Gold (XAU/USD) Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold pulled back after printing a fresh all-time high near 4,550, as short-term traders locked in profits ahead of the year-end period. However, the broader structure remains bullish, and the current move appears to be a technical pullback rather than a trend reversal.
On the 1-hour chart, price is consolidating above the prior breakout zone, with the 4,480–4,460 area acting as a key demand zone. This region aligns with the previous consolidation base and the post-breakout retest structure.
As long as Gold continues to hold above the 4,480–4,470 support zone, the market structure favours a pullback-and-continue higher scenario. A decisive break below this area would weaken the bullish setup and delay further upside.
🎯 Trade Setup (Bullish Bias)
Entry Zone: 4,470 – 4,480
Stop Loss: 4,464
Take Profit 1: 4,531
Take Profit 2: 4,542
Estimated Risk-to-Reward: approx. 1 : 2.97
This bullish setup remains valid as long as price holds above 4,464 on an hourly closing basis.
🌐 Macro Background (Simplified)
Despite the short-term pullback, the medium-term macro backdrop remains supportive for Gold. Expectations that the Federal Reserve may continue cutting interest rates in 2026 keep real yields under pressure, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like Gold.
Year-end liquidity conditions are relatively thin, which tends to amplify profit-taking moves without necessarily changing the broader trend. Meanwhile, ongoing geopolitical uncertainties continue to provide an underlying bid for safe-haven assets.
In short:
👉 Short-term pullback driven by profit-taking, while medium-term fundamentals continue to favour higher prices.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: 4,531 / 4,542
Support Zone: 4,470 – 4,480
Bullish Invalidation: Hourly close below 4,464
📌 Trade Summary
Gold is consolidating after a record-breaking rally, with price holding above a critical support zone. As long as 4,470–4,480 remains intact, the structure supports a buy-the-dip strategy, targeting a move back toward 4,520 and the recent high near 4,550. A breakdown below support would invalidate the bullish continuation setup and signal deeper consolidation.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves risk; please manage position size and risk appropriately.
Chart Patterns
USDJPY Year End market outlookThe chart shows USD/JPY on a 4-hour timeframe with several key technical elements marked:
Liquidity Sweep (Bottom Left)
There was a liquidity sweep around early December, where price dipped below previous lows to capture sell-side liquidity before reversing upward. This often signals the end of a bearish move and the start of accumulation.
Change of Character (ChoCH)
Mid-December, the price broke above a previous structure, indicating a potential shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. This is a critical point suggesting trend reversal.
Break of Structure (BoS)
Recently, price broke above another key level, confirming bullish momentum. This BoS reinforces the idea that buyers are in control.
Current Price Action
Price is consolidating near 156.215, slightly above the marked demand zone (blue rectangle). This zone could act as a support for further bullish continuation.
Target Area – Buy Side Liquidity (157.786)
The chart highlights a buy-side liquidity pool near 157.786, which is likely the next target for price. This level represents where stop orders and liquidity are concentrated above previous highs.
Comment:
The market structure suggests a bullish bias. After the liquidity sweep and change of character, price has shown strength with a break of structure. If the demand zone holds, the next probable move is toward the buy-side liquidity at 157.786. Traders may look for long opportunities on pullbacks to the demand zone, with a target near the liquidity pool. However, watch for any rejection or failure to hold above 156.000, as that could invalidate the bullish scenario.
BTCUSDT – 4H | Chart Update. BTCUSDT – 4H | Chart Update.
BTC is compressing inside a symmetrical triangle (lower highs + higher lows). This is a classic volatility squeeze before expansion.
Strong buyer reaction seen multiple times near 85.8k – 84.6k (green circles)
Rising trendline support is still respected.
93.5k – 94k remains a heavy rejection area
Price needs a clean breakout to unlock upside
Price is trying to reclaim short-term MA
Sustained hold above trendline + MA = bullish confirmation
Above 89–90k → breakout attempt toward 93k+
Below 85.8k → deeper pullback toward 82.2k
This is a decision zone. Structure favors upside only after confirmation.
Small update • Big move loading
DYOR | NFA
GBPJPYWelcome to my channel.
This analysis is presented strictly for educational and informational purposes, focusing on price delivery, market structure, and liquidity behaviour as observed on the higher timeframe. No financial advice, trade recommendations, or performance claims are being made.
🔍 Market Structure Context
Price has recently delivered a clear bullish displacement, breaking prior internal structure with strong momentum. This impulsive move signals institutional participation, not retail noise. Such expansion phases typically occur after liquidity has been efficiently collected below recent lows.
Following the expansion, price is now operating in premium territory, suggesting that upside continuation or a corrective retracement is dependent on how price reacts around key institutional levels.
🧠 Demand & Imbalance Consideration
The highlighted demand zone represents the origin of the displacement — an area where buy-side imbalance previously entered the market with authority. From an institutional perspective, this zone is not a “buy signal,” but rather a reference point where price may rebalance if efficiency is sought.
Markets do not move in straight lines. If price revisits this zone, the reaction (or lack thereof) will provide critical information about order flow strength and continuation probability.
⚖️ Risk & Expectation Management
This chart does not predict the future. It outlines probabilities, not certainties.
Price may:
Continue expanding higher if demand remains unmitigated
Retrace into discounted levels to rebalance inefficiencies
Consolidate while institutions redistribute positions
Every scenario remains valid until price invalidates it.
If you value objective analysis, rule-based frameworks, and professional market commentary, you’re welcome to follow and engage.
Let price do the talking
The S&P 500 Index Trades Near Its All-Time HighThe S&P 500 Index Trades Near Its All-Time High
As indicated by the S&P 500 index chart:
→ After breaking above the resistance line (shown in red) in the third week of December, the equity market formed an upward trend, consistent with the typical characteristics of the Santa Claus Rally.
→ At the opening of trading in the final week of the year, the market is showing downward momentum. The index has slipped towards the 6,920 area, reflecting the sentiment of remaining market participants ahead of key news releases: the FOMC meeting minutes on 30 December and US labour market data on 31 December.
Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 Chart
Price action analysis points to a lack of conviction among bulls. After breaking above the 11 December high near the 6,934 level, further progress was limited, with the price failing to show signs of firm consolidation at record highs.
At the same time, bears became more active, as evidenced by the long upper shadow (marked by the arrow). Their pressure proved effective, resulting in a break below the median line of the ascending channel.
It cannot be ruled out that bearish momentum will continue, pushing the S&P 500 index down towards a support zone formed by:
→ the psychological 6,900 level and the 24 December low near 6,907;
→ the lower boundary of the Santa Claus Rally ascending channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
ETHUSD Is Bearish! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for ETHUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 2,959.86.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 2,876.23 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BTC Dominance (BTC.D) – Weekly Chart BTC Dominance (BTC.D) – Weekly Chart | Full Details (with 25MA and 100 MA)
BTC.D is trading within a long-term descending channel. After a strong recovery from the 2022 lows, the dominance is now stalling near the mid-range resistance (~59–60%).
25 MA: Tracks short-term momentum
BTC.D is hovering around/slightly below the 25 MA.
100 MA: The price is still above the 100 MA, meaning the overall BTC dominance trend has not yet broken down.
A break below the 100 MA would signal a significant shift towards altcoin strength.
This is a decision zone.
BTC dominance is not yet bearish, but the strength of the uptrend is weakening.
Keep a close eye on the MA — they will guide the next move.
DYOR | NFA
GBPNZD: Structure Intact, Buyers Defending Key SupportGBPNZD: Structure Intact, Buyers Defending Key Support
GBPNZD remains in a well-defined bullish pattern, and the recent pullback appears to be a correction rather than a trend reversal. However we have to be careful given that NZD was strong for no clear reason during this week.
Price is currently reacting near the lower boundary of the pattern, a key dynamic support area where buyers have previously stepped in. As long as this structure holds, the bullish bias remains valid.
A rebound from this zone could open the way for a continuation toward the upside, with the following upside targets:
2.3180
2.3225
2.3280
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
USDJPY H4 Pullback and Bullish Continuation Toward 157.7📝 Description
USDJPY on H4 is trading inside a bullish corrective leg after a strong impulse. Price has reacted cleanly from H4 BPR + FVG, holding above discount and showing signs of continuation rather than reversal. Structure remains bullish as long as price stays supported above the recent mitigation zone.
________________________________________
📈 Signal / Analysis
Primary Bias: Bullish continuation while above 156.00–156.10
Long Setup (Preferred):
• Entry (Buy): 156.3
• Stop Loss: Below 156
• TP1: 156.85
• TP2: 157.25
• TP3: 157.68 (HTF liquidity)
________________________________________
🎯 ICT & SMC Notes
• Strong bullish impulse followed by healthy pullback
• Price respecting H4 BPR + FVG confluence
• BSL resting above recent highs
• No bearish CHOCH on HTF
________________________________________
🧩 Summary
This looks like a classic pullback-for-continuation setup. As long as price holds above the mitigation zone, odds favor a push toward 157.2 and 157.7 liquidity. Shorts only make sense if structure breaks.
________________________________________
🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment
USDJPY remains sensitive to US yields and BOJ expectations. Any delay in BOJ tightening or strength in US data can fuel further upside, keeping the bullish continuation scenario intact.
________________________________________
⚠️ Risk Disclosure
Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
Gold Bullish Pullback – Buyers Reload ZoneGold (XAUUSD) is trading within a well-defined bullish market structure on the H1 timeframe. The price has consistently formed higher highs and higher lows, confirming strong buyer control. After the latest swing high, the market entered a corrective phase, which is a normal and healthy behavior in trending conditions.
This pullback has brought price back toward the previous structure support / last low area, a zone where buyers previously showed strength. The ascending trendline remains intact, showing that the overall trend has not been broken. As long as price holds above this support, the bullish bias stays valid.
The correction appears controlled rather than impulsive, suggesting profit-taking instead of aggressive selling. Such conditions often attract institutional and smart-money buyers looking to re-enter the trend at better prices.
If price stabilizes and shows bullish confirmation from this zone, it can trigger the next impulsive move to the upside, potentially breaking above the recent swing high and creating new highs. A clear break and hold below the last low would be the only sign of weakness; otherwise, the market structure continues to favor buyers.
Overall, this setup highlights trend strength, disciplined pullback, and high-probability continuation, making it an attractive scenario for bullish traders.
DOW THEORY – THE FOUNDATION OF TREND READING1. The Market Moves in Trends – Not Randomly
Price does not move randomly. What looks like chaos is simply organized collective behavior.
A trend exists only when price structure is respected:
Uptrend: Higher Highs & Higher Lows
Downtrend: Lower Highs & Lower Lows
As long as this structure remains intact, the trend is still valid, regardless of news, opinions, or emotions.
2. Every Trend Has Three Levels of Movement
Markets operate across multiple time layers simultaneously:
Primary Trend: The dominant direction (weeks to months)
Secondary Move: Corrections against the main trend
Minor Swings: Short-term noise
Most traders lose money because they trade against the primary trend, reacting emotionally to minor fluctuations and mistaking them for reversals.
3. The Three Psychological Phases of a Trend
A trend evolves through three distinct phases:
🔹 Accumulation
Smart money builds positions quietly
Sideways price action, low volatility
Minimal public interest
🔹 Participation
Trend becomes obvious
Breakouts occur
This is where most profits are made
🔹 Distribution
Late buyers enter emotionally
Volatility increases
Smart money exits
Understanding these phases helps traders avoid buying tops and selling bottoms.
4. Structure Is the Only Valid Trend Confirmation
A trend is not confirmed by indicators.
A trend is confirmed when:
- Price breaks structure in the trend direction
- Pullbacks respect previous swing levels
- Momentum continues after corrections
If structure is not broken, there is no reversal only a correction.
This is why predicting tops and bottoms is dangerous.
5. Volume Confirms Direction — Not Timing
Volume does not tell you when to enter — it tells you whether the move is real:
- Rising volume with the trend → confirmation
- Weak volume during pullbacks → healthy correction
- High volume against structure → warning sign
Price leads. Volume confirms.
HOW TO APPLY DOW THEORY IN REAL TRADING
A simple, repeatable framework:
1. Identify the dominant trend (HH/HL or LH/LL)
2. Wait for a correction, not a reversal
3. Enter only after structure resumes in trend direction
4. Place stop-loss where structure becomes invalid
5. Hold until the market changes structure
No prediction. No guessing.
Just reading what price is already telling you.
Gold Prices Face Pressure Amidst Hopes for Russia-Ukraine Peace Gold Prices Face Pressure Amidst Hopes for Russia-Ukraine Peace Talks; Technical Analysis Shows High-Level Consolidation – Where Does It Go From Here?
Fundamental Analysis: The Battle Between Peace Talk Progress and Safe-Haven Sentiment
The meeting between Trump and Zelenskyy released positive signals for the Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations. Although the two sides still have differences on territorial issues, the US and Ukraine have reached a "100% agreement" on security guarantees, and Trump plans to host a meeting of Ukrainian and European leaders next month to advance the peace talks. However, the Kremlin's opposition to a temporary ceasefire, coupled with Saturday's Russian missile strikes on Ukraine, indicates that military operations are still ongoing, and the path to peace remains fragile.
The geopolitical risk premium that gold gained from the Russia-Ukraine conflict is facing short-term downward pressure as peace talks progress. Currently, gold is trading around $4515/oz, slightly lower than the historical high of $4549.69, but overall it remains in a high-level consolidation pattern. The market remains wary of the uncertainty surrounding the implementation of the agreement, and safe-haven sentiment has not completely subsided, potentially limiting the downside potential for gold prices.
Technical Analysis and Trading Strategy
After perfectly taking profit on long positions at 4517 this morning, the midday pullback was indeed unexpected 😅! The pullback after the price surged and encountered resistance is a normal technical adjustment, but the significant retracement also indicates substantial selling pressure at higher levels. Currently, after breaking below the short-term support of 4495-4508, the price is in a consolidation phase.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: 4508-4515 (becomes resistance after a break)
Support Zone: 4445-4450 (previous platform support)
Key Level: 4522 (a break above this level would indicate a return to strength)
Personal Trading Preference:
Although the bullish trend hasn't fundamentally reversed, short-term momentum is weakening. I prefer a strategy of selling on rallies, as there is significant resistance near historical highs, and a direct breakout would require more positive catalysts. However, if the price retraces to key support levels, there are still opportunities to capitalize on rebounds, given the ongoing geopolitical risks that could potentially shake things out ⚔️!
Specific strategy reference:
Short position with light leverage in the 4508-4515 area, stop loss above 4522, target 4470-4485.
Long position in the 4445-4450 area, stop loss below 4437, target 4500-4510.
Friendly reminder: The market always seeks balance amidst fluctuations. Every statement regarding the Russia-Ukraine situation can trigger fluctuations in gold prices. Remember not to chase highs and lows, hold key levels, and strictly control your position size! Although the dawn of peace has appeared, the fading of geopolitical risk premium is destined to be tortuous. Gold still has the potential for upward movement in the medium term 🌟.
Follow me for daily accurate gold analysis and strategy reminders! Like and follow, and you won't get lost on your trading journey! 📈
XAU / USD 1 Hour Chart ( Looking For Potential Buy Position )Hello traders. Wow, gold filled the wick, as per my last analysis, and kept on movig down. I have marked my current area of interest for a potential BUY position. I am not saying it will happen, but many times Pre NY volume / NY open will correct the overnight move to take out any shorts in profit. So, if conditions are met, I will execute a quick scalp trade, and post it. IF we break and close below my area of interest on a 4 hour chart, this buy scalp idead is invalid. I will update / post another chart shortly. Big G gets my thanks. Be well and trade the trend.
RSRUSDT Forming Falling WedgeRSRUSDT is forming a clear falling wedge pattern, a classic bullish reversal signal that often indicates an upcoming breakout. The price has been consolidating within a narrowing range, suggesting that selling pressure is weakening while buyers are beginning to regain control. With consistent volume confirming accumulation at lower levels, the setup hints at a potential bullish breakout soon. The projected move could lead to an impressive gain of around 190% to 200% once the price breaks above the wedge resistance.
This falling wedge pattern is typically seen at the end of downtrends or corrective phases, and it represents a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. Traders closely watching RSRUSDT are noting the strengthening momentum as it nears a breakout zone. The good trading volume adds confidence to this pattern, showing that market participants are positioning early in anticipation of a reversal.
Investors’ growing interest in RSRUSDT reflects rising confidence in the project’s long-term fundamentals and current technical strength. If the breakout confirms with sustained volume, this could mark the start of a fresh bullish leg. Traders might find this a valuable setup for medium-term gains, especially as the wedge pattern completes and buying momentum accelerates.
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Potential bearish drop?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 58.10
1st Support: 53.34
1st Resistance: 62.14
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
ETHUSDT – 4H Chart Update. ETHUSDT – 4H Chart Update.
Structure: Price is compressing inside a descending wedge, trading near the lower trendline → selling pressure is weakening.
Price reclaimed the short-term 21MA and is testing the 100 MA area — a key decision zone.
Support: 2,900 – 2,880
Resistance: 3,080 – 3,120
Breakout Zone: 3,250 – 3,350+
Sideways grind near support + compression = energy building.
Wait for a clear 4H close above the descending trendline for continuation.
This is a confirmation zone, not a blind entry area.
DYOR | NFA
TRX TRON Technical Analysis and Trade Idea I’m currently watching TRX / TRON 👀💎.
We can clearly see bullish price action developing on both the Daily and 4H timeframes 📈🔥, which keeps TRX firmly on my radar for a potential buy setup.
That said, I’m not chasing price — I have specific conditions that need to be met ✅📊:
🔹 Scenario 1 – Pullback Entry
If price pulls back into a previous support zone from current levels 🔄📉, I’ll be looking for a bullish break of structure as confirmation before considering an entry 🚀📌.
🔹 Scenario 2 – Continuation Entry
If price continues higher from here 📈, I’ll want to see TRX create a higher high, followed by a healthy retracement back into the current level, which would then act as new support for a possible buy entry 🧠📍.
As always, patience is key — I let price come to me and confirm the bias 🔒📈
⚠️ Not financial advice. Trade responsibly and manage risk at all times.






















