USD/CAD - Bearish Flag (15.09.2025)The USD/CAD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. TRADENATION:USDCAD
This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3814
2nd Support – 1.3796
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Beyondtechnicalanalysis
XAU/USD (Gold) - Trendline Breakout (US - CPI Data) (11.09.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern.
This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 3583
2nd Support – 3546
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GBP/USD - Breakout (US - CPI Data) (11.09.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern.
This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3475
2nd Support – 1.3441
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AUD/USD - Bullish Channel (10.09.2025) The AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Channel Pattern.
This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.6636
2nd Resistance – 0.6658
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Short! Short! USDCAD - Double Head and Shoulder PatternI have identified a clear head and shoulders pattern forming within a larger head and shoulders structure on the daily timeframe for USD/CAD, indicating a potential bearish reversal.
From a fundamental perspective, several key factors are contributing to the current weakness in the Canadian dollar against the US dollar:
Canada's labor market showed significant weakness in August 2025, with a notable loss of 65.5 thousand jobs and a rise in unemployment to 7.1%, the highest in years. This has increased market expectations for monetary easing from the Bank of Canada (BoC).
Although core inflation remains above target, the weak jobs data is pushing the BoC towards potential rate cuts or a more accommodative policy stance, which weighs on the Canadian dollar.
The market is currently pricing in a very high chance (around 98%) of an additional rate cut by the BoC in September, following previous reductions to 2.75%. This dovish stance contrasts with the Federal Reserve’s more cautious or hawkish approach, creating a wider interest rate differential that supports US dollar strength.
Additionally, declining oil prices, a major export for Canada, are exerting further downward pressure on the CAD.
While recent US economic data has been mixed, the Fed is generally seen as less dovish than the BoC, sustaining demand for the USD.
Trade tensions and geopolitical risks between the US and Canada add to concerns over Canada’s growth outlook, contributing to CAD depreciation risk.
Trade Tip
A strong close below the Entry line will be a perfect entry /4hr TF
Stoploss : Above the Left Shoulder (Red Rectangle)
In summary, the combination of a weakening Canadian economy, dovish BoC bias, lower oil prices, and interest rate divergence between the US and Canada all support a bearish outlook for USD/CAD, which aligns well with the bearish head and shoulders pattern I have spotted on the chart.
Not an Investment Advise
GBP/AUD - Triangle Breakout (08.09.2025)The GBP/AUD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2.0493
2nd Support – 2.0457
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USD/CHF - H1 - Channel Breakout (NFP) (05.09.2025)The USD/CHF Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.8011
2nd Support – 0.7988
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AUD/JPY - Channel Pattern (05.09.2025) The AUD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 97.26
2nd Resistance – 97.52
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USD/CAD - Bullish Pennant (04.09.2025)The USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Pennant Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.3835
2nd Resistance – 1.3853
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USD/CHF - Wedge Breakout (02.09.2025)The USD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.8048
2nd Resistance – 0.8067
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A Question many people don't know the answer to.In this post we’ll answer a question many people don't know the answer to, and provide an in-depth explanation of why the crypto market is bound to a 4-year cycle.
🔸The answer:
-The market is tied to a key event — the Bitcoin Halving . This is when the block reward for mining Bitcoin is cut in half every 4 years. Mining is the lifeline that brings Bitcoin into circulation. Without it, there would be no supply entering the market.
But is this still effective now, given that most of Bitcoin’s supply is already mined?
The total supply of Bitcoin is fixed at 21 million, and so far, around 19.9 million have already been mined. That leaves only about 1.1 million Bitcoin still to be mined — scheduled, with halvings, until the year 2140.
I know what you’re thinking … Why does the halving still impact market behavior if the remaining supply is so small and its effect seems limited?
-History shows that after every halving, the market tends to rise for about a year and a half. This proves that investors wait for the halving to take place, monitor the network’s smooth performance during the event, and once they confirm no issues exist, they begin injecting liquidity into the market.
------------------------------------------
Is there a scenario where the 4-year cycle could change?
It’s difficult, but yes …
Why? Because since Bitcoin’s inception, its price cycle has been tied to the halving. This pattern has been consistent since 2011, across three full cycles, and now we are in the fourth.
However, the halving itself has become a symbol of trust and security for investors. Every successful halving event reinforces confidence in Bitcoin’s scarcity and strength. That’s why the 4-year rhythm will only change if another factor emerges strong enough to rival the influence of the halving.
Signs of such a new factor already appeared in 2025 — with the U.S. President’s support for Bitcoin and the growing trend of corporations and financial institutions purchasing it, alongside increased transparency in declaring holdings and reserves.
This shift is crucial. When supply moves from scattered hands (individuals) to stronger hands (corporations) , and holdings are publicly disclosed, it strengthens trust in the Bitcoin network and reduces the wild volatility that individuals once caused.
Conclusion : The 4-year cycle could evolve in the future, especially if supportive policies accelerate and corporations continue to accumulate Bitcoin in massive quantities starting from the next cycle.
Best regards
Cecilione🎯
CAD/JPY - Channel Breakout (29.08.2025)The CAD/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 106.47
2nd Support – 106.30
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GBP/CHF - Wedge Breakout (28.08.2025)The GBP/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.0862
2nd Resistance – 1.0877
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GBP/JPY - Breakout (22.08.2025)The GBP/JPY TRADENATION:GBPJPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 200.02
2nd Resistance – 200.42
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XAU/USD - Bearish Flag Pattern (16.08.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 3318
2nd Support – 3308
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GBPAUD – 4H FVG Rejection Could Trigger Bearish Move
On the 4H chart, GBPAUD is approaching a Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone near 2.0900 , where I expect sellers to step in. Price has already shown exhaustion signs, and if rejection happens, the downside path looks more probable.
With the 200 EMA still hovering below, a clean rejection from FVG could open the way for a move down to 2.0610 (expected target). If bearish momentum extends, the next level to watch will be around 2.0472 (Fib extension support) .
📉 Bias – Bearish from FVG rejection
📍 Key Resistance – 2.0900 FVG zone
🎯 Target Levels – 2.0610 → 2.0472
USD/CAD - Ascending Triangle (18.08.2025)The USD/CAD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Ascending Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3774
2nd Support – 1.3755
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GBP/JPY - Triangle Breakout (18.08.2025)The GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 200.79
2nd Resistance – 201.24
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GBP/CHF - Triangle Breakout (18.08.2025) The GBP/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.0970
2nd Resistance – 1.0993
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USD/CHF - Triangle Breakout (11.08.2025)The USD/CHF Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.8036
2nd Support – 0.8019
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EUR/JPY Channel Formation (6.08.2025) The EUR/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 169.74
2nd Support – 169.25
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