WillSebastian

05:42

WillSebastian

Risk Off Sentiment has drifted in and out of Markets based on company results in major US indexes and changes in the chance of rate cuts by the fed. Both of these have caused selling in such Markets, but the question remains, how long will it last? And if it does fall, here's my areas.

04:15

WillSebastian Updated 

EURUSD is now peeling away from our previously noted upper TL. This comes within a new-found uptrend with Euro strength on a quicker to ease Fed. This reverses the previous sentiment that was pushing a long term fall on EURUSD (quicker ECB). Here's levels for entry and exit.

07:33

WillSebastian Updated 

BTC is trickling with Tech company misses causing a risk off mood in markets. Removal of risky assets, like bitcoin, causes falls in the asset. This goes inline with recent trends, and can be used on a probability basis.

WillSebastian Updated 

The tightening range seen on the AU has come within long term market sentiment (USD gaining) and recent RBA sentiment being on the hawk side. We are now at key long zones which may deliver us back to the top of the range. key levels drawn/noted.

04:01

WillSebastian Updated 

The longer term outlook surrounding the AUDUSD - alike many USD pairs shows a long term fall. Recently, we have seen a series of higher lows and higher highs, and a closing range of price within. We can now look for future entries on a price action / tech basis.

04:31

WillSebastian Updated 

You can see Safe haven inflows coming about as a Risk Off environment ensues. Recent recession fears and speech is causing slight panic and some selling across global equities. Could this be the start of a larger move?

08:06

WillSebastian Updated 

XAUUSD has fallen on improved Dollar sentiment. This is the same for the SPX right now. This also represents a Risk off environment, and can lead to further Gold falls. Therefore, we need to look at entries and exits on either side of the market and sentiment changes that may push/pull it.

08:40

WillSebastian Updated 

GBPNZD has rallied continuously, breaking levels amid a dovish RBNZ rhetoric. Still no real desperate GBP long bias VS NZD, but sentiment can always change and extend rallies. You can either hedge, or use stops. Regardless, you have to do it appropriately and consider where levels exist and what could come beyond them going forward.

02:11

WillSebastian Updated 

Fears of recession are picking up pace in the US from Gov Dudley mentioning it may be too late for the FED. This feeds into safe haven strength, assisting the fall of UJ post rumoured intervention and now potential rate hikes out the BOJ. Any longs must be small, and well awaited. Short side sentiment is heavy.

WillSebastian Updated 

ECB deposit rate facility news comes out soon, as well as speech from the ECB in general terms relating to monetary policy. Anything that confirms a quicker easing cycle will likely feed into a downside drip for the EURO. This comes as a near term uptrend forms on a second high. Upside moves will rely on anything that will delay a cut (unlikely). The FED has...

WillSebastian

USD strength feeding into markets within the current risk off environment, coupled with the BOC cutting has delivered ultimate USD strength over the CAD. We are now arriving at key price action levels post rejection for shorts. Any rises higher may constitute further entries. Be very careful, if price momentum picks up we may see even higher highs beaten...

WillSebastian Updated 

A more dovish fed receiving softer data has brought the USDCAD mostly on par over a longer period of time. The link between the two economies has helped form a very tentative downtrend over the last month. We are now arriving at Key Technical Price Action areas amid a clear downtrend. Swings entries/exits noted, likely to go inline with CB trajectory for the...

WillSebastian Updated 

GBPUSD has tentatively fallen on a more dovish BOE outlook VS FED. Recent Sentiment inflows have pushed up the GBP VS USD slightly, taking us to key resistance zones locally. Tech bias remains short, due to key price action areas formerly hit. Sentiment bias also remains short on longer term outlook/trajectory.

04:01

WillSebastian

The GBPUSD has been uptrending as the FED looks to be on quicker easing cycle. Recently, however, the GBP has fallen within the uptrend range formed. This provides key areas for entry and exit/sentiment discussion going forward.

06:04

WillSebastian Updated 

In this video we will discuss how btc moves with the fed and in turn the USD. Key areas for entry shown.

06:30

WillSebastian Updated 

Here's a detailed video on how to make use of market sentiment early on. If you are looking for value investor longs, you'd need sentiment to feed in further and drop the price of the SPX. For shorts, you'd need continued sentiment to support a downside case. More would need to follow post Fed Member Goolsbee regarding jobs/inflation.

05:01

WillSebastian Updated 

As markets fade out US and CAD data we can see sell side bias coming into Oil Markets. This comes after hitting a key tech zone on your upper TL.

08:04

WillSebastian Updated 

Rumoured Japanese intervention shocked markets Post CPI. For the fall to be sustained, more intervention, or significant rhetoric change would be needd PRE BOJ meeting EOM. Here's my preferred strategy.