Bullish triangle on the JCP chart, watch for a breakout if the price clearly passes and closes above resistance. Chart also has clear indicators of a stong trend with the DMI showing an uptrend and the Aroon showing new uptrend. Would like to see an increase on the OBV along with the others for clarification of a strong trend though.
- S&P is trading above its 100-period SMA, which has turned green, illustrating positive price momentum - Breadth ratio is < 2.0, which is a weak bullish signal, but is starting to gain positive momentum - Net Advance Decline Line is still < 1000, which is a "not as strong" bullish signal, but is above its 21-period EMA and is rising quickly to break 1000
Overall, the AMEX:SPY was trading below its 100-period SMA for a majority of the day, with the 5-minute chart well below the 100-period SMA - Breadth Ratio ( NYSE:UVOL / USI:DVOL ) was showing a ratio of greater than 2.0 which a sign to look for bearish/shorting opportunities on the day - Net Advance/Decline Line ( USI:ADVN.NY - USI:DECL.NY ) was below...
Horizontal movement this stock looks good for swing and position trades. Or as an option trade straddles and strangles. However one interesting aspect is that the OBV is in a trend upward, precluding an long run trend.
Notice that On Balance Volume has been NEGATIVE FOR OVER A YEAR during this year-long topping process and its been on a trend of decline since the trend line of the 2000 to 2007 tops was crossed. Has the mania ended? You tell me; what do YOU think happens next? I'm short...
OBV and RSI indicate a possible bounce to the upside. Keep eye on intraday for continuation downward or break to the upside. If you wanna play both sides a straddle or strangle option strategy two or three months out might be ideal. For a one sided trade check OTM (out-the-money) contracts and the Vol in the options contracts relative to the strike price before...
There seems to be an inverse correlation between XAUUSD and US30. Interestingly Gold began taking off before the recent mini-crash. OBV on Gold was steadily rising whilst OBV on US30 was falling (even while price was recovering). BREXIT has caused deep uncertainty in a number of markets. GOLD has always been a major safe haven. We saw this at every major world...
I'm no expert at Elliott waves, so my waves may be wrongly counted or drawn on this. But I'm watching a number of other things adding up. I see trend strength weakening. I see OBV probably heading down in a struggling bullish market. There is a similar wavy pattern emerging, similar to that around Nov 2015 to Jan 2016. I'd be delighted if others who know more...
This last bullrun on oil prices wasn't really supported by volume and we can see that reflected on the OBV which increased only a fraction of what it fell when prices went from 34 top to 26 bottom. That is, volume was way lower on this 15 USD rally than it was on a drop of only half that amount ! This fake out, is confirmed by the money flow index, now coming...
We have been on a long period with no clear trend, but looking at the weekly indicators, it shows that we just broke a large triangle and it is even shaping a head and shoulders pattern. All the indicators shown are really bearish on this time interval. The best scenario would be an accumulation period that would take longer to define to the upside. I wouldn't...
v of iii circle of 3 appears to have begun in today's afternoon reversal ending the relief rally. Since v would be equal to i at 183, short of iii's termination, expect v to extend to 1.618 of i and end around 178 before the next short term relief rally to circle iv. Main point is that the waves clearly indicate that the main trend has reversed. Also note that...
If you use the weekly time interval and chart price back to the 1200 peak, you will find an interesting thing about OBV: we are at the same point, and we seem to have done a double peak. On the other hand, indicators like the RSI seem to be completing a H&S pattern which would be the beginning of a huge bear cycle. If this is the case, we could go back on the...
Although I have a bearish view on the major global stock market indices from a longer term cyclical perspective ( see older post ) and growing bearish momentum in the beginning of 2016 may well be a starting point, the McClellan oscillator, historically during a deeper market correct when oversold (below -80) has price resume an upward rally. Seeing this in the...
AT&T is a terrible, clandestine company and they deserve to fail. This is not the reason I am shorting them, however. Since the downgrade on 10/09 the stock seems to have trouble achieving and maintaining new levels. Furthermore, the Ichimoku cloud indicates some resistance from above at 35.63 or so, there is a lot of room to spare before we reach that level. ...
(THIS IS THE RIGHT ONE - THE OTHER ONE DOESN'T HAVE OBV OR SPY TARGETS. SORRY!) Sticking with the bearish case for US Equities I've made for most of 2015, I'm currently selling short a pretty significant position in SPY versus a long basket of Equities and bonds from the rest of the world. My rationale: 1. US Equities are still rich versus rest-of-world stocks...
Decision time. Bitcoin can drop further or slowly get back on track. The On Balance Volume (OBV) is declining, but still in a bullish supporting area. LazyBear's Money Flow Support/Resistance (S/R) Level shows with custom setting that the price is near, but also below last support. Entry example for Long $247. Target: $294 Entry example for Short $253. Target:...
Neat downtrend. Inverted H&S (please if you disagree let me know). RSI and CVI (Cumulative Volume Index) both high at Head's peak and low on right shoulders: Note: Since there is no volume, I looked at the CVI, but I don't know anything about it....:( The target (1.077) converges with the top of the downtrend (resistance).