GOLD | Bullish Structure Holds After Fed Cut, with correctionalGOLD – Technical Overview
Gold prices are rising after the Federal Reserve delivered a widely expected 25 bps rate cut, even though policymakers offered little clarity on the 2025 policy path.
Despite uncertainty, safe-haven demand, strong central-bank buying, and surging ETF inflows have pushed both gold and silver toward what could be their strongest annual performance since 1979.
Gold is up more than 60% this year, while silver has more than doubled.
Technical Analysis
Gold remains in a bullish structure while trading above 4198, with upside targets at:
→ 4225 → 4237 → 4255 (extended bullish continuation)
A retest of 4198 remains possible before the next move higher.
Above 4198: bullish trend intact, continuation expected
Below 4198 (1H close): bearish momentum activates, opening a deeper correction toward 4152
Pivot Line: 4218
Support: 4198 · 4152
Resistance: 4237 · 4255
Commodities
Silver uptrend continuation breakout support at 6288The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 6288 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 6288 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
6500 – initial resistance
6600 – psychological and structural level
6700 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 6288 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
6190 – minor support
6110 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Silver holds above 6288. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold Bullish breakout supported at 4254The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4254 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4254 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4354 – initial resistance
4380 – psychological and structural level
4403 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4254 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4230 – minor support
4209 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 4254. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAUUSD: Bullish Push to 4295?FX:XAUUSD is eyeing a bullish continuation on the 4-hour chart , with price bouncing within an upward channel after recent lower highs and higher lows, converging with a potential entry zone near support that could spark upside momentum if buyers hold the channel amid volatility. This setup suggests a rally opportunity post-correction, targeting higher resistance levels with overall risk-reward exceeding 1:3.5 .🔥
Entry between 4160–4175 for a long position. Targets at 4245 (first), 4295 (second). Set a stop loss at a valid break below the upward channel, yielding a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:3.5 in total. Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume, leveraging gold's resilience in the channel.
Fundamentally , gold is consolidating around $4,193 in mid-December 2025, with today's FOMC meeting on December 10 drawing intense focus as the Federal Reserve is widely expected to deliver a 25-basis-point rate cut —the third consecutive reduction—bringing the key rate to about 3.6%, the lowest in nearly three years. However, the decision may come with hawkish guidance signaling a potential pause in future cuts amid divisions among officials urging caution, influenced by conflicting economic data like resilient labor markets and cooling inflation. Investors will scrutinize Fed Chair Powell's post-meeting press briefing for clues on the 2026 outlook, where dovish signals could boost gold's safe-haven appeal by weakening the USD further, though hawkish tones might cap gains. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Long):
4160 – 4175
(Entry inside this zone remains valid with proper risk & capital management.)
🎯 Targets:
• 4245 (first)
• 4295 (second)
❌ Stop Loss:
A valid break & close below the upward channel
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
More than 1:3.5 overall
💡 Your view?
Does XAUUSD hold the channel support and push toward 4295 — or will FOMC volatility create another dip first? 👇
XAUUSD: Bulls Hold Structure - Targeting 4,300 Resistance RetestHello everyone, here is my analysis of the current XAUUSD setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD is trading within a broader ascending structure, supported by a well-defined trend line that continues to drive the market upward. Recent price action shows several successful breakouts from previous consolidation zones, confirming sustained bullish pressure. After an extended period of ranging, buyers regained control and pushed the market higher, respecting the overall upward trajectory.
Currently, price is moving within a narrowing formation defined by an upper resistance line and a lower support line. This developing wedge formation suggests that bullish momentum remains intact, but the market is consolidating before its next significant move. The 4,170 support zone continues to serve as a key demand area, where buyers previously stepped in and defended the bullish trend. On the other hand, the 4,300 resistance zone limits the upside and remains the primary barrier for buyers. Overall, the structure indicates that the market maintains a bullish bias as long as price stays above the support line and holds above the 4,170 support level.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario remains bullish as long as XAUUSD trades above the 4,170 support zone and continues to respect the rising support line within the current formation. I expect the price to attempt another move toward the 4,300 resistance zone, which aligns with the upper boundary of the wedge structure. A strong breakout above 4,300 would confirm bullish continuation and could open the path for further upward expansion.
However, if the price fails to hold the support line and breaks below the 4,170 level with clear momentum, the bullish scenario would be invalidated, potentially signaling the start of a deeper corrective phase. For now, the market structure favors a long bias, with focus on a potential movement toward the 4,300 resistance area.
That is the setup I am currently monitoring. Thank you for your attention, and as always — manage your risk!
Silver Extends Gains as Wave Structure Points HigherSilver broke higher last week sharply and decisively, while gold has not followed to the upside as strongly. However, with the gold–silver ratio falling, silver remains the stronger performer at this stage. Because of this relative strength, the move could be wave (3) of an ongoing five-wave bullish impulse, especially given the strong extension higher and the fact that gold is also approaching an all-time high.
Silver may continue to grind higher, and there appears to be room toward the 261.8% Fibonacci extension and the 68–70 zone to complete a lower-degree impulse within wave (3). Currently it can be trading in subwave 3 with room for more gains, just be aware of subwave 4 pullback before a bullish resumption within subwave 5 of (3).
XAUUSD: Analysis and Strategy for December 12Gold Technical Analysis:
Daily Resistance: 4382, Support: 4175
4-Hour Resistance: 4382, Support: 4265
1-Hour Resistance: 4343, Support: 4285
Technically, after the European session opened, the price surged upwards, breaking through the 4300 level in the short term. Moving average support has moved upwards, and technical indicators have completed their correction, strengthening confidence in a continued bullish outlook for gold in the medium to long term.
On the daily chart, gold is showing strong performance, exhibiting a continuous upward trend. Moving averages are crossing upwards, support levels are gradually moving higher, and Bollinger Bands are expanding upwards. After this breakout, a new round of upward movement is inevitable. The price is rising. Today's support level to watch is around 4265, the area where the top and bottom have reversed.
On the 1-hour chart, the price is rising in a step-like pattern, breaking through multiple resistance levels in the short term and continuing yesterday's upward trend. The Bollinger Bands are trending upwards, the moving averages are crossing upwards, and the MACD/KDJ indicators suggest that the upward trend will continue. Short-term support is around 4285/4280, and short-term resistance is at the previous historical high. Today is Friday, so be aware of the systemic risks brought by the time window.
Cautious trading strategy:
BUY: 4280near
BUY: 4265near
Selling requires waiting for a bearish pattern to form on the chart.
More analysis →
GOLD | Short ideaGold tapped into the previous monthly high and since then been trending down.
Now it is at a key level where I expect Gold to reject and make a move down.
A reaction has been there already, it is very volatile so tread carefully.
Let me know what your analysis is!
Stay safe out there and do your own due diligence, this is not investment advise!
XAUUSD Range Resistance Holds — Pullback Toward $4,170 in FocusHello, traders! Here’s my technical outlook on GOLD (XAUUSD) based on the current market structure visible on the chart. After a strong rebound from the previous lower demand area, price moved into a steady ascending structure, respecting the rising Support Line and forming higher highs and higher lows. This bullish impulse later transitioned into a corrective consolidation, where Gold entered a well-defined range below the major 4,260 resistance level. The repeated rejection from this resistance confirms strong selling pressure at the top of the range, while buyers continue to defend the 4,170 support level, keeping price compressed between these key boundaries.Currently, XAUUSD is trading inside this consolidation box, while also respecting the descending short-term resistance line from the recent swing highs. The market previously broke out from the bullish channel and is now showing signs of weakness beneath the upper boundary of the range, suggesting that upside momentum is fading. As long as price remains capped below 4,260, the risk of a deeper corrective move remains elevated.My primary scenario is bearish as long as Gold stays below the 4,260 resistance and continues to respect the descending resistance line. I expect price to gradually move lower toward the TP1 target at 4,170, which is the first key support inside the structure. If selling pressure accelerates and this level fails to hold, the next downside objective stands at TP2 around 4,120, where stronger demand could emerge. A clear breakdown below TP1 would confirm bearish continuation. However, if price reclaims 4,260 with strong momentum, this bearish setup would be invalidated and the bullish trend could resume. For now, the structure favors a corrective pullback toward 4,170–4,120. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GBP/USD | Bullish momentum still going stron! (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see, GBPUSD surged after FOMC and completely closed the supply zone, and after that went on to the next supply zone, touching it at 1.34380 level. As I had previously said, GBPUSD did indeed reach 1.34000 and even much higher.
At the moment, GBPUSD is being traded at 1.33800 and I believe it'll soon challenge the 1.34300-1.34570 supply zone again. Should it go through the next supply zone, I believe will go even higher to sweep the liquidity above 1.34730 and then a little bit of correction.
USOIL Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 57.360.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 58.090 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Platinum Bullish Reaccumulation Next Resistance 1790🌟 XPT/USD | Platinum vs U.S. Dollar – Metals Market Opportunity Blueprint (Day / Swing Trade) 🌟
🔥 Market Outlook & Trade Thesis
Platinum continues to show a renewed bullish intention, with the 4H moving-average pullback confirming upside strength. The structure is gradually shifting into a momentum-supported climb, supported by improving buy-side liquidity and reduced downside pressure.
🎯 Trade Plan (Bullish Confirmation – 4H MA Pullback)
Entry:
You can take buy entries at any suitable level using your own strategy.
However, thief is using layer entries at:
1650
1670
1690
💡 Benefits of Layer Entries (Why Layering Works)
📌 Risk distribution: Reduces exposure instead of entering full size at one price.
📈 Better average fill: Allows improved position cost when price fluctuates.
⚙️ Adapts to volatility: Perfect for metals like platinum that move in waves.
💪 Psychological control: Prevents emotional overcommitment at a single entry.
🎯 Smarter scaling: Adds positions only as the trend confirms itself.
🛑 Stop Loss Setup
This is thief SL → 1620
Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's), adjust your SL based on your strategy & personal risk.
Note: I am not recommending you set only my SL. It’s your choice. You make money → you take money → at your own risk.
🎯 Target & Exit Plan
Police barricade ahead — strong resistance + overbought conditions + potential trap zones.
Kindly escape with your profits.
Our target → 1790
Note: Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's), I am not recommending that you set only my TP.
It’s your own choice. Your profits are your responsibility and your reward.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlations & Key Points)
1️⃣ XAU/USD (Gold)
Often moves in sync with platinum during macro risk-off or risk-on cycles.
Strong gold demand typically boosts sentiment across precious metals.
2️⃣ XAG/USD (Silver)
Shares industrial + precious metal characteristics similar to platinum.
Silver spikes often precede delayed reactions in platinum.
3️⃣ PALLADIUM (XPD/USD)
Platinum and palladium are substitutes in automotive catalytic converters.
Rising palladium prices can shift demand toward platinum → bullish correlation.
4️⃣ DXY (U.S. Dollar Index)
Precious metals generally rise when the dollar weakens.
Keep an eye on DXY retracements — they often trigger metal surges.
5️⃣ US10Y (U.S. Bond Yields)
Falling yields strengthen metals due to lower opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets.
Yield drops → platinum tends to react with bullish momentum.
🚀 Final Thoughts
This setup captures a clean bullish structure, strategic layered entries, and risk-adaptive stops.
Manage your risk, respect your plan, and escape at your target when the police barricade hits.
GOLD (XAUUSD): To All-Time High
As I predicted earlier, Gold finally violated our current daily resistance
and set a new local higher high higher close with a confirmed bos.
We can expect a bullish continuation to a resistance based on
a current ATH now.
Goal - 4353
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU - Potential False Breakout Before Correction in Bearish FlagI expect a move toward the upper boundary of the bearish flag, with a possible false breakout before the market begins a deeper correction.
Upside targets are $4,450–$4,500, while the potential downside correction zone lies around $3,850–$3,800.
XAUUSD GOLD Possible Bullish OpportunityGold is currently trending up nicely on the 4-hour time frame. We've had a pullback down into equilibrium and it's starting to move. Thought I'd get this video in quickly, understand the risk. This is my trade idea. Hope you like it. Do comment, I'd love to hear from you. Have a great day, safe trading, and see you in the next one
GOLD → Positive fundamental background. Focus on 4200 FX:XAUUSD is testing the $4,250 level amid news momentum related to interest rate cuts. The fundamental backdrop is improving, with the dollar entering a downward trend...
The Fed cut rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%, as expected. Powell's tone was cautious rather than hawkish, which weakened the dollar and Treasury yields. The market expects two rate cuts next year, compared to one in the Fed's forecasts
- Focus has shifted to US employment data (jobless claims). The next key risk will be next week's NFP data.
The Fed's decision provided support for gold, but for growth above $4250, confirmation of a weakening labor market in upcoming reports will be needed. Technically, the focus is on the 4200-4220 zone.
Resistance levels: 4220, 4250, 4260
Support levels: 4200, 4180, 4175
Consolidation above 4200 will confirm the bullish sentiment, while a breakout and consolidation above 4220 will open up a new chance for growth towards the resistance of the range.
I do not rule out the possibility of a retest the support of the range at 4181 before moving up (the price is still in a sideways trend).
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD Intraday Plan | 4285 Hit, Whats Next?Analysis has played out perfectly, with gold reaching our 4285 target.
For any further upside, buyers must break and hold above 4285, which would open the path toward 4322.
If price fails to clear 4285, expect a pullback toward lower support levels. Gold is currently trading at the top of the range, and with it being Friday, volatility tends to increase — meaning we could see sudden sharp spikes and downside whipsaws.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4285
4322
Support:
4251
4219
4185
CRUDE OIL Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL taps into a fresh SMC supply pocket after a clean liquidity grab and shifts order flow bearish. The current pullback simply mitigates the breaker before another leg down unfolds toward discounted pricing. Time Frame 4H.
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD CYCLE ANALYSIS - WAVE 5 PATTERN EMERGING1️⃣ MACRO CONTEXT — GLOBAL CONDITIONS ARE RELOADING GOLD’S NEXT MEGA WAVE
Gold is entering a multi-year super-cycle powered by a rare combination of global instability and monetary shifts:
- Ongoing geopolitical conflicts (Ukraine, Middle East) continue to elevate safe-haven demand.
- U.S. economic momentum is slowing → rising recession probability.
- The market is pricing in aggressive Fed rate cuts in the coming year → real yields cooling, a direct catalyst for gold upside.
- Central banks (China, India, Turkey) are buying gold at the fastest pace in 50 years, diversifying away from the USD.
These macro foundations perfectly align with the repetitive growth cycle pattern displayed in chart.
2️⃣ STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS — GOLD IS REPEATING ITS 5-WAVE GROWTH CYCLE
On the 1D chart, gold is moving exactly within a classic 5-wave impulsive cycle:
Wave 1: A long accumulation zone → first breakout.
Wave 2: Shallow correction, maintaining higher lows.
Wave 3:The strongest expansion phase — identical to the 2024–2025 rally.
Wave 4: A consolidation wedge + sideway pullback inside the green zone you marked.
Wave 5 (Forming Now): The next explosive leg upward, projected by the white path on your chart.
Price is currently sitting inside Accumulation Zone 4, building energy before launching the final impulsive wave.
3️⃣TRADE SCENARIO — BASED ON STRUCTURE + MACRO ALIGNMENT
🔵 Primary Scenario: Bullish Super-Cycle Continues
If price holds the ascending yellow trendline and the Zone 4 support:
- Gold completes its corrective zigzag → then accelerates into Wave 5, aiming for new all-time highs.
Macro factors reinforce this bullish scenario:
- Fed rate cuts expected → lower real yields.
- USD entering a weakening cycle.
- Geopolitical tensions remain elevated.
- Central banks increasing gold reserves aggressively.
→ This is the dominant, high-probability scenario.
🔴 Secondary Scenario: Macro Repricing Pullback
Only triggered if:
- The Fed unexpectedly turns hawkish again (low probability),
- Geopolitical tensions ease significantly (low probability).
In that case, gold may retest lower zones:
3125 → 2523, exactly as marked on your chart.
4️⃣ RISK MANAGEMENT — WHEN THE MODEL FAILS
The super-cycle view becomes invalid if:
- Daily close breaks below the green Wave 4 accumulation zone.
- U.S. bond yields spike sharply higher again.
- DXY rallies above 115.
These conditions contradict the current global macro trajectory, so the probability remains low.
5️⃣ GOLD’S 5-WAVE PATTERN IS NOT RANDOM
Each accumulation zone (1–2–3–4) shares identical behavior:
- 6–12 weeks of tight consolidation
- Breakout triggered by macro news
- Each impulsive wave larger than the previous one
This is the footprint of a long-term impulsive super-cycle, currently unfolding from 2023–2026.
Given the macro backdrop and repeated structural pattern, Wave 5 is positioned to become the strongest and most extended wave of this entire cycle.
I
XAUUSD Intraday Plan | Powell Spike Fades, 4219 Back in FocusWe saw a solid push into the 4,251 resistance yesterday following Powell’s speech, but the move was short-lived. Price retraced all gains during the Asian session and is now trading around 4,215 — once again sitting below the 4,219 resistance.
The overall outlook remains unchanged:
Buyers must reclaim the 4,219 resistance to target 4,251, with 4,285 becoming achievable if momentum strengthens.
If selling pressure builds, we could see the 4,185 Reaction Zone tested again. A break below 4,185 would expose the Support Zone, where buyers may look to react.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4219
4251
4285
Support:
4185
4144
4102
DeGRAM | GOLD will rebound to the $4370 level📊 Technical Analysis
● XAU/USD trades within a rising channel, respecting the ascending support line while printing higher lows. Repeated consolidations above 4,190–4,200 confirm strong demand and controlled bullish structure.
● Price is compressing below the upper trend resistance near 4,285–4,300, forming a continuation range that favors an upside breakout toward the major resistance at 4,370.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold remains supported by expectations of softer US monetary policy and persistent geopolitical risks, which continue to underpin demand despite short-term USD fluctuations.
✨ Summary
● Bullish bias above 4,200. Upside targets: 4,300 → 4,370. Key support: 4,190–4,200.
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