by "right channel"). The last time BTC's price broke out of the mid 50% range was back in December 2017's high. The most up to date volume profile indicates that the majority of the trading volume was pre-2017. The MACD indicator is a great example of BTC's highly volatillity since the Dec 2017 high. If BTC's price breaks into the bottom 25% of the channel, I would expect a touch of the lower end of this channel. If the price bounces off the lower end of the mid 50% of this channel, we can expect higher highs in the not too distant future. 'Til next time. __________________________________ I let my charts do the talkin'.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by PurpleCrypto