BTCUSDT. A drop to 67,000 - 66,000 with potential for a reversalTechnical Analysis:
1️⃣СCI - unstable CCI near 0. Waiting, we need a drop below -100 and then a transition from below to above that level.
2️⃣RSI - between 30 and 50. Waiting. Another pullback to 30 is desirable, but a confirmed breakout of 50 by the time of the trade would also be fine.
3️⃣Levels:
🔸78.6% Fibonacci level h1 (=67,820) + second extension on h1 (=67,025) + a full set of h4 waves (=66,080) + increased volume 2 (=67,270) - roughly defines the potential reversal zone.
🔸Fib 161.8% h1 = 64350 will be relevant if the trade is cancelled.
4️⃣Larger TF (h4) - nothing but Fibo level so far.
5️⃣Price movement forecast - on the chart.
Entry, stop, take:
🔸Entry: Buy. Upward breakout of the 2nd level (=67,270)
🔸Stop: Preliminary stop loss behind the full set of h4 waves (=66,080)
🔸Take: TP based on the 1st volume (=70,640)
🔸Risk/Reward: 2.78, a fairly risky trade
🔸Implementation: Within a week
Cancellation
🔸Sharp move down after reaching the full set of h4 waves (=66,080)
Fundamental:
1️⃣Fear & Greed Index: 8–12 (Extreme fear) → 🟢 Positive for BTC.
Potential reversal.
2️⃣BTC Dominance: 58.2–58.8% → ⚪ Neutral.
Capital favors BTC over altcoins (Altcoin Season Index 35/100). For BTC, this is more of a confirmation of demand.
3️⃣ Funding Rate: negative → 🟢 Positive for BTC.
4️⃣ Open Interest: $102–107B + negative funding → ⚪ Neutral with a downward trend. Rising OI with negative funding = new shorts, no longs.
5️⃣ Liquidations (March 22): $299M, 85% longs → ⚪ Neutral. Buyers have been dumped - there is potential for an upward move, we are waiting for a trigger.
6️⃣ ETF Flows: +$1.17B (March 9-17) → reversal -$130M/-$90M (March 18-19) → ⚪ Neutral. Inflows and outflows pretty equal.
7️⃣ Exchange Net Flow: ~47,700 BTC outflow per week → 🟢 Positive for BTC.
Accumulation.
8️⃣MVRV: ~1.50 (market price $68K / realized price $45,200) → ⚪ Neutral. The market is not overheated and there are no sell-offs in sight.
9️⃣ Whale Inflow Ratio: ~0.62 (declining from a peak of 0.85 at the end of February; normal 0.35–0.55) → ⚪ Neutral. Potentially a local bottom is near.
🔟 Top Holders: accumulation has slowed, whales are waiting for clarity → ⚪ Neutral
1️⃣1️⃣ Geopolitics: ultimatum on Iran → 🔴minus for BTC. The most important minus: risky instruments under pressure. Traders are shifting to oil and gas.
Conclusion: 👈🏻 Neutral forecast for now due to geopolitics.
Btcusdsignal
DeGRAM | BTCUSD is testing the support area📊 Technical Analysis
● BTC/USD is holding the lower boundary of a broad falling channel, stabilizing inside the 62,000–66,000 demand zone after an extended downtrend.
● Repeated defenses of channel support and a developing ascending structure suggest a potential reversal toward 75,000 and the descending resistance line.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Growing institutional inflows and expectations of looser global liquidity conditions improve long-term sentiment toward Bitcoin.
✨ Summary
● Demand: 62,000–66,000.
● Break above local trendline targets 75,000+.
● Bullish bias valid while price holds channel base.
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BTCUSD Bullish Re-Accumulation Toward 70K🔎 Market Structure Overview
Clear BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside after sweeping lows near 62.3K.
Strong impulsive move into the 69K region.
Currently forming a bullish flag / corrective channel.
Internal CHoCH suggests buyers are regaining short-term control.
☁️ Ichimoku / Dynamic Support
Price pulled back into the cloud and is now attempting to hold above it.
The cloud acting as dynamic support increases the probability of continuation.
Momentum compression suggests expansion soon.
📊 Key Levels
Resistance / Target: 69,800 – 70,000 (Weak High liquidity)
Intraday Support: 66,800 – 67,000 zone
Major Support: 62,300 (Strong Low)
🧠 Liquidity Perspective
Equal highs below 70K → liquidity resting above.
If price breaks and closes above 69.5K, expect acceleration toward 70K liquidity.
📈 Bullish Scenario
Holding above 66.8K keeps structure bullish → breakout toward 70K likely.
📉 Bearish Invalidation
Clean breakdown below 66.2K could trigger deeper retracement into 65K demand.
DeGRAM | BTCUSD will decline to $60k📊 Technical Analysis
● BTC/USD broke below the rising channel and long-term support line, confirming a structural shift to lower highs within a descending channel.
● Rejection from the purple resistance line near 68,000 and a tightening triangle favor continuation toward the 60,000 support zone if sellers retain control.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Reduced risk appetite and tighter liquidity conditions weigh on crypto flows, while profit-taking after the prior rally increases downside pressure.
✨ Summary
● Resistance near 68,000 caps rebounds.
● Target: 60,000 support area.
● Bearish bias valid below descending trendline.
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BTCUSD H1 CHART OUTLOOKBTC is trading around 68,500 after rejecting the 70,350 – 70,850 resistance zone.
This area has acted as a strong supply zone, where price previously formed multiple rejections (liquidity grabs + long upper wicks).
After the latest rejection, price dropped sharply and is now reacting from the 68,000 pullback/support area.
🔴 Key Resistance Zone: 70,350 – 70,850
Strong selling pressure
Equal highs liquidity swept
Bearish rejection candle on H1
Market structure still shows lower high from that zone
If price returns here, expect:
Possible fake breakout
Strong volatility
High probability reaction zone
🟢 Key Support / Pullback Area: 68,000 – 68,050
Short-term demand zone
Previous breakout level
Intraday buyers defending
This level decides the next move.
📊 Possible Scenarios & Targets
🟢 Bullish Scenario (If 68,000 Holds)
If BTC holds above 68,000 and forms higher low on H1:
Targets: 1️⃣ 69,200
2️⃣ 69,800
3️⃣ 70,350 (Major Resistance)
4️⃣ 70,850
5️⃣ Breakout Target → 72,000
6️⃣ Extended Target → 73,000
Confirmation needed:
Strong bullish engulfing on H1
Break above 69,400 structure
Volume expansion
🔴 Bearish Scenario (If 68,000 Breaks)
If H1 closes below 68,000 with momentum:
Downside Targets: 1️⃣ 67,250
2️⃣ 66,650
3️⃣ 66,050
4️⃣ 65,550
5️⃣ Major liquidity zone → 65,000
6️⃣ Extended drop → 63,800
Confirmation:
Strong bearish candle close below support
Retest of 68,000 as resistance
Lower high formation
🧠 Market Structure Insight
Overall structure: Range-bound between 68K and 70.8K
Liquidity resting above 71K
Liquidity resting below 66K
Market likely to sweep one side before real expansion
🔎 Trading Plan Idea (Intraday)
Buy Zone: 68,000 – 68,200
SL: Below 67,800
TP: 69,800 / 70,350
Sell Zone: 70,350 – 70,850
SL: Above 71,100
TP: 68,500 / 67,250
⚡ Final Market Mind
BTC is currently in a decision zone.
Holding 68K → Bounce toward 70K+
Losing 68K → Quick drop toward 66K
Expect volatility near U.S. session.
DeGRAM | BTCUSD is above the support area📊 Technical Analysis
● Price completed a prolonged falling trend and produced a false breakdown below the key $66K support and long-term support line, followed by a sharp rejection, signaling seller exhaustion and potential trend reversal.
● The rebound from the lower boundary suggests a corrective wave is unfolding, with price likely targeting the descending resistance line near $75K–$80K if higher lows continue to form.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Bitcoin sentiment improves as forced liquidations ease and market positioning resets after the deep correction.
● Ongoing institutional interest and expectations of supportive macro conditions continue to underpin medium-term BTC demand.
✨ Summary
False break below $66K, strong rejection from support, recovery phase underway. Upside focus toward $75K–$80K while support holds.
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DeGRAM | BTCUSD will return to $75k📊 Technical Analysis
● Price sharply rejected major support near the green pivot (~$60–$66K) and formed a bullish reversal wick, suggesting exhaustion of the downtrend and buyers defending this zone.
● Structure shows potential break of shorter downward channel; a pullback to support followed by a rally toward the descending purple resistance line near ~$77–$80K is likely.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Bitcoin demand rises on decreasing miner selling and stronger institutional interest as macro volatility persists.
● Optimism around regulatory clarity and ETF inflows supports mid-to-long-term BTC buy-the-dip behavior.
✨ Summary
Key support held; reversal signals strong; trend flip toward ~$77–$80K resistance. Buyers returning on dip; fundamentals support upside continuation.
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DeGRAM | BTCUSD reached the $60k level📊 Technical Analysis
● Price broke the long-term rising support channel and now tests the lower trendline near the green pivot as major support, confirming a bearish channel continuation.
● Multiple breakdowns of key patterns (flag, triangle), breach of $70 K and subsequent sell‑off indicate strong downward momentum and capitulation, setting stage for reversal bounce off structural support.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Macro sentiment remains risk‑off as cryptocurrencies plunge with equities amid macro uncertainty and liquidations in BTC futures.
● Central banks hold rates steady but prospects of future cuts and easing could improve carry and risk appetite.
✨ Summary
Key support holds near trendline, bearish momentum dominates, macro risk weighing but potential relief from easing; watch $60 K support and trendline for reversal signs.
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DeGRAM | BTCUSD will test the important support area📊 Technical Analysis
● BTC/USD is testing a major long-term support zone around 75,000–72,000 after completing a prolonged corrective decline from the cycle high. Multiple historical reactions from this area and the touch of the rising macro support line suggest sellers are losing control.
● The breakdown from the bearish flag has already played out, and price is now stabilizing near structural support, opening room for a long-term base and trend reversal toward the descending resistance line near 90,000–95,000.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Expectations of future monetary easing, growing institutional adoption, and persistent demand for Bitcoin as a macro hedge continue to support a constructive long-term outlook despite short-term volatility.
✨ Summary
● BTC is holding a key long-term support zone.
● A long-term recovery toward 90,000–95,000 is favored while price remains above 72,000.
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DeGRAM | BTCUSD dropped below $85k📊 Technical Analysis
● BTC/USD remains under a dominant descending resistance line, with multiple failed rebounds confirming a broader bearish market structure. The breakdown below the 86,000–88,000 resistance zone signals renewed downside momentum.
● Sideways consolidations and triangle formations have repeatedly resolved lower, while price is now accelerating toward the lower channel support near 80,000–78,000, reinforcing trend continuation.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Persistent tight liquidity conditions, cautious risk sentiment, and lack of strong inflows into crypto assets continue to pressure Bitcoin, supporting a medium-term bearish outlook.
✨ Summary
● Price stays capped below descending resistance.
● Medium-term downside toward 80,000–78,000 is favored while below 90,000.
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DeGRAM | BTCUSD broke down through the triangle📊 Technical Analysis
● BTC/USD remains in a long-term bearish structure, trading below a descending resistance line that has capped multiple recovery attempts since August, confirming sustained selling pressure.
● The latest triangle consolidation resolved lower, with price slipping back toward the major horizontal support zone near 85,000–80,000, signaling continuation of the falling trend.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Tight global financial conditions, reduced liquidity, and cautious institutional positioning continue to weigh on Bitcoin, limiting upside despite periodic rebound attempts.
✨ Summary
● BTC stays below key descending resistance.
● Long-term downside risk remains dominant, with a move toward 85,000–80,000 favored while below 96,000.
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DeGRAM | BTCUSD is below the resistance area📊 Technical Analysis
● BTC/USD broke below the rising channel and lost the key 90,000 resistance, confirming a bearish structure shift after repeated rejections and a strong impulsive sell-off.
● Price is now trading below former support turned resistance, with descending pressure targeting the demand zone around 86,000–85,500, aligned with prior consolidation lows and channel support.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Bitcoin remains pressured by reduced risk appetite as markets price tighter financial conditions, while profit-taking accelerates after the recent rally and ETF inflows show signs of cooling.
✨ Summary
● Medium-term bearish bias. Resistance: ~90,000. Downside objectives: 87,800 → 85,500, with further weakness likely while price stays below broken structure.
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DeGRAM | BTCUSD will rebound from the support level📊 Technical Analysis
● BTC/USD completed a prolonged corrective phase, forming multiple falling and symmetrical triangles before reclaiming the key support zone near 92,000. The breakout above the descending trendline signals a structural shift toward accumulation.
● Price now holds above rising support while pressing against a dynamic resistance line, suggesting a potential bullish continuation toward the 100,000–105,000 area if momentum persists.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Bitcoin remains supported by steady institutional demand, ETF inflows, and expectations of looser global monetary conditions, which continue to favor long-term risk assets.
✨ Summary
● Breakout from long-term bearish structure confirmed.
● Key support: ~92,000.
● Upside objective: 100,000–105,000.
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DeGRAM | BTCUSD broke the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● BTC/USD completed a prolonged consolidation inside a symmetrical triangle after the November–December decline. Price has broken above the descending resistance line, confirming a bullish breakout with higher lows holding along the rising support trendline.
● The breakout is supported by compression release and range expansion, with price now targeting the upper trendline zone near 95,000–98,000. Former resistance around 90,000–92,000 acts as key support on pullbacks.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Bitcoin remains supported by expectations of looser global liquidity conditions, sustained institutional demand, and continued ETF inflows, reinforcing medium-term upside bias.
✨ Summary
● Bullish breakout confirmed. Support: 90,000–92,000. Targets: 95,000–98,000. Structure favors continuation above triangle support.
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ElDoradoFx – BTCUSD ANALYSIS (25/12/2025, BANK HOLIDAY UPDATE)HI EVERYONE PLEASE SUBSCRIBE TO OUR YOUTUBE CHANNEL FOR FREE DAILY FORECAST.
LINK IN OUR BIO.
1. Market Overview
BTCUSD is in a higher-timeframe corrective phase inside a broader bullish macro structure.
After rejecting the HTF supply around 126k earlier in the year, price has been trending lower but is now stabilising above a major structural demand zone between 86.4k – 84.4k.
The current market state is:
• Macro: Bullish market → medium-term correction
• Structure: Range / compression after sell-off
• Liquidity: Sell-side has been partially taken, buy-side remains above 88.8k and 90.6k
• Momentum: Bearish impulse exhausted, bullish momentum building
This suggests we are transitioning from distribution → markdown → accumulation / rebalancing.
⸻
2. Technical Breakdown
🔹 Daily (D1)
• Market printed a full impulse down from ~116k → ~80.6k (clean bearish leg).
• Price is now holding above the D1 strong low (80,630) and forming higher lows.
• White 50 EMA is flattening; yellow 200 EMA still above price (bearish pressure remains).
• Daily structure is neutral → early recovery, not yet bullish.
Key read:
As long as 80.6k holds, this is a corrective leg — not a trend reversal.
⸻
🔹 H1
• Trendline break to the upside after the 80.6k low.
• BOS up toward 90.5k failed and created a lower high → rejection → pullback.
• Price now compressing between:
• Resistance: 88.0k – 88.6k
• Support: 86.4k – 87.0k
Structure: Range inside recovery channel.
⸻
🔹 30M
• Market swept below 86.4k liquidity, then reclaimed it.
• Internal BOS printed bullish, but price is now ranging under supply.
• Strong reaction every time price hits 86.4k demand.
This is accumulation behaviour.
⸻
🔹 15M
• Equal highs taken near 88.0k, but continuation failed.
• Price remains above trendline support and demand.
• CHoCH bullish → then sideways compression.
⸻
🔹 5M
• Micro structure alternating — no directional control.
• Liquidity sitting:
• Above: 88.4k – 88.8k
• Below: 86.8k – 86.4k
Market waiting for a liquidity trigger.
⸻
3. Fibonacci Analysis
Swing used:
Low → High = 80,630 → 90,588
Fib Level Price
38.2% 86,960
50.0% 85,609
61.8% 84,258
🟩 Golden Zone: 86.9k – 84.2k
(Current price is sitting at the top of the Golden Zone)
This is a classic re-accumulation zone after a sell-off.
⸻
4. High-Probability Trade Scenarios
📈 BUY Scenario (Primary Bias)
Zone: 86,900 – 84,300 (Golden Zone / HTF demand)
Confirmation:
• 5M or 15M bullish BOS from the zone
• Rejection wick + volume increase
Targets:
• 88,100
• 89,400
• 90,600
• 93,900 (if weekly breakout occurs)
Invalidation: Daily close below 84,000.
⸻
📈 BUY Breakout
Trigger: Break & hold above 88,800
Retest: 88,200–88,500 holding
Targets: 90,600 → 93,900 → 98,800
⸻
📉 SELL Scenario (Countertrend)
Only valid on rejection from 88.6k–90.6k.
Targets: 87,200 → 86,400 → 85,600
Invalidation: Break above 90.6k.
⸻
📉 SELL Breakdown
Trigger: Daily close below 84,000
Targets: 82,000 → 80,600 → 76,000
This would signal a deeper macro correction.
⸻
5. Fundamental Watch
• Bank holiday liquidity → false moves possible.
• No major crypto or macro catalysts scheduled.
• ETF flows + risk sentiment likely dominate next week.
⸻
6. Key Technical Levels
Resistance
• 88,100
• 88,800
• 90,600
• 93,900
Support
• 86,900
• 86,400
• 85,600
• 84,300
• 80,600
⸻
7. Analyst Summary
BTCUSD is not bearish — it is correcting inside a long-term bull market.
The sell-off has done its job. The market is now compressing above HTF demand and preparing for its next directional move.
This is a classic:
Sell-off → Stabilisation → Accumulation → Expansion structure.
⸻
8. Final Bias Summary
🟢 Short-term bias: Neutral → Bullish above 86.4k
🟢 Weekly bias: Bullish recovery unless 84k breaks
🔴 Bearish only if: Daily close < 84k
Primary expectation for next week:
👉 Range early → liquidity sweep → bullish continuation toward 90.6k+.
⸻
✅ Conclusion
• The downside is largely exhausted.
• Smart money is building positions in the 86k–84k zone.
• The next clean break is likely up, not down.
Patience + confirmation buys > aggressive sells.
⸻
🥇 ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 – PERFORMANCE 24/12/2025 🥇
⚡ Precision execution. Swing objectives completed.
📈 BUY +40 PIPS
⚖️ SELL – BE
❌ SELL −40 PIPS (SL)
📉 SELL +20 PIPS
📈 BUY +90 PIPS
📉 SELL +210 PIPS
📉 SELL +20 PIPS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💎 SWING TRADES – FULL TP HIT
• Entry 3959 ➤ +5,410 pips
• Entry 4000 ➤ +5,000 pips
• Entry 4124 ➤ +3,760 pips
• Entry 4275 ➤ +2,250 pips
• Entry 4293 ➤ +2,070 pips
• Entry 4325 ➤ +1,750 pips
• Entry 4406 ➤ +940 pips
📊 Swing Total: +21,180 pips
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 DAY RESULT: +340 PIPS
(BE excluded, SL deducted)
🎯 6 Counted Signals → 5 Wins | 1 SL
🔥 Accuracy: 83%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
DeGRAM | BTCUSD seeks to the $80k📊 Technical Analysis
● BTC/USD remains under a descending dynamic resistance after a series of bear flags and a completed triangle breakdown. The failure to reclaim and hold above the 90,000 resistance confirms bearish continuation within the broader downtrend.
● Price is compressing below former support turned resistance, with momentum favoring a move toward the major demand zone near 80,000–82,000. Any rebounds toward 90,000 are viewed as corrective while below the resistance line.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Bitcoin faces pressure from tighter global financial conditions and reduced risk appetite, with capital rotating away from high-beta assets amid yield support for USD.
✨ Summary
● Bearish structure intact. Key resistance: ~90,000. Downside target: 80,000–82,000. Invalidation above descending resistance.
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DeGRAM | BTCUSD is forming an ascending wedge📊 Technical Analysis
● BTC/USD remains inside a broad descending structure, with price repeatedly rejecting the main resistance trendline. Multiple falling triangles and continuation patterns confirm sustained bearish control and lower highs across the 16H timeframe.
● The latest consolidation formed below trend resistance near 95,000–96,000, followed by rejection, signaling continuation risk toward the major demand zone around 84,000–82,000, where the long-term support line aligns.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Bitcoin faces pressure from tighter global liquidity conditions and cautious risk sentiment as markets reassess rate-cut expectations and ETF inflows lose momentum, keeping upside demand limited in the medium term.
✨ Summary
● Bearish bias below 96,000. Targets: 88,000 → 84,000. Key resistance: 100,000.
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Ascending triangle formation indicates a bullish outlook for BTC#BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
From the 4H chart, BTC's short-term trend has formed an ascending triangle pattern, which is a typical bullish pattern. Short-term resistance is located at 93500-94500, a break above this level would likely lead to further gains. The key support level to watch is 88000-87500. If the price retraces to this range, we can consider going long on BTC.
DeGRAM | BTCUSD will test the $80k level📊 Technical Analysis
● BTC is retesting the multi-month support zone near 80K, aligning with the long-term ascending base and the lower boundary of the falling trend, creating conditions for a medium-term rebound.
● A break above the descending resistance line could trigger recovery toward 92K as the structure shows exhaustion of bearish momentum.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Recent ETF inflows and easing macro pressure from U.S. yields support accumulation near major support zones.
✨ Summary
● Bullish bias from 80K support. Targets: 88K → 92K. Key support: 80K.
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DeGRAM | BTCUSD will rebound to $92k level📊 Technical Analysis
● BTC/USD formed a false break below the 82K support zone while bouncing off the long-term dynamic support line, signalling seller exhaustion and a potential mid-trend reversal.
● Price is reclaiming structure inside the descending channel; a push toward 90–92K becomes likely if buyers break the local diagonal resistance.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Bitcoin sentiment improves as risk appetite stabilizes and institutional inflows show signs of recovery.
✨ Summary
Support: 82K. Targets: 90K → 92K. Medium-term bullish bias while above dynamic support.
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DeGRAM | BTCUSD continues to decline below $85k📊 Technical Analysis
● BTC/USD continues to move within a broad descending channel, rejecting the dynamic resistance line multiple times and forming lower highs.
● Price is failing to reclaim the 88–90K resistance zone, and the structure points toward a continuation lower into the 82–80K support region as momentum weakens.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Bitcoin remains under pressure as risk sentiment cools and ETF inflows slow, with stronger USD liquidity weighing on crypto.
✨ Summary
Resistance: 88–90K. Targets: 82K → 80K. Medium-term bearish bias while below channel resistance.
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