BTC Sep. 9, 2025The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations.
Chart Patterns
BB Update!🔄 Update on Blackberry (BB)
Although Wave 4 of this Minor movement was initially expected to remain within the $3.81 to $4.11 range, there is currently no clear invalidation of the structure, as we haven't seen a retracement below Wave 2 lasting for at least three consecutive daily closes, even with a minimal percentage margin.
📉 Technical Note: A descending triangle appears to be forming within Wave 4. A breakout to the upside from this pattern would project a potential target around $6.24, assuming a repetition of the previous impulsive wave. This level would also align with projections based on the Elliott Wave Theory.
⚠️ It's worth noting that Elliott Wave studies were originally developed to analyze stock indices, so while they can be useful, they should be applied with caution when analyzing individual stocks.
📊 Volume: Today's trading volume remains low, indicating limited commitment from market participants so far.
📈 Key Technical Levels to Watch:
Holding the 200-period moving average (currently around $3.76) would signal structural support.
Breaking above the 20-period moving average (currently at $3.89) would suggest renewed bullish potential.
A confirmed breakout above $4.16 would further validate the uptrend scenario.
This is a technical financial analysis. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
Take care!
ETH Pullback before ATH and AltseasonOver the past few months, ETH has been a beast. Now it needs to cool off before it can push to higher highs, igniting the broader altcoin market and the long-awaited "altseason."
Coinciding with an oversold RSI, I anticipate that we will see a "sell the news" event for next week's FOMC announcement on 9/17. This aligns with historic seasonality of September being a bearish month.
My forecast is that we pull back to the $3,900-$3,500 zone (.618 fib and 21 week EMA confluence) before pushing to higher highs.
IF ETH holds above $5k with volume, this will allow the broader altcoin market to pump, attracting massive liquidity to close out Q4 in euphoria.
Happy trading,
Melonfarmer
Be Caution About Opening Any Long Position🥱 Since 2017, I have never seen the crypto market this boring and stagnant. The best strategy in such conditions is simply to stay away from trading, because the risk-to-reward ratio of any trade at the moment is not attractive enough to justify entering.
👉 Anyway, let’s take a look at Bitcoin’s current situation.
📥 The $123,000 zone acted as a key resistance, and in my view, the second rejection should be considered as wave B, At the moment, we are in the cycle of wave C
📉 I believe wave C still has one more leg down toward the $104,000 area, as wave 5 of C.
👉 As long as the price is trading below the $113,000 range, entering any long positions is not recommended.
EUR/USD - Critical Supply rejection for a deeper pull back📈 EUR/USD – Critical Supply Rejection or Deeper Pullback?
🕰 Weekly View
Price is moving between weekly demand (discount zone) and weekly supply.
Structure still bearish overall, but strong demand holds around 1.05–1.10.
Current swing is testing supply with imbalances below that still need filling.
📊 Daily Structure
We’ve tapped into weekly supply + daily supply overlap.
Buy-side liquidity has been swept, meaning stops above highs are cleared.
Two clear buy zones sit below:
~1.14–1.15 (daily demand + support confluence)
~1.08–1.10 (deep demand + swing range discount).
⏱ 8H Breakdown
BOS confirmed bullish push into supply, but now reacting bearishly.
Price is rejecting daily supply and likely pulling back toward daily demand at 1.15–1.16.
If that fails, we could sweep deeper into major daily support near 1.13 before continuing higher.
Bigger swing bias still favors upside after liquidity grabs — but retracements are needed first.
🎯 Trade Outlook
Scenario 1 (short-term bearish):
Supply rejection holds, price drops into 1.15–1.16 demand zone before finding support.
Scenario 2 (bullish continuation):
A deeper sweep into 1.13–1.14 demand before expansion higher.
If support holds, potential rally back into 1.18–1.19 (supply re-test).
⚡ Bias
Short-term bearish into demand → looking for a higher-low formation before the next leg up.
If demand zones fail, expect deeper retracement before bulls step back in.
PLAN XAUUSD 09 Sep, 2025✅Related Information:!!!
🎗️ USD continues its downtrend after a brief rebound in Asian trading on Monday, currently at its lowest level in seven weeks against six major currencies.
🎗️There is speculation that the Fed may deliver more than two rate cuts this year. However, attention now shifts to the revision of the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, scheduled to be released later in the day, which will cover the period from April 2024 to March 2025.
✅Important price zone to consider : !!!
resistance zone point: 3642 zone
XAUUSD 1H – Rising Channel | Possible Rejection | CORRECTIONFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Structure | Trend | Key Reaction Zones
Price is trading inside a rising channel, recently hitting an overextended zone near 3675 where sellers stepped in. Current movement shows bearish rejection with downside pressure.
Market Overview
Gold has been making higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), confirming bullish structure. However, the latest rejection from the channel top signals weakness, with sellers taking control in the short term. Demand zones below may provide temporary support, but risk of a breakdown remains if 3626/3613 levels are breached.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Bounce from 3626 zone could send price back toward 3649 and possibly retest 3675.
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → A clear break below 3626/3613 opens the path toward 3575, with extended downside into 3511 liquidity zone.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 3649 – 3675
Support 🟢: 3626 – 3613 | 3575 | 3511
Trade Setup (Short-Term)
🎯 Target 1: 3626
🎯 Target 2: 3613
🎯 Target 3: 3575
⛔ Stoploss: 3675 (Invalidation above channel top)
⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
BTC/USDT Analysis. Expecting a Breakout of the Local High
Hello everyone! This is a trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics, and here’s the daily market analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin tested the previously marked sell zone at $112,200–$113,200 (volume area), where we saw only a minor reaction.
The overall context, along with the large cluster of stop orders above $113,500, suggests a high probability of continued upward movement toward the next resistance zones: $114,400–$115,500 (volume area) and ~$116,500 (volume anomaly). At those levels, it will be important to watch for selling pressure, as another significant correction may occur.
Currently, the price is holding above local support at $112,600–$112,000. If buyers manage to protect this zone, we can expect another upward impulse. A breakdown and consolidation below it, however, may extend the decline at least toward the next support.
Buy Zones:
$111,000–$110,600 (volume area)
$108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
$114,400–$115,500 (volume area)
~$116,500 (volume anomaly)
$117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
$121,200–$122,200 (buying absorption)
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
EUR/USD Market WatchEUR/USD is pulling back into a strong support zone. This is exactly where we prepare — not where we predict.
Right now, structure looks good, but we need confirmation before anything else:
✅ Engulfing Candle
✅ Strong Volume
✅ Aligned Momentum
Until those three line up, this is just a setup in progress.
⚔️ War Room Lesson: The market rewards patience. We don’t chase moves — we wait for Structure, Signal, Volume, and Momentum to align before we act.
EUR/USD Reverses as Treasury Yields Drift Higher on Tuesday EUR/USD rates reversed from their yearly high on Tuesday as U.S. Treasury yields moved to their highs of the day. French President Emmanuel Macron announced that he would appoint Defense Minister Sebastien Lecornu as the next Prime Minister following the collapse of the government yesterday. Traders are now turning their attention to the PPI release out of the United States on Wednesday morning.
EUR/USD rates fell back into their multi-week trading range that’s been carved out since the beginning of August. The range, broadly speaking, from 1.16 to 1.1750, has potentially been part of a months-long topping process that the pair has been undergoing. A reversal back into the range suggests a return to the other side; support comes in play at 1.16, both in the form of the range low and the uptrend from the February, March, and August swing lows.
DOGE/USDT LPL on 4hr chart. Trading on 1hr time-framePrice failed to create new FVG off previous FVG and instead a LOW PROBABILITY LEG (LPL) was formed ON 4HR time-frame. Price may possibly use this LPL as a new discount array to move higher from. All the best.
short goldtrying ICT's CBDR (central bannk dealing range) for the first time in half a decade to see how it goes. short gold
ETHUSD protracted sideways consolidation support at 4,100The ETHUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4,100 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4,100 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4,450 – initial resistance
4,730 – psychological and structural level
5,070 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4,100 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3,990 – minor support
3,830 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the ETHUSD holds above 4,100. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
ENAUSDT → Attempting a trend change. Focus on 0.700BINANCE:ENAUSDT is forming an attempt to change the trend. The price breaks the descending resistance and forms a new trading range. The focus on the 0.7 support and the bulls' reaction...
Bitcoin looks quite positive after breaking the downside resistance, but there is a strong 112K zone ahead and news on Thursday / Friday. If the general backdrop maintains its bullishness, BTC's rise will support strong altcoins and the market could turn green, including the coin discussed in this publication...
ENAUSDT breaks through the downtrend resistance. Price is consolidating above the boundary and forming a trading range. The focus is on the 0.7 - 0.683 area. If the bulls keep the price above this area, it will confirm the fact of trend change, which could trigger a rally to 0.7745 - 0.853
Support levels: 0.7, 0.683, 0.668
Resistance levels: 0.736, 0.7745
Technically, there is a possible struggle between market participants for the area 0.7 - 0.668. In this case, I will not consider the return to the channel as a false breakout of the trend, as a strong upward impulse was formed earlier, which generally broke the local market structure. However, based on the technical situation, I will consider entering the position after clear signs of price holding above the key support zone.
Regards R. Linda!
Will AUD/JPY Break 97.5? Bullish Thief Plan & Fundamental Edge🔑 AUD/JPY “Aussie vs Yen” | Thief Market Plan 🎭 (Swing/Day Trade)
📌 Plan Overview
Bias: Bullish (Pending Order Plan)
Entry Idea: Breakout above 97.500 ⚡ Moving Average Dynamic Line
Thief Layer Strategy:
Multiple Buy Limit Orders → 96.500 | 97.000 | 97.500 | 97.700
You can increase layer entries based on your own plan.
✅ Always confirm with breakout before entry.
🔔 Set an alert in TradingView to catch breakout moves easily.
Stop Loss (SL): Thief SL suggested near 96.300 (after breakout level).
Note: This is not a fixed rule—adjust SL according to your own risk management.
Take Profit (TP): Resistance barricade at 99.000 (overbought + liquidity trap zone).
Note: Escape with profits before the police barricade! 🎯
🧭 Why This Plan? (Thief OG Strategy + Market Analysis)
📊 AUD/JPY Key Data (08 Sept 2025)
Prev. Close: 97.35
Day’s Range: 96.82 – 97.35
Change: -0.44 (-0.45%)
😰 Fear & Greed Sentiment
CNN Fear & Greed Index → 51.5 (Neutral)
Market momentum balanced, mild caution amid geopolitical risk.
🏛 Retail vs Institutional Sentiment
🧑💼 Retail Traders → Bullish 60% | Bearish 40%
Retail leaning bullish thanks to AUD resilience.
🏦 Institutional Outlook → Bullish bias (AUD strength vs BOJ dovishness)
Concerns: Japanese political uncertainty (PM resignation).
Macro Score: 7/10 in favor of AUD.
🌍 Fundamental & Macro Drivers
✅ AUD Strengths
🔥 Inflation hot (July CPI +2.8% y/y)
🏠 Household spending growth (+5.1% y/y)
🏦 RBA keeping policy steady (hawkish tilt)
❌ JPY Weaknesses
🕊️ BOJ dovish stance continues
🏛️ Political instability (PM resignation)
🚗 US auto tariff cuts pressuring JPY
🐂🐻 Market Outlook
Bullish (Long) Score: 70%
Bearish (Short) Score: 30%
Summary: AUD/JPY shows bullish structure above 97.00, but caution on overbought signals after 10-day rally.
⚠️ Risks to Watch
US NFP (Sept 12) → May drive USD/JPY flows.
Overbought daily RSI signals.
Geopolitical volatility (China & Ukraine).
🎯 Bottom Line
AUD/JPY maintains a bullish bias 🟢 with fundamentals, sentiment, and Thief layering strategy supporting higher targets.
📌 Monitor 97.45–97.50 breakout zone → potential continuation toward 99.000.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch
FX:USDJPY | OANDA:AUDUSD | OANDA:EURJPY | OANDA:GBPJPY
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#audjpy #forex #swingtrade #daytrade #fundamentalanalysis #sentiment #thieftrader #forexanalysis #macromarket #currencytrading
Gold continues to exhibit strong bullish characteristics.Gold continues to exhibit strong bullish characteristics.
News Summary:
The market awaits the revised annual non-farm payroll data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, to be released on September 9th.
Several institutions predict that this revision will significantly reduce employment growth.
A significant downward revision to employment growth will increase pressure on the Federal Reserve to ease policy.
Summary: This revised data may further reinforce market expectations of rate cuts, providing additional support for gold prices.
Technical Analysis:
Gold prices are currently forming an ascending triangle pattern that is converging and accelerating upward.
Currently, key trend support levels are: 3580-3600.
Gold prices have risen for three consecutive weeks and are expected to continue their upward trend this week, with a high probability of breaking through the 3700 mark.
Buying at low prices remains the most stable way to profit in day trading.
Next, we will review several key points to note.
1: As long as the gold price is above $3600, it should be considered a strong bullish trend.
2: As long as the gold price is above $3,500, the trend will not reverse to a bearish one and can only be considered bullish within a wide range.
3: The current intraday trading strategy is to buy on dips.
4: Current resistance levels: 3,660-3,680, breakout target: 3,700+.
5: Current support levels: 3,640, 3,620, 3,615, 3,600, 3,580 (use these support levels to enter long positions and set stop-loss orders).
6: As gold prices accelerate, vigilance is crucial. The risk of a potential waterfall-like market correction is increasing.
The possibility of a significant range-bound correction is inevitable, so risk management must be carefully considered when trading intraday.
Summary: The gold market has shown strong bullish characteristics during this period, with both technical and news factors supporting further price increases.
Short-term traders: We recommend a buy-on-retracement strategy, focusing on the $3,625-3,600 support area. As long as gold prices retreat to support levels of 3600 or 3585 and stabilize, it's time to follow the upward trend.
On the upside, focus on the resistance levels of 3650-3660 in the short term.
Medium-term investors can build positions in batches, gradually increasing their positions as gold prices retreat to key support levels.
Looking ahead, we expect gold prices to rise towards $3700/oz, $3750/oz, and even $3800/oz.
Medium-term investors can keep an eye on these target levels.
SILVER: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 40.925 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 40.796 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EUR/NZD Short – Wyckoff Distribution PlayEntered a short on EUR/NZD following clear signs of distribution and supply absorption failure. Position taken after upthrust confirmation, targeting previous demand zone with risk defined above the structure.
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends,
>> Thank you for joining me in my analysis.
- As I mentioned in my previous idea, we are still moving in this micro correction wave X likely the pink color here.
- Now we have these movements for the white wave B, it will be a harder wave to analysis, So I have now two scenarios for it
1st: if it will break 110K, I will extend this white wave B to be as the Blue WXY waves.
2nd: if it will back to break 113.3K, I will monitor 1D TF, and I think we will watch an irregular flat pattern for this white wave B to be as the yellow WXY waves .
>> Reminder:
* For the bigger imagination of the BTC path, we are still moving into the Orange wave A of the final White C for ABC from its beginning.
* For the smaller imagination of the BTC path, we are still moving into the Blue wave B of the final Green C for the upper Orange wave A.
* For the tighter imagination of the BTC path, I think we are still moving into the correction wave A for the upper Blue wave B.
Keep liking and supporting me to continue. See you soon!
Thanks, bros
EURUSD: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.17139 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.16966.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURCADDouble Top pattern found with Brarish divergence in EURCAD 1H time frame, which looks like bearish. Expected Entry point, Stop loss and TP mentioned.
Intra-Day Trade Review: GOLD, Ethereum, Bitcoin, OilHey guys heres a quick review on FX:XAUUSD , COINBASE:ETHUSD , FX:USOIL & BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Let me know your thoughts in the comment section below.
Cheers!
