Bitcoin Roadmap_ Short termAs I expected in the previous idea , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) began to drop and it reached its target (full target hit).
Currently, Bitcoin is moving near the resistance zone($80,780-$80,380) and the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($81,160-$80,520).
From a classical technical analysis perspective, it seems Bitcoin is completing a pullback to the neckline of a Head and Shoulders Pattern.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it looks like Bitcoin has completed wave 4, and we could anticipate a fifth wave downward.
I expect Bitcoin to at least drop down toward the support lines and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . If the drop does not have significant momentum before financial markets close, we could temporarily expect an upward move after markets close.
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $79,000-$78,000
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $82,430-$81,850
CME gap: $84,560-$83,215
CME gap: $78,545-$78,220
Note: Keep an eye on Middle East developments, especially over weekends, as we've seen significant events recently. Manage your capital prudently.
What’s your view on Bitcoin? Can it drop below $77,000 or not?
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
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Btcsignals
BTCUSD Smart Money Short SetupBTCUSD Intraday Analysis
BTCUSD is currently trading inside a key resistance and supply zone near the 80,400–80,600 region after a strong bullish recovery. Price has formed a short-term consolidation just below resistance, showing signs of liquidity collection before the next major move.
The chart highlights a possible bearish harmonic-style completion around the marked C–D structure. Rejection candles near resistance suggest sellers are defending the zone aggressively. If BTC fails to break and hold above 80,586, the market could trigger a downside correction toward the highlighted target area.
Key observations:
Strong resistance/supply zone around 80,500–80,600.
Support retest is occurring after the recent bullish impulse.
Liquidity sweep possibility above recent highs before reversal.
Bearish projection targets the 79,600 region.
Stop-loss area remains above 81,000, where bearish structure becomes invalid.
Trade Outlook
Bearish Scenario: Rejection from resistance could push BTCUSD toward 79,600 support.
Bullish Invalidation: A clean breakout and close above 80,600–81,000 may continue the uptrend.
Key Levels
Resistance: 80,586
Current Price Area: 80,400
Target Zone: 79,609
Stop Loss: 81,004
Bitcoin Near the 200_SMA— Will This Test Decide the Next Move?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), along with the S&P 500 ( FX:SPX500 ) and Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ), started the new week by resuming its bullish trend. One key reason behind Bitcoin’s rise is its strong correlation with the S&P 500 , which has been hitting new all-time highs throughout this week.
Now, the question is—can Bitcoin continue this bullish momentum? Stay with me.
Currently, Bitcoin seems to have broken support lines and is now back below the resistance zone($81,830-$81,580). It’s also approaching the 200_SMA(Daily), which we can consider the first test of this moving average.
Also, we can see a negative Regular Divergence(RD-) between two consecutive peaks.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin may have completed a five-wave impulse. Unless there’s a surprise event from the S&P 500 or gold—often driven by Middle East developments or political remarks like Trump’s—we should be cautious. Always manage risk carefully, and consider gold and S&P charts alongside Bitcoin.
So, I expect Bitcoin could drop at least toward $81,000, and if downside momentum is strong, we might see further declines.
First Target: $81,000
Second Target: Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($80,100-$79,000)
Stop Loss: $83,123(Worst)
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $86,000-$84,800
CME gap: $84,560-$83,215
CME gap: $78,545-$78,220
What’s your view on Bitcoin? Can it break the 200_SMA(Daily) or not?
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
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BTCUSD (Bitcoin) 1D –Rejection at Resistance, Pullback Incoming?Bitcoin is testing a major resistance zone — and price action is starting to show exhaustion.
📊 Market Structure:
Strong bullish recovery from lows
Price now reacting at key resistance around 78.5K–79K
Multiple rejections near resistance = buyers losing momentum
👉 Market is approaching a decision point.
💡 What the Chart Suggests:
Resistance holding for now
Possible short-term correction before continuation
Liquidity resting below recent lows
🚨 Bearish Scenario (Short-Term):
If BTC fails to break above resistance:
🎯 Targets:
74K support zone
71K major support
Extension toward 65.7K if selling accelerates
🟢 Bullish Scenario:
Strong daily close above 79K
Resistance flips into support
Continuation toward higher highs
🔴 Trade Idea:
Avoid chasing near resistance
Wait for:
Breakout confirmation
Or pullback into support zones
⚠️ Key Insight:
Strong trends often pause at major resistance before the next big move.
🧠 Pro Tip:
If price keeps rejecting the same level repeatedly…
eventually liquidity below becomes the target.
Bitcoin Roadmap _ Macro Signals Turn Against BTCToday, I want to analyze Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) on the daily timeframe to give you a mid-term perspective. In this analysis, I’ve tried to integrate economic indices with Bitcoin’s chart to approximate what we might expect in the coming weeks—so stick with me!
Currently, on the daily timeframe, Bitcoin is moving near a resistance zone ($80,600-$78,250), Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage ($80,600-$79,500), and the 21_SMA (Weekly).
From a classical technical analysis standpoint, on the daily chart, Bitcoin appears to be forming a Bearish Flag Pattern that could continue its downward trend.
From an Elliott Wave Theory perspective, as long as Bitcoin hasn’t touched $80,600, we can count the waves as a five-wave corrective structure downward. Since the last major drop with heavy volume happened near $60,000, the recent upward movement over the past two to three months seems to be corrective in nature. Right now, we seem to be completing the microwave C of the main wave 4.
Since Bitcoin correlates strongly with the S&P 500 index ( FX:SPX500 ), and the S&P500 is near its all-time highs and has made another attempt recently, we could expect a correction there. If that happens, it could also trigger a drop in Bitcoin’s price.
Additionally, USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) might start rising from its support zone and move toward completing its fifth upward wave, which could put downward pressure on crypto assets, especially Bitcoin.
Another key factor is the U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Yield ( TVC:US10 ), which, on the daily timeframe, seems to be forming a bullish flag pattern. If the US10 rises, it could put pressure on financial markets—stocks like the S&P500 index, Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ), and notably, the crypto market—leading to a decline.
Considering all these points, I expect Bitcoin to start a downward move. After touching $74,000, it could drop at least down to $72,000.
First Target: $74,273
Second Target: $72,500
Third Target: $68,000
Fourth Target: $58,400
Stop Loss(SL): $81,000
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $70,500-$69,740
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $66,300-$64,700
CME gap: $84,560-$79,660
CME gap: $69,535-$70,055
CME gap: $67,570-$67,170
CME gap: $54,545-$52,980
Note: Let’s not forget developments in the Middle East. If tensions between Iran and the U.S. escalate and the ceasefire breaks, this could be another trigger for Bitcoin to fall in the days or weeks ahead—so we must factor that in as well.
What’s your view on Bitcoin? Can it surpass $80,000, or should we anticipate more correction?
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), Daily time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Bitcoin Hits the Wall: $80k or Bust?Bitcoin just went on a tear, but it’s currently slamming into a major Supply Zone (that blue box) between $79,200 and $79,600. After a massive short squeeze fueled by the Middle East ceasefire news, BTC is finally showing some "exhaustion" at these highs.
What I’m Seeing:
The Rejection: Notice that sharp red candle right at the top? That’s sellers stepping in to protect the $80,000 psychological level.
The Current Price: We're hovering at $78,708. It looks like the market is catching its breath after liquidating over $300M in shorts today.
The Play: If we can’t close a 30m candle above that blue zone, expect a pullback to test the previous breakout level near $77,200.
Verdict: The bulls are in control, but they just ran into a massive sell wall. It's a "wait and see" moment before the next leg up.
BITCOIN Halvings show EXACTLY WHEN it's going to BOTTOM.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is staging a strong rally this month, following the first green month (March) after 5 straight red. So is this the bottom? Not quite based on the Halving Cycle's Theory.
On this chart you can see that since the July 2016 Halving, every Bull Cycle Top was priced on the 0.382 Time Fibonacci level (red circle) between Halving dates. Similarly the Bear Cycle Bottoms were priced on the 0.618 Time Fib (green circle).
Right now the market found Support exactly on the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) with the previous Bear Cycle bottoming just above the 1M MA100 (green trend-line). The last Cycle Top was priced exactly on the 0.382 Fib and the next 0.618 is on October 2026 based on the expected April 2028 Halving.
So based on this highly effective model, the current 2026 Bear Cycle should bottom this October, which is consistent with the majority of analyses and models we've used. Technically is should test the 1M MA100 as well, so (again consistent with our past analyses) this should be closer to $40000.
So are you also expecting a BTC bottom around October 2026 and the $40k mark? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
If you are wondering how well Halving based technical models work, have a look at the analyses below. It's only a small sample of those we've done over the years:
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Bitcoin Roadmap: One More Push Into ResistanceAt the moment, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) appears to be attempting another push toward the heavy resistance zone($76,600-$71,700).
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems Bitcoin has completed its main wave 4, and we can expect that the main wave 5 has begun.
I expect that in the coming hours, considering the S&P 500 index ( FX:SPX500 ) is also likely bullish, Bitcoin could continue its upward movement, reaching at least the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($74,240-$73,790) and filling the upper CME gap ($73,095-$72,770).
Target: Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($74,240-$73,790)
Stop Loss(SL): $71,220(Worst)
Points may shift as the market evolves
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $70,400-$69,290
CME gap $70,055-$69,535
CME Gap: $67,570-$67,170
What’s your view—can Bitcoin go above $75,000 and break the heavy resistance zone($76,600-$71,700), or will the correction begin again as analyzed?
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
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This Doesn’t Look Like Weakness on BTCEveryone is pretty bearish on BTC right now.
That’s exactly why I’m starting to look higher.
I’m not here to call bottoms.
Nobody sees the bottom in real time — we only recognize it later, when price is already making new highs.
But at this moment, I believe BTC is preparing for a move higher.
And I base this on two things:
1. Technical structure
Since the 60K low in early February, BTC hasn’t done much in terms of direction.
We’ve been stuck in a range between 65K and 73K.
But inside this range, something subtle is happening:
– Lows are slowly printing higher
– Price keeps returning to resistance
– Pressure is building
At first glance, this could look like a bearish flag.
But in this context, I’m not convinced it plays out that way.
2. Sentiment
Right now, the market is leaning heavily bearish.
And if there’s one thing I’ve learned in trading, it’s this:
Be careful when there’s a clear consensus.
Markets don’t reward the obvious.
My plan
I’m looking to buy BTC in anticipation of a breakout and a relief rally.
A move toward 85K is very possible.
And if price gets there, I wouldn’t be surprised to see a spike above 90K — not because the market is strong, but because it needs to clean out the sellers sitting at resistance.
Of course, I could be wrong.
If price breaks below 65K, this idea is invalidated, and the downside continuation becomes the more likely scenario.
Until then, I’m positioning for the move most traders are not expecting (And I'm not speaking about those who only have one narrative: "To the moon!" ). 🚀
Bitcoin Roadmap | Short-termBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), like many other assets recently, has been heavily influenced by the military conflict in the Middle East, as well as the comments from politicians about whether the war will continue or a ceasefire will occur. Thus, today I want to share a short-term analysis of Bitcoin with you using a 15-minute time frame, because longer-term analyses can become too volatile when news events are unfolding rapidly.
Currently, Bitcoin is moving near the support zone($66,400-$64,900), Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($65,300-$64,450), and close to the upper line of a descending channel.
From a classic technical analysis perspective, it seems Bitcoin is completing a five-wave downward structure, which may finish near the lower line of the descending channel.
I expect that, given the importance of Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($65,300-$64,450), we might see a temporary increase, with Bitcoin potentially rising to $66,421. And if the upward momentum continues, we could expect a rise in Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($68,100-$67,000).
First Target: $66,421
Second Target: Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($68,100-$67,000)
Stop Loss(SL): $64,417
Points may shift as the market evolves
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $70,780-$69,380
Note: Recently, Bitcoin has shown a strong correlation with the S&P 500( FX:SPX500 ). Thus, if the S&P 500 drops further, we might see Bitcoin break its support zone($66,400-$64,900) as well.
Note: Any news or escalation of the Middle East conflict can cause a sudden shift in Bitcoin’s trend, so, once again, manage your capital carefully in your trades.
What do you think—do you believe Bitcoin can drop below $64,000 in the coming days, or might we see a temporary recovery for Bitcoin again?
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Bitcoin Roadmap: Watch the Short-Term MovesAs I expected in my previous idea , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) reached all its targets (full target).
With the start of the military conflict in the Middle East, Bitcoin, in general, moved within a range, and this lack of movement likely tested the patience of many traders. Thus, these days, we need to trade very short-term until the main trend of the financial markets is identified quickly.
Currently, Bitcoin is moving near a support zone($70,000-$68,790) and the Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($70,000-$69,490), and after Trump released news about negotiations with Iran today, Bitcoin started to rise—it acted as a trigger for a new Bitcoin rally.
From an Elliott Wave theory perspective, I have considered Bitcoin as a truncated fifth main wave, and I have a bullish scenario for Bitcoin at the moment, suggesting that the fifth wave may be complete, and we could see Bitcoin rise even above $80,000.
I expect that Bitcoin, in the next few hours, will begin to rise again and reach at least the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($72,620-$71,900), and if it rises with momentum, we could expect Bitcoin to approach $76,000 as well.
First Target: Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($72,620-$71,900)
Second Target: $73,690
Third Target: $75,591
Stop Loss(SL): $66,650
Points may shift as the market evolves
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $67,620-$66,950
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $76,600-$75,000
CME Gap: $84,560-$79,660
Note: Any news or escalation of the Middle East conflict can cause a sudden shift in Bitcoin’s trend, so, once again, manage your capital carefully in your trades.
What do you think—can Bitcoin rise above $76,000, or will it drop again? Let me know your thoughts!
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Bearish Continuation Setup on Gold (XAU/USD): Resistance RejectiMarket Overview
The chart of Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar on the 45-minute timeframe shows a clear short-term bearish market structure characterized by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. After a strong bullish phase earlier in the chart, momentum shifted and sellers gained control, pushing price into a sustained downtrend.
1. Trend Structure
The overall structure shows a transition from bullish to bearish momentum.
Price created a major swing high around 5,220–5,240, followed by multiple lower highs.
The recent price action confirms bearish continuation, indicating sellers dominate the market.
Key observation:
➡️ Each rally attempt is weaker than the previous one, a classic sign of distribution and trend exhaustion from buyers.
2. Resistance Zone (Supply Area)
Resistance Range: ~ 5,010 – 5,040
This highlighted zone represents a previous support that has flipped into resistance.
Why this zone is significant:
Multiple candles previously reacted here.
Price retested the zone after the breakdown.
Sellers are likely to re-enter positions here.
This behavior forms a pullback-to-resistance pattern, commonly used for trend-continuation entries.
Trading logic:
Price retraces into resistance.
Liquidity forms above the zone.
Sellers push price downward again.
3. Entry Concept
The chart illustrates a short entry near the resistance zone.
Ideal entry area:
5,015 – 5,035
Confirmation signals traders may look for:
Bearish rejection candles
Lower timeframe structure break
Strong bearish engulfing candle
Momentum shift after the retest
4. Target Zone (Support Area)
Primary Support / Target:
4,850 – 4,880
Reasons this is the logical target:
Previous demand zone
Area where buyers previously stepped in
Liquidity likely sits below recent lows
Aligns with trend continuation projection
This gives the setup a clear risk-to-reward structure.
5. Market Psychology Behind the Move
This setup reflects a classic market trap cycle:
Price breaks support.
Traders expect immediate continuation.
Market pulls back to resistance.
Late buyers enter the market.
Institutions sell into the rally.
Price continues downward toward liquidity.
6. Probability Factors Supporting Bearish Bias
Several confluences increase the probability of downside continuation:
✔ Downtrend structure
✔ Resistance retest (support → resistance flip)
✔ Lower highs formation
✔ Clear liquidity target below
✔ Weak bullish retracement momentum
7. Risk Management Framework
Professional traders typically structure this trade as:
Entry: Resistance zone (5,015–5,035)
Stop Loss: Above resistance (~5,060)
Target: 4,850 – 4,880
This creates a favorable risk-to-reward ratio (approx. 1:3 or better).
✅ Summary
The chart suggests a bearish continuation setup on XAU/USD. Price is currently retracing into a key resistance zone, which previously acted as support. If sellers defend this area, the market is likely to resume the downward trend, targeting the 4,850–4,880 support zone.: Resistance Rejection Targeting Lower Support
Market Overview
The chart of Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar on the 45-minute timeframe shows a clear short-term bearish market structure characterized by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. After a strong bullish phase earlier in the chart, momentum shifted and sellers gained control, pushing price into a sustained downtrend.
1. Trend Structure
The overall structure shows a transition from bullish to bearish momentum.
Price created a major swing high around 5,220–5,240, followed by multiple lower highs.
The recent price action confirms bearish continuation, indicating sellers dominate the market.
Key observation:
➡️ Each rally attempt is weaker than the previous one, a classic sign of distribution and trend exhaustion from buyers.
2. Resistance Zone (Supply Area)
Resistance Range: ~ 5,010 – 5,040
This highlighted zone represents a previous support that has flipped into resistance.
Why this zone is significant:
Multiple candles previously reacted here.
Price retested the zone after the breakdown.
Sellers are likely to re-enter positions here.
This behavior forms a pullback-to-resistance pattern, commonly used for trend-continuation entries.
Trading logic:
Price retraces into resistance.
Liquidity forms above the zone.
Sellers push price downward again.
3. Entry Concept
The chart illustrates a short entry near the resistance zone.
Ideal entry area:
5,015 – 5,035
Confirmation signals traders may look for:
Bearish rejection candles
Lower timeframe structure break
Strong bearish engulfing candle
Momentum shift after the retest
4. Target Zone (Support Area)
Primary Support / Target:
4,850 – 4,880
Reasons this is the logical target:
Previous demand zone
Area where buyers previously stepped in
Liquidity likely sits below recent lows
Aligns with trend continuation projection
This gives the setup a clear risk-to-reward structure.
5. Market Psychology Behind the Move
This setup reflects a classic market trap cycle:
Price breaks support.
Traders expect immediate continuation.
Market pulls back to resistance.
Late buyers enter the market.
Institutions sell into the rally.
Price continues downward toward liquidity.
6. Probability Factors Supporting Bearish Bias
Several confluences increase the probability of downside continuation:
✔ Downtrend structure
✔ Resistance retest (support → resistance flip)
✔ Lower highs formation
✔ Clear liquidity target below
✔ Weak bullish retracement momentum
7. Risk Management Framework
Professional traders typically structure this trade as:
Entry: Resistance zone (5,015–5,035)
Stop Loss: Above resistance (~5,060)
Target: 4,850 – 4,880
This creates a favorable risk-to-reward ratio (approx. 1:3 or better).
✅ Summary
The chart suggests a bearish continuation setup on XAU/USD. Price is currently retracing into a key resistance zone, which previously acted as support. If sellers defend this area, the market is likely to resume the downward trend, targeting the 4,850–4,880 support zone.
BITCOIN Supertrend turned bearish giving hints on Cycle bottom.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just turned red on its Supertrend indicator on the 3W time-frame and that can actually be quite revealing for the remainder of the Bear Cycle.
First of all, with the exception of the 2018 Bear Cycle, there has historically been a very high symmetry between the Supertrend red and green switches. As you can see when the Supertrend turned green, long after the Bear Cycle bottom, it was almost around the same price level as when it turned red. It is a lagging indicator of course but says a lot about the cyclical structure of the market.
What's even more important is that historically (without exceptions), BTC always hit the 2.0 Fibonacci extension from the top of the candle that formed the red Supertrend, forming a Cycle bottom marginally below it. In 2011 and 2018 it even broke below the 2.5 and 3.5 Fib extensions respectively.
On the current Bear Cycle, $50000 falls marginally below Fib 2.0, which is why (as we've mentioned before), it is the right level to start DCA buying for the long-term again. A tes o the 2.5 Fib ext would even get us close to $45000, another Cycle bottom candidate by many technical models.
What price will you be attempting your first buy at? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin: 83k is a resonable target for a leg upAfter printing a local low around 60K at the beginning of February, Bitcoin entered a consolidation phase, with price stabilizing after the sharp decline.
At the moment, the market appears to be pressing toward an upside break, suggesting that buyers are gradually regaining short-term control.
That said, I do not believe this marks the ultimate bottom of the broader move.
However, I do think the market has room for a relief rally.
If Bitcoin manages to stabilize above the 70K level, this could trigger further upside acceleration, with the most obvious technical target sitting around 83K.
Of course, crypto markets can quickly build momentum.
If that happens, I would not be surprised to see an extension toward the 90K area before the next major directional decision.
For now, the key question is simple:
Can Bitcoin establish acceptance above 70K and trigger the next leg higher? 🚀
BTCUSD Bearish Channel Breakdown Targeting 63,600BTCUSD Bearish Channel Breakdown Setup 📉
Bitcoin is trading inside a descending channel and showing clear rejection from the upper resistance zone. Price failed to hold above the key support-turned-resistance area and is now continuing lower, confirming bearish momentum.
Key Technical Points:
❌ Strong rejection from 66,800 – 67,500 resistance zone
❌ Price respecting descending channel structure
❌ Lower highs and lower lows confirming bearish trend
❌ Breakdown below minor support increases probability of continuation lower
🎯 Bearish Targets:
TP1: 65,000 – Psychological level and minor support
TP2: 64,200 – Channel mid-range support zone
TP3: 63,600 – Major support and projected channel bottom
🛡️ Risk Management:
Entry Zone: 66,600 – 66,900
Stop Loss: 67,550 – Above resistance and structure invalidation
📊 Outlook:
Bias remains bearish while price stays below 67,500 resistance. A sustained move below 65,500 will likely accelerate downside momentum toward 63,600 support.
BTC/USD Bearish Channel Rejection – Downside Toward 65KBTC/USD is trading inside a clear descending channel, forming lower highs and lower lows. The recent upward retracement failed to break above the channel resistance and the key supply zone, confirming bearish control.
Key Confluence Zones:
Resistance / Sell zone: 67,400 – 67,800
This area aligns with previous support turned resistance and the upper boundary of the bearish structure.
Downside target: 65,050
This level represents the next major support and the lower channel boundary.
Trade Idea:
Entry: Near 67,400 resistance rejection
Stop Loss: Above 68,400 (above supply zone and structure invalidation)
Target: 65,050
Risk-Reward: Strong bearish R:R within channel continuation structure
Technical Confirmation Factors:
Descending channel intact 🔵
Lower high formed at resistance
Strong bearish rejection from supply zone
Price trading below short-term dynamic resistance
Outlook:
As long as BTC remains below the 67,800 supply zone, bearish continuation toward 65,050 remains the higher-probability scenario. A break below intermediate support could accelerate momentum toward the lower channel boundary.
Bias: Bearish below 67,800 ✅
Invalidation: Sustained breakout above 68,400 ❌
Bitcoin — Strong Reversal Signals Potential Shift in MomentumYesterday turned into an interesting session for Bitcoin, with price staging a strong reversal of nearly 10%, bringing volatility back into the market after a prolonged period of pressure.
🔎 What the Chart Shows
Following the initial drop toward the 60k zone, BTC entered a consolidation phase that developed inside a triangle formation, reflecting temporary balance between buyers and sellers.
Eventually, price broke below the triangle’s support — a move that would normally suggest continuation to new lows.
But something important happened.
Instead of accelerating lower and breaking decisively under 60k, the market failed to follow through, forming a higher low around 62,500.
This lack of downside continuation, combined with yesterday’s strong bullish reversal, may signal that selling pressure is weakening.
📈 Outlook
The combination of:
- failed breakdown
- higher low formation
- strong impulsive recovery
increases the probability of a more meaningful upside reversal developing in the near term.
📌 Trading Plan
At this stage, my bias turns bullish.
👉 I will look to buy dips,
with a potential upside objective around:
🎯 78k zone
✅ Conclusion
Bitcoin may be transitioning from corrective behavior back toward recovery.
Confirmation will come from continued higher lows — but for now, momentum appears to be shifting in favor of buyers. 🚀
Bitcoin Just Pulled a “Fake Breakdown” | Watch What Happens NextAs I expected in the previous idea , Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) hit my first target; however, with the start of the new week, it began to decline again. Now, the question is: Can Bitcoin break the heavy support zone ($78,260-$64,850 or not? Stay with me.
Bitcoin is currently moving near the lower and critical levels of the heavy support zone ($78,260-$64,850. If it breaks the previous price bottom($64,290) on the 4-hour timeframe, it might start a stronger decline. But in my view, that won't happen.
Bitcoin seems to have broken the lower line of the symmetrical triangle, but since it couldn’t continue, it appears to have been a fake break.
From an Elliott Wave theory perspective, Bitcoin still hasn’t completed its upward corrective waves. With the new week, it seems wave X is complete, and we can expect the main upward wave Y.
We can confirm this by analyzing USDT.D%( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ). In my view, USDT.D% might decline, as its main wave four isn’t finished, which could help Bitcoin’s upward movement.
I expect Bitcoin to rise in the coming hours and at least fill the upper CME Gap($67,925-$67,760). The second target could be the upper lines of the symmetrical triangle and the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($70,000-$68,750).
First Target: $68,011
Second Target: $68,696
Third Target: $69,731
Stop Loss(SL): $64,367(Worst)
Points may shift as the market evolves
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $64,270-$63,820
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $60,000-$58,000
CME Gap: $84,560-$79,660
CME Gap: $54,545-$52,980
Note: Since my short-term analysis on the S&P 500 ( FX:SPX500 ) is bullish, the S&P’s rise, given its high correlation with Bitcoin, could also support Bitcoin’s rise.
What’s your outlook for Bitcoin in the coming hours?
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Bitcoin Price Analysis – Key Resistance and Support LevelsThis chart highlights critical price levels for Bitcoin. The Key Resistance Level at 75,123 may lead to rejection or breakout. Minor Resistance at 73,122 suggests a potential pullback. The Support Zones at 69,688 and 68,012 are crucial for potential bounce or stabilization, while the Extreme Support at 65,340 presents a significant reversal zone, with the possibility of a strong recovery if price reaches this level
BTCUSD Rejection at Channel Resistance – Short-Term Bearish SetuMarket Structure
Price was moving inside a rising channel, respecting higher highs and higher lows.
A strong impulsive move pushed price into the upper channel resistance + horizontal supply zone.
Clear rejection formed at resistance (multiple wicks + hesitation), signaling seller presence.
📉 Trade Idea (As Marked)
Entry: Near 67,970 – 68,000 resistance zone
Stop Loss: Above 68,275 (structure + supply invalidation)
Target: Around 67,014 (channel mid / demand area)
📊 Confluence Factors
Channel resistance alignment
Horizontal supply zone
Liquidity sweep above minor highs
Weak bullish follow-through after breakout attempt
🎯 Expectation
Price may form a lower high and rotate downward toward the mid-to-lower channel region near 67,000.
If price breaks and holds above 68,275, bearish setup becomes invalid and continuation higher is likely.
BTCUSD Bearish Channel Breakdown – Support at 66.5K Under PressuMarket Structure:
Price was trading inside a rising channel (bullish corrective structure).
A lower high formed near the upper boundary.
Bearish momentum increased, leading to a breakdown from the internal structure.
Current price is pressing toward key horizontal support around 66,550 – 66,800.
Key Levels:
Resistance / Invalidation: 68,450
Immediate Support / Target 1: 66,550
Extended Target: 65,800 (if support fails)
Major Resistance Above: 69,000
Scenario Outlook:
🔴 Bearish Bias (Primary Setup)
As long as price remains below 68,450, downside pressure remains valid.
Clean break and close below 66,550 could accelerate the drop toward 65,800.
Structure suggests continuation after rejection from mid-channel area.
🟢 Bullish Invalidation
Strong reclaim above 68,450 would invalidate the short idea.
That could open upside toward 69,000.
Conclusion:
Momentum favors sellers after the channel rejection. Watch 66,550 closely — this level will determine whether we see continuation lower or a short-term bounce.






















