AUDUSD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
AUDUSD exchange rate in the forex window =0.65447
since April 2025 demand rally floor of 0.59165 Australian dollar demand owing to commodities demand globally broke the key resistance roof at 0.63740-0.63642,if GOLD /silver continues to rise AUD one more break of structure could touch 0.7000 level.
AU10Y=4.338%
RBA RATE =3.60%
US10Y=4.081%
FEDERAL FUND RATE = 3.75%-4.0%
INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL =0.15%-0.4% FAVOUR USD BUT NEGLIGIBLE DUE TO NARROW SPREED
BOND YIELD DIFFERENTIAL= 0.257 FAVOUR AUD LONG
CARRY TRADE = FAVOUR AUD LONG
FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK.
HEAD OF RBA =MICHELE BULLOCK
HEAD OF FEDS =JEROME POWELL
RBA UPCOMING EVENTS ON 4TH NOVEMBER 2025
Cash Rate FORECAST 3.60% PREVIOUS 3.60%
RBA Monetary Policy Statement
RBA Rate Statement
RBA Press Conference
USD ECONOMIC DATA REPORT
4TH NOVERMBER
Tentative
JOLTS Job Openings FORECAST 7.21M PREVIOUS 7.23
5TH NOV
USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change 28K -32K
Final Services PMI 55.1 55.2
ISM Services PMI 50.8 50.0
Crude Oil Inventories -6.9M
#AUDUSD #AU10Y #US10Y #DOLLAR #DXY
Chart Patterns
DXY ShortsWe have entered a new month of trading which means new opportunities! May the month of November be a great month of trading for all.
For DXY, the overall high timeframe trend is bearish. The most current swing high has been indicated by a dashed line labelled 'Protected High'. For market to respect the high time frame downtrend, price should not break that high.
At the close of last week, price reached a supply zone at which price is likely to start the new downtrend. I will be looking for entry confirmations at the supply zone. There are two things to take into consideration once price respects the supply zone:
1. Price may have a corrective nature indicating another move up before the main sell off. If price moves this way, I will update the analysis and indicate the demand zone at which price may begin to buy from.
2. Price may be impulsive indicating major sell off as expected.
With either scenario, my perspective on DXY is still bearish. The only way I will change this view is if market impulsively breaks the protected high.
Kindly manage risk. Best Of Luck!
-TD
Gold vs Euro: Perfect Bullish Entry Opportunity! Swing Trade🎭 The Gold Heist: XAU/EUR Multi-Layer Entry Strategy | Swing/Day Trade Setup
📊 Asset Analysis
XAU/EUR (Gold vs. Euro) - The shiny metal vs. the continental currency
Bias: 🐂 BULLISH - Time to fill those bags!
Strategy Type: Thief's Layered Entry System (Multi-Limit Order Approach)
🎯 The Master Plan: "Thief Style" Multi-Layer Entry
💰 Entry Zones - The Layering Game
This setup uses a layered entry strategy (aka "Thief Style") with multiple limit orders spread across key price levels. Think of it as setting multiple traps to catch the golden opportunity!
Suggested Layer Entry Points:
🥇 Layer 1: 3425.00
🥈 Layer 2: 3450.00
🥉 Layer 3: 3475.00
💎 Layer 4: 3500.00
Pro Tip: You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and account size. Scale in, don't go all-in on one price level!
Alternative: If layering isn't your style, you can enter at any current price level based on your own analysis and conviction.
🛡️ Risk Management
🚨 Stop Loss: 3400.00
This is the "Thief's Emergency Exit" - if price breaches this level, the heist didn't go as planned.
⚠️ Important Notice: Dear Traders (Thief OG's),
This stop loss level is based on my analysis. However, YOU are the captain of your own ship! Set your SL based on your risk tolerance, account size, and trading plan. Trade at your own risk and always protect your capital first.
🎯 Target Zone: The Escape Route
💵 Take Profit: 3625.00
There's a "police barricade" (strong resistance zone) around this level where:
🚧 Strong resistance cluster
📈 Potential overbought conditions
Bull trap risk increases
Smart Money Move: Consider scaling out profits as you approach this zone.
⚠️ Important Notice: Dear Traders (Thief OG's),
This target is my projection based on technical levels. YOU decide when to take profits! Some prefer to lock gains early, others ride trends longer. Make decisions that align with YOUR trading plan and risk management rules.
🔗 Related Pairs to Monitor
Keep an eye on these correlated markets for confluence:
EUR/USD - Inverse correlation; Euro strength impacts XAU/EUR directly
DXY (US Dollar Index) - Gold's traditional nemesis; watch for divergences
XAU/USD (Gold/Dollar) - The big brother pair; shows overall gold strength
GC Futures (Gold Futures) - Institutional positioning and volume analysis
XAG/EUR (Silver/Euro) - Precious metals correlation check
Key Correlation Point: If EUR/USD strengthens significantly, it could compress XAU/EUR gains. Watch for Euro zone economic data and ECB policy shifts.
📈 Technical Synopsis
This setup combines multi-timeframe analysis with a strategic layered entry approach. The bullish bias is based on . The layered entry strategy allows for better average price positioning while managing downside risk with a clearly defined stop loss.
The target zone represents a key resistance cluster where profit-taking is recommended as price action may face rejection or consolidation.
⚖️ Disclaimer
This is a "Thief Style" trading strategy shared purely for educational and entertainment purposes. This analysis represents one trader's view and should NOT be considered financial advice.
✅ Always do your own research (DYOR)
✅ Never risk more than you can afford to lose
✅ Past performance doesn't guarantee future results
✅ Cryptocurrency and commodity markets are highly volatile
✅ Consider consulting a licensed financial advisor
Trading involves substantial risk of loss. You are solely responsible for your trading decisions.
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#XAUEUR #GoldTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ForexTrading #ThiefStrategy #LayeredEntry #GoldVsEuro #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #RiskManagement #CryptoTrading #PreciousMetals #BullishSetup #TradingIdeas #ForexSignals #GoldAnalysis #MultiLayerEntry #SwingTrade
GBPUSD LongFor GBPUSD, I am looking for buy setups. At the close of last week, price cleared sell side liquidity. At current price level, most liquidity has been taken. With that in mind, price could be ready to give some bullish momentum. I have indicated a demand zone. Ultimately, I would like to see price trade above the demand zone then give some kind of retest. This would be a good indication to enter the buy trade.
If price decides to trade a little lower, I will consider that as additional liquidity sweeps. My outlook on this only changes if market drops sharply. In this case, this idea will be updated for new entries.
Kindly manage risk. Best Of Luck!
-TD
$PUMP (12-HOUR): STUCK between 200 MA & the GOLDEN POCKETNYSE:PUMP looks much better than most coins, and on-chain data still acts as #hopium .
It just had an incredible 60%+ up rally from 34 to roughly 55c recently, followed by a retracement to a GOLDEN POCKET (41.5c).
These last two moves could have been WAVE 1 & 2. The price action has been finding support above the 200 MA + 0.5 fib.
There could be a bigger move in store next — either to the DOWNSIDE, in order to sweep LIQUIDITY down to $0.00387 (fib 0.786 - must HOLD level), or to the UPSIDE, but the GOLDEN POCKET will act as resistance up to $0.00502.
Possible LONGS if the GOLDEN POCKET gets retested as SUPPORT again. BEARISH MACD CROSSOVER, early stage, so definitely no entry for me yet.
Liquidity sweep below $0.004 followed by a strong reclaim of the 200 MA — this is the perfect scenario.
Not a hopeless chart, this #pump unlike some other coins.
💙👽
NZD/USD BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
Hello, Friends!
NZD/USD pair is trading in a local downtrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 4H timeframe the pair is going down too. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 0.575 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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SELLStructure Summary
Downtrend channel / wedge: Price is moving inside a narrowing structure — lower highs and lower lows.
You’ve projected one more drop to sweep the lower liquidity zones before a major bullish breakout.
The final arrow up represents a macro reversal, likely toward prior highs once the wedge breaks.
🔍 Technical Interpretation
This projection aligns with a liquidity grab / fakeout setup:
Bearish continuation phase → gold dips into deeper supports (e.g. 4030–4000 area).
Liquidity sweep below wedge → where big buyers accumulate.
Bullish reversal breakout → price explodes upward, breaking above the wedge resistance line.
📉 Short-Term Bias (Next 12–24 hrs)
Expect another leg down while staying below 4075 resistance.
Possible drop targets:
4050 (minor)
4035–4005 (major demand zone — likely bounce area).
📈 Mid-Term Bias (Next 1–3 days)
If the wedge pattern completes and you get a bullish engulfing or strong impulsive candle off the lower blue support zone → that’s your reversal confirmation.
Then the upside target would be roughly:
4120,
4150,
or even 4200+ if momentum holds.
⚙️ Trade Plan Idea (based on your diagram)
Bias Entry Zone Confirmation Targets Stop Loss
Sell (short-term) 4070–4075 Rejection candle / failure to break wedge top 4035–4005 Above 4085
Buy (swing) 4035–4005 Bullish engulfing / break above wedge 4120 → 4150 → 4200 Below 4000
✅ In summary:
Your chart structure is spot-on — it looks like gold may dip one more time to trap late sellers, then reverse hard upward once that wedge pattern plays out.
us30Dow Jones on the 4H timeframe is moving in a downtrend in my view. Based on the data on the chart, it’s time for a correction. The price may rise to the highlighted area 1 hour timeframe before continuing the corrective targets shown on the chart, or it may complete the correction around the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. It’s unlikely to rise beyond that level."
$MOG – Should Hold the Line at 0.40BYBIT:MOGUSDT surges 11.71%, just ran cleanly intraday — topping 0.63 before cooling off to 0.45. The local support that it needs to hold now is 0.40
The spike is fueled by bullish technicals, a burst in derivatives activity, and renewed social buzz.
Technical Outlook:
On the lower timeframe, we want to see 0.40 hold — if it does, price could retrace and fill half of its upwick toward 0.50
On the higher timeframe, a strong double bottom is forming, and with CRYPTOCAP:ETH maintaining its key structure, the setup is quietly aligning for a potential move higher.
However, a break below 0.40 opens the door for a retest of 0.20s, filling its downwick — and if momentum fades further, we could even see a deviation toward 0.14 before any real recovery.
Scalp Short – TON💎 Scalp Short – TON
RSI is weakening and entering the overbought zone, while price has broken below key support, signaling potential downside continuation.
🎯 Plan:
→ Enter after confirmation of breakdown retest.
→ TP: 2.148 | SL: 2.36 | RR: 1 : 2.85
Momentum favors the short side.
Keep entries precise, trail SL as price moves lower.
Stay disciplined — execute only after clear confirmation.
$AR looking solid on the 4H chart After a major pullback, NYSE:AR has made a strong comeback — forming a bullish setup while building solid support around the $4 zone.If hold above $4.2, we could see a strong upside move next! 🚀
🎯 Targets: $4.5 – $4.7 – $5.0
🔸 Support: $4.00 and $3.75
🔸 Resistance: $4.60 and $4.85
📊 Trend: Bullish momentum building up
US Dollar Index (DXY) – 4H Technical OutlookUS Dollar Index (DXY) – 4H Technical Outlook
DXY has shown a clean bullish structure shift, breaking above previous highs and confirming multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) around the 99.00–99.20 zone.
Currently, price is trading at 99.33, inside the premium zone, and testing the weak high area near 99.40–99.60.
📊 Market Structure:
The structure has turned bullish after a confirmed Change of Character (CHoCH) and a clean BOS above 98.80.
The equilibrium zone (98.40–98.60) previously acted as strong demand and was respected multiple times.
Price is now in a premium range, suggesting potential for a short-term pullback before further continuation.
🎯 Key Levels:
Premium / Supply Zone: 99.40–99.60 (possible liquidity grab or rejection zone)
Equilibrium / Demand Zone: 98.40–98.60 (ideal re-entry zone for continuation buys)
PDH (Previous Day High): 99.40
PDL (Previous Day Low): 98.60
🧭 Trade Scenarios:
Scenario 1 – Short-term Rejection:
If DXY rejects the 99.40–99.60 supply area, expect temporary USD weakness.
This could cause pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD to bounce up short-term.
Scenario 2 – Continuation Buy:
If price pulls back into 98.60 equilibrium zone and forms bullish confirmation, expect continuation toward 99.80–100.00.
Supported by the 50 EMA (blue) and 200 EMA (yellow) dynamic trend alignment.
📈 Momentum Indicators:
RSI/Stochastic are both near overbought zones, indicating short-term exhaustion.
A minor retracement is likely before continuation of the bullish leg.
Summary:
The DXY remains structurally bullish but short-term overextended.
Look for a pullback toward equilibrium (98.60 zone) before the next impulse move.
This macro setup supports short-term pullbacks on USD pairs, but the broader trend remains USD bullish
VIRTUALUSDT Forming Falling WedgeVIRTUALUSDT is displaying a promising bullish setup with the emergence of a falling wedge pattern, a classic reversal signal that often precedes a significant upward movement. This pattern indicates that the market’s selling pressure is fading, and buyers are gradually gaining control. Once a breakout occurs above the wedge resistance, it could trigger a strong bullish wave, potentially leading to a 90% to 100% gain. Traders are closely monitoring this setup, as the technical outlook suggests a solid opportunity for a sustained rally.
The volume for VIRTUALUSDT remains strong, reflecting growing market confidence and increasing investor participation. Such healthy trading activity adds weight to the possibility of a successful breakout, as volume confirmation is a key factor in validating bullish reversals. A spike in volume on the breakout could serve as a clear signal for momentum traders to enter, further accelerating price appreciation.
Investor sentiment around VIRTUALUSDT continues to improve as more participants recognize its potential upside from current levels. The alignment of technical strength, good liquidity, and improving interest suggests that this pair could outperform in the coming sessions. Traders keeping an eye on this coin may find it to be one of the more attractive short-to-medium-term setups on the market right now.
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ETH/USD Short Setup: Bearish Reversal Toward $3,830 TargetA short (sell) trade setup for Ethereum (ETH/USD).
The entry zone is around $3,870–$3,880.
The stop loss is set at $3,909.71, protecting against upside breakouts.
The target is $3,830.85, suggesting a downside move of about $40.
The price action and drawn arrow indicate expectations of a bearish move after a small consolidation
NZDUSD: Bearish Trend Continues! 🇺🇸🇳🇿
NZDUSD will most likely continue falling next week,
following a confirmed breakout of a support line of a bearish flag pattern
on a daily time frame.
I will expect a bearish continuation at least to 0.5685 level.
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GRTUSDT 1D#GRT is currently trading within a falling wedge pattern on the daily chart. In case of a breakout above the wedge resistance and the daily EMA100, the potential upside targets are:
🎯 $0.08050
🎯 $0.09355
🎯 $0.10410
🎯 $0.11465
🎯 $0.12967
🎯 $0.14880
⚠️ Always remember to use a tight stop-loss and maintain proper risk management.
XAUUSD 1H Analysis (3rd November 2025) ASIA/LONDONHey Guys, This is only my trade Ideas for Educational Purpose. Take it at your own risk.
BUY/SELL SCENARIOS:
BUYS:
1) Body Candle Close above the 3996.28 level.
2) Retest the failed 1h Bearish FVG at the 3996.28 level.
3) Create a 3/5m Bullish Engulfing Candle to capitalise on potential BUYS towards the 4046.50 level.
SELLS:
1) Retest the 1h Bearish FVG at the 3987.88 level.
2) Create a 3/5m Bearish CHOCH with a body candle close (with a FVG)
3) Retest the 3/5m Bearish CHOCH Level to capitalize on potential SELLS towards the 3915.00 level.






















