ChartArt

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About me "Speculation is most dangerous when it looks easiest." - Warren Buffett ///// "I believe the market prices are always wrong in the sense that they present a biased view of the future.” - George Soros
Joined Wonderland
'Wave 1' to 'Wave c' trader, trying to reduce stress by becoming a 'Wave 3' to 'Wave 5' trader
Markets Allocation
63 % cryptocurrency 10 % indices 4 % stocks 23 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 30% | 107 SPX 19% | 69 BITFINEX:BTCUSD 12% | 43 BTCCNY 8% | 29
ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: S&P 500: Maximum greed priced in for this month. Next days lower
182 0 7
SPX, D Short
S&P 500: Maximum greed priced in for this month. Next days lower

The "S&P 500" had a very good run in the last weeks. But a peak has formed this month below the weekly R1 resistance, as Venezuela finally and officially defaulted on its bonds (to name just one current risk factor in the news today). Short entry: 2587 Stop loss: 2597 1. Target 2537 2. Target: 2497 Risk to SL at 2597: 10 points Reward (1. Target): 50 points ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: S&P 500: What if history DOES repeat again in 2017?
253 2 7
SPX, D Short
S&P 500: What if history DOES repeat again in 2017?

What if we get a crash similar to the year "1987" or "1957" or "1937" in the year "2017" ? Short entry: 2565 Stop loss: 2580 1. Target: 2530 2. Target: 2500 Risk to stop loss: 15 points Reward to target 1: 35 points Reward to target 2: 65 points FYI: What Black Monday, the Worst One-Day Stock Plunge in History, Would Look Like ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D,
SPX: S&P 500: What if history does NOT repeat again in 2017?
567 1 10
SPX, D
S&P 500: What if history does NOT repeat again in 2017?

Scenario: No "Black Monday" crash next week - 30 years after the "1987" stock market crash. What if there is no large stock market crash in the next week and instead we get to see lots of new all-time highs as bulls keep pressing the marketing higher and higher? Based on my own research the odds for a crash next week have strongly increased going into next ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: S&P 500 - Gap fill move lower in October
187 0 5
SPX, D Short
S&P 500 - Gap fill move lower in October

There is both a old gap from September which can be filled and the risk/reward is also interesting enough, therefore I published this bearish short idea. I have to break one of my trading rules though to come to the conclusion that the "S&P 500" is going lower, therefore the probability for the decline is low. Bulls could also breakout from here, therefore the ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: S&P 500: Maximum greed priced in for this week. Next days lower
242 0 6
SPX, D Short
S&P 500: Maximum greed priced in for this week. Next days lower

If stocks were truly bullish, then the Nasdaq and markets in Europe hadn't taken any pause in rallying strongly higher. Short entry: 2475-2480 Stop loss: 2490 Minimum target 2455 Extreme target: 2425 Risk: 10-15 Reward: 25-30 (up to 55 with the extreme target) News: Trump Signs Russia Sanctions Bill Trump Set To Retaliate To China's "Unfair Trade ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: S&P 500: Maximum greed priced in for this week. Next week lower
298 1 13
SPX, D Short
S&P 500: Maximum greed priced in for this week. Next week lower

If stocks were truly bullish, then markets in the US and Europe hadn't taken any pause in rallying strongly higher today - one day after the Brexit negotiation talks officially started on June 19, 2017. Also on Monday the "VIX" index and also the "SKEW" index closed both green together on the same day while the "S&P 500" and"Dow Jones Industrial Average" both made ...

ChartArt ChartArt BTCUSD, D,
BTCUSD: Bitcoin price reached 1.618 Fibonacci extension of 2012 and 2015
718 1 20
BTCUSD, D
Bitcoin price reached 1.618 Fibonacci extension of 2012 and 2015

Mind blown: There are two ways in which the current Bitcoin price could have been seen as a price target in the past: $9.50 low on 2012-10-27 connected with $1163.00 high on 2013-11-30: Result $1875.86 $1163.00 high on 2013-11-30 connected with $152.40 low on 2015-01-14: Result $1787.55 Using the $152.40 low from 2015 and applying the 1.618 Fibonacci ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Long ,
SPX: S&P 500: Maximum fear priced in for this week. Next week higher
197 2 8
SPX, D Long
S&P 500: Maximum fear priced in for this week. Next week higher

If the market were truly bearish, then "Gold" and "Vix" hadn't taking any pause in rallying strongly higher this week. Instead both dipped lower in the last days and the US stock market remained sideways holding above its lows. Until real strong fear starts creeping back into the market there is no reason to panic. Especially if bears capitulate next week, because ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX500USD, D,
SPX500USD: S&P 500: Maximum fear was not priced in. Mean reversion decision
175 0 7
SPX500USD, D
S&P 500: Maximum fear was not priced in. Mean reversion decision

A major stock market pullback is after the close of the "S&P 500" below the 50 day SMA and the "VIX" volatility 'fear' index closing above the 200 day SMA increasingly more likely than last week. If company earnings disappoints the entire "Trump rally" could turn from euphoria into panic. The result could be a very strong downtrend until Summer 2017. Bulls could ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX500USD, D, Long ,
SPX500USD: S&P 500: Maximum fear priced in. Dodd-Frank repeal rally is next
174 3 6
SPX500USD, D Long
S&P 500: Maximum fear priced in. Dodd-Frank repeal rally is next

The "S&P 500" did not close Tuesday at the lows of the day and also closed above the EMA 50 on the daily chart. The "Russell 2000" small-cap company index ended Tuesday unlike the large-cap US stock indexes with a higher close. And US President Trump floats a complete repeal of the Dodd-Frank bank regulation act, which is very bullish for bank stocks. All of these ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: S&P 500 market crash odds rising due to new black swan events
210 1 5
SPX, D Short
S&P 500 market crash odds rising due to new black swan events

While US stock market bulls are near to establish a bottom above 2334, a bottom area which had just begun to gain increasing odds to hold the lows starting in the second week of April 2017 after recent initial jobless claims dropped and ADP data showed stronger job creation --- now the market can easily fall back into the hands of the stock market bears in the ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Long ,
SPX: S&P 500: The Q1 2017 Earnings Season High-Risk Bull Trap
288 1 8
SPX, D Long
S&P 500: The Q1 2017 Earnings Season High-Risk Bull Trap

Bulls successfully defended the 50 DMA (50 Day Simple Moving Average) price region on March 27 causing a very rare type of reversal of the "VIX" 'fear index' from bearish to bullish for US stocks during that day (see chart link at the end), followed by another strong move higher on Tuesday, March 28, confirming the low at 2322.25 from the day before as a bottom ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: S&P 500: Major US stock market pullback until around May 2017
315 1 12
SPX, D Short
S&P 500: Major US stock market pullback until around May 2017

The Trump rally is forced to take a break after the recent Fed rate hike. A hike which was forced onto the market. A upcoming strong stock market pullback of the "S&P 500" can now easily be blamed on this decision by the Fed. As reaction the Fed is most likely going to cut back on their current plans to hike even more in the year 2017 and then the stock market ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Long ,
SPX: Phase III Of The Trump Rally Starts
288 2 13
SPX, D Long
Phase III Of The Trump Rally Starts

Odds for a March rate hike are low, which helps US stocks. The US Dollar is weak, helping oil, which helps 'US oil' companies and thereby helps the 'S&P 500'. Q1 2017 earnings are mixed, but overall good enough to support the stock market going higher. My original target from two months ago is 2350-2400 and I stay with that ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: Downside risk for the Trump rally
231 2 14
SPX, D Short
Downside risk for the Trump rally

The downside risk is increasing more and more. I have several sell signals already since a few days, but I was waiting for more confirmation from the price. Today's intra-day price action was very bearish with a move higher after the spot open which got rejected and sold off down below 2165 points. Here are arguments for and against a short: Bearish: Former ...

ChartArt ChartArt GLD, M,
GLD: Reminder: Gold investment idea for the year 2017
390 3 15
GLD, M
Reminder: Gold investment idea for the year 2017

Gold could be a great very long-term investment entry to hedge against a crash of the "S&P 500" in the year 2017 and beyond, after the election of Donald Trump. Here is my original "Gold" chart I made 5 months ago. The price of my lower entry arrow has been reached, plus the time window has been reached, which is why I publish this reminder. This chart is posted ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX500, D, Long ,
SPX500: S&P 500 target 2350-2400 in the year 2017
496 1 16
SPX500, D Long
S&P 500 target 2350-2400 in the year 2017

The raging bull market extends further into the year 2017, after the "Italy" referendum was shrugged off. There could be another pullback after the FED meeting this month, but after this super bullish market reaction to the situation in Europe (even if manipulated by the ECB) I see the risk of a new crash diminishing and the opportunity to extend the overall ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: S&P 500 support levels
237 0 12
SPX, D Short
S&P 500 support levels

Amid all this risk here are the price areas of support in case of a sell-off: 1. Main support is around 2050 points, the green shaded area 2. The 200 day moving average seems to give support above 2105-2115 points 3. The 0.5 ratio of the June low to the November high is near 2100 points 4. The high of November 8 right before the US election at 2146.87 could ...

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S&P 500 E-MINI FUTURES
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