ChartArt

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About me "Speculation is most dangerous when it looks easiest." - Warren Buffett ///// "I believe the market prices are always wrong in the sense that they present a biased view of the future.” - George Soros
Joined Wonderland
'Wave 1' to 'Wave c' trader, trying to reduce stress by becoming a 'Wave 3' to 'Wave 5' trader
Markets Allocation
62 % cryptocurrency 12 % indices 4 % stocks 22 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 30% | 107 FX:SPX 19% | 69 BITFINEX:BTCUSD 12% | 43 SP:SPX 8% | 31
ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: S&P 500: Pullback Potential
274 1 4
SPX, D Short
S&P 500: Pullback Potential

Since this Wednesday (Jan 24) the "S&P 500" is starting to get weaker and weaker. The weakness increased on Thursday even more. I remain with my overall bullish outlook towards 3000 points, which I had shared in my last chart analysis. But before the next big push higher the odds for a pullback is increasing on various momentum, rate of change and stochastic ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Long ,
SPX: S&P 500: Parabolic Stock Market Going Parabolic. New Target 3000
402 0 3
SPX, D Long
S&P 500: Parabolic Stock Market Going Parabolic. New Target 3000

Total bear annihilation! Unless the ECB comes up with something very dramatic changing the mood of the market later this week, the path of least resistance is higher, higher and higher ... and also higher. Long target: 2960 Second long target: 3050 Entry: Whenever the market does not go higher for a minute. Ideally there will be at least one pullback back down ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: S&P 500: Bearish RSI divergence remains intact despite new ATH
459 3 6
SPX, D Short
S&P 500: Bearish RSI divergence remains intact despite new ATH

Price action looks like a stop loss raid of those who hedged against a pullback on Monday with a short position. Typically this leads to a sharp and fast move higher, followed by a sudden even stronger pullback at a later point in time. I believe there is a turning point in the trend this week. That's why I doubled down on my bearish outlook. Short entry: 2822 ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: S&P 500: The showdown of the US government shutdown
339 0 3
SPX, D Short
S&P 500: The showdown of the US government shutdown

The Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell is making contingency plans for the growing possibility of a government shutdown ( https://www.fxstreet.com/news/us-senate-majority-leader-plans-for-government-shutdown-politico-201801181642 ). The RSI momentum indicator is starting to show a bearish divergence, after the "S&P 500" had reached my previous long target at ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Long ,
SPX: S&P 500: Parabolic Stock Market Going Parabolic
665 3 5
SPX, D Long
S&P 500: Parabolic Stock Market Going Parabolic

The "S&P 500" appears to be in the "new paradigm" phase of euphoria with nothing stopping the very strong bulls in their relentless push higher and higher. With some luck the open gap gets filled with a brief sharp drop and the market continues to rally higher from there. I simply can't recommend to go long at e.g. currently 2747 points with the market being this ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: S&P 500 gap closing pullback after hitting 2727 points
195 4 3
SPX, D Short
S&P 500 gap closing pullback after hitting 2727 points

A short-term pullback closing the recent gap below 2719 points is possible in the next days, after the market rallied beyond 2729 today. A tight stop loss is recommended in case the market makes new all-time highs in the next week. Short entry: 2728 Stop loss: 2735 1. Target 2714 2. Target: 2700 Risk to SL at 2735: 7 points Reward (1. Target): 14 points ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: S&P 500: Maximum greed priced in for this month. Next days lower
445 0 9
SPX, D Short
S&P 500: Maximum greed priced in for this month. Next days lower

The "S&P 500" had a very good run in the last weeks. But a peak has formed this month below the weekly R1 resistance, as Venezuela finally and officially defaulted on its bonds (to name just one current risk factor in the news today). Short entry: 2587 Stop loss: 2597 1. Target 2537 2. Target: 2497 Risk to SL at 2597: 10 points Reward (1. Target): 50 points ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: S&P 500: What if history DOES repeat again in 2017?
301 2 7
SPX, D Short
S&P 500: What if history DOES repeat again in 2017?

What if we get a crash similar to the year "1987" or "1957" or "1937" in the year "2017" ? Short entry: 2565 Stop loss: 2580 1. Target: 2530 2. Target: 2500 Risk to stop loss: 15 points Reward to target 1: 35 points Reward to target 2: 65 points FYI: What Black Monday, the Worst One-Day Stock Plunge in History, Would Look Like ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D,
SPX: S&P 500: What if history does NOT repeat again in 2017?
620 1 10
SPX, D
S&P 500: What if history does NOT repeat again in 2017?

Scenario: No "Black Monday" crash next week - 30 years after the "1987" stock market crash. What if there is no large stock market crash in the next week and instead we get to see lots of new all-time highs as bulls keep pressing the marketing higher and higher? Based on my own research the odds for a crash next week have strongly increased going into next ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: S&P 500 - Gap fill move lower in October
193 0 5
SPX, D Short
S&P 500 - Gap fill move lower in October

There is both a old gap from September which can be filled and the risk/reward is also interesting enough, therefore I published this bearish short idea. I have to break one of my trading rules though to come to the conclusion that the "S&P 500" is going lower, therefore the probability for the decline is low. Bulls could also breakout from here, therefore the ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: S&P 500: Maximum greed priced in for this week. Next days lower
247 0 6
SPX, D Short
S&P 500: Maximum greed priced in for this week. Next days lower

If stocks were truly bullish, then the Nasdaq and markets in Europe hadn't taken any pause in rallying strongly higher. Short entry: 2475-2480 Stop loss: 2490 Minimum target 2455 Extreme target: 2425 Risk: 10-15 Reward: 25-30 (up to 55 with the extreme target) News: Trump Signs Russia Sanctions Bill Trump Set To Retaliate To China's "Unfair Trade ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: S&P 500: Maximum greed priced in for this week. Next week lower
303 1 13
SPX, D Short
S&P 500: Maximum greed priced in for this week. Next week lower

If stocks were truly bullish, then markets in the US and Europe hadn't taken any pause in rallying strongly higher today - one day after the Brexit negotiation talks officially started on June 19, 2017. Also on Monday the "VIX" index and also the "SKEW" index closed both green together on the same day while the "S&P 500" and"Dow Jones Industrial Average" both made ...

ChartArt ChartArt BTCUSD, D,
BTCUSD: Bitcoin price reached 1.618 Fibonacci extension of 2012 and 2015
810 1 21
BTCUSD, D
Bitcoin price reached 1.618 Fibonacci extension of 2012 and 2015

Mind blown: There are two ways in which the current Bitcoin price could have been seen as a price target in the past: $9.50 low on 2012-10-27 connected with $1163.00 high on 2013-11-30: Result $1875.86 $1163.00 high on 2013-11-30 connected with $152.40 low on 2015-01-14: Result $1787.55 Using the $152.40 low from 2015 and applying the 1.618 Fibonacci ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Long ,
SPX: S&P 500: Maximum fear priced in for this week. Next week higher
205 2 8
SPX, D Long
S&P 500: Maximum fear priced in for this week. Next week higher

If the market were truly bearish, then "Gold" and "Vix" hadn't taking any pause in rallying strongly higher this week. Instead both dipped lower in the last days and the US stock market remained sideways holding above its lows. Until real strong fear starts creeping back into the market there is no reason to panic. Especially if bears capitulate next week, because ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX500USD, D,
SPX500USD: S&P 500: Maximum fear was not priced in. Mean reversion decision
179 0 7
SPX500USD, D
S&P 500: Maximum fear was not priced in. Mean reversion decision

A major stock market pullback is after the close of the "S&P 500" below the 50 day SMA and the "VIX" volatility 'fear' index closing above the 200 day SMA increasingly more likely than last week. If company earnings disappoints the entire "Trump rally" could turn from euphoria into panic. The result could be a very strong downtrend until Summer 2017. Bulls could ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX500USD, D, Long ,
SPX500USD: S&P 500: Maximum fear priced in. Dodd-Frank repeal rally is next
180 3 6
SPX500USD, D Long
S&P 500: Maximum fear priced in. Dodd-Frank repeal rally is next

The "S&P 500" did not close Tuesday at the lows of the day and also closed above the EMA 50 on the daily chart. The "Russell 2000" small-cap company index ended Tuesday unlike the large-cap US stock indexes with a higher close. And US President Trump floats a complete repeal of the Dodd-Frank bank regulation act, which is very bullish for bank stocks. All of these ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Short ,
SPX: S&P 500 market crash odds rising due to new black swan events
214 1 5
SPX, D Short
S&P 500 market crash odds rising due to new black swan events

While US stock market bulls are near to establish a bottom above 2334, a bottom area which had just begun to gain increasing odds to hold the lows starting in the second week of April 2017 after recent initial jobless claims dropped and ADP data showed stronger job creation --- now the market can easily fall back into the hands of the stock market bears in the ...

ChartArt ChartArt SPX, D, Long ,
SPX: S&P 500: The Q1 2017 Earnings Season High-Risk Bull Trap
296 1 8
SPX, D Long
S&P 500: The Q1 2017 Earnings Season High-Risk Bull Trap

Bulls successfully defended the 50 DMA (50 Day Simple Moving Average) price region on March 27 causing a very rare type of reversal of the "VIX" 'fear index' from bearish to bullish for US stocks during that day (see chart link at the end), followed by another strong move higher on Tuesday, March 28, confirming the low at 2322.25 from the day before as a bottom ...

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