BTC Is Setting Up Something Big…BTC MARKET ANALYSIS – 1H
1. Current Price Structure
- BTC is continuing to trade inside a clean sideways channel between the Support Zone (88,700 – 89,500) and the Resistance Zone (92,500 – 93,500).
- After rejecting the support zone, price has started forming a series of higher lows, indicating short-term bullish momentum building inside the range.
- The current price action shows a corrective leg forming, which aligns with the projection drawn on the chart: slowly climbing toward the resistance zone.
2. Liquidity Zones
Resistance Liquidity (92,500 – 93,500):
- This zone has absorbed liquidity multiple times, showing clear sell pressure and unfilled orders from previous sessions.
Support Liquidity (88,700 – 89,500):
- Several long wicks show strong absorption — buyers consistently defend this region.
BTC is currently traveling from liquidity-to-liquidity, moving upward to target the liquidity cluster above.
3. Today’s Market Scenario
Main Scenario – Bullish Drift Toward Resistance
Price structure suggests that BTC is entering a mid-range accumulation → expansion phase.
The higher low sequence indicates that buyers are slowly gaining control.
BTC is likely to:
- Continue forming minor corrections on the way up.
- Push into the upper resistance zone.
- Potentially sweep the highs inside this zone before any major reaction.
This aligns with the red projection drawn on your chart.
4. Market Psychology
Inside ranges like this, the market often:
- Builds liquidity on both sides.
- Creates clean, predictable swing highs/lows.
- Encourages traders to overreact at small moves.
Smart money typically uses these conditions to accumulate at support and offload at resistance.
BTC is following this exact textbook behavior.
5. Intraday Strategy
Trade Idea (Buy Bias inside the Range)
Entry (BUY): 89,800 – 90,000
Stop Loss: 89,200
Take Profit: 92,800 – 93,400 (Resistance Zone)
Alternative Scenario
If BTC rejects sharply from resistance → sell only after a confirmed break of market structure, with targets back toward mid-range.
Stay patient — BTC is moving in a controlled climb, and the liquidity above is the magnet.
Chart Patterns
Gold Forming a Double Top Pattern?Last week, Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) exhibited sharp movements, both upward and downward, making trading quite challenging.
The key question is whether gold will continue its bullish trend.
Currently, gold is positioned near a resistance zone($4,231 – $4,215) and is moving close to significant support lines. Last week, gold created a bull trap above the resistance zone($4,231 – $4,215).
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that gold has completed wave 5 with an expanding ending diagonal and is now undergoing a pullback towards the lower line of this pattern.
Looking at the classic technical analysis on the 4-hour chart, there’s a potential double top formation, and the momentum from the second top is quite strong, suggesting that gold may break through the support lines and confirm the double top pattern.
On the other hand, factors like the DXY Index ( TVC:DXY ) and the US 10-Year Government Bond Yield ( TVC:US10 ), which are currently bullish, could exert downward pressure on gold.
Considering all these points, I expect that gold will break through the support lines and potentially move down to $4,167.
Note: If gold breaks through the support zone($4,185 – $4,133), we can expect further declines.
First Target: $4,167
Second Target: $4,127
Stop Loss(SL): $4,247(Worst)
Points may shift as the market evolves
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We should also keep in mind that several important US economic indicators will be released this week, which could significantly impact market direction. So be extra cautious with your positions, especially during data releases:
JOLTS Job Openings➡️09 December
Federal Funds Rate➡️10 December
FOMC Statement➡️10 December
FOMC Press Conference➡️10 December
Unemployment Claims➡️11 December
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💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Key resistance ahead of tomorrow’s major news**“Tomorrow, the most important news of 2025 will be released — the U.S. interest rate decision. This announcement is expected to determine the direction of many market trends, including Bitcoin’s. It will show whether the bearish phase is coming to an end or if we’re going to get rejected and continue the downward trend.
In any case, high volatility is likely until tomorrow night, so be cautious with your positions.”**
GBPNZD: Bullish Forecast & Bullish Scenario
Balance of buyers and sellers on the GBPNZD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Understanding SPX Structure Through ConfluenceSPX often reveals its intentions long before a breakout or reversal becomes obvious.
Structure builds, pressure compresses, and price interacts with key reference levels in ways that provide important context — if they can be seen together.
This post highlights three market elements that often work in tandem on SPX intraday charts:
1. Supply and Demand Zones
These structural areas often serve as inflection regions where price tests, rejects, or stabilizes.
The chart shows how recent rotations interacted with both deep demand and a layered supply zone, offering insight into the forces shaping the session’s behavior.
2. Fibonacci Structure and Context
Fibonacci levels and retracements help frame directional moves and measure the maturity of rotations.
Here, various key levels aligned closely with intraday turns, showing how structure and proportion can define areas of interest during trending and counter-trending activity.
3. Compression and Release Behavior
The lower histogram reflects compression cycles — periods when volatility contracts before directional expansion.
Notice how compression built during consolidation and then released into stronger movement, providing early visibility into shifts in directional pressure.
Putting It Together
When zones, Fibonacci context, and compression behavior align, traders gain a clearer picture of where directional pressure is forming, where it may stall, and how evolving structure frames opportunity.
This chart illustrates how confluence across multiple structural elements can offer a more coherent interpretation of SPX price action in real time.
The Idea
Market behavior is not random — it rotates, compresses, tests structure, and expands.
Seeing these elements together in real time provides a framework for clarity and disciplined interpretation.
This post is part of an ongoing exploration into approaches that reveal structure, context, and evolving conditions in fast markets.
A Thought to Leave With
Most traders piece these elements together manually — identifying zones, measuring rotations, watching Fib interactions, tracking compression cycles, and monitoring where directional pressure begins to build. It requires constant attention and experience to see them evolve together in real time.
It does make you wonder, though:
what might change if this structural picture were organized and surfaced automatically — with directional pressure visible as it forms, not just after it appears on a candle?
For those who trade SPX regularly, having that kind of clarity in fast markets could make interpretation feel less reactive and more intentional.
Sometimes the difference isn’t predicting the future — it’s simply seeing the present more clearly.
CPB in BUY ZONEMy trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when at either of these events happen:
* Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones
* Money flow volume spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price in buying zone at bottom of channels
Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under top bottom of Bollinger Band
Entry at $29.28
Target is upper channel around $31.50
Other exits would be moving averages at $30.50 or $31
#DASH/USDT – Bullish Breakout Setup | 1H Chart Analys#DASH
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards breaking above it, with a retest of the upper boundary expected.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which has reached near the lower boundary, and an upward rebound is expected.
There is a key support zone in green at the 48 price level. The price has bounced from this zone multiple times and is expected to bounce again.
We have a trend towards consolidation above the 100-period moving average, as we are moving close to it, which supports the upward movement.
Entry price: 49.50
First target: 51.60
Second target: 54
Third target: 56.81
Don't forget a simple principle: money management.
Place your stop-loss below the support zone in green.
For any questions, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
Adobe Is Down 20%+ YTD. What Its Chart Says Ahead of EarningsAdobe NASDAQ:ADBE plans to release fiscal Q4 results this week at a time when shares of the creative-software giant and former "Cloud King" are down more than 20% year to date. What do ADBE's chart and fundamental analysis say ahead of the report?
Let's take a look:
Adobe's Fundamental Analysis
ADBE expects to unveil its latest earnings after the bell on Wednesday, with the Street looking for $5.40 in adjusted earnings per share on $6.11 billion of revenue.
That would represent a 12.3% gain from the $4.81 in adjusted EPS that Adobe reported in the same quarter last year, as well as 9% growth from its $5.6 billion of sales in fiscal Q4 2024.
Sales growth has actually been a problem for Adobe in recent years, leaving the stock with a valuation of less than 21x forward earnings. That's below the forward price-to-earnings ratio for the S&P 500 as a whole.
A top-line print like what Wall Street is expecting this week won't help matters, as Adobe has posted 10%-11% year-over-year revenue growth for seven consecutive quarters. A 9% gain this time around would represent the first sub-10% growth over the past two years.
Still, Wall Street's community of sell-side analysts appears unfazed.
Of the 31 analysts that I know of that cover ADBE, 26 have boosted their earnings estimates for the upcoming release since the quarter began, while just one lowered their guidance. (Four have made no changes.)
Adobe's Technical Analysis
Now let's see what ADBE's chart looks like going back some eight months and running through Tuesday morning:
Readers will see that Adobe shares fell out of bed after completing a double-top pattern of bearish reversal back in June (as marked with "Top 1" and "Top 2" boxes at the chart's left).
The stock then went on to develop a descending-triangle pattern of bearish continuance that lasted into October (as marked with thick blue diagonal lines at the chart's center).
That formation appeared to work like a charm at first, but then ADBE found support in the $311 area.
In fact, this all might just be a big inverted head-and-shoulders pattern of bullish reversal, but it's too early to be sure.
Meanwhile, Adobe rose 5%+ Friday to a $346.26 close, retaking its 21-day Exponential Average (or "EMA," marked with a green line above) despite no official company news. Holding that line would likely re-engage the swing crowd.
An even bigger test would be if ADBE can hold its 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a squiggly blue line), which I see as Adobe's upside pivot. The stock took that level on Friday.
As for Adobe's other technical indicators, they're looking rather mixed.
The stock's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) has exited a period of weakness and is now neutral.
Similarly, Adobe's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," denoted by black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) is showing some life as well.
The histogram of the 9-day EMA (the blue bars) is now above zero, which is a short-term bullish signal.
The 12-day EMA (the black line) has likewise crossed above the 26-day EMA (the gold line). That's bullish as well -- but both of those lines remain below the zero-bound, which weakens the bullish signal.
An Options Options
Adobe's implied volatility as I write this is calling for a roughly 8% move in the stock's price in response to Wednesday's earnings.
With the stock trading at about $341 Monday afternoon, that would represent about a $27.20 move.
Experienced options traders who aren't averse to risk might choose to employ what's called a "short strangle" in this scenario. That's non-directional strategy used when the trader believes the stock won't move as much as expected.
It's established by selling both a call and put that are out of the money (or "OTM") and have the same expiration dates, while still accounting for implied volatility (or "IV").
Here's an example:
-- Short one ADBE call with a $350 strike price and a Dec. 12 expiration (i.e., post- earnings). This cost about $9 at recent prices.
-- Short one ADBE Dec. 12 $330 put for $7.80 at recent price levels.
Net credit: $16.80.
With a $16.80 net credit, ADBE would either have to trade below $313.20 or above $366.80 at expiration for the options trader to lose money on this set-up.
Should the shares close anywhere between $313.20 and $366.80 at expiration, the options trader would keep the entire $16.80 net credit in the example above.
However, the sale of uncovered options carries significant risk. Shares could trade all the way down to zero or infinitely upward following an earnings release, making the theoretical maximum loss unlimited.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle had no position in ADBE at the time of writing this column.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct.
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Bitcoin (BTC): Seeing Bullish Signs | Need To Re-Claim 100 EMAThe 100 EMA has been tested multiple times on BTC, yet buyers did not manage to fully secure this area. What we see is a continuation of attempts to break this zone completely and secure it, and as buyers are showing volume, we are looking for it to happen.
Setup looks decent; the zone of liquidity is our stop zone, where the major target is the 200 EMA as of now!
Swallow Academy
GBPUSD Bearish Continuation Setup (1H Analysis)GBPUSD Trade Setup (1H Chart)
Key Levels:
Support Zone: 1.32500
Target Zone: 1.32200– 1.31100
GBPUSD continues to trade within a strong bearish structure on the 1H timeframe, with price repeatedly rejecting the upper supply zone. The marked resistance block shows clear seller dominance, as every retest results in a fresh push to the downside.
Price is now heading back toward the highlighted support area, where previous reactions and liquidity grabs took place. This zone will play a decisive role in the next move. A clean breakdown below this support would confirm bearish continuation.
If the support area breaks, the next target levels lie at the marked liquidity zones, where earlier imbalance and demand accumulation occurred. These areas align with the ‘TARGET POINTS’ noted on the chart.
As long as GBPUSD stays below the major resistance block, the bearish bias remains active. A solid 1H candle close above the resistance zone is required to invalidate this bearish setup and shift momentum to the upside.”
Trend: Bearish continuation
Bias: Sell below resistance block
Support Zone: Key reaction zone marked on chart
Target Zone: As highlighted (Target 1 → Target 2)
Invalidation: 1H close above resistance
US30 Short Bias | Resistance Rejection SetupUS30 is showing bearish pressure near the 48,000 zone, which is acting as a short-term resistance area. Price rejection from higher levels suggests weakening bullish momentum and potential continuation to the downside. Lower highs on the intraday timeframe indicate sellers are in control.
Trade Plan:
As long as price remains below 48,050, the bearish setup stays valid. A move toward 47,200 is expected if selling pressure continues. Trail stop once price moves in profit to secure gains.
KEY LEVELS
Entry 48,000
Target 47,200
Stop Lose 48,050
PYTH needs to get the party startedPYTH is sitting on a major demand zone, and momentum is finally showing bullish divergence. Sellers look exhausted, and the volume profile above is thin — meaning any reclaim of this level could trigger a sharp relief move.
Hold this zone and PYTH has room to bounce.
Lose it and the chart hunts lower liquidity.
Key moment for PYTH.
What’s your read?
Analysis of USA Rare Earth $USAR Investment PotentialOverview of Government Investment in Strategic Minerals
USA Rare Earth ( NASDAQ:USAR ) has emerged as a potential candidate for government investment, following in the footsteps of other strategically significant companies. For instance, the Department of Defense (DoD) acquired a 15% stake in MP Materials for $400 million in July 2025, becoming the company's largest shareholder. Additionally, the administration has taken equity positions in Lithium Americas and Trilogy Metals. These actions are part of a broader initiative aimed at securing domestic supply chains for critical minerals.
Current Status and Prospects of USAR
At present, USA Rare Earth is considered a speculative investment due to its lack of profitability. Nevertheless, the company's future prospects appear favorable as it continues to develop rare earth mines and processing facilities. The strategic importance of these resources adds to the potential upside of the company.
Technical Analysis and Trading Strategy
A positive chart pattern has been identified for USAR, characterized by a rounded bottom, a recent pocket pivot, and a flat base formation. As of today, the stock is retracing toward its 21 Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicated in blue on the chart. Ideally, further consolidation around this level would allow the stock to form a clear higher low. Should NASDAQ:USAR achieve this and resume its upward trend, initiating a starter position is planned. If the stock subsequently breaks above the established resistance area, the intention is to build out the position further.
Risk Considerations and Recommendations
Readers are strongly encouraged to conduct their own analysis and to adhere to their individual trading strategies. It is important to recognize that all investments carry inherent risk. Careful and informed decision-making is essential when allocating capital in financial markets.
XAUUSD – Brian | H1 Volume ProfileXAUUSD – Brian | H1 Volume Profile: risk of deep decline as market awaits PCE data
Market snapshot
On H1, gold is declining in a rather "clean" structure, continuously creating lower highs and lower lows.
The 4.175 area is currently the nearest support – if breached, the decline could extend another 50–60 points to lower areas.
Price remains below 4.250 USD, as the market awaits PCE data (Fed's preferred inflation measure) to find a clearer direction.
Technical map – Volume Profile & price areas
Important areas today: 4.210 – 4.200 – 4.175 – 4.164 – 4.133
4.210–4.200: upper area, coinciding with the nearest POC/VAH cluster – selling pressure likely when price retraces here.
4.175: short-term support + area with sell-side liquidity; if this area is lost, price could be pulled to a deeper demand cluster.
4.164–4.133: potential Buy zone in a deep decline scenario – Volume Profile shows significant buying occurred around this area previously.
In short: on H1, the trend is down, prioritize selling according to volume; consider buying only when price falls to a lower discount area.
Trading scenario reference
(Not personalized advice – adjust volume & SL according to your account)
Scenario 1 – Sell following the downtrend structure (priority)
Sell area: 4.210–4.200 (POC/VAH + technical retracement area)
Idea: Wait for price to retrace to this area, observe H1/M15 for rejection candles (long upper tail, pin bar, engulfing…) before activating a Sell order.
Suggested take profit areas: TP1: 4.175
TP2: 4.164
TP3: 4.133 (in case of a strong 50–60 point decline)
Scenario 2 – Buy at deep discount area
Buy area: 4.164–4.133
Idea: Only consider buying when price has "dumped" deeply enough into the buy zone, with clear reversal candles on H1.
At that point, this is a technical retracement play, not trying to catch the bottom of a major trend.
Suggested take profit areas:
TP1: return to 4.175
TP2: 4.200
Macroeconomic context – Why is gold still hesitant?
Gold recorded a slight increase on Friday, but remains within the narrow trading range of the week.
Expectations of a dovish Fed continue to pressure the USD, generally supporting gold in the medium term.
However, buyers are waiting for US PCE data before taking larger positions:
If PCE cools significantly → reinforces the story of an early Fed rate cut → gold could easily rebound.
If PCE remains stubborn → market fears a "hawkish rate cut" scenario from the Fed → yields may rise, adding selling pressure on gold.
Risk management
For the Sell scenario, avoid chasing price in the middle of the area – prioritize waiting for a retracement to POC/VAH before entering, with a tight SL above the 4.210–4.215 area.
If participating in the Buy play at 4.164–4.133, consider splitting TP and moving SL to breakeven as soon as TP1 is reached to avoid constant chart monitoring.






















