Sure, the Yen is overly weak on a trade-weighted basis BUT it is the least weak versus the USD!
E.g., For any intervention to be effective it ought target just about any other high yielding spread/pair EXCEPT for the USD!
Having established that, it is still far more likely that any intervention would target the USD/JPY directly than the rest, if for no other...
Considering China's (ongoing!!) predicament caused by an oncoming, abject, demographic (urban, industrial) collapse, the obvious consequence is a stand-alone Japan's as the region's only remaining super power" ... Making this Short a no-brainer, probably well over a decade and a half.
The Long Term Price Target on this pair is: 10! (I.e. a >50% Decline ...,
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Based on the COT reports released today, focusing on CNH and JPY CME Contracts, it can be seen that bigboys interest accumulated 73.2% renminbi long contracts and 20.7% renminbi short contracts . As for the Yen , they still tend to short contracts 46.1% which is much more than long contracts which are only 6% . It can be concluded that the big boys...
Whom do you trust anyways, the Commie Chinese or "kamikaze Kuroda"??... When push comes to shove Ol' Kuroda is still the right bet. (And it's about to come to that, sooner rather than later.)
All "fundamentals" aside, this is one of the most lopsided carry trades out there. (If not The Most...) That alone is deserving a massive sell-off here, about the size of Montana.
Hurray... wolves🔥
There is an ascending triangle on CNHJPY.
There was a strong bullish sentiment before.
Now it seems like possible breakout of resistance zone has been done.
Follow the chart and look for the best price to enter carefully.
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For some strange reason the retail trade still appears to believe that the good old stand-bys are working as carry trades" ( AUDJPY , NZDJPY , GBPJPY , etc.) The fact remains that today, those don't even make the Top 5 of professional traders' (e.g., the industry) preference list.
Interest rate differentials combined with existing margin rates make most of the...
This pair is about to take a multi-year dive (not, yet!) speaking volumes of a developing global crisis (risk-off).
Here is the Daily for more precise timing.
Bearish for CNHJPY, Analyze by. Preetinder86
CNHJPY right now at channel down after success break Head and shoulders pattern.
to follow downtrend, sell at trendline resistance will be a great idea, with stoploss around fibonacci 236.
tne best profit position at fibonacci 618 at 16.362
We have a very clear setup with the market rolling over after hitting an options expirations key level, since the Yen pairs soared due to Bernanke's helicopter money suggestion to Kuroda. In this chart you can observe the trade weighted index chart behavior, to more clearly illustrate the true strength in the Yen, clearly, this year's top investment, closely tied...
I think that either one of the two price movements are completely viable.
The blue line is the 0.786 and 1.272 confluence region, so if you want to enter based on the confluence then short this now since it has already reached this area a few days ago.
Alternatively, if you would prefer to rely on the market meeting the 0.786 retracement as an entrance point,...
Similar to the NZDUSD breakout play; we have consolidation along the upper edge of the wedge. This is a clear indication of impending breakout to the upside.
When the price hits that first moving average we will move the stop up to break even to lock in potential losses.
