Will SPY H&S & Make Another Lower Low?If SPY fails to push higher over the next couple of days, it will look like a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern. That could signal a directional move downwards is in the works (red arrow). In case this warning is correct and it makes another lower low (dotted line), traders will be estimating the potential profit and stop-loss probabilities for a complex bounce off of previous support and resistance (green arrow).
This probability discussion is for educational, speculative, or informational use only. It does not constitute investment advice.
Breadth Indicators
INSANE Bitmex Automated Strategy! 80%+ WINRATEHello!
Cyatophilum here with another automated strategy, this time for BITMEX:XBTUSD in 15m timeframe.
Backtest results below.
The idea is to use Bollinger Bands with the Stoch RS I as a base combo, when the price breaks through a band and the oscillator is overbought/oversold.
On top of that, filter the entries using a simple 200 bars SMA . Meaning we only trade long while being bullish, and vice versa.
In this strategy there is a trailing stop loss and also a trailing take profit , for these small but important additional profits and security.
For those using the Cyatophilum Ultimate Trading Bot , here are the settings for this strategy.
I hope you like the strategy, feedback is appreciated as always.
Get the Cyatophilum Ultimate Trading Bot using the links below!
Short/Mid/Long EOSUSD CONSOLIDATION IN EFFECT
TP1 $3.54
TP2 $3.67
Stop @ $3.54
Given current volatility, it should go w/o saying that stop losses (as always) should be set first.
Like many other alts we are seeing some serious volume buildup again this time on EOSUSDC and now with another shortsell in scope lies another opportunity for entry to TP.
Pairs equally with BTC & ETH as all 3 prospects seem bullish yet always set stop losses and don’t pivot from fiat currency to maximize ROI and mitigate risk for loss.
Disclaimer
Not financial advise
-@a1mTarabichi
Cyrpto market cap downtrend resumed, clearly bear dominatesThe market cap of the whole crypto-asset topped out at the end of June 2019, reaching 370 billion dollars. However, in the coming month, market cap contracts significantly, steadily declining to 215 billion dollars for the moment.
More interesting is that even the sharp rise at the end of October, when Bitcoin breaks out above benchmark 10,000 $, doesn't change the downtrend in market cap since the market cap doesn't make a high transcending the high of September.
100, 200 Moving average, which depicts the overall market trend, is in a clear downtrend. Look like 200 billion dollar market cap is an important threshold. We are still in a bear market, before any major steep drop, assuming the current trend will continue is the most tenable action for traders who are still active in the market.
NYSE AD Line Positive Divergence Means New High for S&P 500 DJIAI don't usually pay much attention to the NYSE Advance/Decline line, but right now I am. It is doing something very rare. It is creating a positive divergence with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average indexes. If you are not sure what this indicator is, or what positive divergence is, please ask.
When the NYSE AD line makes a new high the index tends to follow nearly all of the time. A positive divergence like this has only occurred 5 times in a correction (not including bear markets) since 1940! All 5 times the index has made a new high inside of 5 months, and 4 out of 5 times inside three months. The positive divergence became apparent about three weeks ago...so the signal suggests a new high inside of the next two months for the indexes.
If we include bear markets (the big market declines) positive divergences in the NYSE AD line have produced major new swing highs in the index 9 out of 10 times since 1940, although due to the magnitude of the drop the price has to recover from, it typically takes about 6 months for the index to record a new major swing high again (major swing highs are used instead of all-time highs, in this case, because it took nearly 3 decades to fully recover from the 1929 crash).
Positive divergence on the AD line (compared to the S&P 500 or Dow) is rare. It has a good track record, so it is worth paying attention to when it occurs. This time could be different. We shall see.
Lowry Research has loads of information on the AD line, it's historical significance, and multiple ways to use it.
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Roku's Fibonacci drop analysisTechnical analysis
OBV keeps a steady uptrend, surprisingly... Since its price has dropped about 40%.
Fibonacci retracement has its 61.8% line at $102.
We are at a SMA(100) support.
Market moving out of growth, into value.
Moving market news
Pivotal research downgrades to $60 (SELL).
Comcast (CMCSA) is gifting its streaming box, it was selling it before at $5.
Note
* Keeping a tight stop limit, there is a great risk reward ratio.
Ichimoku Sell SignalAt The Time of H1 We Have a Distance Between Two Lines Tenkan-sen And Kijun-sen , Distance By Line Kijun-sen Is Covered , After The Cover Price Towards Straight line Kijun-sen line Or %50 Fibonacci Area And Most Likely To Price Channel Support Collision Does .
Stop loss: 1.11032 , 36 pip
Open: 1.10673
Take profit : 1.10066 , 61 pip
End
BTCUSD still on an upward trajectory.Guide band range set to = 4 on the weekly chart.
LVDT levels changed from "LINE" to "Area" and colors adjusted accordingly for those levels.
Price needs to stay within the green band shown.
If price moves to the upper bound within the green band, it is more likely to come down.
If price move to the lower bound within the green band, it is more likely to rebound upwards.
If price breaks significantly into the upper red zone above the green band, it is very likely to get strongly rejected downwards (i.e. during the past ATHs).
For price to advance higher, the collective LVDT band levels needs to first climb higher first to provide the upward "channel" for sustainable growth.
Right now, the LVDT bands looks to be on a healthy steady growth trajectory.
Nuls (and most altcoins) stuck in downward trend vs. BTC.Using Nuls as an example: since I was considering if I should buy some now, due to my personal interest in its fundamentals. However its chart, like with most other altcoins, look horrible at the moment.
Here, the chart shows NULs finding support on top of the thick-green LVDT line on the 3hr chart (note, for BTC, the 3hr, as well as 4hr, and especially the 1D chart works better).
However, LVDT guide bands are in an overall downward trend vs. BTC. I will wait till the overall LVDT bands to plateau before I am confident of investing into altcoins again.
My indicators used:
LIVIDITIUM + 2STDEV-AEONDRIFT {EMA}
LVDT guide-bands + 2 level Standard Deviation bands + with a set of detection algorithms implemented.
FUSIONGAPS {EMA} ( color fills removed here)
Net market Bullish/Bearish state oscillator, with DFG and D2FG indicators implemented.
also check out the following accompanying oscillators.
DIFFERENTIAL FUSIONGAPS {DFG} = Momentum oscillator
DOUBLE-DIFFERENTIAL FUSIONGAPS {D2FG} = Accelerator oscillator
Also the FUSIONGAPS{EMA} 50/15-Series = that shows the FG, DFG, and D2FG lines for 50/15 {EMA}
{SMA} version also available.
You wont regret accumulating NEOGASThis serves as a supplement to:
-Hoarding-NEOGAS-speculative-asset-with-towering-reward-risk
I would like to hear your thoughts. If you are intrigued by the argument below give us a like/follow!
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Just a follow up on one of my favourite assets NEOGAS.
(CREDIT to Darky999)
A few of us in this sub have been discussing / arguing / debating about the NEO vs GAS price.
It's been a great set of discussions, and I've been deliberately antagonistic to others in order to really get a passionate debate flowing. And we certainly did that! It meant I was able to hear so many different opinions, and also to test ideas and theories.
This culminated in me building a fairly large Excel model to tackle this question I reproduced the 'schedule' of NEO generating GAS - it matches the White Paper's exactly, and I modelled all sorts of scenarios over the next 20-30 years (see below for why).
EDIT: HERE IS LINK TO GOOGLE -0.20% SPREADSHEET: docs.google.com
I want to share some insights from that exercise, as the model itself is not the point here, it's what you learn from building it, and the dependencies that you observe that you simply cannot observe by just using words alone. You really cannot just say things and begin to understand the subtleties of the NEO/GAS dynamics, believe me, it's much more nuanced that you think.
There is no way to model the NEO vs GAS price - lets just be clear on this, right now 99.9% of it is simply speculation. Just like ETH is speculation, hey Crypto is ALL speculation right now.
However, if GAS is worth significantly less than NEO then NEO starts to be worth less and less itself, simply because it generates GAS - and it has actual value due to this GAS.
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The thread goes on. I recommend you have a read.






















