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Candlestick Analysis

S&P500 E-mini(ES) Intraday Volume Playbook (1/25-1/26)ES (S&P 500 E-mini Futures) — January 25–26 Overnight & Day Session Outlook Current Price: ~6,928–6,930 Market context: Price sold aggressively into the prior session, flushed into lower value, and is now auctioning back into a prior high-volume node around 6,925–6,935. This area is acting as short-term balance, not acceptance yet. Volume profile shows unfinished business above and thin structure below, making this a location-based market rather than trend-based for now. Key takeaway: Expect rotation first, then expansion. Direction will be decided by acceptance above or rejection below the current HVN. Key Levels Resistance / Upper Acceptance 6,955–6,965 (Prior VAH / Supply) 6,945–6,950 (Intraday balance high) Current Balance / Decision Zone 6,925–6,935 (High Volume Node / POC area) Support / Lower Acceptance 6,900–6,905 (Prior reaction & demand) 6,875–6,885 (Single prints / thin volume) 6,850–6,860 (Session extreme support) Overnight Session Trades Trade 1 — Now → 12:00 AM (Early Overnight Rotation) Bias: Mean reversion / rotation Price is sitting inside HVN — expect chop unless we see acceptance. Long Scenario Entry: 6,920–6,925 Target: 6,945 Extended Target: 6,955 Stop Loss: 6,905 Short Scenario Entry: 6,950–6,955 (rejection) Target: 6,930 Extended Target: 6,915 Stop Loss: 6,965 Expect slow, overlapping candles — this is not trend time yet. Trade 2 — 12:00 AM → 9:00 AM (Asia → London → Pre-US) This is where real structure develops. Bullish Acceptance Scenario If price accepts above 6,945 with volume: Entry: 6,945–6,950 (pullback) Target: 6,975 Extended Target: 7,000 Stop Loss: 6,930 Bearish Rejection Scenario If price fails at 6,945–6,955: Entry: 6,940–6,950 rejection Target: 6,905 Extended Target: 6,880 Stop Loss: 6,965 Watch for range expansion after London open — that’s the trigger. Day Session (RTH) — January 26 Primary Expectation One-timeframe buyers only if price holds above 6,945 Failure there opens a full rotation lower Day Session Long (Acceptance Play) Conditions Acceptance above 6,945 Pullbacks holding above value Entry: 6,950–6,955 Target 1: 6,980 Target 2: 7,010 Stop Loss: 6,930 This is a trend continuation day if this holds. Day Session Short (Failed Auction / Rejection) Conditions Rejection wicks + lack of volume above 6,950 Return below 6,930 Entry: 6,930–6,935 Target 1: 6,900 Target 2: 6,870 Stop Loss: 6,955 This becomes a range-to-range liquidation move. Final Read Above 6,945: Buyers regain control → continuation toward 7,000 Below 6,925: Failed auction → rotation into lower value Inside 6,925–6,945: Chop & patience required This is a location-based market, not a chase market. Let price come to your levels.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Market-pulse_
Adani Green – High-Risk Momentum Play with 30% Upside PotentialSummary Adani Green has broken out above the critical ₹1,020 resistance level with convincing volume and positive price action. The structure suggests a short-term reversal from the prolonged downtrend. Historically, once breakouts are confirmed, the stock has shown rapid upward moves — for instance, a 48.7 percent surge in November 2024 following a similar setup. The current breakout targets the ₹1,360 zone, which represents a 32 percent move from the breakout level and corresponds to a prior key supply zone. Target and Time Frame Target Price: ₹1,360 Estimated Time Frame: 4 to 8 weeks (based on previous breakout velocity, momentum strength, and short squeeze potential) Risks Valuation remains extremely stretched with a P/E near 100. The market is pricing in multi-year forward growth High leverage is a structural concern. Debt-to-equity is 6.6x, and a missed execution milestone or policy change—especially the end of the ISTS waiver in June 2025—could lead to volatility RSI nearing overbought zone. Minor pullbacks or consolidations may occur before continuation Disclaimer This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Please do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NSE:ADANIGREENLong
by eggubonda
GOLD (XAUUSD): 5000 Level Soon Gold closed in a very strong bullish mood, breaking an intraday horizontal resistance zone. There is a high probability, that the market will reach 5000 psychological level soon after the market opening. As 5000 level is a very critical structure, traps and manipulations will likely occur after its test. I will monitor a price action and will provide an update shortly then. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
11
A+ Setup Consolidation Breakout StrategyConsolidation Breakout Strategy (Summary) In this strategy, the first step is to identify a clear consolidation zone and mark it with a box to define the trading range visually. Once price is ranging, we wait patiently for a valid breakout or breakdown with a strong candle close outside the range. If you want additional confirmation before entering a trade, it’s important to recognize candlestick patterns. Understanding patterns such as Doji, Bullish/Bearish Engulfing, Hammer, Shooting Star, Morning Star, Evening Star, and others will significantly increase the accuracy of your execution. After the breakout, we do not enter immediately. Instead, we wait for a retest of the breakout level. The retest candle becomes our Point of Interest (POI) and serves as the execution entry, ensuring the trade aligns with both price action and candlestick confirmation. Stop-Loss Options Two stop-loss methods can be used: 1. Aggressive Stop Loss • Placed below the low of the retest candle (for buys) or above the high (for sells). • Provides better risk-to-reward, but has a higher chance of being stopped out, especially on lower timeframes. 2. Conservative Stop Loss • Placed on the opposite side of the consolidation zone. • Offers more protection against fake breakouts and is more suitable for consistent and prop-firm style trading. Take-Profit Methods Primary TP — Price Projection (Measured Move) • Measure the full height of the consolidation range. • Project the same distance from the breakout point in the direction of the move. • This projected level is used as the main target, as shown on the chart. This method is especially useful when price is trading in new territory or near all-time highs, where no clear resistance is present. Trailing Stop for Trend Continuation Since price does not move in a straight line and often forms new micro-ranges during trends, a trailing stop approach is used to capture extended moves: • After price creates a new consolidation, move the stop loss below the most recent range low (for buys) or above the range high (for sells). • Continue trailing the stop behind each new structure until stopped out. This is a trend-following management method designed to maximize reward-to-risk and allow winners to run. Alternative Trailing Methods Traders may also trail stops using indicators such as: • 21 SMA, or • SuperTrend In this case, the stop loss is trailed below (for buys) or above (for sells) the indicator as long as trend conditions remain valid. Future Use of the Range Zone The original consolidation zone is extended to the right because it often acts as a future support or resistance area. As shown on the chart, price later returned to the range, respected it as support, and continued higher — confirming the importance of these zones. Performance Expectation When all rules are followed correctly — proper consolidation, confirmed breakout, retest entry, and disciplined risk management — the realistic win rate for this setup is approximately 50% to 65%, with positive expectancy due to favorable risk-to-reward ratios. ⸻ This Consolidation Breakout Strategy is just one of my A+ setups. There are many more high-probability strategies I use and will be sharing soon. Cabeero
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Cabeero