XAUUSD Long: Buyers Eye Push Toward $4,100 ResistanceHello traders! XAUUSD is developing a clear technical structure after reacting multiple times to both the Supply and Demand zones, forming a well-defined pattern of price behavior. Recently, Gold rejected the Supply Line after creating a new Pivot Point near the $4,230 area — the same region where a previous strong rejection occurred. This confluence confirms that sellers remain active at the upper boundary of the market. Earlier, the market formed a Double Top pattern near the same Supply Zone, which triggered a strong bearish reversal. After the breakdown, price retested the $4,100 level several times, turning it into a meaningful local resistance. Multiple breakout attempts above this level failed, signaling strong selling pressure from the supply area.
Currently, XAUUSD is testing the Demand Line that has been respected consistently throughout the recent bullish leg. Each touch of this trendline resulted in a higher pivot point, confirming active buyers stepping into the market. This area aligns with the $4,000–$4,010 Demand Zone — a key support cluster where price has reacted with strong bullish impulses before.
My scenario as long as XAUUSD holds above the Demand Line and the $4,000–$4,010 support, the bullish structure remains valid. A rebound from this zone may initiate a fresh move toward the $4,100 Supply Zone (TP1), where the next important reaction is expected. A clean breakout above $4,100 would strengthen the bullish scenario and open the path toward $4,150–$4,170, aligning with the upper Supply Line. If Gold fails to hold above the Demand Zone, sellers may regain control and push the price lower toward the $3,960 support, signaling a deeper correction phase. For now, the market favors buying pullbacks near demand while monitoring price action closely around the $4,100 resistance. Manage your risk!
Commodities
DeGRAM | GOLD will rebound from the $4000 level📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD is rebounding from the 3,980–4,000 support zone, aligning with the rising channel support and a confluence of dynamic trendlines.
● A break of the descending structure signals a potential push toward 4,138, followed by 4,175 if momentum sustains above the reclaimed support.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold is gaining as US yields ease and safe-haven demand picks up amid renewed geopolitical tensions.
✨ Summary
Support: 3,980–4,000. Targets: 4,138 → 4,175. Bias stays bullish while price holds above channel support.
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GOLD → Retest 4050 in a weak market...FX:XAUUSD is bouncing off support at 4000 and forming a correction towards 4050, an important resistance level. The market's main focus is on the September employment report (NFP), which will be released on Thursday.
Key pressure factors:
The strong dollar is supported by hawkish statements from the Fed and risk aversion. The probability of a rate cut in December has fallen to 42%.
Support for gold: Demand for government bonds has lowered the yield on 10-year Treasuries, allowing gold to rebound to $4045.
A series of negative labor market reports keeps risks alive.
Gold remains under pressure. A break below $4000 will open the way to $3950, while a rise above $4050 will require weak NFP data or dovish Fed rhetoric. The week will determine the direction
Resistance levels: 4050, 4090
Support levels: 4000, 3965
The market is beginning to doubt the local bullish structure. Strong trend support is breaking down and the previously broken level is being retested. If the bears keep the price below 4045-4050, gold could continue to decline. However, it is worth keeping an eye on the news in the second half of this week...
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The market is trading on 4038.3 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 4059.3
Recommended Stop Loss - 4026.8
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAU/USD Intraday Plan – Watching Reaction at Support ZoneAfter a brief consolidation yesterday, gold dropped into the Support Zone and is currently trading around 4014. Market structure remains bearish, with price sitting below both the MA50 and MA200. The series of rejection wicks shows buyers are trying to push back, but momentum is still with the sellers for now.
The first resistance is at 4027. For buyers to gain traction, we need a clean break above 4027, followed by a break above 4053 — only then could we see an attempt toward 4078.
If price fails to hold the Support Zone and breaks below 3,996, the next downside target becomes the HTF Support Zone — a major area where buyers have reacted strongly in the past.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4027
4053
4078
Support:
3996
3968
3921
USDCAD: Patient Fed & oil drop support iH&S projection to 1.4370USDCAD is building an interesting medium-term setup as crude oil weakness combines with Fed patience and supports dollar strength against the loonie, with an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern pointing to a measured-move target near 1.4370.
Crude oil recently broke below $60, directly pressuring the Canadian dollar since Canada is a major commodity exporter. Meanwhile, the Fed's cautious stance on rate cuts, despite labour market softness ahead of a potential partial NFP on Friday, keeps the buck bid as investors hold dollars for yield.
The technical structure confirms what the macro backdrop suggests: USDCAD has room to run higher from current levels.
Key drivers
Oil breakdown hurts CAD: crude slipped below $60 recently, and every time oil weakens, the commodity-linked loonie follows. This correlation has been tracking cleanly since July, when USDCAD turned higher alongside the energy sell-off.
Fed patience supports USD: Despite labour-market weakness signals from existing data releases, the Fed isn't rushing to cut in December, and a patient central bank typically supports the dollar because investors can hold dollars and earn decent carry while awaiting clarity on policy.
Inverse H&S pattern: The technical setup shows a head near 1.3537, a neckline breakout near 1.3900, and a clean retest at 1.3985 (former 2022 resistance turned support). The measured move from head to neckline brings 1.4370 into play, with intermediate targets at swing levels.
RSI reset above 50: After showing flat divergence at the recent highs, the RSI has reset by bouncing cleanly off the 50 line on the daily chart, suggesting momentum has room for another leg higher before any overbought concern.
Use 1.3985 as your line in the sand, consider longs above this level with the first target at the peak of 1.4145 (validation of the breakout), the second at 1.4250, and trail stops toward 1.4370 if momentum holds. Watch for oil to remain below $60 and Fed messaging to stay cautious, as a daily close below 1.3985 would shift the bias to consolidation, while full pattern invalidation sits at 1.3720.
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GOLD BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 4,023.35
Target Level: 4,101.64
Stop Loss: 3,971.15
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 6h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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How to navigate volatile market conditions after the government #XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
As I mentioned on Friday, if the closing price failed to stabilize above 4110-4120, gold would weaken further on Monday. Sure enough, gold again fluctuated downwards, testing the 4050 support level.
With Friday's panic selling gradually subsiding and the US government reopening, significant fluctuations are unlikely in the short term. Key data such as NFP and PMI may be released this week. Before the data is released, the market may be relatively cautious, and I think the market may tend to fluctuate and recover.
Short-term support levels to watch are 4050-4030. If the price retraces and tests this support again during the European session, we can try to continue going long on gold.
PRE-LONDON CONDITIONS — DXY Range-Bound, Yields Slide, ES HeavyU.S. Dollar Index (DXY) holds a tight 98.99–99.59 range in a third consecutive inside bar.
U.S. 10-year yield drops ~1.01% in Asia.
U.S. 2-year yield falls ~1.27%.
S&P 500 futures (ES) extend lower toward the 6.571 fractal.
Gold tests support after filling imbalance.
Volatility remains elevated.
DXY — Dollar Index
Dollar stays inside 98.991–99.591.
Inside-bar stack remains unbroken.
Price sits near the 0.6 premium zone.
Neutral until London breaks the range.
Yields — 10Y & 2Y
10Y yield: -1.01% in Asia → long-end compression.
2Y yield: -1.27% → dovish policy tone.
Curve: both ends lower → risk-off positioning.
ES — S&P 500 Futures
ES moves lower toward 6.571.
Yesterday’s high-volatility expansion continues.
Tone remains defensive.
Gold — Safety Premium
Gold fills imbalance and presses into support.
Break = active safety flows.
Hold = passive bid.
Volatility
VIX closed pre-London.
Futures hold elevated regime.
Conditions favor fast intraday expansions.
Calendar Risk
Medium-tier data ahead.
Yesterday’s partial data production repeats → limited visibility.
Expect flow-driven moves until major prints arrive.
Execution View
DXY bias neutral inside range.
Yields down + ES down = risk-off.
Gold support = key inflection.
London expansion outside 98.99–99.59 sets direction.
Trade second move, not first spike.
Summary:
Dollar trapped. Yields lower. ES heavy. Gold at support.
Fragile pre-London environment; London’s first expansion defines the session.
— CORE5DAN
Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
USOIL Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 59.384.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 61.007 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Another Gold-Silver Pair Trade Oppurtunity?Gold/Silver tell many tales for metal traders. Usually, when metal prices falling hard or during extreme risks (like April when Trump announced tariffes) the ratio goes higher while market rallying the ratio goes lower. The less liquidty in silver market relative to gold is one of the reasons for that. But now metals in selloff mode and ratio is going down, it is giving mixed signals.
In any case, if the ratio holds around this support which is also very near to 5 year -1 standard deviaton from average, buying gold and selling silver could be an idea that I'm currently thinking about but not yet pull the trigger.
Stop!Loss|Market View: GOLD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for GOLD ☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 3992.755
💰TP: 3853.896
⛔️SL: 4067.971
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: Gold is moving in line with the previous sell scenario, and this medium-term trade remains relevant. In the shorter term, additional selling below the point of control (POC) level, around 3992.755, could also be considered. An alternative short-term scenario is selling near 4100, where the last accumulation is located. The downside target is currently considered to be in the 3800-3900 area, but a decline to 3600-3700 remains possible.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
XAGUSD H4 | Falling Towards 61.8% Fibonacci SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price action is currently retracing toward the buy entry level, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, an area that often acts as a strong reaction zone.
Buy Entry: 48.75
Strong overlap support
61.8% Fibonacci retracement confluence
Stop Loss: 47.50
Pullback support
78.6% Fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 51.00
Pullback resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
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USOIL H4 | Bearish Drop OffMomentum: Bearish
The price is currently moving along a descending trendline and remains below the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating continued downside pressure.
Sell entry: 60.35
Pullback resitance
Stop loss: 61.42
Pullback resistance
Take profit: 58.21
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
GOLD (XAU-GC) BUY PLAN📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment for GOLD remains strongly bullish. One of the key drivers is the aggressive accumulation by global central banks. Recession concerns and persistent inflation fears continue to position gold as one of the most attractive safe-haven assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price has completed the expected accumulation phase and broke out strongly from the accumulation range. This former range has now turned into a clear demand zone. Price has pulled back into this zone again and is currently testing the $4060 level.
📌 Game Plan
The $4060–$3900 zone is my primary buy zone. I will continue accumulating within this range.
My first target is $4250, followed by $4400, which aligns with new all-time-high expectations.
If price closes below $3900 on the daily, this idea becomes invalid. Therefore, my stop is a daily close under $3900.
💬 If this breakdown aligns with your outlook, like and comment below.
For deeper sentiment and strategy insights, subscribe to my Substack free access available.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading or investing.
Institutional Order Flow MCl1!Institutional order flow on MCL1! is showing a draw on liquidity with relative equal lows near 55 - 55.5 pricing.
Dropping down to the lower time frame the swing structure holds true and is pointing at lower prices in the near future.
We're looking for entries on the lower time frame and following the fractal trend within the Daily.
Waiting for confirmations, it looks like today will be a bearish day with the nearest target of 59.31
As always, wait for a confirmation entry, and hold small running positions for if we get deeper profits.
Silver psychological 5000 support levelThe Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 5000 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 5000 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
5215 – initial resistance
5325 – psychological and structural level
5390 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 5000 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4940 – minor support
4856 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while silver holds above 5000. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold support at 4033Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 4147
Resistance Level 2: 4207
Resistance Level 3: 4243
Support Level 1: 4033
Support Level 2: 4009
Support Level 3: 3985
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Double Top on the Weekly Silver ChartSilver ( AMEX:SLV ) has had a great run this year, however after a volatile week we've now printed a double top on the weekly chart. Is that the end of this great bull run? It would not surprise me to see some profit taking as we head towards the end of year. Perhaps a drift lower rathe rather than a collapse?
SILVER TO 65 $ ?Silver is undergoing a consolidation in the 47 to 54 $ range recently.
There is an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern forming right now.
The implied price objective of 65 $
At a time where many (even smart) invesors are waiting for a dip down to 40 (and even 30) $ could that be the surprise that hot assets offer in a raging bull market ?
The pattern is there ! Will it play out ?
I am positioned.
XAGUSD H1 | Bearish Reaction off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud.
Sell entry: 52.072
- Strong pullback resistance
- 61.8% Fib retracement
- Fair Value Gap
Stop Loss: 53.433
- Overlap resistance
Take Profit: 50.29
- Multi-swing low support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
USOIL: Consolidation First, Breakout Next After crude oil plummeted last week to a low near 58.1, it rebounded on Friday and closed around 59.5, basically confirming a consolidating trend.
For this week, crude oil is expected to first trade in a low-range consolidation before assessing the potential for a unilateral move. Focus on the 58 level as support below and 62 as resistance above; trade within this range using a "buy low and sell high" strategy.
Go long around the 58.2 level.
Go short around the 61.8 level.
If the price breaks out of this range, then look for a unilateral trend to follow.






















