Bitcoin At Make-or-Break Zone – Long Setup Ahead?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently moving near a Heavy Support zone($111,980-$105,820) , Support lines , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($106,432-$104,513) .
From an Elliott Wave perspective , it seems that Bitcoin might be completing the microwave 5 of the main wave C .
As long as Bitcoin does not break below that Heavy Support zone($111,980-$105,820) , we can still be hopeful about long positions . There's a chance of a fake break of the support lines, and then Bitcoin might bounce back from the PRZ and start rising again.
I expect that after touching the PRZ , Bitcoin could rise back up and move toward the Resistance zone($110,700-$109,380) .
Note: If the support lines break with high momentum, please do not enter a long position.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $113,085-$111,444
Stop Loss: $104,420
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Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
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BTC-D
Bitcoin Dominance Rejection and Altcoin Pump👋🏻 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! Welcome to SatoshiFrame channel.
✨ Today we’re diving into the 1-Day Bitcoin Dominance analysis. Stay tuned and follow along!
👀 On the daily timeframe, Bitcoin dominance has reached a key resistance zone at 60.73%. If this level breaks, we could see a deeper correction across altcoins. However, a rejection and move downward could trigger a strong rally for altcoins. As Bitcoin’s market weight decreases and capital flows into altcoins, we might be entering an early altseason, presenting potential profit opportunities.
🕯 From a technical perspective, Bitcoin dominance is moving within a well-structured ascending channel. The midline of the channel acts as a solid rejection point. A Fibonacci retracement from the previous downtrend shows a 38% overlap with this midline — a tough level to break. After a strong bearish candle rejection from that area, dominance is now heading lower. If the move continues, we could see a test of the channel’s lower boundary, and a confirmed breakdown would strengthen the altcoin bullish scenario.
💰 Typically, capital rotation in crypto follows this pattern: money flows into Bitcoin, then Ethereum, then the top 10 coins, and finally into smaller altcoins — before converting to USDT and exiting the market. With Bitcoin dominance currently at high levels after a solid Bitcoin season, this could signal the early stages of capital shifting toward altcoins. Traders should watch closely for these shifts to maximize profitability.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Break of Support or Multi-Timeframe Trend Reversal ?👋🏻 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! Welcome to SatoshiFrame channel.
✨ Today we’re diving into the 15-Mimutes Bitcoin analysis. Stay tuned and follow along!
👀 On the 15-minute timeframe for Bitcoin, we can see that after breaking a multi-timeframe support, Bitcoin is currently testing its support zone around $100,585.
If this zone breaks, Bitcoin could continue its downward move and experience further decline.
However, if it moves upward and breaks the resistance zone around $102,810, it could trigger a potential trend reversal.
🕯 Pay attention to Bitcoin’s volume — the volume indicator currently shows an increase in selling pressure, suggesting that we might see a short-term volume consolidation before the price continues downward again.
✍️ The current scenarios for Bitcoin include both long and short setups, which you can use to plan your trades based on how the market reacts.
🟢 Long Position Scenario : A break above the $102,810 resistance zone, accompanied by increasing buy volume and bullish momentum, could signal a good long opportunity toward higher levels.
🟥 Short Position Scenario : A break below the $100,585 support zone, along with increasing sell pressure turning into strong selling momentum, could offer a short opportunity in line with the current trend.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTCUSD: Falling Wedge Reversal in Play Toward 106KHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has recently shown signs of recovering bullish momentum after rebounding from the 100,600–101,000 Support Zone, which has acted as a key demand region during previous tests. The market experienced a fake breakout below the wedge support line, but buyers quickly stepped back in, pushing the price back inside the structure — a classic indication of seller exhaustion and accumulation interest.
Currently, BTC is trading inside a falling wedge pattern, which is typically considered a bullish reversal formation. The recent bounce from the lower boundary suggests that buyers are attempting to regain control, especially after the sharp decline from the 113,700 Resistance Zone. The price is now gradually approaching the mid-range of the wedge, signaling a potential continuation toward the upper resistance line.
My Scenario & Strategy
If Bitcoin holds above the 100,600–101,000 support, the bullish scenario remains valid. I expect the price to gradually move toward the 104,000–106,000 area as the next short-term target, aligned with the wedge resistance line. A breakout and confirmed hold above the wedge resistance would likely signal a trend reversal, opening the door for a larger continuation toward the 113,700 resistance zone, and possibly beyond.
However, if BTC loses the 100,600 support again and closes below the wedge, this would invalidate the bullish setup and could trigger a deeper move toward 98,000 before a new structure forms.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #213👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis. The market has been calm for a few days, but we need to stay alert in case a new move starts, so we don’t miss out.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
After reacting to the 0.382 Fibonacci level, Bitcoin started to drop again and reached the 100,308 support.
✨ Currently, after a minor bullish correction, the price is heading back towards the 100,308 support.
✅ Breaking this support still seems like a strong trigger for a short position. Even yesterday, when the price briefly reached this zone with a shadow, we saw clear buying interest in this area, with a significant increase in buying volume as the price touched the support.
🔑 The key point is that every time the price reacts to this level, the buying pressure is getting weaker. Fewer and fewer buyers are willing to buy at this level.
🎲 If this pattern continues, the psychological level of 100,000 will lose its impact, and breaking it will become easier.
⚖️ So, if the price touches this support a few more times, I anticipate a higher chance of the level breaking.
⭐ However, if the buyers show more strength at this level and can push the price above 104,000 with significant volume, we could expect Bitcoin to turn bullish.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Bearish drop off?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 103,498.50
1st Support: 95.526.48
1st Resistance: 111,232.24
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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BTCUSDT: shorv or long today?BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is currently “grinding” around the key 107,500 level, which, in my view, is critical for the market.
Whatever happens around this level will determine the next directional move not only for BTC but for most assets as well. Yes, the crypto market generally follows Bitcoin, but this time the setup looks locally significant — the level is strong.
On the chart, we can see that the price has repeatedly tested it from both sides — above and below — meaning this range is where some participants will lose heavily while others will profit. Such situations usually trigger strong market movements.
I’m waiting for resolution.
I remain focused on short scenarios. If I manage to act before the market moves, I’ll publish today’s watchlist. However, on days like this, it’s not always possible — the number of active assets usually increases, and the priority shifts toward trade preparation, while public analysis takes a back seat.
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BTCUSDT: short 98888.8If we exclude random pumps and dumps, the market is currently suspended in uncertainty.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P neither breaks below the 100,678.0 support level nor bounces back from it — it simply grinds sideways.
A clear local level has formed at 98,888.0, from which BTC has bounced twice in the past two days.
Now, the price is gradually moving toward it again, indicating a short-biased sentiment.
This lack of clarity in BTC’s behavior keeps the entire crypto market frozen.
The only movements come from baseless pumps and dumps, emerging and ending at random points.
However, I believe clarity is approaching — BTC cannot stay in this tension forever.
It will either break upward or fall lower.
My analysis suggests the next move will be down, and that’s when we’ll see the real market move.
For now — we wait.
___
System first:
Every non-systematic profit is bad.
Every non-systematic loss is bad.
Every systematic profit is good.
Every systematic loss is part of the work.
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BITCOIN 's Bear Cycle has started according to the Dollar.It is one of the oldest charts around. Bitcoin (BTCUSD) vs U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). And perhaps one of the most accurate or to phrase it better, one of the most informative.
As you can see, every time the DXY (black trend-line) bottoms and rebounds (green Arcs), BTC tops and corrects (red Arcs), initiating its Bear Cycle.
Right now the news are far from favorable for Bitcoin's Bull Cycle case as the Dollar has broken above the previous Lower High and continues to rebound. That's a potential bottom, hence high probabilities for BTC to start a new Bear Cycle.
Would you trust this chart? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC to Gold Cracking Lower! CAUTION!This could end up turning into a significant crack! for BTC relative to Gold. We have a fight on our hands between Speculation (BTC) and a Safe asset (Gold)
For over 4 years, speculation has not been able to outperform safety, and it is now starting to break lower.
CAUTION! is in order!
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WULF pullback on the cards!Price is struggling at the trend-line boundary on bearish divergence suggesting wave III is complete and wave IV is soon underway.
Due to the size of the rally wave IV could be deep. The usual 0.382 target is down at $8 where it would meet the daily 200EMA.
Daily RSI has printed bearish divergence in overbought.
breaking out above the trend-line could be extremely bullish.
RIOT Respecting the boundariesPrice remains in its uptrend channel demonstrating shallow pullbacks as is characteristic of wave III.
Price is consolidating above support which could lead to a break down below but still within the boundaries of the channel. Daily 200EMA is ascending to meet price and support lines.
Daily RSI has printed unconfirmed bullish divergence at the EQ.
Continued upside has a $40 target at the next High Volume Node.
MSTR further downside but looking exhaustedNASDAQ:MSTR Price continues range bound in a complex wave 4 correction, notoriously hard to analyse. The trend is down but looks exhausted.
Wave Y can complete any time in this flat correction pattern but is approaching the previous swing low and the 0.236 Fibonnacci retracement.
Daily RSI has printed bullish divergence but price continues lower. IF pice breaks down further the next target is $185 where price may find a bottom.
Recovering the daily 200EMA is the first goal.
IREN pullback on the cardsNASDAQ:IREN is breaking out again on huge candle spread, though I am skeptical of continued rally from here without a pullback first. For now the trend is up.
Price has broken out of its momentum channel and formed a range so I am expecting the excitement to trap late comers and traders with a swift reversal in wave 4. Initial downside target is $47 at the High Volume Node and .0236 Fibonacci retracemenet. Stronger downside momentum could test the rising daily 200EMA at the 0.382 Fibs.
Daily RSI has printed unconfirmed bullish divergence at the EQ.
Continued upside keeps us looking at the pivot targets.
HUT Within channel boundary, all fine locallyNASDAQ:HUT Wave 1 appears complete at the channel upper boundary on bearish divergence.
For now the probability is to the upside and the trend is in tact. However, wave (B) of 2 looks complete. Wave C is expected to be strong and scary, capitulating many. Price is expected to terminate at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, High Volume Node support and rising daily 200EMA.
Daily RSI has printed bearish divergence from overbought but also bullish divergence at the EQ. This is ambigous.
Continued upside has a target os the $82 High Volume Node resistance.
Coinbase wave C underway NASDAQ:COIN Price appears to be completing wave C of IV, a corrective pattern to the downside expected to be shallow.
Wave IV are often shallow ending no further than the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement. This is just below the S2 pivot and High Volume Node support. 0.382 is the higher probability target for the end of the downwards move aligning with a swing below the daily 200EMA and S1 pivot.
Daily RSI has room to fall.
Breaking wave B would suggest a new bull move is underway.
CLSK Local analysis, pullback does not violate larger trendNASDAQ:CLSK Price is pulling after a failed breakout falling back into the macro triangle. Behaviour appears to be a textbook corrective ABC which should end with one more thrust down to the S1 pivot before continuation to the upside.
Wave © can be strong and powerful, often where investors capitulate. The target is the High Volume Node support, rising daily 200EMA, Fibonacci golden pocket and S1 pivot.
Daily RSI has room to fall.
Breaking above wave (B) would suggest the correction is over.
CIFR Pullback time?NASDAQ:CIFR Locally, price continues into price discovery with big jumps suggesting wave 3 is still going Wave (5) of 3 appears to be underway which could end at any moment. I am still expecting a retracement to test the previous all time high and punish late investors who are chasing prices up, trapping them into capitulation later.
Wave 4 has a downside target of the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement, High Volume Node support + the trend-line retest, $14. This may also meet the ascending daily 200EMA.
Daily RSI has a series of bearish divergence from overbought which a strong signal for a reversal.
Continued upside could run the daily pivots to $38.
BTDR Consolidation below support often leads to a breakoutNASDAQ:BTDR Locally, price is struggling at the expected High Volume Node resistance but without a major rejection. Consolidation below resistance often leads to a breakout
Wave (3) characteristics are being followed with shallow pullbacks so far. The target for a stronger downwards move is the golden pocket and S1 pivot at $17 which would meet the rising daily 200EMA, adding confluence to a local bottom. This would be normal and should be expected.
Daily RSI has printed unconfirmed bullish divergence at the EQ.
Continued upside would flip $25 resistance into support.
PAXG/BTC (Gold vs Bitcoin) 1W tf till March 2026Indeed BTC is in bear trend vs Gold until the end of March 2026. Gold will appreciate and this means falling crypto market in general.
Currently we are on the brink of a short correction - gold will go down/sideways in BTC terms.
After the correction we will see a rapid appreciation of gold vs bitcoin with one more correction between end of December 2025 and end of January 2026.
End of March 2026 will show us local top of PAXG/BTC.






















