Beyond Technical Analysis
CRUDE OIlDO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
BITCOINLook, I feel that a good moment is going to come very soon in the price of this Bitcoin because I have analyzed it in such a way that the market is completely in trend now, but as you all are seeing and you all are also getting to know from the news that a lot of news comes in the market, both fake and real, but if you have to move ahead by predicting the market and not by the market news, then you should trade carefully and well and you will have to do it, only then you will remain a successful trader and investor throughout your life. 🙂😉😊
EURUSDDO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
BTCDO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
GOLDDO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
NASDAQDO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
Gold Setup Is TOO CLEAN to Ignore — Bulls in Control!In my view, Gold currently presents one of the cleanest technical structures across the entire market. Ideally, I would like to see a downside manipulation first, followed by a continuation move toward the 4110 area to sweep internal buy-side liquidity. Only after that, a potential retracement toward the 3900 zone becomes reasonable. Any bearish movement that occurs without first taking buy-side liquidity does not align with my plan, and in that case, I will not consider opening any short positions.
Like and follow if you wanna see more analysis like this!
BABA Winds Have Shifted - Macro EntryAs always, I try not to publish trades without having a big view of multiple factors so this one is based on a long term view over the next 1-2 years.
Macro: I have outlined China's Central Bank (PBoC) liquidity injections (through reverse repo and MLF data) as very seasonal at the bottom pane on the chart. I do NOT believe history or seasonals should dictate future action but it is worth noting the seasonal nature of the PBoC liquidity injections and we are seeing an early rise in total and frequency since June. In fact, a recent print on 8/15 was the biggest spike since the height of 2023. China is also coming out of the rough no tolorence policy during the "pandemic" so some of their stocks are poised for major breakouts. That said, the U.S. M2 money supply is breaking out of a range with global liquidity on the rise heading into central bank easing around the world. No doubt we have some volatility in global liquidity ahead (US debt ceiling to name one) but the general trend is up and to the right over the next 2 years once we get through the vol.
Price Action: As I mentioned, the price of this stock has been on a downward trend since Fed Funds rates started moving up in 2021 and has completed the bearish bat making 3 consecutive higher highs since the low in 2023. Looking at Fibonacci the targets are clear but for target 2 I am looking at the massive gap from end of 2021. My first exit before the stop loss would be losing any of the recent higher highs and the S/L is set to under the 2023 low. However, I would rely on the macro section more than price action for the exit.
Timeline: I am a 3 month to many year investor not a day trader so this is one I will layer in and buy dips for the next few months. I did take a 5% position at the entry point noted. I do think the next 2-3 years will be net positive for liquidity and assets.
Thanks
NZDCADHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on NZDCAD?
NZD/CAD has been moving in a continuous downward structure and has now reached a key support zone. In this area, we expect a positive reaction from the price. At the moment, the descending trendline is preventing further bullish movement, but we expect that at this stage the price will manage to break above it and reach the projected targets. Therefore, you can wait for the descending trendline to break, and after the breakout, enter on the pullback.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Crash / Clear Recession (Confirmed Later)??? or Mild RecessionI have Labeled all the phases in Color Coded lines
The color of the lines is tied to Equities and their "current stance" during the time period.
Each colored line is also labeled with the ( 10 Year - 2 Year Yield Curve ) Cycle for the time period.
I label at the current date the two possible situations going into 2026
GBPUSD: Double Top Breakdown Setting UpHi!
Pattern Structure
A clear Double Top formed between June–Oct 2025 around 1.3750–1.3850, showing strong rejection.
The neckline at 1.3050–1.3070 has been tested several times, confirming it as a key support. 🔎
Trend & Momentum
Price is sliding inside a descending channel since October ➡️ lower highs + lower lows = continued bearish pressure.
Key Levels
Neckline: 1.3050 ⚠️
Pullback zone: 1.3150–1.3200 (potential retest)
Flip Area / Target Zone: 1.2820–1.2850, a major S&D level acting as the double-top target🎯
Expected Scenario
If price rejects the trendline again, a continuation toward 1.2820 is likely.
Only a strong recovery above 1.3250 would weaken the bearish setup. 🚫
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Very useful techniques to learnI have recently posted several posts around mechanical and simple charts. This is another insight into some professional techniques that are not often shown.
Gann talked about High and low candles and opposing ticks.
Lowest Tick of the Highest Bar: This refers to the lowest price point (or low tick) of the highest price bar (or highest price period) on the chart. It indicates a crucial support level. If the price falls below this point, it may signal a downward trend or a breakdown.
Highest Tick of the Lowest Bar: Conversely, this refers to the highest price point (or high tick) of the lowest price bar (or lowest price period). This represents a key resistance level. If the price rises above this level, it may indicate an upward trend or a breakout.
Here's an image showing this in an uptrend.
And another for a downtrend.
Then what you would expect from this, would be a move similar to this and of course you can't expect it every time. But to appreciate it, you need to understand the logic as to why this is important in the first instance.
The simple explanation of that is in an uptrend that lowest tick of the highest bar was in fact the exact area buyers failed and sellers took control. Obviously, the inverse is true of a downtrend. The highest point of the lowest candle, means buyers are back pushing prices higher.
Into the future you MIGHT but not always see these levels as support or resistance.
When you overlap this with the mechanical techniques, you can use this for range entries. Here's a post on mechanical techniques.
==========================================
Second tip is to do with volume.
Many people seem to have volume on their chart, but don't really know how to utilise it.
Now, imagine the areas I mentioned in the first tip. As price nears these zones (other other zones) order blocks, supply or demand, fib levels.
If you could quickly identify what story volume is trying to tell you. Then there is a huge benefit to know how you need to react to the price action.
In this image; Look at the spikes in volume until the orange arrow point.
What you can see from this next image, is the orange arrow is the turning point.
For it's next stop after breaking through the PoC of the range from the prior low to its high. You can draw a line, extended from the highest tick of the lowest candle.
Price comes back, and as explained in the example above. Buyers step back in and drive the price directly away from this level.
Now; let's go one step further.
In this image I have the volume profile on the left representing the swing low to high and then the profile on the right from that high to the fresh swing low.
You can see from the sell side pressure where price has interest to both parties.
Next you have both lines drawn on the chart of the opposing candles, like this.
Here. we can look at if the market is seeking outside or inside liquidity.
However, if you look back at the volume on the bottom of the chart. Are we seeing green candles and volume increasing? or red candles with volume increasing? This is where the second tip becomes very, very useful.
If you can identify the phase of internal or external, areas of interest. You can confirm this with volume clues on the chart and you will find yourself on the right side of the trade more often than not.
Have a great week all!
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principal trader has over 25 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
"God forbid let peace breakout." Look at US Defence Stocks $ITALeo Tolstoy included that line in his novel "War & Peace". It might be said that many holders of defence stocks will be uttering the same should this weeks negotiations over the conflict of Ukraine make progress.
It might be said that the price action already denotes the trajectory of the peace talks. As peace talks have become more tangible, so has the decline in defence stocks. If there is an announcement this week in time for Thanksgiving then expect a further decline. Is Zelensky/Europe/Putin decides to rug-pull Trump in an effort to keep the charabanc going then I'd expect a rise. I hope for the former, but the cynical old differ in me expects the latter. C'est la vie.
A big week for the UK, and $EWUIts a big week for the UK, due to the long awaited Autumn Statement on Wednesday. Chancellor Reeves decided to put back the date as long as feasibly possible. I presume that she hoped she'd have better numbers out of the economy to help her position? That her great plan for renewed growth would bare fruit? If so, then that plan has backfired quite badly. Furthermore it has allowed more time for everyone to pass commentary on a) the economy, b) the budget, and c) Reeves's performance. None of which has been complimentary. (By all means feel free to show me evidence to the contrary).
Despite all the shenanigans the FTSE has until recently) continued to march North, based on the back of a) anti-Trump rotation and b) the weakening of GBP helping those companies global profits look ore impressive.
However when we take a look at the daily chart of EWU - the ishares ETF for the UK we can see that the strong move above the Daily 50MA has reversed. Whereas it acted as strong dynamic support these last 6 months or so now leads us to consider: will it now flip to become dynamic resistance? Is that an indication of a move lower for EWU, the FTSE, and the UK in general? All will be revealed this week I believe.
Gold May See a Minor Pullback Before Gaining Bullish Momentum📊 Market Update
Gold is currently trading around ≈ 4,050 USD/oz. A firm US Dollar is keeping gold from breaking higher, while markets await clearer signals from the Federal Reserve and upcoming US economic data. Cautious sentiment is keeping gold in a tight consolidation range.
📉 Technical Analysis
Resistance Levels:
• R1: ~ 4,100
• R2: ~ 4,135 (new resistance – recent swing high, strong selling pressure likely)
Support Levels:
• S1: ~ 4,020
• S2: ~ 3,995 – 4,000 (strong support, aligned with recent lows and trend validation)
EMA & Trend:
• Price is below the EMA 09, indicating slowing bullish momentum and short-term consolidation.
• If price moves back above EMA 09 on H1 → bullish momentum may resume.
Candles – Volume – Momentum:
• Narrow-range movement on H1/H4 → sideways market.
• Volume slightly lower → traders are waiting for a catalyst.
• Momentum is soft but no strong reversal signals yet.
________________________________________
📌 Market View
Gold may pull back to the 4,020 or 4,000 support regions before regaining upward momentum.
A weaker USD or negative US economic data could push gold upward again toward 4,100 – 4,135.
________________________________________
💡 Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 4,090 – 4,093
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4,096
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 4,023 – 4,020
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4,017
USD/JPY1d & 1w = bullish
im currently seeking longs for usd jpy
1h htf has swept a short term high and showed bullish momentum to the upside creating a fvg.
price has reacted well to this fvg and targeted the 1h/4h bearish fvg.
im now currently waiting for price to invert to a ifvg and target previous daily highs
price may respect this 4h fvg and draw lower. until we see strong bullish displacement
and a confirmed structure shift above a newly formed ifvg, we do nothing.
Gold (XAU/USD) – Market Structure Analysis | November 24, 2025Bias: Neutral → Slight Bullish
Key Level to Watch: 4,075.24 USD
Gold is stabilizing inside a tightening consolidation zone, holding structure above the 4,040–4,000 support region while struggling to secure acceptance above the 4,100 psychological level. This compression indicates reduced volatility and signals an upcoming breakout as liquidity builds on both sides of the range.
Intraday order-flow shows buyers stepping in with higher lows and a steady recovery back into resistance. However, the broader structure remains neutral until a decisive break confirms directional dominance.
⸻
Technical Breakdown
Market Structure
• Market is range-bound between 4,000–4,100, forming a compression pattern
• Higher intraday lows indicate emerging bullish presence
• No confirmed breakout yet — market remains balanced
Key Resistance Zones
• 4,075.24 – Initial reaction level
• 4,087.69 – 4,090.45 – Critical breakout band
• 4,099.86 – 4,104 – Upper resistance cluster
• 4,150 – Higher-timeframe structural resistance
Key Support Zones
• 4,044.09 – Immediate intraday support
• 4,036.62 – Secondary support
• 4,032 → 4,000 – Structural support and bearish validation floor
⸻
Outlook & Interpretation
Gold remains in a neutral structure with slightly improving bullish sentiment. For buyers to take full control, price must break and hold above the 4,087–4,090 region. Until then, the market sits in equilibrium, with both sides defending key liquidity zones.
⸻
Trading Plan
Bullish Scenario
Break and hold above 4,087–4,090 → upside targets:
• 4,099 → 4,104 → 4,150
Neutral Scenario
Price remains between 4,044 – 4,087 → expect continued consolidation and liquidity build-up.
Bearish Scenario
Break below 4,044 → downside targets:
• 4,036 → 4,031, with 4,000 as the broader structural support.






















