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Bitcoin Decision Time - The levels that matterBitcoin is still holding strong above the $73,000–$75,000 zone, which continues to act as the key higher-timeframe support range. As long as price stays above this zone, the bullish structure remains intact. The main focus now is whether BTC can maintain acceptance above $78,000 and build towards a clean break of $80,000, which is the next major decision point. Failure to hold above $78,000 opens the door for a deeper retest back into the $75,000 region to confirm support. Key Levels I'm Watching: $80,000 — Major resistance. Break and hold = continuation potential. $78,000 — Short-term support. Lose this → pullback likely. $75,000–$73,000 — Critical demand zone. Bulls must defend this area for the broader uptrend to stay healthy. What to Look For: Strong closes above $78k showing buyers still in control. A clean breakout and acceptance above $80k for the next leg higher. Weakness below $78k as an early sign of cooling momentum. Retest of $75k–$73k to see whether buyers step in again. No hype — just the levels that matter and what the chart is signalling right now.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by zartraderguy
bitcoin explodes to 400k.the common man has exited this market. extreme fear persists for the third month straight. funding is extremely negative across 95% of the pairs. everyone is bearish, calling for extended bear markets, calling for the greatest crash in history, doom posting for a living,,, but i am coming here on this morning, to say that i have raised my upside target to 370-400k, with the bottom for this cycle being in. --- this might seem absurd to the mind that's been psychologically conditioned to believe all of the negative headlines which are spoon fed to the people, to ensure they get shaken out. this is absurd, undoubtedly, i wholeheartedly agree with you, but psychologically + structurally speaking, this is the path of least resistance. when the whole market is net short, filled with nothing but extreme fear due to a mass scale psychological operation that's been hand designed to make them feel this way,,, the only path left is up. --- from the 2022 bear market lows, bitcoin came up in what appears to be a 5 wave move, but i'm building an argument, saying that it's not yet finished. my argument states that from the all time highs, to the february 2026 lows btc descended in a sharp wave . which implies we have wave to go. because none of the waves saw an extension, i predict wave sees the extension - fueled by 10+ trillion dollar inflow during a time nobody saw it coming. --- 🎯 = 370k - 400k ps. 10% probability we get above 400k and rally up to 751k.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by lunarsyndicate9
2
Bitcoin CME Gap at $80,000 calls for bullish move after crashBitcoin Futures on the CME exchange is showing a very strong gap around a price level of $80,000. This implies that a bullish move can develop next. This chart shows a bearish continuation pattern, a bear-flag. It can happen that Bitcoin moves up to fill this gap right away. Or, there is a drop first and only afterward the gap is filled. There is no time rule as to when a gap must be filled. It can either work as a magnet for Bitcoin's price or it can be completely ignored. Long-term, it will be filled though. This chart setup shows the development of a very strong v shaped recovery. Namaste.
CME:BTC1!Long
by MasterAnanda
6
Bitsounis / BTC1! - When does the trend change?Good evening everyone so far as we mentioned it has made a good reaction but let's take a closer look at how the price can move and when the climate can change. 📌The basic plan at the moment The basic plan at the moment based on the trend is bears. The goal is the OPEN GAP at the $80,000 levels but also at the high resistance that exists and the price to move sideways downwards with the next possible entey at $55500. 😅The positive scenario but unfortunate based on the trend does not have enough chances, is to go back to the $80,000 levels which is the gap to make a retest at fib lvl and break $88,000 in a long time frame. As you will see in the image above the CPR of the month.
CME:BTC1!
by BitsounisProject
bitcoin expands to 751kgood morning, a small retracement over the last few days has sent 95% of the market into total panic mode. these are the times to be buying, when others are terrified beyond belief, running for cover. --- i predict btc is going to enter into a multi-month- parabola once the previous all the high is properly tested. we don't particularly have to tap the previous all time highs, just gotta hold my green box to confirm expansion. --- often times, extreme fear + miner capitulation create major bottoms, and this time is no different. while retail panic sells their entire bag and exits crypto, there are large entities purchasing everything. don't take my word for it, just see the data yourself 👇 --- gold was in a similar situation not too long ago, i'm sure you remember it yourself. the same kind of feeling you are experiencing today relative to the crypto cycle (structurally speaking). historically, gold runs first, while crypto lags behind it by many months. in all the previous occurrences where gold ran first, crypto ended up outperforming ten fold after. --- my prediction here is very contrarian during these times, and it could be difficult to believe that this is exactly how it's going to play out, so i'm going to add a few more pieces of evidence to back up my theory. --- in previous cycles, btc did not top until the business cycle topped 👇 --- in previous cycles, when dxy broke beneath 97, it triggered end of cycle crypto expansions. we are currently testing the last of supply at 97 before the next leg down 👇 --- i believe this final phase will cause btc dominance to drop rapidly as money aggressively rotates into emerging tech in the alt coin ecosystem. we refer to this occurence as "alt season". not all alt coins will perform equally. focus on emerging tech above all else and don't get shaken out. this is the final test of conviction, and only the strongest hands will make it through this. --- 🎯 = 751k
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by lunarsyndicate9
2
the chart doesn’t care about your fear.( repost, original post on my old account: @notoriousbids ) --- this is not your average joe count. i’m not telling you that btc is going to 185k. the chart is. out here, we close our eyes, take a breath to clear the mind, and when our eyes open, we look at what is in front of us without bias. the chart in front of me looks very constructive. from the lows at $15,460, btc appears to have advanced in a clear three wave move. wave three just printed an extension, which is common in crypto. if you look closely, the sub-waves of wave one and wave four show no overlap. sub-wave one itself extended, giving wave three a contracting appearance, but this was not a contraction. this was a manipulated pause, designed to re accumulate supply during wave four. while you sell and flip bearish, there are entities out there with capital that dwarfs the entire market cap of your bitcoin, quietly absorbing every coin you are willing to give up at these discounted levels. --- wave fours are notorious for producing fear, uncertainty, and doubt. however, we have something on our side that neutralizes that noise completely. it is called the law of alternation. in elliott wave theory, the law of alternation states that if wave two is flat, wave four will be sharp (and vice versa). that is exactly what played out. wave two in 2023 was flat and corrective by nature, which opened the door for the sharp wave four we have been experiencing in the modern day. --- during this sharp wave four, a significant hidden bullish divergence formed between the wave two low and the wave four low, as shown on the chart. this hidden bullish divergence exists across multiple timeframes and on several oscillators, even on the monthly scale. that alone suggests that my 185k upside target may actually be conservative. don’t ask me how high i think this can go. the answer will sound unreasonable to anyone still anchored to fear. --- 🎯 = 185k
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by lunarsyndicate9
3
can bitcoin drop to 38k?gm, this post is a contrarian idea. --- what if the top was in? what if the 4 year cycle is just that, a 4 year cycle. what if the business cycle doesn't re-accelerate until a year from now? --- well, let me tell you what would happen (based on my research). btc would see a bleed out. it won't be fast, it'll be slow and controlled. underwhelming deadcat bounces into trapped sellers who just want to exit at breakeven followed by waterfalls, on repeat. we continue this type of price action until we hit a value area for long term holders, which currently sits below 40k. --- tough to predict exactly how low this could go, so i'll simply say: 🎯 = sub 40k
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by lunarsyndicate9
bitcoin explodes to 750kgood evening, before i share my idea - i'd like to share a disclaimer: what i'm about to say will undoubtedly trigger you. --- the way metals are rallying all of a sudden, re-sparks my original bull case from many years ago. the bull case essentially is pretty simple. the macro bull trend is not finished yet, and btc is in the final 5th wave of the 5 wave impulse. the estimated upside target sits at 753k, but it could in theory go significantly higher. --- the last time gold and silver had comparably strong rallies was in 2020. shortly after, btc explosively ran like 10x, followed by one of the most insane altseasons ever. it might feel hard to imagine right now, but i wouldn’t be surprised if something similar plays out next year. funny how all the signs are there, yet most people are still in complete disbelief. --- note: there is also a chance that wave 5 is in. so if we fail to spark this rally which i portray, it would imply that the grand cycle top could be in. it is important to entertain both scenarios, but it's equally important to keep a very open mind during these times. --- the cycle has thus far has felt very far from regular, so we must treat it differently than we would previous cycles. the main reason for these changes is because of who the new market participants are (institutions) - they're not playing on a 4 year timeline, they're playing in decades. --- 🎯 = 753k
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by lunarsyndicate9
2
here's how bitcoin reaches 185k part 2.good morning, in my last btc post i promised you my macro btc analysis if the post reached 5 likes, so here you are. --- the count is extremely simple; from the 2022 bear market lows, btc has come up quite impulsively. i label the entire leg from september 2023 -> october 2025 as a wave (3). if you look closely, none of the waves overlap in this leg. sure it might have an unconventional look, but it's not invalid by any technical standards. --- if i'm correct with my analysis, wave (5) should see an equal appreciation as the length of wave (1) - could become slightly longer, too. usually in cases such as this, you can measure the distance of wave (1) and project it out from the bottom of wave (4); > look for 100.00% - 123.60% - 161.80% extensions. this puts the average upside target between 161k - 248k --- we have had a sustained reading of extreme fear almost all month. btc is at the bottom of the bullish pitchfork. most people have given up hope. (bullish contrarian signal) business cycle has yet to top. fed man stopped quantitative tightening and has hinted at a balance sheet expansion. aggressive rate cuts. monthly hidden bullish divergence present between wave (2) and wave (4) pivot lows. we are flipping previous cycle highs into support (horizontal support). bitcoin capitulation metric has hit an all time high this cycle (each one has marked a major low). --- all of this leads me to believe that we are not finished with the current bull trend. --- 🎯 = 185k
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by lunarsyndicate9
1
max pain in sight for the bullsgm, i've been entertaining a few ideas on btc, and this one comes to mind today. the possibility of 1 more leg down, to take the rest of the longs that fomoed into the rally this week, and the few who managed to survive the drop from ath by averaging down mindlessly. --- the way we bounced is very reminiscent of a wave 4. btc is teethering on the edge of a negative funding rate (our favorite contrarian indicator) by creating one more low, we will for certain print a massive, multi-week negative funding reading, and that's when a proper buy could take place. --- i have personally decided to fade the rally, and have de-risked quite substantially from the positions i managed to pick up near the lows. --- in my opinion, the path of maximum pain is a sweep of that notorious 75k level that everyone keeps talking about. --- --- 🎯 - 75k
CME:BTC1!
by lunarsyndicate9
4
you're not bullish enough, but neither am i.next 48 hours are key. i believe btc raids 80k with force to stop out everyone who fomo'd into the move over the last 2 weeks in this current range. typical wyckoff accumulation behavior. create a range, make it look like we're going to breakout, and then sweep the lows, taking everyones position before the real breakout. --- fakeout then breakout. --- some elliott wave terminologies, from nov 21st low btc came up in a bearish 3 wave move peaking last friday. from there it came down in a clean impulsive wave to the downside. yesterday we were skeptical about it and entertained multiple scenarios, but after some further thought, i conclude my statement by saying it does indeed look impulsive, and there is a 95% chance we sweep 80k before attempting to bombrush 185k. --- 🎯 = 80k into end of week.
BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
by lunarsyndicate9
btc taps 185kgm, i'm projecting an upside target of 185k for btc. this upside target should in theory be the top of our current bull cycle, the final fifth wave of the impulse which begun back in 2022. for us to reach 185k, we must remain above last weeks low. we also have to sweep the all time highs, to invalidate any bear scenarios which are around. --- sentiment is quite bleak, many people have given up many people think we are in a bear market. my personal upside target sits at 185k, and i'm very bullish on crypto until then. ---- ps. if this post gets 5 likes, i will share my detailed macro bull case for btc.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by lunarsyndicate9
9
185kthis is the last post i will ever make on this account. after today, i will be discontinuing the usage of this account in perpetuity. it will remain a relic of sorts. --- gm, many of you remember me as eloquent trades, or elo. i come today with one final post for you before i disappear onto the dark side of the moon. --- i predict the bitcoin rally is not yet finished, i believe we have one final leg up to go my upside target sits at $185k this cycle. --- once 185k has been attained, i predict a crash like we've never seen before, one that defies logic, one that takes everything away, from anyone associated with this market. --- ps. this is not financial advice, this is merely a theory-craft, the final one on this account. farewell 🌙
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by notoriousbids
7
Bitcoin – Technical Outlook 🔹 Key Zone: 101,500 – 104,500 At the moment, price is trading within this key zone where strong buying and selling activity is taking place — a critical area that will likely determine the next major move. 🟢 Bullish Scenario (Uptrend) If price breaks above and holds above 104,500, this would confirm a continuation of bullish momentum. In that case, price is expected to move higher toward 120,040, with further potential extension toward 125,567. 📈 This zone is an important confirmation area that could signal the beginning of a new bullish leg. 🔴 Bearish Scenario (Downtrend) However, if price drops below and stabilizes under 101,500, this would indicate a potential bearish reversal. In that case, the price may move downward toward the support zone at 97,700 – 93,400. Breaking below this area would confirm further bearish extension toward 88,080. 📊 Summary: Currently, Bitcoin is trading inside the key zone (101,500–104,500). A breakout above or below this range will likely define the next strong market direction — whether a bullish continuation or a deeper bearish correction.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by EvarMayi