Australian CPI To Keep The RBA Cautious On RatesAustralia's monthly headline inflation metrics were all above expectations. While the basing effect and likely one-off electricity costs are a factor, it doesn't explain everything. I look at some of the CPI report's internals and outline what I think this means for AUD/USD.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at Forex.com and City Index
CPI
Surely the RBA Must Cut Rates Now?The RBA defied expectations of a cut in July, despite soft trimmed mean inflation figures in the monthly CPI report. The quarterly figures have now dropped, which I suspect leaves little wriggle room to hold at 2.85% in August. I 6ake a look at the quarterly and monthly inflation prints that matter, then wrap up on AUD/USD.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Just got the May US CPIs. PPIs next...Here is the reaction in the US instruments to the numbers. Let's dig in.
TVC:DXY
TVC:DJI
MARKETSCOM:US500
MARKETSCOM:US100
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
Htf Levels for gold In this video I look at the Higher term timeframe and mark what I consider to be 2 relevant levels looking forward for the month of June .
At the present we are sitting in the middle of the range but at some point we will break out or down from that range and the levels I have highlighted may be of guidance for gold traders.
In this video I use the Trend based Fib Extension, Tr pocket , vwap and standard fibs.
After CAN CPIs, it's time to prepare for BoC rate decisionLooking at the CPI numbers that came out, we are noticing some weakness in the CAD right now. This weakness may spill over into tomorrow's trading, as the BoC is expected to keep the rates unchaged.
Let's dig in!
FX_IDC:USDCAD
MARKETSCOM:USDCAD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
How to Track Inflation NumberHow to track inflation number?
When the Fed mentions their 2% inflation target, are they referring to the commonly published CPI that we often read about, or are they referring to Core CPI or Core PCE?
10-Year Yield Futures
Ticker: 10Y
Minimum fluctuation:
0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
Gold did nothing, So I slept + I had a headacheThe best thing about being a full time trader is being able to do what I want when I want and as much as I am in pain as I type this, Just knowing that I don't have to answer to anyone reduces that pain 10 fold for me, honest.
I don't have to request any leave, I don't have to report to anyone. I can just go.
Yeah sure making money is great but what good is it if it costs you your peace.
I'd openly accept making 10 times less than what I make now in exchange for my peace. Yeah you read that right.
Food and Liquidity - An Uncanny Relationship (USD CPI NEWS)I hope that this video finds you well, I really want you to sit and listen to what it is I have to say in this video, I could be absolutely wrong as I have been before but that doesn't mean that what I am saying doesn't make sense (at least to me) lol.
Anyway I wish you a safe CPI News event.
GBPNZD Simple Trade Plans PRE New Zealand InflationA rampant GBP Post UK Elections and a dovish stance coming out the RBNZ have provided us with a significant rally to start to look short on (Carefully).
If CPI comes in higher, we may see a reversal of the latest NZD sentiment, ultimately dropping GBPNZD (not a given).
Short side bias comes at local highs, extreme push. Likely to weaken.
Grain Market and Bread Prices - Its Potential TrendIn today’s tutorial, we will track the potential prices of this important staple, wheat, which is used to make our bread. In these studies, we will use a combination of technical analysis and fundamental developments to support this view.
Chicago SRW Wheat Futures & Options
Ticker: ZW
Minimum fluctuation:
1/4 of one cent (0.0025) per bushel = $12.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
SPX500: Price discussion pre-US CPI dataToday's focus: SPX500
Pattern – Continuation
Support – 5211
Resistance – 5267
Hi, traders. Thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at SPX500 on its daily chart.
Today, we wonder if the SPX500 can maintain its current bullish bias and possibly test or break all-time highs. Yesterday, buyers fought back after the PPI data, helped by comments from Fed Chair Powell.
Will we see retail sales and US CPI match or drop below data that is mainly expected to come in lower? Will this back up comments that maintained buyer hopes yesterday?
On the other side of the coin, if data comes in higher, could this set off some sharp selling as buyers may find themselves in a bull trap?
It could be an interesting CPI data today.
Good trading.
NDQ100 (Nasdaq) Price Breakdown Pre-CPI
Today's focus: Nasdaq
Pattern – Range
Support – 17,832
Resistance – 18,355
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at the Nasdaq daily.
Price remains range-bound. Do traders feel today's CPI will be bearish or bullish?
Yesterday, buyers showed some strength, stopping a bear move and reversing losses. Could good news on the CPI and minutes front maintain buyer control?
We have run over the primary levels and are currently holding the price. Depending on what we see from the CPI, could we see a new break that is lower or higher? Traders also have to be aware of false breakouts.
Good trading.
USDCAD: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: USDCAD
Pattern – Heavy Resistance
Support – 1.3514, 1.3454
Resistance – 1.3602
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at USDCAD daily.
What are we discussing and asking today after looking at USDCAD?
Will current heavy resistance contnue to block buyers? Does price have enough momentum in its current bull channel? Will this week's data and news be enough of an influence to set off a new break lower or higher?
Key news, US CPI, PPI, Fed meeting minutes. Canadian interest rate decision.
Good trading.
Last Leg (Update) - USDCHF Year So FarHey everyone!!
Here I talk about USDCHF and give a little update on my Trade Idea "Last Leg To The Finish Line"
Since it went over so well and continuing to follow suit, I wanted to do a Video Update on the idea to give a little insight on what I was seeing as the pair unfolded for the year and what I'm looking for in the near future!!
Please let me know what you think and thank you so much for all the Support!!
.. It all started with a little Double Bottom on the Hourly Chart
Natural Gas & Oil : is energy breaking out!Natural gas got a positive weekly close. this close sets up a potential short squeeze to $2 & $2.25 as long as we stay above the hourly chart neckline.
Oil has just made it highest weekly close in 18 weeks. Oil has now broken out to the upside and this could be very detrimental to consumers and the inflation fight.
If oil holds above $80 it's going to try to push for $84 and $90.
US30: Thoughts and Analysis Post-CPIToday's focus: US30
Pattern – Diagonal
Support – 38,135, 37,135
Resistance – 38,810
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at the US30 on the daily chart.
What a solid run we have seen till yesterday's CPI data. After US CPI came in hotter than expected, this shocked the market and led to heavy selling on stock indexes and risk currencies with a flight to safety (USD).
We have broken down price action, price patterns and levels we are watching. Is this nothing more than a buying opportunity, or is this a potential momentum change?
Good trading.
AUDUSD: Analysis Pre AU CPIToday's focus: AUDUSD
Pattern – Continuation/resistance break
Support – .6566, .6545
Resistance – .6620
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update.
Today, we have run over the AUDUSD breaking down levels we have seen form and what we are looking for after tomorrow's Australian CPI data. Combined with the USD, there are a few scenarios. We have done our best to break them down and incorporate price levels into those scenarios.
Will we see a new test of support, or will buyers break current short-term resistance?
Australian CPI data is due tomorrow at 11:30 am.
Good trading.