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XAUUSD: Correction underway as selling pressure intensifiesOANDA:XAUUSD pushed through the Margin Zone toward 3976, a strong level with CME Longcall positioning—where selling pressure has begun to appear. I believe the upside objective for this leg has been met and the market is likely to enter a corrective phase in the near term. You can read my previous analysis here: Momentum has clearly weakened, and selling pressure around has appeared. CME traders have begun unwinding Longcall exposure , reinforcing the view that the advance may be nearing completion. However, Longput positioning has not increased materially yet, so the pullback may not accelerate immediately. Key resistance: Key support: , Contingency support: Today’s plan: Look for sell entries into and target the support zones below. Confirmation: Wait for Quantum Vol-Delta at 5m timeframe to flag strong selling pressure before entering. Stops: Place the stop above the resistance or above the most recent 5m timeframe swing high from the entry. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to produce more analysis in the future 🙏✨ Victor Dan @ ZuperView
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ZuperView
DeCode | Crypto Macro OutlookTopic: Macro Crypto Outlook Context: BTC.D, DXY, Equities, CRYPTOCAP:BTC , News Article: Macro Crypto Outlook (Weekly Summary) Assets: BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P TVC:DXY CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D BINANCE:ETHBTC In this Weekly Macro Crypto Outlook , we break down the current state of the market and outline our forward-looking thesis for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Altcoins. Volatility is high. Some believe the cycle has topped. Others expect one final leg before the market turns. At DeCode, we look past the noise and focus on data, structure, and context. Let’s decode the charts together and map out what’s ahead for the rest of 2025. Bitcoin Outlook Bitcoin is now attempting a breakout on the weekly chart, reclaiming the previous structural Higher High. To confirm this move, we need at least two consecutive candle closes above $119,655. Despite multiple rejections from the recent highs, the market has absorbed that bearish pressure and pushed higher; a strong signal of underlying bullish strength. If this breakout holds, the next targets lie at the +5 and +6 VWAP standard deviations, sitting around $137,000 and $151,500, which represents a potential +10% to +20% move from current levels. On the daily chart, we’re seeing six consecutive bullish closes, but short-term momentum is starting to fade, specially with a clear 3-Drive pattern that often lead the start of a pullback from Short Sellers. Entering at all-time highs is rarely optimal, neither profitable so pullbacks are opportunities, not threats. Key zones to watch on a retracement are: $118,880 $112,600 $107,450 While a deep correction is unlikely given current momentum, the deeper the pullback, the better the Risk/Reward for those waiting with patience and a plan. BItcoin Dominance & ETHBTC Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) turned bearish a few weeks ago, but we’re now seeing early signs of a potential pullback. From a weekly perspective, the trend remains to the downside as long as BTC.D stays below 62.62%. However, the recent failed auctions on both the Weekly and Daily timeframes suggest we could see a short-term bounce in dominance. A rising BTC.D means Bitcoin takes the spotlight and altcoins suffer disproportionately. Until we see clear weakness in BTC.D, it’s wise to keep altcoin exposure controlled. The 60.85% – 59.57% zone is the key area to watch. If BTC.D starts showing rejection or weakness there, it could open a high-conviction window to rotate into undervalued alts. ETHBTC remains the primary signal for altcoin strength and the true beginning of altseason. In our view, it hasn’t started yet. Recently, ETHBTC broke out of a multi-year bearish trend on the weekly chart; a significant structural shift. On the daily chart, ETHBTC is gaining strength from a key Volume Level Zone, while BTC.D creeps higher. This divergence is critical: If ETHBTC holds while BTC.D rises, we could be setting up for a massive ETHUSDT expansion, followed by strong moves in L1s and L2s. ETHBTC must hold above 0.03749 to maintain this momentum. As Bitcoin cools off, ETH could lead the next phase of the cycle. TradFi Correlation In traditional markets, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is often viewed as a risk-off indicator, when the dollar strengthens, risk assets like crypto, equities, and commodities tend to suffer. At the moment, the DXY is showing signs of strength on the weekly chart, forming a solid base after multiple rejections from its previous structural lower low. If this structure holds, we could see a move toward 100.54, a key level that aligns with a potential short-term pullback across crypto markets. A break and sustained move above that level would shift the daily DXY structure to bullish, signaling increased demand for dollar safety. Historically, this tends to put downward pressure on risk assets, as investors rotate out of speculative positions. This price action isn’t happening in a vacuum. Here’s what’s adding fuel to the fire: 📈 U.S. Treasury Yields are rising again as markets price in “higher for longer” rates. This strengthens the dollar and drains liquidity from risk assets. 📊 CPI and employment data are keeping the Fed cautious, which delays any meaningful pivot or rate cuts, even as parts of the economy show signs of slowing. 🧠 Global liquidity conditions are tightening, especially with ongoing geopolitical tensions and lower than expected growth in major economies like China and the EU. 🏦 Institutional capital is cautious; inflows into crypto ETFs have slowed, and hedge funds are increasing USD exposure as a hedge.
by BastDeCode
1
MARA Showing Classic Wyckoff Reaccumulation SetupI’m currently observing what appears to be a Wyckoff Reaccumulation Schematic developing in MARA (Marathon Digital Holdings). After a significant decline, the price seems to have found a floor with a clear Selling Climax (SC), followed by an Automatic Rally (AR) that established the upper boundary of the trading range. The price action since then has remained largely within this range, showing multiple Secondary Tests (ST) that confirm both support and resistance levels. The structure and volume behavior suggest that MARA is likely in Phase C of the Wyckoff reaccumulation process, where we typically anticipate a spring or shakeout to test supply before the next leg higher. If the schematic continues to unfold according to the Wyckoff method, we could see signs of Phase D soon, which would involve a successful test of the spring and a rally back toward resistance with increasing demand. This would set the stage for a potential breakout, marking the beginning of Phase E. I’m closely watching price behavior near the lower range, along with volume confirmation, to validate this scenario. While the structure is still developing, the current formation is consistent with historical reaccumulation patterns seen prior to bullish continuations.
NASDAQ:MARALong
by paisakkaran
HFT: One Last Pump Before the Dumpster?🚨 COINBASE:HFTUSD BINANCE:HFTUSDT — Quick Breakdown 🚨 📉 Structure Clear bearish trend: lower lows, lower highs. Every time momentum hits overbought, we get another dump. Altseason? Highly unlikely to save this shitcoin. 📊 Price Action June brought a bounce, but July almost completely erased it. If August closes below its open — expect the downtrend rally to continue. 🌊 Wave Scenario June’s move looks like a potential impulse, so one more upward leg is possible: 🎯 T1: 0.1023 (July high) 🎯 T2: 0.1678 (July 2nd high) 🔝 Max realistic: 0.1800 (monthly imbalance fill) 🦄 Fantasy land: 0.2450 if we get a “fairy-tale” altseason. 💩 Fundamentally — this is a worthless piece of dog sh*t, don’t expect long-term miracles.
Long
by shakatrade1_618
5
Long BTC📊 BTC Market Update Weekly TF: BTC is closing with a bullish weekly candle, signaling strong momentum continuation. 4H TF: Price has broken above the range high and is now retesting it as support — a classic breakout-retest setup. ✅ Long Bias Structure and momentum align with a long entry, with favorable R:R as outlined in the chart. Breakout confirmation on the retest strengthens the case for continuation to higher targets. ⚠️ Key to Monitor Hold above the reclaimed range high. Volume confirmation on the retest for sustainability. Macro events and BTC dominance shifts that could affect follow-through. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on my personnal views and is not a financial advice. Risk is under your control.
Long
by evasivesteering
2
Another Day, Another All-Time High (Boring)Another Day, Another All-Time High 🥇📈 POV: You’re Bitcoin… and breaking world records isn’t an anomaly — it’s a schedule. 💼 From $124,128 (August high) ➜ $125,000 during Asia hours (Oct 5) ➜ $126,000 in U.S./EU session (Oct 6). In between? $100M+ in shorts liquidated in under an hour . $50B+ in 24h volume . The market didn't blink. 😮‍💨 Like Mondo Duplantis, the pole vault king who's broken the world record 14 times — always by 1cm — Bitcoin doesn’t leap to impress… It just keeps clearing the next bar. Some assets peak once and call it a legacy. Bitcoin? It redefines the ceiling weekly — just like Mondo. 📊 $126K is the new record. 🔜 $129K tagged as “Next ATH” on the radar. No hype needed — the pole vaulter never lies. Only new heights matter. Thought of the Day 💡 “Whether it’s Bitcoin or Mondo, the most powerful momentum is the kind that builds quietly and breaks higher loudly, usually when traders are quiet..you had been warned . Keep raising the bar — no need to shout.” Disclaimer I share market views for educational and entertainment purposes only. This is not financial advice. I am not a licensed advisor. Yet i am the best Prognosis you will ever get! Trade at your own risk and always manage your capital responsibly. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Duplantis can break the World Record another 5-10 times.... Bitcoin can break it's ATH another 50-60,000 times...just math
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
7
Shale Producers Can’t Survive This Drop Brent Crude Oil OANDA:BCOUSD TVC:UKOIL NYMEX:MCL1! ICEEUR:BRN1! — Wave C Still in Progress Main Idea I expect Brent to retest the 58.37 low in the coming months as part of a corrective Wave C in a zigzag formation. Technical Outlook Price action remains bearish, with the market trading below key resistance. Below, there are areas of interest in the form of imbalances (FVGs) that may be filled. Two possible wave structures: Contracting diagonal → currently in wave 3. Expanding diagonal → in the final wave 5. Both scenarios imply further downside. Fundamentals Demand remains stable → no expectation of a dramatic collapse. Inflation and fiat debasement continue to support prices. Shale Factor US shale production costs: top-tier projects (Permian Basin) — $35–45/bbl, less efficient/new wells — $50–55+. Below $45–50, the industry turns unprofitable → drilling cuts and bankruptcies. For Trump’s administration, it’s critical to keep oil low but not too low: cheap fuel supports voters, but extremely low prices would hurt domestic producers. Conclusion The base scenario points to further decline with a target at 58.37 and filling imbalances below. However, a dramatic collapse below shale production costs is unlikely — this factor creates a natural “floor” for oil prices.
TVC:UKOILShort
by shakatrade1_618
BMNR Technical Outlook: A Textbook PlayStructure and Pattern Recognition BMNR has developed a constructive base while holding its broader uptrend structure. The chart highlights the potential formation of a double bottom reversal, a classical pattern that often signals the exhaustion of selling pressure and a shift toward accumulation. The neckline aligns closely with recent liquidity zones (LQ), providing a clear reference point for confirmation. Key Levels and Setups Price is currently consolidating around the $50–$52 range, supported by the trendline from early August. Above, the immediate target lies at the $57–$60 liquidity zone, followed by a higher expansion opportunity toward $65–$67. If momentum persists, the upper extension into $71+ remains in play. A break and sustained close below the ascending trendline, however, would invalidate the structure and shift focus back to the mid-$40s. Volume Profile and Momentum The volume profile confirms heavy participation around the $50 area, creating a strong base of support. As price reclaims the 200 EMA and breaks above local resistance, order flow is likely to accelerate toward higher supply zones. This aligns with the thesis that any breakout above neckline resistance could trigger a measured move targeting the mid-$60s. Outlook and Scenarios Bullish Case: A confirmed breakout above the $57–$60 zone validates the double bottom structure, opening the path toward $65–$67 and potentially $71. Bearish Case: Failure to hold the $50 trendline support exposes BMNR to a deeper retracement, with downside risk into the low-to-mid $40s. Conclusion BMNR sits at a technical crossroads. While downside risk remains if $50 fails, the pattern structure and volume dynamics favor continuation higher if resistance breaks. Traders should monitor the neckline breakout as the defining signal for near-term direction.
AMEX:BMNRLong
by oneforthestacks
13