Could we see a reversal from here?XAU/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 4,156.76
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss:4,195.51
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 4,099.93
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Commodities
GOLD Will Move Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 4,126.79.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 4,038.14 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USOIL Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 15m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 57.983.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 57.471 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Stop!Loss|Market View: EURUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the EURUSD currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 1.14869
💰TP: 1.14036
⛔️SL: 1.15401
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: The US dollar continues to strengthen, and its upside potential is likely yet to be realized in the medium term. Against this backdrop, selling pressure on the euro remains high, and the 1.14000 target remains a seller's focus. The current accumulation just below 1.15500 offers a potential opportunity to consider short-term selling through a breakout of the lower boundary.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
Gold Weakens as Sellers Regain ControlHello everyone, gold is starting to lose its upward momentum when looking at the 4H chart: the price is hovering around 4,065 USD, right after a firm rejection from the 4,090–4,100 USD region. A series of small-bodied candles with long upper wicks suggests that buyers are slowing down, while sellers are stepping back in and taking control each time price approaches the supply zone above.
Technically, the Ichimoku cloud has flattened and begun tilting downward—a familiar sign of a weak, slightly bearish sideways market. Just overhead, the 4,090–4,100 USD zone aligns with an unfilled red FVG, forming a strong resistance layer that makes it difficult for gold to break higher. On the downside, the nearest support sits at 4,040–4,030 USD, where a green FVG and an old liquidity cluster previously triggered strong reactions.
The external backdrop doesn’t support gold either: the USD is recovering well following stronger-than-expected US economic data, the 10-year Treasury yield is holding around 4.1%, and US–EU equities continue rising thanks to Big Tech. Capital is moving away from safe-haven assets, leaving gold without much momentum to rebound in the short term.
Given all these signals, I lean toward one primary scenario: gold may pull back to retest the 4,040–4,030 USD zone in the coming sessions. If that area breaks cleanly, the next target would be 4,000 USD—a high-liquidity region that has produced strong bounces in the past. On the other hand, as long as 4,090 continues to reject price, gold is likely to remain in a tight 4,050–4,090 range rather than resume an immediate uptrend.
What do you think—will 4,040 hold this time, or will gold need to revisit 4,000 before finding new buying pressure?
XAUUSD: Running flat, bias is bearish.
Wave count targets 3890.64 and 3745.24, invalidation at 4134.32. Structure is unresolved risk entries are possible, but confirmation still needed. If invalidation occurs, support may develop near 0.618(4154.04) and 0.764(4188.76) Fibonacci retracement.
Count valid below 4134.32
Bearish bias
Monitoring fib pivots for alternate scenario
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Gold Breaks Out — Can Buyers Hold?Gold broke out of the consolidation range yesterday, finally pushing above the 4098 level and extending into the 4142 resistance zone.
Price is now sitting above both the MA50 and MA200 — a constructive sign — but both moving averages remain flat, showing that momentum has not fully shifted yet.
If buyers want to build on this breakout, they need a clean hold above 4142. A confirmed break here would open the path toward 4198 → 4232.
If gold fails to clear 4142, we could see a pullback. First support sits at 4098, followed by 4052.
A deeper correction would bring us back into the Support Zone (4016–3968), with the HTF Support Zone (3921–3862) acting as the major safety net.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4142
4198
4232
Support:
4098
4052
4016
3968
3921
3862
📰 Fundamental Focus:
Today brings the first batch of high-impact U.S. data for the week, including Core PPI, PPI, and Retail Sales — all key indicators of inflation and consumer strength. Traders should be prepared for sharper moves as the market reacts to inflation and consumer-spending data.
WTI: Buyers Return After a False BreakoutOn the daily timeframe, buyers absorbed the sellers, and a false-breakout pattern has formed on the 4H chart. The nearest targets are 60.22 and 60.981.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
Hello, traders and investors!
Oil is showing early signs of recovery. On the daily timeframe, the key level is 57.768 — the base of a buyer candle with increased volume during the last upward impulse. A high-volume seller candle interacted with this level, and yesterday’s daily buyer candle absorbed the seller, indicating strengthening buyer initiative. It’s also worth noting that in both candles, the key volume was accumulated at the bottom.
The blue band on the chart represents the minimal price range of the candle where 50% of the volume was accumulated.
The blue line marks the price level with the maximum accumulated volume.
On the 4-hour timeframe, the price is in a sideways range. A false-breakout pattern has just formed at the lower boundary of this range. The nearest target is 60.22, which aligns with the 50% level of the trading range — an important point to monitor. The next target is 60.981.
Wishing you profitable trades!
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of breakdown of your analysis idea based on the chart you provided (XAUUSD – 4H):
---
Chart Overview
Symbol: Gold Spot (XAUUSD)
Timeframe: 4H
Indicators used: EMA 50 (blue), EMA 200 (black)
Current price: ~4095.58
Key support zone: 4060 – 4075 region
Target: 4125 – 4130
---
Idea Explanation
1. Market Structure
Price has recently broken upward strongly from the EMA50 zone.
Expectation: A retracement back into the Demand Zone (blue region).
Fibonacci levels shown: 0.5 / 0.618 / 0.705 / 0.786
Expected retracement point appears around 4070–4065.
2. Trade Plan
Bullish Scenario
Wait for price to retrace into the Demand Zone
Look for confirmations (rejection candle, BOS, liquidity sweep)
Enter long position between 4075 – 4065
SL likely beneath 4050–4045
TP area 4125 – 4130
3. Liquidity Concept
Chart shows a liquidity grab (sweep) below previous lows inside the demand zone
After sweep → expectation of impulsive move upward
---
Target & Risk Management
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit R:R
4075–4065 4045 4125–4130 approx 1:3 – 1:4
---
Summary
Bias: Bullish continuation
Strategy: Retracement to demand + Fibonacci confluence + EMA support
Target aligned with next significant high & liquidity area
Mr SMC Trading point
---
My Personal Insight
This setup is clean and valid. The key will be waiting for price to confirm rejection in the zone. If news volatility pushes price deeper, 4060–4050 is strong institutional level.
---
please support boost 🚀 this analysis
XAU/USD – Price Reaches Key Supply ZoneXAU/USD – Price Reaches Key Supply Zone, Bearish Reaction Expected
Gold on the H1 timeframe has completed a full A–B–C corrective structure, pushing price back into a major supply zone where sellers previously dominated. As price taps this zone again, the candlestick behavior shows hesitation and shrinking momentum — a classic signal of weakening buying pressure before a potential reversal.
This setup aligns with a typical rising correction into supply, often followed by a downside leg if sellers regain control.
Key Technical Zones
Supply (Strong Resistance)
4145 – 4170
The zone where price rejected sharply in the past, now being retested. Market structure suggests sellers may step in again.
First Support
4085 – 4095
A short-term liquidity pocket. A break below this area increases bearish confirmation.
Major Support
4015 – 4030
The deeper target if bearish momentum expands.
Trend Outlook
Price has reached a critical exhaustion point at the top of the pattern.
Rising wedge-like momentum combined with previous sell-offs at the same zone increases bearish probability.
If the rejection holds, gold may start a short-term downtrend targeting lower liquidity zones.
Trade Strategy (Sell Bias)
1. Short Position (Primary Plan)
Entry Zone: 4140 – 4155
Stop Loss: Above 4172
TP1: 4090
TP2: 4035
TP3: 4015 (extended target)
2. Alternative Breakout Plan
If price breaks and holds above 4172 on H1:
Invalidate bearish bias
Wait for new structure before considering longs
Market Notes
Current price action shows exhaustion wicks and compression into resistance.
Ideal confirmation is an H1 bearish engulfing or structure break below 4125–4130.
Avoid FOMO entries midway; only trade at zones where risk is controlled.
If you find this analysis useful, save it and follow for more high-quality setups updated daily.
Gold Pauses as Sellers Signal a Potential Downward Move AheadHello everyone,
Gold has just gone through a rather “heavy” session after being strongly rejected at the 4,090–4,100 USD area — a region where sellers seem ready to step in the moment price attempts to move higher. At the moment, gold has pulled back to around 4,065 USD, and the repeated appearance of small-bodied candles with long upper wicks looks like a reminder that the market is becoming tired after the previous bullish move.
External conditions are adding more pressure as well: the USD has strengthened sharply following US economic data that beat expectations, the 10-year Treasury yield remains above 4%, and equity markets continue to rally thanks to Big Tech. With capital flowing out of safe-haven assets, gold simply lacks the “immediate reason” to bounce strongly right now.
With everything that’s unfolding, I’m leaning towards a clear scenario: gold is likely to slide down toward the 4,040–4,030 USD zone to test liquidity. If this area fails to hold, a drop toward 4,000 USD becomes a very real possibility — and that’s where the market may decide whether buyers still have enough strength to return.
What about you — do you think gold can defend 4,040 and rebound, or will it need to fall all the way to 4,000 before any recovery can happen?
COPX: watching for upside momentum to continue Price is reacting constructively from the ideal mid-term support area established at the November bottom.
The trend structure suggests potential for at least one more leg to the upside into the 71–75 resistance zone, as long as the November lows continue to hold.
Chart:
How to choose a direction at the end of a triangular formation#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
Although gold is still in a volatile market in the short term, its current trend has entered the end of a converging triangle pattern, and the market is getting closer to choosing a direction.
The market has recently been driven primarily by news, and the current geopolitical tensions, coupled with the stalled Russia-Ukraine peace talks, may trigger a new wave of risk aversion. Therefore, during the European session, we can consider going long on gold when it retraces to the 4040-4030 range.
Oil Upd:Price at Resistance–But the Real Story Is in OptionFlowRight now, price has reached the upper boundary of the 1σ Expected Range (ER).
A pause or rejection here is possible.
But that’s not the main story.
Bears are getting active in the options market.
First sign: A significant Put Condor has appeared — large enough to stand out.
Target range: $55–$57
Timeframe: 20 days to expiry
📌 For those still learning:
A Condor profits most when price stays within a tight range at expiry.
Second wave of bearish positioning:
Additional players are placing Put Spreads targeting $54–$55, but with a much shorter horizon — 5–7 days.
This shows a layered approach:
Short and mid- term pressure expected
🧠 Bottom Line:
I’m not jumping into shorts right now — and I wouldn’t advise it blindly.
But given this growing bearish sentiment, it’s smart to start looking for short setups
Sentiment is building.
GOLD/ SILVER RATIO - Quarterly FlagBeautiful looking quarterly flag present on the gold silver ratio, should this break down, which would be likely to play out over the next 12-18 months (at most) then expect much higher silver prices.
I would expect to see the ratio hit between 50-30 should this flag pattern materialize.
Gold - This is the bullrun top!⚰️Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is slowly reversing now:
🔎Analysis summary:
Starting back in the end of 2015, Gold established another major bullish cycle. Ever since the rounding bottom breakout, Gold has been rallying higher and higher. But at this exact moment, Gold retests major resistance and is slowly starting to create a reversal.
📝Levels to watch:
$4,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
USOIL FREE SIGNAL|SHORT|
✅WTI OIL is returning into the higher-timeframe supply after clearing buy-side liquidity, signaling distribution. If rejection confirms, bearish displacement could drive price toward the sell-side liquidity target below.
—————————
Entry: 58.70$
Stop Loss: 59.00$
Take Profit: 58.12$
Time Frame: 3H
—————————
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
GOLD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD has reacted from the horizontal demand after sweeping sell-side liquidity, suggesting early accumulation. If bullish intent holds, SMC order-flow favors a move toward the next buy-side liquidity above.
--------------------
Stop Loss: 4,134$
Take Profit: 4,202$
Entry Level: 4,161$
Time Frame: 3H
--------------------
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
WTI Crude Holds at Its Lowest Levels of the YearWTI crude oil continues to show a steady bearish bias below the 60-dollar area in the short term. For now, selling pressure has remained firm, while recent comments regarding the military conflict between Ukraine and Russia point to an increase in reinforcements aimed at achieving a possible ceasefire. Such a scenario could reduce the economic sanctions currently imposed on Russia and, over time, become an important factor that drives a stronger-than-expected recovery in global crude production. This backdrop has kept confidence in the price of the barrel limited, reinforcing a persistent bearish tone that could continue if an official ceasefire is eventually reached.
Medium-Term Trend Remains Firm:
During the second half of the year, the prevailing bearish movements in WTI have maintained a perspective aligned with a solid medium-term downward trendline. So far, no meaningful buying corrections have appeared that could threaten this bearish structure in recent weeks, making it likely that this formation will continue to dominate most price movements in the medium term—especially if the market continues to trade below the 50-period simple moving average.
Neutrality Begins to Emerge in Indicators:
At the moment, both the RSI line and the MACD histogram remain oscillating within the neutral range of their respective indicators. This suggests that, in the short term, both the average selling and buying impulses and the directional strength of the moving averages remain in a neutral and indecisive zone, which can partly be explained by the price interacting with important support areas. What matters here is that as long as both indicators maintain this neutral stance, they could open the door for potential bullish corrections to develop in the coming sessions.
Key Levels to Watch:
60 dollars: This is the main resistance on the chart, aligned with the current downward trendline, the barrier marked by the 50-period moving average, and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Buying moves that manage to break above this area could trigger a break of the bearish trend, potentially activating a more constructive bullish tone.
58 dollars: This level corresponds to the most recent zone of indecision and could become the reference area to monitor if bullish corrections begin to form within current price movements.
57 dollars: This marks the lowest level of the year and stands as the most relevant bearish barrier at the moment. Selling moves that break below this level could open the door to a more aggressive bearish bias, extending the current downward trend even further.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT - Market Analyst
Gold Market at turning point | target inside The Gold is running in the bullish trend, it can change the direction into the bearish when the price touch 4189 to 4211, then the price can fall till 4157.
If price breaks 4223, it can fly till 4247, if the price respects 4189 to 4211, it can give us more pips and we can see a big drop.
What's your idea about it.






















