Get started

Chart Patterns

The Chronicles of Ethereum: “A story of overconfident bears.”Hello Traders, I will start by saying that this idea is not financial advice , and as always make sure to do your own research. My invalidation level is 2800. Ok lets get into it… 3 levels to watch : 2963, 3075 & 3178. I believe that any genuine upward momentum through these levels should trigger a swift move to 4156.75. I view this level as the current equilibrium price. I boldly expect it by the end of the year. We all see the looming head and shoulders. Maybe, just maybe an asymmetric upside opportunity has presented itself. STOP: 2800 ENTRY: 2925 TARGETS : 3750, 4007, & 4156.75 Send it.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Ntm185
2
Bitcoin ascendnig channel and Cups -Next cycle Cup entered ? YES Bitcoin ascendnig channel and Cups -Next cycle Cup entered PA entered channel in march 2017 and has bever left, other than to go to ATH. Bitcoin has spent more time in and above this channel than out of it. Since entering channel, PA has always bounced off the lower line of channel For the sake of this post, we are assuming that the current ATH is the final one this cycle. Reasons why this maybe the case are listed below. The Cups ( the yellow Semi Circles ) go from the ATH and the tops are Level, same price line. This is called the Neckline. The Blue day count boxes are ATH to when PA broke through the neckline of the Cup. 2013 - 1211 days 2017 - 1106 days 2021 - 1120 days The day count in grey boxs, below PA, are from when PA leaves the necklineof the Cup and goes to ATH of that "Cycle" March 2017 to Dec 2017 - 266 days Dec 2020 to Nov 2021 = 322 days Dec 2024 to October 2025 - 308 days - This shows that PA is in the day count Range to have printed a cycle ATH maybe. Please Note, the Cups are Not EXACT but close enough to show the idea intended here. For instance, PA followed the Arc of the Cup from ATH in 2017 to when it touched the Lower trend line of the channel. It then bounced. From the ATH in 2021, PA also followed the Arc of the Cup till it reached the Lower trendline , where it bounced...again. It maybe worth noting that PA has not yet reached the upper trend line this time, and I have posted about this before, while talking about the "Blue Arc of resistance".....That has rejected EVERY ATH since Bitcoin was created. IF PA has just been rejected off the latest ATH and is about to enter the Cup again, we have a more shallow drop, till we reach the lower trend line of the channel. This will be in Feb 2026 at a price of around 60K -> 62K Why would I think PA has just entered the Next Cup ? ATH to next ATH day counts have been ( as shown in the upper Grey Day count Boxes ) 2013 - 2017 = 1477 days 2017 - 2021 = 1428 days 2021 - 2025 = 1428 days - PA is again in the Day count Range to show that we Have have reached that point There is Obviously the possibiity that PA will reach another ATH in 2026 and many, including me, say that things have changed and the 4 years Cycle is over..... We shall see .but until then, I am watching this idea closely. But again, I will mention, PA has not reached the upper trend line.......it may not..... What ever does happen, this will be the first time the Tops of the Cup are Not BOTH in the channel, since the channel was fully entered by PA in 2017. Since entering channel, Every ATH has been one FIB level higher than the previous 2017 just above 1 Fib 2021 just above 1.236 Fib 2015 just above 1.382 Fib The Next Fib level, the 1.5, sits at a price line of 205700 USD ( 2013 ATH that set the upper trend line of channel was on the 0.618 Fib ) The Fact that PA has reached above that Fib line this cyclle, is a day count similar to previous cycles, I do think we may have Topped.....and begun to enter the next Cup. Just as a side note, Very interesting how From the 2013 ATH to when PA fell out of channel was 266 days ( Orange Box on Left og Main chart) It was also exactly 266 days From when PA left the Top of the Cup and reached the New ATH in 2017. ( First lower Grey box on the left ) I thinnk we are in for a VERY interesting 2026 HAPPY NEW YEAR to you all
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
3
EUR/USD)Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of EURUSD – 1H chart using SMC + Fibonacci OTE + EMA confluence. ⸻ Market Context • Bias: Bullish continuation • Overall structure remains higher highs & higher lows • Price is still above the EMA 200, keeping the higher-timeframe bullish bias intact • The recent downside move is a corrective pullback, not a reversal ⸻ Why Price Is Pulling Back • After the impulsive rally, price tapped short-term resistance (0 level) • Profit-taking caused a retracement into discount • Pullback is orderly and aligned with trend structure ⸻ Key Buy Zone (Blue Area) ~1.1728 – 1.1742 This zone is high-probability due to strong confluence: • SMC demand / order block • Fib OTE zone (0.705 – 0.79) • EMA 200 support • Rising internal trendline • Marked buyer reaction (green arrow) This area is where institutions typically rebalance long positions. ⸻ Fibonacci Logic Measured from the latest impulse low → high: • 0.5 / 0.62 = shallow retracement • 0.705 – 0.79 = optimal trade entry (OTE) Ideal location for trend continuation longs ⸻ Trade Idea (Continuation Long) Buy on confirmation inside demand • Entry: 1.1730 – 1.1740 • Stop Loss: Below demand (~1.1705) • Targets: • TP1: 1.1779 (EMA 50 / mid-range) • TP2: 1.1800 • Final TP: 1.1820 (marked target point / liquidity above highs) Risk–Reward: ~1:3+ ⸻ Confirmation Triggers (Very Important) Only take the trade if you see: • Bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick • Lower-timeframe CHoCH • Failure to accept below the OTE zone • Momentum expansion after tapping demand ⸻ Invalidation • 1H close below ~1.1705 • Acceptance below EMA 200 + demand If this happens → bullish idea is invalid, and price may seek deeper support. ⸻ Mr SMC Trading point Summary This setup is a textbook bullish pullback: • Trend intact • OTE + demand confluence • Clear upside liquidity target Please support boost this analysis
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
3
Long Opinion on BABAI have been watching Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. ( NYSE:BABA ) for a while, and to me this pullback looks far more like a reset than a breakdown. From a bigger-picture standpoint, I like that this is happening while fundamentals are stabilizing rather than deteriorating. Valuation is still compressed relative to history, cash flow remains strong, and sentiment around China equities has been washed out. That creates a backdrop where I am more willing to trust a technical correction instead of assuming distribution. Technically, the move from 117.60 to 192.67 corrected back into the 146 to 147 area, which is roughly a two-thirds retracement of the prior advance. That depth fits what Dow and myself consider a healthy correction, especially since it lines up with a former resistance level that now appears to be acting as support. What really caught my attention was the behavior on 12/26/25. On the daily chart, price put in a failure swing and reclaimed 151.82. That breakout came with a clear expansion in participation, with 4H volume around 521K versus an eight-day average near 282K (the miniature prior move), which tells me this was more than just a mechanical bounce. Momentum is starting to turn as well. MACD has flipped bullish and moved into positive territory, and on the 4H timeframe price is now holding above the 20-period SMA. I like to use the 20, 50, and 200 moving averages in harmony, and seeing price reclaim the short-term average is, to me, early confirmation that control is beginning to shift back to the upside. If this keeps pushing, I would expect some pauses along the way rather than a straight shot up. First spots I am watching are 154.30 and 157.25, then 160.00. Anything beyond that depends on momentum, with 161.20, 164.25, and 166.36 as the next areas to keep in mind. For now, my bias stays constructively bullish as long as price holds above the prior resistance and current support zone. A clean loss of that area would change the picture, but until then this looks like a continuation attempt rather than a failed rally. Please feel free to share your opinions Thanks,
NYSE:BABALong
by adamnassib
2
ETHUSDT – A Bullish Trend Is Starting to Re-emergeETHUSDT is entering a recovery phase as market sentiment gradually stabilizes after the previous corrective move. Recent news shows no new negative pressure, while speculative capital is beginning to rotate back into major altcoins as Bitcoin and gold hold firm at elevated levels. This environment creates favorable conditions for ETH to regain bullish momentum in the short term. On the H4 chart, the price structure indicates that ETH is closely respecting an ascending trendline, consistently forming higher lows. The area around 2,920 is acting as a key support zone, where price has reacted positively multiple times. Holding above the Ichimoku cloud and maintaining the trendline suggest that selling pressure is fading, with buyers gradually reclaiming control. In the near term, ETH is likely to consolidate above the 2,920 level before extending higher toward the 3,070 region. Any pullbacks that occur should be viewed as technical corrections within a newly forming uptrend, as long as the main support zone remains intact.
Long
by Paradise_Noir
2
XAUUSD Bullish Continuation Gold is trading in a bullish structure after filling the previous gap. Price is holding above the key support zone around 4530–4509, indicating strong buying interest. A minor pullback toward support is possible, but as long as this area holds, bullish continuation is expected. The upside targets remain 4560 and 4590, where price may face resistance. A deeper drop toward 4485–4450 would act as major support and potential reversal zone. Overall bias stays bullish above support.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
4
XAUUSD: Buy the Dip or Break to 4,587? MMF PlayXAUUSD (2H) – MMF Intraday Outlook Market Context Gold remains in a bullish continuation phase after breaking out of the prior accumulation range. Current price action shows a healthy pullback / rebalancing inside an ascending channel — a typical behavior before the next expansion leg, not a reversal signal. Structure & SMC Strong bullish impulse → range formation for liquidity reset. 4,485.981 acts as a key Demand / Bullish OB, where buyers previously stepped in. Liquidity and upside objective are resting near 4,587.447. Key Levels BUY Zone (Demand / OB): 4,486 Mid-range / Pivot: ~4,533 Upside Liquidity Target: 4,587 Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY (Preferred) If price pulls back into 4,486 and shows acceptance (wick rejection / bullish close), Then look for BUY continuation: TP1: range high / intraday resistance TP2: 4,587 Invalidation: clean 2H close below 4,486 → stand aside and reassess structure. Alternative Scenario – Break & Retest BUY If price holds above balance and breaks higher with strong displacement, Then wait for a break–retest to join continuation toward 4,587. Avoid chasing price in the middle of the range. Macro Backdrop Ongoing dovish Fed expectations and softer yields continue to support gold. End-of-month liquidity can cause sharp swings → patience and level-based execution are key. Summary Short-term bias remains bullish as long as 4,486 holds. MMF focus today: buy pullbacks into demand, target 4,587 liquidity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
1 Year / 12M Silver Chart AnalysisDid take a look at 1-Year candle chart of $ilver and try to put the peak of 1979/80 in rough relation to this year 2025. 79/80 the overshoot went up +70% in relation to the prior years close. So if this repeats the same way the overshoot for 2026 would be ~60% with top at 126$ 2025 is the largest freaking candle on this chart. Huge candles often come with follow up.... The measured overshoot for the peak of 2010/2011 amazingly (!) is 61% as well... So from what I see here - a huge 1 Year candle is often followed by a +60% overshoot in the following year. 2010 closed at 30$ - 2011 peaked at 50$.
TVC:SILVERLong
by FJW_Trading
2
Gold in Price Discovery: Why Old Trading Logic FailsMost traders are used to trading gold within familiar price zones. In those areas, the market has history — clear support and resistance, prior highs and lows, and “price memory” to anchor expectations. Every move is referenced to something that happened before: where price once reversed, where heavy selling appeared, where a top was previously formed. But there are phases when gold moves beyond all of those known levels. No historical reference ahead, no familiar zone to anchor bias. At that point, the market shifts into a different state — price discovery . And it is precisely during this phase that many traders start losing money, even though the trend looks “obvious” on the surface. Price discovery is not just a strong rally Many people equate price discovery with a breakout. In reality, a breakout is only the moment the door opens. Price discovery is the path beyond that door — when the market has entered entirely new territory. In this state, familiar reference points fade away. There is no clear resistance, no previously tested zone, and no level that truly feels “safe” to label as cheap or expensive. Price is no longer reacting to the past. It is searching for a new equilibrium — a level the market is testing to see whether it can be accepted. What really changes in price discovery The biggest change is not the speed of price, but how capital participates. In familiar ranges, traders react to levels: buy at support, sell at resistance. Expectations are built on what has already happened. In price discovery, large capital no longer reacts to touches. It positions. Decisions are not based on whether price feels high or low, but on whether the market continues to accept the new price zone. That is why profits in this phase do not come from catching exact tops or bottoms, but from the ability to hold positions while the market has not shown rejection. This is also why many traders: – Identify the trend correctly – Exit too early – Or repeatedly sell against it simply because price “feels too high” The most common mistake in price discovery The issue is not technical analysis, but risk assessment. Many traders measure risk by how far price has already moved — how much it has risen, how far it is from the old base, how “high” it looks. In price discovery, that logic no longer applies. High price does not equal high risk. Real risk only appears when the market begins to reject the new price level — something that often has not happened yet in this phase. Applying old logic to a new market regime causes many traders to stand on the wrong side of dominant capital flows. What the market is actually testing? At this stage, the market is not asking, “How much further can price go?” The core question is: Is the current price level being accepted? If it is accepted, price continues to expand. If it is rejected, the market can return to prior zones quickly and aggressively. Many traders lose not because they miss the trend, but because they are answering the wrong question. The right approach during price discovery Trading in this phase is no longer about finding the “perfect” entry. The focus shifts to: – patience – position management – and reading price reaction instead of guessing targets Those who try to appear smart by selling against the move simply because price feels high usually exit the game early. Those who accept that they do not know how far price can go — but clearly understand when the market has not rejected it — are the ones who can stay with the trend long enough. When gold enters price discovery, the question is no longer, “How much higher can gold go?” It becomes: “Has this price level been rejected yet?” If the answer is still NO , everything else is just personal opinion.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by DomicChaina
4
Stop Hunt or True Breakout?If you've ever entered a trade in the right direction but still got your SL swept right before price rocketed… congratulations — you've witnessed one of gold’s most sophisticated market maneuvers: the Stop Hunt. The problem isn’t that the market is unfair. The real issue is: we can’t tell when price is hunting liquidity and when it’s genuinely breaking out. 1. Stop Hunt — A calculated trap On XAUUSD, stop hunts usually happen around levels that almost every trader draws the same way: short-term highs/lows, obvious support/resistance, or tight consolidation zones. Typical behavior: Price spikes through the level fast and aggressively, but shows no follow-through (no candle closes confirming outside the zone). After sweeping stops, price reverses cleanly — as if the breakout never happened. The objective? Grab liquidity from clustered SL orders sitting above/below key levels before the big players push price in the real direction. 2. True Breakout — The real declaration of control A real breakout doesn’t need to look dramatic. It’s not one lightning-strike candle spearing through a level — it’s a sequence of price action proving that buyers or sellers have fully taken over. How to identify it: Price breaks the level, then: A candle clearly closes outside the level A retest respects the level without slipping back into the old range Market structure continues in the new trend (HH-HL for bullish, LH-LL for bearish) At this point, the breakout is no longer a “test” — it’s a true shift in capital flow. 3. The 5-second rule to spot the difference Breaks level but closes back inside the old zone → Stop Hunt Breaks level, closes outside, retest holds → True Breakout No indicator needed. No complex patterns. Just answer this: Did price hold its ground after the break? If no → liquidity got hunted. If yes → a new trend is born. 4. Survival tactics when trading gold Don’t place SL right above obvious highs or below clear lows Wait for a confirming candle close before entering A retest that respects the level is the safest entry Breakouts with no retest are often fakeouts Gold is a market driven by liquidity first, technique second. Those who understand this don’t just avoid getting stopped out — they trade alongside the real institutional flow.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Paradise_Noir
4