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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)

24/11/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $96,057.33 Last weeks low: $93,034.53 Midpoint: $80,642.73 Has Bitcoin found its low, or is there more downside to come? After yet another brutal week of downtrend BTC tags $80,000 before bouncing back towards the weekly range midpoint at $88,000, a +10% bounce. It's important to note that back in April during the Tariff War sell-off, the $80,000 area was the origin of the subsequent move up to $110,000. So historically this area should provide support when retested as it has initially. What this does mean to me, the high time frame trend has shifted from bullish with areas of choppy rangebound consolidation before the next leg up, to now a new lower high ($108,000 rejection) which confirmed the 1d 200 EMA as resistance, and much lower low ($80,000 last weeks low) which confirms a bearish flip. For me this week it's about finding out if the bottom is already in or if not, where will it be? In terms of bullish target should the bottom already be in, it's the $98,000-$100,000 area. This key s/r level has been an important battleground since December '24, it's a big even level too so psychologically important, and the origin of this 20% sell-off. Fear & Greed Index currently sits at 19 but hit as low as 11 over the weekend, the lowest so far this bull run. These factors have me leaning towards the local bottom is in. However, if the bottom is not in then $74,000 comes into play, the Tariff war low. That would complete a full retrace of this years move up to $126,000 (-40% from high). The current weekly low sits at -36% move which is the largest of the bull run so far but not uncommon in previous cycles. Good luck this week everybody!
by ProR35
ADA/BTC Macro Analysis – Altseason SetupThe ADA/BTC pair continues to trade within a well-defined macro range that has held for several years, with price now sitting directly on a major historical demand zone. BOTTOM Zone (Historical Demand): Price is currently testing the same bottom range that has triggered multiple strong reversals in past cycles. Historically, this zone has been one of the best long-term accumulation areas for ADA relative to BTC. TOP Zone (Macro Resistance / Target): The upper green zone represents the primary macro resistance and the previous ATH for ADA/BTC. In every prior cycle, price rallied from the Bottom zone all the way to this Top zone before forming a new correction. Current Trend: The overall monthly trend remains bearish, but ADA has reached a critical point where macro reversals typically begin especially when approaching an Altseason phase. Potential Targets: First target: Mid-range level Macro target: Full retest of the TOP zone (ATH range) Conclusion: ADA/BTC is sitting on one of its strongest historical accumulation zones. If the pair repeats its previous cycle behavior, a major upward move toward the TOP zone remains highly probable during the next altcoin season.
by RashidHamada
BTC Is Falling Freely – Every Pullback Is Just a Trap!Bitcoin is currently entering a phase where every bounce is seen as a selling opportunity . Market sentiment has turned cautious as news continues to lean negative: BTC has broken its lowest level in six months around $86,000 , and reports indicate that a major whale has exited a position worth $1.3 billion . When big money pulls out, the market struggles to stay stable. Observing price action, BTC is moving steadily downward with lower highs forming continuously . Every time the price attempts to rise, it gets pushed down immediately, showing that sellers are fully in control of the market. Upper price zones are consistently rejected, proving that buying pressure is not strong enough to create any meaningful reversal. The most reasonable scenario now is that BTC may stage a technical bounce toward $93,700 , but it is likely to encounter strong selling again and continue falling toward the major target around $76,800. Any upward move during this period is just a pullback to sell , not a signal of a real trend reversal. In short, negative news + bearish technical structure are strongly aligned, so for short-term traders, it’s best to sell with the trend , wait for price to pull back before entering, and avoid catching bottoms when the market has no clear reversal signals yet.
Short
by Paradise_Noir
13
BTCUSD Channel Support Holds as Price Targets $85K PullbackHello traders! Let’s break down the current BTCUSD market structure. Bitcoin is trading inside a well-defined descending channel, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows. This structure confirms that the market is still moving within a broader bearish trend. Earlier, BTC created a large range phase on the left side of the chart, showing indecision before breaking down and starting the current downtrend. Each approach to the upper trendline (Resistance Line) resulted in a clear turnaround, proving that sellers continue to defend this zone aggressively. During the recent decline, BTC made multiple corrections inside the channel, but every upward move was short-lived and rejected by the descending resistance. A recent breakout attempt failed, and price quickly returned back into the channel, signaling that bullish momentum remains weak. Currently, Bitcoin is testing the Support Line of the descending channel near the $81,400–$82,000 zone. This level has acted as a key demand area within the trend. A short-term bounce from support is possible, and the chart shows a projected move toward TP1 near $85,000, which aligns with a minor internal resistance level. However, as long as BTC trades below the major Resistance Level around $94,000 and within the descending channel, the market maintains a bearish bias. Any bullish recovery is likely to be limited unless price can break above the channel and secure structure above $94,000. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by LegionQ8
25
Bitcoin Hits Heavy Support Zone — Is the Next Big Crash Coming?Recently, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) experienced another decline of over -10%, largely due to the sudden drop in the S&P 500( SP:SPX ). As I mentioned in previous ideas, in recent weeks, Bitcoin and the crypto market, especially Bitcoin, have shown a strong correlation with U.S. indices, particularly the S&P 500. This means that even technically sound analyses for Bitcoin can fail if we don’t consider these external factors, which is quite normal. Therefore, it’s crucial to incorporate all parameters—news, fundamentals, on-chain data, and relevant indices—to get an accurate Bitcoin analysis. This complexity can make things a bit challenging. Over the past ten days, Bitcoin has swiftly broken through several support levels. Many factors have contributed to Bitcoin’s decline recently, but it’s now approaching a heavy support zone($78,300-$71,280). This zone is crucial because if Bitcoin loses it, we could see even larger declines, affecting altcoins as well. Altcoins, in general, haven’t matched Bitcoin’s gains in recent months, so a significant drop in Bitcoin could lead to severe losses for them. It’s essential to manage your investments carefully and stay alert. From an Elliott Wave perspective, the recent decline suggests that Bitcoin might be in the midst of a five-wave downward, which isn’t positive news. There’s a chance that the heavy support zone($78,300-$71,280) might be breached. However, considering that weekends typically have lower trading volumes, it’s less likely that the support will break in the next couple of days. Still, we must remain vigilant and prepared for any scenario. In terms of Elliott Waves, it seems Bitcoin has completed its main wave 3, and we might be looking at the completion of the wave 4 over the weekend, with another push towards the heavy support zone($78,300-$71,280) at the start of next week. Also, the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) chart looks bullish, which could not be good news for Bitcoin. I expect that after a brief rebound, Bitcoin will resume its decline and test the heavy support zone($78,300-$71,280) again. Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $89,642-$88,079 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $80,263-$78,131 First Target: $78,523 Second Target: $75,123 Stop Loss(SL): $92,123(Worst) Points may shift as the market evolves Note: The S&P 500 also might face downward pressure in the coming days, which could further impact Bitcoin’s support levels. It’s essential to manage your investments carefully and wait for strong reversal signals in higher timeframes. You might miss out on some short-term gains, but it will allow for more confident entries later on. Note: Tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela are escalating day by day. Should these tensions intensify to the point of direct confrontation, it could act as a trigger for another Bitcoin decline. It’s important to keep this in mind. Note: Additionally, there have been some suspicious transfers involving the Mt. Gox exchange recently. It’s worth monitoring these developments closely. 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Short
by pejman_zwin
33
Bitcoin Bear Market 2026 | Macro Cycle & Rising Wedge BreakdownBitcoin Macro Cycle Analysis (2013–2029) | Rising Wedge Breakdown • 2026 Bear Market Targets • Historical % Drops & Next Accumulation Zone Bitcoin historical data strongly follows multi-year macro cycles , where each bull market has been followed by a deep bear market correction: 📉 2nd Cycle (2017–2018) Top: 19,666 (17 Dec 2017) Bottom: 3,122 (15 Dec 2018) Correction: –84.23% 📉 3rd Cycle (2021–2022) Top: 68,997 (8 Nov 2021) Bottom: 15,479 (9 Nov 2022) Correction: –76.64% 📉 4th Cycle (2025–2026 – Ongoing) Top: 126,272 (6 Oct 2025) Rising Wedge + Distribution Phase breakdown confirms bearish structure shift Based on historical cycle behavior and on-chain indicators, Bitcoin has entered the 4th major bear market 📍 Projected Bottom Zone (2026) Primary Support Zone: ➡️ $40,000 – $42,000 – $45,382 (Aligned with Wedge Breakdown + Macro Support) Percentage-Based Targets: –68.16% drop: → ≈ $40,000 –74% historical drop scenario: → ≈ $31,000 (max capitulation zone) 📅 Expected Bottom Window: September – October 2026 → Historically the strongest long-term buying opportunity . 📈 5th Cycle Expectations (2026–2029) Bitcoin has been following a Long-Term Rising Wedge (Bearish Continuation / Reversal Pattern) since 2021. This pattern is expected to fully complete by April 2029 → leading into a new long-term top and then the 5th bear market . ⭐ Why This Analysis Matters Combines **cycle history**, **on-chain metrics**, **pattern analysis**, and **macro support zones** Helps identify high-probability long-term Bitcoin accumulation levels Useful for swing traders, long-term investors, and cycle-based portfolio strategies 🔔 If You Find This Analysis Helpful 👍 Like • 💬 Comment • ⭐ Save It motivates me to share more high-quality Bitcoin cycle research!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Houseofcryptokings
Bitcoin: Where Is The Bottom?Bitcoin sell off continues through the 90K to 88K support area. There have been no reversal confirmations on this time frame since I wrote my previous report. The reversal pattern that I was anticipating never even began to materialize. Trade opportunities were best found on the day trade time frames in my opinion. Why wasn't anyone calling for such a move back in August? All of the "experts" who seem to always know the future, until something like this comes along? This is why I don't forecast the future, instead I do my best to uncover potential risks which can lead to capturing potential opportunities. 88K is where I labeled Wave 1 of the broader 5th wave which I talked about for months. I warned investors that buying and attempting to hold above 100K was high risk. Bitcoin is NOW at prices worth monitoring for longer time horizon investing, BUT price has compromised the 88K overlap level. I interpret as we are no longer in the broader Wave 4 and instead, the Wave 5 of 5 is likely complete. There is a much lower chance that we get the dramatic rally into the 130Ks as a result. This change in expectation is what guides how I gauge investment potential, which then shapes my strategy and goals. 73K is a MAJOR support level (previous all time high before the election) and it is now much more possible to be tested. IF there is any confirmed reversal before reaching this support, profit potential for SWING trades can be measured from the next series of resistances 95K, 100K, and 105K respectively. The 88K overlap suggests that Bitcoin is now in a broader Wave 2 which is likely to unfold in a long term range. A range low is more likely and has yet to be established. It could be 73K, it could be lower like in the 60Ks. SENTIMENT drives price over the short term which is why fundamentals alone are not enough. There are many ways to begin accumulating Bitcoin inventory or acquiring exposure without buying Bitcoin itself. There's a entire collection of ETFs that track Bitcoin that have low cost fees. There are also other stocks that are highly correlated to Bitcoin but have their own unique characteristics which can enhance performance or help to mitigate some of the risks of buying Bitcoin itself. COIN is one of many examples. I would rather accumulate shares of a stock which is easily accessible and straightforward than accumulating Bitcoin itself simply out of convenience. I will talk more about this during my regular stream. The illustration on my chart is ONE of many scenarios to consider for the coming weeks. While 73K is a possibility, I like it is a low probability that price will probe that low without attempting to retrace first. There is a pin bar in place but still lacking confirmation on this time frame. I believe there is a much higher chance of reversal from the current prices, BUT I do not expect an attempt at new all time highs any time soon. WAIT for confirmations, set profit objectives and keep expectations within the boundaries that are set forth by the PRICE STRUCTURE, not "experts" whose only agenda is to convert your attention into a paycheck. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
37
BTCUSD – Outlook for the Upcomming daysMonthly View The monthly timeframe remains bullish overall, but Bitcoin has pulled back to gather strength, it can take previous monthly timeframe low's liquidity. This kind of move is typical when the market is gearing up to break a higher high. The broader structure hasn’t shifted—this is simply a deeper retracement inside a bullish narrative. Weekly View The weekly chart is showing a similar story. Price has been dropping consistently without giving even a single proper reversal. If BTC truly wanted to fall aggressively, it would normally make a move up first, trigger traders’ stop-losses near previous highs, and then dump. But this time, it didn’t do that. This unusual behavior hints that the market may be preparing something different from what most traders expect. Daily View The daily timeframe is where things get really interesting. Bitcoin spent more than half the recent sessions moving sideways, collecting liquidity on both sides. After that, it dipped and formed a lower high—but that lower high hasn’t been broken yet. According to my analysis, BTC is currently sitting in the Discount Zone, an area where buyers often start becoming active. 4-Hour View On the 4H chart, I already had a clean short setup earlier, but now I’m watching for signs of a potential reversal. That reversal idea is not guaranteed, though—it becomes invalid if BTC fails to break the series of lower highs. There’s also another scenario: BTC might refuse to break the lower highs and begin forming higher lows at the same time. If that happens, we’ll see a period of sideways consolidation. When the breakout finally comes—whichever direction it chooses—the move is likely to be powerful. Final Thoughts Based on my analysis, BTC is showing mixed but promising signals across the higher and lower timeframes. The monthly structure is still bullish, and this pullback looks more like preparation for a stronger push rather than a trend reversal. Weekly price action hasn’t shown any meaningful bounce yet, which is unusual—and that alone hints that the market might be setting up something unexpected. On the daily chart, BTC has swept liquidity after moving sideways for quite a while, and now it’s resting in the Discount Zone, where smart money usually becomes active. The 4H timeframe already gave clean short opportunities earlier, but now the market is approaching a point where a reversal could begin—unless lower highs remain untouched. If BTC starts forming higher lows without breaking lower highs, the market will likely slip into a compression phase. When price finally breaks out of that squeeze, the move—up or down—can be very strong. Again, this is just my personal viewpoint. Please do your own analysis before investing. Your profits and losses are entirely your responsibility—I’m only sharing what the charts are suggesting to me right now. Stay alert to the reaction levels ahead; that’s where the next major direction will reveal itself. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thanks for checking out this analysis! If you enjoyed it, hit that follow button so you don’t miss future updates. And if this breakdown helped you out, drop a like 👍 and share your thoughts in the comments 💬—I always appreciate the feedback!
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PLong
by PankajHuslte
2
The Brutal Math of a Bitcoin CrashThis is the brutal math of a Bitcoin crash that each one of us needs to understand. The total crypto market cap (TOTAL) is currently ~$2.85T. Bitcoin's market cap is ~$1.70T. If BTC drops 50%, it loses ~$850B in value. This would drag TOTAL down to approximately $2.00T. The terrifying part? This means the entire rest of the market—every single altcoin from Ethereum to the smallest micro-cap—would be left with a combined market cap of only ~$300-400B to share between them. The result would be a bloodbath of catastrophic proportions for alts. Most would see declines far exceeding Bitcoin's 50%, with many high-beta coins facing -70%, -90%, or even total collapse as liquidity evaporates. When the TOTAL drops violently, it reveals who's swimming naked.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by Sen_Crypto
BTCUSDT Market Analysis UpdateHi everyone, I hope you are doing well and I have put my opinion in Bitcoin price on the chart for you. and hope this helps you! Simple, concise, useful BTC is still trading within a clear bullish market structure, supported by strong HL formations and trendline confluence. At the moment, my main focus is on the Fair Value Gap (FVG) below current price. I expect BTC to revisit this imbalance before continuing the move upward. The liquidity pool around 82,490 is also important. Personally, I don’t expect price to sweep that level immediately. However, if it does get taken, in my view it would likely serve as the final liquidity grab before resuming the broader uptrend. This makes 82,490 a key level to watch — either it remains untouched while we push higher, or if price sweeps it, the move could act as fuel for the next bullish leg. From a higher timeframe perspective, the market remains bullish. The structure is intact, RSI is holding mid-range without major bearish divergence, and trendline support has not been broken. Volume also supports this idea — it’s decreasing and showing divergence, but this doesn’t signal a reversal, only a healthy consolidation while holding the bullish trend. In summary: Main target: fill the nearby FVG before continuation. Key liquidity zone: 82,490 (less likely to be taken now, but if it happens, I consider it the last liquidity grab). Bias: still bullish, expecting higher levels once short-term imbalances are resolved. Weekly: As long as BTC holds its HLs and respect the FVG zone, I continue to look for upside continuation — potentially well beyond current levels. That’s my current view on BTC. Let me know your opinion below 👇 Best regards
by SteaIth