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Candlestick Analysis

USD/JPY(20251021)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The US government shutdown entered its 20th day on Monday after senators failed to break the impasse for the tenth time last week. The shutdown has also delayed the release of key economic data, leaving investors and Federal Reserve policymakers with a data vacuum ahead of next week's policy meeting. The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, delayed by the shutdown, is scheduled for release this Friday. Meanwhile, traders are pricing in a 99% probability of a Fed rate cut next week, with another cut expected in December. As a non-interest-bearing asset, gold typically performs well in a low-interest rate environment. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 150.73 Support and Resistance Levels: 151.65 151.30 151.08 150.37 150.15 149.81 Trading Strategy: On the upside, consider buying on a break above 151.08, with the first target at 151.30. On the downside, consider selling on a break below 150.73, with the first target at 150.15.
Long
by GoldenSpaceship
FTSE 100 Outlook: Twin Bullish Signals Point to Fresh HighsFresh record highs for the FTSE 100 contract may be on the cards, with consecutive bullish signals pointing to growing upside risks. The first arrived on Friday with a hammer candle on the daily chart, rebounding strongly after testing the 50-day moving average. That was followed on Monday by another large bullish bar that saw the price break out of the falling wedge pattern it had been trading in for much of the past month. The breakout points to the risk of further upside ahead, putting the record high of 9,579 set on October 8 on the menu for bulls. Given the twin bullish signals, traders may want to consider initiating longs around these levels or slightly lower, targeting 9,485 or the record highs. Stop placement should reflect the desired risk-reward you’re seeking from the trade. RSI (14) has broken its downtrend and now sits in marginally bullish territory. MACD also remains in positive territory despite crossing the signal line from above earlier this month and is now starting to flatten out. Combined, the two indicators suggest diminishing bullish momentum may be in the early stages of building again, improving the probability of the breakout playing out in full. Good luck! DS
FOREXCOM:UK100Long
by FOREX.com
1
GBP/CAD Looks Set To Mean RevertA two-bar bearish reversal pattern (dark cloud cover) has formed around the monthly D1 pivot, suggesting that momentum could temporarily shift lower. Bears may look to fade retracements within the reversal zone and maintain a short-term bearish bias while prices remain below last week’s high. The 20-day EMA, 50-day EMA, and monthly pivot point could serve as downside targets for bears — or potential swing-low zones for bulls to monitor. A break below 1.8550 would signal a deeper correction or potentially a trend reversal in progress. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Short
by City Index
Pay attention to the Payment Innovation ConferenceOn October 21, the Federal Reserve will hold a payment innovation conference that could rewrite the industry landscape, inviting top cryptocurrency companies such as Chainlink, Circle, and Coinbase to its Washington headquarters. This conference precisely targets the core players in the entire chain of stablecoins, infrastructure, and trading terminals. However, it is worth noting that if the meeting only discusses the direction without details, the BTC market may pull back in the short term. Looking at technical indicators, the short-term MACD has broken through the signal line, reflecting a bullish change, but the divergence signal of the RSI may foreshadow a short-term pullback. Based on the above information, BTC is likely to experience a short-term correction followed by an upward trend. Focus on the lower levels of 109,700-109,300 in the short term, with key support at 107,500-106,500. Above this level, focus on the short-term resistance levels of 111,000-112,000. A break above this resistance level could lead to a move towards 114,000-115,000. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Perfect_Allen
The 4400 era is coming, and the 4500 era is just beginning.Judging from the current trend, the middle track of the hourly line and the 4H line are already around 4280. As time goes by, the lower low point is constantly rising. We can appropriately increase the expected retracement target and participate in long trading when it retraces to around 4390-4380. But at the same time, we also need to pay attention to the short-term support formed by 4330-4320. If it falls back to this level in the evening and shows a clear stop in the decline, we can also consider entering the market in advance and going long on gold in this range. The upper pressure continues to focus on 4365-4380. If gold rebounds first, you can also consider shorting gold appropriately. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Perfect_Allen
Short-term volatility, how to plan for the next market trendGold is currently continuing its upward momentum. In the short term, we will first focus on whether gold can break through 4266. The intraday market has rebounded to this point many times and encountered resistance and fell back. If it is difficult to break through in the short term, the gold price will continue to fluctuate widely. On the contrary, if it can effectively break through 4266, continue to pay attention to the upper resistance range of 4280-4300. When the first rebound touches this resistance range, consider shorting gold in batches with light positions. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Perfect_Allen
Long trade 📘 Trade Journal Entry Pair: AAPL (Apple Inc) Direction: Buyside Trade Date: Fri 10th Oct 2025 Time: 11:30 AM Session: London Session AM Timeframe: 15 minutes 🔹 Trade Details Entry: $258.49 Profit Level: $269.22 (+4.27%) Stop Level: $243.69 (–1.96%) Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.16 🔹 Technical Context The demand zone on the 15-minute timeframe (near $252–$255) held strongly following an earlier breaker block and order block reaction. Price retraced to the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci zone before resuming upward momentum. Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) is trending upward, confirming directional bias alignment. RSI recovered from mid-range, showing bullish divergence and improved momentum. The 1.618 Fib extension aligns closely with the target zone (~$261–$262), confluencing with prior structural resistance. 🔹 Narrative After a period of range compression within the 255–258 zone, Apple broke from its re-accumulation structure following a liquidity sweep below the 15-minute demand zone. Institutional accumulation was evident, as reflected by high-volume candle expansion and a clear reclaim of structure at 257. 🔹 Market Sentiment Context Broader NASDAQ composite strength aligns with post-earnings optimism and risk-on appetite. USD weakness and moderating Treasury yields have improved tech-sector conditions. The upcoming Q4 earnings cycle and expectations of a potential Fed rate cut sustain short-term bullish sentiment across mega-cap equities.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by davidjulien369
Long trade 15min TF overview 📘 Trade Journal Entry Pair: MAVUSDT.P (Maverick Protocol Perpetual Mix Contract) Direction: Buyside Trade Date: Sat 18th Oct 2025 Time: 10:30 AM Session: London to New York Session AM Timeframe: 15 minutes 🔹 Trade Details Entry: 0.04112 Profit Level: 0.04643 (+12.59%) Stop Level: 0.03947 (–2.31%) Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 4.89 🔹 Technical Context The trade follows a liquidity sweep below prior range lows (0.039–0.038), followed by a sharp reclaim and consolidation within a tight bullish structure. Price respected the discount zone (0.618–0.786 Fib retracement) drawn from the prior swing move. Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) slope turned positive — confirming momentum alignment with buy-side continuation. Volume confirmation supports re-accumulation at lower bounds after heavy capitulation wick (0.045–0.050 zone). Overhead inefficiency near 0.046–0.047 marks a fair value gap target area for partials or full exit. 🔹 Narrative MAVUSDT shows strong signs of accumulation after a capitulation event and recovery through the discount zone. The shift in structure suggests an early phase B–C transition (Wyckoff accumulation) with potential for a spring retracement confirmation. The entry capitalises on the low-end liquidity grab, targeting the mid-range inefficiency gap above 0.046. With RSI climbing steadily and adaptive MA confirming trend alignment, this setup carries a clean continuation bias into early week sessions. 🔹 Sentiment & Context Altcoin sector rotation remains buoyant, with smaller-cap DeFi assets showing relative strength as BTC stabilises. MAV’s DEX narrative and liquidity pool integrations underpin fundamental demand as DeFi capital rotations re-ignite. Expect near-term continuation if BTC maintains above 107K–109K (macro pivot zone).
Long
by davidjulien369
Is Restaurant Brands International Burger King stock a buy?Burger King (QSR): Weekly Demand Gaining Strength Now let’s look at Restaurant Brands International (QSR) — the powerhouse that owns Burger King, Popeyes, Tim Hortons, and Firehouse Subs. QSR has a weekly demand level in control around $63, which has recently produced a strong bullish impulse in the smaller timeframes. That tells us demand is stepping in — no question about it. However, there’s a difference between having a weekly imbalance and having a monthly one. The weekly demand is shorter-term. It can create powerful moves, but it doesn’t hold the same institutional weight as a monthly imbalance. Weekly demand means swing traders and shorter-term investors are active, while monthly imbalances indicate long-term capital allocation. So even though QSR looks healthy in the short term, its control zone sits one timeframe below McDonald’s, which automatically makes MCD the stronger and safer play from a structural perspective.
NYSE:QSRLong
by AlfonsoMoreno
McDonald's stock monthly demand imbalance playing outMcDonald’s (MCD): Monthly Demand Level Still in Control McDonald’s stock is currently respecting a monthly demand level at $294, which remains firmly in control. That’s a key point — the monthly timeframe is a much larger and more powerful structure than anything happening in the weekly or daily charts. What I’m seeing now is a new bullish price action pattern forming in the smaller timeframes (weekly and daily), meaning buyers are stepping back in from that institutional zone. That gives me confirmation that demand is in control and that McDonald’s remains one of the strongest bullish stocks in the consumer sector. A monthly demand level in control means that big money — institutions and funds — are accumulating. Retail traders might think it’s “too expensive” at $290+, but professional traders know that the presence of a monthly imbalance means there’s still room for price expansion to the upside. This is where patience pays. The art of waiting for the price to return to that imbalance and observing how it reacts separates a disciplined trader from an impulsive one driven by greed or fear.
NYSE:MCDLong
by AlfonsoMoreno
USDCHF: Momentum into NY SessionKey Observations This pair is starting off slow, but I'm expecting momentum to pick up during the New York session. The daily chart is indicating an overall downtrend. Price is holding below both EMAs. However, the price action is a little bit weaker and the daily HTL isn't a significant level. On the H1 timeframe, price is showing overlapping bars. I am hoping to see a stronger break to the downside as price crosses out of the EMA brand and accelerates.
Short
by FinancialGamblR
ETH 4H Analysis | Day 4🥳 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! Welcome to SatoshiFrame channel . ✨ Today we’re diving into the 4-Hour Ethereum analysis. Stay tuned and follow along! 👀 Ethereum, the best and largest altcoin in our market, has also broken its descending trendline just like Bitcoin, and the long position scenario we discussed earlier has pretty much played out — I hope you took advantage of it. 🔍 After breaking through its previous resistances, Ethereum is now facing a new resistance area where some sellers have stepped in and some buyers are taking profits. There’s a possibility of a short-term pause in price movement. This zone has created a trigger for us, and the next, more logical long triggers for Ethereum are at $4,252 and $4,723. A breakout above these levels could kick off a strong upward move. 🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, it’s approaching the 70 zone but has been rejected near that level. For a confirmed breakout above $4,078, RSI needs to enter the overbought region. There’s also a support zone around 50, which could act as a rebound area for oscillatory movement. Right now, RSI has two key zones — 50 and 70 — that define its structure. 🕯 Notice the Ethereum volume behavior: to break through both static and dynamic resistance zones, the volume increased — this happened because a large number of sell orders were stacked in that area, and those orders needed to be filled before price could move upward smoothly. After that breakout, buying volume started to decline slightly, meaning both price and volume are now resting. For Ethereum to break this resistance zone, we either need sell orders to be absorbed or short positions to get squeezed by trapped traders. 🧠 We can outline a few possible scenarios for Ethereum’s position — some of them might be slightly more complex to manage: 🟢 Long Position Scenario 1 We need patience and a price cooldown. Wait for Ethereum to touch its nearest support zone, then rise with increasing volume. If during this move we see setup candles along with a resistance breakout, we can enter the position with a tight stop size. 🟢 Long Position Scenario 2 We can use an order-book stop-buy setup at Ethereum’s resistance and place a wider stop to catch any breakout spike. This allows participation in a potential price surge and can yield solid profit — though these setups usually take longer to reach an ideal risk-to-reward ratio. 🟢 Long Position Scenario 3 This one’s less likely but still worth noting: Ethereum could break its resistance with rising volume, then pull back to retest that same resistance (now turned support). Afterward, if we see volume increase, setup candles, and a confirmed pullback breakout, we can enter with a small stop size. 🔴 Short Position Scenario A short setup would only make sense if the micro-buyer zone fails, accompanied by heavy whale candles, strong selling pressure, and an overall market crash. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
by Satoshimultiframe
BTC 4H Analysis | Day 5🥳 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! Welcome to SatoshiFrame channel . ✨ Today we’re diving into the 4-Hour Bitcoin analysis. Stay tuned and follow along! 👀 After breaking out of the descending channel and confirming the long setup I explained in the previous post, Bitcoin moved upward and easily broke through its Maker-buyer zone. 🔍 Over the past two market-holiday days, Bitcoin consolidated in a multi-timeframe accumulation phase with a ceiling at $107,356, which was easily breached. The price then advanced toward its higher-level key resistances. It’s now trading between $110,500 and $113,000 — the $113,000 zone is our long trigger since price has struggled there multiple times before. This makes it a bit risky, but if the upward movement continues, the next resistances could be at $115,800 and $120,836. 🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, it has comfortably passed the 50 level on the 4-hour chart and is now heading toward the overbought zone, facing a key resistance at 70. This 70 level overlaps with the 50 zone on the daily timeframe, meaning that if RSI enters overbought on the 4-hour, the daily will just be shifting from a bearish swing phase to a long-position momentum phase — so the 70 zone is crucial. 🕯 If you check the lower-volume section of the chart, you’ll notice something interesting: the breakout above the two-day accumulation range came with a clear rise in buy volume, which helped Bitcoin easily break both the resistance area and the descending trendline (the upper boundary of the previous channel). This suggests Bitcoin may soon take a volume or price correction to gain more strength for another upward move. ⏰ During today’s New York session, we might see some strong moves. Remember last week when U.S. investors were selling off their ETF holdings, and the market was hesitant to buy? That fear caused weak participation. This time, we may have a reason to stay active during New York hours as sentiment shifts. 🧠 Here are the two key scenarios to watch: 🟢 Long Position Scenario Wait for Bitcoin to react either to the micro-buyer zone or to the $113,000 area. If we see a pullback followed by an indecision candle (confirmation setup) touching the SMA-7, that’s our entry cue — ideally with a tighter stop size. 🔴 Short Position Scenario Ignore shorts for now. Bitcoin already completed its second downward wave with an imbalanced slope, and over the last two days, seller momentum has weakened. Buyers are now driving price through resistance levels, so shorting here would go against the current flow. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
by Satoshimultiframe
CADJPY: Bearish Move From Resistance Confirmed 🇨🇦🇯🇵 There is a high probability that CADJPY will retrace from the underlined daily resistance. A breakout of a support line of a rising wedge pattern on 1H time frame provides a strong bearish signal. I expect a retracement at least to 107.26 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
2
AUD/USD Bulls Eye Mean Reversion HigherBearish volatility diminished last week, with AUD/USD printing a small bullish candle on the weekly chart. The daily chart suggests demand resides around 0.6450 with two lower spikes arriving on Tuesday and Friday, despite softer jobs figures from Australia reviving some hopes of a November RAB cut. With prices having recovered back above the 200-day EMA and monthly S1 pivot, the bias is for mean reversion high on the daily chart towards trend resistance. Bulls could seek dips towards the 200-day EMA in anticipation of a move towards the 0.6550 high-volume node (HVN) or bearish trendline. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Inde and Forex.com.
Long
by City Index