Candlestick Analysis
GBPCHF: Price Breach Daily HTLKey Observations
Daily Timeframe:
Price recently tested the daily HTL and made a weak reaction, indicating that buying strength at this level is very lackluster
H1 Timeframe:
Price is breaching the intraday ATL, signals counter-trend move is coming to an end and we're seeing confluence with the daily downtrend
Price is also accelerating away from the EMA band as another signal of momentum picking up
AUDUSD: Price Holds Below Daily HTLKey Observations
Daily Timeframe:
Price remains below HTL, which signals lack of strength to try and trade above it
Downside momentum is likely to pick up as price is below EMAs and EMA20 is threatening to cross back below EMA60
H1 Timeframe:
Price remains bearish as indicated by it's inability to trade above the EMA band and sustain that momentum
Price crossed back below the EMA band with a strong bearish candle so the entry is based on the current pullback move
AUD/JPY: Potential Bounce Before Bears Regain ControlAUD/JPY pulled back around 3.1% from its recent high just below the 101 handle, but price has since held above 97.85, showing early signs of near-term strength. A small spinning-top doji formed near the lower end of the range, hinting that dip buyers are starting to step in.
On the 1-hour chart, AUD/JPY has carved out three consecutive higher lows, the most recent appearing as a bullish hammer.
For now, the bias leans toward a minor leg higher before another downside attempt. Key resistance sits between 99.00–100.00, while bears will be watching for a break below 97.85 to target the 97.00 handle and possibly the 96.32 low.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Profit Both Ways — Double the Trades, Double the Thrill !After gold hit above 4210, it showed obvious signs of stagflation. First, after gold touched around 4218, it retreated to around 4164; secondly, after gold touched around 4212 during the rebound, it retreated again to around 4179.While the two pullbacks were limited, they also indicate that after gold's strong rally, the market is beginning to diverge and diverge.
We can use the ABC rule to determine the position of D. Based on the chart composition, D is around 4160. That is to say, in the short term, gold has the need to retreat to around 4160 again, and this area is also a strong defense line for bulls. If this defense area is broken, gold may continue its downward trend and test the bull-bear dividing line of 4140-4130.
So after a clear rejection signal appears, I think we can continue to try to short gold in the 4205-4215 area. The retracement target area is first located in the 4180-4160 area; and once gold retreats to the 4160-4150 area, we can wait for an opportunity to rejoin the gold long trade!
Sell the Rip, Buy the Dip —Double Profit on Gold’s MoveGold currently hit a high of around 4218 and is currently retreating slightly. However, it quickly rebounded to above 4200 after just retreating to around 4164. It can be clearly seen that it is still far from the level of panic selling, so the current retreat is only regarded as a healthy technical retreat.
The market has a high degree of recognition and participation in the current continued rise in gold prices, and expectations for a pullback in the short term should not be too large. With the support of multiple risk-averse factors in the market, and the resonance of news and technical factors, the market's bullish sentiment is high. It is not ruled out that every effective technical pullback in gold is a good time to participate in long trading.
Judging from the current morphological structure, gold is under pressure from the resistance zone of the trend channel and has not been able to stand above 4200 in the short term. There is a technical need for a retracement, so gold is likely to continue to fall and test the support of the 4155-4145 area. If gold fails to fall below this support area during its downward exploration, gold may continue to rebound based on this support area and hit the area around 4230.
So for short-term trading:
1. First, we can try shorting gold in the 4185-4195 area, initially targeting the 4160-4150 area.
2. After gold retraces to the 4155-4145 area, we can try going long again, initially targeting the 4200-4210 area.
We first consider shorting gold, and after gold effectively retreats, we will wait for an opportunity to go long on gold. In this way, we can capture every volatile profit as much as possible and avoid profit loss!
Small Caps: Finally a Breakout?The Russell 2000 has been stuck in a rut for years, but some traders may think the small-cap index has finally achieved escape velocity.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the November 2021 high around 2,460, where prices stalled last November. RUT has gotten above it this month and refused to stay below. Is a breakout finally underway?
Second is the September 25 low of 2,394. Prices tested and held that level last week, which may confirm support is in place.
Third, the index had a bullish inside candle after Friday’s selloff, followed by a bullish outside bar. That may reflect buyers are gaining control.
Next, RUT has apparently broken a trendline that began with the high on October 6.
Finally, consider this weekly ratio chart of the Russell 2000 against the Nasdaq-100. Notice how RUT outperformed in late 2023 and July 2024. Both of those moments saw expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. (Such moves often favor small caps.) Notice how the ratio is climbing again at the same time that investors look for more dovishness from the central bank.
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Ethereum 1H Analysis – Key Battle at $4,278 Resistance | D1👋 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great!
💥 Welcome to Satoshi Frame — today we’re diving into the 1-hour Bitcoin analysis. Stay tuned and follow along!
👀 1-hour timeframe of Ethereum, and we can see that Ethereum, after the heavy drop it experienced, broke down from the 4278$ area and moved toward its lower support levels. A major support level has formed around the 3692$ area, where we saw strong buyer support, and they pushed the Ethereum price upward. After the upward movement and buyer support, as Ethereum approached its resistance in the 4278$ area, the buying volume decreased, and then buyers’ strength ended. Sellers, with strong momentum and multiple red candles, pushed the price down toward the 3941$ support, where the price was supported again. Now a higher low has formed compared to the 3941$ bottom, and the price is moving toward its key resistance area at 4278$.
🧮 We can see in the RSI oscillator that there is a key level around 70, which is the OverBuy boundary. If the fluctuation limit passes this area, Ethereum can break its resistance around 4278$.
🕯 Regarding volume, there is an educational note that when the price approached the 4278$ resistance, it faced a decrease in buying volume and was rejected from this area with many red candles. Now that the price is moving toward this resistance, if it is accompanied by an increase in buying volume, it increases the probability of breaking this resistance for us.
🧠 For the Ethereum position, a breakout of the 4278$ area is needed, and now if the price moves toward this area, it will form our second touch and create several scenarios for us.
↗️ First scenario for long position: breakout of resistance accompanied by an increase in volume and setting the trigger at 4278$, which gives us a large stop size and reaches its risk-to-reward ratio later.
↗️ Second scenario for long position: wait for the price to have a reaction to the 4278$ area and then create a higher high and higher low for us, and we can enter on the created higher low and place our stop below that same low.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
The 4200 Era Is Coming — Where Will the Next Bull Run Begin?Gold has reached new highs during its rebound, breaking through the recent technical resistance at 4180. In the short term, there is no significant resistance above, and no clear peak signal has emerged, demonstrating the continued strength of the bulls.
From the current technical perspective, gold has formed a clear W-shaped double bottom structure in the short term, combining the 4090 and 4097 levels, providing support for further gains. Therefore, the deep pullback that occurred yesterday is only regarded as a technical pullback in a strong pattern, and does not change its inherent bullish logic; coupled with the support of multiple risk-averse factors in the market, under the resonance of technical and news aspects, according to the previous fluctuation range, gold is expected to continue to rise to the 4210-4230 area.
As the center of gravity of gold continues to rise, the key now is to find the next reliable support level. The current short-term support has clearly moved up to the 4155-4140 area, which is the best position for bulls to re-accumulate strength before the next breakthrough. Therefore, the 4155-4140 area is the entry area for us to focus on building long positions in gold in batches; the short-term upward target area is 4200-4210.
If you’re following this rally, don’t just watch — prepare your next move.
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BTC 1H Box Breakout Setup | D1👋 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great!
💥 Welcome to Satoshi Frame — today we’re diving into the 1-hour Bitcoin analysis. Stay tuned and follow along!
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe of Bitcoin, we can see that after its recent drop, Bitcoin has entered a one-hour consolidation box. The top of this box is around $115,802, and the bottom is at $110,224. A breakout from this box could lead to the next impulsive move. Currently, Bitcoin’s price is near the midline of the box at $113,222 — and if it breaks and stabilizes above this level, Bitcoin could start moving toward the top of the box and potentially break above it.
Notice that Bitcoin reacted to the buyer-maker zone near the bottom of the box, showing a reversal pattern. With buying pressure pushing it upward and a higher low forming, the probability of a midline breakout has increased.
🧮 Looking at Bitcoin’s RSI oscillator, it’s currently near the static resistance around the 54 range. If RSI breaks and stabilizes above this level, long-trade momentum is likely to increase, which could help Bitcoin break through the midline and become more bullish.
🕯 Let’s first discuss the maker-buyer zone, which acts as a major support area for buyers and institutions that accumulate their positions here. This area tends to create counter-direction reactions in Bitcoin. Right now, Bitcoin has formed a higher low just below the midline and is showing increasing buying volume, with larger candle sizes appearing on the chart.
🧠 For Bitcoin’s trading setup, once the midline breaks, we can consider entering a position, forming a potential long scenario:
↗️ Long Position Scenario:
If Bitcoin breaks and stabilizes above $113,222, accompanied by an RSI breakout above 54 and a rise in buying volume, it could move toward the top of the box and provide a solid long opportunity.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Setting new highs, it is right to go long on the pullbackI reminded everyone yesterday that once the W-shaped formation is confirmed and structural support is provided for the bulls, the upward trend will continue. The final result is in line with our expectations again. Gold is still fluctuating upward. If this trend continues, it is expected to reach 4210-4230.
As the price of gold continues to rise and returns to a unilateral upward trend, the short-term highs and support are also moving up. From the perspective of the big cycle trend, the current daily MA5 moving average and the 4H middle track have also come to around 4088-4090, which is also the position that short-term bulls need to focus on defending. Before failing to effectively fall below this position, we can still maintain the bullish trend unchanged, and any decline can be regarded as an opportunity for bulls to enter the market.
Judging from the hourly chart, the current gold price has reached the 42,000 integer mark. The continuous upward fluctuation has caused the current technical indicators to enter the overbought risk zone. Do not blindly chase the rise in the short term and be alert to the market's potential correction demand. The short-term support can be seen at 4180-4165. If gold subsequently falls back to this short-term support, we can consider continuing to go long on gold.
OANDA:XAUUSD
USDJPY: Bearish Wave Confirmed?! 🇺🇸🇯🇵
Remember a huge gap up opening that USDJPY formed
at the beginning of the last trading week.
It looks like the market is finally ready to fill it.
A formation of a bearish imbalance candle on a daily time frame
this Monday provides a clear sign of a strong selling pressure.
I think that the market will continue falling steadily.
Goal - 148.0
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How To Short Sell Using The 3-Step Rocket Booster StrategyYesternight i stood outside thinking
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Step 1-The price should be below the 50 EMA
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Now the rules of short selling
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This means its the reverse.
In this chart the momentum is leaning
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On a bullish hammer turning
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Explosive Battle Ahead — Can Gold Smash Through 4180 Again?Gold retreated $90 from 4180 to around 4090, then hit the 4100-4090 area twice before rebounding, and is currently consolidating around 4150. Although the short-term retracement of gold is not small, it is obvious that it has not destroyed the upward trend and pattern structure. However, it has exacerbated market differences to a certain extent and also increased short-term volatility. First, 4160 represents the 23.6% retracement level. Next, we must closely monitor two areas. First, 4160 represents the 23.6% retracement level of the recent short-term rally. If gold fails to break through this area during its subsequent rebound, it could form a technical M-shaped double top with the 4180 high in the short term, favoring a downward trend for gold and potentially leading to a further correction.
Second, we must pay close attention to the area around 4125, which represents the 61.8% retracement level of the recent short-term rally. If gold remains above 4125 during its subsequent pullback, it indicates that the bullish trend in gold has not ended and that it may continue to reach new highs.
Based on the above considerations, regarding short-term trading:
1. First, we can consider shorting gold in small quantities in the 4150-4160 area, and then patiently wait for gold to retrace.
2. Once gold retreats to the 4125-4115 area, we can try to go long again, and then patiently wait for gold to rebound further, or even retest the recent high near 4180.






















