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This is what is going to happen with BTC today, FOMC daMy FOMC-Day Playbook (Trader’s Read) Probabilities (today) • Sell-the-news (spike then fade): ~60% • Mini altseason (ETH leads, large caps follow): ~25% • BTC bullish continuation after the announcement: ~15% ← my BTC-only continuation probability Why my odds look like this • Funding is low → no derivatives euphoria; any rally needs spot demand to sustain. • Open interest is rising slowly → tape is more spot-led than leverage-led (healthier, but needs follow-through). • DVOL slightly elevated + 25Δ skew tilted to puts → market is defensive into the headline; easy to fade if spot inflows don’t show. • ETF volumes are moderate (IBIT/FBTC/ETHA) → by themselves they don’t signal a mega inflow day. What would push odds toward continuation (BTC or mini-alts) • 3:50–4:00 ET auctions print big in IBIT/FBTC/ETHA. • EOD net flows ≥ $300–500M (bonus if ETH also prints strong). • Post-headline vol crush (DVOL ↓), skew normalizes, funding ≤ 0.01%, OI up gradually (spot-led), and acceptance above resistance. What would keep/raise sell-the-news risk • Weak/negative EOD flows. • Break attempts with funding ≥ 0.03% and OI ramping (crowded longs). • DVOL ↑ and skew leans further to puts during the spike. • Repeated rejections near BTC resistance (e.g., ~116–117k) with upper wicks. 1-Minute Checklist (before & after the announcement) 1 Spot vs perps: if spot leads and funding stays low, I prefer buying pullbacks over chasing. 2 DVOL / Skew: DVOL down + skew normalizing ⇒ continuation; DVOL up + skew to puts ⇒ fade more likely. 3 ETFs: watch closing-hour volume today; then confirm EOD net flows tonight: ◦ ≥ $300–500M ⇒ I carry a long/buy-the-dip bias into D+1. ◦ ≤ 0 ⇒ I favor fading resistance into D+1. Operational stance (how I’ll trade it) • Base into the headline: cautious. I won’t chase the first candle. • Fade setup: if the breakout comes with funding/OI spiking and wicks near resistance, I treat it as spike-and-fadeback into the prior range (tight risk). • Continuation setup: if I see vol crush + strong flows and acceptance above resistance, I flip to continuation mode and buy dips, with invalidation below the most recent reclaimed level. This is my real-time framework, not financial advice. I’ll update the bias if the auction and EOD flows materially change the picture.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by matoxview
USD/JPY 4H chart..USD/JPY 4H chart: Current price: ~147.29 Support zone: ~146.70 – 147.00 (price recently bounced here) Breakout structure: Price broke above a descending trendline and is consolidating near volume support. 📌 Upside targets: Target 1 (TP1) → ~148.20 – 148.30 (next resistance cluster + high-volume node) Target 2 (TP2) → ~149.00 – 149.10 (major resistance + prior rejection zone) So trade plan could be: ✅ Entry: Around ~147.20 – 147.30 (after breakout retest) 🎯 TP1: 148.20 – 148.30 🎯 TP2: 149.00 – 149.10
Long
by RSI_Trading_point
3
XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs USD, 30M timeframe): XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs USD, 30M timeframe): Price recently touched a resistance zone (highlighted in blue at the top around 3695 – 3700) and is now pulling back. my drawn two yellow target zones below: 1. First target zone: around 3670 – 3660 2. Second deeper target zone: around 3635 – 3630 So, if price continues rejecting from the resistance and follows the bearish projection you’ve marked, the first target is ~3660–3670, and the second target is ~3630–3635. 📌 Important: Keep an eye on the Ichimoku cloud support (blue shaded area). If price bounces there, it may not reach the lower target.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by RSI_Trading_point
13
MSTX – Bulls Preparing a Reversal Move!MSTX has been overall bearish 📉, trading inside a well-defined descending channel. Recently, price approached the $23 – $24 support area, where buyers started showing signs of activity. This zone could act as a potential turning point if momentum continues. 🟢 Support at $23 – $24: A critical level where bulls may step in. 📈 Upside targets: If buyers take over, the first resistance sits around $33, followed by $36 and higher toward $47 – $50. As long as $23 support holds, bulls 🐂 could drive a short-term reversal that turns into a bigger recovery move. Patience ⏳ is key — waiting for confirmation before entering can provide a higher-probability setup. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
NASDAQ:MSTXLong
by TheSignalyst
4
#XRP is Approaching a Breakout | Will It Hold or Collapse? Yello, Paradisers! Is #XRP about to confirm a real breakout from months of sideways pain, or is this just another trap? Let’s dissect what’s happening with precision so you’re prepared either way: 💎After weeks of compression beneath a well-defined descending resistance, #XRPUSDT is about to break out. The breakout above this key trendline is now increasing the probability of a bullish continuation, especially with the 50EMA acting as dynamic support and reinforcing the bullish pressure. 💎Currently, the price is trading around $3.00, right above the breakout zone. If the market successfully retests this descending resistance as new support and holds, this would signal strong momentum building up for the next impulsive leg. 💎If that happens, the first upside target is the moderate resistance level at $3.66. A confirmed break above that could send #XRPUSD toward the strong resistance near $4.17, which aligns with the upper boundary of the visible volume profile. 💎On the flip side, the support zone between $2.69 and $2.48 now becomes critical. A retracement into this area could provide a high-probability bounce, but any breakdown and daily close below $2.4849 would invalidate the current bullish setup. In that case, price could unwind sharply, as the bullish structure would be broken, and sellers could regain control. Stay patient, Paradisers. Let the breakout confirm, and only then do we strike with conviction. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
1
S&P500 | H1 Head and Shoulders | GTradingMethod👋 Hello again fellow Traders, I already have a short open from 6 633.7, but I’d love to see a Head & Shoulders pattern develop so I can scale into more shorts. So far, the build-up looks promising — volume has picked up significantly on this drop, which is a bearish signal. That said, I’m still waiting on confirmation before committing further. 📊 Trade Plan: Risk/Reward: 3.1 Entry: 6 614.3 Stop Loss: 6 625.4 Take Profit 1 (50%): 6 586.9 Take Profit 2 (50%): 6 570.2 🔎 What I Need to See First: A 30m candle to reach and close in range Lower volume on the candle that closes in range vs. the left shoulder More candles forming the right shoulder 💡 GTradingMethod Tip: Patience is key. The best trades usually come when all conditions align — not just some of them. 🙏 Thanks for checking out my post! Make sure to follow me for updates, and keen to hear what your prediction is. 📌 Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by GTradingMethod
4
BTC – Between Structure and Supply!BTC has been trading inside a clean ascending channel 📈, respecting both support and resistance. After breaking above the $113,000 structure zone, price pushed higher but is now approaching a potential retest area. 🟠 Structure zone ($113K – $114K): Could act as support on a pullback. 🟢 Channel support: Aligns perfectly with structure for confluence. 🔵 Supply zone ($122K – $124K): Next major resistance where sellers may step in. As long as BTC holds above structure, bulls 🐂 remain in control, with the next upside target sitting around the supply zone. Patience ⏳ is key — waiting for a clean retest could set up the next continuation trade. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entry, risk, and management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
6
Bitcoin at Critical Resistance – Reversal or Breakout?Bitcoin (BTCUSDT – 3H) is testing the 117.5k – 118k resistance zone, which coincides with the upper boundary of the descending channel. So far, this level has acted as a strong rejection zone several times. 🔎 Key Insights: • Structure: Price has formed a rising channel/wedge, often seen as a corrective bearish pattern. • Resistance: 117.5k – 118k (major supply zone + channel top). • Supports: • 114k (short-term channel support) • 107k – 108k (major support zone + channel bottom). 📌 Scenarios: • Bearish (more likely): Rejection from 118k → downside targets at 114k and 107k – 108k. • Bullish (alternative): Break & close above 118k → potential rally toward 122k – 124k. ⚠️ As long as BTC stays below 118k, downside risks remain higher.
Short
by CryptoPilot
BTC Price Action: Bulls vs BearsBitcoin has shown a gradual recovery after a prolonged corrective phase, with market structure leaning toward a constructive buildup. Fundamentally, sentiment is influenced by global macro conditions—investors are watching U.S. monetary policy signals, while stable demand from institutions and long-term holders continues to provide a supportive backdrop. On-chain activity remains steady, with balanced exchange inflows and outflows suggesting no extreme directional pressure in the near term. From a technical perspective, the market has shifted momentum from bearish flows into a developing bullish sequence. The recent break of structure on the 4H timeframe highlights strengthening upside intent, though price is still moving within a broader accumulation phase. Current flows suggest the possibility of a short-term dip for liquidity before continuation to higher levels, aligning with the overall constructive weekly outlook.
Long
by XAU_EMPIRE
ONDOUSD – Waiting for Bullish Re-entry After 13% SurgeONDO recently posted a 13%+ rally, showing strong bullish momentum. However, the price faced resistance and is now pulling back, likely heading toward a key support zone between $0.85 and $0.78. This level has historically acted as a solid base, and we’re watching for signs of a bullish reversal there. 📉 Retracement Expected The current rejection suggests a healthy correction. A controlled move back into the support range could offer a high-probability long setup—if buyers step in and price action confirms. 📈 Trade Setup (Spot Long): • Entry Zone: $0.85 – $0.78 • Targets: 🥇 TP1: $1.13 – $1.32 🥈 TP2: $1.64 – $2.00 • Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.75
Long
by Richtv_official
C98 ANALYSIS🔮#C98 Analysis 💰💰 #C98 is trading in a symmetrical triangle in a weekly time frame and if it breakouts with high volume then we can see a bullish momentum in #C98. Before that we will see little bit bearish movement towards its support zone and that a bullish movement. 🔖 Current Price: $0.0498 ⏳ Target Price: $0.0634 ⁉️ What to do? - We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #C98. Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.💲💲 #C98 #Cryptocurrency #Pump #DYOR
Long
by ZEUS_Market_Alerts
SUI Trade Setup – Bullish Structure Intact Amid VolatilitySUI continues to hold a bullish market structure despite increased volatility driven by macro headlines. Price action remains above the bull market support band, indicating strength and resilience. A notable confluence zone has formed between $2.40 and $2.80, where buyers previously stepped in aggressively. This area is shaping up as a high-probability accumulation zone, especially if a liquidation wick drives price into it. A bounce from this range could initiate the next expansion leg upward. 🔹 Trade Setup • Entry Zone: $2.40 – $2.80 • Take Profit Targets: 🥇 $3.40 – $3.60 🥈 $4.00 – $4.50 • Stop Loss: Daily close below $2.35
Long
by Richtv_official
TAO – Bittensor Swing Long IdeaTAO – Bittensor Swing Long Idea 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment remains strongly bullish as the FED is expected to deliver a 0.25% rate cut, with speculation building for a possible 0.5% cut in September. Monetary policy shifts are being driven by both inflation trends and weakening labor market data. The latest August and September job reports were soft, signaling that the economy is cooling rapidly. This environment continues to fuel expectations for a major bullish run in the weeks ahead. 📈 Technical Analysis • Price rejected the 12H Demand zone and then broke the Daily Structure. • Price also broke the bearish trendline and closed above, signaling higher targets ahead. • Current retracement is gathering liquidity to expand higher. 📌 Game Plan 1-Price to hit Daily Demand 2-Price to run liquidity at $328 3-Possible retest of the broken trendline 🎯 Setup Trigger Looking for a 4H Break of Structure before entering any long position. 📋 Trade Management Stoploss: Daily close below the Daily Demand zone at $302 Targets: • TP1: $376 • TP2: $404 • TP3: $438 💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
PENDLE At Critical Turning Point Before Explosive MoveYello Paradisers, can #PENDLEUSDT hold the line here, or is a painful flush waiting around the corner? After the recent selloff, the price has landed right inside a demand zone that previously triggered strong recoveries. This is the level where buyers need to step up, or the structure risks collapsing toward the deeper major demand area below. 💎Currently, #PENDLE is bouncing from the ascending support trendline after retesting it, showing early signs of strength. If momentum continues, the first big obstacle lies at the 5.58 minor resistance. A clean breakout above that level could open the way toward the strong resistance zone around 6.03–6.13, which has historically been a heavy supply area. That’s where aggressive profit-taking is likely to appear again. 💎On the downside, the invalidation level remains clear at 4.17. A close below this mark would signal that demand has completely failed, and it could invite deeper liquidation, dragging the price back into the major demand zone around 4.20–4.40. Until then, the bullish structure remains intact, but the next moves will be decisive. 🎖Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler. The next breakout or breakdown will shake out weak hands, but only disciplined traders will stay on the right side of the move. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise