SILVER: Market Sentiment & Price Action
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the SILVER pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
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Commodities
USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) Intraday & Swing Outlook🛢️ USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) Forecast – Intraday & Swing Outlook 🚀📉
Asset Class: USOIL (SPOTCRUDE / WTI CASH)
Last Closing Price: $62.796
Date/Time: 20th Sept 2025 – 12:50 AM UTC+4
🔍 Market Context
Crude oil remains in a volatile zone as macro factors like OPEC+ policy, global demand recovery, and geopolitical risks continue to steer momentum. Traders must prepare for short squeezes, traps, and breakout plays this week.
📊 Technical Overview
Chart Theories Applied:
📈 Elliott Waves – corrective Phase B nearing end.
🔄 Wyckoff – signs of re-accumulation spotted.
🔺 Head & Shoulders (Inverse) – potential bullish reversal.
🔮 Gann Angles & Time Cycle – short-term resistance clustering near $64.50.
🛠️ Indicators
🔵 RSI (H1) → Neutral zone (48–52).
📏 VWAP Anchored → $62.20 (support pivot).
📉 EMA 20 / EMA 50 → Bullish cross on H4 confirmed.
🎯 Bollinger Bands → Expansion phase → Expect high volatility.
🕒 Timeframe Strategies
📌 Intraday (5M / 15M / 1H / 4H)
Buy Entry (Scalp): $62.20 – $62.50 🟢
TP1: $63.20 🎯
TP2: $63.85 🎯
SL: $61.80 ❌
Sell Entry (Scalp): $63.80 – $64.20 🔴
TP1: $63.00 🎯
TP2: $62.40 🎯
SL: $64.70 ❌
📌 Swing (Daily / Weekly)
Buy Zone: $61.50 – $62.00 🟢
Targets: $65.20 / $67.40 / $70.00 🎯
Stop Loss: $60.50 ❌
Sell Zone (Rejection): $67.40 – $68.00 🔴
Targets: $64.50 / $62.20 🎯
Stop Loss: $68.80 ❌
⚠️ Risk Management
Volatility expected due to Fed rate guidance & OPEC+ commentary.
Stick to 2–3% capital risk per trade.
Watch for bull/bear traps near breakout zones.
📌 Summary
Intraday: Range $62.20 – $64.20 ⚖️
Swing: Upside bias if $61.50 holds strong 💹
Key Resistance: $64.50 / $67.40
Key Support: $61.50 / $60.50
🔥 Bias: Short-term sideways → Medium-term bullish above $61.50.
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
GOLD is BACK with a new potential move... so I m back to it tooCommodities have such a good time time this month. After a period of ranging and no specific direction, I secured over 9R in the last 21 days with a +8.85R on XAGUSD, a loss on XPTUSD, a BE on US2000, a +2.64R on COFFEE and another loss on JP225.
XAUUSD (GOLD) Forecast✨📊 XAUUSD (GOLD) Forecast – Intraday & Swing Outlook ✨💰
Asset Class: XAUUSD (GOLD CFD)
Closing Price: 3,685.11 📍 (20th Sept 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4)
🔎 Multi-Lens Technical Analysis
🕯 Candlestick & Patterns
📉 Head & Shoulders → Watching neckline at 3,660
📈 Bull Trap/ Bear Trap → Possible fakeouts near 3,700 zone
🔄 Harmonics + Fibonacci → Reversal signals align around 3,640 – 3,650
🌊 Theories in Play
Elliott Waves → Wave 5 completion likely near 3,710 – 3,725
Wyckoff → Distribution phase signs visible 🔔
Gann → Time/price square shows resistance 3,720 – 3,730
Ichimoku → Cloud support at 3,655
📊 Indicators & Tools
RSI: 64 → Near overbought ⚠️
Bollinger Bands: Upper band at 3,710 = overextension risk
VWAP: Anchored VWAP support at 3,660
Moving Averages:
EMA20 (H1) = 3,662 ✅
Golden Cross intact (Bullish bias)
⏱ Trading Time Frames
Intraday Focus: 5m / 15m / 1H / 4H
Swing Focus: 4H / Daily / Weekly
🎯 Trading Strategy
Intraday Plan (Sept 20 – 23)
🟢 Buy Zone: 3,655 – 3,665 (Target: 3,690 – 3,705)
🔴 Sell Zone: 3,710 – 3,725 (Target: 3,670 – 3,650)
Swing Plan (Sept 20 – 27)
🟢 Swing Long Entry: 3,640 – 3,655 (Target: 3,720 – 3,745)
🔴 Swing Short Entry: 3,730 – 3,745 (Target: 3,660 – 3,640)
🌍 Market Context
📰 Fed policy & USD strength will remain key drivers
⚔️ Geopolitical tensions = higher volatility expected
🛡 Gold remains safe-haven bid during risk-off
✅ Conclusion
📊 Gold (XAUUSD) trades in critical resistance zone near 3,700.
Short-term bias → Bullish, but cautious of traps
Swing bias → Range-bound 3,640 – 3,745
🎯 Traders should buy dips & sell rallies within zones
⚡Stay sharp, manage risk! ⚡
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
Gold Faces Major Resistance: Is a Sharp Decline Imminent?Hey everyone, looking at XAUUSD today, I noticed something quite interesting. Gold has reached an important resistance level, one that in the past has acted as a strong barrier, pushing the price down. This area has also been a strong supply zone, where sellers have previously taken control of the market. Therefore, it becomes a "hot" spot for those looking for shorting opportunities.
If the price starts showing bearish signals, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening buying pressure, I think there's a good chance we could see a drop towards 3,604, and possibly even lower to 3,5XX if the selling pressure remains strong. However, if the price breaks this resistance clearly, the bearish outlook might be invalidated, and we could see a further rally.
This is just my personal view on the support and resistance levels, not financial advice. Always double-check your signals and ensure proper risk management.
Good luck with your trades!
Gold Today: Continuation of the Uptrend or Entering a CorrectionHello everyone, in today’s session, gold experienced a significant pullback, dropping to 3,641 USD/ounce, a 31 USD decrease from the 3,672 USD/ounce high established yesterday. In the futures market, the December gold contract also saw a similar pressure, losing 45 USD and settling at 3,672 USD/ounce.
Reasons for the Decline:
The primary cause of the drop was the pressure from profit-taking after gold reached a 14-year high on 17th September. Additionally, the Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, rather than the 50 basis points expected by some investors, disappointed the market and triggered a sell-off. Although the reduction was anticipated, the failure to meet expectations dampened market sentiment.
Furthermore, the recovery of the US Dollar in the previous session put additional pressure on the precious metal. As the greenback strengthened, gold became less attractive to investors holding other currencies, significantly weakening buying interest.
Short-Term Outlook:
Despite the pressure for a correction, the uptrend remains intact as long as the price stays above the important support level of 3,640 USD. As long as this level holds, gold could rebound and target 3,700 USD, potentially moving higher.
An important point to note is that the flow of funds continues to favour gold as a safe haven, despite the lukewarm reaction to the Fed’s decision. Coupled with global financial uncertainties, technical factors like FVG and strong trading volume reinforce the potential for a breakout if the price stabilizes above support.
Overall, with favourable macroeconomic conditions and the US Dollar stabilising, gold’s upside potential remains intact in the near term.
What’s your take on gold’s next move? Will it push through $3,700, or could we see another deeper correction? Share your thoughts below!
Review of Gold's expected rally and why we entered long todayLook at this chart and understand why it was the only move that was likely to happen today:
Firstly we already corrected all of the range down (balanced), that was the first key that we're potentially going to correct the drop next.
This is how markets work; correction of imbalances and continuations of the master trend direction.
The master/macro trend target is always the easiest no brain target for those of us who actually make money trading. Anytime we correct imbalances, we are looking to buy, only degenerates are looking for the short target and never realize where it is or when it's been hit--hello? It's the imbalanced ranges below, write this down:
When we are bullish, price will only go down to correct the major imbalanced ranges and then continue bullish.
There is no supply zone until the large wick range.
I will help you understand this stuff tirelessly even for free although I charge a $100/mo mentorship I don't care if people pay me, I just want you to see the easy truths about the chart most don't see 🫡
Gold - Here we have the textbook breakout!📖Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) currently breaks out:
🔎Analysis summary:
After we saw Gold rejecting the previous all time high multiple times over the past couple of months, we are now witnessing a bullish breakout. If this breakout is confirmed in the near future, Gold will head for another parabolic rally higher, repeating the 2011 blow off top.
📝Levels to watch:
$3.500
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
CRUDE OIL Rebound Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL has been ranging
For a while now and the
Price is now about to
Retest the horizontal
Support level of 61.50$
From where a local
Bullish correction is
To be expected
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Noise or pattern?Since february 2024 silver shows like gold a four phase pattern but with a higher frequency leading to a phase shift. What do you think. What are the causes for this cycles? Why is there a difference in the frequency and what will happen when both phases are congruent again?
Disclaimer
This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. The author is not a registered financial advisor. Trading and investing in financial markets involve substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.
Gold XAUUSD Intraday Setup 19 SeptGold on the 15M timeframe is showing a short-term bullish structure after forming a series of higher lows, with the price now retesting the ascending trendline support near 3647–3650. This area also aligns with a minor demand zone, suggesting buyers are stepping in to defend it. If the trendline holds, momentum could push the market back toward recent highs, with the first target at 3674 (TP1) and extended target at 3685–3690 (TP2). However, if price closes below 3638, it would signal a break of structure and potential continuation of the bearish leg, so a stop loss below this level is crucial. Overall, the market is offering a favorable risk-to-reward long setup as long as the trendline is respected and no strong bearish candle closes below support.
Next Week's Latest Gold Trend Analysis Strategy:
1. Market Core Logic Analysis
News (Negative): Although the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, Chairman Powell's comments were hawkish (no rush to ease policy and warning of inflation), cooling market expectations for aggressive rate cuts in the future. This move triggered a rebound in the US dollar and a rise in US Treasury yields, directly pressuring dollar-denominated gold, causing prices to surge (reaching a record high) before retreating.
Technical Analysis (Bull-Bear Game): The daily chart showed two consecutive declines, the first time since the rally from 3311, indicating weakening short-term bullish momentum and a technical correction. However, the price remains above key trend support at 3615, indicating that the broader bullish trend has not been broken. The current decline should be viewed as a "high-level oscillation correction within the bullish trend."
2. Key Price Level Analysis
Upward Pressure:
Primary resistance: 3672-3675 (a high tested multiple times this week). This is the key dividing line between strength and weakness at the beginning of next week. If the rebound fails to break through this area, it indicates that bearish pressure remains and the market will fluctuate weakly.
Core resistance: 3707 (historical high). This is the strongest bastion for bulls to conquer. Until it effectively breaks through and holds, gold will struggle to gain new upside potential.
Downward Support:
Short-term support: 3643-3633. This is the first line of defense after the opening of next Monday. If it breaks below, it will retest this week's low.
Core Support: 3628 (this week's low) and 3615 (a key trend point). 3615 is the lifeline that determines the future market direction. If the price breaks below this level, it means that the current correction will deepen, potentially targeting the 3600 or even 3580 areas. If it can hold, the bullish trend will be secure.
3. Next Week's Trading Strategy and Layout
Key Strategy: Invest in dips on pullbacks to key support levels, and supplement with high-shorts on rebounds to strong resistance levels. Specific Operational Plan:
Low-to-Long Opportunities (Primary Strategy):
Ideal Entry Area: 3633-3643 (test long positions with a small position), or when the price falls back to 3628-3615 (focus on long positions).
Stop-Loss: Below 3610 (A break below the 3615 trend line invalidates the strategy and requires decisive exit).
Targets: First target 3660-3670, second target 3680-3690, ultimate target 3707.
Position Management: This strategy is a swing-trend strategy, aiming for profits from the continuation of the trend after a correction, requiring patience.
High-Level Short-Selling Opportunities (Secondary Strategy):
Ideal Entry Area: The first rebound of the price to the 3670-3675 resistance zone, if a clear resistance signal (such as a bearish candlestick pattern) appears.
Stop-Loss: Above 3680.
Target: 3650-3640 (short-term profit taking). Strategy: This is a short-term counter-trend strategy designed to capture profits during periods of volatility. Enter and exit quickly, and avoid lingering.
4. Market Forecast and Timing
Early Week: Focus on the opening price. If it opens below 3650, it will likely test the 3643-3633 support area, or even retest the 3628 low. Opportunities for dips and long positions can be sought after a pullback.
Mid-Week: Observe price reaction to support levels. If it stabilizes and rebounds, successfully breaking through the 3672-3675 resistance zone, the short-term weakness will reverse, and prices are expected to launch another push towards the 3700 level.
Weekend and Market Outlook: The correction may continue until the end of September. Closely monitor the defense of the key support level of 3615. As long as it remains above, the market correction is expected to end in early October, ushering in a new uptrend.
Summary and Risk Management Tips
Trend and Rhythm: Understand the relationship between long-term bullishness and short-term corrections. Don't assume that the trend is reversing because of a short-term decline, and don't ignore the strength of the adjustment. In terms of operation, we should follow the general trend (upward trend), but we need to grasp the rhythm of small cycles (small cycle fluctuations).
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Movement from - 3647
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
DeGRAM | GOLD fixed above the support line📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD is trading within an ascending channel, holding above the 3630 support and attempting to reclaim 3656 resistance.
● A breakout above 3674 would confirm bullish momentum, opening the path toward 3700 while the lower boundary near 3630 acts as structural support.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold gains short-term support from weaker Treasury yields and cautious Fed outlook, as traders weigh inflation risks against slower global growth.
✨ Summary
XAU/USD defends 3630 support and targets 3674–3700 resistance, with momentum favoring a bullish short-term continuation.
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Is there an opportunity before the interest rate decision?Gold has been soaring since the start of this week, reaching new highs, even testing above 3700 points during the session. However, due to the pressure from the round number barrier and the approaching interest rate decision, gold retreated after rising. This provided several opportunities for shorting. The first was to open a short position near 3697 until the take-profit target. The second was near 3695, today's high. With the interest rate decision imminent, all existing positions have been closed at the take-profit target. If it weren't for the interest rate decision, I would have preferred a downward trend in gold.
Since the interest rate decision has a significant impact on gold prices, it's safer to wait until the results are announced before considering any trades. Reducing risk is also the best way to preserve your principal. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD COINBASE:ETHUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
What will happen next?Gold has been following a pattern since February 2024. Let's see how long it lasts and what will break it.
Disclaimer
This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. The author is not a registered financial advisor. Trading and investing in financial markets involve substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.
Gold 1H – Premium Sweeps Risk Before ReversalGold on the 1H chart is consolidating after consecutive BOS and ChoCH signals, showing rejection from premium levels. Price is balancing between the fresh FVG sell zone near 3,673–3,671 and deep discount support at 3,634–3,636. Liquidity remains stacked above 3,705 and below 3,632, leaving room for engineered sweeps before direction is confirmed.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 FVG SELL ZONE 3,673 – 3,671 (SL 3,680)
Premium intraday pocket for rejection targeting 3,660 → 3,650 → 3,640.
• 🔴 SELL GOLD LIQUIDITY 3,705 – 3,703 (SL 3,712)
Major premium liquidity trap before continuation lower toward 3,690 → 3,675 → 3,660.
• 🟢 BUY GOLD SUPPORT 3,634 – 3,636 (SL 3,627)
Discount demand zone, targeting recovery into 3,645 → 3,660 → 3,670 if defended.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – FVG Rejection (3,673–3,671)
• Entry: 3,673 – 3,671
• Stop Loss: 3,680
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,660
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,640
👉 Expect engineered liquidity grab into FVG before downside extension.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Sweep (3,705–3,703)
• Entry: 3,705 – 3,703
• Stop Loss: 3,712
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,675
TP3: 3,660
👉 Smart money may sweep highs near 3,705 before resuming bearish momentum.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Reversal (3,634–3,636)
• Entry: 3,634 – 3,636
• Stop Loss: 3,627
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,645
TP2: 3,660
TP3: 3,670
👉 High R:R setup if gold defends discount demand; ideal for counter-trend scalps.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Gold remains pressured below 3,673–3,705, favoring short setups into premium sweeps. However, watch closely for accumulation signs at 3,634–3,636 as buyers may reclaim structure. Best approach: scale in smaller positions until NY session confirms directional bias.
XAUUSD –Today’s Trading Outlook | Sell Fill Liquidity & Buy ZoneHello traders,
In recent sessions, gold has remained highly volatile around key liquidity areas and major support–resistance levels. The current market structure indicates that the bearish side continues to dominate in the short term, whilst buyers are only likely to re-emerge at deeper support zones.
Technical Outlook
Key Resistance: 3670 – 3680, overlapping with the FVG zone → prime area for Sell to Fill Liquidity.
Short-term Support: 3630 – 3627. A clear break here could trigger a deeper decline.
Buy Scalping Zones: 3613 – 3615 and 3595 – 3598, suited for short-term intraday longs.
Medium-term Buy Zone: 3600 – 3590, aligning with strong liquidity and major structural support.
MACD: showing a bearish bias, with a negative histogram reflecting continued selling pressure.
Trading Scenarios
Sell Setup (preferred)
Sell Liquidity Zone: 3670 – 3680
SL: 3685
TP: 3650 – 3635 – 3627 – 3615 – 3600
Buy Scalping
Zone 1: 3613 – 3615 | SL: 3608 | TP: 3625 – 3638 – 3645
Zone 2: 3595 – 3598 | SL: 3590 | TP: 3610 – 3625 – 3638 – 3645 – 3670
Medium-term Buy
Zone: 3600 – 3590
SL: 3584
Extended TP: 3633 – 3660 – 3675
Conclusion
In the short term, gold is likely to retest the upper liquidity zone before continuing its downward leg. Sellers still hold the advantage, but deeper support levels may present attractive opportunities for medium-term buyers.
Stay focused on these critical price zones and trade in line with your individual plan.
Follow for timely updates as market structure develops.
XAUUSD – End of Week U.S. Session | Trading SetupHello traders,
Today's gold trading range is quite narrow. As of now, the gold price remains steady around the 366x region.
The overall price structure hasn't changed from the previous scenario: we continue to wait to sell at the higher 367x level to secure a better position for the Sell signal. This approach helps optimize profit potential and aims for greater returns.
Market sentiment today seems cautious. Following the release of interest rate news, most investors are staying on the sidelines, resulting in no significant changes in trading volume.
Today's U.S. session trading scenario
Sell Setup (priority)
Sell Liquidity Zone: 3677 – 3680
SL: 3685
TP: 3650 – 3635 – 3627 – 3615 – 3600
Buy Scalping
Buy Zone 1: 3613 – 3615 | SL: 3608 | TP: 3625 – 3638 – 3645
Buy Zone 2: 3595 – 3598 | SL: 3590 | TP: 3610 – 3625 – 3638 – 3645 – 3670
Conclusion
In the end-of-week U.S. session, the priority strategy remains to Sell at higher price levels to ensure a safe position and good profit expectations. Short-term Buy orders should only be considered when the price hits the strong support zones mentioned.
Wishing everyone a disciplined and successful end-of-week trading session! Stay tuned for the quickest updates when the price structure changes.
New Fed Governor Milan's remarks ignited the market#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
The rapid rise in gold prices this evening was primarily driven by news events. Newly appointed Fed governor Clarida, expressing gratitude for Trump's nomination, stated that he would leave the Council of Economic Advisers if Trump asked him to remain at the Fed. Simultaneously, Clarida reiterated his support for a 50 basis point interest rate cut. These comments further stimulated the market, triggering another wave of risk-averse sentiment.
While the losses weren't due to technical factors, I don't deny that I did incur losses; facts are facts, and I never try to hide them, even if they're not my fault.
This latest news-driven surge in gold is purely based on risk-averse sentiment; the price will likely fall again once the market digests the news. In the short term, pay attention to the 61.8% retracement level, around 3676. If gold encounters resistance and pressure at this level, it will likely continue to decline. On Friday, don't be overly greedy; take profits of $10-30 and exit your position to avoid the risk of holding positions over the weekend.
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE3683 Target Achieved – Chart Idea Complete 🚀💥
Booooom! 💥💥 Just as we laid out, the 3683 target was smashed this week – absolutely amazing finish! This move perfectly completed the chart idea we’ve been tracking, right in line with the analysis.
🔹 3564 ➡️ 3683
We first hit the 3564 target cleanly, then carried that momentum straight through to the big 3683 level. The EMA5 confirmations delivered flawlessly, giving us one of the sharpest, most technical finishes of the week.
This closes out the breakout sequence beautifully and proves once again how powerful structured analysis + patience can be.
🔥 What’s Next?
We’ll be back on Sunday with a fresh Daily chart idea, updated targets, and a full multi-timeframe analysis to guide the next leg of the journey. Stay tuned – momentum is only heating up from here!
Thank you for the continued support, and congratulations to everyone who rode this move with us.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX