ETH | Long Idea - All time highs soonETH | Long Idea
📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increasing global risk appetite are creating favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
Ethereum is approaching all-time highs, fueled by a $1B single-day ETF inflow. Additionally, rumors of potential SEC approval for Ethereum staking policy could directly boost ETH’s utility — strengthening the long bias.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price is climbing steadily after sweeping LTF liquidity.
Retracements have been shallow due to strong momentum and market hype.
All-time highs are now clearly an institutional / smart money target.
📌 Game Plan
Watch for a sweep of 1H swing lows / equal lows at $4,605 followed by a bullish rejection.
Alternatively, 12H FVG at $4,561 could be taken before rejection — both liquidity runs are valid watchpoints.
🎯 Setup Trigger
Look for a 1H break of structure after liquidity grabs at the mentioned levels.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: 1H swing low that confirms the break of structure.
Target: Direct move towards all-time highs at $4,868.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
Btc-bitcoin
BITCOIN PREDICTION: THIS FIBONACCI SPIRAL WILL BLOW YOUR MIND!! Yello Paradisers! I've revealed to you the secret Fibonacci spiral target. We have been going through multi-timeframe analysis as professional traders. We have been going through the high timeframe chart. We have understood that we are trading inside of that ABC zigzag. Right now, we are in the C wave and we are creating the five moves that are upside. That might take us towards $135,000.
We are right now in the first wave of that fifth wave. We are having bullish divergences on the high timeframe chart. All important indicators like stochastic RSI, RSI, and MACD are having bullish signs, and we have successfully reclaimed the volume profile point of control from resistance into support.
Then, we are turning our focus on the medium timeframe. We are again going through the Elliot wave. We are taking a look at the contracting triangle; the deviation there happened, we are seeing the bullish divergence, and we are updating the Fibonacci spiral. Then we are moving our focus to the low timeframe where we are concluding the Elliot wave count of smaller waves and understanding that the fifth one might be extended.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 10💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe .
👀 After completing its correction, BTC broke the 120,140 zone and consolidated above it, now heading toward higher resistance levels. Increasing buy volume and support from moving averages are observed .
🎮 Fib drawn from the bearish channel breakout to the 122,300 ticker seller zone. The last resistance for ending the correction and forming a new bullish structure was the 0.61 Fib level, which was broken and consolidated above. The next resistance (potential new ATH) is at the 0 Fib level .
⚙️ BTC is approaching the overbought zone on RSI , which could facilitate a stronger push toward resistance and a potential breakout .
👑 Moving Averages:
MAs (medium and low wave cycles) are strongly bullish , showing high momentum .
🕯 Volume & Market Session :
Rising buy volume is noted . We're approaching the New York session, which may bring increased buying pressure. Stay at your system during this session to monitor the chart .
🔔 Set an alert at 122,300 to observe price behavior. This zone offers low-risk trading opportunities , and price action here can guide trade decisions .
🖥 Summary : BTC has broken the key Fibonacci zone, signaling the end of its correction. Taking a long position now may be challenging , but price action at 122,300 can provide a good trading opportunity .
📊 On the 1H timeframe for USDT.D , USDT.D broke the 4.10 zone and is moving downward. The next support is at 3.92 .
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Bitcoin Near $125K Resistance — Is the Rally Over?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) increased to $120,000 after breaking resistances , as I expected in my previous idea .
Bitcoin has already managed to break the Resistance zone($121,000-$119,000) and is moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
According to Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin is completing the 5th major impulse wave . In my opinion, this is the last bullish wave of Bitcoin, and after that we should wait for the main correction of Bitcoin . Do you agree with me that it is time to run and take profit!?
To get a better view of the main waves , I suggest you look at the idea below .
Also, since Bitcoin is correlated with the S&P500 Index ( SP:SPX ) and since I also foresee the possibility of a correction in the S&P500 Index, it is also possible to expect a decrease in the price of Bitcoin based on the S&P500 Index analysis .
I expect Bitcoin to start declining after entering the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($125,000-$122,580) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and at least fill the CME Gap($119,100-$117,425) .
Note: There are heavy sell orders around $125,000.
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $120,866-$119,442
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $117,743-$115,452
What is your opinion on Bitcoin and its trend? Can it see $130,000, or will a main correction begin?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
$BTC Breaking Down. Price bleeds, conviction doesn’t.Price bleeds, conviction doesn’t.
This was originally posted previously <24hrs but was hidden due to a link. Here is the pic of the original so you can see S1 bounced perfectly, lets see how much momentum we can get.
OG Thread continued..
Is this the dip worth buying?
BTC is retesting key quant support zones after a high-volume rejection near $116K. Despite the short-term dip, structure remains bullish from a mid-term lens.
• Quant Support Levels
• S1: $112,412
• S2: $110,935
• S3: $108,711
• Resistance Levels:
• R1: $116,113
• R2: $118,337
• R3: $119,814
On chain metrics:
• On-chain data confirms short-term holder capitulation into high-ownership clusters at $112K–$110K.
• Volatility contraction suggests a base-building phase, not a breakdown.
• Cup-and-handle formation remains valid on higher timeframes.
• Institutional Context:
• Accumulation increasing below $115K.
• Analysts projecting breakout potential to $129K–$133K if BTC can reclaim the $116.1K pivot.
Quant traders are eyeing this pullback as a healthy setup — not a breakdown.
I believe these are perfect accumulation levels anywhere in the blue square should be fine for a play to the upside.
Want Quant levels? Let me know!
BITCOIN Can $160k be the Top???Bitcoin (BTCUSD) closed last week on strong bullish fashion as it completed a formidable green 1W candle following a technical bounce on its 1D MA50 (red trend-line). This is a strong bullish signal as every time the (orange) Fibonacci Channel rebounded on its 1D MA50 after a 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) bounce, BTC extended the uptrend towards a new technical Higher High.
Based on the 1W LMACD, we could be roughly half-way (blue circle) through such a Bullish Leg. As you can see, those Bullish Legs have typically made rounded Tops (red Arcs), with the last two both breaking above the Fib Channel's 0.236 level. At the same time, on the horizontal Fib level, the sequence has applied significant importance to every .618 and .0 interval, with peaks on the 0.618, 1.0, 1.618, 2.0, 2.618. Now what's left realistically before the end of the Cycle at the end of the year are 3.0 and 3.618.
As a result, a rather modest potential Top projection is $160000, which is even conveniently placed just below the 0.236 Channel Fib from late October onwards.
Do you think that could be a potential Cycle Top candidate? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin reach $130,000?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its short-term ascending channel. In case of a downward correction, we can look for Bitcoin buying positions from the channel bottom or the specified support area.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range.
In 2025 so far, global investors have experienced a continuous swing in market sentiment between two distinct modes:
• Risk-on
• Risk-off
In such an environment, assets like gold and Bitcoin have drawn significant attention as safe havens and portfolio diversification tools. Recent data shows that Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have attracted nearly the same amount of new capital as gold ETFs—a development whose significance goes far beyond a mere statistic.
According to a recently published chart, Bitcoin ETFs have managed to draw almost equal inflows to gold ETFs so far this year. This trend suggests that Bitcoin is gradually securing a position similar to gold within the portfolios of both institutional and retail investors. While the two assets are fundamentally different—one being a physical, traditional commodity and the other a digital, emerging asset—the market’s behavior toward them has been strikingly similar.
At the top of the capital inflows ranking, U.S. equities are far ahead, having attracted over $90 billion in new investment. U.S. bonds hold second place with roughly $50 billion in inflows. Gold and Bitcoin follow closely in third and fourth place, each with around $25–30 billion in new capital.
Ethereum, although trailing behind, is growing rapidly and could soon strengthen its position among the market’s primary assets.
Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments, stated in a recent analysis that Bitcoin’s “fair value” should be around $167,800. This valuation is based on the “Energy Value” metric—a model that considers network energy consumption, supply growth rate, and the dollar value of energy as key factors in determining Bitcoin’s true worth.
Following a record-high Bitcoin network hashrate on August 4—reaching 1.031 zettahashes per second—this model estimates the average price at roughly $145,000 and the potential value close to $168,000. According to Edwards, Bitcoin is currently trading at a 31% discount relative to its energy value. He further noted that even in September 2020, when Bitcoin was priced around $10,000, the deviation from its energy value was smaller than it is today.
Capriole’s data indicates that sustained price growth over the long term typically leads to increased network processing power and improved energy efficiency, ultimately boosting Bitcoin’s energy value. However, if price gains are driven purely by speculation without a corresponding rise in energy capacity, the market tends to revert back to the energy value level.
ETH | Swing Long IdeaETH | Swing Long Idea
📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increased risk appetite across global markets are creating favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price has run the HTF liquidity level at $4100.
While the breakout above $4100 was aggressive, it appears price may require additional liquidity before pushing higher.
This idea focuses on a possible ETH retracement and continuation pattern over the coming days to weeks.
📌 Game Plan
If a deep retracement occurs, I’ll be watching the 0.5 Fibonacci discount zone and the 0.75 retracement level for optimal entries.
Key focus: daily demand zone at $3750 — ideally aligned with the 0.75 retracement.
I won’t wait for an exact touch of the 0.75 level; instead, I’ll watch for strength and a clear break of structure to trigger entries.
🎯 Setup Trigger
Look for a 12H–4H break of structure shift after the daily demand zone at $3750 is hit.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: 12H–4H swing low that caused the break of structure
Targets:
TP1: $4088
TP2: $4330
TP3: $5000 (possible swing point)
Will trail stops aggressively to secure profits as price moves in my favor.
💬 Like & follow if you found this breakdown helpful — more setups coming soon!
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 7💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe .
👀 After breaking out of its descending channel, Bitcoin is moving upward with a high-volume whale candle.
🕯 The trading volume and number of trades are rising sharply, and this volume increase during the New York session could lead to Bitcoin forming a new high.
⚙️ Our key RSI level is 74.05. If this level breaks, the volatility of Bitcoin’s long positions could increase significantly, potentially triggering a price surge.
🎮 After breaking the 0 Fibonacci level and pulling back to it, we can open our positions in line with the market structure change and move with the market.
🔒 An upward-sloping trendline has been drawn from the channel’s bottom to the top, and on the fourth reaction to it, Bitcoin bounced and beautifully broke through the channel’s top.
🔔 There’s no specific alert zone unless the current market structure changes, in which case an alert zone will be provided.
🖥 Summary: Bitcoin is moving upward, our long position trigger has been activated, and if the current structure is maintained, it could continue toward higher price levels.
📊 If USDT.D drops below 4.20% BTC might push toward higher targets .
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Bear trap 2 is the strongest 〉170k Next.An update from my latest BTC projection to 140K.
Seeing the current market structure and price action, I can start visualizing potential extensions above 140K, reaching 165-170K.
As illustrated, some key price action behavior that has occurred that supports the idea of a further bull run.
An initial bear trap following by a second one creating even more liquidity which the market will likely target faster and stronger as people go against the trend.
Fundamentals keep adding fuel to BTC...
US opening up more and more at an institutional level, adding BTC to citizen's 401k's;
El Salvador is very likely to be the first country in the world to open a BTC ONLY BANK.. offering private financial services nominated ONLY in BTC;
And the list goes on...
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Of course, one can't fall in love with the idea and must adapt in case price action shows otherwise... the possibility for a correction to 60K is open, although more and more unlikely as price nears ATH and respects bullish structure.
...
GOOD LUCK
persaxu.
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 6💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin rebounded from $114,200 after heavy whale buying. It broke through the $115,530 zone and moved toward its resistance at $117,600, but was rejected twice by strong seller tickers in that area. It is now moving toward its current support levels .
🎮 Key Fibonacci zones to watch are the 0.5 and 0 levels. A breakout of these areas can trigger potential long or short entries, making them valuable as breakout triggers .
⚙️ The important RSI pivot level is 44.87; losing this level could lead to a further correction .
🕯 Trading volume and transaction count are rising, suggesting the possibility of another “Bitcoin season.” Large institutions have been buying at the lows, increasing their positions each time. ETF data has turned highly positive, indicating strong recovery potential and attracting more risk capital .
🔔 There are two alert zones: one at $117,500 and another at $116,000. Setting alerts here can help you better track price behavior .
📊 USDT.D has broken above its range box , A break of the current zone could allow Bitcoin to push higher .
🖥 Summary : After its recent pump, Bitcoin is facing resistance from seller tickers and is trying to break through this zone. As long as BTC stays above $116,000, there is potential for another attempt to set a new high .
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
$MSTR shallow wave 2 underway before explosive move ?MicroStrategy has been caught in a range since Nov 2024 possibly building momentum for a large breakout into price discovery, continuing its huge rally from 2024.
Price appears to ave completed an Elliot wave 1 with wave 2 now underway with a target of the ascending daily 200EMA $340, the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement.
Weekly RSI is currently showing bullish divergence but daily suggests we have one push lower to get to oversold!
Bitcoin stocks have all had a decent retracement causing me to upgrade my Elliot Wave count to a completed macro wave 1 with wave 2 now underway, suggesting the best returns are still to come over the next months for this category asset class in wave 3!
Analysis is invalidated if we go to new highs above $457 or lose $229
New long signals are certainly building in the DEMA PBR and Price Action strategies so keep an eye out on the Trade Signals Substack as we have made very food profits lately in these markets!
Safe trading
$HUT Pulling back to daily 200EMANASDAQ:HUT appears to have complete a larger degree wave 1 of 3 with wave 2 underway.
Looking at the support below we may have a shallow wave 2 targeting the daily 200EMA, major support High Volume Node at the .382 Fibonacci retracement, $17. A shallow wave 2 often happens in strong trending markets as participants are excited and can't wait to buy!
Daily RSI has plenty of room to fall. $19.5 is also the weekly pivot point where price is also expected to find strong support so we may see a reversal from here at the start of next week but these assets are volatile so i would lean towards lower first.
Bitcoin stocks have all had a decent retracement causing me to upgrade my Elliot Wave count to a completed macro wave 1 with wave 2 now underway, suggesting the best returns are still to come over the next months for this category asset class in wave 3!
Analysis is invalidated if we go to new local highs above $23.46 or lose $9.98.
New long signals are certainly building in the DEMA PBR and Price Action strategies so keep an eye out on the Trade Signals Substack as we have made very food profits lately in these markets!
Safe trading
BITCOIN Bounced on its 1D MA50. Bull Flag breaking soon?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) made a beautiful technical rebound on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), testing and holding it on 3 separate 1D candles. This has caused a short-term rebound so far, taking the price to the top of the Channel Down.
As we mentioned on previous analysis, if BTC breaks above that Channel, it will be technically confirmed as a Bull Flag, similar to the May 20 - June 20 pattern. Interestingly enough, that one was confirmed by a 1D MACD Bullish Cross, a formation that the MACD is about to make again. However it is not conclusive as 1 out of the last 3 such sequences was false.
In any case, if the break-out does take place, we are ahead of potentially two targets. Short-term $140000, which would be a +25.45% Bullish Leg, such as the one that led to the current Flag and medium-term $148000, which is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
Which Target do you think we'll hit, if any? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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WE HAVE PREDICTED EVERY MOVE OF BITCOIN - HERE IS WHAT’S NEXT!! Yello Paradisers! we have predicted every single movement on Bitcoin in the past few months, and in this video, I will reveal to you what's going to happen next with the highest probability. Again, on the high time frame chart, we are seeing the ABC zigzag, and right now, we are trading inside of the C wave. Further in the video, we are zooming into the fourth wave.
On the medium time frame, we are seeing bearish divergence that is showcasing an absorption. We are describing Heron-Chorda's target and taking a look at the channel in which the zigzag is being formed. On the low time frame, we are analyzing the Elliott Wave Theory Triple Three pattern, and on the ultra-low time frame, we are analyzing the impulse.
We are describing what kind of conformations we are waiting for. Basically, it's a five ways to the downside. Then, we will be increasing our portfolio exposure on a corrective mode wave to the upside where we will be able to create a tight risk-to-reward ratio position and a high-probability trade setup. Trade smart, trade with a professional trading strategy, be tactical, and enjoy your weekend.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Bitcoin above $116k ┆ HolderStatOKX:BTCUSDT reclaimed the 115k pivot after breaking a local channel that formed within a larger wedge. The surge from triangle consolidation, followed by a controlled pullback and higher‑low, suggests accumulation rather than distribution. As long as 113–115k holds, targets line up at 118.5k, 121k and the extension toward 124–126k along the rising trend fan. Only a decisive close below 112k would invalidate the immediate bullish bias and reopen 109–110k. For now, constructive momentum and structure favor continuation.