Dollar index - Macro Bearish divergenceA lot of information in the above 6-month chart of the dollar index, could discuss for hours.. some highlights:
1) The bearish divergence currently printing shall confirm by July 2023 should 100 level collapse. It is the only time in history a bearish divergence of this strength has printed on the 6-month chart.
2) IF it confirms, the index will target the lower side of the channel around 60-70 level.
3) Notice the trend of the index, lower highs lower lows. It is remarkable how many are bullish on the dollar, in the macro sense.
4) Both the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ made considerable gains in the 10-year period that followed a rejection from the upper side of the channel. Many ‘experts’ now talk about the coming lost decade. Gold is the only option, they say. Is that what you see in this chart?! Not what I’m seeing..
Will return in July to see how this candle prints, however with 1.3 months to go it is not looking good for the dollar.
Ww
Candlestick Analysis
BITCOIN From ATH to Breakdown | BTC 1D Analysis D3😎 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! Welcome to SatoshiFrame channel .
👍 Today we’re diving into the 1-Day BITCOIN analysis. Stay tuned and follow along!
👀 Bitcoin has been trading within a strong ascending channel, recently hitting the upper boundary and setting a new all-time high (ATH) at $126,200. However, this was immediately followed by a flash crash that wiped out roughly $20 billion in futures positions. During the crash, the lower boundary of the ascending channel was also fake-broken, after which buyers temporarily pushed the price back inside the channel. Yet, due to extreme market fear and uncertainty, Bitcoin lost its key support zone at $110,613, continuing the downtrend that began with the flash crash. With yesterday’s daily candle close, Bitcoin officially broke down from its ascending channel, and price action is now heading toward lower support levels. The nearest support lies around $105,647, and if this zone fails to hold, Bitcoin could extend its decline toward the next support at $101,451.
🔍 Bitcoin currently faces two major resistance zones at $109,000 and $110,613. A confirmed breakout above these could signal the start of a reversal, but the main long trigger is located at $115,156. If Bitcoin breaks and holds above this zone with strong buying volume, it could mark the beginning of a powerful bullish leg, potentially leading to a new ATH.
🧮 The RSI oscillator is now sitting near its support region around 36. A daily close below this level would strengthen bearish momentum and could push RSI into oversold territory. The midline resistance sits near 48, and a breakout above this would indicate a possible trend reversal toward renewed bullish momentum.
🕯 Recent candlestick volume shows extremely high selling pressure, marking one of the most intense liquidation waves in recent crypto history. The number of red candles has surged in recent days, suggesting a continuation sell-off pattern, with traders increasingly favoring short positions. The market is currently in extreme fear, and for any bullish reversal to occur, Bitcoin would need massive buy-side volume and strong support to push prices back up. Without that, more long-term holders may start selling as well.
🧠 Current Scenarios (Daily Timeframe) — Patience is key. If you haven’t already entered a short based on previous analyses, consider these setups:
🟢 Long Scenario: Enter on a confirmed breakout and consolidation above $115,156, accompanied by a spike in buying volume and an RSI move above 48.
🔴 Short Scenario: Enter on a confirmed breakdown and close below $105,647, which could trigger a deeper correction toward lower levels. This move would likely coincide with continued selling pressure and RSI dropping below 36 into the oversold zone.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
US EQUITIES – Bulls Defend 5,100.00 as Momentum CoolsPrice is currently holding just above the 5,100.00 support zone after multiple rejections from 5,220.00, signaling short-term selling pressure within the broader uptrend. The 50 SMA remains above the 89 SMA, maintaining a bullish structure overall, but momentum is slowing as price consolidates between these key zones.
Support at: 5,100.00 🔽 / 4,993.97 🔽
Resistance at: 5,153.58 🔼 / 5,220.00 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Sustained buying above 5,153.58 could open a retest of 5,220.00 and possibly resume the broader uptrend.
🔽 Bearish: A confirmed break below 5,100.00 would expose 4,993.97 and potentially 4,900.00 for further downside continuation.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
EURUSD Short: Targeting the 1.1560 Demand ZoneHello, traders! The prior market structure for EURUSD was a complex downward wedge, from which the price eventually broke out and entered the current consolidation range. This range has been established between the 1.1795 supply 2 level and a demand zone at the lows, with the price action rotating between these two key boundaries.
Currently, the auction is at a critical inflection point. After bouncing twice from the demand zone at the bottom of the range, the price has rallied back up to test the key horizontal supply at the 1.1670 level. After a brief test, the price has been rejected from this area, showing that sellers are in control here.
My scenario for the development of events is a continuation of this decline from the supply level. I believe this rejection confirms the range is still active and that the next logical move is a rotation back down to the lows. In my opinion, the bearish initiative from this rejection will be strong enough to push the price to the demand zone. The take-profit is therefore set at 1.1560. Manage your risk!
It is not a reversal callback correction to continue to buyGold gapped up at the opening, touched 4379 and then plunged nearly $100 before rebounding quickly. The fluctuations in the Asian session alone are so drastic. In addition, today is Friday and there is a risk of market closure, so intraday trading needs to be more cautious.
From the news perspective, the expectation of a Fed rate cut provides liquidity support, Sino-US trade tensions and geopolitical risks stimulate safe-haven demand, and the weakening of the US dollar and economic uncertainty amplify the appeal of gold. Many investors continue to increase their holdings of safe-haven assets in a complex macroeconomic context, providing solid and strong support for the rise of gold.
Although short-term prices fluctuate frequently, they have not fallen below the daily MA5 and MA10 moving averages. Therefore, it should not be regarded as a trend reversal, but a market shakeout. Therefore, we maintain a trading strategy that is mainly bullish and supplemented by short selling.
From a fundamental perspective, multiple rebound attempts failed to break through, making the upper 4380-4400 range a short-term resistance range. The short-term trend has the tendency to form an M top, so I will give several long trading opportunities during the day.
First of all, we should pay attention to the first support formed by 4315-4305 below, which is also the 61.8% retracement position of gold. If it repeatedly circles this position in the short term without breaking, we can try to go long on gold. For the second chance, I would give the support level of 4290-4280 below, which is near the trend suppression and the 50% dividing line, as well as the 4H MA10 moving average. I think we can try to go long on gold again within this range. The last chance I would give is around 4200, the starting point of this round of rise. Even if gold retaliates and falls, we can still maintain good trading opportunities.
During the day, we can go long on gold in batches according to the strength of gold's retracement.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Relentless Rally:Gold Won’t Rest Until 4500!?The 4300 series chapter has begun as expected, with gold continuing its strong upward trend, currently reaching a high near 4381. However, it is clear that after encountering resistance in the 4370-4380 area three times, gold has shown clear signs of a pullback. This could lead to the formation of a triple top structure in the short term, suppressing gold prices in the short term.
However, relatively speaking, as gold continues to rise, testing the 4280 area during the pullback before rebounding again, technical support has shifted to the 4320-4310 area. Furthermore, the validation of the pullback and the current strong upward trend will strengthen the support in this area to a certain extent, thus supporting gold's rebound.
Therefore, for the current short-term trade:
1. First, try to continue shorting gold with resistance at 4370-4380, targeting a pullback to the 4350-4340 area.
2. Once gold retraces to the 4320-4310 area, consider going long on gold, targeting the 4340-4350 area.
4300 is just the beginning, it is expected to reach 4500Affected by the continued impact of the US government shutdown, gold in the US market rose strongly. After hitting a high of 4292, it quickly fell back and rebounded, setting a new historical high of 4298. But judging from the current trend, this is obviously not the peak of gold prices. If the short-term rise continues, it is expected to test the pressure of the 4,300 integer mark.
As the short-term trend line is broken, the previous resistance is gradually transformed into support. Pay attention to the short-term support range of 4275-4260 below. If this range can be held, gold will set a new high.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Farewell to 4200 — The 4300 Era Begins!Gold has currently reached a high near 4295, just shy of 4300. Given the current upward momentum, it's easy for gold to continue its upward trend and test 4300. Because gold continues to hit new highs and break through the trend channel, there's currently no clear resistance zone above it, making it difficult to enter a short position in gold. Furthermore, a break above 4300 could significantly ignite bullish market sentiment and increase expectations for continued gold gains, pushing the price higher.
Therefore, we're primarily focusing on relatively significant support areas below. As gold's center of gravity continues to shift upward, its lows are gradually rising. Short-term support is concentrated in the 4265-4255 area, while further strong support lies in the 4240-4230 area. These two areas will be the long entry areas that we will focus on next.
Therefore, in short-term trading:
1. If gold first retreats to the 4265-4255 area, we can consider starting a long position in gold.
2. If gold continues to retreat to the 4240-4230 area, we can consider increasing our long position in gold.
3. If you still want to try to profit from the pullback, you can consider shorting gold in the 4298-4308 area. You must set a protection level (SL: 4300-4310) for counter-trend trading.
If you’re following this rally, don’t just watch — prepare your next move.
💬 Like & Follow for real-time updates and in-depth gold insights.
📈 Follow me for real-time gold insights &to my traders' channel for exclusive setups in bio!
CADJPY LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 107.000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels
Entry 110%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
#GASUSDT #1D (ByBit) Falling broadening wedge breakout & retestNeoGas printed a golden cross on daily and a morning star at the same time, just like last year.
Also formed a triangle, seems likely to bounce on 200MA support then break bullish in the coming weeks.
⚡️⚡️ #GAS/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: ByBit USDT
Signal Type: Regular (Long)
Leverage: Isolated (2.0X)
Amount: 5.4%
Current Price:
3.281
Entry Targets:
1) 3.201
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 4.387
Stop Targets:
1) 2.607
Published By: @Zblaba
HOSE:GAS BYBIT:GASUSDT.P #1D #NeoGas #dBFT neo.org
Risk/Reward= 1:2.0
Expected Profit= +74.1%
Possible Loss= -37.1%
Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 months
NZDCAD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly rejection at AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Around Psychological Level 0.80500
Touching EMA H4
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels
Entry 120%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
GBPUSD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Weekly Previous Structure Point
Around Psychologicall Level 1.34000
Touching EMA H4
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels
Entry 90%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Mastering the Hanging Man PatternAlright, traders, let’s talk about the Hanging Man candlestick pattern.
This one’s a classic, and if you know what you’re looking at, it can be a game changer when you’re spotting potential reversals. So, what exactly is the Hanging Man pattern, and how can you use it to your advantage? Let’s break it down.
What Is the Hanging Man Pattern?
The Hanging Man pattern appears when the market has been pushing higher, and then—bam—a sign that it could be running out of steam. It’s called the Hanging Man chart pattern because the candlestick looks like a little figure hanging by its feet, with a long lower wick. The body is small, and the lower shadow is long—typically at least twice the size of the body. This shows that while buyers were in control, sellers came in strong towards the end of the session, pushing prices lower.
Hanging Man candles can be red or green. Even though the candle is green, it still suggests the same potential reversal because the rejection of higher prices by the sellers shows weakening bullish pressure. The key point to remember is that the Hanging Man candle pattern signals potential exhaustion in an uptrend. It doesn’t guarantee that the trend is reversing, but it highlights that the bullish momentum is waning, which could be a sign that a reversal is near.
Where to Look for the Hanging Man Pattern?
Context is everything. The Hanging Man pattern is much more significant when it appears at the top of an uptrend. In this case, it suggests that buyers are losing control, and the market could soon turn bearish. If it appears after a downtrend, it’s known as an Inverted Hammer, and its interpretation is different—it could signal a potential reversal to the upside.
So, while the Hanging Man is typically seen as a bearish reversal indicator after a sustained uptrend, it is crucial to recognize that the context matters. A Hanging Man at the peak of a strong bullish trend often attracts attention from traders as a potential signal for a shift in momentum.
How to Confirm the Reversal?
The key to using the Hanging Man pattern effectively is the confirmation candle. After spotting the Hanging Man candlestick pattern, you’ll want to wait for a bearish candlestick in the next session that closes below the low of the Hanging Man candle. This confirms that sellers have taken control and that the market is likely heading lower.
It’s also important to consider the volume during the confirmation. A strong bearish Hanging Man pattern with higher-than-usual volume adds strength to the reversal signal. If the confirmation candle has low volume, it might not carry as much weight, so always consider the volume when confirming the pattern.
However, the Hanging Man candlestick pattern is not foolproof. A Hanging Man trading pattern without confirmation can sometimes lead to a false reversal, especially in markets with high volatility or when the overall trend is still strong.
False Signals and Pitfalls
One of the biggest challenges when trading the Hanging Man pattern candlestick is false signals. In choppy or sideways markets, the pattern may form but fail to lead to a true reversal. To avoid these traps, consider waiting for the confirmation candle and also use other tools to verify the signal, like:
Trendlines: Ensure the market is actually in an uptrend before considering the Hanging Man pattern.
Support/Resistance Levels: Wait for a breakdown below a significant support level to increase confidence in the reversal.
Momentum Indicators (e.g., RSI or MACD): Use momentum indicators to confirm that buying pressure is truly weakening, as suggested by the Hanging Man pattern.
These additional tools can help you filter out false signals and increase the reliability of your trades.
The Hanging Man pattern can be a valuable tool when used correctly, but it’s not a standalone signal. It works best when combined with other forms of technical analysis, such as momentum indicators, trendlines, and volume analysis. Be patient, wait for confirmation, and always manage your risk. The Hanging Man trading pattern is a great addition to your candlestick pattern toolbox, but it should be used as part of a broader strategy that includes multiple indicators and sound risk management.
DG -How the Dotted Line Sets Up🔹 Definition
The Dotted Line marks the termination of a prior trend.
It’s drawn at the highest high of an uptrend or the lowest low of a downtrend.
Together with the Block Level , it defines the outer edge of congestion — where trend energy has been spent and the market is preparing to shift direction.
When the dotted line begins to appear, it signals that momentum is fading and buyers or sellers are losing control .
⚙️ How the Dotted Line Sets Up
A dotted line setup develops through a series of termination events — signs that price can no longer advance in the direction of the trend.
Multiple 5-9 terminations begin holding on close.
This clustering shows price repeatedly failing to continue.
After 5-9s, a 5-2 termination starts to hold — often from one or two bars back.
If no 5-2s are visible, a 5-1 termination may take over, often combined with a 1-1 zone for added resistance or support.
A 6-1 termination then confirms the exhaustion phase.
Any existing c-wave (momentum thrust) will stop immediately — energy has run its course.
The envelope confines (top or bottom) begin to hold against the trend. This marks the containment of price movement.
If price reaches a further-out area , it typically converts to a nearby zone on the next bar — energy compresses inward.
The setup is confirmed only when the nearby support or resistance holds .
⚖️ Nearby Support and Resistance
“Nearby” zones are the areas of immediate price engagement — where short-term pressure builds and releases.
They are formed from:
PL Dot or Live PL Dot
1-1 zones
5-9, 5-2, 5-1, 6-1 terminations
Envelope borders and main channel lines
Interpretation Guide :
If Close > Envelope Top → nearby support lies between the Envelope Top and PL Dot.
If Close < Envelope Bottom → nearby resistance lies between the Envelope Bottom and PL Dot.
When price is inside the envelope , the PL Dot serves as the market’s balance point.
🧩 Summary
The Dotted Line marks the end of a move — a termination zone , not a breakout.
When it forms:
Terminations (5-9 → 5-2 → 5-1 → 6-1) appear in sequence.
The c-wave loses strength.
The envelope contains price.
Nearby levels begin to hold.
This is where trend energy fades and the next structure begins —
a pause, reversal, or new congestion phase .
Possible Next Moves for Ethereum | ETH 1H Analysis D2👋 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! - ❤️ Welcome to Satoshi Frame .
📅 Today we’re diving into the 1-hour Ethereum analysis. Stay tuned and follow along!
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe of Ethereum (ETH), we can see that ETH is currently moving inside a triangle compression structure, and it has now reached the final third of that triangle — meaning we’re waiting for a breakout to trigger a trade. The red trendline, which forms the upper edge of the triangle, acts as a dynamic resistance and overlaps with the $4064 resistance zone — creating a strong Long trigger setup. The bottom of the triangle acts as our Short trigger, where a confirmed break below it, combined with a Maker Buyer zone breakdown, could start ETH’s next move and break it out of this compression phase.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, ETH is currently fluctuating between 56.4 and 30. A breakout beyond either side of this range could enhance trading volatility and increase ETH’s momentum in the upcoming move.
🕯 Analyzing ETH’s volume, we can see that upon reaching the Maker Buyer zone, buying volume has increased — causing a noticeable reversal reaction from that level. If ETH continues to see increased buying pressure, it can break through resistance; otherwise, if it faces selling pressure, a large whale candle will be needed to break the Maker Buyer zone to the downside.
🧠 For Ethereum positioning, we can define two clear scenarios — since the price is near the end of its compression, these setups are relatively simple and well-defined:
🟢 Long Scenario: A breakout above the static + dynamic resistance at $4064, combined with RSI moving above 56.4 and increasing buying volume, could push ETH toward higher resistance levels.
🔴 Short Scenario: A break below the key Low at $3692, accompanied by a large whale candle cutting through the Maker Buyer zone and RSI dropping below 30 to enter its 1-hour OverSell area, would confirm bearish momentum. Note that if ETH dips slightly these days, many major projects, institutions, and even government-linked entities have been accumulating heavily within this identified Maker Buyer zone — so it’s wise to approach short positions with reduced risk exposure.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Can BTC break the 111681$ resistance? | BTC 1H Analysis D2👋 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! - ❤️ Welcome to Satoshi Frame .
📅 Today we’re diving into the 1-hour Bitcoin analysis. Stay tuned and follow along!
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe of Bitcoin (BTC), we can see that — similar to USDT.D — it is moving within a range box, but inversely positioned near a Maker Buyer support and a multi-timeframe Low at $111,681. A confirmed breakout above this zone could push Bitcoin upward toward the box midline.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, we can see that it’s currently oscillating between the Oversell (30) Low and the static ceiling around 53. A breakout beyond either of these boundaries would likely signal the start of Bitcoin’s next move.
🕯 Recent volume on Bitcoin has increased as it reached the Maker Buyer zone — strong buying pressure from market makers has helped defend this support level effectively. Right now, Bitcoin sits just below a resistance area that will require a significant uptick in buying volume to break and confirm stability above it.
🧠 For Bitcoin positioning, we can consider that this current Low is very strong and unlikely to break easily, so the main focus should remain on long positions:
🟢 Long Scenario: Once Bitcoin breaks the multi-timeframe resistance at $111,681, combined with RSI surpassing the 53 threshold and a visible increase in buying volume, a long position setup becomes valid.
🔴 Short Scenario: Since the Maker Buyer support is very strong and USDT.D has been repeatedly rejected at its top, it’s better to wait until the Maker Buyer zone breaks with a large whale candle before considering short setups.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
AUDUSD: Weak DowntrendKey Observations:
Price is holding below the daily HTL, which gives me a bearish sentiment
The latest reaction from the daily HTL is a bit weaker, which gives me a small point of concern
This is going to be another attempt to trade the price acceleration from the EMA band to the downside
If price fails to make a significant low, I think it's safe to say that we'll see a reversal and stronger likelihood to the upside
Can USDT.D break the Taker Seller Zone ? | USDT.D 1H Analysis👋 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! - ❤️ Welcome to Satoshi Frame .
📅 Today we’re diving into the 1-hour Bitcoin analysis. Stay tuned and follow along!
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe of USDT.D, we can see that after the news of Trump imposing tariffs on China, USDT.D experienced an extremely sharp pump — rising from below 4.3% to near 5%. After that, it formed a trading-range box in this zone. The top of this box lies around 4.89%, overlapping with a “taker-seller” resistance zone where Tether’s market share is currently capped. There’s a key midline at 4.74% and a bottom at 4.59%, completing this trading-range pattern. Price has tested the top three times but failed to break it, meaning USDT.D remains trapped below resistance. A 15-minute multi-timeframe Low has also formed at 4.83%, creating a new structure that, if broken, could trigger Tether selling.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, since October 12 it has tried three times to enter its 1-hour OverBuy zone but failed each time. Each rejection from around the 70 level led to selling pressure and movement back toward its 50 support zone. This 50 level is a very important static resistance — a breakout above it could push USDT.D toward higher resistance levels. The 50 RSI zone also overlaps with the 4.83% price level, meaning if that area is lost, selling pressure and volume decline could begin.
🕯 The size and volume of recent USDT.D candles show weakness every time it reaches the 4.89% top. Breaking the taker-seller zone will require a large “whale” candle — a strong, high-volume bullish move that can fully absorb the sell orders placed there. In short, breaking this level needs a strong price surge and maximum buying pressure.
🧠 To manage or open new positions using USDT.D as a guide, we can consider these scenarios:
🟢 Breakout of the taker-seller zone: This breakout could be triggered by news or even a Trump tweet :) From a technical standpoint, this area needs a massive, high-volume “whale” candle so that all sell orders in this zone get filled instantly. Once price surges and holds above it, the next resistance would be around 5.1%.
🔴 Break of the 15-minute multi-timeframe Low: This Low sits at 4.83%. A confirmed close below it could signal the start of selling and volume decline. In this scenario, the next support for USDT.D would likely be the box midline — around 4.74%.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .






















