USD/JPY(20250924)Today's AnalysisMarket Analysis: 
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that the policy rate remains somewhat restrictive, but allows the Fed to better respond to potential economic developments; tariffs are expected to have a one-time pass-through effect; and decisions will "never be based on political considerations." Fed spokespersons noted that Powell's comments indicate that he believes interest rates remain tight, potentially opening the door for further rate cuts.
 Technical Analysis: 
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
147.66
Support and Resistance Levels:
148.13
147.95
147.84
147.49
147.37
147.20
 Trading Strategy:
If the market breaks above 147.84, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price being 148.13. 
If the market breaks below 147.66, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price being 147.49.
Candlestick Analysis
Rejection Before 3800: A Final Window for ShortsDriven by market sentiment, gold has now reached a high of around 3792, just one step away from the 3800 mark. Judging from the current structure, gold is undoubtedly in a unilateral bull trend and has completely replicated the rising pattern of the previous wave, with almost no decent retracement during the rise.
Now gold continues to break through historical highs and enter unknown areas. In addition, due to the promotion of market sentiment, the current technical level has been distorted, so there is no good reference target at present. It can only be calculated based on space and cycle; the foreseeable upper limit area in the short term is in the 3820-3830 area; but because there are obvious signs of stagnant growth before reaching the 3800 mark, gold may be the first to experience a pullback.
Because gold is in an extreme rising mode, most funds may not have the opportunity to participate in long transactions, so in order to increase liquidity, gold also has a need for a retracement; however, because the current market enthusiasm remains unabated, it can be expected that the retracement space for gold is limited. The foreseeable retracement area is in the 3760-3750 area, and the second is in the area near 3730.
In addition, look at it according to the cycle. It is not difficult to see from the financial calendar that China, a major gold holder, will usher in the National Day holiday. Before the holiday, some funds may take profits, which will also lead to a decline in gold prices. After the holiday, gold may end its retracement and return to the upward trend.
So if you hold a short position, then when gold falls back to the 3760-3750 area, or even around 3730, it will be an opportunity for gold bears to get out of trouble. Once gold retreats to this area and escapes the predicament, it could be a good opportunity to re-enter the long position!
EURUSD: More Growth Potential 🇪🇺🇺🇸 
As I predicted earlier, EURUSD nicely bounced from a major daily support.
Analyzing how strong was a bullish reaction that, I think that there 
is more growth potential here.
On a daily time frame, the price formed a bullish imbalance candle
and a double bottom with a confirmed change of character on a 4H.
The next strong resistance is 1.1827.
It feels like it might be reached soon.
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BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 46👋🏻 Hi, how are you? 
❄️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
Shall we jump into the Bitcoin analysis? 
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe.
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe for Bitcoin, we can see that after the recent drop, Bitcoin has formed a trading structure between a resistance and a support zone. A breakout from this structure — either to the upside or downside — could provide a trading opportunity. Currently, Bitcoin is trading near its resistance at $113,146, while holding support around $111,780. A break of either level may trigger the next move.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, after exiting oversold conditions, it’s now hovering near the 50 zone. Two key RSI levels to watch are 40 and 56; breaking above or below these levels could set the stage for Bitcoin to start moving out of its current structure.
🕯 The candle size and volume have increased when testing the $11,780 support, indicating the presence of buyers. However, the issue is that the number and volume of red candles are still dominant. The key question is whether buyers will step in strongly this time to defend support.
🧠 For positioning, it’s worth keeping a close eye on altcoins such as AVAX, which has shown strong upward momentum and recovered much faster compared to Bitcoin. Recently, Google search trends also indicate stronger interest in altcoins and the broader bull run narrative. That’s why Bitcoin might not be the best option for long-term positions right now. Even if you take a BTC trade, the potential might only extend to reward ratios like 1:2 or 1:3. Instead, focus more on altcoins that are showing bullish trends against Bitcoin.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Market fluctuates repeatedly, focusing on Powell's speechLast night, gold still did not provide an opportunity to pull back and go long. Instead, it continued to rise near the end of the trading day. Gold rose again after opening this morning and once approached 3760 before falling back, maintaining a narrow range of high fluctuations during the day. The daily line closed with a positive sign, but the MA5 and MA10 moving averages did not move up accordingly, indicating that yesterday's rise in gold was purely caused by news. At this time, we should be more vigilant about gold rising and falling. Pay attention to the upper pressure of 3760-3770. If gold touches the upper side again in the short term and encounters resistance and pressure, aggressive investors may consider shorting with a light position and waiting for a pullback. The focus below is 3730, which was the trend suppression yesterday and also the dividing point between short-term gains and losses for bulls and bears. A more conservative approach is to wait for a pullback to 3740-3730 before buying gold.
NZDCAD: Weak Bearish SignalThis pair is interesting, but must be approached with caution.
 Daily Timeframe: 
 
 Price crosses below HTL, but the overall daily price action is quite chaotic so should proceed with caution
 
 H1 Timeframe: 
 
 Price fails to make a new higher high on the intraday timeframe, which is a good sign that this uptrend is weakening
 There's also greater confluence with the overall downtrend as price crosses below ATL
 Another indication of downtrend is price below EMA20 and EMA20 is pushing below EMA60
Is the Aussie Dollar Ready to Jump?The Australian Dollar has been grinding higher since April, and some traders may think it’s ready to start jumping.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the July highs between roughly 0.658 and 0.66. AUDUSD began September by rallying above that price zone and is now trying to hold it. That may suggest old resistance has become new support.
Second, Monday’s session ended higher after probing lower. The resulting “hammer” candlestick is a potentially bullish pattern. The currency also held its rising 21-day exponential moving average (EMA). 
Third, the 8-day EMA is above the 21-day EMA and MACD recently surged. Those signals may reflect increased short-term bullishness.
Finally, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) crossed above the 200-day SMA in June. The 100-day crossed above the 200-day SMA in July. That configuration, with faster SMAs above slower SMAs, is potentially consistent with an emerging uptrend.
 
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Nifty Analysis EOD – September 23, 2025 – Tuesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – September 23, 2025 – Tuesday 🔴
Expiry Day Drama – Two-Sided Moves, Tug of War Continues
🗞 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened with a 43-point gap up right at the strong resistance of 25,240, but selling pressure quickly kicked in. Within the first 30 minutes, the index fell 140 points from the high to test the crucial support at 25,115.
From there, a descending triangle pattern formed. Breakdown was triggered at 11:00 AM, but the next support at 25,085 came to the rescue. This 25,085–25,115 zone acted as a base, and once 25,115 was reclaimed, Nifty surged 108 points back to PDC. After a brief pause, the rally extended toward the day’s high, but the CPR Zone, CDO, CDH, and strong 25,240 resistance halted the move. Sellers pushed the index back below mean and PDC, closing at 25,169.50.
👉 Overall, expiry day was a roller coaster —
Great for option buyers with two-sided moves, but also tough to handle both sides that saw traps.
Tough for option sellers as both sides move on expiry day, too hot to handle.
Another spinning top–like candle emerged, reflecting the tug of war. With range expansion already visible, the next session may cool down into a narrower range, provided today’s high or low holds.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,209.00
High: 25,261.90
Low: 25,084.65
Close: 25,169.50
Change: −32.85 (−0.13%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Small red candle (Close < Open).
Body: ~39.5 points → small body, indecision.
Range: ~177.25 points → wide swings.
Upper wick: ~52.90 points → rejection at 25,260.
Lower wick: ~84.85 points → buyers active at 25,085.
Close near lower-mid of the range.
📚 Interpretation
Opened at resistance → sellers took control early.
Buyers held 25,085–25,115, creating a base.
Rally attempts were capped at 25,240 resistance.
Close shows market still in tug of war, with sellers slightly ahead.
🕯Candle Type
Spinning Top → indecision but weak bias.
📉📈 Short-Term View – September 24, 2025
Resistance Zone: 25,250–25,340 → repeated selling here.
Support Zone: 25,085–25,115 → defended again today.
Break below 25,085 → downside to 25,048 / 25,000 / 24,990.
Bullish continuation only above 25,260–25,340.
👉 3-Day Context (19th → 23rd Sept)
19th Sept: Bearish rejection candle from ~25,420.
22nd Sept: Strong rejection near 25,330, weak close at 25,202.
23rd Sept: Spinning Top at 25,170 → hesitation, indecision, tilt bearish.
👉 The sequence shows distribution pressure building.
📌 Conclusion:
Nifty is losing bullish momentum as sellers hold 25,250–25,450 firmly, while bulls are desperately defending 25,080–25,150. Until one side gives way, expect volatile but range-bound trade. The bias leans toward a short-term correction unless bulls reclaim 25,330+ convincingly.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 162.87
IB Range: 140.8 → Big
Market Structure: Imbalanced
Trade Highlights:
09:20 → Short Trade ✅ Target Achieved (R:R = 1:2)
11:10 → Short Trade ❌ SL Hit
12:25 → Long Trade ✅ Target Achieved (R:R = 1:3.63)
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25,240
25,290 ~ 25,307
25,340 ~ 25,385
25,425 ~ 25,460
Support Zones:
25,165 ~ 25,140
25,115
25,085
25,045
25,000 ~ 24,990
💡 Final Thoughts
The market played both sides on expiry day, rewarding nimble traders and punishing late movers. Key battle zone remains 25,085–25,150 vs. 25,250–25,340. Whoever wins this zone will dictate the next directional leg.
📖 “A range is the battlefield — breakout is the victory.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
DOW JONES (US30): Confirmed BoS & More Growth 
I see another confirmed break of structure and a violation
of an important intraday horizontal resistance on a 4h time frame on US30 Index.
Odds will be high, that the market will continue rising.
Next resistance - 46550
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NZD/JPY: Bearish Continuation is Coming?!The NZD/JPY pair appears to be experiencing a long-term bearish trend. However, it has been consolidating within a horizontal range since the end of last week.
Yesterday, the price experienced a sudden drop, closing below a support level within the range. This breach of support is likely to initiate a trend-following movement.
The next level of support is anticipated to be around 86.13.
USD/PY: Pullback From ResistanceThe USD/JPY pair demonstrated a strong bearish response to the intraday resistance level, following the market opening. 
Furthermore, a potential double top pattern is discernible, accompanied by the appearance of a bearish engulfing candle.
Consequently, a retracement towards the 147.19 level is anticipated.
GBPNZD: Trend ContinuationMomentum is picking again on the GBPNZD pair. Here are my observations on the daily and H1 timeframes.
 Daily Timeframe: 
 
 HTL marks a resistance turned support
 Price is also exiting the EMA areas, which is an indication of momentum
 
 H1 Timeframe: 
 
 Price shows momentum as it crossed above the DTL
 Price  shows confluence with higher timeframe trend as it holds above EMA20
 Uptrend is signaled by EMA20 remaining above EMA60
Short trade 
Trade Journal Entry
Pair: AUDNZD
Trade Type: Sell-side trade
Date: Sun 21st Sept 2025
Session: Tokyo Session PM
TF: 1H
Trade Details:
Entry: 1.12758
Profit Level: 1.12205 (+0.33%)
Stop Level: 1.12896 (–0.10%)
RR: 3.8
Smart Money / PD Array Narrative:
Target: Discount PD Array (0.75)
Idea based on 5-point mapping:
1. Accumulation → Buyers absorbed before exhaustion.
2. Distribution → Supply zone formed around premium pricing.
3. Sweep → Liquidity engineered above high (point 5), triggering short entry.
4. Manipulation → The Market provided a false push-up into imbalance.
5. Entry (Sell-side trade) → Triggered at a premium level with a downside aim toward a discount.
Technical Narrative:
Trade aligns with bearish market structure following exhaustion at swing high.
Volume spike indicated smart money distribution into buy-side liquidity.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) and PD Array confluence provided a high-probability entry.
Stop set tightly above the distribution high, minimising risk exposure.
Target placed at discount draw (0.75 retracement) to capture the imbalance fill.
ETH 4H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 25😃 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Winter got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 4-Hour timeframe.
👀 On the 4H timeframe for Ethereum, we can see that after breaking below its maker-buyer zone, ETH moved down toward lower support levels, experiencing a **7% drop** — an unexpected move that even pushed major holders to sell. Ethereum is now sitting at a **multi-timeframe support zone**, and if this level is lost, it could head toward the next lower maker-buyer area, where we’ll need to observe how price reacts.
🧮 The **RSI oscillator** shows ETH deep in the **oversold zone** with heavy selling pressure. Buyers have yet to step in, meaning that with more sell-side momentum, Ethereum could remain oversold for an extended period.
🕯 The **size and volume of red candles** have increased sharply in a short span of time. This fast move down with fewer candles signals **strong selling sentiment**, while price itself looks uncertain about its next direction.
 💸 Looking at **ETHBTC**, the pair experienced a sharp drop and deep correction with the start of the new week. It is also resting at a multi-timeframe support zone. If that breaks, Ethereum could face a further correction.
🧠 As for positioning, it’s still early. We’d prefer to wait for the market to build a stronger structure and possibly a wider range before entering. A **short position below the 4147 support** is possible with low risk, but since RSI remains heavily oversold, we must also consider the potential for a **price rebound**.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Silver To The Mooooon!!Several factors have come together to make silver especially attractive. 
 Expectations of Fed Rate Cuts / Lower Real Yields 
Markets are increasingly pricing in Federal Reserve rate cuts, which reduces the opportunity cost of holding non‐yielding assets like silver. 
Real yields (yields adjusted for inflation) have been weak or falling, making silver more appealing. 
 Weak U.S. Dollar
 
When the USD weakens, commodities priced in dollars become cheaper for holders of other currencies, boosting demand.
 Safe-Haven / Inflation Hedge Demand
 
Geopolitical risks, economic uncertainty, and fears of inflation make precious metals attractive. Silver benefits both as an industrial metal and a hedge to some degree. 
The gold-to-silver ratio is unusually high, which many see as signalling that silver is “cheap” relative to gold, suggesting more upside potential.
BTC 4H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 45😃 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Winter got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 4-Hour timeframe.
👀 On the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin formed a lower low followed by a lower high and lost its key support around $115,115 at the start of the new week, pushing price further down. Currently, BTC is testing support at $112,500, and if this level breaks, it could move toward lower supports.
🧮 The RSI oscillator shows that BTC fell below the 40 level toward oversold territory, triggering significant selling pressure. Bitcoin is now attempting to stabilize above the 30 level. If it fails, further downward movement is likely.
🕯 Red candle sizes and volumes have surged sharply at the start of this week, generating considerable FOMO in the market. If a large candle forms, it is likely to be bearish. The key question: will buyers step in to defend Bitcoin at this level?
🧠 Focus on short positions; long positions are removed for now.
A break of the current support could trigger additional short opportunities.
Watch the RSI carefully: if it exits oversold in the higher timeframe, short positions can be opened with more confidence. RSI acts as a multi-timeframe indicator, helping indicate market direction.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
AUDCHF: Weak TrendMomentum is beginning to pick up on the AUDCHF pair. This is based on the EMA behavior along with price's behavior around the ATLs plotted. Here are my observations across two key timeframes.
 Daily Timeframe: 
 
 Price crosses below ATL > first indication of momentum picking up
 EMA20 is beginning to move away from EMA60 > second indication of momentum
 
 H1 Timeframe: 
 
 EMA20 diverges away from EMA60 > indication of momentum
 Price crosses below intraday HTL > confluence with overall downtrend if there isn't a liquidity trap
CADJPY LONG Market structure bullish on HTFs 3
Entry on both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Weekly EMA retest 
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily Previous Structure Point 
Touching EMA H4
H4 Candlestick rejection 
Levels 
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
   		     : Manage Your Risk
		     : Be Patient
		     : Every Moment Is Unique
		     : Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
		     : Christ is King.
Nifty Analysis EOD – September 22, 2025 – Monday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – September 22, 2025 – Monday 🔴
Gap-Down, Whipsaw, and Late-Session Breakdown
🗞 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened with a 93-point gap down at 25,240, right at our support level, but slipped another 48 points to test 25,212, marking the day’s low. A sharp 120-point recovery followed, filling the gap within 35 minutes.
For most of the session, price action stayed muted in a 54-point range (25320–25267) near PDL and S1, reflecting indecision. However, the late second half brought a sharp sell-off as 25,240 broke, sending Nifty to test 25,165 before a minor bounce. The index closed at 25,202.35, just above the day’s low.
👉 Overall, the session was rough:
Morning = Bulls dominated with recovery.
Midday = Both sides in a stalemate.
Late = Bears seized control with a decisive breakdown.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,238.10
High: 25,331.70
Low: 25,151.05
Close: 25,202.35
Change: −124.70 (−0.49%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Red candle (Close < Open).
Body: ~35.75 points (small vs. range).
Range: ~180.65 points (high intraday volatility).
Upper wick: ~93.60 points (rejection near 25,331).
Lower wick: ~51.30 points (buyers tried to defend near 25,150).
Closed near the day’s low → bears ended in control.
📚 Interpretation
Nifty tested 25,331 early but supply kicked in hard.
Selling dragged price to 25,151 before buyers attempted defense.
Recovery attempts failed near 25,200 → sellers controlled late trade.
🕯Candle Type
Resembles an Inverted Hammer / Shooting Star–like red candle, with strong upper rejection.
📉📈 Short-Term View – September 23, 2025
Resistance Zone: 25,320–25,350 (tested, rejected).
Support Zone: 25,150–25,200 (buyers active intraday, but weak close).
Break below 25,150 → could extend fall toward 25,050–25,000.
Upside strength only if 25,330+ is reclaimed.
📌 Conclusion: Recent sessions are showing distribution signs after a strong rally. Bulls are holding 25,150–25,200, but repeated failures near 25,330–25,450 hint at a short-term pullback unless reclaimed.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 161.28
IB Range: 120.10 → Medium
Market Structure: Imbalanced
Trade Highlights:
11:15 Short Trade → ❌ SL Hit
13:20 Short Trade → ✅ Target Achieved (R:R = 1:2)
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25,240
25,290 ~ 25,307
25,340 ~ 25,385
25,425 ~ 25,460
Support Zones:
25,165 ~ 25,140
25,115
25,085
25,045
25,000 ~ 24,990
💡 Final Thoughts
The index danced in all directions today but closed with bears firmly ahead. Buyers are still defending 25,150–25,200, but cracks are visible.
👉 Watch 25,150 carefully — losing this could open the gates toward 25,000.
📖 “Markets don’t move in straight lines — they trap, test, and only then trend.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.






















