FOMC DAY XAUUSD is cranky Todays the Fed’s interest rate decision
The 4220 level continues to act as a key resistance & 4190-4180 act as Strong support
yesterday’s recovery by the bulls has weakened the bearish momentum, making a sharp decline less likely for now.
For this reason, we continue to favor buying opportunities in the 4190–4180 zone.
Targetshould be 4220, If 4220 breaks, the next level to watch is 4230.
Caution ⚠️
H1-H4 candle closes below 4175 no more Buy &wait for the Drop towards 4145.
Chart Patterns
Bitcoin Is Quietly Re-Accumulating...........📊 (1) MARKET STRUCTURE
Bitcoin on H4 is forming a clean ascending channel, characterized by:
-Higher Lows
-Higher Highs
-Consistent reactions from both channel boundaries
-Smooth oscillation inside a rising structure
This confirms a sustained bullish cycle of accumulation → expansion → retracement → continuation.
The latest swing low touches the lower boundary of the channel and reacts sharply upward a typical sign of demand reactivation.
📉 (2) PRICE REACTION
Recent candles present:
-Strong rejection wicks at the channel’s demand zone
-Reduced bearish momentum after each corrective leg
-Higher swing bottoms forming in rhythm
These behaviors indicate that sellers are being absorbed while buyers patiently step in.
The projected yellow legs show the market’s tendency to respect the channel perfectly —
a bullish pattern repeating multiple times.
🌐 (3) MACRO & FUNDAMENTALS SUPPORTING THE UPTREND
The macro environment is aligning strongly in favor of Bitcoin:
✔ Fed Rate-Cut Expectations 2024–2025
Recent FOMC signals show a shift toward a softer monetary policy cycle.
Lower interest rates historically weaken the USD and strengthen risk-on assets like BTC.
✔ ETF Inflows Remain Positive
Institutional capital continues flowing into Bitcoin ETFs, showing long-term confidence.
Accumulation from large funds typically stabilizes price and reduces downside risk.
✔ Global Liquidity Expansion
Central banks across APAC and Europe lean toward easing.
Liquidity expansion fuels upward momentum in major crypto assets.
✔ Halving Cycle Psychology
Post-halving periods statistically favor medium-term uptrends as supply tightens.
All macro signals point toward a favorable environment for a continuation move upward.
⏳ (4) HTF CONTEXT
On the higher timeframe, the structure reflects:
-Bitcoin has already printed a major bottom
-Uptrend is intact even with local corrections
-Market is transitioning from Accumulation → Markup phase
Compression inside the rising channel usually leads to a strong breakout above 97,000–100,000.
📐 (5) EXPECTATION
High-probability scenario:
-BTC continues oscillating inside the ascending channel
-Creates 2–3 more Higher Lows as drawn
-Approaches the upper boundary at 96,500–97,000
-Breakout triggers momentum toward 100,000+
This behavior aligns with both structural patterns and macro tailwinds.
🎯 (6) TRADING INSIGHT
The market is in the strongest type of bullish structure:
a rising channel supported by macro liquidity, ETF demand, and post-halving momentum.
The path of least resistance remains upward.
Bullish momentum to extend?CAD/JPY could fall to the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 112.21
1st Support: 111.60
1st Resistance: 113.86
Disclaimer:
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$XAUUSD ANALYSIS (READ CAPTION) THE GOLDEN BULL RETURNS hi traders! todays 10 DECEMBER 2K25 here is my today OANDA:XAUUSD BULLISH analysis please read it and send me your ideas for more analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSD working around (4110) gold prices are expected to trade higher, with potential resistance at (4270). The market is expected to move upwards from the pivot point 4210, targeting 4230. A break above 4250 could leads for further gains.
growing demand for safe haven assets, inflation concerns, and central bank purchases
BULLISH SCANRIO:
PIVOT POINT : $4210 (Breakout level)
TARGET 1: $4230 (key upside target)
SUPPLY ZONE: $4250 (Potential sell zone)
RESISTANCE ZONE: $4270 (Strong resistance level)
SUPPORT AREA: $4185 (Key support level)
please dont forget like and comment for more latest Xauusd analysis updates
this analysis for informational purposes only. trade is own your risk
Holding Breath for FOMC News - Will History Repeat?XAUUSD Trading Idea Today (FOMC - Big News)
Will history repeat:
Before the news: Sideway | News release: prioritize SELL
Today's range: 417X–423X
Expectation: FOMC release leads to selling (Powell is usually hawkish → price drops like in September & October)
1) Intraday Trading (catching the Sideway range)
Upper range:
4218–4220
4230–4233
Lower range:
4170–4173
4180–4182
→ Morning & afternoon prioritize catching the range – trade within the range for safety before the news.
2) During the news (for those who trade the news)
Not suitable for those who are risk-averse, so you can skip if you can't handle it. Limit if you want to learn and profit using a very small account.
1) 4218–4220 (Risk-only) (if it doesn't break all day)
• High reaction area
• Safe → skip
• Risk → Probe sell, small SL
2) 4230–4233 (Main Sell)
• Strong resistance within the range
3) 4240–4244–424X (Best Sell)
• Liquidity zone
• If spike during/before news → High RR sell
3) Target down
TP1: 418X
TP2: 416X-5x
TP3: 409X (main target – swing + FVG + fibo)
4) BUY?
Attention area:
4150-52
4128-32
4102-96
5) Note on the news
This scenario holds if Powell maintains a hawkish tone.
If Powell is more "dovish" → it may go against expectations.
Risk-averse traders → do not trade the news.
News traders → use a small account to test market reactions.
Quick Summary
Before the news → Sideway, catch the range 417X–423X
News release → prioritize SELL
SELL zone: 4218, 4230–4233, 4240–4244
Main target: 409X
The price will move with each statement from the Fed Chairman and keep an eye on Trump too.
Wishing everyone a victorious day.
Going Short On Gold.Yesterday into today, we saw an explosive move straight to the upside on gold. But right now, I am going short. I am also testing out a new approach which is the Malaysian Support and Resistance strategy, and as you can see, I have caught a proper sniper entry. My risk to reward on this setup is 1 to 13, so the upside on this trade is serious. Let us see how it plays out.
Dec 11, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Summary:
The combination of rate cuts and renewed bond-buying is strongly bullish for gold.
The primary plan remains buying pullbacks into support, as long as key support zones hold.
However, in an extreme scenario where price breaks 4170, and especially 4164, it would invalidate today’s bullish bias and require a full reassessment.
For today, the two most important supports to watch are 4220 and 4207:
• A break below 4220 may trigger a short-term pullback.
• Above these levels, the bullish trend remains intact, and I continue to favor long setups.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4255 – Resistance
• 4250 – Resistance
• 4245 – Resistance
• 4239 – Resistance
• 4230 – Resistance
• 4220 – Key intraday support
• 4207 – Key support
• 4198–4200 – Support zone
• 4189 – Support
• 4182 – Support
📈 Asia Session Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 4220 → target 4216, with further downside toward 4211, 4207, 4205
BUY: If price holds above 4230 → target 4232, with further upside toward 4235, 4239, 4245
AALTechnical Analysis:
-Accumulation with clear presence of institutional volume.
-Noticeable buying pressure in a bullish divergence on the MACD indicator.
Fundamental Analysis:
American Airlines has secured its long-term capacity growth and fleet modernization with a massive order for 440 aircraft. The order is strategically diversified among the main manufacturers: 85 Airbus A321neo, 85 Boeing 737 MAX 10, and 90 Embraer E175. Spreading the order across Airbus, Boeing, and Embraer is a key risk-mitigation tactic.
For summer 2026, AAL has announced new routes that strengthen its global network. This includes new services from Dallas/Fort Worth (DFW) to Zurich (ZRH) and Milan (MXP), and from Philadelphia (PHL) to Budapest (BUD) and Prague (PRG). Additionally, new services to Tokyo Haneda (HND) from both DFW and Los Angeles (LAX) have been scheduled.
This expansion underscores AAL’s strategy of leaning into high-yield markets where it has shown particular strength, such as Mexico, the Caribbean, and Central and South America.
On the labor front, all disputes have already been resolved, and the Trump administration waived $16.7 million in fines related to wheelchair-handling issues.
BMO has initiated coverage of the U.S. airline sector with a constructive outlook for 2026, arguing that the industry is finally emerging from a challenging 2024-2025 period marked by domestic overcapacity and weak corporate travel demand.
Decoding the ‘Geometric Time Bomb’ Ticking Under Crude OilThe article argues that WTI Crude Oil is at a critical inflection point on 10 December 2025, due to a combination of astrological timing and price-cycle geometry (via a variant of W.D. Gann theory).
Because the planet Neptune (considered the “ruler” of oil in this framework) is “stationing direct” today — at the very end of its “home” sign — the article suggests that today may mark a structural low or the start of a sharp move.
According to the article, oil is currently “coiled” in a tight range between $57.00 and $60.82. A breakout from that range would set the tone for the next ~ 90 days (until the spring equinox).
Avoid trading the breakout today — the article warns that “Neptune days” are prone to false moves and whipsaws.
Instead, watch for a dip towards $57.00–$57.50. If price touches that zone and quickly reclaims ~ $58.00, that would be regarded as a strong “Neptune Reversal” — a buy signal according to the author.
The expectation is that once the superseding energy of Mars (entering Capricorn soon) kicks in, a more structural bull rally may begin — “smart money” accumulation implied.
USDCHF On The Rise! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USDCHF next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.8025
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.8045
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Boeing snaps losing streakThe company has received support from President Trump as part of tariff negotiations with several countries, in which aircraft orders became a key element in resolving trade disputes — particularly in Asia.
Additionally, buoyed by strong demand for its long-range 787 Dreamliner, Boeing reported on Wednesday that it recorded 908 net orders (after cancellations) from January to November, compared to 700 for its main rival, Airbus.
Airbus CEO Guillaume Faury acknowledged that Boeing will likely win the annual order race for the first time in six years.
DYDXUSDT 12H#DYDX is moving inside a falling wedge pattern on the 12H timeframe. In case of a breakout above the wedge resistance, the potential upside targets are:
🎯 $0.2254
🎯 $0.2500
🎯 $0.2699
🎯 $0.2897
🎯 $0.3180
🎯 $0.3541
⚠️ Always remember to use a tight stop-loss and maintain proper risk management.
+ 10 % DAY - FRGNT DAILY CHART ANALYSIS ! Q4 W50 D10 Y25📅 Q4 | W50 | D10 | Y25 |
📊 AUDUSD EURUSD EURGBP ACTIVE TRADES !
LET THE CHARTS DO THE TALKING !
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
GBPJPY H1 | Bullish Bounce Off Overlap SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 208.282
- Overlap support
- 78.6% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 207.830
- Pullback support
- 50% Fib retracement
Take Profit: 208.797
- Swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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WTI Crude bearish below 5980The WTI Crude continues to display a bearish outlook, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests a corrective pullback, potentially setting up for another move lower if resistance holds.
Key Level: 5980
This zone, previously a consolidation area, now acts as a significant resistance level.
Bearish Scenario (rejection at 5980):
A failed test and rejection at 5980 would likely resume the bearish momentum.
Downside targets include:
5796 – Initial support
5728 – Intermediate support
5667 – Longer-term support level
Bullish Scenario (breakout above 5980):
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 5980 would invalidate the bearish setup.
In that case, potential upside resistance levels are:
6025 – First resistance
6100 – Further upside target
Conclusion
WTI Crude remains under bearish pressure, with the 5980 level acting as a key inflection point. As long as price remains below this level, the bias favours further downside. Traders should watch for price confirmation around that level to assess the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
ETHUSDT is ready to rebound after a false breakoutThe momentum is linked to news manipulation. Resistance at D1 3370 successfully halted the movement. A repeat retest failed to change the situation, with bears holding this line.
In addition, the coin is making a false breakout of the upward resistance line, which is likely to provoke a correction to the zones of interest 3090 - 3000.
Scenario: keeping the price below 3350 may form a reversal setup and provoke a correction down.
BTCUSD Long Setup: Demand Zone Retest with High R:R PotentialThis setup highlights a potential long opportunity on BTCUSD following a clean retest of a key demand zone. After a sharp impulse move upward, price pulled back into a previously established support block, confirming it as a valid re-accumulation area. The market respected this zone with multiple rejections, signaling buyer interest.
The entry is positioned directly on the retest of the demand zone, aligning with structure and maintaining a favorable risk-reward profile. The stop loss is placed safely below the zone to account for volatility and prevent premature invalidation. The target aims for a continuation toward the next liquidity pocket above, reflecting the expectation that buyers will reclaim control and push price higher.
This idea leverages market structure, zone retest, and momentum recovery to outline a disciplined, high-probability long setup
NZD/USD – Price Approaching Key Resistance After Strong Impulse
Price recently delivered a strong bullish impulsive move, leaving a clear price imbalance (fair value gap) in the lower region. After this aggressive expansion, the market is now showing signs of slowdown, with weakening momentum and declining volume near the highs.
At the current area, price is approaching a major resistance zone, where we can already observe stopping volume, indicating potential exhaustion of buyers. This behavior suggests that upside continuation may be limited in the short term.
From a macro perspective, the U.S. Dollar Index is showing early signs of strength, which could interrupt its recent bearish move. If the dollar continues to strengthen, this would likely create bearish pressure on NZD/USD, supporting a possible pullback or reversal from resistance.
Key Factors:
Strong impulsive bullish move → imbalance left below
Price slowing down near resistance
Weak volume and signs of stopping volume
Rising dollar strength may pressure NZD/USD
Bias: Cautious bearish near resistance
Invalidation: Clean breakout and acceptance above resistance with strong volume
XAUUSD is in sell zone!Daily support is broken with London breakdown on XAUUSD. FOMC could trigger a massive liquidity towards downside to retest the weekly low. There is potential for rate cut, which in turn can cretate increased volume in GOLD. As current lower timeframe market structure shows bearish price action, we may eventually see a bounce off the weekly support level for long term bullish bias.






















