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Research Report – USD/INR Technical & Macro OutlookI. Technical Analysis Chart Pattern: USD/INR is currently forming a Bullish Flag pattern after completing waves (1) to (4) as per Elliott Wave structure. The corrective wave (4) has concluded around 88.40 – 88.50 levels, aligning with support from trendline and Bollinger Band lower zone. Wave Projection (Elliott Wave): Expected Wave (5) targets are: 0.618 extension: 89.20 1.000 extension: 89.61 1.618 extension: 90.28 This suggests a bullish move towards 89.20 – 90.30 levels in the near term. Momentum Indicators: Bollinger Band squeeze signals upcoming volatility expansion. RSI remains neutral-to-bullish, supporting further upside. Technical View: Bullish bias as long as USD/INR sustains above 88.40. Upside targets at 89.20 / 89.60 / 90.30. II. Global Economic Factors US Dollar Drivers The US Fed’s monetary stance remains a key driver. Persistently higher US yields and hawkish tone could strengthen USD further. US economy shows resilience in labor and consumer spending, supporting USD demand. India-Specific Macro RBI has intervened intermittently to stabilize INR, but India’s current account deficit pressure (due to higher crude oil imports) adds INR weakness. Capital inflows through FPI/FDI remain supportive, but outflows on risk-off sentiment could weigh. Global Risk Factors Crude Oil Prices: Sustained Brent above $95/bbl adds to India’s import bill, weakening INR. Geopolitical Uncertainty: Middle East tensions and Asian trade imbalances could fuel safe-haven demand for USD. China Slowdown: Weak Asian demand environment indirectly pressures EM currencies including INR. III. Risk Factors RBI intervention risk near 89.50/90.00 levels. Sudden reversal in crude oil prices. Global risk-on flows into emerging markets, strengthening INR unexpectedly. IV. Analyst View Short-term traders: Buy on dips towards 88.50 – 88.60, SL: 88.20, Targets: 89.20 / 89.60 / 90.30. Medium-term investors: Maintain cautious bullish stance; INR may depreciate further if crude oil and US yields remain high. V. Methodology Elliott Wave Analysis (Wave Count 1–5). Bollinger Bands & RSI for momentum confirmation. Macro drivers: Fed policy, RBI stance, crude oil dynamics, FII flows. VI. Mandatory Disclosures Analyst Certification: I/We hereby certify that the views expressed above are based on independent research and information believed to be reliable. Conflict of Interest: The analyst(s) and entity have no financial interest or actual/beneficial ownership of more than 1% in USD/INR or related instruments. Regulatory Note: This report has been prepared in compliance with SEBI (Research Analyst) Regulations, 2014 and amendments thereof. Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. Forex trading carries high risk due to volatility and leverage. Investors should consider their risk appetite before acting on this analysis.
Long
by Charts_Maven
PUMP | Technical & Fundamental InsightsDescription: PUMP has recently shown increased market attention, reflecting growing community interest and speculative momentum. From a fundamental perspective, this asset is highly driven by sentiment, liquidity inflows, and overall market conditions rather than traditional intrinsic value. Monitoring volume spikes and key support/resistance zones is essential for short-term traders. This analysis highlights both technical structures and underlying catalysts that could influence upcoming price action. Remember that PUMP remains a high-risk asset with strong volatility potential. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not represent financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. #PUMP #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading #PriceAction #Fundamentals #Altcoins #MarketInsights #RiskManagement
Long
by MoonTradingForecast
Sonic Price Zones and Macro ContextSonic (SUSDT:COINEX) - Macro + TA Context: Macro drivers: USD showing softness, yields stable, equities firm. Crypto majors holding higher ranges; sentiment neutral. Key Levels: Support zones: 0.300–0.305, 0.285, 0.270 Resistance zones: 0.335–0.350, 0.375–0.385, 0.400–0.410, 0.460 2H View: A 2H close above 0.335 with RSI > 50 would suggest room toward 0.350 / 0.375 / 0.400. A 2H close below 0.300 could open space toward 0.285 / 0.270 / 0.255. 4H View: The 200EMA around 0.34–0.35 remains an important zone. Sustained closes above 0.335–0.340 could leave upside potential to 0.350 / 0.375 / 0.400. Rejections near 0.350 with momentum slowing may see a move back toward 0.335 / 0.322 / 0.305. 1D View: Since July, price has ranged 0.30–0.35; supply sits at 0.40–0.46. Closes around 0.300–0.305 with constructive candles may lead toward 0.335 / 0.350 / 0.375. A daily close above 0.375 would highlight 0.400 / 0.430 / 0.460. A daily close under 0.300 would refocus attention on 0.285 / 0.270 / 0.250. 1W Lens: Market remains under weekly supply 0.40–0.46. A weekly close above 0.46 would bring 0.50–0.55 into view. 0.30–0.32 may act as an accumulation range while USD stays soft and majors stable; stronger USD or yields could shift focus toward 0.285–0.270. --- Risk Notes: Macro events (CPI releases, DXY moves, yield spikes) can shift these dynamics quickly. TL;DR: Constructive bias if 0.335 is reclaimed and held. Losing 0.300 would shift focus to 0.285 / 0.270. --- *Educational purposes only. Not financial advice. I also warrant that the information created and published here is not prohibited, doesn't constitute investment advice, and isn't created solely for qualified investors.*
by imaclone_eth
How to choose your BEST set up when FOREX pairs are correlatedAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!! www.tradingview.com
Long
by Simply-Forex
BTC.D Update – Monday 29.09.2025📊 📊 BTC.D Update – Monday 29.09.2025 Alright Members, let’s talk Alts! 🚀 As I mentioned in my last analysis, Bitcoin Dominance started a retracement last week and reached our black line (Arrow #3) perfectly ✅. So far, everything is moving according to plan. We even saw dominance break below the black area for a moment, but the very next day it reversed right back inside. That tells us one thing 👉 dominance is still in a downtrend. ⚡ Here’s the key: * If Bitcoin continues its uptrend and BTC.D breaks below our black line (Arrow #4 downside) → this would be a strong bull run signal for ALTS. 🌊 * Until then, expect accumulation near Arrow #3 and distribution near Arrow #4. 👉 My view hasn’t changed: Patience is power. Better to wait for a clear direction before jumping into new trades. The market is setting up something big — timing it right will make all the difference. Stay sharp, stay motivated, and remember: discipline now = profits later. 💪🔥 Alright Memebrs, let’s talk Alts! 🚀 As I mentioned in my last analysis, Bitcoin Dominance started a retracement last week and reached our black line (Arrow #3) perfectly ✅. So far, everything is moving according to plan. We even saw dominance break below the black area for a moment, but the very next day it reversed right back inside. That tells us one thing 👉 dominance is still in a downtrend. ⚡ Here’s the key: * If Bitcoin continues its uptrend and BTC.D breaks below our black line (Arrow #4 downside) → this would be a strong bull run signal for ALTS. 🌊 * Until then, expect accumulation near Arrow #3 and distribution near Arrow #4. 👉 My view hasn’t changed: Patience is power. Better to wait for a clear direction before jumping into new trades. The market is setting up something big — timing it right will make all the difference. Stay sharp, stay motivated, and remember: discipline now = profits later. 💪🔥
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by MoonTradingForecast
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