FireHoseReel | BNB Daily Analysis #15🔥 Welcome to FireHoseReel!
Let’s dive into the Binance Coin (BNB) analysis.
👀 BNB – 1H Overview
BNB has successfully activated its long trigger and is now moving higher.
At the moment, BNB is forming a higher low compared to the previous bottom, which strengthens the bullish structure and keeps the upside continuation in play.
📊 Volume Analysis
After the long trigger was activated, BNB volume increased strongly, supporting the upward move.
If buying pressure remains sustained, BNB can continue its rally toward the next key resistance zone.
✍️ BNB Trading Scenarios
🟢 Long Scenario
The main long trigger is already active.
However, the risk-on long trigger will activate with a break above the current high, offering a more aggressive continuation setup.
🔴 Short Scenario
If BNB forms a lower high and a lower low below the $895 level, strong selling pressure could emerge.
That said, on the 4H timeframe, there is still a high probability that this short scenario may fail.
Candlestick Analysis
EURNZD: One More Pullback?! 🇪🇺🇳🇿
Looks like we will see another pullback on EURNZD.
The pair looks bullish after multiple traps below a key intraday/daily support.
A double bottom pattern gives a strong confirmation.
I expect a pullback to 2.0273
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Nifty Analysis EOD – December 4, 2025 – Thursday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – December 4, 2025 – Thursday 🔴
Bulls Retake 26K: Recovery Capped by Late Selling Pressure.
🗞 Nifty Summary
The session began flat, immediately plunging 50 points to mark the day low at 25,938.95. The subsequent recovery was swift and confident, successfully pushing the Nifty above the initial resistance at 26030 and completing the Initial Balance (IB) formation.
The index then methodically climbed through 26075, PDH, and 26104. Bulls tried hard to sustain above the PDH but failed, leading to a sharp fallback below 25985 and the PDC.
After another strong, 100-point recovery attempt failed to reclaim the PDH, the day concluded with a surprise element: sharp selling in Reliance (2% fall within last 30 minutes) wiped out 50 points in the last 30 minutes.
Despite this late pressure, the Nifty closed successfully at 26,010.35, securing a close above the psychological 26K level. The day was full of action, showing strong territorial fighting from both sides.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
The initial market weakness was quickly negated by strong buyers at 25938, turning the early move into a deep lower wick.
The strong recovery confirmed demand below 26K. The most crucial structural failure occurred when Nifty broke 26104 but could not hold it, showing overhead supply at that level. This failure indicates that while bulls are defending 26K, they lack the conviction for a sustained breakout.
The final sharp sell-off, attributed primarily to a major heavyweight stock (Reliance), dragged the closing price lower, but the close above 26K remains a small victory for the bulls.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,981.85
High: 26,098.25
Low: 25,938.95
Close: 26,033.75
Change: +47.75 (+0.18%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Bullish candle with a moderately long upper wick.
Range (High–Low): ≈ 159 points — demonstrating moderate intraday movement.
Body: ≈ 52 points — reflecting controlled upside strength.
Upper Wick: ≈ 64 points — indicates that buyers attempted a breakout but faced significant resistance near the highs (26,100).
Lower Wick: ≈ 43 points — confirms buyers protected the lower levels early in the session.
📚 Interpretation
The candle is bullish, confirming a successful defense of the 25930 ~ 25920 zone. However, the long upper wick is a warning signal, showing strong supply near 26,100. The overall structure suggests that while bulls are fighting back, they are meeting strong resistance at critical breakout levels. The successful close above the 26K psychological level is the primary positive takeaway.
🕯 Candle Type
Bullish Candle with Upper-Wick Resistance — Upside continuation requires clearing the 26100 resistance decisively.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 189.97
IB Range: 97.4 → Medium
Market Structure: Balanced
Trade Highlights:
10:07 Long Trade - Target Hit (R:R 1:1.74) (IBH + Resistance Breakout)
12:05 Long Trade - SL Hit (IBH + Resistance Breakout)
Trade Summary: The strategy capitalized on the strong morning recovery from the day’s low, securing an early long target. However, the unexpected high-level rejection and subsequent choppy price action around the PDH resulted in the second trade hitting its stop loss.
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
26030 ~ 26075
26104
26132 ~ 26160
26220
Support Zones:
25985
25930 ~ 25920 (Immediate Base)
🧠 Final Thoughts
“The fight for 26100 defines the week.”
The market is holding above 26K, which is positive, but the strong selling near 26100 shows bears remain active. For tomorrow’s session, bulls must breach the 26160 gap zone and secure a close above 26100 to maintain bullish momentum. Failure to do so could lead to a re-test of the 25985 support.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
XAUUSD possible buy setupHere we faced a beautiful CHOCH, hunting the liquidity zone and mitigating a valid order block creating a possible long position which is following my previous idea:
*** But we have to consider that the price is below the daily low (purple line) and the volume is not yet powerful to break the descending structure.
So I'll think about the long position only after the breakout of the purple line . Otherwise the price is going to hunt the liquidity around 4,110 if it continues with a powerful descending momentum.
Good luck🤞
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Confirmed BoS
With the yesterday's fundamental US news releases and
Trump's speech, US30 bounced strongly.
The market violated a significant daily resistance cluster
and closed above that.
It opens a potential for more growth to a resistance based
on a current All-Time High.
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EURCAD: Important Breakout 🇪🇺🇨🇦
EURCAD broke and closed above a significant intraday/daily
resistance cluster.
With a high probability, the price will rise more and reach 1.6305 level soon.
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EUR/USD Ready for Its Next Move: Breakout or Channel Re-Test?
📊 Technical Context
EUR/USD is trading inside a clearly defined ascending channel, continuing an uptrend and respecting both support and resistance zones.
Price is currently testing a key resistance level, near the upper boundary of the channel. If EUR/USD fails to break above, we could see a retracement toward the mid or lower channel levels, which would align with typical channel behavior and offer potential rebuy zones.
In that scenario, consolidation or pullback would be natural given overextended recent moves.
🌍 Fundamental Context
The U.S. dollar is showing signs of weakness, driven by growing expectations of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which reduces the dollar’s yield advantage and weakens its appeal.
At the same time, the Euro-zone economy, while mixed, doesn't show extreme weakness; some positive sentiment around economic recovery supports EUR demand.
As a result, EUR/USD benefits from a combination of euro strength + dollar softness, creating a favorable backdrop for possible upside continuation.
🎯 What to Watch / Scenarios
Upside scenario: Break above resistance leads to continuation upward — trend remains bullish.
Pullback scenario: If resistance holds — watch for drop to mid/lower channel zones, then look for long entries aligned with structural support + fundamental bias.
Manage risk carefully due to potential volatility during breakout attempts or key macro news.
OANDA:EURUSD
Bitcoin – Technical + Fundamental Analysis
📊 Technical Situation
BTC remains inside its bullish ascending channel, with lower boundary still holding well.
Yesterday, price failed to break above the channel’s mid-line / resistance, suggesting consolidation is needed.
A drop toward the lower boundary of the channel could provide good liquidity and a support zone for a bounce.
If that support holds, price could attempt a new upward swing targeting ~94,000 USD, assuming resistance is overcome.
🌐 Fundamental Context
Risk sentiment remains shaky: as traditional markets show volatility, crypto tends to follow — higher Treasury yields and macro pressure have weighed on Bitcoin recently.
On the other hand, medium-term tailwinds remain: growing concerns over global money supply and potential monetary easing support Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and currency debasement.
Institutional flows remain a mixed factor: while some investors are reducing exposure, others view dips as opportunities — this could generate volatility, but also strong rebounds if sentiment flips.
🎯 What I Expect
Ideally, BTC corrects toward the channel floor before resuming upward — this sets up a buy-the-dip opportunity.
If macro conditions worsen (rising yields, global risk-off), expect pressure toward lower channel support or even deeper.
If support holds and yields/market sentiment improve, Bitcoin could push toward 94,000 USD or higher.
Gold – Key Scenarios & Fundamentals🟡 Gold – Key Scenarios & Fundamentals
📉 Technical Setup
During the Asian session, gold broke down below the Previous Day Low (PDL) — a level that now acts as resistance.
For today, two clear scenarios are on the table:
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
Price reclaims the PDL (break + retest) → targets the Previous Day High (PDH) and the zone around 4,240 as the next upside target.
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
PDL holds as resistance → throwback → price heads down toward 4,100, a zone with strong liquidity and coinciding with the midline (or EMA) of the bullish channel, acting as a potential key support zone.
Watch for confirmation: retest + momentum for longs, or clean breakdown for shorts.
🌐 Fundamental & Macro Context
Dollar strength or weakness remains a critical driver; renewed USD weakness (from shifting rate expectations or softer US data) could favor gold upside.
Interest-rate expectations: If markets expect a less aggressive tone from the Fed (or potential rate cuts ahead), gold tends to absorb flows as a non-yielding safe-haven.
Geopolitical risk / global uncertainty still provide a tailwind to gold — any headlines affecting risk sentiment could spark safe-haven demand.
Inflation & real yields: If real yields stay low or turn negative, gold becomes more attractive; watch upcoming inflation data for clues.
🎯 Trading Plan Summary
Bullish path: reclaim PDL → entry upon retest → target ~4,240
Bearish path: rejection at PDL → entry on breakdown → target ~4,100
OANDA:XAUUSD
Nasdaq — Current Setup & What Could Happen Next📈 Nasdaq — Current Setup & What Could Happen Next
🔹 Technical Setup
Nasdaq has been accumulating between 25,600–25,650 since Tuesday, marking a clear base where buyers stepped in.
I’m watching for a break to the upside with pullback entries, aiming to complete the fractal toward 25,770, a level with previous supply/resistance.
Yesterday’s -1% drop after negative news from Microsoft was gradually erased by steady buying — a sign that underlying demand remains resilient.
The accumulation and rebound off that base may signal a renewed bullish leg, provided we see clean technical confirmation.
🌎 Fundamental & Market Context
Rate-cut hopes are returning: Traders are increasingly betting on a potential cut by the Federal Reserve next month, which tends to support growth and tech sectors.
That expectation has helped lift sentiment across U.S. equities, including the Nasdaq.
On the flip side, rising Treasury yields and macroeconomic uncertainty remain a risk; any hawkish Fed hints or weak corporate earnings could challenge the bullish view.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
➡️ Bullish:
Break of accumulation zone → long entries on pullback → target 25,770.
⚠️ Bearish / Cautious:
Failure to break up, or a sharp reversal → fallback toward lower liquidity zones/Potential PDL.
TVC:DXY SP:SPX CAPITALCOM:US100
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Bearish Trend ContinuesThe Dollar Index is currently trading in a bearish trend.
A significant daily/intraday support cluster was violated yesterday, and the formation of a new lower low and lower close indicates substantial selling pressure.
Today, the price is showing a steady recovery, retesting the previously broken structure. Another bearish wave will probably commence from this point.
The next target is 98.63.
Amazon (AMZN) Falters, Bears Eye 200 EMAI’m wondering whether Amazon has seen a major top on 3 November, given it saw a large gap into the high before momentum turned lower. This has the hallmarks of a ‘blow-off top’, which can occur at major turning points when bulls push a stock higher with such force – often via a gap – as a kind of ‘last hurrah’, only for momentum to then falter.
A 16.8% decline to its 200-day EMA then ensued and, while it has tried to rebound, it has also struggled to rise alongside the broader market.
Trading volumes were declining while prices rose, and Tuesday’s shooting-star candle formed near the September high and below the January high. Prices also gapped lower on Wednesday before finding support around the 50-day EMA.
Bears could look to fade moves towards the shooting-star high, with a retest of the 200-day EMA in focus.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index.
USDCAD – Bearish BiasUsing my Daily Bias Model, USDCAD is showing a clear Bearish Bias going into Thursday.
Here’s why:
Wednesday’s daily candle closed below Tuesday’s Low
Whether Wednesday swept Tuesday’s High or not does not matter for this condition
➡️ This confirms a Bearish Bias for Thursday.
Now during active trading session, we wanna see and old internal Highs being taken, or a trade into a lower timeframe FVG before trading to the main DOL (Previous D1 Low)
📌So in summary
Bias for Thursday: 🔻 Bearish
Expecting downward movement unless the daily structure shifts again.
EUR/AUD cracks 200DMA as bears circleDownside risks for EUR/AUD look to be building.
For the first time in 2025, the pair closed beneath the 200DMA on Wednesday, adding to the bearish signals delivered over the past week. With RSI (14) and MACD indicating building downside pressure, the message from price action and momentum indicators favours bearish setups over longs.
While its interactions with the level have been fleeting in recent times, of those that have occurred, it’s clear from the price action that traders pay attention to the 200DMA. As such, it can be used to build trade setups around.
Should the bearish break of the 200DMA stick, shorts could be established with a stop above for protection. 1.7670 saw buying over the past two days, so keep that on the radar should the price stall around the level again. If it does, consider nixing the trade. But if the bearish unwind extends, 1.7600, 1.7465 or 1.7400 provide target levels depending on your desired risk-reward.
While longs are not favoured right now, the 200DMA could also be used to build bullish setups should Wednesday’s break prove false, allowing for longs to be established above it with a stop below, targeting either 1.7750, the 50DMA or 1.7945 initially.
Good luck!
DS
Long trade 🟩 Buy-Side Trade
Buy-side Trade
Pair: EURUSD
Date: Wed 3rd Dec 2025
Time: 6:15 am
Session: London Session AM
📘 Trade Details
Entry: 1.16597
Profit Level: 1.16915 (0.273%)
Stop Level: 1.16584 (0.011%)
Risk–Reward (RR): 24.46
Correlation DXY
📗 Model / Structure
Bullish structure confirmed on 15m
BOS + displacement into premium zones
FVG → retracement → continuation model
Trend supported by EMA/WMA alignment
📙 Liquidity Story
Sweep of London open sell-side liquidity
Inducement below local swing low
Price targeted multiple FVGs stacked above
Liquidity magnets: 1.16850 → 1.16920
📕 Sentiment / Narrative
USD weakness during early LND session
EUR stable macro tone
High-volatility transition from Asia → London
Market repricing toward upper imbalance
📒 Outcome: Trade in session.
Next Week EURUSD Analysis There is more htf context to this but I will keep it brief. Weekly candle rejected 1.147 area, Smt of 3month lows with GU and DXY indicating that there is divergence between correlated assets, every downside target has been met we have just opened with a new monthly candle which usually makes the low the first week aswell. And we now have a weekly crt formed meaning we can target the high of the previous week pairing liquidity pools we already had a daily change in state so I am expecting daily ob to take us higher.






















