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Btcusdanalysis

BTC continues to accumulate, waiting for breakout to go up💎 MID-WEEK BTC PLAN UPDATE (06/08) Brief BTC Analysis – 4H Timeframe: • Main Trend: Price is consolidating within a descending channel (green diagonal lines). • Support: The 112,500–113,000 zone has been tested twice and bounced (green arrows). • Resistance: The 114,800–115,200 zone (purple area) – this is the key level that will determine the next trend. ⸻ Two main scenarios: 🔺 Bullish Scenario (Preferred): • Price breaks above the 115,200 resistance zone → confirms a breakout from the descending channel. • Next targets: 116,500 → 119,000. 🔻 Bearish Scenario: • Price gets rejected at around 115,000 and breaks below the 113,000 support → likely to revisit 110,000. 📌 Key Signals to Watch: • A clear breakout above 115,200 with volume is a strong buy signal. • If the price fails to break this zone, consider selling once there is a clear bearish reaction.
Long
by Nova-Scalper
1
BTCUSD manages to hold the lower border of the – Rebound LikelyBTCUSD manages to hold the lower border of the descending channel, ready to rebound. BTCUSD broke below 116,000.00 support level on August 1 and declined towards 112,000.00 support level. Afterwards, the asset successfully rebounded from it. Although, we noticed 2 false breakouts of the channel, in general the asset tries hold itself within the descending channel, still showing us the strength of this formation. Here, the rebound towards 118,000.00 level is expected with intermediate consolidation slightly above the 116,000.00. In the long term, the asset still moves within the descending channel, so no new long-term bullish momentum is expected.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ProfessorSingapore
BTC(20250806) market analysis and operationAugust 6th BTC Contract Technical Analysis: Today, the large-scale daily chart closed with a small bullish candlestick pattern, with consecutive bullish candlesticks. However, the price remains consolidating at a high level, with no signs of an upward breakout. The accompanying indicator forms a death cross. Therefore, based on the current trend, the price is still within the range, with rising and falling prices unlikely to continue or break out of the range. Therefore, trading should be considered within the range. The short-term hourly chart showed yesterday's intraday gains, followed by pressure and declines in the European session, with the US session continuing its correction. Prices rebounded after finding support in the Asian morning. The current candlestick pattern shows consecutive bullish candlesticks, with the accompanying indicator forming a golden cross. Therefore, an intraday rise is highly likely, but the overall trend is stuck in a range-bound market, so a one-sided trend should not be considered. Today's BTC Short-Term Contract Trading Strategy: Buy on a pullback to the 113,700 area, with a stop-loss at 113,200 and a target of 115,000. Sell on a touchdown to the 115,200 area, with a stop-loss at 115,700 and a target of 114,000. Focus on the short-term range.
by NicolaZhu
BTC Dominance at a Critical Point – Is Altseason About to Begin?🔍 Technical Breakdown (BTC.D Weekly Chart) The weekly BTC Dominance chart shows Bitcoin's dominance is now testing a critical ascending trendline, which has supported its bullish momentum since early 2023. After hitting a major resistance zone between 70.33% – 73.67%, BTC.D faced a sharp rejection — signaling a potential capital rotation from BTC into altcoins, which is often the first clue of an incoming Altseason. --- 🧩 Structure & Pattern Highlights: ✅ Rising Trendline Support: A strong uptrend structure has been in place since the 2022 bottom (~39%), marked by consistent higher highs and higher lows. ⚠️ Minor Double Top near 70.33% – 73.67%: This classic reversal pattern at a macro resistance zone hints at possible exhaustion in BTC dominance. 🟡 Historical Accumulation Zones: Key horizontal levels at 55.41%, 51.27%, and 47.63% have acted as major decision zones in the past and will serve as critical support if the trend breaks. --- 🟢 Bullish Scenario (BTC Dominance Rises): If BTC.D can: Successfully hold above the ascending trendline Print a strong weekly bullish reversal ➡ Then a move back up to retest 70.33% is likely. A confirmed breakout above 73.67% would suggest BTC dominance could surge further. 📌 What it means? Altcoins would likely underperform, as BTC reclaims market control — usually a risk-off signal for crypto. --- 🔴 Bearish Scenario (BTC Dominance Falls): If BTC.D: Breaks below the ascending trendline Fails to hold the 61.91% support zone ➡ This could signal a significant capital outflow from BTC to altcoins — an early indicator of Altseason. Bearish targets below: 55.41% – First support area. 51.27% – Key psychological and technical level. 47.63% – A drop to this level would be a strong confirmation that Altseason is in full effect. 📌 In this case, we’d expect strong moves across sectors like AI tokens, DeFi, L1s, and mid/low cap altcoins. --- 📊 Key Confirmations to Watch: 1. Weekly candle reaction to the trendline 2. Volume – strong selling on breakdown confirms trend shift 3. ETH.D and TOTAL2 (Altcoin Market Cap) – if rising while BTC.D falls, it's strong evidence for Altseason --- 🚨 Final Takeaway: BTC Dominance is now at a make-or-break level that could define the direction of the broader crypto market for the next several months. A breakdown = risk-on environment, favoring altcoins. A bounce = BTC continues to dominate while altcoins stall. Either way, the next big move is coming — this is the moment serious traders and investors have been waiting for. #BTCdominance #AltseasonAlert #BitcoinVsAltcoins #CryptoRotation #CryptoBreakout #AltcoinSeason #CryptoMarketAnalysis #BTC.D #CryptoTrend #SmartMoneyMoves #CryptoTA #TradingViewAnalysis
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by CryptoNuclear
BTCUSDT: Head & Shoulders + QML SetupHello guys! We have a clean Head & Shoulders pattern forming near a supply zone, with a nice QML (Quasimodo Level) rejection confirming the bearish bias. Price is struggling to break above 115K and has already reacted to the QML zone. If this structure holds, we could see BTC start a new bearish leg 📉, first targeting 114K, and eventually reaching the demand zone around 112.8K–113.2K. Watch for further confirmation with lower highs forming.
Short
by melikatrader94
14
Bitcoin - Structure Holds, Momentum Fades, CME Pull Grows.⊣ ⟁ BTC/USD - BINANCE - (CHART: 1W) - (Aug 05, 2025). ◇ Analysis Price: $114,907.55. ⊣ ⨀ I. Temporal Axis - Strategic Interval - (1W): ▦ EMA9 - ($112,389.19): ∴ Price action is currently positioned above the EMA9 on the 1W timeframe, reflecting ongoing bullish strength; ∴ The candle body maintains a healthy gap from the EMA9 line, indicating that short-term trend control remains with the buyers; ∴ This level also coincides closely with the upper bound of the active CME Gap, suggesting strategic confluence support in the $112.3k zone. ✴️ Conclusion: Short-term bullish structure remains intact. EMA9 acts as frontline dynamic support. ⊢ ▦ EMA21 - ($105,376.55): ∴ The EMA21 remains far below the current price structure, confirming that mid-term momentum is still securely bullish; ∴ Distance between price and EMA21 reflects a sustained uptrend, but also implies vulnerability to sudden reversion if volume drops; ∴ No signs of flattening or curling - the EMA21 slope is upward, validating continuation bias. ✴️ Conclusion: Mid-range trend remains intact and structurally sound. Acts as deep dynamic support for broader bullish context. ⊢ ▦ WMA50 - ($99,364.99): ∴ The WMA50 weighted average is trending upward, reflecting ongoing macro-bullish alignment; ∴ Price remains safely above it, affirming structural support and healthy trend continuation; ∴ No flattening or curve-down detected - the momentum is sustained. ✴️ Conclusion: Primary trend remains unbroken. WMA50 serves as dynamic base. ⊢ ▦ WMA100 - ($85,341.14): ∴ Price remains well above the WMA100 weighted average, confirming long-term structural strength; ∴ The slope remains positive, showing no signs of decay or macro exhaustion; ∴ Acts as a foundational support level, unlikely to be challenged unless momentum is broken across multiple time frames. ✴️ Conclusion: Long-term support confirmed. Structure remains in favor of bullish control. ⊢ ▦ WMA200 - ($63,767.52): ∴ The WMA200 weighted moving average holds firm as the ultimate line of structural defense in long-term cycles; ∴ Price is elevated nearly 80% above this level, affirming that Bitcoin remains far from macro breakdown territory; ∴ The slope has resumed a slight upward curve, indicating that deep-cycle accumulation zones are now behind. ✴️ Conclusion: Foundational macro support fully intact. Long-term bullish cycle structurally confirmed. ⊢ ▦ VOLUME + EMA21 - (347.41 BTC): ∴ Weekly volume shows a steady decline over the past four candles, indicating weakening participation despite elevated price; ∴ The EMA21 sits just below current candle activity, suggesting that momentum is fading but not yet broken; ∴ No volume spike confirms breakout - current structure lacks conviction. ✴️ Conclusion: Volume compression persists. Trend remains, but force is thinning. ⊢ ▦ FIBONACCI - (0 = $27,143.79 / 1 = $122,056.95): ⌖ 0.236 - ($49,543.30): ∴ First shallow retracement level, often reached in early corrections; ∴ Remains untouched during this cycle - represents an extreme fallback zone. ✴️ Status: Unreached - deep structural support. ⌖ 0.382 - ($63,400.62): ∴ First zone of major institutional interest; ∴ Closely aligned with the WMA200 - double confirmation as a defense line; ∴ Still far below the current structure. ✴️ Status: Untouched - possible gravity point if collapse. ⌖ 0.500 - ($74,600.37): ∴ Midpoint of the entire bull impulse; ∴ May act as magnet if the current momentum breaks down; ∴ Strongest neutral reversion zone. ✴️ Status: Unreached - mid-cycle equilibrium. ⌖ 0.618 - ($85,800.12): ∴ The golden zone - ideal level for healthy retracements in bullish trends; ∴ Not yet tested, but visible as psychological and strategic area for institutions. ✴️ Status: Unreached - primary retracement target if pullback strengthens. ⌖ 0.786 - ($101,745.53): ∴ Upper-level retracement before full price reentry into macro top territory; ∴ Very close to current price - may act as last resistance zone before all-time high break. ✴️ Status: Approaching - active resistance zone. ⌖ 1.000 - ($122,056.95): ∴ The swing high of the current macro wave; ∴ Current candles are pressing against this level; ∴ A breakout would signal macro continuation - failure could initiate retracement to 0.786 or lower. ✴️ Status: Active - pressure point of decision. ⌖ 1.618 - ($180,713.28): ∴ Full Fibonacci expansion; ∴ Represents speculative future cycle extension; ∴ Only attainable through breakout + sustained volume and ETF inflow. ✴️ Status: Untouched - long-term speculative beacon. ✴️ Conclusion: ∴ Price is now fighting just beneath (1.000 - $122K) - while leaning on (EMA9 - $112K); ∴ The macro structure remains intact, but pressure is rising between the (0.786 / 1.000) band, a known resistance battlefield; ∴ Failure to break (1.000) may activate gravitational pull toward (0.786 or 0.618) - where strength shall be tested. ⊢ ▦ RSI (21, 9) - ($62.75): ∴ The Relative Strength Index remains above the 60 threshold, confirming that momentum is still bullish without entering euphoric territory; ∴ The signal line (EMA9 - $63.34), slightly above the RSI value - suggesting mild divergence and loss of acceleration; ∴ No overbought condition present, but a slow downward curve has begun from the local peak. ✴️ Conclusion: Momentum is positive but softening. Watch for confirmation of divergence or RSI breakdown below 60. ⊢ ▦ MACD (9, 21, 9) - ($6,403.95): ∴ The MACD line currently sits below the signal line ($7,012.64), confirming a bearish crossover on the weekly scale; ∴ Histogram bars have turned negative, reflecting declining momentum and weakening trend strength; ∴ Despite this, the MACD remains in positive territory, indicating that the macro trend has not yet reversed - only softened. ✴️ Conclusion: Bearish momentum signal confirmed. Short-term weakness within a still intact bullish macro context. ⊢ ▦ OBV (9, BB2) - ($220.38M): ∴ The On-Balance Volume indicator maintains a steady upward slope, showing continued net accumulation over time; ∴ No divergence is present between OBV and price - both remain structurally aligned; ∴ The OBV line resides within the upper half of its Bollinger Band (BB2), signaling orderly inflow rather than euphoric volume spikes. ✴️ Conclusion: Accumulation remains healthy and controlled. No warning signs from volume flow. ⊢ ▦ StochRSI (3, 3, 21, 9) - (%K: 65.16 / %D: 78.96): ∴ The %K line has begun curving downward after exiting the overbought zone, suggesting momentum exhaustion; ∴ The %D line remains higher, forming a potential crossover to the downside - a classic reversion signal; ∴ Both lines still hover in the upper band, but the slope indicates a softening trend. ✴️ Conclusion: Overbought momentum is decaying. A short-term pullback or consolidation phase is likely. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight - Technical Oracle: ∴ EMA9 and EMA21 maintain a healthy bullish spread, preserving the dynamic trend structure without showing signs of decay; ∴ WMA50, WMA100, and WMA200 confirm full macro alignment - the base of the cycle remains strong and upward-facing; ∴ Weekly volume is compressing below its EMA21, indicating that momentum is softening despite price holding high ground; ∴ RSI (21, 9) holds above 60, preserving bullish momentum but showing early signs of curvature loss and possible divergence; ∴ MACD (9, 21, 9) has completed a bearish crossover with a negative histogram, signaling internal weakness under the surface; ∴ OBV (9, BB2) continues its upward trajectory with no volume divergence, confirming that no distribution is currently present; ∴ StochRSI (3, 3, 21, 9) is exiting the overbought zone, with %K descending and %D beginning to curve down - classic signal of momentum exhaustion. ✴️ Conclusion: The weekly structure remains bullish, but all momentum indicators are converging toward a transitional phase; Trend is intact - yet losing energy; A new directional impulse will be required to preserve the current bullish architecture. ⊢ ▦ CME GAP - ($111,300 / $112,300): ⌖ ∴ This gap was formed between the closing candle of Friday, July 26th and the opening candle of Monday, July 29th, on the BTC Futures contract (CME:BTC1!); ∴ The Friday close occurred near ($111,300), while the Monday open jumped to ($112,300), leaving a 1,000-point dislocation - a vacuum zone where no trades were registered; ∴ As of the current 1W candle, this gap remains completely unfilled - price has not returned to touch or shadow into this void; ∴ The gap is strategically aligned with the (EMA9 - $112,389.19) on the (1W) timeframe, forming a dual-confluence support that amplifies its gravitational potential; ∴ CME gaps of this magnitude, when left open, tend to act as attractors - especially when momentum slows and volume compresses, as currently observed in the MACD and Volume indicators. ✴️ Conclusion: The ($111,300 / $112,300) zone remains an active gravitational target; If the current weakening of momentum persists, price may be pulled downward to close this imbalance before attempting any further upside expansion; It now acts as a pivot point between bullish continuation and corrective rebalancing. ⊢ 𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation: ∴ The structure does not collapse, but it no longer expands - it holds, sustained not by force, but by form; ∴ Indicators speak not of panic, nor of euphoria - they speak of pause, of a market that has climbed far and now waits for intention; ∴ The moving averages form a solid stairway, but the feet have slowed; the MACD has turned, the RSI bends gently, the volume has quieted; ∴ There is no sell-off. No rush to escape. But there is no thrust forward either; ∴ This is not weakness. It is controlled fatigue. The kind that precedes choice - will you break through, or rest and descend? 𓂀 The Stoic mind sees neither threat nor promise - only the present structure, and its silent demand for action. ∴ Hold position : Observe the slope. Momentum must return - or gravity will. ⊢ · Cryptorvm Dominvs · MAGISTER ARCANVM · Vox Primordialis · · Dominivm Cardo Gyratio Omnivm · ⚚ · Silence precedes the next force. Structure is sacred · ⚚ ⊢
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Magister_Arcanvm
Feeling the charts, bitcoin in august... I am engaged in extrasensory stock charts, that is, feeling the energy of the future chart, this is a meditative technique. In the screenshot of the bitcoin chart, I have drawn my feelings about how bitcoin will move in August 2025. In the week from August 4 to 10, there is a strong downward impulse, in the period from August 18 to 24, there is a slight upward movement with a subsequent correction until the end of the month. The overall impression of August is not positive, I do not expect growth. At the moment, I'm not analyzing the prices, and I'm focusing on the momentum of the price movement. I will consider my forecast to be accurate if the outline of the actual chart matches the outline of the chart I have drawn as a forecast.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by FeelingtheCharts
$BTC bouncing over crucial support!CRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently pulling back from the $123K resistance area, heading toward a major confluence support zone between $107K–$110K, which aligns with: ✅ Previous breakout zone ✅ 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement ✅ Lower bound of the ascending channel ✅ 200 EMA support This level is expected to attract buyers and act as a strong base for the next bullish leg. Price dips into the $107K–$110K support Look for a bullish reversal (reaction candles or bullish divergence) Target 1: $128K – retest of resistance Target 2: $132K – upper boundary of the ascending channel CRYPTOCAP:BTC remains within a healthy bullish structure. This pullback is constructive, not bearish. The $108K–$110K zone is a high-probability long setup — wait for bullish confirmation before entering. A daily close below $106.8K would invalidate the structure and open up downside risk.
Long
by persis10t
3
$Btc Bounce Signal is Locking in on the $108.5k Golden Pocket Bitcoin recently formed a higher low around the $111,600 level, which is an important structure to watch. This setup is still bearish in nature because if BTC loses this $111.6K support, it will confirm a deeper bearish trend taking hold. Right now, BTC is pulling back after being rejected at $115,000 and heading towards this crucial $111.6K zone. If this support holds, we might see some relief or a bounce. But if it breaks, the next key area is the Fibonacci Golden Pocket between $107,000 and $108,000 — a critical level where bulls often try to defend. Failure to hold even the Golden Pocket would strengthen the bearish outlook further. BTC is at a decisive point, and traders should closely watch how price behaves around these levels to understand if a recovery or a deeper drop is on the cards.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by crypto_vulture_signals
BTC sounded the alarm, 115,000 became the key point#BTCUSD Last week, as global risk sentiment deteriorated, the cryptocurrency market came under pressure, pushing BTC back from its recent highs. This correction was significant, and while BTC has subsequently rebounded, technically, the bearish divergence signaled by the daily MACD indicates weakening short-term rebound momentum. The Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour chart are trending downward, indicating that the market remains in a period of volatile correction. If BTC cannot effectively break through the upper resistance of 115,000 in the short term, the bears may continue to exert their strength. You can consider shorting with the target at 114,000-113,000. 🚀 SELL 115,000-116,000 🚀 TP 114,000-113,000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Halson_Winston
BTC-----Sell around 114500, target 113500-113000 areaAugust 5th BTC Contract Technical Analysis: Today, the daily chart closed with a small bullish candlestick pattern, with prices remaining high. However, the accompanying indicator forms a death cross. While the broader trend remains bearish, the market is still trending downwards. However, yesterday's significant upward trend suggests a range-bound trend in the short term. Without a continuation of the trend, a significant unilateral move is unlikely. On the hourly chart, yesterday's intraday gains continued in the European and American sessions, but prices failed to break above the previous high. The current candlestick pattern shows consecutive bearish candlesticks, with prices trading below the moving average and the accompanying indicator forming a death cross. Therefore, continued support is crucial for the day, with the strength and potential breakouts of the European session also key. Today's BTC Short-Term Contract Trading Strategy: Sell on pullbacks to the 114,500 area, with a stop-loss at 115,000, and a target of 113,500-113,000.
Short
by NicolaZhu
BITCOIN CRASH PREDICTED! HERE’S WHAT HAPPENS NEXT! (scary)Yello Paradisers, Bitcoin crashed exactly as we predicted in the previous videos that it will happen with the highest probability. In this video I am explaining to you what's gonna happen next. Head and shoulders, neckline, is be breaking to the downside, we need a clear confirmation of a reclaim Our channel on high timeframe is getting breakout to the downside and confirmation was that a reclaim was already successful. In this video I'm sharing with you Elliott Way theory on low timeframe and what needs to be done for confirmation perspective in order for us to continue to go to the downside or have a reversal to the upside. Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
10
BTCUSD broke below 115,000.00 on week labor dataBTCUSD broke below 115,000.00 on week labor data On August 1, after worse-than-expected NFP report data came out, bitcoin dropped below important level of 115,000.00 and SMA200 on 4-h chart. Technically, this means the start of a mid-term bearish market in the asset. Bitcoin often follows the same path as high-risk assets, such as tech stocks, particularly during times of economic uncertainty. The July 2025 U.S. jobs report, which showed only 73,000 new jobs added, below the expected 100,000, and a downward revision of June's figure from 147,000 to 14,000, fueled fears of a recession. This caused a broader market sell-off. In just 12 hours, $110 billion was withdrawn from spot crypto markets, with $630 million in liquidations, primarily affecting long positions. Currently the price is testing the 115,000.00 level. The next decline towards 110,000.00 support level is expected.
CAPITALCOM:BTCUSDShort
by ProfessorSingapore
BTC Forecast For August & September. The Only Roadmap You Need !This is one is so obvious, its a no brainer , and would likely be very easy to trade as long as you follow this road map i have provided. The Value Area High at 110k price range is most important upcoming battle line between bull vs bear. If bulls fail to get a strong bounce from 110k and we close at least 2 daily candles below it. Then it would mean bears have full control and the implication of that is that since we would at that point be closing back inside an established Value Area range, formed between Nov 20th to Jul 25th, then it would mean the probability of price selling all the way down to re-test the VAL (value area low) at $91.6k would instantly become very very high. After re-testing $91.6k we'll watch and see what happens. It'll either hold after grabbing some liquidity below and stay in the Value Area Range until further notice Or we lose it and the sell off continues. Bear market will be in full swing if that happens and you can bet a ton of weak hands will start to exit due to max pain & cascading long liquidations. Fear index will be back in the red at that point as capitulation starts to set in. Alot of new alts and meme coins will be completely obliterated. Bullish Continuation Scenario If bulls get a strong bounce from 110k and don't close back inside the Value Area Range below, then we could continue up to a make a new ATH for a classic trend pullback continuation trade. Once we get back above 115.4k, the dream of a new ATH will become much more realistic. There is an UFA(Unfinished Auction) at 120.8k which is only visible to traders using the market profile or footprint chart. This make poor high and needs to be taking out at some point. For the Price target to the upside, we would be using the peak formation line of the ExoFade indicator.
by ExoProtocol
1
BTC | Bitcoin - Weekly Recap & Gameplan - 03/08/25📈 Market Context: Traders are currently anticipating a potential 0.25% rate cut at the September FOMC meeting, which continues to support the broader bullish outlook. While the market pulled back following weaker-than-expected Non-Farm Payroll data, overall sentiment remains optimistic. Greed has cooled off into a more neutral stance. Historically, August often brings some consolidation or pullbacks — but the structural bias for Bitcoin remains bullish. 🧾 Weekly Recap: • After printing new all-time highs, BTC began a healthy retracement. • Price action closely mirrored the Nasdaq's (NQ) pullback during the week. • We saw a small bounce mid-week, but no strong reversal confirmation yet. 📌 Technical Outlook & Game Plan: → I’m watching for price to revisit the long-term bullish trendline. → A slight deviation into the HTF demand zone would be ideal for long entries. → Bonus confluence: This area also aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement (Equilibrium level), providing a key discount zone. 🎯 Setup Trigger: I’ll be watching for a confirmed bullish break of structure (BOS) on the 1H–4H timeframes to signal a reversal. On confirmation, I’ll look to enter a swing long position. 📋 Trade Management: • Stoploss: Below the 1H–4H demand swing low • Take Profit: → I’ll trail stops and lock in profits aggressively → Main target: $119,820 💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More setups and market insights coming soon — stay connected!
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
Smart Money Watching This Line — Are You?Bitcoin is holding strong above a key trendline that has acted as dynamic support since March. Every time price touched this line, buyers stepped in, and once again, it’s doing its job. What was once resistance has now flipped into solid support. The recent pullback seems healthy, and the price is trying to bounce from the trendline area again. As long as CRYPTOCAP:BTC respects this structure, the bullish momentum remains intact. If it holds, we could see another leg up from here. DYOR, NFA Thanks for reading!
Long
by unichartz
NeoWave Alert: BTC G-Wave Sets Up a Brutal Drop After $116K PumpAs anticipated in our previous NeoWave analysis, the market appears to be deep within Wave G of a Contracting Diametric structure (A–G), originating from the March 2025 high. ⸻ 🔻 Key Developments: • After rejecting from $119,000–119,500 (Wave F resistance), price dipped to $112,000, breaking below the previous channel’s lower bound, and now appears to be forming a steeper descending channel. • This new channel’s resistance has shifted lower to $116,000, becoming a potential bull trap zone. • The bounce from $112K is likely a liquidity sweep, preparing for one final upside to $116K, followed by aggressive distribution. ⸻ 💡 Trading Thesis: We’re likely seeing a trap-style rally within Wave G, aiming to: • Attract liquidity up to $116K • Induce late longs before initiating a more violent selloff toward $105K or lower ⸻ 🔍 Smart Money Confluence (SMC / ICT) • 🟥 Confirmed bearish structure on 1H (Lower Highs + BOS) • 🟨 Liquidity above $120K already swept during Wave F • 📉 Order blocks around 119.5K rejected • 🔻 Price currently trades above $114K, but trapped inside a sharper descending range • 🧲 Unfilled FVGs between $113K–$110K may serve as magnets ⸻ 🧠 Wave G Structure (Diametric) • Possibly unfolding as a Zigzag or Complex Combination • Channel boundary now capped at $116K • Wave G likely targets a breakdown below Wave E ($113K) and toward $105K ⸻ 📌 Primary Scenario: • Final push to $116K → strong rejection expected • Bearish continuation targeting $110K → $105K 🧯 Invalidations: • Clean breakout & daily close above $120.5K invalidates this diametric structure • Watch for triangle or flat morphing if structure shifts ⸻ ⚠️ Risk Management: • $116K = key distribution zone • Watch closely for rejection and breakdown confirmation • Shorts valid below $114K with tight invalidation above $117K ⸻ 📌 Conclusion: Bitcoin is nearing the climax of a multi-month complex correction. The current setup favors a liquidity trap toward $116K, followed by continuation of Wave G toward major demand zones. Smart money bias remains bearish below $117K. ⸻ 💬 Drop your alternate wave counts or SMC confirmations in the comments!
Long
by CryptoPilot
"When the sea retreats and whispers low through Gaussian"This time we are going to talk about the neck of the Bull Markets tops. "IF" I nailed it predicting the top ~ 123k we might start talking about the neck of the hill around the 0.236 Fib level. This could be the next target for Bitcoin in the coming months around 76K(yellow zone). Once the 1000 days of green above Gaussian ends we might see the biggest drops of the bear market bottoming around the 0.5 fib level in the lows 40k usd.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by elalemiami
BTC/USD) Bullish Analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the 4-hour timeframe, with a focus on smart money concepts like FVG (Fair Value Gap) and support/resistance zones. --- Technical Breakdown: 1. Price Structure & Path Projection: BTC is currently in a sideways range, but the drawn projection suggests a potential bullish reversal from the key support zone or the FVG level. Two bullish paths are suggested: One bounces from the key support zone (~114,725). The other dips deeper into the FVG level, sweeping liquidity before heading higher. 2. Key Zones: Key Support Level: Around 114,700–114,800, aligning with the EMA 200 and prior reaction levels. FVG Level (Fair Value Gap): Just below the support zone — marked as a potential liquidity sweep area before bullish continuation. Resistance Zone: 123,069.65, where partial profit could be taken. Final Target Point: 130,312.02, projecting a strong bullish move from the base. 3. EMA 200 (Blue): EMA sits around 114,685.97, acting as a strong dynamic support, supporting the bullish scenario. 4. RSI (14): RSI is neutral at 51.10, providing room for bullish momentum without being overbought. Mr SMC Trading point --- Trade Idea Summary: Bias: Bullish Entry Zone: Conservative: Near 114,725.18 (key support + EMA 200) Aggressive: Deeper at FVG level if price sweeps that zone Targets: TP1: 123,069.65 (resistance zone) TP2: 130,312.02 (main target) Invalidation: Break and close below FVG zone would negate the setup --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
7