BABA: when China allows growth againAlibaba remains one of the most undervalued mega-cap tech companies globally. After years of regulatory pressure and weak macro conditions in China, the company is entering a stabilization phase. Regulatory risks have eased, and Chinese authorities are signaling support for the technology sector and domestic consumption. Alibaba continues to generate strong cash flow, operates a massive ecosystem across e-commerce, cloud, and logistics, and actively executes share buybacks, reducing float. At current levels, the market is pricing in excessive pessimism, creating asymmetric upside if macro conditions improve.
From a technical perspective, price is trading inside a rising channel. After a strong impulse, the market moved into a corrective phase, forming a swing zone. Price remains above key EMA levels, confirming a valid medium-term uptrend. The current area represents a buyer interest zone aligned with structural support and Fibonacci levels. Declining volume during the pullback supports the idea of a healthy correction rather than trend reversal.
Trading plan: as long as price holds above the current support zone and confirmation appears, long positions become attractive. The first target is a return to previous highs, followed by Fibonacci extensions. Medium-term targets align with the upper boundary of the channel. A breakdown below the swing zone would invalidate the bullish scenario and signal deeper correction.
The best opportunities often appear when fear fades but confidence hasn’t returned yet.
