Total Market Cap - Update Price has now tapped the 3.22T level exactly as anticipated.
This area was marked as the 50% Daily retracement + prior liquidity & resistance, so a reaction here was expected.
So far, the move still looks corrective, not a clean continuation.
We are seeing initial hesitation and reaction, which keeps my higher-timeframe range thesis intact for now.
Key points to watch next:
• Acceptance above 3.22T → increases odds of continuation toward higher liquidity.
• Failure to hold this level → opens the door for a range rejection and potential downside rotation back into the range.
No confirmation yet.
Patience is key here — let structure and reaction do the talking.
If you haven’t seen the previous update, make sure to check the related idea for full context.
What’s your bias from this level — continuation or rejection?
Drop a like ❤️ if you’re tracking this level and share your view in the comments 👇
MrC
Crypto
BTC/USD H4 – Pausing to Consolidate the UptrendHello everyone,
Looking at the BTC/USD H4 chart, what stands out to me is not the few recent red candles, but the way the market is slowing down after a very decisive rally. After moving from the 88,000 area up toward nearly 95,000, Bitcoin has started to cool off and pull back into the 92,000–93,000 zone. To me, this is a fairly natural price reaction following a strong advance, as capital needs time to rebalance before the market commits to its next directional move.
From a technical standpoint, the medium-term bullish bias has not been compromised. Price is currently pulling back into the confluence zone of EMA 34 and EMA 89 — an area that often acts as a “support base” within a healthy trend. The fact that BTC continues to hold above the slower EMA suggests that bullish momentum has not been broken, and that the current retracement is more consistent with short-term profit-taking than with genuine distribution.
A constructive detail lies in the price behavior during the recent pullback. Selling volume has not expanded, while the corrective candles show narrower ranges compared to the prior impulsive advance. This indicates that supply pressure is fading, while buyers have not stepped aside. Historically, this type of price action often leads to a brief consolidation phase before the market resumes its primary direction.
Stepping back from the chart to look at the broader context, the current macro backdrop remains supportive for Bitcoin. Recent US economic data point to easing inflation while growth remains moderate. This makes a shift toward a more aggressive monetary stance less likely, helping to preserve a relatively stable “risk-on” environment for risk assets.
In addition, early-year market sentiment has improved noticeably after the holiday period.
Capital is flowing back into equities and crypto, and Bitcoin is often among the first beneficiaries when risk appetite improves. Reports from international financial media also suggest that institutional money has not exited the market, but is instead repositioning after the strong year-end rally — a narrative that aligns well with what the H4 chart is currently showing.
Is #ETC About to Collapse or Explode? One Side Will Get Wrecked Yello Paradisers! Are you watching #ETC closely enough? While the crowd has been ignoring it due to the boring chop, a textbook falling wedge just completed, and the market might be about to catch them completely off guard.
💎For several weeks, #ETCUSDT has been trading within a clear falling wedge pattern. The price has now reached a critical point, hovering just above a strong demand zone between $12.00 and $12.50, where previous accumulation took place.
💎At the same time, MACD is flashing a strong bullish divergence, while price action continued making lower lows, momentum has been climbing quietly behind the scenes. Just recently, we saw a bullish crossover on MACD, reinforcing that momentum is shifting. This is exactly the type of setup we love: structure + demand + momentum convergence.
💎If this wedge breaks to the upside with conviction, we’ll be targeting $14.00 as minor resistance for #EthereumClassic. It will be followed by a potential move toward the $16.06 zone, which marks moderate resistance. Should the bulls sustain pressure above that, the next big magnet will be the strong resistance at $21.56, where sellers are likely to show up in force.
💎However, if #ETCUSD breaks below the support zone at $12.00, and especially if it closes under $9.17, the bullish thesis will be invalidated. That would open the door for a deeper move, as demand dries up and panic sellers take control.
Trade smart, Paradisers. This setup will reward only the disciplined.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
BTCUSD at a Decision Point On the H1 timeframe, Bitcoin is currently trading inside a clear liquidity-driven range, where both upside and downside scenarios remain technically valid, but the market is approaching a decision zone. After the prior impulsive sell-off, price formed a base at the lower range and gradually transitioned into a recovery phase, printing higher lows and reclaiming mid-range value. This behavior suggests that sell side liquidity has already been absorbed, and the market is now actively probing for the next pool of resting orders.
At present, BTC is pressing into a key equilibrium area around 92,000–92,500, which acts as a short-term inflection zone. If price can hold above the nearby support band around 91,000 and continue to build acceptance, the bullish scenario becomes dominant. In that case, Bitcoin is likely to expand higher toward the upper liquidity shelves near 93,000 and 94,200–94,500, where prior highs and buy-side liquidity are clearly resting. The projected pullbacks along this path would be corrective in nature, serving as re-accumulation before continuation.
However, failure to maintain acceptance above the current support would signal that the recent upside is merely a liquidity grab into resistance. A rejection from this zone could trigger a rotation back into the lower range, with price targeting the 90,500 area first, and potentially extending toward the deeper liquidity pool near 89,200–89,000 if bearish momentum accelerates. That downside path would represent a full range rotation rather than a trend continuation.
In summary, BTCUSD is not trending impulsively yet it is coiling within a liquidity box. Acceptance above current value favors upside continuation toward higher liquidity targets, while rejection opens the door for a deeper corrective sweep. The next sustained expansion will be defined by which side of liquidity the market chooses to reward.
Bitcoin at the Late Cycle CrossroadsLooking at the Bitcoin Daily chart, this structure fits extremely cleanly into the historical 4 year cycle framework, and when combined with macro liquidity conditions, it strongly suggests the market is transitioning from a markup → distribution → corrective phase, rather than preparing for an immediate exponential continuation. Across previous cycles (2013–2014, 2017–2018, 2021–2022), Bitcoin consistently topped within a rising channel, formed a series of higher timeframe bull traps, and then broke down toward the lower bound of macro support zones. The current structure is visually and behaviorally consistent with those historical precedents.
From a pure price structure perspective, Bitcoin has already completed a full impulsive expansion from the cycle low, followed by accelerated upside inside a rising channel. The highlighted orange circles on the chart mark exhaustion zones, where price pushed above trend resistance but failed to sustain acceptance. These areas historically represent late-cycle FOMO participation, where retail demand enters aggressively while smart money distributes into strength. The current price action mirrors that behavior: price remains elevated inside a channel, but momentum has clearly slowed, volatility is compressing, and bullish continuation lacks conviction.
The most important technical element on this chart is the bull trap zone marked in blue. This zone represents a scenario where price appears to be holding bullish structure but is, in reality, trading above fair value relative to liquidity distribution. In past cycles, these zones repeatedly resolved lower once macro liquidity tightened or sentiment shifted. The projected downside target toward the $60,000–$54,000 support region aligns with prior range highs, long-term demand imbalance, and historical cycle retracement depth. Importantly, this is not a bearish collapse thesis. it is a mean reversion and re-accumulation thesis, consistent with how Bitcoin resets before its final cycle leg.
From a macro standpoint, conditions are no longer as supportive as they were during the early phase of the rally. Global liquidity growth has slowed, real yields remain elevated, and central banks are transitioning from aggressive easing expectations to a more cautious stance. Historically, Bitcoin performs best when liquidity is expanding rapidly, not merely stabilizing. At the same time, ETF driven inflows have largely been front-loaded, meaning marginal demand is weakening while supply distribution increases. This combination frequently produces sideways to down corrective price action, rather than vertical upside continuation.
When combining cycle theory, macro liquidity, and technical structure, the most logical interpretation is that Bitcoin is likely entering a corrective cycle phase, not the end of the bull market, but a reset within it. A deeper pullback into the highlighted support zone would allow the market to flush weak hands, rebalance leverage, and rebuild a stronger base for the next expansion. Only a sustained acceptance above the upper channel, with expanding volume and renewed macro liquidity acceleration, would invalidate this scenario.
In short, this chart does not argue for panic or blind bearishness. it argues for discipline and patience. Late cycle rallies reward sellers, not chasers. The professional trader reads this structure as a warning: risk is asymmetric at the highs, and opportunity improves significantly closer to structural support, not inside premium distribution zones.
Bitcoin | Grand Finale Printed – Now Enjoy the Ride DownOn this chart I’ve mapped Bitcoin’s full impulsive structure from 2017–2025 as a completed 5-wave advance. We’ve tagged the (V) top, and what’s forming now looks like the early stages of a larger degree A/B/C – with the local (1)(2) already in and real downside still ahead.
• The prior rallies were clean impulse legs; this last stretch has all the signatures of an exhaustion wave (extended 5th, blow-off structure, and failed follow-through).
• Current bounce fits perfectly as a wave (2) retrace after the first leg down – textbook spot where late bulls feel “saved” while smart money quietly exits.
• Ahead of us I’m expecting a multi-year, 5-wave decline (1–5 on the right side of the chart), unwinding leverage, hype, and all the “number go up forever” narratives.
This isn’t the end of Bitcoin – it’s the end of this cycle. The next few years are, in my view, for skill-building, capital preservation, and accumulation at true value, not chasing tops.
Trade the levels, respect the structure… and enjoy the ride. 🚀⬆️ then 🪂⬇️
ORDI Update – Key level reactionORDI has pushed back into a key resistance zone after a prolonged range.
Price briefly broke above resistance but failed to hold, showing signs of a possible deviation rather than a clean breakout.
This level is now critical:
Hold above resistance → acceptance and continuation higher
Failure to hold → rejection back into the range, potentially towards support
This area will decide whether this move has real strength or was simply a liquidity sweep.
Will the breakout hold and continue, or will resistance step in again?
MrC
BITCOIN: Huge Bear-Flag-Formation, Confirmation Incoming!Hello There,
welcome to my new analysis about Bitcoin from a more local timeframe perspective. Recently the price of Bitcoin has been forming a crucial formational structure that will be highly determining for the future outcome. Therefore, I spotted all the important levels and indications to consider in this pivotal determination. Also, this whole setup is corresponding to the bearish Wyckoff distribution I have spotted previously.
As it is seen in the chart, Bitcoin is trading within this massive descending channel formation. In this channel there is a strong resistance formed by the upper boundary of the channel. The fact that Bitcoin already bounced several times to the downside from there makes it a resistance zone, which should not be underestimated in any case. As Bitcoin is approaching this zone again, a pullback from there is highly likely.
There are also further indicators and formations that make the range between $100,000 and $105,000 a major resistance zone. The fact that there is also horizontal resistance from where Bitcoin bounced several times to the downside already in the past makes this an additional resistance. Also, the 100-EMA crossed already below the 50-EMA. This bearish crossover is, in most cases, a sure sign that the trend moves forward to the downside.
Considering all of these crucial levels and indications, we can watch now that Bitcoin is building this pivotal resistance cluster from where a pullback to the downside is highly likely. Several resistance factors come together within this resistance cluster: the upper resistance boundary of the descending channel, the horizontal resistance, and the EMA resistance. All of these levels confirm the bearishness of the cluster.
For the whole bear flag formation, this now means that the formation will be confirmed once the breakout below the lower boundary of the formation happens. As it is marked within my chart, this will provide the final bearish bear flag setup from where Bitcoin is going to continue to the downside. The main target zones of this formation are marked in my chart. Once they are reached, further considerations need to be made.
With this being said, it is great to consider the important trades upcoming.
We will watch out for the main market evolutions.
Thank you very much for watching!
$ZEC 1D Update: Catching a pump ZEC update.
ZEC is catching a strong bounce here after the recent flush, and the response off the lows is notable. Price has reclaimed the $400 area with an impulsive move, which suggests there was real demand waiting rather than just a weak oversold bounce.
This move comes after a sharp breakdown, so it’s important to keep context. Rallies following high-volatility selloffs are often fast and emotional, and they don’t automatically mean the trend has flipped back up. However, the fact that buyers stepped in aggressively before a full retest of $300 is constructive in the near term.
The $430–450 zone is now the key short-term area to watch. Holding above this region keeps the bounce alive and opens the door for a push back toward the $480–520 range, where prior support has likely turned into resistance. Acceptance above that would be needed to talk about a more meaningful trend repair.
On the downside, $300–310 remains the higher timeframe line in the sand. As long as that level holds, this still fits a volatile consolidation after a major advance rather than a full structural failure.
Overall, ZEC pumping here looks like a volatility-driven rebound inside a broader corrective phase. It’s constructive, but still needs follow-through and structure before it can be called “back on track.” Patience and level-to-level trading matter here more than chasing the candle.
BTC - Structure Flip, Next Leg Loading...BTC just did something important.
Price broke above a key resistance, and that level has now flipped into support. This kind of structure shift usually confirms that the previous range is done and a new leg is starting.
That said, this doesn’t mean price can’t breathe.
A pullback toward the $92,000 demand zone is still possible, especially since it lines up nicely with the lower blue trendline. If that happens, it would still be considered a healthy correction.
As long as structure holds, the expectation remains the same:
one more impulse higher, with the $100,000 round number acting as the next magnet.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
#BTCUSDT #12h (Bitget) Descending trendline breakout [LONG]Bitcoin looks ready for short-term recovery after regaining 100EMA support and pulling back to it.
⚡️⚡️ #BTC/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: Bitget Futures
Signal Type: Regular (Long)
Leverage: Isolated (8.0X)
Amount: 4.7%
Current Price:
92299.9
Entry Zone:
92024.8 - 90186.8
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 96927.7
2) 101312.3
3) 105696.9
Stop Targets:
1) 86234.0
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITGET:BTCUSDT.P #12h #Bitcoin #PoW bitcoin.org
Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0
Expected Profit= +51.1% | +89.6% | +128.1%
Possible Loss= -42.8%
Estimated Duration= 3-4 weeks
BTCUSD READY FOR FLY (READ CAPTION)Hi trader's what do you think about btcusd
BTCUSD is currently maintaining a bullish market structure, with price holding firmly above a strong support zone and showing consistent buyer interest on pullbacks. The overall price action supports further upside continuation toward higher levels.
🔹 Support Zone: 89,000–88,000
This zone represents the primary bullish demand area where buyers have repeatedly stepped in.
As long as BTC holds above 88,000, the bullish bias remains intact.
🔹 Resistance Zone: 95,000
This is the key resistance area where price may face temporary rejection or consolidation.
A strong breakout and close above 95,000 will confirm bullish continuation.
🔹 Supply Zone: 99,000
This is the major upside target and supply area.
If BTC breaks above 95,000, price is likely to extend toward the 99,000 supply zone, where sellers may attempt to slow the move.
A decisive breakout above this zone could signal further upside expansion.
📈 Market Outlook
Holding above 89,000–88,000 → Bullish continuation expected
Break above 95,000 → Opens path toward 99,000 supply zone
Supply zone reaction will determine the next major directional move
Overall, the structure favors a bullish pullback followed by continuation scenario.
please don't forget to like comment and follow
Elliot Waves Strategy ExplainedElliott Wave theory is not a forecasting tool. The moment it’s used that way, it becomes useless. It does not tell you where price will go. It describes how participation unfolds once direction is already present.
At its simplest, markets alternate between expansion and digestion. Impulse waves show commitment and follow-through. Corrective waves show hesitation, overlap, and redistribution. Everything else traders add on top is interpretation, not edge.
Most traders fail with Elliott Waves because they try to label the market instead of read it. Wave counts are adjusted after every pullback to protect bias. When a count needs defending, it has already lost its value for execution.
Wave completion does not mean reversal. Strong trends extend, truncate, or move into complex corrections without ever giving clean countertrend entries. Acting on a “finished” wave without a structural break is just early positioning dressed up as analysis.
The subjectivity of Elliott Waves is the warning label. If two valid counts exist, neither can justify risk on its own. Structure, location, and participation come first. The wave count only adds context to what price is already showing.
Used correctly, Elliott Waves help with expectations and trade management. They stop traders from chasing late impulses and from exiting too early during normal corrections. Used incorrectly, they create the illusion of control over an uncertain market.
Elliott Waves don’t give certainty. They give restraint. And restraint is far more valuable.
ETHUSD: accumulation at $3,200🛠 Technical Analysis: On the H4 chart, ETHUSD is consolidating under a descending resistance trendline while building an accumulation range around the $3,200 area. The recent impulse higher was rejected at resistance, but price is still holding above the key moving-average cluster (SMA50/100/200), suggesting buyers are defending the structure. A clean breakout and acceptance above the nearby resistance level at $3,281.18 would confirm bullish continuation and open the path toward the next marked supply zone.
———————————————
❗️ Trade Parameters (BUY)
———————————————
➡️ Entry Point: Buy on a confirmed breakout and hold above 3,281.18
🎯 Take Profit: 3,622.98
🔴 Stop Loss: 3,054.07
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
BTCUSD: potential $100K push🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour (H4) timeframe, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has shown a strong recovery following its November lows. The price is currently testing a significant horizontal Resistance zone between $92,000 and $94,406.
As explicitly noted on the chart, a sustainable uptrend depends on one condition: "Price must consolidate in the resistance area of 92,000" before a high-probability buy can be considered. This consolidation would signal that buyers have successfully absorbed the overhead supply. Currently, the price is trading above the SMA 50, SMA 100, and SMA 200, which now serve as a solid support cluster below the current market price.
———————————————
❗️ Trade Parameters (BUY)
———————————————
➡️ Entry Point: Confirmation of consolidation/breakout above $94,406
🎯 Take Profit: $104,590.40 (Resistance)
🔴 Stop Loss: $87,617.05
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
Bitcoin Is Waking Up — Is This the Start of the Next Expansion1. Market Structure Overview
After a sharp sell-off, BTC spent time consolidating and building a base.
Price has now reclaimed key intraday levels and is forming higher lows, signaling a bullish shift in short-term structure.
The latest impulsive candle from support confirms buyer participation, not just a dead-cat bounce.
2. Key Technical Zones
Support Zone (Demand)
- The highlighted support zone around 91,000–91,100 has been tested multiple times.
- Each pullback into this zone is being bought aggressively, showing strong demand.
- EMA (yellow) is starting to curl upward and aligns with this support → dynamic confluence.
Upside Liquidity Levels
- 92,900 – First intraday resistance / minor supply.
- 93,700 – Previous reaction high, potential pause level.
- 94,400 – Major liquidity pool & range high.
These levels act as magnets if bullish momentum continues.
3. Scenario Outlook
🟢 Primary Scenario — Bullish Continuation
As long as price holds above the 91K support zone, bullish bias remains valid.
Ideal structure:
- Pullback → higher low above support
- Continuation toward 92,900 → 93,700 → 94,400
This aligns with a classic expansion leg after accumulation.
🔴 Invalidation / Caution Scenario
A clean break and acceptance below 90,900–91,000 would invalidate the bullish setup.
That would suggest the move was a liquidity grab, not a true reversal, and price may rotate back into the range.
4. Trading Insight
❌ Chasing longs at resistance is risky.
✅ Best long opportunities:
- Pullbacks into the 91K demand zone
- Bullish confirmation candles (engulfing / strong closes)
- Risk management is key Let the market confirm continuation.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is showing early signs of trend resumption, backed by strong defense of support and improving structure. If buyers maintain control above 91K, the path of least resistance points toward higher liquidity levels near 94,400.
💬 Do you see this as the start of a new bullish leg, or just another range rotation?
BTCUSD Consolidation Before the Next Big MoveHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTCUSD (4H) based on the current chart structure. Bitcoin is trading within a broader bullish structure after reclaiming key levels and breaking above previous consolidation zones. Earlier on the chart, price respected a rising support line and formed a series of higher lows, signaling growing buyer strength. After a brief pullback, BTC entered a consolidation range, where the market paused before continuing higher. This range acted as an accumulation zone, and the subsequent breakout confirmed renewed bullish momentum. Currently, BTCUSD is trading above the Buyer Zone around the 90,000–91,000 area, which aligns with previous resistance turned support. Price recently broke out from this zone and is now consolidating just below the Seller Zone / Resistance Level near 93,700. This resistance also aligns with a descending resistance line, increasing its significance and making it a key reaction area. My scenario: as long as BTCUSD holds above the Buyer Zone and respects the rising support line, the bullish structure remains intact. A clean breakout and acceptance above the 93,700 Resistance Level would confirm continuation toward the next upside target (TP1). However, a strong rejection from resistance could lead to a corrective pullback back into the Buyer Zone before any further attempt higher. For now, price remains compressed between support and resistance, and a decisive move is likely soon. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD Price Action - Support Holds at 1.1670, TP Near 1.1720Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on EURUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. After trading inside a clearly defined range, EURUSD broke to the upside, showing initial buyer strength. However, this bullish move failed to sustain, and price turned around, transitioning into a descending channel. Within this channel, price respected both the falling resistance line and the internal support, forming a consistent sequence of lower highs and lower lows, confirming short-term bearish control. During the decline, EURUSD moved into the Seller Zone, where selling pressure remained active and pushed price lower toward the Buyer Zone. This Buyer Zone aligns with a key Support Level and represents an area where demand previously entered the market. From this level, price reacted strongly, producing an impulsive move up and a clear breakout from the descending channel, signaling a potential shift in short-term structure. Currently, price is holding above the reclaimed support, suggesting acceptance above the former bearish structure. My scenario: as long as EURUSD holds above the Buyer Zone and maintains support, a continuation move toward the Resistance Level around 1.1720 (TP1) is possible. This area also overlaps with the Seller Zone, where selling pressure may reappear. If price fails to hold above support and falls back below the Buyer Zone, the bullish scenario would weaken and the broader bearish structure could resume. For now, price is at a key decision area, with buyers attempting to confirm the breakout and build further upside momentum. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
How High Could ETH Price Go After Breaking the EMA Band?* The ETH price is sitting on a support area that’s quietly doing a lot of work right now.
* Momentum is starting to turn, but ETH still has a big technical hurdle to clear overhead.
* If the price can push through resistance, the whole structure could start to look very different.
Looking at Ethereum right now, the overall vibe feels very different from earlier in the cycle. There’s no panic selling, no sharp breakdowns, and no sense that the market is rushing for the exits.
Instead, the ETH price looks like it’s finding its balance. After defending the $2,700–$2,800 support zone, price has stopped drifting lower and moved into a tighter, sideways range. It’s not exciting price action, which is exactly why many traders overlook it.
Ethereum has been moving within a fairly narrow band. Volume has cooled, momentum has slowed, and things feel quiet. If you’re waiting for a fast breakout, this phase can be frustrating. Nothing dramatic is happening, so attention fades. But this is often the part that matters.
Ethereum isn’t slipping back into its old downtrend. Dips toward support keep attracting buyers, while moves higher stall under resistance. Sellers aren’t pushing aggressively anymore, and buyers aren’t chasing the price either. What’s forming is balance.
That kind of balance usually shows up when a market is adjusting after a structural shift. Trends rarely restart in a straight line. They pause, compress, and test patience before the next move appears.
On-chain data supports that view. Ethereum’s market cap has stayed steady, and network activity is improving. Active addresses and transactions are ticking higher even as price moves sideways, suggesting participation is quietly building underneath.
What’s next for ETH?
For now, structure matters more than hype. As long as the ETH price holds higher support while grinding below the EMA band, the setup stays constructive. Ethereum may look calm, but that calm often comes before a more decisive move.
BTC Intraday – Context UpdateAfter yesterday's decline, the price is now trading at 91,150.
From here, I am watching for a potential continuation of the decline to 90,300-90,000, where there is a zone of strong reaction.
This zone will be key:
-No buyer reaction and pressure → the decline may continue.
-Buyer acceptance and reaction → potential intraday long context, only with confirmation.
At this stage, this is a contextual reflection, not a signal to execute.
Bias follows structure — execution follows confirmation.
Stay tuned for updates as the structure develops.
ETH Is Quietly Building Power – The Real Move Starts Above 3,164Ethereum on the H1 timeframe is currently showing a classic bullish re-accumulation structure after a volatile corrective phase. Following the sharp sell-off earlier, price has stopped making lower lows and instead started to compress within a clearly defined range, indicating that selling pressure is being absorbed rather than extended. This is an important behavioral shift in market structure, often seen before an expansion leg.
From a structural perspective, the 3,087 – 3,120 zone is acting as a solid demand base. Each dip into this area has been met with buying interest, suggesting smart money is defending the lows. The most recent higher low around the 3,119 region reinforces the idea that ETH is transitioning from correction to continuation, not reversal. As long as price holds above this base, the bullish structure remains intact.
The key level to watch is 3,164, which represents the short-term range high and a liquidity-rich resistance zone. A clean break and acceptance above this level would confirm a break in bearish order flow on H1, opening the door for an impulsive move higher. If that breakout occurs with momentum, price has a clear path toward the 3,220 zone, where previous imbalance and resting liquidity sit.
The key level to watch is 3,164, which represents the short-term range high and a liquidity-rich resistance zone. A clean break and acceptance above this level would confirm a break in bearish order flow on H1, opening the door for an impulsive move higher. If that breakout occurs with momentum, price has a clear path toward the 3,220 zone, where previous imbalance and resting liquidity sit.
In the bullish expansion scenario, once ETH reclaims 3,164, any shallow pullback into that level would be considered a high-probability continuation entry, targeting the upper resistance near 3,250. This projected move aligns well with a typical cycle transition: accumulation → compression → expansion. The curved price projection highlights how ETH may accelerate once range highs are taken, as late sellers are forced to cover.
However, if price fails to break 3,164 and instead pulls back, the preferred bullish expectation remains valid as long as ETH holds above the 3,087 support. A deeper retracement into demand would still be viewed as a corrective move within a larger bullish leg, not a signal to flip bearish.
In summary, Ethereum is not weak it is loading. The market is waiting for confirmation, and that confirmation comes with acceptance above 3,164. Until then, patience is key, because when ETH moves out of compression, it rarely does so quietly.
Bitcoin Is At Supply – This Rally Looks ExhaustedBITSTAMP:BTCUSD on the M30 timeframe is currently trading into a clearly defined supply zone, and the context of the move strongly suggests this is a corrective rally within a broader distribution range, not the start of a new bullish leg. The recent impulsive push higher was sharp and emotional, but price has now stalled exactly where sellers previously stepped in aggressively a classic warning sign.
From a market structure standpoint, BTC has not established a clean bullish trend. Instead, price continues to oscillate between premium (supply) and discount (demand) zones, forming a range-like structure with liquidity runs on both sides. The current push into the 92,400–92,600 region represents a move into premium, where risk to reward for fresh longs becomes unfavorable and selling pressure typically increases.
The interaction with the moving averages further supports this view. Price is extended above the short-term EMA while the longer EMA is still lagging below, a configuration that often precedes a mean reversion move. In bearish or neutral conditions, these extensions into supply tend to attract profit-taking from late buyers and short positioning from more patient sellers.
The rejection wick printed inside the supply zone is particularly important. It signals sell-side interest and rejection of higher prices, suggesting that smart money is distributing positions rather than accumulating. This behavior aligns with the projected path: a short-term pullback, a weak corrective bounce, and then a continuation move lower as liquidity below the range becomes the next target.
On the downside, the 90,200–90,400 demand zone stands out as the primary magnet. This area previously triggered strong buying reactions and remains unmitigated, making it a high-probability destination if price rolls over from supply. A move back into this zone would not be surprising — it would simply complete another rotation within the broader structure.
In summary, Bitcoin is not breaking out it is reacting at supply. As long as price remains capped below the supply zone and fails to build acceptance above it, the higher-probability scenario favors downside continuation toward demand. In this market, patience is rewarded, and chasing strength near supply is exactly where traders tend to get trapped.
HNT Bull Trap… or the Start of a Massive Move?Yello Paradisers, did you notice what just happened with HNT? While most crypto traders were panicking due to the lower lows, we spotted a hidden bullish divergence forming, and it appears the market is now waking up to it.
💎 After weeks of trending inside a clean descending channel, #HNTUSDT just gave us the first real sign of a potential reversal. The move began with a sharp liquidity sweep below the descending support, trapping late sellers and triggering fresh demand exactly inside the major support zone between $1.307 and $1.363.
💎Zooming in, the MACD is showing a clear bullish divergence, price making lower lows while the MACD formed higher lows. Right after that, we got a bullish crossover, confirming momentum is shifting back in favor of the bulls. These are the exact kind of high-probability signals we wait for, and they’re not common.
💎Now that the price has broken above the descending structure, all eyes are on the next key levels. If HNT can maintain this momentum, we expect a test of the $1.445 area as minor resistance, where a temporary pullback could happen. However, if that level is claimed with strength, the next zone to watch is $1.539, followed by the strong resistance range between $1.730 and $1.74. This is where we'll reassess everything and prepare for either a continuation or rejection.
💎On the flip side, if #HNT breaks down and closes below $1.258, this whole bullish scenario will be invalidated. At that point, we’ll consider this a failed breakout and prepare for downside continuation. Until then, the structure looks strong and healthy.
Discipline, patience, and strategy always win.
MyCryptoParadise
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