Chart Patterns
GOLD – Liquidity Compression Before Rate Cut (Dec 10) Buy zoneXAUUSD is trading inside a multi-week compression wedge, building energy for a breakout as the December 10 rate cut approaches.
When price compresses into a macro event, liquidity mapping becomes more important than patterns.
Here’s the current structure in simple terms:
🔍 1. Liquidity Above Price (Buy-Side Liquidity)
Price has formed clean equal highs between 4300–4350, which creates:
breakout buy orders
short stop-loss clusters
unfilled liquidity from the last sweep
This is the ultimate magnet if price chooses upside continuation into the rate decision.
🔍 2. Liquidity Below Price (Sell-Side Liquidity)
There are 3 layers of resting liquidity:
1) 4165–4185 zone (primary liquidity pocket)
This aligns with:
rising trendline support
unmitigated 4H imbalance
multiple swing lows
strong volume node
This zone is the most likely to be tapped before any upside breakout.
2) 4120–4140 zone
Deeper stop-run zone.
Less likely due to timing, but if hit, it typically produces a strong bullish reaction.
3) 4000–4020 extreme flush zone
Requires unexpected macro volatility.
Least likely before Dec 10.
📈 3. Macro Context: Rate Cut Probability on December 10
When a dovish macro event is very close, gold historically:
avoids deep retracements
tends to accumulate shallow dips
front-runs the announcement
often sweeps one side and then trends strongly in the opposite direction
Because time is short, a full breakdown is unlikely.
The market typically chooses either a shallow sweep or a direct breakout.
🎯 Most Likely Path (based on structure + liquidity + macro timing)
Dip into 4165–4185 (sell-side sweep)
Liquidity grab + accumulation
Push toward 4250
Breakout attempt into 4300–4350 (buy-side sweep)
Volatility spike during/after the rate cut
This sequence aligns with both institutional liquidity behavior and typical pre-FOMC price action.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Buy-Side Liquidity:
4300
4330–4350 (major equal highs)
Sell-Side Liquidity:
4185
4165
4140
4120
🧠 Idea Summary
Gold is compressing into a major macro catalyst while sitting between significant liquidity pools on both sides.
The next 2–3 sessions will likely deliver:
a shallow downside sweep into 4165–4185 OR
a direct upside breakout
Both paths ultimately point toward gold attempting to test higher liquidity into the rate cut.
This idea is not financial advice—it’s a liquidity map to help understand how price may behave heading into a high-impact event.
Ethereum Hits Demand Zone – Smart Money Reaction Begins1. Major Breakdown Completed
ETH formed a sharp sell-off leg, moving along the long diagonal trendline you drew.
This indicates strong downside momentum that has now reached exhaustion near the bottom zone.
2. Price Tapped a Key Demand Zone
The lower green/grey area marks a high-volume demand block.
ETH reacted strongly from this zone, showing:
A wick rejection
Shift in market structure
Buyers absorbing the remaining liquidity
This confirms the zone is valid.
3. Liquidity Grab at the Lows
That spike below the structure (where you marked the “M-shaped” dip) looks like a classic stop-hunt / liquidity sweep.
After grabbing liquidity, ETH bounced aggressively.
This is usually a sign of smart-money accumulation.
4. Early Trend Reversal Signals
The small bullish rally forming now suggests:
Momentum is shifting
Bears are losing control
ETH might build a new short-term uptrend from this area
EURJPY Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear friends,
EURJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 181.28 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 180.92
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
$RR – A Strategic Pivot from Sales to SubscriptionsRichtech Robotics Inc. (RR) presents a high-growth, high-volatility investment narrative centered on a deliberate and transformative business model shift. The company is transitioning from a traditional robotics hardware sales model to a Robotics-as-a-Service (RaaS) subscription platform. This strategic pivot, while creating near-term revenue headwinds, is designed to build a more valuable, predictable, and resilient long-term business, positioning RR to capitalize on a rapidly expanding market.
Strategic Shift: Short-Term Pain for Long-Term Gain
The core of the current investment thesis revolves around understanding the financial implications of RR's model transition.
Revenue Recognition Impact: The company reported an 18.4% year-over-year decline in Q3 2025 revenue, a direct result of moving toward multi-year service agreements (MSAs). Under the RaaS model, revenue is recognized ratably over the life of a contract rather than upfront upon a hardware sale. This creates a near-term "air pocket" in reported sales as the company builds its contracted backlog.
Building the Recurring Engine: The strategic objective is clear: replace lumpy, one-time product sales with a growing base of recurring, subscription-like revenue. This model fosters stronger, long-term customer relationships and provides superior revenue visibility and stability, which is particularly valuable during economic downturns when capital expenditure (CapEX) budgets are often cut before operational expenditure (OpEX) on essential services.
Operational Strength and Profitability Outlook
Despite the top-line contraction, underlying operational metrics reveal significant strength:
Exceptional Margin Expansion: RR achieved a gross profit margin of 74.4% in Q3 2025, a substantial increase of 420 basis points from the prior year. This highlights the high-margin nature of the service and software components of the RaaS model and demonstrates prudent cost management. Bulls argue that as the recurring revenue base scales, operating leverage will drive rapid growth in profitability, transforming the margin profile of the business.
Market Tailwinds and Financial Capacity
The company's strategy aligns with powerful external trends:
Secular Growth Market: According to Future Market Insights, the global RaaS market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 18% through 2035, fueled by adoption in logistics, warehousing, and healthcare—all key verticals for automation.
Strong Balance Sheet as Fuel: With cash reserves exceeding $85.4 million, RR possesses a robust war chest to fund its strategic transition. This liquidity allows for continued investment in R&D, sales expansion, and customer acquisition without the immediate pressure for profitability, supporting its long-term growth vision.
Price Performance and Valuation Context
RR's stock performance has been nothing short of explosive, reflecting high investor conviction in its future, but it operates in a volatile and speculative space.
Outsized Returns: The stock has surged 447.3% over the past year and gained 53.7% in the past three months, dramatically outperforming its industry (up 11.1% and 9.7%, respectively) and peers like SmartRent (SMRT) and NextNav (NN).
Premium Valuation Metrics: Trading at a 12-month forward price-to-sales ratio of 33.89, RR commands a significant growth premium. This multiples it at a steep discount to NextNav (431.25) but a substantial premium to SmartRent (0.84), indicating the market is pricing in aggressive future sales growth from its RaaS model. The valuation is a bet on the successful execution of its pivot and the scalability of its recurring revenue.
Technical Analysis and Risk Framework
Given the stock's meteoric rise and inherent volatility, technical levels and clear risk zones are crucial for investment consideration:
Support Zones:
Primary Support: $3.00 - This level represents the first key area where buyers may step in following a pullback, aligning with recent consolidation points.
Secondary Support: $2.50 - A deeper, stronger support zone. A hold above this level would suggest the long-term uptrend remains structurally intact.
Critical Danger Zone: $2.00 - A breach and sustained trade below the $2.00 level would be a significant technical breakdown. It would likely indicate a failure of the current bullish narrative in the market's view, potentially triggering a more severe de-risking and a reassessment of the company's near-term prospects.
Conclusion: A High-Conviction, High-Risk Growth Story
Investing in Richtech Robotics is a direct bet on the success of its RaaS transformation. The thesis acknowledges the intentional short-term revenue sacrifice as the necessary cost of building a superior, recurring revenue business model with higher margins and greater predictability. The impressive gross margin expansion and strong balance sheet provide fundamental support for the strategy.
However, the extreme valuation and parabolic price increase underscore the high-risk nature of this investment. The stock is priced for near-flawless execution and rapid scaling of its contracted revenue base. Investors must be prepared for significant volatility. The technical framework suggests monitoring the $3.00 and $2.50 support levels closely, with a breach of $2.00 serving as a critical danger signal that the bullish momentum may have decisively fractured. For those with high risk tolerance, RR represents a pure-play on the convergence of robotics and the subscription economy in a booming market.
USDJPY is bullish - buy nowUSDJPY has been in a very clear uptrend for the last few weeks and has been for a while! It is currently inside an upward channel and has recently broken the last major resistance zone which means it is extremely likely to keep heading to the upside for much longer (just a very minor resistance level which is causing slight delays for its bullish movements). The next target will be the fibonacci extension zone which is shown on the chart. USDJPY has struggled to break below support but has constantly been breaking through resistance levels. Time to buy USDJPY now.
BUY AUDUSD - great opportunity ..AUDUSD was in a recent downtrend for the last few weeks and struggled to stay bullish, but recently it has just broken a strong resistance trend line which it tested several times and failed to break through. AUDUSD is very likely to hit the next major resistance zone which is market as the "TAKE PROFIT" LEVEL. There are many clear signs of new bullish movements. BUY AUDUSD now - great buy opportunity,
BTCUSD – Long Trade SetupPrice is holding above a key demand zone after a prolonged downtrend, showing early signs of reversal. Current structure suggests bullish momentum building as long as support holds.
🔹 Entry: Around 90,300
🔹 Stop-Loss: 87,700
🔹 Take-Profit: 109,282
Price is reclaiming short-term structure and pushing away from the demand block, indicating potential upside continuation if buyers sustain control.
#BTCUSD #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoTrading #BTCSetup #PriceAction #BreakoutTrade #CryptoMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #BuySetup #TradingView
TSMC Maintains Consensus Buy Rating With Over 20% Upside to $355Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (NYSE: NYSE:TSM ) continues to reinforce its position as the world’s most critical chipmaker, with Wall Street maintaining a consensus Buy rating and pointing to more than 20% upside toward the $355 median target. The bullish outlook is supported by broad-based strength across AI, mobile, and high-performance compute, as well as surging demand for advanced packaging.
Recent headlines have also placed TSMC in the center of a high-profile legal case. On November 25, TSMC filed a lawsuit against former senior VP Wei-Jen Lo—now at Intel—asserting violations of non-compete and trade-secret laws. Prosecutors later searched two residences and seized devices as part of a national-security investigation. Intel rejected the allegations, insisting its internal IP safeguards remain intact. Analysts note that the dispute underscores the strategic importance of TSMC’s advanced-node R&D.
Fundamentally, the biggest driver remains AI infrastructure. Bernstein raised its target to $330 for the ADR, citing explosive demand for CoWoS packaging, which is expected to reach 125,000 wafers/month by 2026. The firm models revenue growth of 23% in 2026 and 20% in 2027, supported by N2 adoption, N3 pricing, and improving smartphone demand. EPS is projected to grow at 20% CAGR through 2027 despite elevated capex.
Technical Analysis
TSM continues to respect its long-term ascending trendline, maintaining a strong bullish structure. Price recently bounced cleanly off trendline support around the $285–$290 region. The stock is consolidating beneath its $311 resistance zone, forming higher highs and higher lows.
RSI remains elevated yet stable, showing momentum is intact without signaling major exhaustion. A breakout above $311 could open a clear path toward $330–$355, aligning with analyst targets. Trendline support now sits near $291.
ES UpdateWas kinda hoping both RSI and MFI hit oversold, but it might be just MFI that hits it tomorrow. RTY MFI is already oversold. NQ looks the same as ES.
In any case Fed rate cut on Wed. WHat Powell says will either pump or tank the market. Keep in mind rate cut is already priced in, so it's all about January....
GBPUSD Falling wedge pattern..Wedge patterns are commonly used by traders to gets profits . A perfect wedge pattern is established in 1 hour time frame, if it breaks upwards go for bullish ..
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This setup is shared for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis and apply proper risk management before trading any setup.$
Wait for the callback to endFrom the previous analysis, price respected the marked bottom and followed through toward the 4222–4250 USD target zone. We now have a clean breakout, a successful retest, and stabilization, with price starting to form a fresh re-accumulation structure above the prior range.
At this stage, the market is showing strong bullish intent, but for the next leg higher, we still require a liquidity sweep—a controlled dip to grab resting orders—before GOLD gears up for the next expansion.
Once liquidity is collected, the structure supports a continuation move toward a new ATH, potentially before year-end if momentum maintains.
EUR/USD short: Alternative facts...Hello traders
I am being facetious about the alternative facts. Reminds us of a certain Trump advisor.
In trading there is only one absolute fact: price action.
Following that we have a set of price action, indicators and chart patterns in other asset classes, which are supportive of price action.
And fundamental analysis of course.
Most everything else becomes speculation.
I have noticed quite a few comments about the breakout out of the yellow colored channel on the chart. And it is valid, of course.
However, the bigger picture I am seeing is the blue channel and the rejection, so far, from the upper boundary.
The Euro zone data last night, higher unemployment and mixed CPI was not supportive for the currency.
USD data may give us more insight leading up to 12/10/25. ADP, Jobless claims and PCE the highlights of the week. The US 10Y yield popped higher from 3.99 to 4.09
I have initiated a short position at 1.1628(2 hour close) with a stop at 1.1680.
Best of luck
My view
***Price will drop to the green line.** That’s my key support level.
* **Then it will bounce back up.** I expect a reversal after touching that green line.
***The overall trend is still up.** The big white uptrend line at the top shows the main direction hasn't changed yet.
***It’s a pullback, not a crash.** This dip to the green line is just a normal correction before the next move higher
in continuation to 80/135 weeksthis sideway action developing at the lower highs are weakening the degens.
might go to 95-100k but its selling area
hope im wrong. and my crystal ball will explode ...
but too much resistance up there . and you can see the the over all uptrend channel - but the low rib is around 36k .. so its still 100%+- above the low of the 12/2022- so there is a lot of logic in this direction
Gold Technical Outlook: Support at 4197, Resistance at 4220Gold Market Analysis — Key Levels in Focus
Gold is currently trading around 4208, staying within a tight range as the market processes shifting expectations around potential Fed rate cuts. Recent price behavior shows buyers defending the 4197 support, while the 4220 zone continues to act as a notable resistance area on the intraday structure.
From a broader perspective, the market may still look to sweep deeper liquidity toward the 4080 zone before establishing a clearer bullish continuation, especially if sentiment remains sensitive to macroeconomic developments. For now, 4220 remains the level to watch — how price reacts here may help shape the next directional move.
Gold Price Expected to Fall: $4150Gold Price Expected to Fall: $4150
As shown on the 2-hour chart:
We saw a false breakout in gold prices, followed by a decline today.
But is it truly stable?
Is the downtrend really safe?
At least in today's trading, we've made a respectable profit of $3200 per lot.
Continuing our trend-following strategy:
We now judge the probability of a genuine breakout in gold prices to be over 70%.
Based on this assumption:
Effective Resistance Level for Gold: $4200-$4190
Effective Support Level for Gold: $4180
The current trading strategy is very clear:
Sell: $4190
Stop Loss: $4205
Take Profit: $4150-$4100
There are countless profitable strategies and trading methods.
But from a technical analysis perspective, this strategy is currently the most cost-effective.
We believe the gold price will fall below $4150.
Therefore, this strategy is ideal.
You can understand my trading rhythm by viewing my real trading records on my channel. Through long-term practice and trading experience, my trading philosophy and methods have proven highly effective for me.
I have led my team to achieve an average weekly return of nearly 100 points.
We only release 1-2 high-quality signals per day.
But fewer signals do not mean less profit.
In fact, our pace is very slow and relaxed.
Now, we will continue to observe whether the gold price will fall as we expect and reach the next target: $4150.






















