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ASTER/USDT (4H) Chart Pattern...ASTER/USDT (4H) Chart Pattern– Targets (Based on the Chart) The chart shows a strong downtrend with price trading below the descending trendline and a bearish continuation move. 📉 Bearish Targets: Target 1: 0.60 Target 2: 0.45 Main Target: 0.25 – 0.20 (marked target zone) 🛑 Resistance / Invalidation: Resistance: 0.82 – 0.85 A 4H close above 0.85 would weaken the bearish setup. 📌 Summary: As long as price stays below the descending trendline, further downside toward 0.25–0.20 is expected. If my want, I can also provide entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels or a bullish alternative scenario.
Short
by XAUxBTC_Pro
6
SOL/USDT – 2H chart patternSOL/USDT – 2H chart pattern (Based on the Chart) The chart shows a descending channel with a bearish breakdown. Based on that structure: 📉 Bearish Targets: Target 1: 120.00 Target 2: 115.00 Main Target: 108.50 – 104.00 (marked target zone) 🛑 Resistance / Invalidation: Resistance: 128.00 – 130.00 A strong close above 130 would weaken the bearish setup. 📌 Summary: As long as price stays below the descending channel resistance, continuation to 108–104 is likely. If my want, I can also give: Exact entry / SL / TP Scalp or swing setup Bullish alternative scenario
Short
by XAUxBTC_Pro
1
WETUSDT: : short setup from daily support at 0.17900BINANCE:WETUSDT.P has been falling practically since its listing. Today, the price hit the all-time low formed 2 days ago, and it is noteworthy that it hit the 0.179 level precisely. This level is now confirmed. All that remains is to wait for the market to be ready for its break. It is important to wait for the signals listed below, in a list format, before taking any short, as the asset is new and not entirely predictable. Key factors for this scenario: Global & local trend alignment Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level Volatility contraction on approach Immediate retest Repeated precise tests of the level Closing near the level Closing near the bar's extreme Factors that contradict this scenario: Lack of consolidation Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.
Short
by The_Traders_House
2
1000LUNCUSDT.P: short setup from daily support at 0.04315BINANCE:1000LUNCUSDT.P , following a strong rally, consolidated briefly and then started returning to where it came from, as is often the case. We currently have a local level at 0.04315, above which the price is consolidating. The crucial criterion in this situation will be to wait for the daily bar close (UTC). If the close is near the level and close to the day's low, these will be good signals for a short position. Key factors for this scenario: Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level Volatility contraction on approach Immediate retest Closing near the level Closing near the bar's extreme Factors that contradict this scenario: Lack of consolidation Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.
Short
by The_Traders_House
1
BNB Update: 1W Update after a bit, checking in - Looks fine BNB Update: Price is continuing to grind lower exactly as expected, slowly rotating down toward the higher timeframe support zone I marked a few weeks back. This pullback so far looks controlled and corrective rather than impulsive, with no major structural damage on the weekly. From a market structure standpoint, this is more consistent with a consolidation and reset after the prior expansion than the start of a broader trend reversal. The ~670 area remains the key level I’m watching. That zone has acted as a major pivot in the past, and a clean test there would make sense from both a technical and market psychology perspective. These slow, drawn-out pullbacks often do more to reset sentiment and positioning than sharp selloffs, which fits what we’re seeing now. Zooming out, BNB still sits in a strong long-term structure relative to many other large-cap alts. The ecosystem backing matters here. BNB remains closely tied to Binance itself, and with CZ back in the picture and Binance continuing to dominate exchange volume and infrastructure, the long-term fundamental backdrop remains intact. As long as price holds higher timeframe support and avoids an impulsive breakdown, I’m treating this move as a corrective phase within a larger bullish cycle. I’ll stay patient into support, but structurally I remain confident BNB has the potential to resume higher and perform well into next year once this consolidation fully plays out.
BINANCE:BNBUSD
by OnchainNewsBlog
ETH Holds Support - Bulls Still in Play!?📈ETH has been trading within a rising broadening wedge pattern. ⚔️This week, price rejected the lower boundary of the structure. 🏹As long as the wedge remains intact, and ETH holds above the last major low at $2,750, a bullish continuation toward the upper boundary of the wedge remains the favored scenario. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
18
XAUUSD: Resistance Holds Strong - Support $4,270 Retest LikelyHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup. Market Analysis XAUUSD is trading within a broader bullish structure, but the current price action shows signs of a short-term corrective phase after a strong impulsive move higher. Earlier, gold successfully broke above the Triangle Resistance Line, which marked the end of the previous bearish pressure and confirmed a shift in market control toward buyers. Following this breakout, price entered a Range phase, where the market consolidated and built liquidity before the next move. This consolidation was later resolved with a strong breakout above the Range, pushing XAUUSD into a higher price zone and confirming continued bullish momentum. Currently, after the breakout, gold rallied sharply and reached the Resistance Zone around 4,350–4,360, where sellers began to react. This area has historically acted as a strong supply zone, and the current rejection indicates that selling pressure is increasing at these highs. At the moment, price is pulling back from the resistance and moving toward the Support Zone around 4,270, which aligns with the previous breakout structure and the rising Trend Line. This zone represents a key demand area where buyers previously stepped in. My Scenario & Strategy My scenario is short-term corrective as long as XAUUSD remains below the 4,350 Resistance Zone and continues to show rejection from this level. I expect price to retrace toward the 4,270 Support Zone, where the next reaction will be critical for short-term direction. A clean breakdown below the 4,270 Support Zone would signal a deeper correction and could open the path toward lower demand levels along the trend line. However, if price reaches support and shows a strong bullish reaction, the broader bullish structure remains intact, and buyers may attempt another push toward the resistance highs. For now, the market is in a pullback phase, with 4,270 as the key level to watch for confirmation of either continuation or deeper correction. That’s the setup I’m monitoring. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ratner
22
EURUSD Holds Demand - Retest of 1.1760 Resistance LikelyHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on EURUSD based on the current chart structure. After a prolonged bearish phase inside a descending channel, EURUSD found a solid base near the lower boundary, where selling pressure weakened and price turned around. This reversal led to a clean breakout above the descending resistance, signaling a shift in market structure from bearish to bullish. Following the breakout, price moved higher but entered a corrective phase, forming a series of pullbacks while maintaining higher lows. As momentum rebuilt, EURUSD broke above the key horizontal level and accelerated into an ascending channel, confirming bullish continuation. Price then pushed into the Seller Zone near 1.1760, where a fake breakout occurred — indicating strong supply but not a full trend reversal. After this rejection, the pair pulled back into the Buyer Zone around 1.1700–1.1720, which aligns with previous resistance turned support and the lower boundary of the ascending structure. Currently, EURUSD is holding above the support level, suggesting that the pullback remains corrective. Buyers continue to defend this zone, keeping the bullish structure intact. My scenario: as long as price holds above the 1.1700 Buyer Zone, EURUSD may bounce and make another attempt toward the 1.1760 Resistance / TP1. A confirmed breakout and acceptance above this level would open the door for further upside continuation. A failure to hold support, however, could lead to a deeper correction within the structure. For now, the bias remains bullish, with support holding and resistance as the main upside target. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
20
BTCUSDT (4H) —Chart Update BTCUSDT (4H) —Chart Update The price is still moving within a descending channel. The recent bounce came from the lower support zone (~84.6K). Current Price: ~$ 88,100, trading below the upper trendline; the trendline is acting as resistance. Support: 87.0K – 86.5K, main 84.6K Resistance / Breakout Zone: 88.8K – 89.5K Main Supply: 93.5K – 94.0K Bullish Scenario: A clear 4H close above the upper trendline + 89K could open up a move towards 91K → 93–94K. Bearish Scenario: Rejection from the trendline could lead to a pullback towards 86.5K, and if broken → a further move down to 84.6K is possible.
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
RDNT Falling Wedge Near Potential Reversal ZoneRDNT is forming a clear falling wedge after an extended bearish move. Price is printing lower highs and lower lows, but the range is contracting as both trendlines converge. This compression signals weakening bearish momentum rather than strong continuation. Price is currently holding near the lower boundary of the wedge while building a short-term base. If RDNT manages to break and hold above the upper wedge resistance, a relief move toward the zero point zero one zero two six area becomes likely, followed by the higher resistance zone near zero point zero one one two. On the downside, failure to hold the wedge base would invalidate the bullish reversal structure. A clean breakdown below support could reopen continuation toward deeper demand zones. This setup is driven by falling wedge dynamics, momentum exhaustion, and base formation near structural support. Confirmation through breakout and acceptance is essential before expecting upside continuation.
by CryptoCoinsCoach
1
Why Every Trend Begins and Ends With LiquidityEvery trend in crypto begins and ends with liquidity. Before a trend can move with force, the market must collect the stop orders that provide the fuel for expansion. These orders sit above equal highs, below equal lows, inside inefficiencies, and around obvious retail breakout levels. Price does not trend because sentiment magically aligns. It trends because the market clears liquidity at one side of the structure and then expands toward the next pool. The earliest phase of any trend usually starts with a sweep: price reaches beyond a key high or low, triggers stops, absorbs the resting orders, and immediately snaps back. This wick is the first sign that the breakout attempt failed and that larger participants have used the liquidity to take positions. Once liquidity is taken, the market shifts into structural progression. Higher highs and higher lows form not because traders collectively decide to buy, but because the market now has trapped sellers below the sweep, providing momentum as price moves toward the next logical liquidity target. Structure becomes the visible footprint of this process. Impulse legs show aggression after liquidity collection, and pullbacks tend to remain orderly because the directional objective has not yet been completed. Every trend is essentially a journey from one liquidity pool to the next, with structure simply describing how that journey unfolds. The end of a trend is equally tied to liquidity. A trend rarely dies from weakening momentum alone. Instead, it typically completes when price reaches a major pool of opposing liquidity, often equal highs in an uptrend or equal lows in a downtrend. The final move into that level is usually fast and dramatic, designed to trigger breakout traders while simultaneously running the stops of those holding late in the trend. Once the liquidity is collected, the market loses incentive to continue and snaps back inside the level, exposing the sweep as a terminal event rather than a continuation. This reversal wick marks the end of one trend and the beginning of the liquidity cycle in the opposite direction. From there, the process repeats. Liquidity is taken. Structure shifts. Displacement confirms intention. A retest provides the entry. And the new trend begins by targeting the next liquidity pool in line. When traders understand this cycle, trends become far easier to read. Direction is no longer based on hope, indicators, or isolated candles. It is built on recognising how liquidity motivates movement and how structure validates that movement. Liquidity shows where the market wants to travel, structure shows how it gets there, and together they form a practical framework for identifying when trends are forming, when they are maturing, and when they are preparing to reverse.
KRAKEN:BTCUSD.MH2026Education
by HyroTrader
30
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on Bitcoin? Bitcoin has entered a corrective phase after a strong bearish move and is currently ranging between a clearly defined support and resistance zone. As long as price remains inside this range, no major directional move is expected. At the moment, price is expected to move toward the upper boundary of the range. Once this area is reached, price behavior should be closely monitored for confirmation. Bullish case: If price breaks and holds above the range high, the next upside targets marked on the chart will come into play. Bearish case: If price gets rejected from the range high and the lower boundary of the range is broken, bearish continuation is likely, with the next downside target around 73,000. ⚠️ Until a clear breakout occurs, the market remains in a consolidation phase Please Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
by HAMED_AZ
27
BCH: $700–$800 Before the Next Bear MarketBCH Macro Resistance Before Bear Market Based on historical price structure, Bitcoin Cash (BCH) appears to be approaching a macro resistance zone around $700–$800 , which has previously marked the final upside before major bear markets. In 2018 and 2022, BCH followed a very similar pattern: A prolonged accumulation phase A strong push into a horizontal resistance zone A rejection from that zone, followed by a deep bear market decline The current structure closely mirrors those past cycles. Price is once again testing the same historical supply zone, where sellers previously stepped in aggressively. Key idea: I expect BCH to reach the $700–$800 range This level could act as the last distribution zone before the broader market transitions into a new bear market phase This is not a short-term trade idea, but a macro perspective based on repeating market behavior and long-term resistance reactions. ⚠️ As always, confirmation is needed, and this scenario is invalidated i f price accepts and holds above the resistance zone.
Short
by ODYSSEY21
Solana Long Term Market Structure StudyMulti Cycle Perspective Into 2026 This publication outlines a long term market structure thesis for Solana based on historical crypto cycles, network development trends, and relative positioning among large cap digital assets. The analysis is educational in nature and focuses on spot market behavior only. This is not a short term trade idea. It is a cycle based accumulation and distribution framework intended for extended holding periods and significant volatility tolerance. Important Scope and Risk Context • Spot market framework only • No leverage assumptions • No short term timing precision • High volatility expected throughout the cycle Crypto assets experience frequent 30 to 50 percent drawdowns even during bullish phases. Any framework relying on leverage would likely fail structurally due to normal volatility. Macro Cycle Context Historically, crypto markets have followed broad expansion and contraction phases aligned with Bitcoin supply events and liquidity cycles. Observed historical reference points: • 2017 cycle peak with extreme altcoin expansion • 2021 cycle peak with institutional participation • Current cycle forming into 2025 to 2026 window Each cycle has shown diminishing multiples at the market level while still allowing select assets to outperform due to network usage and adoption growth. Solana Relative Positioning Solana entered the prior cycle as an emerging network and has since transitioned into a mature Layer 1 ecosystem. Current positioning includes: • Proven network resilience post 2022 drawdown • Active DeFi NFT and DePIN ecosystems • Consistent high developer participation • Increasing institutional infrastructure interest This places Solana in a different structural position than it occupied during the prior expansion phase. Price Structure Context and Target Framework Historical reference points: • Launch period near single digit pricing • Prior cycle peak near 260 • Bear market low near single digits • Current multi month consolidation between 180 and 250 The upper projection zone near 680 is derived from conservative multiple expansion rather than extreme cycle assumptions. Framework considerations: • 3 to 4 times expansion from current range • Prior cycle expansion far exceeded this multiple • Market capitalization would remain well below Ethereum historical dominance • Fibonacci extensions from the cycle low project into the 650 to 750 area This projection is not based on exponential assumptions and remains within historical precedent for mature altcoins during expansion phases. Network Fundamentals Supporting the Thesis Network Activity • Sustained high transaction throughput • Low transaction cost enabling real usage • Daily transaction counts consistently elevated DeFi and Economic Activity • Recovery in total value locked post drawdown • Growth in liquid staking and derivatives infrastructure • Increasing presence of yield generating protocols Developer Engagement • Consistent ranking among top networks for development activity • Production level applications rather than experimental deployments Market history shows that usage driven growth tends to outperform speculative narratives during sustained expansions. Potential Catalysts During the Cycle Structural Catalysts • Validator client upgrades improving throughput and resilience • Expansion of stablecoin settlement usage • Continued maturation of on chain payment infrastructure Market Catalysts • Institutional product speculation • Broader access through regulated investment vehicles • Increased enterprise experimentation Catalysts act as acceleration mechanisms, not guarantees. Technical Structure Overview • Long term higher low structure intact since bear market bottom • Prior resistance acting as support within the current range • Extended consolidation consistent with accumulation phases The 180 to 250 region represents a structural balance zone, not a timing signal. Accumulation and Distribution Framework Accumulation Phase • Gradual position building within the established range • Emphasis on patience and risk sizing • Expectation of drawdowns during accumulation Expansion Phase • Volatility increases alongside trend acceleration • Sharp corrections remain normal • Emotional discipline becomes critical Distribution Phase • Incremental profit reduction rather than full exit timing • Scaling out into strength reduces cycle risk • Avoidance of peak prediction behavior Why Spot Market Structure Matters Crypto volatility structurally penalizes leverage during expansion cycles. Observed behavior during prior cycles: • Deep pullbacks occur even within strong trends • Liquidation events remove participants before trend completion • Spot holders retain optionality through volatility This framework assumes survivability over optimization. Risk Factors to Consider • Cycle timing deviation • Regulatory changes • Network reliability events • Competitive pressure from other scaling solutions • Macro liquidity contraction • Token emission dynamics Any one of these factors could materially alter outcomes. Relative Asset Comparison • Larger than experimental networks • Smaller than dominant incumbents • Established enough to survive downturns • Volatile enough to outperform in expansion phases This positions Solana in a middle ground between stability and growth potential. Summary Framework This study outlines a cycle based structural thesis rather than a prediction. Core assumptions: • Multi year horizon • Spot exposure only • Volatility acceptance • Defined risk allocation • Gradual accumulation and reduction Outcomes are uncertain and non linear. This framework is one interpretation of historical behavior and current structure. Final Notes This content is educational and speculative in nature. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to engage in any transaction. Digital assets are highly volatile and carry risk of significant loss. Historical patterns do not ensure future outcomes. Market participants should conduct independent research, assess personal risk tolerance, and size exposure conservatively.
Long
by RB_T
BNB About to Crash Hard or Just Faking You Out?Yello Paradisers, is BNB setting up for a major dump, or is this just another trap for impatient traders? This next move could catch a lot of people off guard if they're not paying attention to key levels. 💎BNBUSDT is currently looking bearish, as it's reacting strongly from a key resistance zone. This level is further reinforced by the 200 EMA, making it a significant area of confluence. On top of that, price has recently broken down from an ascending channel, which adds further confirmation to the potential shift in trend direction. When these signals line up like this, the probability of a bearish move increases substantially. 💎Now, ideally, we want to see a pullback into the resistance zone. That would give us a much better risk-to-reward entry for a potential short. However, entering blindly is never the move — we need clear confirmation. Specifically, we’ll be watching for a strong bearish candlestick pattern to form right at the resistance zone. If we get that, we can then expect a move toward the next liquidity zones and support levels below. 💎That said, we must stay objective. If BNB manages to break above the invalidation level and closes a candle beyond that point, it will completely invalidate the current bearish outlook. In that scenario, it's better to stay out and wait patiently for stronger price action to develop. There’s no need to force trades when the setup isn't perfect. 🎖Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
2
ZEC Update: Back into this uptrend zone ZEC Update: My prior downside thesis is now invalidated. ZEC has pushed back into the former rising channel and is showing acceptance inside the uptrend zone, which forces a reassessment of structure. The breakdown attempt failed, and instead of follow-through to the downside, price reclaimed key levels and held, shifting the short-term bias back to the upside. Structurally, reclaiming the channel is important. Failed breakdowns often act as fuel in the opposite direction, especially when price can hold above the lower channel boundary and build higher lows. As long as ZEC remains inside this structure, the move off the ~300 region looks less like a dead cat bounce and more like a continuation attempt. That said, this is still a reclaim phase, not confirmation of a full trend extension yet. The mid-to-upper channel and prior resistance around the mid-400s will be key areas to watch for acceptance versus rejection. Strong continuation would require follow-through and sustained closes inside the channel, while a loss of the lower boundary would quickly put the downside back in play. For now, I’m respecting the invalidation and adjusting accordingly. Bias shifts bullish while price holds this uptrend structure, with risk clearly defined against the lower channel support. This is a good reminder to stay flexible and let price lead, not prior expectations.
COINBASE:ZECUSD
by OnchainNewsBlog
CRV Holding Descending Channel Support, Relief Move PossibleCRV has been trading inside a well-defined descending channel for an extended period, reflecting sustained bearish control. Price recently reached the lower boundary of this channel and is now showing signs of stabilization, suggesting selling pressure is slowing near key support. The current structure shows price attempting to form higher lows after reacting from the channel base. If CRV continues to hold above this lower boundary and builds acceptance, a relief move toward the upper channel resistance becomes possible. The first major upside area sits near the previous rejection zone around zero point four three, followed by higher resistance near zero point five five if momentum strengthens. On the bearish side, a clean breakdown below the channel support would invalidate the relief scenario and reopen downside continuation toward lower demand zones. This setup is driven by descending channel dynamics, support reaction behavior, and short-term structure stabilization. Confirmation through sustained holding above support is essential before expecting upside continuation.
by CryptoCoinsCoach
BTCUSD: Potential Pullback from Local ResistanceBitcoin is currently testing a significant resistance zone, and we are seeing signs of exhaustion at these levels. This setup focuses on a high-probability short opportunity targeting the immediate support levels below. The Technical Thesis Resistance Rejection: Price has reached a supply zone (highlighted in orange) where previous selling pressure originated. The current price action shows a struggle to maintain momentum above $89,000. Market Structure: After a strong push, we are looking for a "lower high" or a failure to break the previous peak, signaling a shift in short-term trend. Targeting Liquidity: The primary targets are the established support levels where buyers previously stepped in. Trade Setup Details Entry Zone: $88,100 - $89,000 Stop Loss (SL): Above the recent swing high at $90,336 (Critical to protect against a breakout). Take Profit 1 (TP1): $87,000 (First Support). Take Profit 2 (TP2): $85,000 (Strong Support / Major Liquidity Pool). Risk Management As always, BTC can be highly volatile. Ensure you are using proper position sizing. If the price closes decisively above the orange resistance zone on a 4H timeframe, the bearish thesis is invalidated. What do you think? Will we see a bounce at $87k, or is a deeper correction to $85k incoming? Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Adrian_Trades_
1
BTCUSDT – A Bullish Scenario Is Gradually Taking ShapeAfter a phase of correction and consolidation , Bitcoin is beginning to show signs of renewed stability to the upside , especially when viewed within the context of current macro news and technical structure. On the fundamental side, expectations that the Fed will maintain a more dovish stance , along with declining yields, are creating a favorable environment for risk assets. Capital flows are returning to crypto cautiously but selectively, allowing BTC to hold a solid price base after the recent pullback. From a technical perspective, BTCUSDT is currently: Holding firmly above the key support at 87,400, aligning with a demand zone and the base of the latest rebound Gradually breaking free from the descending trendline pressure, signaling that selling pressure is clearly weakening Ichimoku indicators show price returning to equilibrium, setting the stage for a controlled recovery move The current structure supports a higher-low formation, which is the foundation for a continuation of the uptrend Preferred scenario: As long as BTC holds above 87,400, there is a high probability of a recovery toward the 91,500 zone — an area of concentrated liquidity and near-term resistance. The current minor pullbacks should be viewed as buy-the-dip opportunities within the trend, rather than signals of a trend reversal.
Long
by Paradise_Noir
8
BTCUSD – Downside Pressure Remains in ControlAfter a period of strong volatility, Bitcoin is entering a phase of “catching its breath” as market sentiment shifts toward a defensive stance . Short-term capital has become more cautious, while macro factors and interest-rate expectations remain unclear, failing to trigger a fresh risk-on wave. As a result, BTC is struggling to sustain meaningful rebounds. From a technical perspective, the outlook is tilted toward a bearish trend . Price has been repeatedly rejected at the descending trendline and is currently trading below the Ichimoku cloud, confirming that sellers remain in control of the primary trend. The 88,300 zone is acting as near-term resistance, where rebounds are likely to face profit-taking and renewed selling pressure. On the downside, 84,300 stands out as a key support level. Given the current structure, upward moves are more likely to be technical pullbacks rather than genuine reversals. If price fails to break and hold above 88,300, BTC is likely to remain under pressure and retest the 84,300 zone, or even move lower should selling momentum accelerate. In summary, the short-term bias remains bearish. The more prudent approach is to patiently wait for pullbacks to align with the trend, rather than rushing to catch a falling knife. Bitcoin is at a critical juncture, and price reaction at key resistance levels will determine the market’s next move.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Paradise_Noir
18
BTC – Weak Rebound Below EMAs, Bias Still Toward CorrectionHello everyone, Domic here. Looking at BTC on the H4 timeframe right now, the overall feeling is not panic — but there is certainly nothing reassuring either. Price is trading around 85,700 USD, sitting firmly below both the EMA34 and EMA89, and that alone already says a lot about the current market condition. Since mid-month, a lower high – lower low structure has become fairly clear. The rebound we are seeing at the moment is essentially just a technical pullback after the prior sharp sell-off, as price attempts to climb back up and retest resistance. However, BTC has still failed to reclaim the EMA34, which shows that buying pressure is not strong enough to regain short-term control. At this stage, EMA34 acts as an overhead pressure ceiling, while EMA89 remains the key boundary defining the H4 trend. As long as price stays below both of these moving averages, the market should still be viewed from a defensive perspective. On the macro and news side, BTC is not being driven by any crypto-specific shock, but rather by broader macro conditions and the risk-on / risk-off environment. The Fed continues to signal higher rates for longer, making it difficult for risk assets to attract fresh inflows. US Treasury yields remain elevated, pushing short-term capital toward the USD and bonds instead of crypto. US equities are undergoing a mild correction, and BTC, at this stage, is still moving quite in sync with the broader risk asset complex. In addition, inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have cooled significantly compared to the earlier surge, further weakening the price support. From my perspective, as long as BTC remains below the EMA34, any upward move should still be treated as a rebound into resistance. And while price stays below the EMA89, the H4 trend remains in a corrective state.
by DomicChaina
21