EURCAD: Important Breakout 🇪🇺🇨🇦
EURCAD broke and closed above a significant intraday/daily
resistance cluster.
With a high probability, the price will rise more and reach 1.6305 level soon.
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Candlestick Analysis
EUR/USD Ready for Its Next Move: Breakout or Channel Re-Test?
📊 Technical Context
EUR/USD is trading inside a clearly defined ascending channel, continuing an uptrend and respecting both support and resistance zones.
Price is currently testing a key resistance level, near the upper boundary of the channel. If EUR/USD fails to break above, we could see a retracement toward the mid or lower channel levels, which would align with typical channel behavior and offer potential rebuy zones.
In that scenario, consolidation or pullback would be natural given overextended recent moves.
🌍 Fundamental Context
The U.S. dollar is showing signs of weakness, driven by growing expectations of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which reduces the dollar’s yield advantage and weakens its appeal.
At the same time, the Euro-zone economy, while mixed, doesn't show extreme weakness; some positive sentiment around economic recovery supports EUR demand.
As a result, EUR/USD benefits from a combination of euro strength + dollar softness, creating a favorable backdrop for possible upside continuation.
🎯 What to Watch / Scenarios
Upside scenario: Break above resistance leads to continuation upward — trend remains bullish.
Pullback scenario: If resistance holds — watch for drop to mid/lower channel zones, then look for long entries aligned with structural support + fundamental bias.
Manage risk carefully due to potential volatility during breakout attempts or key macro news.
OANDA:EURUSD
Bitcoin – Technical + Fundamental Analysis
📊 Technical Situation
BTC remains inside its bullish ascending channel, with lower boundary still holding well.
Yesterday, price failed to break above the channel’s mid-line / resistance, suggesting consolidation is needed.
A drop toward the lower boundary of the channel could provide good liquidity and a support zone for a bounce.
If that support holds, price could attempt a new upward swing targeting ~94,000 USD, assuming resistance is overcome.
🌐 Fundamental Context
Risk sentiment remains shaky: as traditional markets show volatility, crypto tends to follow — higher Treasury yields and macro pressure have weighed on Bitcoin recently.
On the other hand, medium-term tailwinds remain: growing concerns over global money supply and potential monetary easing support Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and currency debasement.
Institutional flows remain a mixed factor: while some investors are reducing exposure, others view dips as opportunities — this could generate volatility, but also strong rebounds if sentiment flips.
🎯 What I Expect
Ideally, BTC corrects toward the channel floor before resuming upward — this sets up a buy-the-dip opportunity.
If macro conditions worsen (rising yields, global risk-off), expect pressure toward lower channel support or even deeper.
If support holds and yields/market sentiment improve, Bitcoin could push toward 94,000 USD or higher.
Gold – Key Scenarios & Fundamentals🟡 Gold – Key Scenarios & Fundamentals
📉 Technical Setup
During the Asian session, gold broke down below the Previous Day Low (PDL) — a level that now acts as resistance.
For today, two clear scenarios are on the table:
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
Price reclaims the PDL (break + retest) → targets the Previous Day High (PDH) and the zone around 4,240 as the next upside target.
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
PDL holds as resistance → throwback → price heads down toward 4,100, a zone with strong liquidity and coinciding with the midline (or EMA) of the bullish channel, acting as a potential key support zone.
Watch for confirmation: retest + momentum for longs, or clean breakdown for shorts.
🌐 Fundamental & Macro Context
Dollar strength or weakness remains a critical driver; renewed USD weakness (from shifting rate expectations or softer US data) could favor gold upside.
Interest-rate expectations: If markets expect a less aggressive tone from the Fed (or potential rate cuts ahead), gold tends to absorb flows as a non-yielding safe-haven.
Geopolitical risk / global uncertainty still provide a tailwind to gold — any headlines affecting risk sentiment could spark safe-haven demand.
Inflation & real yields: If real yields stay low or turn negative, gold becomes more attractive; watch upcoming inflation data for clues.
🎯 Trading Plan Summary
Bullish path: reclaim PDL → entry upon retest → target ~4,240
Bearish path: rejection at PDL → entry on breakdown → target ~4,100
OANDA:XAUUSD
Nasdaq — Current Setup & What Could Happen Next📈 Nasdaq — Current Setup & What Could Happen Next
🔹 Technical Setup
Nasdaq has been accumulating between 25,600–25,650 since Tuesday, marking a clear base where buyers stepped in.
I’m watching for a break to the upside with pullback entries, aiming to complete the fractal toward 25,770, a level with previous supply/resistance.
Yesterday’s -1% drop after negative news from Microsoft was gradually erased by steady buying — a sign that underlying demand remains resilient.
The accumulation and rebound off that base may signal a renewed bullish leg, provided we see clean technical confirmation.
🌎 Fundamental & Market Context
Rate-cut hopes are returning: Traders are increasingly betting on a potential cut by the Federal Reserve next month, which tends to support growth and tech sectors.
That expectation has helped lift sentiment across U.S. equities, including the Nasdaq.
On the flip side, rising Treasury yields and macroeconomic uncertainty remain a risk; any hawkish Fed hints or weak corporate earnings could challenge the bullish view.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
➡️ Bullish:
Break of accumulation zone → long entries on pullback → target 25,770.
⚠️ Bearish / Cautious:
Failure to break up, or a sharp reversal → fallback toward lower liquidity zones/Potential PDL.
TVC:DXY SP:SPX CAPITALCOM:US100
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Bearish Trend ContinuesThe Dollar Index is currently trading in a bearish trend.
A significant daily/intraday support cluster was violated yesterday, and the formation of a new lower low and lower close indicates substantial selling pressure.
Today, the price is showing a steady recovery, retesting the previously broken structure. Another bearish wave will probably commence from this point.
The next target is 98.63.
Amazon (AMZN) Falters, Bears Eye 200 EMAI’m wondering whether Amazon has seen a major top on 3 November, given it saw a large gap into the high before momentum turned lower. This has the hallmarks of a ‘blow-off top’, which can occur at major turning points when bulls push a stock higher with such force – often via a gap – as a kind of ‘last hurrah’, only for momentum to then falter.
A 16.8% decline to its 200-day EMA then ensued and, while it has tried to rebound, it has also struggled to rise alongside the broader market.
Trading volumes were declining while prices rose, and Tuesday’s shooting-star candle formed near the September high and below the January high. Prices also gapped lower on Wednesday before finding support around the 50-day EMA.
Bears could look to fade moves towards the shooting-star high, with a retest of the 200-day EMA in focus.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index.
USDCAD – Bearish BiasUsing my Daily Bias Model, USDCAD is showing a clear Bearish Bias going into Thursday.
Here’s why:
Wednesday’s daily candle closed below Tuesday’s Low
Whether Wednesday swept Tuesday’s High or not does not matter for this condition
➡️ This confirms a Bearish Bias for Thursday.
Now during active trading session, we wanna see and old internal Highs being taken, or a trade into a lower timeframe FVG before trading to the main DOL (Previous D1 Low)
📌So in summary
Bias for Thursday: 🔻 Bearish
Expecting downward movement unless the daily structure shifts again.
EUR/AUD cracks 200DMA as bears circleDownside risks for EUR/AUD look to be building.
For the first time in 2025, the pair closed beneath the 200DMA on Wednesday, adding to the bearish signals delivered over the past week. With RSI (14) and MACD indicating building downside pressure, the message from price action and momentum indicators favours bearish setups over longs.
While its interactions with the level have been fleeting in recent times, of those that have occurred, it’s clear from the price action that traders pay attention to the 200DMA. As such, it can be used to build trade setups around.
Should the bearish break of the 200DMA stick, shorts could be established with a stop above for protection. 1.7670 saw buying over the past two days, so keep that on the radar should the price stall around the level again. If it does, consider nixing the trade. But if the bearish unwind extends, 1.7600, 1.7465 or 1.7400 provide target levels depending on your desired risk-reward.
While longs are not favoured right now, the 200DMA could also be used to build bullish setups should Wednesday’s break prove false, allowing for longs to be established above it with a stop below, targeting either 1.7750, the 50DMA or 1.7945 initially.
Good luck!
DS
Long trade 🟩 Buy-Side Trade
Buy-side Trade
Pair: EURUSD
Date: Wed 3rd Dec 2025
Time: 6:15 am
Session: London Session AM
📘 Trade Details
Entry: 1.16597
Profit Level: 1.16915 (0.273%)
Stop Level: 1.16584 (0.011%)
Risk–Reward (RR): 24.46
Correlation DXY
📗 Model / Structure
Bullish structure confirmed on 15m
BOS + displacement into premium zones
FVG → retracement → continuation model
Trend supported by EMA/WMA alignment
📙 Liquidity Story
Sweep of London open sell-side liquidity
Inducement below local swing low
Price targeted multiple FVGs stacked above
Liquidity magnets: 1.16850 → 1.16920
📕 Sentiment / Narrative
USD weakness during early LND session
EUR stable macro tone
High-volatility transition from Asia → London
Market repricing toward upper imbalance
📒 Outcome: Trade in session.
Next Week EURUSD Analysis There is more htf context to this but I will keep it brief. Weekly candle rejected 1.147 area, Smt of 3month lows with GU and DXY indicating that there is divergence between correlated assets, every downside target has been met we have just opened with a new monthly candle which usually makes the low the first week aswell. And we now have a weekly crt formed meaning we can target the high of the previous week pairing liquidity pools we already had a daily change in state so I am expecting daily ob to take us higher.
SPY reveals a setup for a short-term bearish swingThe analysis across both the daily (or 4-hour) and 30-minute charts of SPY reveals a high-probability setup for a short-term bearish swing. The primary signal, a classic Volume Price Analysis (VPA) indication of weakness, is the significant bearish divergence between price and volume. As the price has rallied to new highs over the past several sessions, the volume has been consistently decreasing. This 'No Demand' rally suggests a lack of professional participation and conviction, making the uptrend fragile and susceptible to a reversal.
On the longer timeframe chart, we observe price approaching an upper trend line resistance. Concurrently, the candles are becoming smaller, indicating a loss of upward momentum and exhaustion among buyers. This price action at a key resistance level, combined with declining volume, is a strong signal of distribution.
The 30-minute chart confirms this weakness on a granular level. The final push to the highs is not accompanied by a spike in volume; instead, the volume is subdued. This lack of 'effort' to break out suggests the move is likely a false breakout or an 'up-thrust' designed to trap eager buyers before a move down.
The confluence of these factors—testing resistance, slowing momentum, and most importantly, a clear price/volume divergence—points to a probable swing down over the next 2-10 days. The trade is to sell, anticipating a pullback towards the previous support/consolidation zone.
Nifty Analysis EOD – December 3, 2025 – Wednesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – December 3, 2025 – Wednesday 🔴
25900 Holds: Buyers Force Doji After 170-Point Plunge.
🗞 Nifty Summary
The Nifty started with a bearish continuation sentiment, leading to a deep plunge of 170 points in the first half of the session. The selling pressure was halted around the 25900 level, where the index successfully found a base and stayed range-bound within approximately 35 points.
The 25950 level acted as a strong hurdle, trapping buyers multiple times. However, in a last-hour push, the index managed to breach this hurdle and successfully tested the psychological 26K mark before closing at 25,986.00, resulting in a loss of -46.20 points (-0.18%).
The day’s close was below the PDL and the 26K level, but the strong defense and recovery from the 25900 support zone are key takeaways. The resulting Daily Candle forms a Doji-like structure right on this important support, signaling potential base-building.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
The day was marked by strong directional movement in the first hour, followed by dull consolidation within the Initial Balance (IB) range near the bottom. The deep dive confirmed the strong short-term bearish bias following the previous day’s close. However, the subsequent 95-point lower wick confirms that institutional buyers aggressively stepped in at the 25900 zone.
This strong support response is the most positive takeaway. The tight range consolidation near 25950 was eventually overcome, but the failure to close above 26K leaves the short-term bias ambiguous.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 26,004.90
High: 26,066.45
Low: 25,891.00
Close: 25,986.00
Change: −46.20 (−0.18%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Bearish candle (small body) — Doji-like Indecision.
Range (High–Low): ≈ 175 points — indicating elevated intraday volatility.
Body: ≈ 19 points — very small body, highlighting indecision with a slight bearish tilt.
Upper Wick: ≈ 62 points — buyers attempted upside but faced resistance quickly.
Lower Wick: ≈ 95 points — strong buying response from lower levels, forming a large lower shadow.
📚 Interpretation
The small real body and the long lower wick are classic signs of a potential base-building effort. The strong buying from the 25,891 low shows aggressive defense of the support zone. However, the close below 26K means the selling pressure hasn’t been completely negated. We need to watch closely to see if the market honors this Doji by reversing (bullish signal) or continuing the fall (bearish signal).
🕯 Candle Type
Indecision Candle with Bullish Lower-Wick Support — Next candle direction will decide short-term trend continuation or reversal.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 193.38
IB Range: 144.6 → Big
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlights:
11:33 Long Trade - Target Hit (R:R 1:2.33) (Trendline Breakout)
Trade Summary: The volatile initial plunge set a wide range. The strategy successfully capitalized on the strong reversal from the day’s low, capturing the long trade following the trendline breakout after the initial sell-off stabilized.
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
26030 ~ 26075
26104
26132 ~ 26160
26220
Support Zones:
25985
25930 ~ 25920 (Immediate Base)
🧠 Final Thoughts
“The Doji is the pause button.”
The key now is the 25900 level. Today’s action confirms that buyers are actively defending this psychological zone.
If tomorrow’s session trades and closes above the high of today’s Doji (26,066), we should see a resumption of the upward journey toward 26132. If the market breaks and sustains below 25,891, the short-term bearish move will continue toward 25850.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
The expectation of interest rate cuts remains the core support.#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
✅ From the daily chart, gold prices are still above the MA5 and MA10. A prudent approach is to wait for a pullback to buy, or continue to use a buy-low-sell-high strategy until key resistance is broken. With the moving averages rising, the first support level to watch today is 4205-4195. If the price finds support and stabilizes in this area and strengthens again, the first resistance level to watch is the 4260-4270 area. This level represents both the previous high and a key level determining whether gold can hold above the 4300 mark.
✅ It is worth noting that if the price breaks below the support range of 4205-4195, it may retest the 4160-4140 area. It is particularly important to note that repeated testing of the same support level often signals weakness, and a cautious approach is necessary.
Ford Motors Stock Supply and Demand AnalysisFord Motors is currently offering one of the cleanest supply and demand structures in the stock market. The bigger timeframes — monthly and weekly — are in full control, and as price reacts to these higher-timeframe imbalances, new daily demand levels are forming with exceptional strength.
This is exactly how professional price action develops: the higher timeframes establish control, and smaller timeframes follow by creating fresh pockets of imbalance.
Daily Demand at $12.60
This level shows:
- A strong departure
- Tight basing
- Powerful bullish impulse
Candles with minimal overlap
It stands out immediately as one of the clearest imbalances in the recent price action.
Why Patience Is Everything in Trading
Most retail traders ruin strong setups because they want to "be in the market." The truth is simple:
📌 Trading is about waiting. Not chasing.
Institutional imbalances take time to develop. Once they form, they provide clarity for days, weeks, or even months. Ford is now in such a phase.
As long as the daily and higher timeframe demand zones hold, a new bullish leg is the most probable outcome.
FireHoseReel | USDT.D : The Next Major Crypto Wave Is Starting🔥 Welcome to FireHoseReel!
Let’s dive into the USDT Dominance (USDT.D) market structure.
👀 USDT.D – 4H Overview
After a strong bullish rally, USDT Dominance has fully retraced its entire move and is now losing a key support zone. This is one of those levels you shouldn’t pass without a position — it’s a critical decision area.
🧮 RSI Analysis
The USDT Dominance RSI has formed an oversold zone around the 33 level. A breakdown and sustained move below this zone could trigger mass USDT selling and strong buying pressure in Bitcoin and altcoins.
✍️ Current Scenario for USDT Dominance (Simple Setup)
🟢 Long Scenario for the Crypto Market:
A clear break and candle close below 5.934%, ideally accompanied by RSI breaking below the 33 level, would confirm momentum. In that case, the move is expected to accelerate, and we’ll likely spend less time inside the position due to high volatility.
❤️ Risk Management & Emotional Discipline
Crypto trading is highly risky. Without proper risk management and emotional control, trading becomes no different from gambling.
Logic must always come before emotions. Learn to manage your trades and enjoy the process with control and discipline.






















