BTC-D
BTCUSD H4 | Bearish drop offBitcoin (BTC/USD) has rejected off the sell entry at 113,380.39, which is a pullback resistance and could potentially drop from this level to the downside.
Stop loss is at 115,645.29, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 109,425.81, which acts as a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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BITCOIN The hidden pivot of the Bollinger Bands (140k or 100k?).Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is testing again the basis (black trend-line) of the 1W Bollinger Bands (BB), just 3 weeks after it held and initiated a rebound.
On this chart you can see that since July 2023, every time BTC closed a 1W candle below the BB basis level, the price pulled-back to its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and then rebounded. That is its ultimate long-term Support so far.
As a result, all eyes should be on this week's closing. Below the BB basis, we should most likely seek the 1W MA50 a little above the $100000 mark. Ideally, it should coincide with a 1W RSI Support Zone test (holding since September 2023).
If the BB basis holds though, we should extend the BB top within the $130-140k Zone.
What do you think will come first? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BTCUSD reclaims key horizontal level after liquidity sweep, signaling strength. Breakout confirms bullish intent with Smart Money driving price toward 114,341 target to fill imbalance overhead. Time Frame 3H.
Buy!
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BTC H&S COULD FAIL. THINK ABOUT STOP "SELL" $110.3K ORDERMorning folks,
We're keep watching over big reverse H&S pattern here. Last time we warned about USD liquidity issues, this is actually why BTC collapsed down to 111K support.
And idea was to not buy just at the level, but watch for confirmation in a way of some bullish patterns. Now I do not see any. Widening triangle makes me think that downside action could have even more chances than reversal.
That's why, we think about using of Stop "Sell" entry order around 110.3-110.5K area for position taking if downside breakout will happen. This is comfortable, because if still upside action starts - this order remains unfilled.
As we do not see yet any signs of reversal, we do not consider long entry. Let's see, maybe something will change on Monday. But today I keep "bearish" mark for this idea.
XRP Swing Long Opportunity - LRKZ MODELXRP Swing Long Opportunity
📊 Market Sentiment
FED has resumed its rate-cutting cycle, starting with a 0.25% cut in September, with two more 0.25% cuts expected in the coming months. Additionally, institutional liquidity inflows have accelerated as the U.S. officially adopts crypto as part of its reserves. While inflation remains elevated, the weakening labor market is forcing the FED to ease, driving more capital into risk-on assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price made a new all-time high and is currently retracing before pushing higher again.
Price ran the weekly swing liquidity at $2.70 and closed above with a wick, confirming manipulation before expansion.
Price also retested the broken HTF Demand zone at $2.69, which was strong resistance previously and now acts as strong support.
These confluences strongly suggest rejection and continuation higher.
📘 Model to be used – HTF Liquidity Run into HTF Key Zone (LRKZ Model)
In this model, I first define the HTF trend. Then, I look for the most significant liquidity that lies opposite to the HTF trend (swing highs or lows). These zones often contain enough liquidity to trigger reversals or strong bounces. When price sweeps this liquidity and retests an HTF Key Zone (where strong limit orders sit), it creates a high-probability setup. Confirmation on LTF then provides the entry trigger.
📌 Game Plan
Price already closed above the $2.70 level, confirming entry. Looking for continuation higher with structured targets.
🎯 Setup Trigger
Setup is active long position valid after the daily close above $2.70.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: Daily close below $2.70 or hard stop at $2.50.
Targets:
TP1: $3.18
TP2: $3.37
TP3: $3.66 (ATH)
After TP1 is secured, I will move stoploss to breakeven and scale profits as price moves toward higher targets.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More setups and market insights coming soon — stay connected!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.
SUI Game Plan - Suinetwork📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment remains strongly bullish as the FED is expected to deliver a 0.25% rate cut, with speculation building for a possible 0.5% cut in September. Monetary policy shifts are being driven by both inflation trends and weakening labor market data. The latest August and September job reports were soft, signaling that the economy is cooling rapidly. This environment continues to fuel expectations for a major bullish run in the weeks ahead.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price is on HTF bullish trend so we will be looking only long setups.
Price ran HTF liquidity and closed above then broke the market on daily-weekly timeframe, creating the Daily Demand Zone.
Moreover, price broke the bearish trendline and closed above, giving strong upward momentum. Now price is retracing back into the Daily Demand Zone.
📌 Game Plan
1-Price to hit back to Daily Demand Zone
2-Price to hit possibly 0.75 max discount range zone. If not, I’ll still enter with LTF confirmation.
🎯 Setup Trigger
4H break of structure after hitting 3.36$ level. I won’t enter unless I see the 4H BOS.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: Below 4H swing low responsible for BOS
Targets:
TP1: 3.88$
TP2: 4.17$
TP3: 4.44$
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.
RIOT At First Target!Local Analysis / Targets / Elliot Wave
There was a lot of doubt on TradingView for this breakout but here we are! Price has now come into the High Volume Node resistance after nearly doubling. Wave III appears to be underway with a minimum expected target of $46 per Fibonacci extension tool. Breaking out of the resistance is key for now but once it happens price should move fast.
Standard Deviation Band Analysis
Standard deviation bands show price is only just overcoming its fair value so has plenty of momentum left in it. The SD+2 threshold is the next target at $30.
Safe trading
BTC BIAS IS STILL BEARISH, CAREFULLY AT ZONE 113.20 - 113.50 📊 Market Overview
The market remains in a downtrend, with price still trading below the descending trendline. Buyers are showing some short-term reaction, but overall momentum favors the sellers.
🔑 Key Potential Zones
Upside: price is likely to face strong reaction around the 113.20 – 113.50 area.
Downside: if rejection occurs, price can revisit 112.00 – 111.80 as the next potential target.
✅ Trading Plan
Scenario 1 (Bearish Continuation):
If price rejects around 112.80 – 113.40 (Fibo + FVG), potential short entries targeting 112.00 and then 111.40.
Scenario 2 (Bullish Breakout):
If price breaks and closes above 113.50 trendline, it may test higher FVGs around 114.00 – 114.40 before any continuation.
👉 Summary:
Market bias is still bearish. Watch carefully how price reacts at 113.20–113.50. Rejection = continuation down. Breakout = potential retest higher zones.
Bitcoin Dominance at Channel Resistance – Reversal Ahead?Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) has reached the top of its ascending channel around 58.5%, which is acting as a strong resistance.
🔹 Main Scenario (More Likely):
A rejection from this resistance zone could trigger a pullback toward 57.8% – 58%, giving some relief to altcoins in the short term.
🔹 Alternative Scenario:
If BTC.D manages to break and hold above 58.5%, the next upside target would be around 59%.
⚖️ Conclusion:
• Current levels are risky for further upside.
• Probability of a correction is higher.
• This setup may favor altcoin outperformance if dominance drops.
Bitcoin: What's Next?My Philosophy & Approach
My foundation is the pure chart. I don't consider news or outside opinions, as I see them as secondary. All primary information is already in the price. Of course, no one can give a 100% forecast. The crypto market can fall sharply just as it can rise sharply. This uncertainty must be accepted as the norm. This is why I work from risk, not from expectations.
General Market Sentiment & BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P Analysis
In my opinion, a bearish sentiment prevails in the market. After its drop, Bitcoin isn't having a deep correction but is re-testing the level where the decline stopped, which is a sign of seller pressure. Currently, the price is grinding the 111,959.5 level, but I don't see a strong reaction from buyers even on false breakouts. This indicates their weakness. Although the trading zone of Sept 3-10 creates an obstacle, I am still leaning towards a further decline.
Asset Selection Criteria in Current Conditions
After high volatility comes a dangerous time, so I am especially careful in selecting assets based on two criteria:
Strength Against the Market: Assets that are rising despite the general fall. This indicates the presence of a large buyer.
A Clear Stop: Assets that, after a sharp decline, stopped precisely at a level where large capital absorbed all sales.
What is happening on tuesday 23-2025? An easy trade!🚨 Bitcoin Political Earthquake Incoming Tuesday? 🚨
According to reports, Dennis Porter (Satoshi Action Fund) has teased “major political news” about Bitcoin expected on Tuesday, news he says will “reshape the trajectory of Bitcoin politics” and mark a defining moment.
“There is some ABSOLUTELY huge news coming from the White House on Tuesday afternoon.”
Even Paolo Ardoino, Tether’s CEO, is hyping the event.
Meanwhile, another development may provide a clue (via Cointelegraph):
A Capitol Hill roundtable will bring together US lawmakers and ~18 crypto industry leaders, including Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy), Tom Lee (Fundstrat / BitMine), and Fred Thiel (MARA).
The focus: advancing the BITCOIN Act, introduced by Senator Cynthia Lummis.
The Act proposes that the US federal government acquire 1 million BTC over 5 years.
Key requirement: this must be budget-neutral, possibly funded by seized crypto assets, tariff revenues, or other federal income streams.
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🔎 The Current Market Setup
- BTC is correcting right now.
- Tether minted several billion USDT in the past week, adding fresh liquidity.
If the Bitcoin Federal Reserve law (or even an official endorsement of the BITCOIN Act) is announced Tuesday, we could see a massive upside move.
This dump might be nothing more than liquidity harvesting before a pump. If that’s the case, the risk/reward on positioning before Tuesday looks very attractive.
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🎯 My Trade View
I’m preparing positions in high-volatility altcoins ( CRYPTOCAP:PEPE , SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:BONK , $PUGGY, PUMP.FUN, CRYPTOCAP:SUI , CRYPTOCAP:SOL , CRYPTOCAP:HBAR , etc.) — coins that can easily move +20% if BTC pumps 5%+.
If lawmakers and industry leaders truly want to make a statement with this news, breaking $117K BTC and printing a new ATH would be the ultimate political and financial flex.
Such a move could lift the altcoin market +40% or more.
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On the chart, everything is sitting at the bottom, making this a low-risk setup.
RSI, Stochastic RSI, and MACD are all oversold on the 1H timeframe, suggesting a rebound is likely.
On the 4H chart, momentum is also heading toward the bottom, which aligns perfectly with the shorter timeframe signals.
Overall, the indicators are lining up nicely for a potential bounce.
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⚠️ DYOR: This is speculation until confirmed, but the setup looks explosive.
BTC Swing short SetupIf setup failed, then possible btc may form 3 drive pattern n dump again, in this case will share new setup, while not bearish but looking for a good correction, take short with low margin from first setup, n 4% on second setup must use SL on both short setups. Best Of Luck. Don't short any alt coin, wait for btc to retrace these levels and open long for swing setups, will share some good gems, after confirmation
BTC (LONG)BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Entry range (111600- 113000)
SL 109977
T1 124 900
T2 131 600
Extra Target is optional 139000
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Golden Advices.
********************
* collect the coin slowly in the entry range.
* Please calculate your losses before the entry.
* Do not enter any trade you find it not suitable for you.
* No FOMO - No Rush , it is a long journey.
BTCUSD 4h ShortTerm Chart1. Main Trend
The chart clearly shows a descending channel – the recent upward breakout failed to hold, and the price has returned to resistance.
The pattern of lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL) continues, likely indicating a break to a lower low.
The recent high at ~$118.3k has been rejected, and the market is heading down.
2. Key Levels
Support (red lines):
$111.426 – currently being tested.
$109.408 – stronger support, previous local lows.
$108.100 and $107.356 – further potential targets if the decline deepens.
Resistance (green lines):
$115.775 – the nearest significant resistance.
$118.322 – the upper boundary of the channel and the previous LH.
USD 122,367 – a key breakout level that would reverse the trend.
3. EMA/SMA
The 50 and 200 EMAs (blue/yellow) show a bearish cross, with the price below the averages → a negative signal.
The 200 SMA (~USD 114,137) acts as strong resistance, currently unbroken.
4. Indicators
MACD: lines strongly below the line, histogram rising in the negative zone → a downtrend with a predominance of supply.
RSI: ~33, close to the oversold zone (<30), which could result in a short-term rebound, but there is no upside divergence yet.
5. Scenarios
🔴 Bearish (more likely)
Continuation of the downward move towards 109.4k → 108k → 107.3k.
A break below 107k opens the way to 103–105k (LL2 on the chart).
🟢 Bullish (less likely)
A defense of 111.4k and a return above 114.1–115.7k.
A break above 118.3k would negate the downtrend and open the way to 122k+.
$BTC- Post-OPEX Drop CRYPTOCAP:BTC | 8h
If we get another 7-8% decline, it would be around 108.7k-108.2k.
We are hanging below the monthly and quarterly rolling vwaps. We need to regain 114k for continuation higher.
Worst-case scenario, we sweep the lows back to 105-102k value area retesting the half-yearly rolling vwap.
MARA Wave III Underway!Local Analysis / Targets / Elliot Wave
MARA appears to have begun wave III with a rally out of the range and above the daily 200EMA. Wave III has a price target of the High Volume Node resistance at $31 but with the current tailwindsI I expect to overextend.
RSI is overbought and there is looming resistance from the wave 1 high just ahead. Traders should be cautious of this resistance and expect a range below for a while.
Standard Deviation Band Analysis
Standard deviation bands shows price coming into the fair value regression line as resistance. A breakout above this will bring up the SD+2 threshold target of $55. Bands offered a great buy opportunity when price dipped into the green opportunity zone at $3.
Safe trading
CLSK Moving Fast!Local Analysis / Targets / Elliot Wave
CLSK sentiment was awful as I explained a few weeks ago, it appeared to be in a macro triangle similar to XRP before the x10 breakout. That breakout is now underway with a huge move last week characteristic of wave 3 and reinforcing my analysis. Minimum wave 3 targets are well above $20 and price should move quickly once it over comes the triangle resistance it is now approaching at $15.
Price was front run above High Volume Node support and the golden pocket leaving limit orders behind forcing them to buy higher if they want to participate pushing the price up further.
Daily RSI is overbought but so was NASDAQ:IREN and that continued upwards for weeks, as has $WULF.
Standard Deviation Band Analysis
Standard deviation bands remain negatively sloped but I am expecting that to change and price continues upwards. That said, investors should be weary of a reversal in this area where price spends <5% of the time. Bulls are looking for a sustained move into the zone and a breakout above the SD+3 threshold offering a target of $50.
Safe trading