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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)

ETH/BTC Golden Cross Ignites This is ETH/BTC on the daily chart. The golden cross is now confirmed: 50MA has officially crossed above the 200MA. Price reacted immediately, jumping straight to the 0.786 Fib level at 0.0347 a key resistance. This confirms the bullish structure we’ve been tracking: – Golden cross ✅ – Breakout above 200MA ✅ – Push into major resistance ✅ Now all eyes are on the 0.0347 zone. If price can flip it into support, momentum could accelerate quickly. Always take profits and manage risk. Interaction is welcome.
Long
by vagada
1
ETH/BTC: Golden Cross Reloaded?This is ETH/BTC on the daily chart. A major event is about to unfold: the golden cross, where the 50MA crosses above the 200MA. The last time this happened was in early 2020, around the same price zone, right after a bounce off the 2019 low double bottom and a rejection from the 0.5 Fib level, which sits halfway between the 2019 low and the 0.786 Fib. In 2025, we’re seeing a strikingly similar pattern: – Price bounced off the 2019 low – Got rejected again from the 0.5 level – And now appears to be gathering strength to flip that level and the 200MA to confirm the Golden Cross Always take profits and manage risk. Interaction is welcome.
Long
by vagada
24
BTC Hourly Analysis – Day 1 | Trend Structure & Key Reactions⏱️ We’re analyzing Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe. 👀 After breaking below its support zone at 107,402, Bitcoin experienced a correction along with increasing sell pressure. The price then moved toward the 112,200 support area, where it formed a V-pattern — which has now been broken to the upside. 🎮 We’re using Fibonacci levels to identify key resistance zones and long-entry triggers. A higher low has formed above the 112,217 support and above the 0.382 Fib level, which could serve as a strong confirmation of the breakout . ⚙️ The RSI oscillator on the 1H chart is currently above 50. If buying volume increases, RSI may enter the Overbought zone. The critical level here is 70 — breaking above it can act as a confirmation for a long position . ☄️ A specific Fibonacci-based zone, linked to market maker sellers and supply pressure, was touched, triggering a reaction — around 177 BTC were sold following that touch . 🖥 Summary : As long as Bitcoin stays above its previous high, there’s no immediate concern for long positions. Based on the confirmations above, you may consider entering a long position upon a resistance breakout and taker-seller zone clearance . 📉 No short positions are planned until the 110,000 support level is clearly broken .
by CryptosWinter
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #144👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into Bitcoin analysis. Today is the first day of the week and Bitcoin has made a bullish move. ⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe After the weekly candle closed, Bitcoin made an upward move and pulled back up to the 0.5 Fibonacci zone. ✔️ The long trigger I provided yesterday in the 1-Hour timeframe has been activated. If you opened a short-term position, it has likely already hit the target. If it was a long-term position with a larger stop, then it should still be open for now. 💫 The current 4-Hour candle has wicked into the 0.5 Fibonacci zone, which indicates a strong rejection from this area. If the candle closes red, the probability of starting the next bearish wave will increase significantly. 📊 Besides the resistance from the Fibonacci level, the SMA25 is also overlapping with this zone, so this upward move could also be seen as a pullback to the SMA25 before another drop begins. ✨ However, the candle hasn't closed yet, so it's too early to decide anything. In my opinion, Bitcoin has re-entered a choppy and sideways phase that doesn’t provide good and clean positions — most trades like yesterday’s need to be scalps. 🔍 If a deeper correction happens, our lower support levels are already identified (with the most important one being the 110000 zone). For shorts, I’ll look for entries below 110000. As for longs, I’ll wait for confirmation and stabilization above 116000. For now, I’m only observing this box between 110000 and 116000. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
1
Bitcoin Range for August?Historically August has been a tough month for crypto in the past with mostly flat to negative returns. For that reason, although not a perfect science, I would not be surprised if we see a rangebound environment continuation for BTC. So what would that look like? Structurally there are three thirds to the range, currently price is looking to break through into the upper third after bouncing off the bottom third bullish orderblock. Trade setups will naturally present themselves as rotational plays both bullish and bearish at the extremes of each of the thirds but much larger trades from the range top and bottom. Altcoins are lagging behind BTC structurally so where BTC has been choppy for a few weeks, most large cap alts have hit their highs and are now looking to settle into a range before the next leg up.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ProR35
4
Multi-Timeframe: Range, Accumulation Opportunity on Pullbacks__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Overall Momentum: Dominant bullish trend above 4H. Short-term momentum shifts bearish on 2H/1H/30min, warrants caution. Key Supports: 114,000 USDT (short term), 111,900 USDT (major pivot), 98,200 USDT (structural failure if lost). Critical Resistances: 115,900 / 118,900 / 119,900 USDT, daily pivot high 122,318 USDT. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Bullish confirmation on most higher timeframes. ISPD DIV: Behavioural indicators neutral across all frames, no extreme signals (no panic or euphoria). Volume: Normal overall, with isolated yellow bars signaling recent volatility spikes. Multi-timeframe: Higher timeframes (1D, 12H, 6H, 4H) remain bullish. Lower timeframes (2H, 1H, 30min, 15min) show short-term downside momentum without systemic panic. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Main Bias: Bullish structure so long as 111,900 USDT holds. “Buy-the-dip” on pullbacks, tactical range approach below 115,900 USDT. Opportunities: Scalping on key supports (113,000–114,000 USDT), accumulation on deep test of 111,900 USDT, adaptive exits at major resistances. Risks Zones: Clear break of 111,900 USDT opens the way to a deeper corrective move, potentially to 105,000–110,000 USDT. Macro Catalysts: FED on hold, ETF outflows, ongoing geo/trade war risks, US job stats uncertainties; to be monitored. Action Plan: Adjust position size to intraday volatility, strict stop-loss below 111,800 USDT, firm monitoring of ETF flows, on-chain trends, and Risk On / Risk Off Indicator . __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D - Daily: Bullish trend until 111,900 USDT fails on close. Volume and behaviourals neutral. 12H / 6H / 4H: Range trading dominant. Pivots cluster in 114,700–116,000 USDT. 2H / 1H: Short-term bearish bias (MTFTI Down), increased risk of flush below 113,000 USDT; patience required for exhaustion or seller reversal. 30min / 15min: Volatility up, no behavioural extremes detected. Key watch on breaks below 113,000 USDT. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Confirms bullish bias on higher frames (>4H), momentary loss of bullish momentum on short-term (30min–2H). Summary: 111,900 USDT is the prime protection node; above = bullish. Below = risk of corrective extension. No current panic detected. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro & Bitcoin – Twitter Synthesis & Fundamental Insights __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro: Mixed global sentiment, ongoing US-China trade tensions, persistent geopolitical volatility, equities and crypto under pressure but no systemic break yet. FED in wait-and-see, next big pivot in September. BTC: Technical & on-chain accumulation at major supports, ETF outflows by retail but institutional accumulation, significant liquidations but no outright panic. On-chain: 97% of BTC supply in profit, risk of distribution on overextended rallies, STH cost basis support intact ($105–117k zone). Strategy: Base scenario = buy deep pullbacks, exit prudently at resistance, monitor ETF flows & macro headlines for tactical adjustment. __________________________________________________________________________________ Practical Conclusion & Recommendations __________________________________________________________________________________ Underlying trend remains bullish, extension likely if 111,900 USDT holds. Monitor: volume/sell capitulation, Risk On / Risk Off Indicator, ETF flows. Maintain strict risk management, adapt tactics to range volatility. Avoid excessive leverage, keep tactical intraday flexibility as microstructure is volatile. __________________________________________________________________________________
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Ox_kali
BITCOIN Will Fall! Short! Take a look at our analysis for BITCOIN. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 118,337.45. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 113,068.85. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by SignalProvider
1
04/08/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $119,809.82 Last weeks low: $111,917.76 Midpoint: $115,863.79 First net outflow for BTC in seven weeks (-$643m) following the FOMC data release and also month end. Yet again no change by the FED but the chances of Septembers FOMC giving us a rate cut has drastically increased, currently at a 78.5% chance of a 25Bps cut. Month end usually gives us a pullback/sell-off as larger institutions window dress which often includes de-risking somewhat. We saw this last Thursday combined with the weekends typical lower volume has resulted in quite a significant correction for BTC. Altcoins have down the same as many assets reject from HTF resistance areas, the correction has been on the cards and isn't too worrying on the face of it. What I would say is August seasonality is generally not a bullish month and so expecting price to rebound and extend the rally would go against historical trends. I could see more of a ranging environment taking place for several weeks before any next leg up is possible. This week I would like to see where altcoins find support and establish a trading range where some rotational setups tend to present themselves.
by ProR35
Watching for intraday BTC bounce firstMorning folks, So, neither NFP data nor technical picture helped BTC to stay above 117. While US Treasury is started drain liquidity and borrow (they need 1 Trln this month), sending ~ 150 Bln to its TGA account with the Fed - BTC got hurt. Now price stands at vital area - previous tops. If BTC will drop under 110K, collapse could start. Let's hope that this will not happen... Meantime, we're at 112-113K support. We already talked about it before. Here we have reversal bar and bullish engulfing pattern, so maybe we could get a bit higher pullback on intraday chart. 113.8 and 113.1K support areas on 1H TF might be considered for long entry. Invalidation point for this plan is the low of engulfing pattern.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Sive-Morten
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin reach its previous ATH?!Bitcoin is below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its short-term descending channel. In case of an upward correction, Bitcoin can be sold from the specified supply zone, which is also at the intersection of the ceiling of the descending channel. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range. In recent days, Bitcoin has stabilized below the $120,000 mark, a development that reflects increasing structural maturity in the market and strong institutional capital inflows. Unlike in previous cycles, where price rallies were largely driven by retail hype, the current liquidity flows are channeled through regulated and professional instruments like ETFs. During the month of July alone, Bitcoin ETFs attracted over $6 billion in inflows, marking the third-highest monthly inflow in their history. Leading this trend were BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC, which together recorded more than $1.2 billion in net inflows within a single week. This signals a shift in trust from traditional investors toward crypto markets—within transparent, traceable, and regulated frameworks. On-chain metrics further validate this shift. The MVRV ratio, which compares market value to realized value, is currently fluctuating between 2.2 and 2.34. These levels do not indicate profit-taking extremes nor fear of major corrections, but instead point to a healthy and rationally profitable market. Meanwhile, the supply of Bitcoin held in non-exchange wallets is rising, while exchange-held balances have dropped to their lowest levels in a decade, now accounting for just 1.25% of total supply. This trend implies reduced short-term selling pressure, as coins transition from liquid to long-term holdings. Trader behavior is also evolving. Unlike previous bull runs, profit-taking remains controlled. The SOPR index, which measures realized profit relative to purchase price, has not yet reached saturation levels. This suggests that current holders are not satisfied with existing gains and are anticipating higher price levels. Furthermore, metrics like daily active addresses remain stable, indicating a lack of speculative retail influx. The network’s current dynamics resemble those of mature traditional markets, where investment decisions are guided by analysis, discipline, and long-term perspective. Analysts at major financial institutions believe that if this trend continues, Bitcoin could reach targets of $180,000 to $200,000 by year-end. A more conservative scenario places the $95,000 to $100,000 range as a strong support zone—especially if political, regulatory, or macroeconomic pressures intensify. Overall, the convergence of institutional capital, rational trader behavior, stable on-chain conditions, and regulatory clarity has transformed Bitcoin into a more structured and dependable asset than ever before. Ultimately, Bitcoin is no longer just a speculative tool. It has secured its role as a legitimate asset within the portfolios of global financial institutions. Even if the pace of capital inflow is slower than in previous cycles, the underlying structure is more robust and sustainable—offering a clearer path toward broader global adoption and higher valuation. Nonetheless, recent data from CryptoQuant suggests that long-term Bitcoin holders (LTHs) have begun net selling near the $120,000 resistance zone—a psychologically significant level in Bitcoin’s price history. Analysts interpret this as a potential sign that veteran investors—those who entered during earlier market cycles—are now realizing profits as prices reach historic highs. If short-term holders follow suit, this shift could amplify selling pressure and trigger heightened price volatility.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on BITCOIN? After a strong rally, BTC is currently pulling back from the 124K resistance area, heading toward a major confluence support zone between 108,000– 110,000, which aligns with: ✅ Previous breakout zone ✅ 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement ✅ Lower bound of the ascending channel This level is expected to attract buyers and act as a base for a new bullish leg. Scenario Ahead (Main Bias): 1. Price dips into the 108–110K support 2. Bullish reversal from the zone (watch for strong reaction candles or bullish divergence) 3. Target 1: 124K (retest resistance) 4. Target 2: 135K–140K (upper channel boundary upon breakout) BTC remains in a healthy bullish structure. Current pullback is considered constructive, and the 107–110K zone offers a high-probability long setup. Watch for bullish signals before entering. A confirmed daily close below 107K would invalidate this bullish structure and expose BTC to deeper correction levels. What’s your take on this setup? Do you expect a bounce from support or a deeper correction? Share your thoughts below 👇 Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
35
BTCUSD – bullish momentum is backBitcoin is making a strong comeback, breaking above short-term resistance and reestablishing its uptrend after a prolonged consolidation phase. The technical structure now shows clear control from the bulls, with higher highs and higher lows beginning to form. Positive risk sentiment and growing expectations of capital flowing back into the crypto space—especially after a series of weak U.S. economic data—are fueling the current BTCUSD rally. If momentum holds, the next target could be the upper boundary of the price channel. Keep an eye on how price reacts at key levels and trendlines — this might be the launchpad for the next bullish leg. Good luck, and if you enjoyed this analysis, don’t forget to hit like and drop a comment!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
1
The key is whether it can rise above 115854.56 Hello, traders! Follow us to get the latest information quickly. Have a great day. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1W chart) The key is whether it can rise above the newly created DOM (60) indicator point of 119086.64. If this fails and the price declines, we need to check for support near the previous all-time high (ATH) of 108,353.0. Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is rising near 108,353.0, this area is expected to serve as important support and resistance. - (1D chart) This period of volatility is expected to continue until August 6th. Therefore, the key question is whether the price can rise above 115,854.56 and maintain its upward momentum. If not, further declines are likely. - To rise above 115,856.56, - The StochRSI indicator must rise within the oversold zone and remain above K > D. - The On-Bottom Volume indicator must continue its upward trend with OBV > OBVEMA. - The TC (Trend Check) indicator should maintain an upward trend. (If possible, it's best to rise above the 0 point.) If the above conditions are met and the price rises above 115854.56, it is expected to attempt to rise above 119177.56. This period of volatility is a significant period of volatility. Therefore, if the price falls below the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range and encounters resistance during this period, you should prepare for further declines. - The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range. However, if the price rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, a stepwise upward trend is likely, while a decline in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range is likely to result in a stepwise downward trend. Therefore, a split trading strategy is recommended as the basic trading strategy. When executing a trade, appropriate profit taking secures the liquidity of your investment, giving you the opportunity to seize new opportunities. To achieve this, you should consider your intended investment horizon before initiating the trade and divide the trade accordingly. - The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is currently at 89294.25. Therefore, I believe the market believes it's in a position to take profit. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. -------------------------------------------------- - This is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
4
BTC | Bitcoin - Weekly Recap & Gameplan - 03/08/25📈 Market Context: Traders are currently anticipating a potential 0.25% rate cut at the September FOMC meeting, which continues to support the broader bullish outlook. While the market pulled back following weaker-than-expected Non-Farm Payroll data, overall sentiment remains optimistic. Greed has cooled off into a more neutral stance. Historically, August often brings some consolidation or pullbacks — but the structural bias for Bitcoin remains bullish. 🧾 Weekly Recap: • After printing new all-time highs, BTC began a healthy retracement. • Price action closely mirrored the Nasdaq's (NQ) pullback during the week. • We saw a small bounce mid-week, but no strong reversal confirmation yet. 📌 Technical Outlook & Game Plan: → I’m watching for price to revisit the long-term bullish trendline. → A slight deviation into the HTF demand zone would be ideal for long entries. → Bonus confluence: This area also aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement (Equilibrium level), providing a key discount zone. 🎯 Setup Trigger: I’ll be watching for a confirmed bullish break of structure (BOS) on the 1H–4H timeframes to signal a reversal. On confirmation, I’ll look to enter a swing long position. 📋 Trade Management: • Stoploss: Below the 1H–4H demand swing low • Take Profit: → I’ll trail stops and lock in profits aggressively → Main target: $119,820 💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More setups and market insights coming soon — stay connected!
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
Bitcoin: 113K Support Bounce Buy Signal.Bitcoin has retraced thanks mostly to "unexpected" revisions to labor market statistics. While this move has many making outrageous forecasts, price has simply retraced to the 113K support levels and has generated a swing trade long signal (break of 114K). IF the momentum stays intact, it is within reason to anticipate a test of the low 120K's while a more aggressive expectations would be a break out into the 130K's. Keep in mind if 123K is broken, even by a small amount, that would confirm the current movement as the wave 5 of 5 which means it becomes the most vulnerable to a broader correction. This NFP report and BLS situation is the perfect example of a catalyst that NO ONE in the financial "expert" space saw coming. Even Chairman Powell on Wednesday was pointing out how stable employment growth has been and emphasized the importance of this statistic for their rate decisions. Which means the Federal Reserve is making decisions based on totally inaccurate data. Which also means the entire market has been priced completely wrong for months. My point is, "official" information that you may be basing your investments on can be totally inaccurate and can be revealed out of nowhere. This risk alone puts every investor at the mercy of the market and why it is so important to recognize the limitations of ANY market information through the lens of RISK management. I have been writing about a potential bullish range breakout beyond 120K for a test of the 130s OR if the range support breaks instead, to watch for a test of the key support at 113K. There is NO way to know which way the market will choose in advance, it all depends on the outcomes of specific events which act as catalysts for one scenario or the other. This is why being knowledgeable about wave counts and other forecasting techniques can be very helpful in terms of gauging risk and potential. And based on this, AS LONG AS the 108K area is NOT overlapped, the current price structure is still within the boundaries of a bullish sub wave 4. This is why I am still short term bullish on Bitcoin and why I believe the current buy signal has potential to test at least the low 120's in the coming weeks. IF the 108K area is broken instead, that reduce the chances of a short term bullish break out, and may be the proof that the broader Wave 5 structure is complete. The risk at this point can be measure from the 112K low area and nearest profit objective 118K which offers an attractive reward/risk. Measure everything from RISK first, and always be prepared to be wrong. If the market pays, consider it a gift. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by MarcPMarkets
18
[ayana] Crypto Weather AI - 2nd test - do you like this?TFPS - TradFi Pressure Score on Crypto | INDEX:BTCUSD, 4H Market Context Timestamp: 2025-08-03 21:50:47 UTC TradFi Market Status: Closed Reason (if closed): Weekend Additional Notes: US futures are also closed. The dashboard reflects market sentiment from Friday's close. TFPS Analysis: 2025-08-03 CORE RECOMMENDATION & NARRATIVE The current market narrative is characterized by a shift in leadership: while TradFi markets exert slight bearish pressure, the movement is driven by internal crypto factors. The weak R² signal and the Lead/Lag indicator, which suggests the crypto asset is leading TradFi markets, point to a phase of internal crypto dynamics. The Story: The TradFi environment shows a balanced bearish bias, with no single component dominating. However, the index (BTCUSD) is leading TradFi markets by 2 bars on the 4H chart. The TradFi correlation to price (R²) is weak at 20%, indicating that internal crypto catalysts are driving the price movement. The Implication: This is a 'crypto-first' environment. The focus should shift from TradFi macro indicators to on-chain data and crypto-specific news. The TFPS is currently serving as a lagging indicator, confirming crypto action retroactively. Primary Observation Signal: INDEX LEADS. The leadership of the crypto asset is the key signal. The strength and direction of the next crypto move are not predicted by TradFi but must be derived from internal crypto data. ### DATA SNAPSHOT & DECODING | Metric | Dashboard Value | Interpretation (Based on TFPS v63 Logic) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | TFPS Score | -12.66 | Bearish pressure originating from TradFi markets. | | Z-Score | 0.53 | Normal. The current score is not statistically extreme ($$\lvert z \rvert < 2.0$$). An immediate mean reversion is not expected. | | Lead/Lag | INDEX LEADS by 2 B CI 60.65% | The BTCUSD index is leading TradFi markets by 2 bars on the 4H chart. The high correlation confidence (> 0.50) makes this a very reliable signal. | | TradFi Influence R² | Tactical (24H): 20% | Weak correlation. Only 20% of the price movement can be tactically explained by the TFPS. The market is currently driven mainly by internal crypto factors. | | Top Weight: SPY | 27.98% | Non-dominant, but largest weighting factor. Represents market risk appetite. | | Second Weight: VIX | 27.59% | Non-dominant, but second largest weighting factor. Represents market stress and fear. | ACTIONABLE STEPS (LOW-EFFORT / HIGH-IMPACT) 🚀 MONITOR THIS FIRST: Focus on the price action of the BTCUSD chart itself. Since the INDEX LEADS signal is active, traditional TradFi charts (SPY, DXY, VIX) are currently lagging indicators. Look for chart formations, volume anomalies, or key support/resistance levels in the crypto market. ⏱️ ANTICIPATE MOVES: The INDEX LEADS indicator gives you a potential window of up to 8 hours (2 bars on the 4H chart) to observe TradFi markets after the Monday open. If the BTCUSD price rises or falls significantly before the US markets open, there is a high probability that the TradFi indices will follow. 🔍 VALIDATE THE THESIS: The weak tactical R² value of 20% confirms that TradFi correlation is low at the moment. Therefore, your trading decisions at this time should be based on approximately 80% crypto-internal data (on-chain, liquidity, news) and only 20% on macro data. If the R² value rises above 40% again, shift your focus back to TradFi. #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketAnalysis #TradFi #AITrading #TFPS #MarketNarrative
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ayana-ailab
2