Galaxygroup: Ethereum + AI — dAI Team in Ethereum FoundationIn the evolving blockchain landscape of September 2025, the integration of AI into Ethereum marks a pivotal shift, positioning the network as a foundational layer for AI economies. The Ethereum Foundation's newly launched dAI Team, announced on September 15, 2025, focuses on bridging AI agents with blockchain through standards like ERC-8004, enabling verifiable, autonomous transactions without intermediaries. With Ethereum trading at $4,521, this development signals enhanced utility for dApps and potential price catalysts. From Galaxygroup, a leading analytics platform specializing in Web3 metrics and AI signals, we analyze AI integration via ERC-8004, dApp signals (RSI, MACD), and forecasts for ETH reaching $5,000. Data as of September 16, 2025—opportune for traders ahead of the Devconnect conference in November.
Galaxygroup provides real-time dashboards for Ethereum AI tracking; sign up for our demo to leverage these insights.
AI Integration in Ethereum: ERC-8004 and dAI Team
The dAI Team aims to make Ethereum the settlement layer for AI agents, allowing them to discover, verify, and transact securely. ERC-8004, a key focus since February 2025, is a proposed standard for proving AI agent identity and trustworthiness, ensuring tamper-proof interactions and reputation systems. The team will present the finalized ERC-8004 at Devconnect in Buenos Aires this November, fostering AI-driven dApps for payments, coordination, and decentralization.
Impact: ERC-8004 enhances Ethereum's role in AI economies, potentially boosting TVL in AI-integrated DeFi by 30% as agents automate trades and governance. On-chain: Early adoption shows +15% transaction volume in AI-related contracts, with whale interest in ETH up 10%.
dApps Signals: RSI and MACD for AI-Integrated Ethereum
Galaxygroup analyzes key Ethereum dApps and AI proxies (e.g., Fetch.ai FET, SingularityNET AGIX, and ETH itself) using RSI for momentum and MACD for trends, based on the April 2025 uptrend.
ETH ($4,521): Support at $4,350–$4,450 (50% Fibonacci retracement). Resistance at $4,760–$4,900. RSI at 58 (bullish momentum above 50, healthy without overbought). MACD: Bullish crossover (histogram +0.15), signaling accelerating impulse—entry on dips for 10–15% upside. On-chain: Gas fees down 20% post-Pectra, AI dApp TVL +25%.
FET (AI Proxy dApp): Support at $2.50–$2.70 (38.2% Fibonacci). Resistance at $3.00–$3.20. RSI at 62 (strong trend). MACD: Histogram +0.12, divergence bullish—target 12% to $3.20 amid ERC-8004 hype. On-chain: AI agent transactions +30%, integrations with Ethereum up 15%.
Ethereum AI Aggregate (e.g., AGIX/ETH proxies, ~$1.20 equivalent): Support at $1.10–$1.15 (61.8% Fibonacci). Resistance at $1.30–$1.35. RSI at 55 (neutral-bullish divergence). MACD: Squeeze in Bollinger Bands—breakout signal for 8–12% gains. On-chain: dAI Team announcements drove +20% volume in AI contracts.
Overall: RSI 56–60 across AI dApps, MACD bullish—enter longs at Fibonacci supports for Q4 15–20% rally, correlating 0.7 with ETH.
Galaxygroup Forecasts for ETH: Path to $5K
Galaxygroup's AI models project ETH at $5,000 by year-end, a 10.6% rise from $4,521, driven by dAI Team momentum and ERC-8004 adoption. Short-term: Post-announcement rally to $4,760 (RSI >60 trigger), with November Devconnect as a catalyst for $4,900. Long-term: AI integration boosts Ethereum's utility, with TVL exceeding $1 trillion (up 20%) and yields 5–7% in AI-DeFi pools. Risks: Regulatory scrutiny on AI agents; hedge with stablecoins. Bullish sentiment at 71%, with MACD confirming uptrend—$5K achievable if Bitcoin holds $115K.
Conclusion: Trade Ethereum AI with Galaxygroup
Ethereum's AI integration via the dAI Team and ERC-8004 positions it as the backbone for AI economies, with dApp signals (RSI/MACD) flashing bullish for ETH to $5K. Galaxygroup's tools deliver precise on-chain forecasts.
Ready to invest? Join Galaxygroup for AI alerts and demo access. What's your ETH target? Comment below!
#EthereumAI #dAITeam #ERC8004 #ETH #Galaxygroup
Breadth Indicators
Advanzia Group: Tokenization of RWA — BlackRock and $29B On-ChaiIn 2025, the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA) has evolved from a niche trend to a mainstream financial tool, bridging traditional finance with blockchain. The total on-chain RWA market has reached $29 billion (up 260% YTD), with Ethereum dominating at 57%. BlackRock, through its BUIDL fund, leads in tokenized treasuries with $5.5 billion in assets. From Advanzia Group, an analytics platform specializing in Web3 metrics and AI-driven signals, we explore the RWA market, Fibonacci and RSI levels for key tokens (ONDO, MKR, RWA tokens), and trading signals. Data as of September 16, 2025—prime time for positioning ahead of institutional inflows.
Advanzia Group equips traders with dashboards for on-chain analysis; sign up for demo access to seize the edge.
RWA Market Overview: $29B On-Chain, Ethereum 57%
RWA tokenization digitizes assets like treasuries, real estate, and bonds on the blockchain, enabling liquidity and 24/7 trading. The total market stands at $29 billion, with treasuries accounting for 40% ($11.6 billion), led by BlackRock’s BUIDL at $5.5 billion (45% of tokenized treasuries). Ethereum holds 57% ($16.5 billion), followed by Solana (20%) and Polygon (15%). The 260% YTD growth is driven by regulations (MiCA, GENIUS Act) and institutional inflows: $4.7 billion in Q2.
On-chain: DeFi RWA TVL is $150 billion, with transactions up 25% (Ethereum + Solana). Advanzia’s AI detects a 71% bullish sentiment: whale accumulation in ONDO (+15%), with potential for $50 billion by year-end.
BlackRock’s Role: BUIDL and Tokenized Treasuries
BlackRock, with $10 trillion AUM, drives RWA through BUIDL (launched 2024), tokenizing US Treasuries on Ethereum with $5.5 billion in assets. The fund offers a 5.2% yield (above inflation), redeemable in USDC. Impact: BUIDL boosts RWA liquidity by 30%, integrating with Aave and Uniswap. Forecast: BlackRock aims for $2 trillion in RWA by 2030, with BUIDL reaching $10 billion by 2026.
For traders: BUIDL strengthens RWA-treasury correlation (0.8), reducing volatility; BUIDL token RSI at 55 signals neutral-bullish momentum.
Fibonacci and RSI Levels for Key RWA Tokens
Advanzia analyzes top RWA tokens: ONDO (Ondo Finance), MKR (MakerDAO), and aggregated RWA protocols. Levels based on April’s trend.
ONDO ($1.45): Support at $1.20–$1.30 (50% Fibonacci retracement). Resistance at $1.50–$1.60. RSI at 58 (bullish momentum, above 50). MACD: Crossover above zero—signal for 10–15% growth to $1.65. On-chain: TVL $2.5 billion, inflows +20%.
MKR ($2,800): Support at $2,500–$2,600 (38.2% Fibonacci). Resistance at $2,900–$3,000. RSI at 62 (healthy trend, not overbought). Bollinger Bands: Squeeze signals upward breakout. On-chain: DAI collateral $8 billion, RWA integration +15% TVL.
RWA Tokens (aggregate, ~$0.95 equivalent): Support at $0.85–$0.90 (61.8% Fibonacci). Resistance at $1.00–$1.05. RSI at 55 (neutral, bullish divergence). MACD: Histogram +0.12—8% growth momentum. On-chain: Ethereum 57%, treasury inflows $1.2 billion.
Overall trend: RWA RSI 56–60, Fibonacci support at $0.90—bullish for Q4.
Trading Signals from Advanzia Group
Leverage our AI signals for RWA trading:
Long ONDO: Enter above $1.30 (RSI >55), stop at $1.20, target $1.65 (Fib 61.8%). Yield 10–15% on DeFi collateral.
MKR Arbitrage: On MACD crossover and Bollinger breakout, long with DAI hedge; target $3,000, 5% risk.
RWA Aggregate: Buy at Fibonacci support ($0.90), RSI divergence—8–12% upside. Hedge with treasury ETFs.
Forecast: $50 billion on-chain by December, with BlackRock at $10 billion. RWA/BTC correlation at 0.7—diversify 10–20% of portfolio.
Conclusion: Invest in RWA with Advanzia
RWA tokenization at $29 billion (Ethereum 57%) is a breakthrough, led by BlackRock’s BUIDL. Fibonacci and RSI signal a bullish trend for ONDO/MKR. Advanzia’s AI is your tool for signals and on-chain insights.
Ready for growth? Join Advanzia Group for alerts. Which RWA is on your radar? Comment below!
#RWA #Tokenization #BlackRock #Ethereum #AdvanziaGroup
Explanation of the Basic Trading Strategy
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To understand the charts, the basic trading strategy is the concept used.
Let's look at an example.
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The OBV indicator, which follows the Low Line ~ High Line channel, has shown an upward trend as it has broken above EMA 1 and EMA 2.
Afterwards, the DOM(60) and HA-High indicators were formed, ultimately returning the price to its original position.
Since the HA-Low indicator is forming at 0.001888, we need to examine whether it can find support and rise around this level.
In other words, a buy signal is in the 0.001888-0.002045 range, where support is found and the price rises.
Since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators have converged, a sharp rise is expected if the sideways movement ends and the price rises above 0.002877-0.003199.
-
The basic trading strategy is based on the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, indicators developed for trading on Heikin-Ashi charts.
The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High to DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises from the HA-High to DOM(60) range, a step-like upward trend is likely, while if it falls from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, a step-like downward trend is likely.
Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading approach.
Therefore, rather than predicting trends based on the movements of one or two indicators, you should prioritize developing a basic trading strategy.
-
If the HA-Low indicator touches and rises to meet the HA-High indicator, the wave should be considered closed.
Furthermore, if the HA-High indicator touches and falls to meet the HA-Low indicator, the wave should also be considered closed.
Remember that the closing of these waves serves as a benchmark for creating new trading strategies.
Previous waves should be forgotten and new trading strategies developed.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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Volatility Period: Around September 7th (September 6th-10th)
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-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1D Chart)
This volatility period is around September 7th (September 6th-10th).
After this period of volatility, the key question is whether the price can find support and rise above the 4403.87-4749.30 level.
-
To continue the cascading upward trend, the price must rise above 4749.30.
Therefore, we need to monitor whether the price maintains above the 4749.30-4868.0 level.
-
If resistance is encountered at 4403.87 and the price declines, it is likely to decline until it meets the HA-Low indicator.
Therefore, we need to check for support around 4302.41-4403.87.
However, there is a possibility of a rise after touching the previous all-time high (ATH) range of 3900.73-4107.80, so we need to consider a response plan.
If the price falls below 4107.80, it is expected to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and resume the trend.
-------------------------------
The On-By-Signal (OBV) indicator is falling below the Low Line.
The TC (Trend Check) indicator is below 0.
The K value of the StochRSI indicator is showing signs of rising from the oversold zone.
If the High Line of the OBV indicator falls and forms a downward channel, it is highly likely that selling pressure will continue to dominate, so caution is advised when trading.
Therefore, the key issue this time is whether support is found around 4302.41-4403.87.
The TC (Trend Check) indicator is a comprehensive evaluation of the StochRSI, On-By-Signal (OBV), and PVT-MACD Oscillator indicators.
Therefore, if the TC indicator is below 0, selling pressure is dominant, and the price is likely to decline.
If the K value of the StochRSI indicator continues to rise, the price is likely to rise after this period of volatility.
However, for the uptrend to continue, the OBV and TC indicators must show upward trends.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
We wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
Check for support around 3.0361
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-------------------------------------
(XRPUSDT 1D chart)
The next volatility period is around September 24th.
However, we should closely monitor the movements around September 18th, which is also the volatile period for BTC.
The key is whether it can find support near 3.0361 and rise above 3.4037.
If not, we should check for support near 2.9092.
The 3.0361 level is the DOM (60) indicator point on the 1M chart. If it finds support near this level and rises, it could potentially lead to a long-term, step-like uptrend.
However, since the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range on the 1D chart is currently formed in the 3.4037-3.4540 range, a breakout above this range is expected to initiate a stepwise uptrend.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will provide more details when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
Long TLT/SPY📌 Bonds Explained: What They Are, How They Work & Key Risks
Bonds are one of the oldest and most important financial instruments in global markets. They are used by governments, corporations, and institutions to raise money, and by investors to earn income, diversify portfolios, and manage risk.
At their core, a bond is a loan:
The issuer (borrower) raises capital by selling bonds.
The investor (lender) provides money in exchange for periodic interest payments (coupon payments) and the return of the principal (face value) at maturity.
🔹 1. What is a Bond?
When you buy a bond, you are lending money to the issuer. The issuer promises:
Interest payments (usually fixed) on a regular schedule (semiannual or annual).
Repayment of principal (the original investment amount) when the bond matures.
📌 Example:
You invest $1,000,000 in a 10-year bond paying 3% annually (semiannual coupons).
Every 6 months, you receive $15,000 in interest payments.
At the end of 10 years, you (hopefully) receive back your original $1,000,000 principal.
🔹 2. Why Do Companies and Governments Issue Bonds?
Governments → Fund infrastructure, social programs, defense, or refinance existing debt.
Corporations → Finance expansion, research, acquisitions, or refinance loans.
Municipalities → Build schools, hospitals, and roads.
Bonds allow issuers to access large pools of capital without giving up ownership (like stocks).
🔹 3. Why Do Investors Buy Bonds?
Stable Income: Regular coupon payments.
Capital Preservation: Return of principal at maturity (assuming no default).
Diversification: Bonds often behave differently from stocks, balancing risk.
Hedging Inflation/Interest Rates: Certain bonds (like TIPS) protect against inflation.
Relative Safety: High-quality government bonds are considered safe-haven assets.
🔹 4. Key Types of Bonds
Government Bonds
Issued by sovereign states.
Example: U.S. Treasuries, UK Gilts, German Bunds.
Generally low risk, lower yields.
Corporate Bonds
Issued by companies.
Higher yields than government bonds but higher risk.
Municipal Bonds
Issued by local governments or agencies.
Often come with tax benefits for investors.
High-Yield (Junk) Bonds
Issued by lower-credit issuers.
Higher potential returns, but much riskier.
Inflation-Protected Bonds
Coupon/principal linked to inflation.
Example: U.S. TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities).
🔹 5. Three Main Risks of Investing in Bonds
Even though bonds are often seen as “safe,” they carry risks that investors must understand:
1️⃣ Credit Risk (Default Risk)
The issuer may fail to pay coupons or repay the principal.
Higher with corporate bonds and emerging market government bonds.
Mitigated by credit ratings (Moody’s, S&P, Fitch).
📌 Example:
If a company defaults, you may lose part or all of your investment.
2️⃣ Interest Rate Risk
Bond prices move inversely to interest rates.
If rates rise, existing bond prices fall (since new bonds offer better yields).
If you sell before maturity, you could face a loss.
📌 Example:
You bought a 10-year bond at 3%. A year later, rates rise to 5%. Your bond’s market value falls, because investors prefer newer bonds paying higher coupons.
3️⃣ Inflation Risk (Purchasing Power Risk)
Even if you hold the bond to maturity, rising inflation erodes the real value of your returns.
A 3% coupon loses attractiveness if inflation rises to 6%.
📌 Example:
Your bond pays $30,000 annually, but inflation pushes up costs by $40,000 per year → you are effectively losing purchasing power.
🔹 6. Bonds vs. Stocks
Bonds: Debt, fixed income, contractual obligation, lower risk, limited upside.
Stocks: Equity ownership, dividends (optional), higher risk, unlimited upside.
In a company bankruptcy, bondholders are paid before shareholders.
🔹 7. How Investors Use Bonds in Portfolios
Income generation: Retirees and pension funds rely on coupon payments.
Diversification: Bonds often rise when stocks fall, reducing portfolio volatility.
Risk management: Safe-haven bonds (like Treasuries) act as “insurance” during crises.
Speculation: Traders can bet on interest rate moves via bond futures and ETFs.
🔹 8. Bonds vs. Stocks: The TLT–SPY Correlation
One of the most widely followed relationships in global markets is the correlation between:
TLT → iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (tracks long-dated U.S. Treasury bonds).
SPY → SPDR S&P 500 ETF (tracks U.S. equities).
📈 Historical Relationship
Over the past two decades, TLT and SPY have often moved in opposite directions. (The Correlation between SPY/TLT often hovers around 0.)
Why? When stocks sell off, investors typically seek safety in Treasuries, pushing bond prices up (yields down).
This negative correlation makes bonds a powerful diversifier in equity-heavy portfolios (60/40).
📌 Example:
2008 Financial Crisis → SPY plunged ~37%, while long-dated Treasuries (TLT) surged as investors fled to safety.
March 2020 COVID Crash → SPY fell ~34% peak-to-trough, TLT spiked ~20% as the Fed cut rates and investors piled into Treasuries.
🐂 Strategy #1 (MA):
Buy SPY when TLT crosses below the 95 MA.
Sell SPY when TLT crosses above the 95 MA.
🔄 But the Correlation Can Shift
In inflationary environments, bonds and stocks can fall together.
2022 is a perfect example:
Inflation spiked → Fed hiked rates aggressively.
TLT dropped ~30% (yields surged).
SPY also fell ~19%.
Both asset classes sold off simultaneously, breaking the hedge.
🐂 Strategy #2 (Re-Balancing):
Buy TLT at the close of the seventh last trading day of the month.
Sell TLT at the close of the last trading day of the month.
Sell TLT short at the close of the month.
Cover TLT at the close of the seventh trading day of the month.
Higher Returns after rate hikes.
📊 Why This Matters for Investors
In normal times: TLT acts as a counterweight to SPY, smoothing portfolio volatility.
In inflationary shocks: Both can decline, reducing diversification benefits.
Lesson: Don’t assume bonds will always hedge equities — context (inflation, Fed policy, growth cycles) matters.
📌 Practical Uses of the TLT–SPY Correlation
Portfolio Diversification
A 60/40 portfolio (60% stocks, 40% bonds) relies on the negative correlation.
Works best when inflation is low and stable.
Risk-On / Risk-Off Gauge
If both SPY and TLT rise → markets are calm, liquidity flows into both risk and safety.
If SPY falls while TLT rises → classic risk-off move (flight to safety).
If both fall → inflation or policy tightening environment (no safe haven).
Trading Signals
Divergence trades: When SPY rallies but TLT also rallies strongly, it may signal equity rally exhaustion (risk-off brewing).
Macro hedge: Long TLT positions can offset downside risk in SPY-heavy portfolios — but only in disinflationary or deflationary shocks.
🔹 9. EWJ–TLT Correlation: Japan Equities vs. U.S. Treasuries
EWJ → Tracks Japanese equities (large & mid-cap companies).
TLT → Tracks U.S. long-dated Treasuries.
Unlike the classic SPY–TLT inverse correlation, the EWJ–TLT relationship is more complex, shaped by:
Global risk sentiment (risk-on/risk-off flows).
Currency effects (USD/JPY exchange rate).
Japan’s ultra-low interest rate environment (BoJ policy).
📈 Historical Tendencies
1️⃣ Risk-Off Periods (Global crises → flight to safety):
TLT rallies (U.S. Treasuries bid).
EWJ often falls, as Japanese equities are highly cyclical and export-driven.
Negative correlation dominates.
📌 Example:
2008 Crisis → TLT surged; EWJ plunged with global equities.
2020 COVID Crash → Same pattern: safety flows to Treasuries, Japanese stocks sold.
2️⃣ Risk-On Periods (Liquidity, global growth optimism):
EWJ rallies with global equities.
TLT may drift lower (yields rising on stronger growth).
Correlation weak to moderately negative.
📌 Example:
2016–2018: Global growth rebound → EWJ rose, TLT fell as U.S. yields climbed.
3️⃣ Currency Channel (USD/JPY)
Japanese equities (EWJ) are sensitive to the yen.
A stronger USD/JPY (weaker yen) boosts exporters (good for EWJ).
TLT rallies often coincide with USD weakness (yields down, dollar down), which can hurt Japanese exporters, adding another layer of inverse correlation.
🔄 Shifts Over Time
Long-term average correlation: Mildly negative (similar to SPY–TLT, but weaker).
During inflation shocks (2022): Correlation turned positive at times:
TLT fell as U.S. yields spiked.
EWJ also struggled due to global tightening & yen weakness.
Both moved down together, breaking the hedge.
📊 Why EWJ–TLT Matters
Global Diversification Check: Investors often think Japanese equities diversify U.S. equities, but they can be just as cyclical. Adding TLT creates the real hedge.
Risk-Off Signal: When both EWJ and TLT rise, it may indicate global liquidity easing (rare but bullish).
Currency Overlay: Always factor USD/JPY → sometimes EWJ’s move is more about currency than equities.
🐂 Strategy #3 (EWJ):
When Japanese stocks are above their 150-day moving average, go long TLT (US long-term Treasury). When the average is below the 150-day average, stay out. The correlation between TLT and EWJ can serve as a breath signal.
📌 Conclusion: Bonds as the Foundation of Finance
Bonds are the backbone of the global financial system, connecting borrowers (governments, corporations) with lenders (investors).
✅ Bonds provide regular income and capital preservation.
✅ They carry risks: credit, interest rate, and inflation.
✅ They are essential for diversification and risk management.
✅The TLT–SPY correlation is dynamic. Historically negative, providing diversification. In inflationary shocks (like 2022), the correlation turns positive, breaking the hedge.
✅ EWJ–TLT is a Global Macro Hedge, But Fragile. Usually inverse: Risk-off = TLT up, EWJ down. Sometimes aligned: Inflation shocks or synchronized global tightening → both down. Currency filter essential: USD/JPY often mediates the relationship. This makes EWJ–TLT correlation a powerful barometer of global macro regimes: Disinflationary slowdowns → Strong hedge. Inflationary crises → Hedge breaks.
For investors, understanding bonds is crucial, even if you primarily trade equities or commodities, because bond yields influence everything: stock valuations, mortgage rates, and even currency markets.
Check if it can rise above 347.21
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(TSLA 1D chart)
The key is to determine which direction the price breaks out of the two support and resistance areas of 268.07-311.48 and 347.21-382.40.
For a step-up trend to occur, the price must remain above 334.09-347.21.
However, a step-up trend is highly likely only if the price rises above the support and resistance levels of 382.40 and 421.06 on the 1W and 1M charts.
Even so, a larger increase is likely if the price rises above the 334.09-347.21 range on the 1D chart.
-
The 268.07-311.48 range also falls within the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, it's important to remember that the current position is not a buy position, but rather a sell position.
However, for new buys, it's best to initiate them when support is found near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, if possible.
Therefore, when the 268.07-311.48 range acts as a support zone, it can be considered a buying opportunity.
However, since it's within the HA-High indicator zone, trades should be executed with short and quick responses.
The key volatility period is around October 7th, but before that, we should check the movements around September 5th and September 12th.
At this time, the trend is likely to be determined by which direction the price moves: the 268.07-311.48 range or the 347.21-382.40 range.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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MCD produces ending diagonal to terminate 2020 advanceMcDonald’s (MCD) appears to be in the late stages of a long-term Elliott Wave advance, with the final 5th (5) wave nearing exhaustion inside a rising wedge pattern. Momentum divergences and the neckline support around $285 highlight growing risk of a breakdown. If the wedge fails, a corrective phase could unfold, targeting the 210–240 region where prior 4th wave support lies. Until then, upside is capped near $330–340, making the risk-reward skewed toward caution at current levels.
Elementary TA - Cup & HandleIn pure return % from the 2022 bottom (+330%) ; following 'Cup & Handle' TA guidelines, the +330% yields a future CRYPTOCAP:BTC price near the $300k mark...
Using the drawdown % from the 2021 ATH (-76.5%) and applying the same 'Cup & Handle' methodology, we have a more sober target of +76.5% from ~$70k and yield a future CRYPTOCAP:BTC price of $125k...
God speed
CAD/CHF – Bearish Outlook In 3 StepsCAD/CHF – Bearish Outlook 🚨
Pair: CAD/CHF
Bias: Bearish
The CAD/CHF is showing signs of weakness
on the charts. Here’s what to think about:
Fibonacci Breakdown 📉
Price has broken below key Fibonacci
retracement levels, confirming
that the upward correction is exhausted.
Sellers are now in control, and deeper
retracement toward lower
fib zones is expected.
MACD Crossover 🔻
The MACD has crossed bearish, signaling
momentum is shifting
strongly to the downside.
This crossover aligns with the Fibonacci
breakdown, giving confluence
to the bearish setup.
Trend Context 📊
On higher timeframes, CAD/CHF
has been struggling near resistance.
Current structure suggests a potential
continuation lower as the
Canadian Dollar weakens against the Swiss Franc.
📌 Trading Plan
Sell Bias: Look for short entries
below broken fib levels.
Targets: Next Fibonacci zones
lower (0.618 → 0.786 retracement area).
Stop Loss: Above the broken
fib retracement + MACD confirmation zone.
👉 In simple words: CAD/CHF is crashing,
and technicals (Fibonacci + MACD crossover)
confirm the bearish momentum.
Rocket boost this content to learn more.
Disclaimer: Please use a simulation
trading account before you trade with
real money because trading is risky.
Check for support near 111696.21
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The TC (Trend Check) indicator appears to have risen above the 0 level.
Accordingly, the key question is whether support can be found around 111696.21.
For the uptrend to continue, the OBV indicator must rise above the High Line and remain so.
-
The volatility period in September is expected to occur around September 9th, September 19th, and September 28th.
-
Thank you for reading.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
Checking for support near 171.26
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(NVDA 1M chart)
The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises from the HA-High to DOM(60) range, a step-like uptrend is likely, while if it falls from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, a step-like downtrend is likely.
Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading strategy.
-
Looking at the current 1M chart, the HA-High to DOM(60) range is 121.80-138.23.
Therefore, if the price holds above 121.80-138.23, the step-like uptrend is likely to continue.
The left Fibonacci ratio was drawn in the first wave, and the key is whether the price can rise above 3.618 (181.85) and hold.
The right Fibonacci ratio was drawn in the second wave, and the key is whether the price can rise above 1 (198.88).
Therefore, the key question is whether the price can break above the 181.85-198.88 range.
If the price fails to rise,
1st: 152.89
2nd: 121.80-138.23
We need to check for support near the 1st and 2nd levels above.
-
(1D chart)
The HA-High ~ DOM(60) range on the 1D chart is 180.76-182.70.
Therefore, for a stepwise uptrend to begin, the price must rise above 180.76-182.70 and maintain its position.
The 171.26 level is the HA-High indicator level on the 1W chart.
Therefore, the key question is whether support is found near 171.26.
If it falls below 171.26, it is likely to decline until it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
At this point, the key is whether it can find support near 152.89, the Fibonacci 3 level (157.76) to the left.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, there is a possibility of a downtrend, so you should consider a response plan.
------------------------------------------------
If this is your first time hearing this explanation, you may not understand what I'm talking about.
The important thing is that the DOM(-60) and HA-Low indicators indicate lows, while the DOM(60) and HA-High indicators indicate highs.
Therefore, buys should be made near the DOM(-60) and HA-Low indicators, and sells should be made near the DOM(60) and HA-High indicators.
To interpret charts from a long-term perspective, you need to check the positions of the DOM(-60), HA-Low, HA-High, and DOM(60) indicators on the 1M chart.
The 1W chart is interpreted from a medium- to long-term perspective, while the 1D chart is interpreted from a short-term perspective.
In the stock market, price fluctuations are often driven by issues other than the chart itself, so it's important to always be aware of volatility.
Even so, since volatility ultimately occurs after the chart is created, it's best to analyze the chart first and then examine other issues.
Otherwise, you'll likely end up creating a trading strategy that heavily reflects your own subjective opinions.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
The key is whether the price can rise above 240.55 and hold
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(AAPL 1D chart)
The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises from the HA-High to DOM(60) range, a step-like uptrend is likely, while if it falls from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, a step-like downtrend is likely.
Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading strategy.
-
The HA-High to DOM(60) range on the current 1D chart is 229.27-232.78.
Therefore, if the price remains above the 229.27-232.78 range, a step-like uptrend is highly likely.
However, looking at the chart overall, the 226.67-240.55 range corresponds to the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, it is necessary to check for support within the 226.67-240.55 range.
If it rises above 240.55, it is expected to attempt to rise to the 250.42-260.10 range.
The 250.42 and 255.59 levels correspond to the DOM(60) indicator on the 1M chart and the DOM(60) indicator on the 1W chart, respectively.
Therefore, to sustain the mid- to long-term uptrend, the price must rise above 250.42-255.59 and maintain its position.
-
Based on the basic trading strategy mentioned earlier, this is currently within the range for a partial sell-off.
Buying in this range requires a short and quick response, so be cautious.
Buying is possible when the 226.67-240.55 range shows support.
If it falls below 226.67, cut your losses and wait to see how the situation develops.
If the price falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and remains there, there's a possibility of a medium- to long-term downtrend, so a countermeasure is needed.
-
The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is currently at 192.31.
This point is located within the previous all-time high (ATH) range of 182.94-199.62, making the 182.94-199.62 range an important support area.
-
(1M chart)
The area highlighted by the circle represents an important area.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
Volatility Period: Around August 28 (August 27-29)
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
It's rising, with support near 4372.72.
However, since the TC (Trend Check) indicator is at 0, it's unclear where the price will bounce.
Therefore, we need to determine whether support is found around 4630.26 or whether the price falls below 4472.33.
This period of volatility is expected to last from August 27th to 29th.
-
To initiate a cascading upward trend, support must be found around 4749.30.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
The key is whether it can rise above 237.60
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(SOLUSDT 1M Chart)
To understand the strangely drawn trendline, you need to refer to the StochRSI indicator.
This is because the StochRSI indicator was used to draw the trendline.
When the K indicator of the StochRSI forms a peak in the overbought zone, a trend line is drawn by connecting those peaks. When the K indicator forms a peak in the oversold zone, a trend line is drawn by connecting those peaks.
When drawn this way, the trend line drawn in the overbought zone becomes the high trend line, and the trend line drawn in the oversold zone becomes the low trend line.
However, due to the long timeframe of the 1M chart, the high and low trend lines are not separated and are instead displayed as a single line.
Of the three trend lines, we need to determine whether the upward trend can continue along trend line (1).
The DOM (60) indicator is forming at 237.60, so the key question is whether it can break above this level.
Illegible areas are marked with circles.
-
(1W Chart)
Looking at the explanation of the big picture below, a major bear market is expected to begin in 2026.
However, the trend lines drawn on the chart suggest that the upward trend could continue until the first quarter of 2026.
With time remaining until the end of 2025, we need to closely monitor BTC's movements.
The DOM (60) indicator on the 1M chart is at 237.60, so the key question is whether it can break above 237.60 and maintain its price.
However, the DOM (60) ~ HA-High range formed in the 202.45-222.61 range on the 1W chart, so whether it can find support within this range is crucial.
Accordingly, the volatility period on the 1W chart is the period around the week of September 29th, i.e., September 22nd to October 5th.
Please refer to the circled area on the 1M chart for the important period.
-
(1D chart)
This volatility period ends on August 29th.
The next volatility period will be around September 7th.
After the volatility period around September 7th, we need to see if the price remains above 195.92.
If the price remains above trendline (1), it is highly likely that an attempt to rise above 222.61 will occur.
---------------------------------
As mentioned earlier on the 1W chart, the key question is whether the price can rise above 237.60.
To draw a line, we need to examine whether the 202.45-222.61 range provides support and can move upward.
From this perspective, if the 202.45-222.61 range provides support, it's considered a buying opportunity.
However, considering the basic trading strategy, buying in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and selling in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range is necessary, so we can see that this is actually a selling opportunity.
Therefore, executing a new purchase in the 202.45-222.61 range requires a short and quick response.
If you maintain a basic trading strategy, you can either sell in installments to gain psychological stability or choose to purchase additional shares when the 202.45-222.61 range provides support.
-
Some people argue that support and resistance aren't important, but rather whether the price will rise or fall.
Yes, I agree with this.
However, to move up or down, you need to understand the support and resistance points or ranges that serve as reference points.
If you can't distinguish between these, you won't be able to trade, regardless of whether the price is rising or falling.
Therefore, you need to evaluate how important the support and resistance points or ranges formed at the current price are.
If you don't understand this, you'll end up trading by buying late after the price has risen or selling late after the price has fallen.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
Important range: 115854.56-119177.56
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-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This period of volatility is expected to last from August 23rd to 25th.
It found support near 111696.21 and rose above 115854.56.
Therefore, the key question is whether it can find support near 115854.56 and rise above 119177.56.
If it falls below 115854.56, it could fall to around 108353.0.
If it rises above 119177.56 this time and holds, it could attempt to rise near the right Fibonacci level 2.618 (133889.92) during the next volatility period, around September.
Therefore, we should watch for support in the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range of 115854.56-119177.56 and see if it rises above that level.
-
Looking at the OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel, it appears to be transitioning into a downward channel.
Therefore, if the OBV indicator fails to rise above the High Line, there is a possibility of forming a short-term top.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
The key is whether it can find support near 44.46 and rise
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(ZECUSDT 1M chart)
It appears to have broken away from the long-term downtrend line (1).
However, to initiate an uptrend, the price must remain above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
The key is whether the price can rise above 56.29 and hold its value.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether the price can find support around 44.46 and rise above 49.89-56.29.
To achieve this, we need to see whether the price remains above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart after the volatility period around September 1st.
If it fails and falls, we need to check for support near the first and second levels above:
1st: 37.69
2nd: 31.08-33.69
- Thank you for reading.
We wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-Year Bull Market, 1-Year Bear Market Pattern)
I will explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
Check for support near 4302.41-4372.72
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(BTC.D 1M chart)
For an altcoin bull market to begin, the price must either fall below 55.01 and hold or continue its downward trend.
(USDT.D 1M chart)
I believe that USDT dominance must remain below 4.91 or continue its downward trend for the coin market to continue its upward trend.
The maximum decline in 2025 is expected to be around 2.84-3.42.
After that, the coin market is expected to enter a bear market with an upward trend.
------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
It touched the previous all-time high (ATH) range of 3900.73-4107.80 and is showing an upward trend above 4302.41.
Therefore, we need to check whether it can find support around 4302.41-4372.72.
To continue the step-up trend, it's expected to rise above 4749.30.
-
When a new candlestick is formed, a low trend line is expected to form, consolidating the trend line as shown below.
Therefore, the key question is whether the price can rise along the rising channel after the volatility period around August 28 (August 27-29).
-
The 4302.41-4749.30 range represents a high-boundary zone, requiring a short and quick response when trading.
Therefore, if the price finds support near 4302.41 and rises, it would be wise to develop a trading strategy based on the assumption that the first sell-off will occur around 4749.30.
For the uptrend to continue, rising above 4749.30,
- the StochRSI indicator must remain upward with K > D,
- the OBV must rise above the High Line and remain upward,
- the TC (Trend Check) indicator must remain upward. (Preferably, it should show an upward trend above 0.)
If the above conditions are met, I believe the uptrend is likely to continue.
-
If the price falls below 4302.41,
1st: 3900.73-4107.80
2nd: M-Signal on the 1W chart
We need to check for support near the 1st and 2nd levels above.
-
The basic trading strategy is to buy in the HA-Low ~ DOM (-60) range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range.
However, if the price rises from the HA-High to DOM(60) range, it is likely to exhibit a step-like upward trend, while if it falls from the HA-Low to DOM(-60) range, it is likely to exhibit a step-like downward trend.
Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading strategy.
If you purchase a new position because the price appears to be supporting the HA-High to DOM(60) range, you should execute the trade quickly and with short-term responses.
Otherwise, if the price falls below the HA-High indicator, it is likely to decline until it meets the HA-Low or DOM(-60) indicator.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
A rise above 3.725 could start a new bullish wave
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The original TON coin (token) failed, and this is the TON coin that was acquired and rebuilt.
Therefore, there are currently two TON coins, so it's recommended to verify them before trading.
This TON coin was acquired and rebuilt by Coinbase Ventures.
-
(TONUSDT 1D chart)
If the price holds above 3.725, there's a possibility of an upward trend as it breaks above the 4.059-4.668 range.
Therefore, the key question is whether it can find support at 3.440-3.725 and continue upward.
If not,
1st: 3.161
2nd: 2.641-2.900
Check for support near the 1st and 2nd levels above.
If possible, it's best to confirm that the price holds above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart before entering a trade.
-
(1W chart)
If the price rises above 3.725, there's a possibility of a sharp rise as there are no support or resistance levels.
Currently, the volume profile is forming in the 5.770-6.391 range, so there's a possibility that it will rise to that level.
-
Thank you for reading.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
Important range: 10.626-12.130
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Uniswap (UNI) is used on DEX exchanges.
This makes it connected to many ecosystems.
However, it's worth considering whether this coin (token) is worth holding in the medium to long term.
This is because if the DEX exchange fails to activate and fails, it could disappear completely.
Therefore, to trade this coin (token), I recommend holding it by gradually increasing the amount of coins (tokens) that represent profits.
-
(UNIUSDT 1M chart)
The key is whether it can break above the formed channel.
-
(1W chart)
The key is whether it can find support around 10.626 and rise above 14.233-17.073.
If it declines below 10.626, it should check for support around 5.448-6.940.
Therefore, if it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, trading should be halted and the situation should be assessed.
-
(1D Chart)
The key is whether the price can maintain support above 14.233, with support found around 10.626-12.130.
If the price fails to rise, we should check for support around 9.080.
If not, a decline to 6.940 is possible.
Since a short-term upward channel has formed, we should examine whether the price can rise along this channel.
--------------------------------------------------
Increasing the number of coins (tokens) for profit involves selling the original purchase price (+ transaction fees) to retain the coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit.
This increases the number of coins (tokens) with an average purchase price of 0, making it possible to hold them for the medium to long term.
This strategy is more effective in a downtrend than in an uptrend.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
Check if it finds support around 23.98-25.17 and rises
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Chainlink is one of the coins connected to many ecosystems.
Therefore, I believe it's worth holding for the medium to long term.
(LINKUSDT 1M chart)
The key is whether the price can find support around 23.98-25.17 and rise along the uptrend line.
If not, caution is advised as it may touch the lower uptrend line.
-
(1W chart)
If the price finds support around 23.98-25.17 and rises,
1st: 35.28-40.67
2nd: Fibonacci ratio 1.618 (49.01)
It is expected to rise to the 1st and 2nd levels above.
After that, a bearish turn appears likely.
Based on the current price, if it falls below the 19.52-20.51 range, it is recommended to stop trading and wait and see how the situation develops.
-
(1D chart)
Ultimately, the key is whether the price can break above the uptrend line (1).
If not, you should check for support within the circled area marked on the chart.
However, if the price falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, you should stop trading and wait and see how things turn out.
-
Thank you for reading.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------
See if it finds support near 0.21409 and can rise
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(DOGEUSDT 1M Chart)
I'm not sure if I should hold DOGE for the medium to long term.
However, if you plan to hold the coin for the medium to long term, I recommend increasing the number of coins (tokens) that represent profit.
The 0.21409-0.31600 range is an important high point boundary.
If this area supports the price and the price rises, a stepwise upward trend is likely.
To do so, we need to observe whether the price rises along the existing rising channel.
If the price falls below the downtrend line (1), we should stop trading and wait and see how things unfold.
-
(1W Chart)
A new channel has formed by breaking away from the downtrend line (2).
Therefore, the key question is whether the price can rise along this channel and rise above 0.37778.
If possible, I recommend finding support near 0.21409.
-
(1D Chart)
To form a channel, the key is to find support near 0.21409 and maintain the price above 0.24481.
To continue the stepwise uptrend, the price is expected to rise above 0.24481-0.27142.
If it falls below 0.21409, it is expected to meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and re-establish the trend.
The support level is 0.15129-0.16343.
-
Thank you for reading.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
------------------------------------------------------






















