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XAUUSD Bullish Structure Intact Ready for Takeoff📊 XAUUSD Analysis – Pullback Complete, Bulls Regaining Control Gold pulled back sharply after tapping the upper resistance zone, but the correction found support right inside the Ichimoku cloud + previous breakout region, which acts as a high-probability bullish reaction zone. Price has already shown a strong bounce from this support, indicating that buyers are defending structure and preparing for another leg higher. Your chart points toward a likely retest and continuation path, suggesting the uptrend remains intact. --- 🔍 Key Technical Points Trend: Still bullish despite the sharp correction. Pullback: Price corrected into cloud support + previous breakout base. Reaction: Strong bullish rejection shows buyers stepping back in. Outlook: Expecting a move toward 4,330 – 4,350 (resistance retest). Continuation Signal: Higher-low formation followed by a push above 4,310. Invalidation: Break below 4,265 weakens the bullish structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sofia_Summer
8
Bitcoin Breakdown Pullback Target Locked In📊 BTC Analysis – Breakdown With Incoming Retracement Bitcoin has broken cleanly below the previous consolidation block, confirming a shift from neutral to bearish short-term structure. After the breakdown, price found temporary support around 90,000, where buyers are attempting a relief bounce. Your chart highlights a likely retracement path toward the 92,500 – 93,000 zone. This area lines up with: The bottom of the last range (now turned resistance) Ichimoku cloud resistance A typical breakdown retest zone A potential liquidity grab level before continuation This makes it the most probable reaction zone for sellers to re-enter the market. --- 🔍 Key Technical Points Trend: Short-term bearish after the breakdown. Current Move: Relief bounce forming from local support. Main Target: Retest into 92.5K–93K before resistance kicks in. Expectation: BTC may bounce upward first, then face strong rejection from the marked zone. Invalidation: A sustained break above 93,200 would weaken the bearish idea.
Long
by Sofia_Summer
5
Gold Is Quiet — Because It’s About to ExplodeGOLD (XAUUSD) — 4H MARKET ANALYSIS ATH Preparation | Accumulation → Breakout Model 1. Market Structure Overview Gold remains in a strong bullish macro structure on the 4H timeframe. The market has repeatedly shown a clear behavioral pattern: Impulse → Accumulation → Expansion. At the current stage, price is consolidating just below the All-Time High (ATH), which is a classic sign of strength, not weakness. There is no aggressive rejection instead, price is being absorbed. This confirms the market is preparing for a continuation breakout, not a reversal. 2. Accumulation & Liquidity Behavior Multiple Accumulation Zones are visible throughout the trend: - Each accumulation previously led to a strong impulsive leg higher. - The current accumulation zone is forming directly below ATH, which is the most bullish location possible. - Liquidity has already been collected on minor pullbacks, leaving little resistance overhead once ATH is breached. This behavior signals institutional positioning, not retail speculation. 3. Key Levels to Watch - Major Resistance: ATH zone (~4,380 – 4,400) - Key Support (Structure Hold): Upper accumulation range (~4,280 – 4,300) As long as price holds above the accumulation base, the bullish structure remains fully intact. 4. Forward Scenarios Primary Scenario – Breakout Continuation (High Probability): - Price holds above the accumulation zone - Breaks and accepts above ATH - Enters price discovery, targeting a new ATH expansion leg Projected path: ➡ Break ATH → shallow pullback → continuation ➡ Momentum builds toward new historical highs Alternative Scenario – Extended Accumulation (Low Risk): - Price continues ranging just below ATH - Further compression before the breakout This only adds fuel to the next impulsive move. No structural evidence currently supports a bearish reversal. 5. Market Psychology & Conclusion - The market is not rejecting ATH — it is absorbing orders beneath it. - Volatility compression near highs is a bullish continuation signal. - Gold is behaving exactly as it has before every major upside expansion in this trend. Conclusion: Gold is not topping it is loading liquidity. Once ATH breaks with acceptance, new all-time highs become the base case, not the exception. The biggest moves come after patience — not prediction. Stay aligned with structure, and let the breakout pay you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
2
Chumtrades XAUUSD Trading PlanMarket Context During Friday’s session, after the previous range breakout, the market saw strong profit-taking pressure from buyers. Large capital exits triggered a sharp sell-off of ~96 prices, while the 426X base zone supported price very well. Overall structure remains bullish. Session Expectation Price is likely to move in a sideways range, with the upper–lower boundary around 423X – 428X (personal expectation). Key Support Zones • 4280 – 4282 • 4264 – 4266 • 4255 – 4257 • Deeper support: 424X Key Resistance Zones • 4330 – 4336 • 4347 – 4351 (±4353) Good day, traders
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Chum_trades
1
Gold at a Critical Crossroad — One Last Push Before the Trap?MARKET BRIEFING – GOLD (XAU/USD) | 1D Market Structure: Gold remains in a rising structure, respecting the ascending trendline. However, price is now approaching a major resistance zone, where selling pressure has previously stepped in aggressively. Key Levels to Watch: – Resistance Zone: 4,380 – 4,420 – Intermediate Support: 4,225 / 4,136 – Major Support Zone: 3,900 – 3,950 Price Action Read: – As long as price holds above the rising trendline, bulls still have control. – A final push into resistance is possible, but momentum is weakening near the highs. – Failure to break and hold above resistance could trigger a sharp pullback toward the 4,000 handle and deeper into the support zone. Bias: ➡️ Short-term: Cautious bullish into resistance ➡️ Medium-term: Watch for rejection → corrective move likely Trader Focus: This is decision time — either a clean breakout with acceptance above resistance, or a liquidity sweep followed by a downside rotation. Patience > prediction
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Gold_Dominator
4
ETH Is Not Recovering — It’s ReloadingETHEREUM (ETH/USD) — 1H MARKET ANALYSIS Trend Continuation Setup | Macro-Aligned 1. Market Structure Overview ETH has completed a sharp bearish impulse and is now stabilizing above the 3,050–3,070 demand base. The recent rebound shows acceptance back into value, forming a short-term higher low on the 1H. Structure is transitioning from sell-off to accumulation-within-range, not a full reversal yet, but conditions favor continuation. 2. Key Levels & Liquidity Primary Demand: 3,050–3,070 (defended multiple times; liquidity already swept). Mid-Range Acceptance: ~3,135 (current balance point). Targets (Liquidity Above): Target 1: 3,190 Target 2: 3,225 Target 3: 3,260 These targets align with prior intraday highs and resting buy-side liquidity. 3. Macro Context (1H Bias) Macro conditions remain supportive but cautious. With rate-cut expectations still alive and no immediate risk-off catalyst in the session, ETH tends to outperform during stabilization phases after aggressive sell-offs. Short-term flows favor mean reversion higher as risk appetite returns incrementally. 4. Intraday Scenarios Primary Scenario (Bullish Continuation): Shallow pullback into 3,105–3,115, followed by bullish continuation. Break and hold above 3,150 opens the path to 3,190 → 3,225 → 3,260. Invalidation / Risk Scenario: Acceptance below 3,050 on a 1H close invalidates the setup and reopens downside toward 3,000 psychological support. 5. Trading Guidance Favor buy the dip setups near demand; avoid chasing mid-range. Use confirmation on pullbacks (rejection wicks / bullish closes). Manage risk tightly; volatility expansion is likely once liquidity above is targeted. Discipline beats prediction — wait for structure, trade the confirmation, and let liquidity do the work.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
1
Gold Continues Its Upward TrendHello everyone — let’s take a look at today’s gold price. At the start of the new week, gold continues to extend its bullish streak, currently trading around USD 4,326. The precious metal remains strong amid expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates next year, and it is still on track to close the year with an increase of around 60%, marking its strongest annual gain since 1979. Regarding this week’s outlook, results from Kitco’s weekly gold price survey show that both investors and analysts continue to expect further upside. In the Wall Street survey, 13 analysts participated, with 85% believing that gold prices will continue to rise. Notably, none forecast a decline, while 15% expect prices to move sideways. Similarly, in the Main Street online survey, 237 investors took part. Among them, 71% anticipate gold advancing to new highs, 11% predict a decline, and the remaining 18% expect prices to consolidate. From a personal perspective, the chart structure remains clearly bullish, supported by solid demand zones. The immediate target is the USD 4,350 area , followed by the key psychological level at USD 4,400. I remain optimistic — how about you? Share your thoughts in the comments section.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade_and_Chill-
1
ETH Sharp Drop: Watching the Retracement Trap Zone📉 ETH Analysis – Breakdown, Retest Incoming ETH has broken down sharply from the previous consolidation block, confirming a bearish continuation structure. The price has dropped cleanly below the range and is now forming a temporary bounce from the 3,060–3,090 zone. Your chart highlights a potential retest zone around 3,220–3,250, aligned with: The bottom of the previous range The cloud resistance The breakdown retest zone A typical liquidity sweep level before continuation This suggests the market may produce a ** corrective pullback** toward that marked area before sellers step in again. --- 🔍 Key Points Trend: Bearish after breaking the ascending structure. Current Move: Relief bounce from oversold region. Main Target: Retest toward 3,220–3,250. Expectation: From that zone, ETH likely faces selling pressure and resumes downside. Invalidation: Break and hold above 3,260.
Long
by Sofia_Summer
1
GBPUSD: Market Pullback Before the Next Upside Expansion1. MARKET CONTEXT - GBPUSD has just completed a mild corrective pullback after a strong bullish leg, reflecting a healthy market reaction following the latest UK GDP release. - The GDP data came in stable and slightly better than expected, not spectacular but strong enough to ease recession fears. This creates a constructive environment for GBP not explosive, but certainly not bearish. 2. MACRO DRIVERS ✓ UK GDP Stability Supports GBP Yesterday’s GDP print showed steady growth, reinforcing the view that the UK economy is gradually improving. → This reduces downside pressure on GBP in the short term. ✓ BOE Expected to Hold Rates Higher for Longer With services inflation still sticky, the market is pricing in that the BOE will delay any rate cuts. → This acts as a tailwind for GBP during pullbacks. ✓ USD Softening as Markets Price Early Fed Cuts in 2025 Not aggressively bearish, but the USD is losing momentum as traders anticipate a shift toward Fed easing. → This opens the door for GBPUSD to resume its upside. 3. TECHNICAL STRUCTURE On the GBPUSD 1H chart, price is forming a clean corrective pullback into the 1.3375 – 1.3380 support zone. Key technical signals: - Price is building a Higher Low after the pullback → bullish continuation structure - Long lower wicks → declining sell pressure - The 1.3375 support has been retested multiple times → strong demand - The ascending trendline remains intact → uptrend not broken → The structure currently shows accumulation before upward breakout. 4. TRADE IDEA / PRICE EXPECTATION As long as price holds above 1.3375, the bullish continuation setup remains valid. Upside targets (matching your chart): TP1: 1.34156 TP2: 1.34379 TP3: 1.34716 Expected behavior: ✔ Minor pullback ✔ Sideways accumulation ✔ Bullish leg toward TP1 → TP2 → TP3 5. MARKET SENTIMENT & OUTLOOK With supportive GDP data, BOE’s higher-for-longer stance, mild USD weakness, and a clean bullish structure on the chart: → Short-term Trend: Sideways → Support → Bullish Continuation → Directional Bias: Upside toward all 3 targets
Long
by Matthew_TradeRFX
2
Bitcoin Is Trapped — But Not WeakMarket State: – Bitcoin is trading inside a defined sideways structure, bounded by a strong support zone near 87,500–88,000 and a heavy resistance band around 90,500–91,000. – The sharp sell-off into support was immediately absorbed, followed by a rebound — confirming buyers are defending the range, not abandoning it. Key Levels: – Strong Support: 87,500 – 88,000 – Range Mid / Balance: ~89,000 – Strong Resistance: 90,500 – 91,000 – Breakout Trigger: Acceptance above 91,000 Price Action Read: – Repeated rejections at resistance and higher lows from support signal range compression. – This is not trend continuation yet — it is market indecision resolved through time, not price. NEXT MOVE SCENARIOS ➡️ Primary Scenario – Range Continuation – Price oscillates between support and resistance. – Buy reactions near 87,500–88,000, fade moves into 90,500–91,000. ➡️ Breakout Scenario (Macro-Driven) – A decisive break and acceptance above 91,000 requires: • Dovish Fed repricing • USD weakness • Broader risk-on rotation – Only then does upside expansion become sustainable. ❌ Invalidation: – A clean breakdown below 87,500 would shift bias to deeper corrective price discovery.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
Gold Breaks the Triangle - Liquidity Targets Now in Sight📌 MACRO ANALYSIS REPORT — GOLD BREAKS THE TRIANGLE, BULLISH MOMENTUM ACCELERATES 1. Global Macro Environment - Gold is navigating a highly supportive macro landscape as global financial conditions continue shifting toward lower yields, softer inflation, and rising risk-hedging flows. The U.S. economy has shown signs of gradual cooling most recently reflected in moderating labor data and softer inflation prints reducing pressure on the Federal Reserve to maintain restrictive policy. These developments keep real yields capped, which historically strengthens gold’s demand profile. - In addition, rising geopolitical uncertainty and fragile sovereign debt dynamics in multiple regions (Europe, Middle East, parts of Asia) are reinforcing the global bid for safe-haven assets. Central banks especially in emerging markets have continued accumulating physical gold as part of long-term reserve diversification strategies. These macro forces combine to create a structural floor beneath gold prices. 2. U.S. Dollar & Treasury Dynamics - The dollar has struggled to maintain upside momentum as markets increasingly price in the likelihood of policy normalization in 2025. Although the USD remains broadly resilient, the loss of bullish follow-through has weakened its pressure on commodities, especially gold. - U.S. Treasury yields also remain near key cycle lows after a sharper than expected deceleration in inflation indicators. Lower yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding non yielding assets like gold, generating a more favorable environment for sustained upside movement. Combined with slowing global growth expectations, gold benefits from these yield/dollar dynamics aligning simultaneously. 3. Liquidity Conditions & Risk Sentiment - Global liquidity conditions have improved subtly as several major central banks shift from tightening to neutral stances. China continues to inject targeted liquidity to stabilize domestic financial markets and support manufacturing. The Bank of Japan maintains accommodative conditions, while the ECB signals caution amid slowing Eurozone demand. - Improved liquidity typically increases investors’ willingness to allocate capital toward alternative stores of value and inflation hedges—gold remains a primary beneficiary. Risk sentiment across global equities is stable but not euphoric, leaving investors open to diversifying into metals as a defensive balance. 4. Gold’s Structural Demand Beyond short-term macro drivers, the long-term structural demand for gold continues to intensify. - Central bank purchases remain near multi-year highs. - Retail demand is being reinforced by inflation concerns, currency instability in several emerging markets, and elevated geopolitical risk. - Institutional allocation into commodity baskets is increasing after years of underweight positioning. This sustained structural demand provides a strong macro foundation supporting gold’s technical breakout. 5. Technical Confirmation Backed by Macro - The chart shows a clear symmetrical triangle consolidation, a pattern typically appearing during periods of macro uncertainty. The strong breakout confirms that institutional flows are aligned with the broader macro narrative of falling yields and rising demand for safe haven exposure. The current ascending leg reflects: - Strong trend continuation - Aggressive dip buying - Absence of major supply zones until 4365–4370 liquidity This aligns perfectly with the global macro backdrop favoring further upside movement. 6. Forward-Looking Macro Risks While the outlook is constructive, a few key risks warrant monitoring: - A surprise rebound in U.S. inflation could revive dollar strength - Any aggressive Fed communication could temporarily suppress gold’s momentum - Rapid easing in geopolitical tensions could reduce haven flows However, none of these risks have materialized convincingly, allowing gold to maintain its bullish structure. 📈 Final Outlook Gold’s breakout is supported not only by technical strength but also by a robust macro foundation: softening yields, a stalling dollar, central bank buying, improving liquidity, and persistent geopolitical risk. As long as price maintains its higher-low structure and remains above channel support, the path toward the next major liquidity cluster at 4365–4370 remains firmly intact.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RexTraderSignal
8
Bitcoin Rejected at Supply1. MARKET CONTEXT Bitcoin on the 1H timeframe has just tapped into a clear resistance / supply zone, where previous bearish impulses originated. The reaction is identical: - Immediate slowdown - Loss of bullish momentum - Selling pressure absorbing every attempt to push higher This confirms the market is still range-bound, with liquidity building between supply above and demand below. 2 . TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The chart structure highlights: • Supply Zone Rejection Price entered the resistance zone and instantly stalled — showing strong sell orders waiting in that area. • Lower-Timeframe Shift The current candlestick sequence shows a micro shift from bullish impulse → correction → bearish intent. • Liquidity & Imbalance Below There is an unfilled region between current price and the demand zone, creating a clean path for the market to drop. • Demand Zone Waiting at 89,300 – 87,770 This is where previous strong buy orders originated, making it the most logical target for the next bearish leg. Overall, the structure favors a continuation downwards after a small corrective pullback. 3. TRADE IDEA Bias: Short from the Supply Zone The entry is positioned inside the resistance zone, aligning with institutional sell reaction. Expected Price Behavior: Minor bullish correction Bearish continuation Price targets the Demand Zone at 89,300 – 87,770 Trade Structure Shown on Chart: Stop Loss: Above the supply zone Entry: At resistance rejection Take Profit: Demand zone below This setup follows clean smart-money flow from supply → demand, with no structural break supporting a bullish reversal yet.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RexTraderSignal
Gold Just Paused at a Strange Level What is Coming Nex🔹 MARKET BRIEFING – XAU/USD (1H) Market State: – Price has broken out of the short-term consolidation, followed by a clean retest structure forming right at the breakout zone a classic continuation signal. Key Levels from Chart: – Entry Zone: around the retest area just above 4280–4286 – Stop Loss: 4262 – 4264 – Take Profit 1: 4317 – Take Profit 2: 4381 Next Move: – As long as price holds above the SL zone and respects the breakout retest structure, XAU/USD is positioned for a continuation leg toward 4317, with potential extension toward 4381.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
XAUUSD 30M: Bullish Structure Meets Major Reversal ZonesGOLD (XAUUSD) – 30 Minute Chart Detailed Analysis This 30-minute XAUUSD chart shows a strong bullish structure with clear smart-money behavior, corrective moves, and an approaching decision zone where price is likely to react sharply. Market Structure & Trend Context Gold is currently trading in a higher high – higher low structure, confirming that buyers are in control on the intraday timeframe. The impulsive bullish leg on the left side of the chart shows strong momentum, followed by a deep corrective move. That correction was not random — it respected key technical levels and formed the base for the next bullish continuation. After the sharp sell-off, price performed a clean retest of demand, labeled as Retesting, where selling pressure was absorbed and buyers stepped back in aggressively. From that zone, price resumed its bullish move with steady candles, showing healthy trend continuation rather than weak or choppy price action. Impulse, Correction & Continuation The marked vertical move highlights a strong impulsive rally, followed by a proportional pullback (measured correction). This type of behavior usually indicates institutional participation rather than retail-driven noise. Once the retest was completed, price continued upward with controlled bullish candles, confirming that the previous resistance had flipped into support. This is a classic bullish continuation setup. Current Price Behavior (Rising Wedge / Flag) At the current level, price is consolidating in a tight bullish flag / rising wedge structure near the highs. This tells us two important things: Buyers are still present, but momentum is temporarily slowing. Price is approaching a reaction zone, not an immediate breakout level. Small-bodied candles and upper wicks indicate hesitation and potential profit-taking by short-term traders. Key Supply & Reversal Zones Above the current price, two clearly defined zones stand out: Reversal Zone 1: This is the first supply area where price is expected to react. A rejection here could lead to a healthy pullback toward the previous structure low or the highlighted demand zone. Reversal Zone 2 (Volume Burst Area): This higher zone represents a strong liquidity and volume imbalance area. If price breaks above Zone 1 with strength, this area becomes the next bullish target. However, aggressive selling pressure is expected here, making it a high-probability reversal or deep correction zone. Possible Scenarios Bullish Scenario: If price breaks and holds above the current consolidation with strong candles, continuation toward Reversal Zone 1 is likely, followed by an extension into Reversal Zone 2 if volume supports the move. Bearish / Pullback Scenario: Rejection from the current structure or from Reversal Zone 1 could trigger a pullback toward the marked support area (green circle), providing a potential higher-low formation within the overall uptrend. Trading Insight This chart favors a buy-the-dip mindset rather than chasing price at highs. Patience is key near these supply zones. Smart traders will wait for either: A clean breakout with confirmation, or A controlled pullback into demand for higher-probability entries. Conclusion Overall, XAUUSD remains bullish on the 30-minute timeframe, but price is currently at a sensitive area where reactions are expected. The next move will likely be decisive, either expanding toward the upper volume zone or correcting to rebalance before another push higher.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold Price Movement Forecast (XAU/USD - M30)The overall trend in the short term remains bullish due to the price finding strong support at the VAH (4,254.130) and successfully breaking through recent resistance levels. 1. Continuation of Uptrend Scenario (Preferred Scenario) This is the most likely scenario based on the current momentum. Condition: The price needs to hold firmly above the upward trendline and the nearest static support level of 4,302.985 - 4,304.870. Movement: If buying pressure is maintained, the price will consolidate around the current region (4,344.220) and continue to push higher. Target: The next upside target will be the potential peak projected on the chart, around 4,389.422 and possibly the 4,400 area thereafter. Result: The uptrend is confirmed and extended. 2. Healthy Correction Scenario (Buying Opportunity) The price needs a "rest" after a strong rally to seek liquidity and consolidate. Condition: Profit-taking pressure emerges, but selling pressure is not strong enough to break the bullish structure. Movement: The price may experience a slight pullback to test the dynamic upward trendline or the static support zone 4,302.985 - 4,304.870. Key Point: If the price approaches these support levels and shows rejection signals (such as a pin bar or bullish engulfing candle), it will be a potential opportunity for traders to enter long positions in line with the main trend. Result: After completing the correction, the price is expected to resume its rise according to Scenario 1. 3. Reversal/Downturn Scenario (Risk Scenario) This scenario would invalidate the current uptrend. Condition: A major negative news event or strong selling pressure occurs, causing the price to decisively break and close below 4,302.985 and the upward trendline. Movement: If the above condition occurs, the price will quickly slide to test the extremely important structural support level: VAH 4,254.130. Warning: A break and close below VAH 4,254.130 would be the strongest signal that the short-term uptrend has ended and may shift towards a downtrend or a larger consolidation phase. In summary, the bullish momentum remains dominant. Traders should focus on looking for buy signals at key support areas, especially if the price corrects to the trendline or the 4,302.985 level.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Geka_Trader
“ETH Is Repeating the Same Trap — Range First, Direction LaterMARKET BRIEFING – ETH/USD (4H) Market State: – Ethereum remains in a range-bound structure, repeatedly forming distribution-like consolidations after short impulsive moves. – Each highlighted box shows the same behavior: push up → choppy consolidation → downside rotation. Current price action is aligning with that same rhythm. Key Levels: – Range Mid / Balance: ~3,120 – 3,150 – Upper Supply Reaction Zone: ~3,300 – 3,450 – Lower Demand / Rotation Target: ~3,000 – 3,050 – Breakout Invalidation: Clean acceptance above ~3,450 Price Action Read: – The market is not trending it is cycling liquidity inside a broad range. – Failed follow-through after bullish pushes signals seller absorption at higher prices. – Current consolidation suggests another rotation phase, not immediate continuation. Next Move: – Sideways to slightly bearish rotation remains favored while below the upper supply zone. – A sweep toward the lower range (~3,000–3,050) is a high-probability magnet. – Only a strong break and acceptance above 3,450 would invalidate the range-play and shift bias bullish. ETH is not breaking out it’s repeating structure. Until price escapes the range with acceptance, rotation beats prediction.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Matthew_TradeRFX
Gold Is Compressing for a Break, Macro Forces Are Lining UpMARKET BRIEFING – XAU/USD (4H) Market State: – Gold is consolidating bullishly below the previous ATH at 4,380, maintaining higher lows. This price behavior aligns with a market that is absorbing supply, not distributing. MACRO CONTEXT – WHY THE UPSIDE CASE IS STRONG 1. Fed Policy: Tightening Is No Longer the Driver – The Fed has shifted from aggressive tightening to a data-dependent, hold-biased stance. – Rate expectations are capped → real yields struggle to push higher, removing downside pressure on gold. – Markets are already pricing future easing cycles, which structurally favors precious metals. 2. USD Weakness Is Structural, Not Temporary – The U.S. Dollar has failed to extend upside despite elevated rates a classic late-cycle signal. – Any USD bounce remains corrective while macro flows rotate toward hard assets and inflation hedges. 3. Global Risk & Geopolitics Remain Unresolved – Ongoing geopolitical instability and fiscal uncertainty continue to support safe-haven demand. – Central banks remain net buyers of gold, reinforcing long-term accumulation beneath price. 4. Liquidity Environment Favors Asset Inflation – Global liquidity conditions are stabilizing after prolonged tightening. – Gold historically performs best during liquidity inflection phases, especially when rates peak. TECHNICALS + MACRO ALIGNMENT Key Levels: – Resistance / Decision Zone: 4,360 – 4,380 – Support Holding Structure: 4,300 – 4,320 – Structural Base: ~4,250 – Macro Expansion Target: 4,450 → 4,500 Price Action: – Bullish consolidation under ATH = smart money absorption. – Macro backdrop removes the conditions required for a sustained breakdown. – Technical compression + macro tailwinds = high-probability expansion setup. Next Move (High-Confidence Scenario): – Acceptance above 4,380 triggers range expansion toward 4,450–4,500. – As long as price holds above 4,300, pullbacks are continuation opportunities, not reversal signals. Gold is not just technically strong — macro conditions are validating the breakout thesis. This is not speculation; it is structure + policy + liquidity moving in the same direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
EURUSD Rises as the USD Faces HeadwindsHello everyone — let’s discuss FX:EURUSD . At the start of the new week, EURUSD is trading relatively steady, showing little change from the previous session while maintaining its bullish momentum around the 1.173 area. The U.S. dollar (USD) has weakened following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s recent monetary policy decision, which is currently providing a favorable backdrop for the pair’s recovery. From a technical perspective, buyers remain in control. The pair is forming a wedge pattern and is undergoing a healthy correction after the previous strong rally. The first key support lies at 1.172, followed by 1.168. As long as these levels hold, the path of least resistance for EURUSD in the short term remains to the upside. Upside targets are seen at 1.175 and 1.180. What’s your view on the outlook for this pair? Feel free to share your thoughts.
Long
by Trade_and_Chill-
1
EUR/USD Weekly: Structural Shift; Long-Term Bearish TrendSummary: OANDA:EURUSD EUR/USD has transitioned from a bullish to a bearish structure on the weekly timeframe, indicating a potential long-term reversal. Over the past 168 days, price action confirmed a market structure shift after breaking the swing low established during the week of June 30, 2025. This breach marked the beginning of a bearish phase. Key Technical Observations: Bearish Pin Bar Confirmation: During the week of September 15, 2025, a textbook bearish pin bar formed, invalidating prior buying orders and reinforcing bearish sentiment. Resistance Zone & Accumulation Phases: Strong resistance persists between 1.17774 – 1.18299, acting as the primary accumulation zone following the initial phase from July 28 to September 29, 2025. Current price action suggests we are in Phase Two of the buying climax, targeting this resistance before a potential rollover. Lower Highs & Lower Lows: The market continues to print lower highs and lower lows. The bearish mother bar from July 28, 2025 remains dominant, with multiple inside bars failing to break its high—evidence of sustained bearish pressure. Liquidity & Institutional Activity: The 1.1299 level is a critical liquidity pool and may see a third test. Volume Price Analysis indicates repeated invalid buying attempts on up legs, likely driven by institutional positioning to absorb retail buy-side liquidity. Recent upticks appear to be profit-taking and repositioning rather than genuine bullish momentum. Outlook: Expect EUR/USD to remain under bearish pressure, with a potential rollover during the first 5–7 months of 2026. Unless the key resistance zone is decisively breached, the structural bias favors sellers. Charting Primary Trend: Bearish Key Resistance: 1.17774 – 1.18299 Critical Support / Liquidity Zone: 1.13900
Short
by ThePipAssassin
Bitcoin Repeats a Familiar Pattern - NEXTZone Is Already Defined🔹 MARKET BRIEFING – BTC/USD (1H) Market State: – Bitcoin is once again trading inside a repeating range structure, similar to the previous consolidation phases marked (1 → 3). – Price has just rebounded from the lower demand area and is now holding above short-term support, while still trading below the key moving averages, keeping the broader structure neutral-to-corrective. Key Technical Levels: – Demand / Base Zone: 87,800 – 88,600 – Mid-Range Reaction Level: 90,000 – 90,300 – Major Resistance / Supply Zone: 93,000 – 93,500 – The projected move toward zone (4) aligns with prior range highs and unfilled liquidity. 🌍 Macro Context – Why This Remains a Range, Not a Breakout – Federal Reserve: Policy expectations remain stable with no immediate liquidity expansion signal. This limits impulsive upside in risk assets. – Liquidity Conditions: The recent downside move cleared leveraged longs, enabling a technical rebound, but macro liquidity is not supportive of trend continuation yet. – Risk Sentiment: Broader markets continue to show consolidation behavior, reinforcing mean-reversion rather than directional conviction. Next Move: – A controlled push toward 90,000–90,300 is likely as part of a corrective recovery. – Extension toward the 93,000–93,500 resistance zone is possible, but this area is expected to act as a decision point, not an automatic breakout. – Only acceptance above 93,500 would invalidate the range-based thesis and shift the bias toward trend continuation. Bottom Line: – Bitcoin is following a structured, repeating range pattern, not randomness. – Until macro conditions shift, rallies should be viewed as range extensions into resistance, not confirmed trend reversals.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
Gold Compresses in a Range - The Breakout Will Not Be Random🔹 MARKET BRIEFING – XAU/USD (1H) Market State: – Price is moving sideways after a strong impulsive rally, forming a clear range structure between a well-defined support zone and a resistance zone. – The current price action shows controlled consolidation, not distribution, indicating the market is waiting for a catalyst rather than reversing. Key Technical Structure: – Support Zone: ~4255–4265 – Resistance Zone: ~4345–4360 – Price is respecting both boundaries, creating higher lows into resistance — a classic compression before expansion setup. Market Bias: – Neutral to bullish while price holds above the support zone. – The sideways movement reflects absorption, not selling pressure. 🌍 Macro Context – Why Gold Is Ranging – Federal Reserve: Markets are pricing in a wait-and-see stance from the Fed. Rate expectations are stable, limiting directional momentum in USD. – US Yields: Bond yields have stalled after the recent move, removing immediate pressure on gold. – Risk Sentiment: Equity markets remain mixed, keeping gold supported but not aggressive. → This macro balance explains the range-bound behavior seen on the chart. Next Move: – As long as price continues to hold above the support zone, the structure favors an upside breakout. – A clean break and acceptance above the resistance zone would likely trigger a continuation leg toward higher liquidity targets. – Failure to hold the support zone would invalidate the bullish structure and shift focus back to deeper demand levels. Bottom Line: – Gold is not weak it is waiting. – The current sideways phase is a preparation zone, and the breakout direction will align with the next macro impulse rather than random price noise.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Gold_Dominator
1