Aiming to Go Long On Gold (XAUUSD)Market Structure and Bias (H1)
I am using the 1 hour timeframe, focusing on support and structure based analysis. Price has clearly created a demand block, which aligns with the bullish market structure. As shown on the chart, I have marked my order block within this demand zone, where I am anticipating a reaction.
We have been in a strong bullish move over the past few days into today, and the current price action looks like nothing more than a healthy pullback rather than a full reversal. Because of that, this setup is treated as a pending buy opportunity, waiting for price to tap into the zone and continue the bullish move.
Price is likely to either push back up to break above the previous high, or in some cases, continue upward without fully retracing into the zone. Overall, the bias remains bullish, and I am patiently waiting for confirmation to enter buys.
Chart Patterns
XAUUSD – Structural Strength Intact, 50% Weekly Magnet in PlayGold remains structurally bullish despite the recent intraday pullback from the 2025 high region. Price is consolidating above prior ascending channel support, and the broader market context strongly supports a high-probability rotation toward last week’s 50% candle level before the next directional expansion.
From a technical perspective, the impulsive rally left multiple inefficiencies below current price. Historically, gold has respected weekly 50% retracements during consolidative phases, particularly after aggressive upside displacement. The marked last week’s 50% zone aligns with prior channel support and internal structure, making it a logical liquidity draw and rebalancing area. Failure to immediately accept above the 2025 high increases the probability of this mean-reversion move.
From a macro standpoint, current market conditions reinforce this outlook. US yields remain elevated but range-bound, while the USD is struggling to gain sustained upside traction. Recent Federal Reserve commentary continues to emphasize a data-dependent stance, keeping rate-cut expectations alive for 2026. This environment supports gold structurally, but also encourages short-term corrective moves as positioning becomes crowded near highs. Additionally, ongoing geopolitical risks and central bank gold accumulation continue to underpin demand, limiting downside risk to corrective pullbacks rather than trend reversals.
Forecast & Trade Bias
• Primary scenario (High probability): Pullback toward last week’s 50% candle for support confirmation, followed by bullish continuation.
•Invalidation: Sustained acceptance below prior weekly structure would delay the bullishthesis.
•Bullish continuation target: Reclaim and acceptance above the 2025 high.
🔹Plan A – Primary Long Setup (High Probability)
Bias: Buy the dip (trend continuation)
Entry Zone:
Last week’s 50% candle area (confluence with prior ascending channel support and internal structure).
Execution Trigger (LTF):
1H / 15M bullish displacement, strong rejection wicks, or a break-and-retest of minor structure.
Stop Loss:
Below last week’s low / below the 50% zone invalidation.
Targets:
TP1: Recent consolidation high
TP2: 2025 high
TP3: Extension above 2025 high (trail remainder)
Risk Management:
Reduce risk at TP1, move stop to breakeven after confirmation.
🔹Plan B – Shallow Pullback Continuation
Bias: Momentum continuation if 50% is front-run
Entry Zone:
Higher low above current intraday support without tagging weekly 50%.
Execution Trigger:
Clean breakout and acceptance above intraday resistance with volume expansion.
Stop Loss:
Below the most recent higher low.
Targets:
Retest of 2025 high, then continuation expansion.
NIO Bullish ThesisNIO spent weeks building a base in that tight grey range around the lows. That’s what you want to see after a heavy downtrend: price stops trending, volatility compresses, sellers lose control.
Now you’ve got a clean breakout attempt from the base with a strong green candle pushing price back above the short-term moving averages (the fast lines). That matters because it’s the first sign the trend might be shifting from “sell rallies” to “buy dips.”
The other key detail is location: price is pushing up from a major support area (the thick long-term MA zone). When a stock bases on a long-term support and then reclaims short-term MAs, it often sets up a mean reversion move toward the next major supply zone.
So the bullish idea is simple:
Price is transitioning from downtrend → base → breakout, and if it holds above the breakout/base area, you can get a push into the next resistance levels.
Bull case triggers
Hold above the base breakout level (the top of that grey box)
Ideally: continue reclaiming the next thicker MA overhead (mid-term trend line)
Invalidation
Breakdown back into the base and especially a close under the base lows = bullish thesis weakens (it becomes a failed breakout)
First target: the next overhead MA / prior breakdown area (around the mid 6s zone)
Bigger target: the obvious supply zone near 7.8–8.0 (the shaded resistance area)
In plain English: this looks like a bottoming attempt. If it holds the base and keeps reclaiming moving averages, the next logical move is a grind higher into prior resistance, with a very clean risk level underneath.
LINK Mid‑Term 129% Potential Return After Major CorrectionBody:
In the mid term, this cryptocurrency has the potential to deliver a 129% return. The price has completed a 56% correction and has now reached a key long‑term annual level where previous resistance has turned into support.
We expect the price to consolidate with some negative ranging around this support zone before resuming its upward movement.
Mid‑Term Target:
$22
$UNI / Uniswap's $6.00 Is HoldingThe $6.00 weekly level seems to be holding for Uniswap nicely as a reclaim looks to potentially be forming.
We had a break of the downtrend most recently and the slow stochastic is extremely oversold as well. In addition to this, the current weekly candle is above the support point within the demand zone (green rectangle). We still have a lot of week left in the candle though but if we close still above these areas, I will add more to my BME:UNI position.
We shall see. (my prior buys are in the green labels)
Bearish drop off?AUD/JPY could rise towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 104.69
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 105.18
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level.
Take profit: 104.02
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support levle that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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BTCUSD: Will Start Growing! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the BTCUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up.
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USDJPY SHORT sell idea on 1H tf based upon 4H rangeUSDJPY remains in a well-defined H4 range.
Rejection from range resistance combined with a bearish ABCD projection favors a rotation toward range support.
This is a structure + location-based setup, not a momentum chase.
Waiting for bearish confirmation before execution.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always manage risk.
Double Top Reversal Signals End of Bullish MomentumPrice was in a strong bullish channel (uptrend), making higher highs and higher lows. A Double Top formed near the highs, signaling buyer exhaustion and a potential trend reversal.Price failed to hold above resistance and showed rejection near the top, aligning with the Ichimoku resistance / cloud reaction. After the double top, momentum weakens → bearish pullback / correction expected. 1st Target: Prior structure support (mid-range level)
2nd Target: Deeper support aligned with Ichimoku cloud base Invalidation is above the double-top highs (SL zone).
Below that, sellers remain in control.
Overall:
This chart illustrates a classic trend exhaustion → reversal setup, ideal for traders watching price action + Ichimoku confluence.
Is EUR/USD Entering a Bullish Continuation Phase?📌 EUR/USD – “THE FIBRE”
💱 Forex Market Trade Opportunity Guide
(Swing Trade | Day Trade)
🔵 Market Bias
🟢 BULLISH STRUCTURE CONFIRMED
Price action aligns with trend continuation mechanics, supported by multi-indicator confluence and momentum expansion.
🧠 Trade Plan – Technical Confluence
✔️ Triangular Moving Average BREAKOUT
✔️ Hull Moving Average Pullback & Retest (dynamic support confirmation)
✔️ CCI Oscillator Golden Cross (momentum acceleration signal)
📊 This setup reflects trend resumption after healthy retracement, often favored by smart money continuation models.
🎯 Entry Strategy
🟢 YOU CAN ENTER AT ANY PRICE LEVEL
🔹 Traders may scale in using price acceptance above dynamic averages
🔹 Suitable for layered entries based on individual risk frameworks
🛑 Risk Management
🔴 Stop Loss (Reference Level): 1.16500
⚠️ Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s)
Risk parameters must always be adjusted based on your own strategy, capital, and exposure model.
This level is not mandatory.
🏁 Profit Zone / Exit Logic
🎯 Primary Target: 1.18500
🚓 Police force zone acting as:
Strong historical resistance
Overbought price area
Liquidity trap potential
High probability reaction / correction zone
➡️ Protect profits aggressively near this zone.
⚠️ Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s)
TP levels are guidelines, not financial advice. Partial profits are encouraged.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation & Confirmation)
💵 USD-Driven Correlation
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
🔻 Weakness in DXY generally supports EUR/USD upside
🔺 Any sharp DXY reversal may cap EUR/USD gains
💶 EUR Strength Basket
OANDA:EURJPY
📈 Bullish momentum confirms EUR strength vs safe-haven JPY
OANDA:EURGBP
🔄 Range behavior here helps identify relative EUR demand
OANDA:EURCHF
🧭 Stability above key levels supports risk-on EUR flows
💷 Cross-Market Confirmation
FX:GBPUSD
✔️ Parallel bullish structure adds USD weakness confirmation
OANDA:USDCHF
🔻 Bearish bias here often aligns with EUR/USD bullish continuation
🧩 Key Insight
📌 When EUR pairs show synchronized strength and USD pairs weaken,
➡️ EUR/USD continuation probability increases significantly.
🏁 Final Note
This setup is built on trend alignment, momentum confirmation, and structured risk logic.
Discipline, patience, and execution consistency are what turn setups into profits.
📈 Trade smart. Manage risk. Protect capital.
NZDUSD - TIME TO BUY NOW - it's going upNZDUSD was in a recent downtrend for the last few weeks and was struggling to stay bullish, but recently it has just broken a strong resistance trend line which it tested several times and failed to break through. NZDUSD is very likely to hit the next major resistance zone which is market as the "TAKE PROFIT" LEVEL. There are many clear signs of new bullish movements. TIME TO BUY NZDUSD now it's going up
DOGEUSDT UPDATE#DOGE
UPDATE
DGB Technical Setup
Pattern: Falling Wedge Pattern
Current Price: 0.1237
Target Price: 0.1490
Target % Gain: 121.32%
Technical Analysis: DOGE is breaking out of a falling wedge pattern on the 1D chart, indicating bullish potential. Price is trading near the lower boundary of the wedge and has started to curl upward, suggesting a possible breakout. A confirmed move above the descending resistance trendline could open the path toward the projected upside target zone shown on the chart.
Time Frame: 1D
Risk Management Tip: Always use proper risk management.
FTSE sideways consolidation capped by resistance at 9900The FTSE remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 9750 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 9750 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
9900 – initial resistance
9930 – psychological and structural level
9960 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 9750 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
9713 – minor support
9680 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 9750. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURNZD POSSIBLE SELL SETUP📌 Trade Plan (EURNZD – Short Setup)
🔻 Entry Reason
Clear CHoCH at the highs, signaling bearish shift.
Strong bearish displacement broke prior support.
Price is now pulling back into a key supply / resistance zone (previous support turned resistance).
Expecting continuation toward sell-side liquidity below.
🔻 Entry
Sell on rejection in the 2.0285–2.0310 resistance zone.
Prefer bearish confirmation (rejection / engulfing / lower-TF structure break).
🛑 Stop Loss (SL)
Above the resistance & swing high:
2.0355–2.0400
🎯 Take Profit (TP)
Target downside demand & liquidity:
2.0140–2.0100
(Aligned with the lower green demand zone and projected move)
📉 Why This Trade Makes Sense
Market structure flipped bearish (CHoCH).
Pullback into premium + supply
Clean impulse → retracement → continuation model.
Favorable risk-to-reward profile.
#SUI/USDT Could switch sides soon. Be ready#SUI
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards breaking above it, with a retest of the upper boundary expected.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which has reached near the lower boundary, and an upward rebound is expected.
There is a key support zone in green at 1.40. The price has bounced from this zone multiple times and is expected to bounce again.
We have a trend towards consolidation above the 100-period moving average, as we are moving close to it, which supports the upward movement.
Entry price: 1.43
First target: 1.46
Second target: 1.50
Third target: 1.56
Don't forget a simple principle: money management.
Place your stop-loss below the support zone in green.
For any questions, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
National Aluminium (NALCO) – Rounding Bottom BreakoutNational Aluminium (NALCO) – Rounding Bottom Breakout
CMP: 273
SL: 230
Targets:
NALCO is continuing its upward journey after forming a clear rounding bottom pattern and confirming a breakout from its base structure.
The structure is constructive but this is not a fast-moving setup.
It will take time to achieve targets, so the only way to benefit from this move is through:
✅ Patience
✅ Controlled position sizing
✅ Positional mindset
As long as price holds above the base zone, NALCO remains a bullish continuation candidate.
⚠️ Clarification:
This is an independent analysis based purely on technical and market study. No part of Religare is involved in this view or recommendation.
📝 Important:
I am not responsible for any loss or profit incurred. I am not taking any fees for these views – just sharing my analysis for educational and informational purposes.
📉 Disclaimer: Not SEBI-registered. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before taking any investment decision.
DEEPAK NITRITE – Support Bounce or Bear Trap?DEEPAK NITRITE – Support Bounce or Bear Trap? 🔍
Deepak Nitrite Limited
📌 Trade / Swing Setup
• CMP: ₹1795
• SL: ₹1490
• Targets: ₹2106 → ₹2500 → ₹3000
📍 Structure & Price Action
• Stock bounced from major support zone
• Breakdown attempt failed and price moved back up → possible bear trap
• Such moves often trap shorts and support a relief / reversal rally
• Momentum still slow — structure-based, not aggressive
📊 Big Picture (Important)
• Chemical sector fundamentals improving
– Capacity utilisation rising
– Export competitiveness improving
• Sector recovery is often a pre-condition for stock turnarounds
📈 Upside Perspective
• ₹3000 is a major box resistance
• Only if ₹3000 breaks & sustains, long-term box breakout can open ₹4500 zone
• That is future potential, not immediate — needs time & confirmation
🧠 Approach (No hype):
• This is a calculated chance, not blind bullishness
• Patience, discipline & correct position sizing are critical
• Expect volatility — avoid leverage / overexposure
📌 View Summary:
Bounce from support + failed breakdown = bear pressure weakening.
If sector tailwinds sustain, gradual upside is possible.
⚠️ Clarification:
This is an independent analysis based purely on technical and market study. No part of Religare is involved in this view or recommendation.
📝 Important:
I am not responsible for any loss or profit incurred. I am not taking any fees — sharing for educational purposes only.
📉 Disclaimer: Not SEBI-registered. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before taking any investment decision.
HEG – Ascending Triangle | Pre-emptive Breakout SetupHEG – Ascending Triangle | Pre-emptive Breakout Setup 🔺
HEG Limited
📌 Trade / Swing Setup
• CMP: ₹588
• SL: ₹492
• Target: ₹900
📍 Technical Structure
• Ascending triangle formation in play
• Key resistance: ₹619 (triangle top)
• Major hurdle: ₹643 (61.8% Fibonacci resistance)
• Sustained move above ₹643 can open fresh upside leg
📊 Cycle + Context (Very Important)
• Metal sector rally ❌ = not enough
• Steel demand recovery ✅ = early signs visible
• HEG fundamentals = bottoming, not booming
• Outcome: Range-bound action with sudden sharp spikes
🧠 Stock Nature (No Sugar-Coating)
• HEG is a cycle stock
• ❌ Not for impatient traders
• Best money is made by:
Buying boredom 💤
Selling excitement 🔥
📌 This is a pre-emptive structure trade — confirmation comes only above resistance with discipline.
⚠️ Clarification:
This is an independent analysis based purely on technical and market study. No part of Religare is involved in this view or recommendation.
📝 Important:
I am not responsible for any loss or profit incurred. I am not taking any fees for these views – just sharing my analysis for educational and informational purposes.
📉 Disclaimer: Not SEBI-registered. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before taking any investment decision.






















