The Big Scoop! Gold v US DollarFollowing up from my previous video on price of Gold, I show an startling inverse correlation between Gold and strength of the US Dollar (DXY).
Before February 2020, Dollar strength basically followed Gold. But after February - the world changed. Keep in mind this was when COVID struck, and the FED flooded the economy with basically 'air money'.
COVID popped the baloon that was expanded recklessly for about 11 years. The FED then put 'sellotape' on the balloond and did a fair job of reinflating it, with more 'air' of course.
The effect of panic-striken money printing was to cause a loss of strength in the US Dollar against other currencies. Other factors like trade and price of Oil also account for Dollar strength in part.
So post-COVID,around April to end of May 2020, the Dollar took on a decompensation pattern and crashed. It could get even worse, as today the FED re-affirmed it's commitment to doing 'whatever it takes'.
This is probably not good news for the Dollar, but it's good news for those seeking upside on Gold.
Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can be expected. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, or miss opportunity, kindly sue yourself.
Correlation
VRTX - UP and Up and UPHi traders,
I have picked another market for today´s analysis. Our best shot for today can be VRTX (we just have to wait for the entry bar).
It´s a pharmaceutical company that increased the price of its stock during the Coronavirus crisis. If we compare the price with the SPY market and take the correlation into the consideration we can see that VRTX has more power to the upside than the whole Stock Market (SPY).
Correlation - negative or positive - is an important part of portfolio management. If you are LONG in 100 markets that correlates closely to the SPY, it´s almost the same as opening one big position in the SPY market. Be careful!
Good trading.
Jakub
FINEIGHT
SILVER top-down analysison WEEKLY: price is approaching a strong support/resistance zone in green so we will be looking for objective sell setups on lower timeframes. unless price breaks it upward aggressively, then we will be looking for objective buy setups on its retest.
on H4: price is trading inside our red channel (not valid yet) so we are waiting for a third swing to form around it to consider it objective and then enter on its break downward.
meanwhile, SILVER would be overall bullish.
Multi timeframe analysis: S&P Kiss of Death leads to BTC crash? S&P500 is forming the so called Kiss of death that is a strongly bearish signal. We saw that in the last years BTC and the major american indexes showed some correlation.
Bitcoin is approaching a really strong resistance area and in my opinion it will be bounced back and in this video I will show the Short position I will be taking with a 2.6 R/R.
Enjoy the view and let me know what you think.
Comment&share here your visions and ideas. Leave a like to support my work.
Bitcoin Bull Runs, This is How they're Sparked!In this short video analysis, we highlight the correlation between traditional asset Risk-On cycles and their impact on Bitcoin.
Every historical $BTCUSD bull run's start has coincided with a SPY significant Fibonacci level breach and retest.
This past month the SPY has breached the long term 2.618 fib level and is seemingly headed towards the 3.618, with no significant retest as of yet.
What will Bitcoin do?
Will we get an SPY retest?
Is the correlation over?
These are the top 3 questions that only the market can answer.
Stay tuned!
S&P500 v DXYI'm throwing this up for discussion. The three key areas of the chart seem to show that a fall in the DXY is followed by sound recoveries in the S&P500.
Be careful though, because I'm NOT saying that the weak DXY causes the S&P to rise like a phoenix.
It's a community so I welcome different perspectives on this.
The inverse correlation GOLD vs OIL 08:10 05-Sep-19.LOG
The inverse correlation GOLD vs OIL 08:10 05-Sep-19
Gold can be used for speculation but is preferred as a safe haven. Crude,
on the other hand, can be used as a store of value but is preferred as a
speculative play.
This combination makes these two assets work great together as mutual hedges.
Gold helps offset the risk of higher uncertainty, while oil can take advantage of
market moves.
Broadly speaking, you could say that gold and petroleum are inversely correlated.
There are a couple of major caveats to add to that notion. The first is that more
nuance allows for more sophisticated trading. The second is that there is more to
oil prices than just the market.
born2invest.com
Understanding Intermarket Spreads: Platinum and Gold
www.cmegroup.com
Basics of Futures Spread Trading
March 5, 2011 by Craig Turner
www.danielstrading.com
The inverse correlation GOLD vs OIL 16:13 04-Sep-19.LOG
Gold can be used for speculation but is preferred as a safe haven. Crude,
on the other hand, can be used as a store of value but is preferred as a
speculative play.
This combination makes these two assets work great together as mutual hedges.
Gold helps offset the risk of higher uncertainty, while oil can take advantage of
market moves.
Broadly speaking, you could say that gold and petroleum are inversely correlated.
There are a couple of major caveats to add to that notion. The first is that more
nuance allows for more sophisticated trading. The second is that there is more to
oil prices than just the market.
born2invest.com
Understanding Intermarket Spreads: Platinum and Gold
www.cmegroup.com
Basics of Futures Spread Trading
March 5, 2011 by Craig Turner
www.danielstrading.com
The inverse correlation GOLD vs OIL 14:39 04-Sep-19.LOG
The inverse correlation GOLD vs OIL 14:39 04-Sep-19
Gold can be used for speculation but is preferred as a safe haven. Crude,
on the other hand, can be used as a store of value but is preferred as a
speculative play.
This combination makes these two assets work great together as mutual hedges.
Gold helps offset the risk of higher uncertainty, while oil can take advantage of
market moves.
Broadly speaking, you could say that gold and petroleum are inversely correlated.
There are a couple of major caveats to add to that notion. The first is that more
nuance allows for more sophisticated trading. The second is that there is more to
oil prices than just the market.
born2invest.com
Understanding Intermarket Spreads: Platinum and Gold
www.cmegroup.com
Basics of Futures Spread Trading
March 5, 2011 by Craig Turner
www.danielstrading.com
08:48 03-Sep-19
The inverse correlation GOLD vs OIL 12:38 03-Sep-19.LOG
The inverse correlation GOLD vs OIL 12:38 03-Sep-19
Gold can be used for speculation but is preferred as a safe haven. Crude,
on the other hand, can be used as a store of value but is preferred as a
speculative play.
This combination makes these two assets work great together as mutual hedges.
Gold helps offset the risk of higher uncertainty, while oil can take advantage of
market moves.
Broadly speaking, you could say that gold and petroleum are inversely correlated.
There are a couple of major caveats to add to that notion. The first is that more
nuance allows for more sophisticated trading. The second is that there is more to
oil prices than just the market.
born2invest.com
Understanding Intermarket Spreads: Platinum and Gold
www.cmegroup.com
Basics of Futures Spread Trading
March 5, 2011 by Craig Turner
www.danielstrading.com
08:48 03-Sep-19
ANALYSIS: TRADING RISK ON/RISK OFF SENTIMENT (USDJPY & DOW)In this video, we take a look at the key correlations between risk-on and a risk-off market.
Typically when we see the stock market indexes fall, the safe haven currencies see significant strength.
Looking back we can highlight opportunities when the stock indexes fall and the JPY sees significant strength.