Eth Short :: ETF Outflows / DAT RiskETH is in a descending triangle on the 4 hour chart which is a bearish pattern.
A few other factors outside of price action that suggest a possible correction:
Net weekly ETF outflows. -63k ETH last week.
Potential multi-year double top playing out but that won't be invalidated until price falls below $1,000ish which is highly unlikely.
ETH validator exit queue at record high level of 43 days with roughly 25 million ETH queued to exit staking. Not all is likely to be sold, but the record exodus can't be bullish. www.validatorqueue.com
Proliferation of Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs) that add very little value to the ecosystem to justify a premium over readily available ETFs. Given the recent decline in ETH price, many are now trading at a discount to NAV. This creates the potential for a negative spiral by forcing sales of assets which adds further pressure to others. Tom Lee who has a vested interest in DAT success said the DAT bubble has started to pop (DAT bubble..not specifically ETH). This by far is the biggest risk to the space. It may take some time to materialize but if it does, I suspect that it will be unwind rapidly.
There are many incredibly bullish counterarguments that could easily take this back up quickly, so this idea will be invalidated when the upper trend line is broken on volume.
My long-term view is bullish but there is a lot of hype and excess in the space that periodically needs to be cleared out. If the descending triangle plays out, we could see another ~20% drop to the $3,000 range.
I am already short but the more cautious approach is to wait until the lower support is broken on volume.
Chart Patterns
Accumulation / Distribution King of Crypto has some juice left Monthly; it's in the accumulation peak ranges that the parabolic action occurs. While the accumulation /distribution indicator hovers here, I'm more inclined to lean on the Q4 November-December run. When is the cycle at risk of turning into distribution and the mark-down? When we have the first break under the accumulation peak lows. Our accumulation peak lows were in March of this year. I chose that one as it is the post-halving year accumulation/distribution lows, aligning with the 4-year cycle. So, despite the beating that we've taken, we're still poised for the Q4 November-December run.
VIRTUALS – wave 3 in progress?VIRTUALS is currently trying to break through its downtrend line with increasing volume. The decline from January to October 2025 can be seen as an ABC zigzag forming wave 2 within a larger impulsive structure. Could this mean we’re just starting wave 3? The risk/reward ratio isn’t very favorable at the moment, but any pullbacks could be viewed as potential buying opportunities.
#ETC/USDT Might Be Good Zone to Bounce From#ETC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout.
There is a major support area in green at 15.41, representing a strong support point.
We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 15.60
First target: 15.76
Second target: 16.06
Third target: 16.37
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
The latest gold trends and trading strategies:
I. Core Trend Overview
Gold is currently trading in a critical range-bound pattern as the market seeks a clear directional breakout. The upside is constrained by a strong resistance zone between $4145 and $4160, while the downside is supported by a solid support band between $4040 and $4050. The core pivot point for this oscillation is at the $4100 level. Until a decisive breakout occurs, the dominant strategy remains selling near resistance and buying near support.
II. In-Depth Technical Analysis
Resistance Zone ($4145-$4160): Bearish Defense
Multiple Technical Confluences: This area combines resistance from previous highs, the upper Bollinger Band, and a descending trendline, creating a significant technical barrier.
Weakening Momentum: Although the daily MACD shows a golden cross, the shrinking bullish momentum histogram indicates fading buying power and insufficient upward momentum, increasing the probability of a pullback in this zone.
Support Zone ($4040-$4050): Bullish Stronghold
Strong Support Cluster: This zone represents a confluence of support from the middle Bollinger Band, the 50-day moving average, and previous consolidation areas, holding substantial technical importance.
Signs of Bearish Exhaustion: The 4-hour RSI has repeatedly found support and flattened near the 50 level, suggesting weakening selling pressure, substantial buying interest, and underlying potential for a technical rebound.
III. Specific Trading Strategy
For the primary strategy of selling on rallies, consider entering short positions within the $4145-$4160 range. Set stop loss at $4170. Take profit targets are at $4100 followed by $4080. This approach is recommended when price tests multiple resistance levels while momentum indicators show exhausted upward movement.
For the secondary strategy of buying on dips, consider entering long positions within the $4040-$4050 range. Set stop loss at $4030. Take profit targets are at $4100 followed by $4120. This opportunity arises when price retests the key support confluence while the RSI indicates weakening bearish momentum.
IV. Key Risks and Management Strategies
Responding to Range Breakouts:
Upside Breakout: If price breaks strongly above $4170, pause all short positions and monitor whether it will test higher resistance levels such as the $4200-$4250 area. Consider entering light long positions on pullbacks or wait for fresh confirmation signals.
Downside Breakout: If price breaks decisively below $4030, exit all long positions immediately. Consider entering light short positions following the breakout, with targets around the $4000 psychological level and potentially down to $3980.
Risk Control Principles:
Strict Stop-Loss: Always implement fixed stop-losses of $10-$15 for both long and short trades to protect against significant losses from false breakouts.
Position Management: Limit risk per trade to 1%-2% of total capital to maintain sustainability and continued trading capability during range-bound conditions.
V. Summary and Outlook
Gold is currently in an accumulation phase, building energy before a potential directional move. Traders should patiently wait for opportunities near the boundaries of the $4145-$4160 resistance zone and the $4040-$4050 support zone, maintaining a range-trading mindset.
Stay alert to fundamental catalysts such as Fed officials' speeches and US economic data releases, as these events could potentially break the current stalemate and trigger sustained trending moves. Maintain discipline, adhere to risk management rules, and remain flexible until confirmed breakouts occur.
APPLE: Price Action & Swing Analysis
The recent price action on the APPLE pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
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QQQ: Short Trading Opportunity
QQQ
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell QQQ
Entry Level - 617.00
Sl -620.43
Tp - 610.34
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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MSCL - PSX - Technical AnalysisOn weekly TF, based on Bearish Shark Harmonic Pattern, the target price is expected to be 30~33 zone by mid Sep 2026.
On Daily TF, two harmonic patterns have been drawn. Red is Bullish Shark Harmonic Pattern whose potential target is 10.46; and other is Bearish Cypher Harmonic Pattern whose target is 17.63.
Suggested Trade Values are:-
BUY-1: 13.82 (CMP)
BUY-2: 10.50
SL: 9.60
TP-1: 17.63
TP-2: 21.00
TP-3: 33
#ZRO/USDT Reversal Potential Breakout & Fibonacci Retest in Fo#ZRO
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break and continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward move with a breakout.
We have a major support area in green that pushed the price higher at 1.63.
Entry price: 1.68.
First target: 1.71.
Second target: 1.76.
Third target: 1.80.
To manage risk, don't forget stop loss and capital management.
The stop loss is below the support area in green.
When the first target is reached, save some profits and then change the stop order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please comment.
Thank you.
Gold analysis and trading strategy on October 27:
Key Event: US September CPI data came in lower than expected (MoM +0.3%, expected 0.4%), strengthening expectations for a Fed rate cut in October (market-implied probability near 99%).
Core Logic:
Rate cut expectations reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, boosting demand for non-yielding assets.
The US government shutdown and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties continue to support gold's safe-haven appeal.
Easing inflation data has not fully eliminated pressure, providing the Fed with policy flexibility.
Technical Analysis
Daily Chart Structure:
A double-top pattern formed at 4380, with a double-bottom support near 4000, forming a complete fluctuation cycle.
The MACD bearish divergence at high levels remains unrectified, suggesting potential for further correction on the daily chart.
4-Hour Timeframe:
An ABC correction wave is in progress:
Wave A started from 4380. The market is currently in the Wave B rebound phase, potentially followed by the initiation of a Wave C decline.
Key Levels:
Support: 4000-4010 (Bullish lifeline; a break below could trigger a larger-scale correction).
Resistance: 4160 (Key level determining Wave B strength), 4200-4250 (Maximum expected rebound zone).
I. Short Strategy (Primary Approach)
Entry Zone: 4150-4160
Stop Loss: 4170 (Stop loss 8-10 points)
Targets: 4100 → 4050 → 4000 (Take profits progressively)
Technical Basis:
4160 is the key resistance level for confirming the Wave B rebound. If not decisively broken, the Wave C correction might start earlier.
If the rebound extends to the 4200-4250 zone, consider adding to short positions, with a stop loss set above 4260.
II. Long Strategy (Secondary Approach)
Entry Zone: 4005-4010 (Scale in)
Stop Loss: 3995 (Stop loss 8-10 points)
Targets: 4050 → 4100 → 4150 0
Technical Basis:
4000 represents the double-bottom structure and a psychological level. A stabilization here could trigger a technical rebound.
Entry should be confirmed with real-time bullish reversal candlestick signals (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing).
Key Reminders
Risk Management Principles:
Strictly adhere to 8-10 point stop losses. Avoid holding losing positions hoping they will reverse.
Control position size, keeping risk per trade within 5% of total capital to mitigate risk from data volatility.
Breakout Scenarios:
Break above 4160: Pause short-term short strategies. Observe whether the price tests the 4200-4250 zone before considering new short entries.
Break below 4000: Exit long positions. Consider following the downtrend with short positions, targeting the 3950-3900 range.
Data to Monitor:
Focus on the Fed's October FOMC meeting (Oct 29-30) and the resumption of US employment data releases.
Summary
Gold is currently in a phase where the potential end of the Wave B rebound is contending with the possible start of a Wave C correction. The primary trading approach is to sell on rallies, entering shorts when price faces pressure in the key resistance zone (4150-4160). If the price pulls back to the key support zone (4000-4010) and shows signs of stabilization, lightly scaled long positions can be considered. Strictly follow technical signals and risk management discipline, and be prepared to adapt flexibly to potential range breakouts.
XLF PennantA lot of stuff formed a pennant last week and broke out on the CPI news. XLF is one of them, small caps (IWM/RTY1!).
Chart looks very bullish for the next week or two, though we may se a dip Monday or Tuesday because MFI is overbought on my 3 hr futures chart.
Everything says buy the dip.
$NEM Long Bull Flag So, I did take a big hit on my account because I got too excited, I think it's important that I monitor my emotions. It's definitely two different things when you are paper trading and trading with your personal fund. But we will hold apparently although it doesn't make sense. If a mining company performs well on their earnings, it falls and apparently gets back to all-time highs days later. So, I hope this is the case. Alot of analysts still have the company valued at $105 So I guess we will see. I guess it is also my fault instead of waiting for a drawback instead of buying at all-time high. But I guess we shall see.
I believe that NYSE:NEM has found support at $83 being that this is where it is finding support. I think that if its falls anything lower than that (I'm being hopeful by saying this) that it is just a liquidity zone. Trend line is weird we have two huge gaps that need to be filled. If I zoomed out, I would say they look this is a huge bull flag. A very Obvious bull flag you see how bull flags look zoomed in. I think Newmont will rip higher. Also, you know it will definitely go back up and hit the moving average. It may not have this insane run, but I suppose we will see. I think that long terms holders of Newmont will eventually win.
So there goes an update on my thoughts and on my technical analysis.
AS ALWAYS GODBLESS YOU ALL, I PRAY YOU ALL FIND JESUS, HE LOVES YOU AND HE IS ALWAYS THERE YOU ALL, HE DIED FOR YOUR SINS SO THAT YOU CAN BE FORGIVEN AND LIVE WITH HIM ETERNALLY IN HEAVEN.
NZD/CAD ANALYSIS NZD/CAD ANALYSITHIS IS A PLUS SETUP TAKE A LOOKthis is NZD/CAD analysis market overall at the moment is downside trend, but currently the price is going to the major zone which has decided to hold the price immediately then there is also a demand zone which has imbalance also a demand zone which has not been mitigated, therefore it makes it a good place to buy NZD/CAD. in 15 minutes there is a market structure of down trend wait for change of character to happen before starting looking for buying opportunities.
RTY Small Open GapRTY has a small open gap from the Thurs 1 hr break that does not exist on NQ and ES. Pennant breakdown also looks bearish.
ES did not go oversold on RSI last drop like RTY did, so maybe ES melts up and RTY doesn't? Small caps can diverge from NDX and SPX. Also, RTY didn't break out to a new ATH like the otehr 2 indices.
Technical Outlook KSE-100 IndexIssued by: Elite Invest Research Desk
(October 2025 Monthly Review)
🔹 Understanding a Reversal Day
A Reversal Day (or Reversal Candle on higher timeframes) occurs when the market makes a new extreme in the direction of the prevailing trend — a new high in an uptrend or a new low in a downtrend — but then closes in the opposite direction, showing a shift in momentum.
🔍 How to Spot It
In an uptrend, price creates a higher high than the previous period but closes below the prior close → bearish reversal.
In a downtrend, price makes a lower low but closes higher → bullish reversal.
Volume confirmation is key: a reversal is stronger when accompanied by a significant rise in traded volume, indicating institutional activity or profit-taking.
This pattern signals potential exhaustion of the prevailing trend and often marks the beginning of a corrective or opposite phase.
🔹 Current Market Analysis – KSE-100 Index
The KSE-100 Index has delivered a remarkable advance from around 39,000 in early 2023 to a recent peak near 170,000, representing a gain of more than 130,000 points (≈ 330%).
However, the October 2025 monthly candle exhibits classic reversal characteristics:
The index printed a new all-time high near 169,900.
It subsequently closed lower, around 163,300, forming a bearish reversal candle on the monthly timeframe.
Volume surged sharply, reaching one of the highest readings in years — a sign of distribution pressure and profit-booking by large participants.
🔹 Technical Implications
The combination of a reversal candle + high volume suggests that the market’s upward momentum is weakening and that a correction or consolidation phase may follow after this steep, extended run-up.
Outlook
“After an extraordinary 330 % bull run, the KSE-100 is exhibiting early signs of trend exhaustion.
The current monthly candle qualifies as a reversal bar with climactic volume, implying that short- to medium-term caution is warranted.
We expect the market to enter a corrective or consolidation phase before attempting another sustained advance.”
Investors are advised to:
Protect recent gains through partial profit-taking or stop adjustments.
Avoid chasing highs until confirmation of renewed strength.






















