C3.ai โ Falling Wedge Breakout SetupC3.ai is showing a long-term falling wedge structure on the weekly chart.
Since the major post-IPO decline, price has continued to compress inside a broad descending wedge, with lower highs and lower lows tightening into the current range. After repeated downside pressure, price is now attempting to reclaim from the lower portion of the structure and push back toward the upper wedge resistance.
The main area Iโm watching is the descending resistance line. A clean weekly breakout above that level could shift the chart from bearish compression into a potential reversal setup.
What stands out:
Long-term falling wedge compression
Multiple reactions near the lower boundary
Price attempting to reclaim from the lower wedge zone
Weekly structure improving after a major basing move
Potential upside toward prior resistance if momentum confirms
Best entries are usually on pullbacks or retests, not after vertical candles
The setup still needs confirmation. Falling wedges can be powerful when they resolve, but failed breakouts are common. I want to see price hold the reclaim, avoid rejection at wedge resistance, and build strength above the descending trendline.
Key areas Iโm watching:
Breakout confirmation: weekly close above falling wedge resistance
Invalidation: loss of the recent reclaim and lower support structure
Upside targets: prior resistance zones if momentum expands
This is not about chasing a headline or a theme. It is about watching a beaten-down chart with long-term compression, improving weekly structure, and a possible risk/reward shift if buyers continue stepping in.
Educational only. Not financial advice.
C3ai
AI C3ai Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AI C3ai prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 12usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2026-6-5,
for a premium of approximately $0.38.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
C3.ai Strategic Analysis: Enterprise AI and Market ShiftsC3.ai remains a lightning rod for market volatility and investor debate. Recent data highlights an "options anomaly," suggesting a potential short squeeze. Traders are monitoring high short interest against a backdrop of surging enterprise demand. This analysis explores the thirteen domains driving C3.aiโs current market fluctuations.
The Options Anomaly and Market Volatility
Technical indicators currently signal a significant shift in sentiment. C3.ai faces high short interest, yet call option volume is spiking. This friction often precedes a rapid price breakout or "squeeze." Investors must distinguish between speculative noise and fundamental growth drivers.
Strategic Business Model Transformation
Thomas Siebel leads C3.ai with an assertive, veteran vision. The company recently transitioned to a consumption-based pricing model. This shift accelerates customer acquisition by lowering initial entry barriers. While it complicates short-term revenue recognition, it builds a massive long-term pipeline.
Management prioritizes market share over immediate GAAP profitability. This aggressive strategy mirrors early-stage cloud giants. Success depends on the company's ability to scale these new accounts rapidly.
Geostrategy and Federal Growth
Geostrategy plays a pivotal role in C3.aiโs revenue diversification. The company secures major contracts within the U.S. Department of Defense. Governments now demand "Sovereign AI" to protect national interests and data integrity.
C3.ai positions itself as a secure, domestic alternative to unregulated models. These federal partnerships provide a stable moat against global geopolitical instability. National security requirements ensure a consistent demand for enterprise-grade intelligence.
Technological Innovation and IP Strength
Technology remains the core of C3.aiโs competitive advantage. Unlike consumer-facing bots, C3.ai focuses on industrial-scale "Enterprise AI." Their software integrates seamlessly with cloud leaders like AWS, Google Cloud, and Azure.
Patent analysis reveals a deep focus on predictive maintenance and supply chain optimization. These tools apply complex data science to solve trillion-dollar industrial inefficiencies. The companyโs IP portfolio protects unique algorithms that process massive datasets in real-time.
Cybersecurity and Secure Science
Cybersecurity is no longer an optional feature for AI providers. C3.ai builds its applications with a "security-first" architecture. This approach protects sensitive corporate data from leaks and external breaches.
The scientific application of their AI extends to energy and manufacturing. By predicting equipment failure, C3.ai reduces environmental waste and operational risks. This intersection of science and software creates tangible value for heavy industry.
Macroeconomic Resilience in Tech
Macroeconomic factors continue to influence tech valuations globally. High interest rates typically pressure growth stocks like C3.ai. However, AI remains a non-discretionary spend for corporations seeking efficiency.
Economics dictate that companies must automate to survive rising labor costs. C3.ai benefits from this structural shift in the global economy. As long as AI delivers a clear ROI, enterprise spending will likely persist.
Conclusion: Navigating the Breakout
C3.ai stands at a critical crossroads between speculation and fundamental utility. The potential for a short squeeze adds immediate excitement for technical traders. However, long-term success relies on Siebelโs leadership and the consumption-based model.
Investors should watch federal contract wins and quarterly consumption metrics. If C3.ai maintains its technological edge, it may dominate the enterprise landscape. Prepare for continued volatility as the market digests these complex domain shifts.
20% Plunge โ Turnaround Trouble or Terminal Decline?C3.ai (AI): A Deep Dive into the 20% Plunge โ Turnaround Trouble or Terminal Decline?
C3.ai (NYSE:AI), the enterprise artificial intelligence software firm, experienced a seismic shock to its stock price, plummeting more than 20% in a single trading session. The dramatic sell-off was triggered by a disastrous fourth-quarter earnings report that not only missed every key metric but also painted a bleak picture of the company's immediate future. While the steep decline might tempt some investors to "buy the dip," a confluence of internal chaos, strategic missteps, and overwhelming external pressures suggests that the risks far outweigh any potential rewards. This is the story of a company that has gone from AI pioneer to a cautionary tale of poor execution and eroding market relevance.
The Catalyst for Collapse: A Q4 Earnings Catastrophe
The immediate cause of the stock's collapse was a fourth-quarter earnings report that can only be described as a disaster. The numbers were stark and unforgiving:
Revenue Implosion: The company reported revenue of just $53.26 million for the quarter. This represented a staggering 46% year-over-year decline and fell far short of the $75.66 million analysts were expecting. Such a dramatic drop in a growth-focused sector is a major red flag, signaling a potential collapse in customer demand.
Staggering Losses: The company's already precarious profitability situation worsened dramatically. GAAP loss per share came in at -$0.94, significantly wider than the consensus estimate of a -$0.76 loss. This deepening loss was reflected in a horrifying collapse of its operating margin, which plummeted from -88.7% to -264% year-over-year, indicating a business model that is burning cash at an unsustainable rate.
Dismal Guidance: Perhaps more alarming than the past quarter's results was the outlook for the future. C3.ai projected first-quarter 2026 revenue to be approximately $50 million, a figure that was a mere fraction of the $78.01 million analysts had anticipated. This weak guidance effectively told the market that management sees no immediate improvement and that the company's challenges are not a one-time blip but a deepening trend.
In response to this financial freefall, the company also announced mass layoffs, eliminating 26% of its global workforce. While this move signals a new CEO's commitment to cutting costs, it is also a symptom of a business in distress, forced to shrink its way toward some semblance of financial viability.
Internal Instability: A Perfect Storm of Leadership and Execution Risk
Following the earnings report, senior analysts, including Citizens' Patrick Walravens, rushed to downgrade the stock and advise extreme caution. Walravens maintained a "Market Perform" rating, citing a "perfect storm" of internal challenges that make a recovery highly unlikely.
The Vacuum at the Top: The most profound internal shift is the transition of founder and long-time CEO Thomas M. Siebel to the role of chairman. Siebel, a legendary figure in enterprise software, was the company's visionary and its primary sales asset. His reduced day-to-day involvement has created a leadership vacuum, leading to a exodus of key executives and sales personnel. This brain drain weakens operational control precisely when the company needs it most. The departure of the founder also increases the risk that underlying issues, potentially including aggressive sales tactics or accounting irregularities, could go unchecked and eventually surface.
High-Stakes Turnaround Risk: New CEO Stephen Ehikian has been tasked with a monumental turnaround. While the layoffs are a necessary first step, executing a successful pivot in a company with such deep-seated problems is fraught with risk. The company must stabilize its collapsing revenue, restore customer confidence, and redefine its product strategy, all while operating with a depleted workforce and a tarnished reputation.
An "Exit" Mentality: Reports that C3.ai is exploring a sale or a private capital raise suggest a strategic shift away from building a long-term, independent public company. This "exit mentality" can be disruptive, as it focuses management on short-term deal-making rather than long-term operational health. It also signals to the market that those closest to the company may see its best future in the hands of someone else, which is rarely a vote of confidence.
Market Dynamics: Swimming Against a Tectonic Shift
Beyond its internal turmoil, C3.ai is facing an increasingly hostile external environment. The market for enterprise AI is rapidly evolving, and C3.ai appears to be on the wrong side of a fundamental shift.
The Rise of Horizontal Platforms: The market is moving decisively away from niche, point-solution AI applications toward broad, integrated horizontal GenAI platforms. Enterprises want AI capabilities embedded directly into the software they already use, not a separate, siloed application.
Predatory Competition from Tech Titans: This trend plays directly into the hands of well-capitalized software behemoths. Microsoft (MSFT) is weaving its Copilot AI into its entire Office and Azure ecosystems. Salesforce (CRM) is doing the same with its Einstein AI. Meanwhile, data infrastructure giants like Snowflake (SNOW) and Databricks are capturing the foundational layers of the AI stack, making it easy for companies to build custom AI on top of their own data. Against these dominant, integrated platforms, C3.ai's proprietary solutions risk being completely marginalized.
Sector Rotation and "Meme Stock" Vulnerability: The broader market sentiment toward speculative tech and AI plays has soured. As interest rates remain elevated and investors seek more predictable returns, there has been a notable rotation away from high-burn, unprofitable companies. C3.ai, which gained notoriety as a volatile "meme stock" during the peak of the AI hype cycle, is particularly vulnerable to this risk-off trading environment.
The Bear Case: A Path to Accelerated Downside
The most pessimistic, yet increasingly plausible, scenarios for C3.ai involve a cascade of negative events that could drive the stock significantly lower.
Accounting Scrutiny and Restatement: With founder Siebel stepping back and new leadership taking over, there is a heightened risk that a deeper review of the company's books could uncover irregularities. A special committee of the board, composed of its "celebrity" members with reputations to protect, could be forced to investigate past practices. This could lead to a restatement of financials, a move that would shatter investor trust and could easily trigger a further 20-50% decline in the stock price.
Operational Downsizing and Portfolio Cuts: The layoffs are likely just the first step in a painful restructuring. The company will almost certainly be forced to curtail its cash burn, which may involve discontinuing non-core or underperforming AI applications and further reducing its sales and marketing footprint.
Failed Strategic Alternatives: The exploration of a sale or private investment may not yield a favorable outcome. Potential acquirers may balk at the company's declining revenue, customer churn, and cultural challenges. This would leave C3.ai as a struggling independent entity with few good options.
The Verdict: A Speculative Landmine to Avoid
For the vast majority of investors, the post-earnings plunge in C3.ai's stock represents a value trap, not a buying opportunity. The company is grappling with a deadly combination of evaporating revenue, unsustainable losses, a leadership vacuum, and a product strategy that is being outflanked by the biggest names in technology.
The stock's 40% decline from its year-to-date high and its decisive break below all major moving averages are technical confirmations of a deeply bearish trend. The alluring narrative of a fallen AI pioneer is overshadowed by the harsh realities of its financial statements and competitive positioning. Investing in C3.ai at this juncture is not a bet on a comeback; it is a high-risk speculation on a deeply troubled company fighting for its survival in a market that is rapidly moving on without it. The safer, smarter bet is to watch from the sidelines as this high-stakes turnaround drama, more likely a tragedy, unfolds.
AI C3ai Imminent Takeover by Automation Anywhere? Rumors!C3 ai, once a darling of the enterprise AI space, has faced headwinds since its 2020 IPO. Founded by industry veteran Thomas Siebel, the company specializes in AI applications for industries like manufacturing, energy, and defense, offering tools for predictive maintenance, supply chain optimization, and more.
However, revenue growth has decelerated sharplyโfiscal 2025 saw $389 million in sales (up 25% YoY), but early 2026 figures show a 20% drop in the first half, prompting the withdrawal of full-year guidance.
Siebel's departure in November 2025 fueled talks of strategic options, including a sale or private capital raise.
Enter Automation Anywhere, a leader in robotic process automation (RPA) valued at $6.8 billion in its 2019 funding round.
Backed by investors like Salesforce Ventures, the company generates hundreds of millions in revenue from tools that automate repetitive business processes.
The merger rumors, first reported by The Information on January 27, 2026, suggest Automation Anywhere would acquire C3 ai in a reverse merger, effectively listing publicly without a traditional IPO.
Neither company has confirmed the discussions, but sources indicate talks are advanced, with potential synergies in "agentic AI"โcombining C3.ai's reasoning capabilities with Automation Anywhere's execution tools.
If talks are as advanced as reported, a pre-earnings reveal might preempt leaks and stabilize sentiment. Analysts speculate a deal could close in months, pending regulatory nodsโespecially given both firms' federal contracts.
The rally potential? Substantial. Historical AI mergers (e.g., similar reverse listings) have delivered 20-50% premiums, pushing shares toward $15-18 if terms favor C3 ai holders.
A combined entity would boast enhanced scale in enterprise AI and RPA, competing with giants like UiPath ( NYSE:PATH ) and Palantir ( NASDAQ:PLTR ).
Short squeeze dynamics, with a 6.85 short ratio and 31% float shorted, could amplify gainsโimagine a 30-50% pop on confirmation, fueled by FOMO in the AI hype cycle.
Broader trends, like OpenAI's rumored Q4 2026 IPO, underscore AI's hot streak.
Bullish on AI!
AI expanded collaboration with MSFT MicrosoftPositioning for the next wave of enterprise AI adoption, rather than the last earnings print:
1. Deepening Microsoft Integration = Real Distribution Power
The most important recent development is C3aiโs expanded collaboration with Microsoft:
C3 ai is now natively integrated across Microsoft Copilot, Microsoft Fabric and Azure AI Foundry, effectively becoming an โintelligence layerโ on top of Microsoftโs enterprise stack.
This makes it much easier for large customers already running on Azure and using Copilot to deploy, manage, and scale vertical AI applications from C3ai (manufacturing, energy, financial services, government, etc.).
In simple terms: Microsoft brings the distribution and cloud muscle; C3ai brings vertical AI apps. If this integration starts to convert more pilots into long-term subscriptions, the current depressed valuation may not last.
2. Beaten-Down Expectations + Long Runway
Bears focus on the obvious problems:
Revenue has recently declined and margins are under pressure as C3 ai spends to convert pilots and expand its product suite.
Cash flow is negative, and thereโs no GAAP profitability in sight yet.
However, management guides for positive free cash flow by FY26 and non-GAAP profitability in the second half of FY27, with strong revenue growth resuming as production deployments scale.
If those targets prove even roughly correct, the stock today is pricing in a lot of failure. Any upside surprise on:
deal conversions,
operating leverage, or
new, high-profile customer wins via Microsoftโs ecosystem
could trigger a meaningful re-rating from these levels.
3. Macro Headwinds as Future Tailwinds
Recent economic data and rate worries have hit high-growth tech โ including C3ai โ as investors fled anything with long-dated cash flows.
For a contrarian bull, thatโs exactly the kind of environment where:
expectations are low,
sentiment is washed out,
and good news is under-priced.
If the macro picture stabilizes and rate-cut expectations firm up, beaten-down AI names like C3.ai can suddenly look interesting again, especially with a strategic partner like Microsoft in their corner.
AI is a potential buyout candidate, in my opinion.
Why AI Could Rise Sharply Before Friday's Options ExpirationIn a market where enterprise AI spending is projected to hit $100B+ by 2026, C3.ai's 130+ turnkey apps (from supply chain optimization to ESG tracking) position it as a must-have for Fortune 500 digital transformations.
Trading at around $17.27 as of midday September 15, down a staggering 33% over the past month, the stock has been battered by leadership turmoil and disappointing quarterly results.
But for options traders eyeing the September 19 expiration, this could be the setup for a sharp rebound. Last month, we loaded up on those $25 strike calls, a tough grind to profitability amid the sell-off, but with fresh tailwinds emerging.
From a charting perspective on TradingView, the stock is testing support near its 200-day moving average around $16.50, with volume spiking on the downside but showing signs of capitulation.A bounce from here isn't just wishful thinkingโit's backed by historical patterns. In similar drawdowns earlier this year, NYSE:AI rebounded 15-20% within a week on lighter selling pressure. With the broader Nasdaq futures pointing higher amid cooling inflation data, a risk-on rotation could propel NYSE:AI toward $20+ resistance by expiration, putting those $25 calls back in the money.
Smart money appears to be accumulating; recent options flow shows unusual call volume at the $20 and $22 strikes, hinting at bets on a quick snapback.
New CEO Stephen Ehikian: A Stabilizing Force with Proven PedigreeThe elephant in the room has been the abrupt CEO transition. Founder Thomas Siebel stepped aside for health reasons in late July, triggering a sales slowdown and the withdrawn full-year guidance that spooked investors.
Ehikian isn't just a placeholder; he's a serial innovator with deep ties to enterprise software giants. He built RelateIQ (acquired by Salesforce to form Einstein) and Airkit.ai (now core to Salesforce's Agentforce), and most recently served as Acting Administrator of the U.S. General Services Administration under President Trump.
His track record in scaling AI integrations could accelerate C3.ai's federal deals, which already made up a chunk of Q1 wins (e.g., expansions with the U.S. Air Force).
In his first comments, Ehikian emphasized capturing the "immense market opportunity in Enterprise AI," and whispers from the Street suggest he's fast-tracking partner integrations with Microsoft and AWSโkey channels that drove 155% YoY growth in partner-sourced deals last quarter.
This leadership reset screams "buy the dip" for contrarians.3. Solid Q1 Fundamentals Amid AI TailwindsDon't let the headlines fool youโC3.ai's fiscal Q1 2026 results (ended July 31) weren't a disaster; they were a pause in an otherwise accelerating growth story. Revenue hit a record $87.2 million, up 21% YoY, with subscription revenue (86% of total) climbing to $60.3 million.
The company closed 71 dealsโmore than double last year's tallyโand federal expansions highlight sticky demand for its Agentic AI platform.
Options Expiration Gamma Squeeze: The Friday Catalyst With September 19 OPEX looming, NYSE:AI 's options chain is primed for fireworks. Open interest is heavy on out-of-the-money calls around $20-$25, mirroring last month's setup where we rode the $25 strikes through volatility.
As delta hedging ramps up, a modest 5-10% pop in the underlying could trigger gamma squeezes, forcing market makers to buy shares and amplifying the move.
If NYSE:AI clears $18.50 early this week (a key pivot on the daily chart), momentum could carry it to $22+ by Friday.
AI C3ai Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AI before the previous rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AI C3ai prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 25usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-9-19,
for a premium of approximately $0.09!
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
AI c3ai Bullish Reversal Ahead of EarningsAI C3.ai has been in the spotlight recently, following a series of notable developments that set the stage for a potential bullish reversal. The company recently announced that founder and CEO Thomas Siebel is stepping down due to health reasons. While this initially caused some market jitters, it coincides with a broader operational transformation that could act as a catalyst for a turnaround.
Earlier this month, C3ai reported preliminary fiscal first-quarter revenues below expectations, raising short-term concerns. However, the company continues to invest in AI-driven solutions and expand strategic partnerships, including a notable collaboration with Eletrobras in Brazil. These moves demonstrate that the firm is actively diversifying its offerings and positioning itself as a leading player in enterprise AI.
From an options market perspective, there is evidence of bullish sentiment building ahead of earnings. The $25 strike price out-of-the-money calls expiring on September 19 suggest that traders are betting on a near-term upside, signaling expectations of a possible recovery or positive surprise in the upcoming earnings report.
Leadership changes, while initially unsettling, often create opportunities for strategic shifts. A new CEO could accelerate operational efficiency, focus on high-growth initiatives, and highlight C3aiโs AI innovation, which has been a core strength of the company. Combined with ongoing product launches and partnership expansions, these factors could serve as a catalyst for a technical and fundamental reversal in the stock.
Traders may want to watch key support levels and the $25 strike options activity closely, as these indicators suggest that a bullish reversal could be on the horizon. With a renewed leadership team and continued AI innovation, C3.ai has the potential to regain momentum in the weeks leading up to earnings.
AI Insider Trading Before the Buyout? $5.8Million block of callsOn Friday, after the close, C3. ai announced CEO Thomas Siebel is stepping down, with a new leadership team taking over. The stock dropped almost 14% on the news, slashing its market cap and potentially making it irresistible for a takeover bid. They are looking for a new CEO!
Why this matters:
1. Perfect M&A Timing: C3. ai has proven AI tech, including contracts with the U.S. Department of Defense. The right acquirer could turn this into the next Palantir-style success story. Leadership changes often make buyouts easier.
2. Valuation Reset: The 14% drop gives strategic buyers a cheaper entry point, exactly when they might be circling.
3. Massive Call Buying Before News: Just last week, someone dropped $5.8M on Sept 19 $25 strike calls. Thatโs a high-conviction, short-dated bet. Nobody throws around that kind of money without expecting a big move, possibly insider knowledge of a deal or major contract.
4. Strategic Fit: Defense contractors or big tech companies could instantly expand their AI footprint by acquiring C3.ai.
Palantir built its empire by combining cutting-edge data analytics with deep government and defense relationships. C3. ai is following a similar blueprint and may be earlier in the curve:
1. Strong Defense Footprint: C3. ai already holds contracts with the U.S. Department of Defense and other government agencies, positioning it in the same secure, high-margin niche that powered Palantirโs growth.
2. Mission-Critical AI Solutions: Just like Palantirโs Gotham and Foundry platforms became embedded in government workflows, C3. aiโs AI suite is designed for enterprise and defense applications that are hard to replace once integrated.
3. Massive TAM (Total Addressable Market): The AI defense and enterprise analytics market is projected to grow exponentially over the next decade, mirroring the macro tailwinds Palantir rode after 2020.
4. Sticky Contracts: Government and defense clients tend to lock in long-term, high-value contracts once a system is deployed, creating predictable recurring revenue streams.
5. Potential for Commercial Expansion: Palantir went from mostly government to a healthy commercial mix. C3. ai could follow the same path, leveraging its defense credibility to win private-sector deals.
6. Strategic Acquisition Target: Big tech and defense primes would love to own a proven AI platform with federal clearance โ just as Palantirโs unique positioning has made it a darling of Wall Street and a fortress against competition.
In short: C3. ai today could be where Palantir was a few years ago!
If acquired or scaled correctly, the upside could be just as explosive!
Is C3.ai the Quiet Giant of Enterprise AI?C3.ai (AI), an enterprise artificial intelligence software provider, has operated somewhat under the radar despite its foundational role in delivering advanced AI solutions to large organizations. While the broader AI market has seen significant attention on hardware innovators, C3.ai has steadily scaled its platform usage and secured marquee contracts. The company's core strength lies in its sophisticated, patented C3 Agentic AI platform, developed through a multi-billion-dollar investment, which effectively tackles critical business challenges such as AI hallucinations, data security, and multi-format data integration.
A pivotal development underscoring C3.ai's growing influence is the expanded contract with the U.S. Air Force Rapid Sustainment Office (RSO). This agreement significantly increased its ceiling to $450 million through 2029, supporting the widespread deployment of C3.ai's PANDA predictive maintenance platform across the Air Force fleet. This substantial commitment not only provides a robust, long-term revenue stream but also serves as a powerful validation of C3.ai's technology at an unprecedented scale, potentially representing the largest production AI deployment within the U.S. Department of Defense.
Financially, C3.ai demonstrates compelling momentum. The company recently reported record Q4 earnings, with revenue reaching $108.7 million, a 26% year-over-year increase, driven by strong growth in both subscription and engineering services. Strategic alliances with industry giants like Baker Hughes, Microsoft Azure, and Amazon Web Services continue to accelerate new deal flow and expand market access, shortening sales cycles and enhancing overall reach. While profitability remains a near-term focus, C3.ai's solid liquidity and projected revenue growth of 15%-25% for fiscal 2026, coupled with an average analyst price target suggesting significant upside, position it for a compelling ascent in the enterprise AI landscape.
AI C3ai Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AI before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AI C3ai prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 23.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-5-30,
for a premium of approximately $1.31.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
C3.AI has bottomed and is targeting $39.00C3.ai (AI) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the June 16 2023 High and right now is testing its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support, following a bottom (Lower Lows) rebound on April 08 2025.
This is technically the start of its new Bullish Leg, even though based on May - August 2024, it may be delayed. On the long-term though, our Target will be the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at $39.00.
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$AI โ Price at a Pivotal Level | Bounce or Breakdown?๐ C3.ai ( NYSE:AI ) is sitting at a critical support level.
๐น Price Action & Key Levels
Current Price: $21.61
Previous Week Range: Mon, Mar 3 - Sat, Mar 8
Previous Weekly High (PWH): $24.35
Previous Weekly Low (PWL): $20.92
Previous Day Range (Fri, Mar 14, 2025) is a crucial demand area.
Previous Day High (PDH): $21.78
Previous Day Low (PDL): $21.20
Fibonacci Range: Wed, Dec 28, 2022 - Fri, Jan 16, 2023
Fibonacci 0.618: $24.95 (Resistance if the stock bounces)
Fibonacci 0.786: $18.44 (Downside risk if support breaks)
๐ Bullish Case (Price Needs to Hold & Bounce)
If NYSE:AI holds above $21.20 and reclaims $22 and $23, momentum could push it toward $24.35 and higher. Price above $24.95 (0.618 Fib) confirms strength to the upside.
๐ฉ Bearish Case (Break Below $20.92 = Danger)
If NYSE:AI breaks below $20.92 (PWL), the next downside target is $18.44 (0.786 Fib).
๐ Holding NYSE:AI 21 MAR 25 $23 Calls @ $0.30
- Entry: Higher low and between the 0.618 and 0.786 ($18.44 - $24.95) Fibonacci range to the upside.
- Target: $0.45 on the options contract, 50% profit
- Stop Loss: $0.20 on the options contract, 33% loss.
๐น What Does C3.ai Do?
C3.ai ( NYSE:AI ) is an enterprise AI software company that helps businesses predict, automate, and optimize operations using AI.
๐ก Example Use Case:
Shell (Oil & Gas) uses C3.aiโs predictive maintenance AI to analyze sensor data and detect equipment failures before they happenโreducing downtime and saving millions.
Some other industries and areas NYSE:AI is doing business in:
Banking: Fraud detection & risk management
Healthcare: AI-driven diagnostics
Manufacturing: Supply chain optimization
C3.AI Is it the new PALANTIR?Last time we made an analysis on C3.ai (AI) (September 06 2024, see chart below), we gave a strong buy signal that not only did it successfully hit our $28.50 Target but also broke above the 1.5 year Channel Down:
The pattern that has emerged and looks to be what might place the strongest pressure moving on, is a Channel Up, starting from he December 2022 bottom. By early February we should also have formed the first Golden Cross on the 1W time-frame and that alone can apply high buying pressure.
Technically, the next obstacle for the stock to overcome is the Resistance Zone from the 2021 consolidation, which priced the previous High of June 2023. If the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) holds and pushes the price above the Zone, we expect an aggressive push towards potentially the All Time High (ATH) of the stock, much like Palantir did on its own break-out. A more modest technical Target before that however, would be $130.00.
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C3.AI is allergic to $35! 55% UPSIDEC3.AI - NYSE:AI ๐ค
All the bad news, downgrades, and FUD!
THEY STILL CAN'T GET THIS NAME UNDER $35!
5 WEEKS in a row of wicking off of $35 friends!
DO I REALLY NEED TO TELL YOU HOW BULLISH THAT IS OR CAN I STOP USING ALL CAPS BC YOU GET IT!
๐ฏ$39๐ฏ$46๐ฏ$49๐ฏ$58
Not financial advice
Called the DIP BUY Perfectly, Now we march back to $49+C3.AI - NYSE:AI ๐ค
We had a large 16% move higher after earnings yesterday to now 8% down. Lets talk about why and some levels I'm looking at.
First, the H5 and Williams Consolidation Box strategies are still intact and no reason to fret. I'm not making the same mistake after we saw this same volatility after NASDAQ:SOUN earnings.
Second, I believe the move is based on analysts combining to keep this stocks price targets to sub $30 while it's currently high $30's low $40's last few weeks. I believe this could be a fake out and pullback entry point for Wall Street to enter just as they did on Sound Hound AI. Could be destroying short term options as well as we see on most earnings calls.
Finally, I believe we are going to continue higher after some volatility today and this week. They honestly had great earnings with a double beat and raise on guidance. While speaking more on their great new NASDAQ:MSFT partnership.
As you can see on the chart the yellow dotted line is the current pre-market price at $38ish which puts it right at previous support and resistance levels dating back to 2022 and keeps it on the volume shelf. With the H5 and WCB being intact while we are at a key support area I'm going to be a buyer here.
The white box on the chart below is the buy box according to the factors outlined above.
Buy Box: $36-$39
๐ฏ๐$47
๐ฏ$49
๐ฏ$58
Not financial advice.
Is $POET the next AI RUNNER?! 86% UPSIDENASDAQ:POET
A great looking H5 Setup that just needs a breakout!
Warning: High Risk/ High Reward Small Cap
-H5 indicator is GREEN
-Pennant breakout that needs a retest. Measured move is $6.13 which puts us to a breakout of the Cup&Handle!
-Williams Consolidation Box needs to create support and bounce in order to be live! A big pullback to retest the Pennant breakout then bounce would be a perfect area for an entry into this trade.
-Large Volume Shelf with nothing but SPACE above.
๐$6.13 ๐ฏ$7.75 ๐$11
Not Financial Advice - NFA
C3.AI is going higher and presenting a buying opportunity!NYSE:AI is going higher and presenting a buying opportunity!
100% Potential Upside! ๐
In this video, we dive into NYSE:AI , a powerhouse in the AI sector, currently breaking out of a Falling Wedge Pattern!
๐ก Key Highlights:
-H5 Indicator: Flashing green for a bullish signal
-Flipping a 4 year resistance area to support
-Volume Insights: Massive GAP to fill
-Technical Analysis: Consolidation box formed on WR%
Targets:
๐ฏ$35
๐ฏ$39
๐ฏ$49
๐$58
Don't miss out on the potential explosive growth of AI! Tune in to see why this stock could be a game-changer!
NFA
Is C3.AI the next AI Giant to Soar? 123% Potential Upside!๐ Is C3.AI the Next AI Giant to Soar?๐
123% Potential Upside! ๐
In this video, we dive into NYSE:AI , a powerhouse in the AI sector, currently retesting a Falling Wedge Breakout!
๐ก Key Highlights:
-H5 Indicator: Flashing green for a bullish signal
-Volume Insights: Massive volume shelf with a significant gap to fill
-Technical Analysis: Consolidation box formed on WR%
Targets:
๐ฏ$39
๐ฏ$49
๐$58
Don't miss out on the potential explosive growth of $AI! Tune in to see why this stock could be a game-changer!
NFA
C3.AI: Waiting for this huge buy breakout signal.C3.ai is on a neutral technical outlook both on the 1D and 1W timeframes (RSI = 51.525, MACD = -0.010, ADX = 22.326) as it is trading around the 1W MA50 for 5 straight weeks. This sideways price action is approaching the top of the June 2023 Channel Down, which on the greater scale technically looks like a giant Bull Flag. For the first time in its history, the 1W MA200 is at 33.00 and falling. A test of the top of the Channel Down may coincide with a 1W MA200. This is the level that separates the long term bearish from bullish trends. If it breaks we will go long and target the R1 level (TP = 49.00).
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