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News Only Matters When It Breaks Market StructureDow × News × Market Structure In trading, news is not powerful because the numbers are big or small. Most information is already priced in by the market. What truly determines the impact of news is not the headline itself, but whether it forces the market to change its existing structure. According to Dow Theory, a trend remains in place until there is clear evidence of reversal. This leads to a simple reality: good news will not push price higher if the primary trend is still bearish, and bad news will not crash the market if a bullish structure remains intact. That is why market reactions to news often look “strange.” Sometimes CPI comes out better than expected and price barely moves. Other times bad news hits and price only shakes briefly before continuing in the same direction. The issue is not that the news is wrong, but that it is not strong enough to break the current structure. News only becomes meaningful when it does one of two things: breaks a key high or low, or ends an existing sequence of higher highs–higher lows or lower highs–lower lows. When price closes beyond the old structure, the market has accepted new information and entered a different phase of movement. On the other hand, if price spikes on news and then quickly returns to the prior range, the structure has not changed. These moves are mostly noise—emotionally charged, but trendless. The market is merely releasing energy, not changing direction. In practice, many of the strongest moves actually come from news that is not particularly surprising. That is because the structure was already in a vulnerable state. The news acts as the final catalyst, not the root cause. So the real task is not “trading the news,” but reading the structure before the news hits. Define the trend using Dow Theory, mark the key structural levels, and then observe whether the news has enough force to break them. Only when structure changes and price confirms does news truly gain trading value. The strongest news is not the one that creates the biggest volatility, but the one that forces the market to change how it moves. If structure is not broken, every reaction is just an opinion. Only when structure fails does the market give a real answer.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by DomicChaina
7
Holding Firm at Higher Levels, H4 Structure Remains IntactHello everyone, On the H4 chart, EURUSD has delivered a clear expansion from the 1.155 area up toward 1.180. After this advance, price did not reverse sharply lower but instead shifted into a sideways consolidation, holding above the key EMA levels. This behavior suggests that current selling pressure is not strong enough to disrupt the short-term bullish structure. During this consolidation phase, there are no signs of a structural breakdown or meaningful distribution. Pullbacks have been orderly, with narrow ranges and quick absorption, indicating that buyers are still holding positions rather than actively exiting the market. Overall, the current price action looks more like post-rally consolidation than a weak rebound within a downtrend. As long as price remains above the EMAs, the H4 uptrend is preserved, while the market likely needs more time to rebalance supply and demand before defining its next directional move. Wishing you all effective and successful trading!
by DomicChaina
34
NIFTY 50 Index — Intraday Technical Analysis for 31-Dec-2025NSE:NIFTY NIFTY 50 Index — Chart Pathik Intraday Levels for 31-Dec-2025 (If these levels add value to your trades, a quick boost or comment goes a long way in supporting this free content and keeping our trading community thriving!) Nifty 50 is trading near 25,971 after a sharp intraday spike, now attacking the Bias – Sell / Sell Till Safe zone at 25,977 with the zero line sitting just below at 25,939, making this band the key decision area between breakout continuation and fresh short supply.​ Bullish Structure Longs remain active above the Long Entry level at 25,939 as long as price defends the Add Long Pos. zone at 25,927 on dips.​ Targets: 26,000 (Long Target 1 / primary booking zone) and 26,038 (Long Target 2 / extended move if momentum persists).​ Control: Intraday longs can trail stops under 25,906–25,916 (Long Exit cluster) to avoid getting trapped if the spike reverses sharply.​ Bearish Structure Shorts become attractive on rejection from 25,977–26,000, especially if candles fail to hold above 25,949 (Short Exit) after the spike.​ Downside focus: 25,878 (Short Target 1) and 25,840 (Short Target 2) if sellers reclaim control below 25,939 and push price back into the lower range.​ Control: Bears must cover quickly if price sustains above 26,000 with strong bodies, as that opens the path towards 26,038 and squeezes intraday shorts.​ Neutral Zone 25,939 is today’s inflection—expect noisy, stop-hunting action while Nifty oscillates between roughly 25,927 and 25,977 without decisive 5‑minute closes beyond either side.​ Every setup is built on structure, plan, and discipline—let the chart work for you, not your emotions. Boost or comment if these levels help your preparation—help Chart Pathik keep delivering quality analysis to more intraday traders!
NSE:NIFTY
by ChartPathik
EUR/USD – Loss of Bullish Momentum Signals Downside ContinuationThe EUR/USD 30-minute chart indicates increasing bearish pressure after price failed to sustain above the highlighted resistance zone near 1.1780. The pair has been trading inside a rising structure, but recent price action shows rejection from the upper trendline and a breakdown below short-term support. Multiple wicks around the supply area signal strong selling interest, while the Ichimoku cloud is flattening, suggesting loss of bullish momentum. The formation of lower highs near the trendline intersection further confirms potential downside continuation. If price remains below the resistance zone, sellers are likely to stay in control. The first downside objective is positioned at 1.17495, followed by a deeper move toward 1.17325, where buyers may attempt a temporary bounce or consolidation. If you found this XAUUSD analysis helpful, don’t forget to LIKE 👍 and COMMENT 💬!
Short
by Dynamic_Trade_Strategies
1
Recovery Attempts Remain Corrective, Not a Trend ShiftOn the 1H timeframe, Gold is trading below a well-defined resistance zone around 4,440–4,460, which previously acted as a structural support area before being decisively broken. The sharp sell-off from the ATH region confirms a clear change in short-term market character, shifting price action from trend continuation into a corrective and rebalancing phase. The recent decline shows strong bearish impulse, with consecutive large-bodied candles breaking through prior support and accelerating toward the lower demand area around 4,260–4,280. This type of move is typically associated with forced liquidation and liquidity release, rather than a healthy pullback. As a result, the market is now in a stabilization attempt rather than a confirmed reversal. From a moving-average perspective, price is trading below both the 34 EMA and the 89 EMA, and both averages are sloping downward. This alignment reinforces that short-term momentum remains bearish, and any upside movement toward the resistance zone should be treated as a technical retracement, not a bullish continuation signal. The current bounce from the lower support zone reflects reactive buying, likely driven by short-covering rather than fresh trend buyers. The projected recovery path toward the resistance zone represents a mean-reversion scenario, where price revisits previous supply to test whether sellers remain in control. Without a clean reclaim and acceptance above 4,460, upside attempts are structurally vulnerable to rejection. From a macro perspective, Gold remains sensitive to USD strength and real yield expectations. In the absence of a clear risk-off catalyst or a sharp drop in yields, the broader environment supports range-to-bearish consolidation rather than immediate trend resumption. In summary, Gold is currently in a post-impulse corrective phase. The dominant structure favors sell-side control below resistance, with the market likely oscillating between support and resistance until a decisive breakout occurs. Any recovery should be evaluated as corrective price action, not confirmation of renewed bullish momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
Ethereum Compresses Below Major Supply On the 1H timeframe, Ethereum is trading within a well-defined sideways range, capped by a strong resistance zone around 3,050–3,080 and supported by a demand area near 2,900–2,920. Price has repeatedly failed to establish acceptance above the upper boundary, confirming that this zone remains a dominant supply area rather than a breakout level. The sharp impulsive rally into resistance earlier in the session was followed by an immediate rejection, forming a classic stop-run and distribution reaction. This behavior indicates that liquidity above prior highs was absorbed by sellers, not followed by continuation. Since then, price has rotated back into the range, reinforcing the market’s balance condition rather than trend expansion. From a structural perspective, Ethereum is currently printing overlapping candles and shallow pullbacks, characteristic of range-bound price action. The 34 EMA and 89 EMA are flattening and converging, which further supports the view that momentum is neutral and that the market is waiting for a catalyst to resolve the range. On the downside, the support zone around 2,900–2,920 has been respected multiple times. Each test has produced a reaction, suggesting the presence of responsive buyers. However, these bounces lack strong follow-through, highlighting that demand is defensive rather than aggressive at this stage. From a macro and sentiment standpoint, Ethereum remains highly correlated with broader crypto risk appetite and liquidity conditions. With no immediate macro shock or strong risk-on impulse, price action favors mean reversion within the range rather than a sustained directional move. In summary, Ethereum is in a clear consolidation phase between major supply and demand. A clean breakout above 3,080 with acceptance and volume would be required to shift the structure bullish. Until that occurs, rallies into resistance and dips into support should be viewed as range rotations, not trend signals.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
Bitcoin Is Not Breaking Out Yet — This Is Classic Box Accumu....Hello everyone, On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not chasing an immediate breakout, but recognizing that Bitcoin is still consolidating inside a well-defined accumulation box. Despite several sharp intraday swings, price continues to respect clear boundaries, signaling balance rather than trend. Structurally, BTC has been rotating between the 86,500 support zone and the 90,300–90,400 resistance zone. Multiple attempts to push higher have stalled below resistance, while every pullback into support has been absorbed quickly. This repeated back-and-forth price action is characteristic of box accumulation, where liquidity is being built before a directional expansion. The recent impulsive rally toward the upper range was followed by an equally sharp rejection, but crucially, price did not break down. Instead, BTC stabilized above the mid-range and began forming higher short-term lows, suggesting that sellers are losing momentum near the bottom of the box while buyers remain active. From a price action perspective, the market is printing overlapping candles and compressed swings, confirming that this is not a trending environment yet. The projected path on the chart reflects a typical accumulation outcome: continued rotation inside the box, potential liquidity sweeps, and only then a decisive move. Key levels to watch: Resistance zone: 90,300–90,400 — range high and breakout trigger. Support zone: 86,500–86,800 — range low and structural defense. Mid-range: ~88,500 — equilibrium area where noise dominates. A clean breakout and acceptance above resistance would confirm bullish continuation and open the door for upside expansion. Conversely, a decisive breakdown below support would invalidate the accumulation structure and shift the bias lower. Until one of these conditions is met, Bitcoin remains range-bound and in preparation mode, not trending. Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Gold_Dominator
Gold Is Not Collapsing — It’s Completing a Pullback at H1 DemandHello everyone, On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not the sharp sell-off, but how gold is behaving after breaking below a descending trendline and reacting into a clearly defined support zone. The market has already delivered the impulsive leg down; what matters next is whether sellers can extend or whether price shifts into a corrective rebound. From the chart, gold completed a lower-high sequence beneath a descending resistance line, confirming sustained selling pressure throughout the session. Each attempt to recover was capped by the trendline, keeping price compressed and vulnerable. That structure finally resolved with a strong impulsive breakdown, sending price directly into the 4,270–4,290 demand zone. This support area is critical. It aligns with prior reaction lows and has already triggered a sharp intraday response, indicating that sell-side momentum is slowing as liquidity is absorbed. The long downside candle into support followed by reduced follow-through suggests this move is exhaustive, not the start of a fresh acceleration lower. Structurally, price is now in a post-breakdown rebalancing phase. A brief consolidation or marginal sweep below support is possible to complete the downside sequence. However, as long as the market holds this demand area, a corrective rebound becomes the higher-probability scenario rather than immediate continuation lower. The projected path on the chart reflects this logic: Short-term stabilization inside the 4,270–4,290 zone A corrective push back toward the descending trendline Potential extension higher toward the 4,390–4,400 resistance, which marks the next major supply level Only a clean breakdown and acceptance below the support zone would reopen the door for deeper downside. Conversely, a decisive reclaim above the descending trendline would signal that bearish pressure has reset and that gold is ready to challenge higher resistance levels again. Until that confirmation appears, gold is not trending aggressively lower. It is working through a technical pullback after a completed bearish impulse, where patience and level awareness remain key. Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
EUR/USD QUICK ANALYSIS IN EU SESSION I 12/31Here is the technical analysis for the EUR/USD 1-hour (1h) chart translated into English: 1. Trend and Price Structure Strong Bearish Trend: The price is moving within a clear downward channel. The descending trendline (black line) is steeply sloped, indicating that selling pressure is completely dominant in the short term. Breach of Support Levels: The price has continuously broken through previous support zones and is currently trading at the lowest levels shown on the chart (around 1.17368). 2. Volume Profile Analysis (Value Areas) The Volume Profile indicators on the left show the distribution of trading volume during this decline: POC (Point of Control) - 1.17740: This is the price level with the highest trading volume. Currently, the price is trading far below this level, turning it into a very strong resistance zone if a recovery occurs. VAH (Value Area High) - 1.17795: The upper boundary of the value area, acting as the next resistance level above the POC. VAL (Value Area Low) - 1.17555: This is a former support zone that has been broken. In technical analysis, once support is breached, it often becomes new resistance. If EUR/USD rallies, 1.17555 will be the first hurdle for buyers to overcome. 3. Potential Scenarios Scenario 1: Continued Downward Momentum (High Probability) The price is currently hugging the descending trendline and shows no clear signs of a reversal. The next targets for sellers could be lower psychological levels such as 1.17200 or 1.17000. The signal dots on the candles (red/blue) indicate a bearish preference, with red dots appearing frequently at higher price points. Scenario 2: Technical Recovery (Retest) If buying interest emerges at the current price, EUR/USD could recover to retest the VAL (1.17555) or the trendline. For the downtrend to truly shift, the price would need a solid candle close above the POC (1.17740), which is unlikely in the short term without strong fundamental news supporting the Euro. 4. General Assessment & Strategy Short Positions (Sell): This remains the primary strategy. Ideal entry points are typically on pullbacks to the trendline or the VAL resistance (1.17555), accompanied by bearish reversal candle signals. Long Positions (Buy): Extremely risky as this would be "catching a falling knife." Only consider this if the price forms a "Higher Low" structure and breaks out of the descending trendline. Note: You should combine this with economic news (such as inflation data or interest rate decisions) for a more comprehensive view, as this chart reflects very negative market sentiment toward the Euro.
by Geka_Trader
EURUSD Is Not Weak — It’s Reacting at Support After a Trendline Hello everyone, On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not chasing direction, but understanding how EURUSD is behaving after breaking below a descending resistance line and reacting into a well-defined support zone. From the left side of the chart, price has been trading under a descending resistance trendline, repeatedly forming lower highs, which clearly capped upside attempts. Each rally into this trendline was sold, confirming that sellers were in control of short-term momentum. This structure remained intact until price finally lost altitude and accelerated lower. The critical move occurred when EURUSD broke down from the mid-range and pushed directly into the 1.1740–1.1750 support zone. This zone is not arbitrary — it aligns with multiple prior reaction lows and has already shown the ability to absorb selling pressure. The sharp sell-off into this area suggests a liquidity-driven move rather than a slow distribution. Structurally, the market is now at an inflection point. The down-move into support completed a short-term bearish leg, but follow-through has stalled, indicating that sellers are no longer as aggressive at these levels. This opens the door for a corrective rebound, not a trend reversal yet. The projected path on the chart reflects this logic clearly: A brief stabilization or marginal sweep below support is possible to finish the downside move. From there, a technical rebound toward the descending resistance line around 1.1765–1.1780 becomes the natural magnet. As long as price remains below the descending trendline, any upside should be treated as corrective, not the start of a new bullish trend. Only a clean reclaim and acceptance above the descending resistance would signal that bearish pressure has fully reset and that the market is ready to challenge the higher 1.1800 resistance zone again. Until then, EURUSD remains in a rebalance phase following a controlled breakdown, where patience and level-based execution matter most. Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
by Gold_Dominator
XAUUSD ANALYSIS IN LONDON SESSION I 12/31. Overall Trend Dominant Bearish Trend: Gold is in a clear downward structure since peaking around the $4,542 level. The descending trendline (black line) is acting as a strong dynamic resistance, weighing down any recovery efforts. Lower Highs Structure: Recent rallies have consistently created lower highs, indicating that sellers (bears) remain firmly in control of the market. 2. Volume Profile Analysis (Right Side) The chart utilizes the Volume Profile to identify key value areas where the highest trading activity occurred: POC (Point of Control) - ~$4,367: This is the price level with the highest traded volume. Since the price is currently trading below the POC, it confirms a bearish sentiment. The POC now acts as the immediate major resistance. VAH (Value Area High) - ~$4,404: A higher resistance zone. If the price manages to break above the POC, this will be the next target. VAL (Value Area Low) - ~$4,295: This is the crucial support zone. The price recently showed a "wick" (pin bar) after touching this VAL zone, suggesting some buying interest/bottom-fishing at this level. 3. Potential Scenarios Scenario 1: Continued Decline (High Probability) If the price fails to break the descending trendline and the POC level ($4,367), Gold is likely to retest the VAL ($4,295). If the $4,295 support is breached, the price could drop further toward psychological levels like $4,250 or $4,200. Scenario 2: Technical Recovery The price is currently consolidating around $4,330. A recovery rally could occur if: The price breaks above the descending trendline and closes a candle above $4,367 (POC). In this case, the short-term target would be the $4,400 - $4,404 (VAH) range. However, this would still be considered a corrective move within a larger downtrend. 4. Technical Summary & Notes Candlestick Signals: The most recent candle has a long lower shadow right at the VAL zone, showing that buyers are attempting to defend the $4,295 support. Liquidity Gaps: The Volume Profile shows a "low volume node" or liquidity gap below $4,280. If the current support fails, the price could drop very rapidly due to a lack of historical buy orders in that area. Trading Suggestions: Bears (Sellers): Look for sell entries on rallies toward the trendline or the POC ($4,367) if reversal patterns appear. Bulls (Buyers): Exercise extreme caution. Only consider short-term Long positions (Scalping) if the price holds above $4,300 and provides a confirmed breakout of the trendline.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Geka_Trader
Liquidity Builds Before the Real MoveOn the 1H timeframe, Bitcoin remains locked inside a clearly defined sideways range, bounded by a support zone around 86,700–87,000 and a resistance zone near 90,300–90,600. Price is currently trading around 88,500, which places it firmly in the middle of the range — a location that typically favors indecision rather than directional conviction. From a market structure standpoint, Bitcoin has repeatedly failed to establish acceptance above the resistance zone. Each impulsive push into the 90K area has been met with swift rejection, signaling that sell-side liquidity remains active at the highs. These reactions confirm that the resistance is not yet weakened and continues to cap upside attempts. On the lower boundary, the support zone has been respected multiple times, producing consistent rebounds. However, these reactions have become increasingly corrective rather than impulsive. This suggests absorption and balance, not aggressive accumulation. As long as price holds above this zone, downside continuation remains limited, but the lack of strong follow-through keeps the market range-bound. The current price action shows compression and volatility contraction, a classic behavior ahead of expansion. Liquidity is being built on both sides of the range. A sustained break and acceptance above 90,600 would be required to confirm a bullish continuation scenario, while a clean loss of 86,700 support would expose lower liquidity pools and shift the bias decisively bearish. From a broader macro perspective, Bitcoin remains sensitive to overall risk sentiment and liquidity conditions. With no clear macro catalyst or volume expansion visible at this stage, the market continues to favor range rotation rather than trend development. In summary, Bitcoin is not trending it is consolidating. Until price decisively exits the 86,700–90,600 range, traders should prioritize reaction at key levels, patience, and disciplined risk management, rather than anticipating a breakout prematurely.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mathew_TraderGold
Welcome 2026 — A New Year for Better TradesHappy New Year 2026, Traders. 2025 has been a year that truly tested every trader strong volatility, constant macro shifts, and markets that rewarded discipline while punishing emotional decisions. This year reminded us that profitability does not come from being right once, but from managing risk correctly over hundreds of trades. There were winning trades that built confidence, and losing trades that reinforced an essential truth: the market is always right, and our job is to adapt. As we step into 2026, I wish every trader a strong and stable mindset. Trade with a plan, respect your stop-loss without hesitation, and never let emotions override structure. May you stay calm during sudden spikes, remain disciplined during winning streaks, and trust your system during drawdowns. Consistent profits are the result of patience and execution not speed or prediction. May 2026 be a year of clean trading: fewer impulsive trades, less FOMO, more high-quality setups, and a steadily rising equity curve over time. Wishing you good health, mental clarity, and continuous growth as a trader. Happy New Year 2026.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by RexTraderGOLD
ejected Again — Sellers Still in ControlOANDA:EURUSD is trading in a bearish continuation structure on H1. Price has been rejected repeatedly from the descending resistance trendline and remains capped below the EMA cluster, confirming sustained selling pressure. The recent breakdown signals continuation rather than a temporary pullback. Momentum favors the downside as long as price stays below the former reaction area, with sellers defending rallies. Resistance: 1.1765 – 1.1780 Support: 1.1705 – 1.1710 Range focus: 1.1730 – 1.1780 ➡️ Primary: sell rallies below resistance → continuation toward 1.1710 → 1.1700 support. ⚠️ Risk: strong reclaim above 1.1780 weakens the bearish setup and forces reassessment.
Short
by RexTraderGOLD
Correction Completed — The Trend May Be ReloadingOANDA:XAUUSD has completed a sharp corrective leg after breaking down from the rising channel. The impulsive sell-off flushed price into the 4,265–4,280 demand zone, where buyers reacted and triggered a technical rebound. This move still fits a corrective structure (A–B–C) within a broader bullish context, not a full trend reversal. Price is now stabilizing above short-term support, suggesting the market is transitioning from liquidation into reaccumulation. Resistance: 4,380 – 4,410 Support: 4,265 – 4,300 Upside reference: 4,600 (next expansion target) ➡️ Primary: hold above 4,265 → higher low formation → recovery toward 4,410, then continuation toward 4,600. ⚠️ Risk: failure to hold 4,265 weakens the structure and delays upside continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RexTraderGOLD