USOIL Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 15m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 57.983.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 57.471 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Commodities
Is Silver Setting Up for a Massive Bull Run? Cup & Handle SignalWith gold leading the rally by printing new all-time highs. Meanwhile, silver — often ignored — has also broken its historical level at 49.76 USD and pushed into a new high.
Last week, global liquidity weakened and silver retraced to 48.644, but buyers quickly stepped in and pushed the daily close back above 49.76, showing strong bullish demand at higher prices.
On the daily chart, silver is forming a clean Cup & Handle pattern. The price is currently consolidating within the handle, and a breakout above the key resistance at 54 USD could trigger a powerful continuation move.
Key points to watch:
✔ Precious metals remain in a strong macro bull cycle
✔ Silver successfully retested its previous high zone
✔ Cup & Handle formation is nearly complete
✔ A breakout above 54 could accelerate the next major rally
Silver is known for its volatility and explosive trends once momentum builds. Do you think a breakout above 54 could mark the beginning of silver’s next big run?
Potential outside week and bullish potential for XLEEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for AMEX:XLE above the level of the potential outside week noted on 7th November (i.e.: above the level of $89.75).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the low of the outside week on 4th November (i.e.: below $86.37), should the trade activate.
Potential outside week and bullish potential for VLOEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for NYSE:VLO above the level of the potential outside week noted on 7th November (i.e.: above the level of $179.10).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the low of the outside week on 4th November (i.e.: below $165.05), should the trade activate.
Potential outside week and bullish potential for FENYEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for AMEX:FENY above the level of the potential outside week noted on 7th November (i.e.: above the level of $24.82).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the low of the outside week on 4th November (i.e.: below $23.98), should the trade activate.
Gold Returns to a Sensitive Zone – Is the Downtrend Already DoneHello everyone, gold is undergoing a rather deliberate correction after dropping from 4,110. Price is now moving around 4,078–4,066 — low enough to make buyers cautious, yet not deep enough to trigger panic. I want to share my personal view on the most likely bearish scenario at the moment.
1. What is the market showing us?
On the H2 chart, price is sitting right at the edge of the Ichimoku cloud, supported by a green FVG and a thin buffer zone at 4,045–4,035. The sequence of small red candles last night resembles profit-taking rather than a trend reversal. It feels like the market is “offloading for comfort”, not capitulating.
The most notable area is the 4,045–4,035 support cluster:
this zone overlaps the nearest FVG and also marks the accumulation base from 19–20 November. It behaves like a natural stopping point — where price tends to return to gather liquidity before choosing its next direction.
2. The news factors pressuring gold
September’s NFP came in at 119k (vs 50k forecast), pushing rate-cut expectations lower. The USD strengthened, and the Fed gained more reasons to stay cautious as October’s report was combined into November.
At the same time, US and EU equities strengthened thanks to Big Tech leaders, with Nvidia’s strong earnings pulling capital out of safe-havens. The 10Y yield hovering around 4.1% and oil dropping to 59.5 USD further reduced gold’s appeal.
Overall, this is a news-driven pullback — a familiar “sentiment reset” after a heated rally.
3. The highest-probability bearish scenario (in my view)
I lean toward the scenario where price continues drifting toward 4,045–4,035 to gather liquidity and tap the FVG, then forms a rejection wick and rebounds toward the resistance zone at 4,095–4,115.
This is a technical rebalance after news, not a signal of a long-term trend reversal. As long as 4,000 holds, the market still has enough momentum for the next bullish leg.
Gold at a Turning Point: Will It Rise or Fall?As we zoom in and take a closer look at how GOLD is moving, one thing becomes immediately clear:
The market has just shown a powerful upward surge, but now something intriguing is happening. The price is compressing, forming a tight, small triangle, a sign that the market is building up energy. In moments like this, there are usually two potential paths, but given the bullish context, I can almost feel that a breakout to the upside is the more likely scenario.
What do you think? Do you agree with me?
Let me know your thoughts in the comments! And trust me, joining the TradingView community is one of the best ways to improve your skills as a trader every single day.
Just a reminder: this isn't financial advice, but rather my personal take on the chart.
Uranium Energy Corp Weekly Outlook (Count 1)Here is my weekly outlook on AMEX:UEC .
UEC is one of my bigger holdings, I've added at various times as shown on the chart (see green dashed lines).
In this outlook i am viewing the price action from the lows in Mar 2020 to the end point of wave (1) as a leading diagonal pattern. After that we have seen wave (2) and another wave 1 and 2 in the red degree (red wave 2 may not be complete yet).
Are we next going to see a breakout in red wave 3? the case for this will be helped if the COMEX:UX2! Uranium Futures chart plays out as predicted along with LSE:YCA & TSX:U.UN ...see my linked charts
More comments on the chart!
Note: My analysis is more focused on price levels as opposed to wave duration, so bear that in mind if you see a particular price level at a certain date in the future and think i'm rigid on both price and time.
USOIL BEARISH BIAS|SHORT|
✅CRUDE OIL rejected the 3H supply after taking buy-side liquidity, producing strong bearish displacement. With order flow turning lower, price is likely to seek the sell-side liquidity resting at the marked target zone. Time Frame: 3H
LONG🚀
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BEAR TRAP? - PATH TO 5KIllustrated, I am trying to visualize what the path to 5k could look like SHOULD this be a bear trap and 4000 major support price to hold ground.
Fundamentals keep getting bullish for gold, and demand at a central bank level simply does not stop.
The Fiat currency as we know it, is slowly loosing credibility, and the major shift toward a digital era backed by gold is not fiction anymore and rather quite potential.
The US MUST do what it can to save their reputation and economy, by devaluating the USD dollar and re-valuating the price of Gold, in order to artificially lower their debt. At least that's one way they're trying to pull this off...
REMEMBER: The reasons for WHY things happen almost never matter; what truly matters is WHAT is happening...
Gold is stuck in a corrective phase, and in my humble opinion, it's closer to the next bullish move than many might think.
GOOD LUCK,
persa
Gold Bearish Structure Continues – Sell Levels UpdatedGold remains bearish after rejecting from the upper consolidation boundary and continuing its pattern of lower highs and lower lows. Price has now broken below the triangle-consolidation zone and is retesting the lower boundary around 4038-45 which aligns with previous liquidity. As long as price stays below the triangle resistance and fails to reclaim 4080 momentum favors further downside. The next bearish targets lie below the Strong Low zone aiming toward deeper liquidity and Fibonacci extensions.
✅ Bias: Sell below 4080
- Sell Zone: 4045 - 4055 (Retest of broken consolidation + minor supply)
- Stop Loss: 4082 (Above triangle resistance + structure break)
- Take Profit: 4025 - 4008 - 3988
- Invalidate: 4082 (Above triangle resistance + structure break)
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
XAU/USD – Bullish Recovery Structure on H1XAU/USD – Bullish Recovery Structure on H1, Buyers Preparing for a Potential Breakout
Gold is developing a clear W-pattern on the H1 timeframe, signaling that bullish momentum is gradually returning after a prolonged consolidation phase. Price continues to form higher lows while respecting major support zones, indicating a possible bullish continuation for today’s session.
Market Structure & Price Behavior
After the sharp drop, XAU/USD is forming two equal lows and recovering with a higher-low structure.
The previous descending trendline has been broken, and price is building a base for a potential upward leg.
Short-term EMAs are starting to turn upward, reflecting improving bullish momentum
RSI remains neutral, giving enough room for an upside move.
Key Technical Levels
Support Zones:
• 4020 – 4030
• 3995 – 4005 (major support – bottom of the W-pattern)
Resistance Zones (Bullish Targets):
• 4140 – 4150 (neckline of the W-pattern)
• 4200 – 4220 (strong supply area)
• 4260 – 4280 (extended target if breakout accelerates)
Trading Strategies for Today
1. Trend-Following Buy Setup
Wait for a dip toward 4020 – 4030 or 4000 – 4005.
SL: below 3990
TP: first target at 4140 – 4150, extended to 4200 – 4220 if momentum strengthens.
2. Breakout Buy Setup
Buy when price closes firmly above 4145 on H1.
SL: below 4125
TP: 4200 – 4220
Outlook
The forming W-pattern and stable support levels indicate a bullish bias unless the market breaks below 3990, which would invalidate the current structure. Until then, buyers maintain a clear technical advantage.
QuyetP | GOLD: Downtrend Still Intact. 3900 Remains the TargetThe bearish structure on OANDA:XAUUSD remains clean, and nothing in yesterday’s volatility changed the broader picture.
I did get stopped out during the spike, but the key point is this:
the market never broke the bearish narrative.
So after the shakeout, I re-entered fresh short positions at better prices — and the downside roadmap stays the same.
Intermarket backdrop:
- TVC:DXY still firm → limits any sustainable gold upside.
- Yields steady → no macro flow supporting XAU.
- Risk sentiment mixed → no clear safe-haven bid.
Price action continues to show weak buying and strong selling pressure. Every bounce fades quickly, signaling lack of real demand.
Bias stays firmly bearish.
And the destination hasn’t changed:
👉 Target: 3900.
We stay focused on price, not on short-term noise.
Momentum, structure, and intermarket alignment all point in one direction — down.
Check the previous analysis in the link below.
Gold Weakening Inside Triangle – Bears Eye $3,950 SupportGold is currently consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle formation between 3972 support and 4025 resistance showing reduced volatility and awaiting breakout confirmation. The structure suggests indecision but with a slight bearish bias due to repeated lower highs.
Sell Zone: 3995-4020 (near upper triangle resistance and 0.382-0.5 fib region)
Stop Loss: Above 4046
TP1: 3950 TP2: 3915 TP 3: 3885
⚠️ Current bias: Neutral to bearish unless gold breaks and holds above 4025-4046 zone. Weak low near 3886 may attract liquidity if bearish pressure continues.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Gold Price AnalysisGold maintained a wide range of fluctuations, with bulls and bears locked in a tug-of-war. The daily chart closed with a doji, with the price hovering around the middle Bollinger Band. The RSI indicator is close to the midline, and the 10-day and 7-day moving averages are converging. The Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour and hourly charts are gradually narrowing. Friday's intraday movement is expected to remain within a wide range, continuing to observe the price action within the 4040-4110 range. The trading strategy remains to sell high and low, focusing on short-term trading.
On the 1-hour chart, gold continues its weak and volatile movement. After last night's data release, it attempted to rise but ultimately failed to break through the 4110 level, encountering resistance and falling back. The short-term trend remains weak, with resistance still present above 4110. Intraday, any rebound encountering resistance at 4110 should be used as an opportunity to sell on rallies.
Key Levels:
First Support: 4062, Second Support: 4040, Third Support: 4016
First Resistance: 4100, Second Resistance: 4118, Third Resistance: 4141
Gold Intraday Trading Strategy:
BUY: 4040-4045, SL: 4030, TP: 4060-4070;
SELL: 4105-4110, SL: 4120, TP: 4090-4080;
More Analysis →
GOLD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 4,030.36.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 4,000.32 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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MARKET REMAINS RANGE-BOUND; WHAT ARE THE OPPORTUNITIES TODAY?1. Market Context
Gold continued to trade in a cautious manner yesterday as the market digested the hawkish FOMC minutes.
Despite safe-haven buying at the lower levels, the upper resistance zones remained firm, keeping the price within a well-defined range.
Buying interest remains strong around 4010–4000.
Sellers are consistently defending the 4130–4133 resistance region.
The 4080–4085 area acts as a key equilibrium zone — holding leads to sideways movement, while a breakout may trigger a directional move.
With no major data releases scheduled, gold is expected to continue its range-bound behaviour throughout the session.
2. BUY Zones
🎯 Primary BUY Levels:
4010
3998
🎯 Extended BUY Range:
4010 – 4015
4035 – 4040
→ These support regions have held firmly in recent sessions and are suitable for intraday pullback entries.
3. SELL Zones
🔥 Primary SELL Levels:
4130 – 4133
🔥 Extended SELL Range:
4148 – 4150
→ These areas align with strong overhead resistance and have shown reliable reaction points.
4. Key Level to Monitor (Trend Trigger)
📌 4080 – 4085 (Fibo 0.5 – 0.618)
A decisive break above 4085 may shift intraday sentiment towards bullishness → BUY setups become favourable.
If 4085 holds, the market is likely to sustain its range-bound movement → continue BUY at support and SELL at resistance.
5. Suggested Trading Approach
Trading style: SL 10 points – TP 10 points
Prefer BUY near strong support; SELL only at established resistance
Avoid entering trades in the mid-range (high noise, low conviction)
Execute trades only when the price tests pre-defined zones
If 4085 breaks with momentum → switch to a trend-following approach
⭐ Quick Summary
BUY: 3998 / 4010 / 4010–4015 / 4035–4040
SELL: 4130–4133 / 4148–4150
Key Zone: 4085 — breakthrough → BUY bias
Setup: SL 10 points – TP 10 points
Stop!Loss|Market View: BITCOIN🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the BITCOIN ☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 89416.67
💰TP: 80581.26
⛔️SL: 93834.38
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: Short- and medium-term prospects for the coin remain in favor of the seller, but no significant long-term risks for Bitcoin are currently visible. The 50,000-70,000 range could potentially be considered for investing in Bitcoin. Today, a potential short-term sell is being considered near the 88,000 level, where there is a limit seller accumulation (CME futures). The 78,000-80,000 area is being looked for as a target.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
XAUUSD–FRIDAY BEFORE PMI: MAINTAINING HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN💛 XAUUSD – FRIDAY BEFORE PMI: MAINTAINING HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN, WAITING TO BREAK RANGE 4132–3998 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone, it's Lana here again 💬
Today is the last Friday of the week, the market is waiting for PMI and preparing to enter a phase with a lot of important data in December.
Meanwhile, BTC has been rising faster than XAU in recent weeks, indicating that speculative money is leaning towards crypto, while gold is temporarily moving sideways accumulating.
The US Department of Labor will release the November employment report on December 16, which is 6 days after the December Fed meeting. In other words, the Fed is in a "blackout" state regarding labor data for nearly another month – this forces the market to price in advance, making gold's volatility range wide but lacking a clear trend.
💹 2. Technical Analysis – Range & Head and Shoulders Pattern
On the H3/H4 frame, gold is fluctuating within the large range of 4132 – 3998.
The price wave is gradually narrowing towards the end of the triangle, represented by:
Lower highs,
Higher lows,
→ When one of the two boundaries is broken, a new trend is likely to explode in the direction of the breakout.
The inverse Head – Shoulders – Head pattern has not been broken:
Left shoulder – Head – Right shoulder are all above the rising trendline.
For the final wave of the pattern to follow the rhythm, the price needs to confirm surpassing 4109:
When closing a candle above 4109, the short-term uptrend is confirmed,
At that point, gold can aim for higher liquidity areas such as 4132 → 4145 → 4200.
Conversely, if gold breaks 3998, this will be both:
breaking the range bottom,
and negating the Head and Shoulders pattern,
→ opening the possibility of a deeper decline to the 3960–3920 area.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Scenarios
💖 BUY Scenario – following the pattern & range bottom support
1️⃣ Buy at support 3998–4000
Entry: 3998–4000
SL: below 3990 (depending on risk management)
TP: 4025 → 4040 → 4078
2️⃣ Buy when confirmed above 4109
Condition: Price closes a candle above 4109, confirming the Head and Shoulders pattern is maintained.
Entry: around 4100–4105
SL: 4090
TP: 4132 → 4145 → 4200
💢 SELL Scenario – trading the upper boundary of the range
Sell: 4130–4132
SL: 4138
TP: 4110 → 4095 → 4070 → 4045
Selling should only be considered as scalping against resistance within the range, not the main trend if the Head and Shoulders pattern is still valid.
⚠️ 4. Notes & Risk Management
Range 4132–3998 is still controlling the market:
Above 4109 → prioritize Buy according to the short-term uptrend.
Below 3998 → consider shifting bias to Sell following the breakout.
PMI, Fed expectations, and upcoming employment data may trigger unexpected volatility, therefore:
🌷Gold is at the intersection of technical patterns and macro stories 💛
Be patient and wait for reactions at 3998 and 4109, as these are the two key points that determine whether we enter a new upward wave or a deeper decline.
💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to follow gold with me every day ✨
Gold Slides Sharply as Markets React to Fed Signals and AI RallyHello everyone, looking at XAU/USD on the 4H timeframe today, I can clearly feel that gold has just gone through a very “textbook” correction after major news. From the 4,130 USD peak, price dropped quickly to 4,079 USD, losing more than 50 USD in a single session. At the moment, gold is trading around 4,090 USD, sitting below the Ichimoku cloud and having just filled part of the FVG around 4,100 — showing that sellers are still in control.
Technically, gold failed to break through the 4,130–4,150 USD resistance cluster. Last night’s sharp drop broke below the short-term support at 4,100, triggering a wave of profit-taking from earlier long positions. Now, the area at 4,070–4,050 USD is the nearest support and the level gold must defend to avoid a deeper decline towards 4,020–4,000 USD. Conversely, to return to an upward move, gold needs to reclaim 4,110 decisively — otherwise any rebound will likely be temporary.
Fundamentally, the market was moved just as much by news as by technicals. The FOMC minutes showed the Fed is still divided: one side worried about weakening labour data, the other insisting inflation hasn’t behaved consistently. This dampened expectations for an early rate cut, strengthening the USD, pushing DXY above 104 — and immediately weighing on gold. At the same time, Nvidia’s blowout earnings sent US equities sharply higher as money rotated into AI stocks, reducing gold’s appeal during a “risk-on” wave.
In this context, I see this as a healthy correction within a broader uptrend — not a reversal. Based on the way price is reacting, gold will likely retest 4,070–4,050 USD before attempting a rebound. If buyers return at that zone, price may recover toward 4,110–4,130 USD, especially if the USD pauses. If 4,050 breaks, gold may drop deeper to 4,020–4,000 USD to attract liquidity.
The Gold Bullish Setup You Can't Afford to Miss!OANDA:XAUUSD The price is currently showing clear signs that it’s approaching a significant support zone, an area where the market has previously reacted positively. This zone is also near the psychological threshold of $4,000, a level that generally attracts considerable attention in the market.
The momentum from this zone suggests that buyers could step in and push the price higher. A positive confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, a bullish engulfing candle, or a long lower shadow, would increase the likelihood of a rebound from this level. If my prediction is
correct and buyers regain control, the price could reach $4,070.
However, a break below this support level would invalidate the bullish outlook and could lead to a deeper price decline.
This is not financial advice!






















