US Oil: High War-Risk, Low Market Supplies Push Prices Higher!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the CRUDE OIL for the week of May 18 - 22nd.
US Crude Oil (WTI) prices are expected to remain elevated and potentially test higher levels this week, currently trading above \(\$103\) to \(\$106\) per barrel. This upward momentum is driven by tight global supplies and the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, which has effectively kept the crucial Strait of Hormuz closed.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Crudeoiloutlook
Crude Oil: Has The Market Turned Bearish Despite Tensions?In this Forecast Update, we will analyze the US OIL for Tuesday, April 14th.
US Crude Oil has opened the Tuesday candle, gapping lower. Is the market pricing in a short term scenario for the US-Iran War?
Selling is technically the justified, as there is a clear shift in the market, nut it lacks follow through.
Buys could set up, but only after a sweep. The larger uptrend is still intact, btw.
I am waiting for the market to confirm the intended move. I indicate the levels I am watching in the video.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
XTI/USD Analysis: Oil Price Falls 2.8% from This Week’s HighXTI/USD Chart Analysis: Oil Price Falls 2.8% from This Week’s High
As the XTI/USD chart shows, this morning (27 August) WTI crude oil is trading around the $63 level, although on Monday it climbed above $64.70. This means the price has retreated by approximately 2.8% from this week’s high.
The bearish momentum may be linked to the market’s reassessment of geopolitical risks. According to Reuters, US Special Representative Steve Witkoff stated that:
→ he will meet with a Ukrainian delegation in New York this week;
→ the US administration is also in talks with Russia, seeking to bring the war to an end.
He also noted that Washington is striving for de-escalation in the Middle East. We could assume that market participants are pricing in the possibility that these efforts could lead to the easing of sanctions and reduce risks and restrictions in global oil trade.
Technical Analysis of the XTI/USD Chart
On 19 August, we highlighted that:
→ the August downtrend remained intact, though it appeared to be weakening;
→ bulls might exploit this situation and attempt to launch an attack.
Indeed, since then the price rallied to a peak near $64.80, forming an upward trajectory shown by the orange lines. However, at the start of this week, momentum shifted back to the bears, as evidenced by a series of bearish signals on the chart:
→ Yesterday, bulls attempted to resume the upward trend from the lower orange boundary but failed – this was reflected in a candlestick with a long upper shadow, touching the $64 level before reversing downwards.
→ Bears then built on this success, pushing the price below $63.50 (where the lower orange line had been positioned).
→ This morning, WTI is trading close to weekly lows, highlighting the bulls’ inability to counter the pressure.
As a result, bears have driven the price back into the descending channel that has been in place since the start of the month. Given the above, we could assume that the market may continue to develop bearish dynamics within this downward channel – with WTI potentially heading towards the red median line.
The forthcoming oil inventory report (due today at 15:30 GMT+3) might have a significant influence on how the situation unfolds.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Faces HurdlesMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Faces Hurdles
Crude oil is showing bearish signs and might decline below $62.80.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- Crude oil prices failed to clear the $65.00 region and started a fresh decline.
- There was a break below a major bullish trend line with support at $64.00 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD.
WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil, the price struggled to clear the $65.00 level and started a fresh decline below $64.50.
There was a break below a major bullish trend line at $64.00, opening the doors for more losses. The price dipped below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $61.56 swing low to the $64.85 high.
XTI/USD even dipped below $63.50 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. The bulls are now active near $63.00. If there is a fresh increase, it could face a barrier near $63.70.
The first major resistance is near $64.10. Any more gains might send the price toward $64.85 and call for a test of $65.50. Conversely, the price might continue to move down and revisit the $62.80 support and the 61.8% Fib retracement.
The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is $62.35. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $61.55. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward $60.50.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Struggles In RedMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Struggles In Red
WTI Crude oil is also down and remains at risk of more losses below $62.00.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude oil prices extended losses below the $65.00 support zone.
- A major bearish trend line is formed with resistance at $63.05 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD.
WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil, the price struggled to continue higher above $66.00 against the US Dollar. The price formed a short-term top and started a fresh decline below $65.00.
There was a steady decline below the $64.50 pivot level. The bears even pushed the price below $63.50 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the price tested the $62.15 zone, and the price is now consolidating losses.
On the upside, immediate resistance is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $65.98 swing high to the $62.15 low at $63.05. There is also a major bearish trend line at $63.05 and the 50-hour simple moving average.
The main hurdle is $63.50. A clear move above the $63.50 zone could send the price toward the 61.8% Fib retracement level at $64.50.
The next key resistance is near $66.00. If the price climbs further higher, it could face sellers near $68.00. Any more gains might send the price toward the $70.00 level.
Immediate support is near the $62.15 level. The next major level on the WTI crude oil chart is near $61.20. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $60.00. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $55.00 zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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Market Analysis: Oil Prices Ease – Market Awaits Fresh CatalystMarket Analysis: Oil Prices Ease – Market Awaits Fresh Catalyst
WTI crude oil is also down and remains at risk of more losses below $64.60.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI crude oil price continued to decline below the $66.00 support zone.
- It traded below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $65.60 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI crude oil at FXOpen, the price struggled to continue higher above $67.50. The price formed a short-term top and started a fresh decline below $66.00.
There was a steady decline below the $65.80 pivot level. The bears even pushed the price below $65.00 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The price traded below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $65.60.
Finally, the price tested the $64.75 zone. The recent swing low was formed near $64.73, and the price is now consolidating losses. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $65.60 zone. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $66.42 swing high to the $64.73 low.
The main resistance is $65.80. A clear move above it could send the price towards $66.40. The next key resistance is near $67.50. If the price climbs further higher, it could face resistance near $70.00. Any more gains might send the price towards the $72.00 level.
Immediate support is near the $64.60 level. The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is near $63.20. If there is a downside break, the price might decline towards $60.00. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $55.00 support zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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WTI Crude Oil Regains Bullish MomentumWTI Crude Oil Regains Bullish Momentum
WTI Crude oil prices climbed higher above $70.00 and might extend gains.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude oil prices started a decent increase above the $65.00 and $68.50 resistance levels.
- There is a major bullish trend line forming with support at $71.50 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price started a decent upward move from $65.00 against the US Dollar. The price gained bullish momentum after it broke the $68.50 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average.
The bulls pushed the price above the $69.50 and $71.50 resistance levels. The recent high was formed at $74.80 and the price started a downside correction. There was a minor move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $69.55 swing low to the $74.83 high.
The RSI is now below the 60 level. Immediate support on the downside is near the $71.50 zone. There is also a major bullish trend line forming with support at $71.50 and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $69.55 swing low to the $74.83 high.
The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is near the $69.50 zone, below which the price could test the $67.90 level. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $65.20. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $63.75 support zone.
If the price climbs higher again, it could face resistance near $72.50. The next major resistance is near the $74.80 level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $78.50 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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Crude oil - Is the bottom visible yet...? Resuming from previous Crude oil Post in the blog, check it here...
Obviously yes the bottom is in the visible limits
We at that time just had an idea that the developing correction could be a triangle but in the recent trading sessions, it is really very clear that the current correction is most possibly a triangle (Elliott wave Descending triangle) and within which the waves ABC have been completed and the remaining two legs D & E are about to be completed and as in a descending triangle the characteristics of the same is to test the support multiple times and which is what the D wave is going to do exactly and after that the E ( FINAL ) wave as dictated by the principle will be a multiple of FIBO numbers, with respect to Previous C wave rally and most possibly the .786 will be the target for the above stated E wave.
View the video as it also explains below one degree from daily charts to H4 charts.
visit the thread with video here,
www.mytradingcourses.com
What is crude oil's next decision...?
Resuming from previous Crude oil Post in the blog, check it from what's happening section...
We at that time just had an idea that the developing correction could be a triangle but in the recent trading sessions, it is really very clear that the current correction is most possibly a triangle (Elliott wave Descending triangle) and within which the waves ABC have been completed and the remaining two legs D & E are about to be completed and as in a descending triangle the characteristics of the same is to test the support multiple times and which is what the D wave is going to do exactly and after that the E ( FINAL ) wave as dictated by the principle will be a multiple of FIBO numbers, with respect to Previous C wave rally and most possibly the .786 will be the target for the above stated E wave.
View the video as it also explains below one degree from daily charts to H4 charts.
www.mytradingcourses.com
CRUDE LONGCRUDE is expected to rise now.
There are many reason why we feel it may rise.
01. It has bounced back from quarterly sell target 02 level.
02. Bullish Engulfing pattern in daily Chart.
03. To rise and clear quarterly targets it had to come down to gain momentum for up move.
04. Stoch RSI (3,3,14,Close) states it may rise.
05. RSI(14,CLOSE) Is also of the same view.
06. CCI(20,CLOSE) Is also rising.
Keeping all the above indicators in view along with the chart pattern we expect it to rise. Our buy call shall be from BUY above :29.60 with a SL @: 30.39 Tgt 01: 29.8 Tgt 02: 32.19 Tgt 03: 32.80. Chances are that it may even touch 40. We are expecting this to happen shortly. Caution: The above is our personal view. Neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for trade. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing.










