GBPJPY: Bearish Outlook Explained 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY formed a bearish imbalance candle on Friday,
breaking a solid rising trend line and forming a confirmed
Change of Character CHoCH.
The broken trend line and horizontal structure compose
a significant supply area now.
With a high probability, the price will drop lower from that.
Goal - 199.0
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Candlestick Analysis
EURUSD: Bullish Move Continues 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD will likely continue rising, nicely bouncing
from a major rising trend line.
I expect a bullish movement to 1.1758
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EURAUD: Counter-Trend TradeNot my conventional signal as this one is looking to trade in the opposite of the trend.
Daily Timeframe:
EMA20 is barely below EMA60 > downside momentum might pick up
Price is barely crossing below EMA20 > another indication of downside momentum
Price crossed below ATL, pulled back, and now seems to be continuing lower
H1 Timeframe:
Price crosses below ATL > first indication of uptrend failing to continue
Note that EMA20 is above EMA60 still > there is a risk that this will trap sellers
Gold Lures Bulls In — But Correction LoomsAfter the start of the Asian session, gold continued its upward momentum to around 3692. However, it is obvious that after touching this horizontal area, the upward momentum of gold has converged, and there are obvious signs of stagflation. Moreover, judging from the trading volume, the current trading volume is not enough to support the continued rise of gold. So I think gold may usher in a good wave of pullback at any time after the rise.
From a technical perspective, gold has formed a "double-needle bottoming" structure in combination with the areas near 3628 and 3632. However, since the correction near 3707, gold has shown a clear downward trend. Therefore, according to time and space, under normal circumstances, gold is still in an oscillating structure and may find it difficult to break through the resistance of the 3675-3680 area in a short period of time. But the fact is that on Friday, stimulated by the news, gold not only broke the volatile pattern that should have appeared, but also broke through the resistance of 3675-3680 in one fell swoop; when the time and space are not yet in place, the intention of gold's sharp rise may be to eliminate the short chips that have been recently arranged before gold really starts to pull back, and there is also suspicion of luring the bulls who follow the trend.
Based on space calculations, it is expected that the maximum rise in gold this time will not exceed the 3710-3715 area, and it may even start to pull back again before reaching this area. Therefore, we should not be excessively bullish on gold at this point. On the contrary, we can still short gold in batches above 3680, and the retracement target will first target the 3665-3655-3645 area.
Technical Analysis – Steel Authority of India Limited (SAIL)1. Price Structure & Trend Overview:
Primary Trend: Uptrend
After peaking near the ₹200 mark in early 2024, the stock entered a downward parallel channel.
The correction lasted for several months, forming lower highs and lower lows until it bottomed out in the "Discount Zone".
2. Key Zones & Patterns:
🔷 Falling Channel (Bearish Correction Phase):
Clearly defined descending parallel channel from early 2024 to early 2025.
The breakout from this channel suggests a potential trend reversal.
🔷 Accumulation Zone:
Price consolidated and formed a base between ₹90–₹110.
This zone is labeled as "Accumulation", signaling smart money entry during the bottoming phase.
3. Breakout & Retest Structure:
After breaking out of the falling channel, the stock made a strong upward move.
A bullish market structure formed with:
Higher high
Higher low (successful retest near ₹120 support)
The price is now rallying again from this support.
4. Resistance & Target Levels:
Immediate Resistance: ₹145–₹150
Major Resistance: ₹180 (next target upon breakout)
A breakout above ₹145 with volume could signal continuation towards ₹180.
5. Support Levels:
Strong Support: ₹120 (recent retest zone)
Major Support: ₹100–₹110 (accumulation & discount zone)
6. Volume Analysis:
Increasing volume post-breakout indicates buying interest.
Volume remained low during the falling channel, aligning with a correction phase.
7. Potential Price Action Projection:
If the price sustains above ₹120 and breaks above ₹145, a measured move suggests a target around ₹180.
Invalidated if price falls back below ₹120 with high volume.
✅ Conclusion:
The chart suggests a bullish reversal is underway after a prolonged correction. Accumulation in the discount zone, breakout from the falling channel, and successful retest are strong bullish signs. A sustained move above ₹145 may lead to a rally towards ₹180 in the medium term.
ETH 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 24😃 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Winter got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 1-Hour timeframe.
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe for Ethereum, we can see that after testing its major buyer zone, ETH bounced and entered a consolidation phase. This sideways movement is mainly due to the weekend slowdown. I’ve highlighted the range boundaries — a breakout above or below will provide us with trading opportunities. ETH is one of the few coins that has managed to hold its ground at a solid price level, showing strong potential for further growth.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, we’ve identified two key levels 30 (oversell) & 58 (local RSI ceiling) If ETH breaks these levels, it could trigger a breakout from this tight range and start a stronger move.
🕯 Currently, the green candles are larger in size and volume, but since it’s the weekend, ETH has been mostly off traders’ watchlists. We need to wait for the new weekly open to see how market participants will react.
💸 On the ETHBTC pair (1H timeframe), we’re seeing a similar setup to ETHUSDT. A breakout above or below the current range could start the next move. Adding this pair to the watchlist can provide confirmation for Ethereum setups.
🧠 For a long position on ETH, it’s important that the coin enters a clear buying phase — similar to the strong pumps we’ve seen before. Recently, however, ETH has faced profit-taking and sharp sell-offs after rallies. The coming week will show us whether this pattern continues or a stronger bullish move emerges.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 44😃 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Winter got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe.
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe for Bitcoin, after testing the $115,123 support level, price entered a ranging zone during the holiday session. A breakout above or below this range could give us a long or short setup. Although Bitcoin was expected to make a strong upward move (which it did), it then faced seller pressure.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, BTC is consolidating around the 50 zone and is now close to the key 40 support level. Losing this level could shift momentum toward selling. On the upside, the 70 zone remains important: if RSI breaks above it, Bitcoin can enter overbought territory and push higher.
🕯 Currently, candle size and volume remain in range, so we’ll need to wait for the new weekly open to see where Bitcoin decides to move.
🧠 In my view, it’s better not to take a position directly on BTC. As mentioned earlier, focusing on altcoins could be more profitable — if Bitcoin corrects, we can still catch strong entries on alts.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
XAUUSD Long: Path to $3715 After Successful RetestHello, traders! The price auction for XAUUSD has been developing within a well-defined upward wedge for some time. This bullish structure has guided the price higher through a series of higher highs and higher lows, with the demand zone 2 at 3575 acting as a key pivot point low for the formation, establishing the underlying uptrend.
Currently, the auction has reached a critical stage after a strong impulse resulted in a breakout above the key horizontal demand level at 3665. This move shows strong bullish initiative, but such breakouts are often followed by a retest to confirm their validity before the next major leg up.
My scenario for the development of events is based on this breakout being successful. I expect the price to make a corrective pullback to retest the broken 3665 demand level from above. In my opinion, if this former resistance holds as new support, it will be a strong confirmation of the bullish trend. This should trigger a continuation of the rally towards the upper resistance line of the wedge. The take-profit is therefore set at 3715, just below this upper boundary. Manage your risk.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Rise to All-Time High Confirmed
There is a high chance that Gold will continue rising next week,
following a completion of a correctional movement on a 4H time frame
with a confirmed bullish Change of Character CHoCH.
Odds are high, that the price will rise to 3707 level,
with a highly probable update of ATH.
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Look at this chart KUCOIN:PEPEUSDT
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This is when you have to enter
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The price action looks like a double
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ETH 4H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 23😃 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Winter got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 4-Hour timeframe.
👀 On the 4H timeframe of Ethereum, we see that after touching the maker buyer zone, ETH is bouncing upward. There’s a downtrend line ahead, and we need to watch how price reacts if it reaches that line today. The main long triggers are at 4614 and 4756 – once price breaks and holds above these levels, we can look to open a long position.
🧮 The RSI oscillator is moving up from below 50, heading toward this static resistance. If RSI crosses above 50, ETH could gain momentum to the upside and potentially break the downtrend line.
🕯 In the recent leg, the size, volume, and number of red candles increased, but once price hit the maker buyer zone, sellers were absorbed. Buyers stepped in, preventing further correction – showing strong demand for cheaper ETH. The current 4H candle also has healthy volume; if it closes strong in the next 30 minutes, ETH could push toward resistance and test it.
💸 On the 1H ETH/BTC chart, we can see price sitting at a strong resistance zone. If we get a confirmed candle close above it, ETH’s multi-timeframe trend could turn bullish again. Volatility is increasing on the 1H chart, and if the resistance level on RSI is crossed, momentum for ETH/USDT could also turn upward.
🧠 For a long position, it’s better to wait for the downtrend line to break, which gives us a higher-probability setup to follow through with a long trade.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Long trade
Trade 2
Type: Buyside trade 2
Date: Thurs 18th Sept 25
Session: NY Session AM
Entry: 1.34973
Profit level: 1.35273 (+0.20%) → 26.1 pips
Stop level: 1.34947 (-0.05%) → 2.6 pips
RR: 2.1
Narrative:
Following the earlier stop-out, a second entry was executed after confirmation of bullish structure. The market engineered liquidity below intra-day lows before running back into a bullish order block aligned with the 15m FVG. Entry was timed to coincide with the NY AM open drive
BTC 4H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 43😃 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Winter got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 4-Hour timeframe.
👀 On the 4H timeframe of Bitcoin, we see that after the recent interest rate cut news, price started moving down. It seems that the potential upside from the news was already priced in by traders. Right now, BTC is trading in a range between resistance at $117,573 and support at $114,828. A breakout of either side could send the price toward the next support or resistance. For now, the market will likely move into a range condition, where the win rate of most setups drops, so it’s better to trade with lower risk.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, it is near a support zone below the 50 level. The two key levels to watch are 40 and 70. If RSI breaks above or below these zones, Bitcoin could start a new move.
🕯 Currently, the size, volume, and number of red candles are increasing. As BTC approaches support, some buy orders have been triggered. The key question is whether this support zone is strong enough to hold the price until the new week begins. Since the ATH, every correction has faced strong selling pressure from major sellers (maker sellers).
🧠 At this stage, Bitcoin itself may not provide the best setups for positions. However, altcoins that are showing bullish divergence or relative strength against BTC could present better opportunities. We can track these coins on platforms like TradingView or CoinMarketCap, identify their triggers, and look for long entries if the setups are valid.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Long trade
Pair: TONUSDT
Direction: Buyside trade
Date/Session: Fri 19th Sept 2025, NY Session AM
Timeframe: 1H
🔹 Trade Details
Entry: 3.0937
Profit Level: 3.3803 (+9.09%)
Stop Level: 3.0406 (-1.20%)
Risk-Reward (RR): 2.58
🔹 Technical Structure
Liquidity:
Previous lows swept near 3.10 (stop run/liquidity grab).
Buyside liquidity sitting above the 3.35–3.38 range (target zone).
FVGs / Inefficiencies:
Imbalances are visible on the move down, providing room for the price to retrace higher.
Market Structure:
Higher-timeframe bullish structure intact.
3.10 forms a key demand area — rejection confirms accumulation.
🔹 Indicators
Volume: Accumulation volume noted at sweep lows.
MAs (yellow/blue): Price testing short-term moving averages, potential crossover for bullish momentum and buyside trade idea.






















